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Returning to the specific topic of crime and insanity, I should note that we have to avoid falling into the trap of allowing urban legends to make our decisions for us.
For example, in my part of the United States, we used to traditionally shower the bride and groom with dried rice at weddings. It was bagged and handed out to the wedding guests to throw at the end of the reception, as had been the custom for more than a century since rice replaced some other grain of choice. Then an urban legend took hold that the rice was harmful to birds. Specifically, the rice was supposed to swell up in the poor little birds? crops and kill them. In addition to the total absence of bloated dead chickadees dropping in the wakes of wedding parties, evidence to the contrary is easy to gather. All you have to do is soak uncooked rice in water to see that it doesn?t swell any more than any other dried grain. To puff it, it MUST be cooked.
Still, from the few stories I?ve heard of people gauche enough to try and offer rice after this idea took hold, they were refused and generally regarded as some sort of cruel, anti-environment wedding Nazis. This fabrication has completely changed a century of tradition in less than a decade. The local grain of choice at weddings is now birdseed.
Psychology and space exploration are both widely misunderstood concepts. A lot of people seem to have the idea that complete mental breakdowns are more likely in space than in other places and/or that breakdowns are somehow more likely than the subtler degradations of morale and performance that often afflict remote stations. I?ve even had one person ? whom I?ve never regarded as ignorant on other subjects -- tell me that a journey to Mars was impossible because someone was guaranteed to ?freak out?. He was even able to tell me where he read it ? the AP. (Crap like that is actually appearing in print! ) I?m sure that some of those people out there throwing birdseed are generally intelligent once you get them away from the reception, too.
Are we looking at the birth of a new urban legend?
CME
Ugh! Their hearts, perhaps?
CME
I would actually thinnk we have more to fear from a lack of personal space than from isolation.
Ah, but the lack of personal space is directly related to the conditions creating the isolation.
Still, we should indeed fear a lack of personal space. Personal space is desperately important for two reasons: 1) It's one of those "minor" issues that, if neglected, can devastate a mission by lowering morale and creating interpersonal conflicts; and 2) It's something that we can control. We'll be kicking ourselves if we don't worry about personal space.
Never neglect privacy in an isolated, confined group. Privacy generally has the last laugh.
As for telecommunications being able to alleviate isolation, I'm not sure that they would have the same effectiveness if the responses were significantly delayed. I understand that the Mars Society has conducted some experiments along these lines at their Mars Analog stations. Were there any relevant results?
CME
Actually, mental health is a serious consideration on missions where extended isolation is expected.
The best book I ever read on this subject is Jack Stuster's _Bold Endeavors: Lessons from Polar & Space Exploration_ from the US Naval Institute Press, c. 1996. It is an overview of studies, case histories, and the definitive works on the sociology of isolation.
If you have any serious interest in designing a Mars mission to minimize risk of social problems, you must read this book.
CME
PS: If you expect actual crime or complete mental breakdown to be the most likely show-stopper for small crews, you may be in for a surprise. Those are merely the most dramatic -- and rarest -- of a host of interpersonal problems.
Hello All.
Using electrolysis to split water into hydrogen and oxygen wouldn't produce much thrust at low temperatures, but at very high temperatures this could perform very well. The water could be cracked electrolytically, as in an electrothermal rocket, or using masers and/or lasers. Only electrolysis would work at low temperatures, but at high temperatures (>5000 K) the water will dissociate regardless of the source of heat, so if you're pushing for plasma a maser will work just fine. A VASIMR system would probably run just fine on water.
Natrium (boro-hydrides, magnesium hydrides, whatever) doesn't look like it would be a useful substitute for liquid hydrogen in chemical rockets, because the liquid hydrogen contains more hydrogen per pound. But a plasma rocket is so much more efficient than a chemical rocket that it could make up some of the difference. It needs less fuel, so if there's less hydrogen available per pound then that's just fine.
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Freezing water out of brine can also concentrate it beyond the saturation limits for simple mixing.
It occurs to me that many of the odd formations on Mars that people have tried to explain by ice melting could just as easily be explained by brine freezing.
CME
Hello Shaun.
