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I don't think I've welcomed either of you, Mundaka and Scavengeboy2.
I'm sure I speak for all of us here when I say we're always happy to see new contributors with new ideas - WELCOME!
I'm afraid Dayton3 is probably right that NASA's convenient 'tinkering' with Mars Direct to make it unmanageable ... in the name of safety, of course(! ) ... was entirely political and/or personal. [Yes, SB2, I'm a Dr. Zubrin fan too!]
Dr. Zubrin is as much a brilliant, and therefore unwelcome, outsider in rocketry and mission-design as Dr. Gilbert Levin is in the field of exobiology. And unfortunately it seems that both of them are to remain ostracised until the faceless architects of their banishment from 'The Club' either retire or die. Or, as is so often the case, they will only gain recognition after their own deaths!
I find myself very much in agreement with virtually everything Robert Dyck proposes or suggests here. I particularly like the sound of that CanaDrill device and I too am disappointed that it seems to have been dumped.
When I assume absolute power and complete domination of the world, there'll be more than a few changes made. And all of them will be for the better!
Oops, sorry Josh!
I thought I was being funny ...
It's obvious what's going on. The same martians who dropped that bracelet Jetset spotted draped over a rock had to shut down Spirit while they loaded the info. they want us to see into the computer.
Interesting comments, Byron and Cindy.
Just to address Byron's question about circumstantial evidence, it's really just an accumulation of factors without definitive proof.
But I believe people have been hanged on a preponderance of what was, in the final analysis, just circumstantial eveidence!
Factors:-
- Mars was probably warmer and wetter 3 to 4 billion years ago when life is known to have existed on Earth.
- Impact transfer of material, both ways, between Earth and Mars has been going on since the planets formed and is still going on today.
- Research has proved that conditions inside a substantial proportion of material transferred from Mars' surface to Earth's surface, and vice versa, never reach levels intolerable to common forms of terrestrial bacteria. Hence the transfer of viable bacteria is not only possible but the chances of it not having happened are vanishingly small.
- Bacterial life is extraordinarily adaptable and resilient, being able to evolve very quickly because of the speed of its reproduction.
- If bacteria (archaea etc.) ever existed on Mars, and through impact transfer, if nothing else, it almost certainly did, then it will still be there today in one form or another.
- Bacteria can exist in a range of environments from extreme cold to extreme heat, high salinity, high acidity or high alkalinity, or even very high radiation environments. They can exist in an oxidising or reducing environment (in oxygen or without it), flourish in and even digest toxic waste, and even survive a hard vacuum on the Moon for two years!
- Bacteria are hard to eliminate, even if you make deliberate efforts to do so. (Even Operating Rooms cannot be made entirely sterile.) If you succeed almost completely in sterilising any thing or any area, just one bacterium will totally repopulate that thing or area within a matter of weeks, given enough nutrient.
- There are almost certainly areas of Mars today which fall within the huge range of possible habitats for bacteria.
- Several unsterilised or incompletely sterilised probes have landed or crashed on the martian surface since the early 1960s.
- Although the subject for much debate, experimentation, and dispute, the Labeled Release (LR) experiments on the Viking landers gave a positive result. The damning evidence of the Gas Chromatograph Mass Spectrometer (GCMS), which found no organic material in the regolith (down to parts per billion levels), and which was used to 'prove' the LR results had to be wrong, has since been shown to be baseless. The same GCMS failed to detect the organic material in thriving colonies of bacteria in Antarctic soils here on Earth!
[For an update on the LR results, see [http://www.newhousenews.com/archive/wylie011604.html]THIS SITE. ]
- Mars Global Surveyor photographs have shown streaks of dark material emanating from strata just below the surface of canyon and crater walls. The material is transient and the consensus is that it's probably briny water. Some have even suggested that its dark colour may be due to dormant spores of some kind of life suddenly germinating in the freshly released moisture.
- Some European scientists have examined 'dark spots' which appear and disappear in fields of frosted sand dunes and decided that their behaviour is consistent with colonies of living creatures, perhaps living in meltwater under protective sheets of ice.
I could probably find some more circumstantial evidence, if pressed, but I hope this is sufficient to get an idea of how my mind works (or doesn't! ) on this topic.
Cindy, I understand your trepidation at the thought of the present United States of America being cloned and placed on Mars!
I don't think you have to worry too much. Even if America does get there first, the ongoing colonisation would involve many countries and many cultures, including Europe, Russia, China etc. At least initially, the kind of people who grace the stage on the Jerry Springer Show (BLLECCHHH!!! ) would not be prime candidates for the trip, I suspect.