This website explains the mathematical relationships between concentration/molality, vapor pressure, freezing point and melting point for aqueous solutions.
http://wine1.sb.fsu.edu/chm1046/notes/S … Collig.htm
The important point to note is that these relationships are roughly linear over broad ranges. The concentration required to lower the vapor pressure of water below the mean atmospheric pressure of Mars is not quite attainable. The brine becomes saturated before that and becomes unable to hold more salt. However, it's very close, and liquid brines could exist in high pressure pockets just inches below the surface if the temperatures ever got high enough.
Some other points to note:
Distilled Water freezes at 0 degrees Celsius even in near vacuum, but will Franklin boil at 0 degrees once the air pressure falls below its vapor pressure. So, once the pressure falls below the vapor pressure of a solution, it can no longer exist as a liquid.
Most chemicals that dissolve in water reach saturation points, beyond which molality cannot be increased just by adding more solute at constant temperature & pressure. However, some chemicals, such as alcohol, have no saturation limits. If you add enough alcohol to water, you reach a point where it's more convenient to talk about water disolved in alcohol.
Freezing salt water concentrates the salt because the salt ions are excluded from the forming water crystals. Thus, the portion that freezes first is relatively pure ice, or at least at a lower concentration than it started. This effect can gradually purify the water out of the solution over time (which is why you can drink water melted off of icebergs). It also means that if you freeze salt water in an ice cube tray, the water pressure in unfrozen portion shrinks rises as more and more salt is forced into it. Ultimately, the internal pressure can rise high enough to force a miniature geyser of water up through the ice cube's surface.
This pressure buildup is a natural consequence of the freezing process and would handily raise the water pressure of a brine above its vapor point.
The same could happen in a frozen salt lake, contaminating the frozen surface with salt. Unfrozen water at the bottom of the lake would become concentrated with salt excluded from the upper layers, raising its pressure and ultimately causing it to burst up through any weaknesses in the ice layers.
Thus, the surface of a frozen lake of brine would likely be contaminated with salt, making it difficult to determine the age or nature of the formation from orbit.
But it would still look like a frozen lake.
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As I understand it, only the southern hemisphere has been surveyed with the requisite coverage to make a claim like this. This surprises me, because the south has more highlands than the north. I expected this would impede the even distribution of water over wide areas, yet here we are talking about oceans.
Hmm...
If there's an "ocean" in the south, I can't wait to see what's in the north.
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Whoa, ya'll!
I just finished watching "The Lord of the Flies" on TV!
I'm not so sure I want to go to Mars anymore! :0
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What about psychological factors associated with physical injuries?
If one of the crew loses it, one of the main effects we are expecting is feelings of extreme resentment on the part of the crew. I'm seeing talk of "dealing with" the crewman in question and falling back on execution in extreme cases.
Since severe cases of mental illness can be as debilitating as a physical ailment, I wonder if we would expect similar results from cases where crew members were maimed, or came down with something catchy or were generally too sick to perform their duties. True, group reactions to physical breakdowns tend to be more rational than for mental breakdowns. There are concrete things to focus on. There are things to _do_. But one can also imagine scenarios where there is a mental component as well.
For example, a mentally ill crewman could deliberately injure himself. How should that be handled, knowing that even upon recovery he could easily do it again?
A crewman could come down with cancer during a three year mission. Would a crew "deal with" him rather than accept the burden of letting him linger for months, depleting supplies with the absolute certainty that nothing could be done? Of course, a person dying of cancer is still of sound mind. I wonder how the crew would deal with a suicide...
Or what if a female crewman in a coed crew became pregnant? (Your odds of getting pregnant on Depa-Provera are less than one in ten thousand, but if it happens, you're the one.) If this happened early enough, and an abortion procedure was unavailable -- or refused -- a small crew could easily find themselves without sufficient supplies to support another person. The psychological effects of a pregnancy could be made worse by the fact that a pregnant woman is not really sick; there's nothing to _do_.
Dealing with physical disabilities is not nearly as distinct from dealing with mental disabilities as we would like. However, I'm not fond of the idea of dealing with clinical problems (mental or physical) in the same way as one would deal with criminals.
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Hello Canth.
Think of all the equipment you'd need to send up, along with replacement parts etc. You would also cut down on the reliability of your craft by using pre damaged used parts. The amount of extra labor you would need to install new communications equipment, shielding, life support systems, storage areas, initial propulsion systems, and so on is astronomical.
Sounds like my old car.
Actually, as someone who's used to travelling around in ratted-out vehicles, I can safely say that the cost of trying to upgrade an existing vehicle that has reached the end of its usefulness typically costs more than it's worth. "The end of its usefulness" is usually a euphemism for "broken down".
However, I take issue with your statement that it's always better to send up new ones than to use what's there, because it implies that: a) the only satellites that anybody will sell, rent or abandon are already broken; and b) there are no broken satellites worth recovering.
I submit that needed materials that it is not within our present capacity to lift would be economically viable to salvage and recover. For example, much is made of RLV's, but a lot of the convincing designs I've seen have payload capacities far less than the size of some space station modules. If you're a private company that suddenly has cheap access to space but lack the ability to put up heavy modules, you might look seriously at buying used instead.
I suspect that nuclear reactor fuel will also become a viable prospect for salvage. Many of those reactors in space have orbits expected to decay in the next few centuries. It's possible that it may become economically viable to go get them even if they're never used, just to keep them out of the atmosphere.
Hmm...
CME
I should point out that few to none of the reactors previously launched into space (the numbers are skewed by varying degrees of secrecy) have been capable of more than 10kW, and none exceeding 2kW are known to have lasted more than 6 months.
Check out a rough list of known reactors in orbit here:
http://www.globenet.free-online.co.uk/ianus/npsm1.htm
Solar arrays can be built with these outputs, and with better reliability.
CME
Interested in reactors in space? Check this out! It's a rough analysis of the amount and location of radioactive material in orbit.
http://www.globenet.free-online.co.uk/ianus/npsm1.htm
Surprise! Almost nothing is in an unreachable "doomsday orbit". These devices can be recovered, some (in principle) by Soyuz or Shuttle missions. Some of the material is not worth the price of recovery (such as the RTG's launched to the Moon with Apollo), and other satellites are too risky to capture (such as the unshielded, obviously leaking/disintegrating RORSAT's). However, I believe a recovery mission could be viable.
Multiple reactors are up there for the taking.
CME
Check this out:
http://space.com/busines....-1.html
I'm starting to feel a warm place in my heart for NASA's new head accountant, Mr. O'Keefe.
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Ever invaluable, Shaun. I hadn't considered the consequences of yearly dust dispersal in Mars' arid environment.
As for the current exploration act, I hadn't previously considered the necessity of nuclear power for small outposts on Mars, but apparently there is a big one. (See the forum discussions on life support and power systems.) This one fact, coupled with the inevitability of squabbling and compromise over nuclear power, could lead to the removal or neutering of the items calling for manned missions to Mars.
We should still throw behind this bill if we expect to get anything from it. But I have a grave fear that it will not be sufficient to take us to Mars.
CME ???
It is not currently possible to retrieve the Russian reactors that currently orbit the earth. These satellites have been placed in "doomsday orbits" that are quite high above the earth and will not decay for thousands of years.
Hmm... I wonder what the prospects are for an unmanned vehicle to rondezvous with and recover a satellite in high orbit? That is, after all, what we would be talking about in order to reclaim an already launched communications satellite.
Aren't the Progress modules used for the ISS capable of automated rondevous?
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Hello All.
Like the old Mir space station, the international space station Alpha has a limited planned operating lifetime, possibly followed by some unspecified mission extensions. After that, it?s expected to be de-orbited and splashed into the ocean ? destroyed.
Instead of discarding it, what would be required to retrofit it, convert it to function as an Aldrin-style Space Bus, and launch it on a cycling trajectory between Mars and Earth?
A lot, no doubt. NASA probably won?t put it up for grabs, even internally within the agency, until they?ve gotten all they can out of it. The limits of its operating lifetime are partly determined by degrading materials, all of which would have to be replaced for safe use far from Earth. Then there would be fuel, supplies, engines, etc. Still, it could be done. It would be a better fate than ending up as space junk, IMHO, and cost less than building a cycler from scratch.