Just a minute while I climb up on this soap box once more ... !
If any life is found on Mars, I'm reasonably sure it will be terrestrial in basic form; i.e. it'll be RNA/DNA based, with the same 20 laevorotatory amino acids and exclusively dextrorotatory sugars.
For those of you who have been fortunate enough to miss my past sermons on this topic ( ), I base this notion on the research done into the ability of bacteria to survive impact transfer between the planets, safe within the pieces of rock blasted off planet-A and drifting by chance to planet-B.
It has been estimated that on average, even today, kilograms of Mars are arriving on Earth each year.
Although there's enough circumstantial evidence for me to be 99% sure there's (terrestrial) life on Mars, if not on the surface then underground, comments like Byron's make me nervous!
If I interpret his thoughts correctly, he's referring to the Gaia hypothesis. According to that line of reasoning, life modifies a planet in order to keep the environmental parameters within certain limits. The modifications ensure that conditions remain conducive to the continued existence of the lifeforms doing the modifying! There have been whole books written about how life on Earth is instrumental in keeping the planet environmentally moderate, so that life can continue to flourish.
Looking at Mars, it's not all obvious that any such mechanism is working there, from which it's been deduced that there can therefore be no biosphere.
I think this is a strong argument and it does cause me to doubt my stated position that Mars harbours life. But then that hypothesis judges Mars using the criteria of the only planet on which we know life exists, Earth. Perhaps a Gaia-type self-regulating biosphere also existed on Mars until it was overwhelmed by catastrophic environmental circumstances. We know now that even Earth's abundant biosphere, with all the climate-stabilising checks and balances built into it, will succumb to rising temperatures in about 1 billion years. The thermophilic bacteria in the crust will likely be the last to die, the surface being devoid of any sign of life well before the last bacterium's cellular structure breaks up in the heat.
Mars has perhaps experienced the opposite scenario; the surface life dying in an apocalypse of dry cold, instead of the blistering steamy heat Earth's surface life has to look forward to.
So, although comments like Byron's do give me pause for thought, I still favour the idea that Mars is full of at least bacterial life; most likely halophilic (salt-loving) bacteria.
If there's no life, that's fine for terraformers. But if there is life, it'll almost certainly be good ol' Earth-type life and that's fine for terraformers too!
Being a terraformer myself, I can't lose!
[P.S. In response to the original question, and feeling I have sufficient 'green' tendencies to qualify as a voter, I side with the importers of terrestrial species into the martian environment. For my money, we'll either be introducing Earth-life into a sterile world or simply re-introducing them to some long-lost cousins from back home ... what's the diff.?!!! ]
There have probably been several erosive forces at work on Mars, just as there have been here on Earth. I know there are many martian landforms consistent with extensive past glaciation, for example.
However, I believe that many meandering valleys, with channels in their lowest sections, are difficult to explain by any agency other than the long-term slow and gentle flow of liquid water.
Gusev crater, the current focus of attention for Mars nuts everywhere ( ) ... whoops, there's another one! ... , is only a relatively small part of a major water feature in the near-equatorial region of the southern highlands. Some of you here may recall my post of June 30th 2003 over at "Water on Mars. H2O, where'd it go?", in which I linked to a perspective view of part of a vast paleolake basin in the highlands south of Gusev(?).
The lake, whose shoreline has been identified, had an area equal to Texas and New Mexico combined and contained 5 times as much water as the Great Lakes of North America! At its northern end, water flowed over a natural weir into Ma'adim Vallis, which is a valley feature larger than America's Grand Canyon. Ma'adim Vallis in turn, emptied into Gusev crater at its northern end, which is why so many scientists are so convinced that Spirit is now sitting on a dry lake bed.
The natural weir between the massive lake in the highlands (I call it Lake Ma'adim) and Ma'adim Vallis sat at an altitude of at least 1.5 km above datum, yet it's believed that liquid water flowed over it for long enough to gradually erode the rock until the weir catastrophically collapsed. The contents of Lake Ma'adim surged northward along the 500 kilometre valley and into Gusev crater, which was unable to contain the thousands of cubic kilometres of water. The northern wall of the crater gave way and the waters poured out onto the northern plains, or perhaps into the Oceanus Borealis (if it ever really existed).
One of the most interesting points about all this is the fact that liquid water flowed over that weir, at an altitude of 1500 metres (about 1 mile) above datum, for an extended period - long enough to wear away the rock. This indicates that the atmospheric pressure and the ambient temperatures, even at that height above datum, were much higher than today and remained so for a long period of time.
The evidence, though I admit it's contradictory in some ways (see the discussions about olivine in Mariner Valley), suggests that Mars experienced relatively long periods of comparatively balmy weather, longer than the "few decades of terrestrial temperatures" which BGD mentioned.
I think the choice of Gusev for the Spirit landing site was an excellent one. Wouldn't it be wonderful to take a shovel and dig down a metre or two?! I wouldn't be surprised if the sands are soggy with brine, even today.
:;):
Just a few more rambling thoughts.
Naturally, there is really no such thing as an absolute winter or summer on Earth as a planetary body; you have to specify northern winter or southern summer, etc.
I have always proposed keeping things on Mars as much like Earth as possible, with the middle of the northern summer falling in June/July and so on. This was the basis of 'my' martian calendar, which I put forward in this thread some time ago.
The fact that I mentioned the familiarity of "spring in April, winter and Christmas in December .. ", was out of deference to the peoples of the northern hemisphere who post at these boards and whom I imagine form the majority of contributors(?). In addition, it recognises that the people most likely to colonise Mars first will be from the northern hemisphere: The U.S., Russia, Europe, Japan and China.
It seems unlikely to me that South American countries, sub-Saharan African countries, or indeed my own country, Australia, will be prominent players in the early human exploration of the Red Planet ... more's the pity!!
Clark draws attention to fact that, when you live in an insulated bubble, it ain't gonna matter much to you whether it's winter or summer outside anyhow! So why bother matching seasons with the appropriate Earth months when you live on Mars?
This is indeed a valid point, as long as you propose to live in your bubble forever. But, as I pointed out in my suggestion for a martian calendar, if the day ever dawns (as I hope it will) when Mars has been terraformed sufficiently for humans to stand unprotected on its surface, won't it be reassuring and familiar if the northern hemisphere spring comes in a month called April and Christmas (for those who celebrate it) in December?
In any event, since I guess all of us here will be long dead before any of this occurs, I suppose it won't matter a great deal. But I still like 'my' calendar better than any alternatives I've seen so far ... so there!
Nah, nanah, nanah naaahhh!!!
:laugh:
I have a question but, before I ask it, I'd just like to say it's good to see Nirgal 82 back on the boards ... welcome back, Matt!
I notice that BGD is climbing into the ring a little more often lately, too. Excellent!
By the way, Josh and Rxke, I've been meaning to thank both of you for your marathon efforts to keep the rest of us 'in the picture' with Spirit news. You, and others here, have done us proud and it's much appreciated.
I was interested in the comments about the tiny tubes and spheres of granular material found in the martian soil. In particular, the point someone made about such structures being able to ".. withstand the region's strong winds and perpetual scouring by dust devils ...".
It occurred to me to ask how long such structures last in Death Valley, where they're also found? Is there any indication of how durable such natural sculptures really are?
If Gusev is constantly scoured by winds and wind-blown dust, could we expect fine crusty tubules and spherules to last, say, a year or 10 years, or a century or 1000 years?!!
If such creations of brine evaporation are indeed fragile and short-lived in the conditions found at Gusev, could we be looking at an ongoing process of creation?
Could these structures be relatively fresh, having been produced by recent episodes of wetting and drying of the soil? If so, perhaps it fits in with the creation of the so-called 'magic carpet' of material, which looks suspiciously like freeze-dried mud.
Who knows, maybe much of the surface material of Mars is full of water/water-ice, undergoing repeated freezing, thawing and/or evaporation even today.
Just a thought.
Yes, Cindy.
That discovery of viable 250 million year old bacteria caused quite a stir. Of course, there were people who disputed the discovery, presumably because theory indicates background radiation should destroy the DNA of dormant bacteria well before 250 million years has elapsed. By the time conditions improve enough for the bacteria to revive, they're no longer capable of metabolism because the machinery has disintegrated!
But I think the large amount of sodium chloride kept the little bugs insulated from the heavier unstable isotopes which break down and give off damaging particles.
To me, it just shows that life can 'get lucky' and find favourable niches where long-term survival is possible. In fact, I've used the discovery of that ancient bacteria to bolster my case that, if life ever did develop on Mars, it'll still be there and still metabolising somewhere. Life is very hard to eliminate completely and comes back quickly and strongly as soon as it gets a chance.
To quote that phrase you like: "Life finds a way!"
Hi Joe!
I believe there's a fundamental error in your calculations regarding a 'bulked-up' Mars.