Speaking of space junk, it stands to reason that there is a lot of useful salvage out there in orbit. For example, I hear there are two or three Russian-built nuclear reactors flying on satellites. If it?s so politically impractical to launch new ones, could these existing reactors in space be salvaged for a trip to Mars? Is their fuel expended, or were they shut down for other reasons? These alone could be worthwhile for a salvage mission.
Expended boosters are likely no longer usable as such, but may contain useful parts. And there?s all sorts of other equipment flying around up there that can no longer fulfill its primary mission but still retains some function.
Then there are fully functioning satellites. A working communications satellite could be purchased from its owners, recovered by a separate (much smaller) vehicle and launched to Mars without costly return to Earth. Certain designs should be sufficient for Mars-Earth relay as is. Other satellite designs, such as weather satellites, could also find favorable employ.
Perhaps a large part of the infrastructure we need to get to Mars is already up there, waiting for us to come back to it.
CME
PS: I don't know what would happen if Russia or the ESA wanted to sell its ISS components and NASA didn't, but I would not be adverse to finding out.
Hello All.
I suspect the ultimate development of burial practices in a Martian Society will be determined by the interplay of morals, laws, customs, and bureaucracy -- which are not the same things, but rather are four often competing influences.
If a society's laws run contrary to the morals and customs of a large enough faction of its population, resistance will occur. And the larger the faction, the more organized that resistance will be.
There is no absolute balance possible on an issue like this, just solutions that minimize the total resistance over time. A society might undertake a policy that risks phenomenal problems at first in order to find smooth sailing later on. Or it might take the path of least resistance, naively ignoring the possibility of later strife. But it is rare for social governments to deliberately prolong their own social strife indefinitely unless they ? and ?they? is usually a much small group than the society as a whole ? see some serious profit in it. Profit enough to afford bullet-proof limousines.
You may think of bureaucracy as a tool for enforcing laws, but any functioning bureaucracy has an entire internal structure devoted to allowing exceptions. Just because there?s a law that says Martians should ferment their dead, don?t imagine that the average bureaucratic government won?t find a way to allow a good cremation every now and then if that will grease the wheels with the anti-fermentation league.
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(* My previous message -- about how I'm always right about everything in the universe -- has been moved to a more appropriate forum. *)
Actually, Tom, the statement "If a rocket has twice the ISP of another rocket engine using the same reaction mass, that rocket has half the thrust or less" simplifies to
v.1 = 2 * v.2
m'.1 = m'.2
m'.1 * v.1 = 1/2 m'.2 * v.2
= 1/4 m'.1 * v.1
which is a false statement.
Oops!
CME
PS: I still stand by the rest of my rant... I think.
???
Hello Tom and Canth.
Tom, you wrote, discussing my earlier equations:
"It seems to me, just using F=m?v.e, that if you double the Isp with the same mass-flow rate, you double the thrust, since F is thrust, not P/F."
In this case, variable F represents thrust and variable P represents power. Thus, the ratio P/F represents Power devided by Thrust. I'm sorry if I did not make that clear. The ratio, however, is independent of the mass-flow rate.
As you point out, doubling the mass-flow rate doubles the power. However, it also doubles the amount of power required. (It has to. P/F = constant if v.e = constant.) Now, chemical rockets do this readily. Doubling the mass-flow rate in a chemical rocket _is_ doubling the power by definition. That's where their power comes from. On the other hand, a thermal rocket or some other design that requires an outside power source (solar panels, a nuclear reactor, etc.) suffers from increasing the mass flow rate because it has no inherent extra power to put in with it. Doubling the mass-flow requires doubling the power source. Otherwise, the exhaust velocity drops.
So, an ion rocket with an ISP of 25500s needs 60 times more power per Newton of thrust than a nuclear thermal rocket with a 410s ISP. Increasing the mass-flow rate won't change that.
Canth, it occurs to me that if a jet aircraft can't lift more than a certain amount, aerial refueling would have similar mass limits. The maximum amount a jet aircraft can keep airborne is pretty much the same regardless of when the weight gets added. I also suspect Zubrin's old Black Horse idea would decrease reliability compared to a straight shot. Launch from altitude does save a little energy and the Black Horse/Pioneer system allows for smaller tanks, so there is some advantage to it. I just don't know if it's enough to make it competitive with a fully fuelled launcher towed to altitude.