You specify adding an extra 1.63 times the present Martian mass, bringing it up to 2.63 times its present figure.
Mars is currently 0.107 times Earth's mass.
Your new Mars would therefore be 2.63 times 0.107, or approximately 0.28 times Earth's mass.
With a present radius of 0.53 times Earth's radius, Mars' volume as a ratio of Earth's is 0.53 cubed. In other words, Mars' volume is 0.1489 times Earth's.
For the sake of simplicity, let's assume all the extra mass you've added is the same density as the present average martian density. Thus, adding 1.63 times the present martian mass will produce a body 2.63 times the present volume.
The NewMars/Earth Volume Ratio will now be
2.63 times 0.1489, which equals 0.39
The radius of your NewMars, will therefore be the-cube-root-of-0.39 times Earth's radius, or 0.73 of an Earth radius.
Your NewMars will have a radius 0.73 times, and a mass 0.28 times, that of Earth.
Therefore, its surface gravity, allowing for the inverse square law of distance, will be
0.28g/(0.73 times 0.73)
= 0.525g
The NewMars you specify wouldn't simulate the gravity of Earth but it would produce just over half of Earth's surface gravity. I've often considered a scenario whereby proto-Mars gathered more mass during its formation, 4.5 billion years ago, and wondered what effect it might have had on the evolution of the martian environment.
I wonder whether a Mars with a 0.5g surface gravity would look any different compared to the one we see today? Would it have held on to a denser atmosphere and remained more clement, or would we need still more gravity to make any appreciable difference?
???
As usual, Dickbill hits the nail directly on the head. (I'm not sure I'll ever understand his politics but his space exploration logic is impeccable! )
It is patently clear to anyone with half a brain that shipping massive infrastructure to the Moon in order to construct a launching pad for Mars missions is absurd; there can be no justification for the cost. And although there are doubtless many small details of lunar research which remain to be cleared up, the Moon is of little interest to science in comparison with Mars. In addition, as Dickbill points out, there's almost nothing about living on the Moon which will be of any use to Mars explorers or colonists at all because it's a completely different environment. In any event, how in the name of God can it possibly take 10 - 15 years to land a human on Luna?!!! Burt Rutan'll be there before then!
I hate to say it but I fear my worst nightmare has come to pass. This is a thinly disguised means of subsuming NASA into the military complex and beating China to the Moon for strategic reasons. This is about the militarisation of cis-lunar space.
The word "Mars" has been thrown in as a mesmerising sweetener which, it is hoped, will take people's minds off the rest of the package. Whether or not it can be seen as an electoral device also, I'll leave to the legions of left-wing cynics here who are far better qualified than I at that sort of analysis!
Unless something drastic happens to change the whole scenario, most of us here now will be old or dead before a human stands on Mars, if ever. To say I'm disappointed would be an understatement of epic proportions. We're going back to the Moon 45 years after Apollo 11 !!! (Break out the champagne ... I don't think.)
We need either the discovery of something remarkable on Mars or the development of space elevators in the next 15 years, or I'm afraid Luna will become the graveyard of all our hopes - sacrificed on the altar of military expedience.
Welcome Steve and Trent!
So many new contributors here these days ... it's getting hard to keep up.
Congratulations on what can only be described as the honour of a noble and well-deserved investiture.
Go get 'em, Josh!
Welcome to New Mars, Baphomet!
An informative first post ... thank you.
Thanks for that link, Rxke.
It all sounds very upbeat and optimistic; like there are things going on behind the scenes and a sudden flowering of commercial spaceflight is at hand.
Very exciting!
The language seems a little ambiguous - encouraging scientists to prepare for the mission in ten years' time.
You could interpret that in either of two ways, but I suppose it means wait ten years, while we fool around on the Moon, and then start preparing for Mars!
Or am I being overly pessimistic?
???
[What am I saying?!! At least we're getting off the LEO merry-go-round! :laugh: ]
Without wishing to get off topic here, can someone tell me in 50 words or less (preferably less! ) what President Bush's new immigration bill says?
I'm not wanting to kick-start some kind of political thread or anything like that, just curious that's all.
So! You wanna go to Mars, eh?
Well, it looks like you'll be in very good company here, Martian Apollo!
A warm welcome to you ... you've come to the right place.
I think I might know why the air pressure has been dropping on the ISS.
When I was a kid in England, there was a show on T.V. called Dr. Who, about a Time Lord who travelled around in a time/spaceship called a Tardis. In one particular episode, he was in an Earth colony on the Moon and they'd been noticing mysterious drops in dome pressure ... just like the ISS!