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Hello Lars.
If you would like to provide help with the Beanstalk, you can reach Allen Meece at:
He can probably tell you all sorts of things that need doing.
(The Beanstalkr@aol.com address you may find listed at the site is likely to be ignored due to excessive spam.)
Currently, IMHO, the project status is somewhere below "sure thing" and somewhere above "glorified research paper." The dynamics have all been largely worked out by Allen, myself and others -- it can work, and work well. However, we still have a pressing need for scale models (Allen's elevators, etc.), so that we can find the best ways to do things. At this point, we are still operating without funding, so we're having problems with some basic milestones: realistic market surveys, getting people to take us seriously enough to give us quotes, etc. There are also numerous engineering details that have yet to be settled, many of them only valid below the freezing point of propane.
However, despite remaining obstacles, I think that this can be done. For example, for less than US $3000000, a largely automated platform with a simple repeater station could be put up near San Juan and take cell phone calls from the Virgin Islands. And that's just one of the purposes you could use systems like this for. Anything a high altitude station-keeping aircraft can do, a stratospheric beanstalk can do, without a drop of fuel or even a single turn of a motor.
A beanstalk could even be made to launch orbital payloads. We estimate that the largest cargo one could carry on its way up is about 40T to 60T, large enough to carry small rockets like the old Scout series. The main limitation to cargo capacity is the effect of midlevel winds on the balloon, but if you can get one to work, you can get two or more. Thus, loads larger than 60T can be lifted. The ability to raise multiple beanstalks also means that a stable "tower" could be constructed to receive a descending space tether.
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Actually, Lars, try this one:
http://members.aol.com/beanstalkr/eleva … orclub.htm
This page is also accessible via the chart page by clicking on the blinking star in the middle of the chart.
The information here is incomplete. The site hasn't been updated much since most of the work results weren't posted to the web. But it should be enough to give the general idea.
As for stationkeeping, we opted not to use any for the initial incarnation, as guy lines are too heavy and a single tether will keep the platform inside a desirable radius. As for wires running up the tether for power, 25km of wire is ultimately quite massive, so we dropped that idea.
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What is the largest cargo a modern jet aircraft can carry to higher than 20km (65000ft)? It seems to me, if you were going to make a small RLV, it would be wise to start with a size that would could lift today.
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I did some work as a volunteer researcher/net-miner for Allen Meece?s Virtual Beanstalk Project,
members.aol.com/beanstalkr/project
and we discussed this very issue in some depth. He?s currently addressing the issue using models to simulate tether ascents in the lower atmosphere.
The ideas basically came down to various electric winches ? electric motors yield more torque at low speeds than other motors ? but we ultimately had to agree to disagree on the ultimate source of power for the motor. Allen favors solar electric because of its greater range and lower likelihood of breakdown. I preferred modifying good old-fashioned reciprocating gasoline generators to run on nitrous oxide, because they offer more power and no time pressure (i.e., they run at night). We didn?t touch the problem of dealing with more than a few millimeters variation in the size of the tether because it didn?t concern us; however, it will be a major problem for an ascent to orbit. Allen is also seriously considering the idea of using wind for lift in the lower troposphere.
I don't know about using towers to ascend to meet a descending tether, but we've given serious consideration to using balloons to do the same job.
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Hello Canth.
There are several goals enumerated in the act in question. Earth RLV?s, Mars RLV?s, Lunar surface-to-orbit RLV?s, OTV?s all around? (Sounds a bit like the old 90-day report they gave President Bush, Sr.? :[ ) So many, in fact, that I think it would basically leave us with the same circus of competing systems we have now, except the focus would change to high thrust propulsion systems.
As such, I personally think it?s bad legislation in its current form, but bills like this often get torn apart and reassembled a lot before their final fate is determined. Keep watching. The US Congress may yet rise above quiet desperation.
I think nuclear-electric propulsion is a wonderful idea for re-usable orbital craft. I prefer chemistry for my surface-to orbit propulsion on Earth, because it?s safer and can evolve more thrust than nuclear systems.
Question: If a nuclear thermal rocket had a meltdown in the Martian atmosphere, would there be as much damage from radioactive dispersal in the thinner air?
Hmm.
CME