Well .. it turned out that a small army of Cyber-men, arch-enemies of the Doctor, had been surreptitiously entering the dome through breaches they'd made in the dome wall. Although they'd taken steps to minimise the air loss, so as not to alert the humans to their infiltration until sufficient numbers of them had gained entrance, it was impossible for them to avoid some leakage (naturally).
I won't go into further detail about what eventuated but I see definite parallels with the situation on the space station.
It's Cyber-men! No doubt about it ... it stands to reason!!
As long as you create enclosures built to withstand the air pressure inside, you can use any design you like.
For what it's worth, I like the idea of clear domes which go right down to ground level so you can walk up to the dome material and look out onto the rusty plains (dotted with genetically engineered plants helping to terraform our new home! ).
Yeah, yeah ... O.K. .. so I'm a Green!! :laugh:
Cristoph! I'm not sure if you're aware that we've had discussions about enclosures on Mars over at "Life Support Systems", under the headings:-
1) "Canyon habitats"
2) "We need a brainstorming session!" and
3) "Domed habitats".
Your idea is unique in that it involves a geodesic dome + regolith rather than transparent material. It sounds more robust, mechanically easier to achieve, and should provide ample radiation protection, so it may become the method of choice for those reasons.
But for me, probably because I was brought up on a diet of fictional martian cities under clear domes, I prefer the open 'feel' of such designs.
No, I think it's better to know how much people would give in dollars and cents; that's what really counts.
If they're going to send humans out to Mars and back, without even the benefit of a period of martian gravity on the surface, I hope they plan to use cables and rotate the ship.
How long is the shakedown mission without a landing supposed to take?
???
I'm a little concerned that the MERs are going to abrade the surfaces of those rocks to get at the minerals inside, without having a good hard look at the surface material first.
Not everybody is totally convinced that Mars is sterile; some of you here may have gleaned from my ranting over the years that I'm one of them!
In Antarctica, it's been found that hardy bacteria can find refuge from the harsh environment by living in pores in the surface of rocks. They huddle just under the surface to avoid the dessicating and freezing winds but not so deep as to deprive themselves of the light they need to survive. So, if you cut a rock open in Antarctica, you might see the 'line of life' just below the surface.
It's been found also that the so-called varnish on rocks in desert environments can be produced by bacteria. I found THIS SITE, which includes the following:-
On Earth rock varnish may have a "microbial origin" (Dorn and Oberlander, 1981). Clays, originating from an external source, such as dust or aerosols (Fleischer, et al., 1999), are transported, via wind or some other mechanism, and deposited on the outside of rocks (Potter and Rossman, 1979a; Dorn, 1991). "Manganese-concentrating bacteria", which bloom during wet periods, oxidise the manganese in the rock (Palmer, et al., 1985; Dorn, 1991). These oxides cause the clay to adhere to the surface of the rock, producing varnish (Dorn, 1991). The bacteria thus alter the optical properties and mineralogy of the dust and aerosols (Guinness, et al., 1997). Raymond et al. (1992) found manganese-rich stromatolites in rock varnish, which reinforces the idea that manganese-oxidising bacteria are involved in varnish formation.
NASA scientists seem keen to rip through the surface layers of the rocks on Mars using the much-vaunted Rock Abrasion Tool (RAT), so that they can get to the 'fresh' rock crystals underneath.
This is no doubt a very sensible thing for a geologist to do but a biologist would surely be horrified at the loss of potentially precious samples of rock varnish, which may well contain direct evidence of life.
NASA has sent two highly sophisticated rovers to Mars to look for evidence of water in the distant past. Such evidence, they say, might help to tell us whether life may have had a chance to develop. They've sent no instruments able to detect the metabolism of actual living organisms today.
Wouldn't it be the ultimate irony if NASA were grinding away colonies of living organisms in the process of looking for evidence of life-giving water!!
I've been looking at the rocks in the Spirit colour photograph and I note that many of them have different coloured sheens on them. What if the sheens are due to bacteria-induced rock varnish?!
???
Aawww!!
I've stared and stared at the 8MB image and I can't find anything remotely resembling a skull, human or alien. I can't even find anything that looks like the 'ridge' Stu mentions ... or the shark fin, or the spear-like rock!
I must have the wrong image, I guess.
To fully counteract the upward pressure of even a 350 millibar atmosphere inside your domed crater, Imvdr, you will need about 3.6 tonnes of regolith on each square metre of your dome.