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#776 Re: Human missions » The reason to go to mars - Going to mars is not a waste of money » 2005-05-04 22:32:39

Sure it will.

Try to build a colony ship were you have to launch all the HABs from Earth.

Now try with the body of the HABs build out of Lunar iron-nickle, or Titanium, (not to mention radiation shielded by lunar regolith) and now you only have to launch the internal furnishings. You'll cut the number of Earth launches significantly.

#777 Re: Human missions » The reason to go to mars - Going to mars is not a waste of money » 2005-05-04 21:53:28

Mars: To build a new human civillization.

Of course. Be we'll go broke trying to do that launching from earth.

#778 Re: Human missions » NASA DRM tested on the Moon? » 2005-05-04 21:03:58

I think we'd be better of working on a series of things that will work anywhere. After all, a HAB is a HAB, no matter if its in orbit, interplanetary space, the (m)Moon(s), or Mars. Landers built for Mars will work just as well on the (m)Moon(s). So will rovers.

Its just a manner of tweaking them to make best use of there surroundings.

#779 Re: Human missions » Some Corrective Lenses II - ...hmmm, another corrupt thread » 2005-05-04 20:31:40

NASA will never keep those engineers and scientists alive long enough unless they learn to live off the land and pay their bills.

They can, should, and must exploit the land enough to get what they need for themselves, and prove methods to the industy to follow.

If they can make something to soften the blow to tax payers and thus support more exploration, they should do that to.

#780 Re: Human missions » Some Corrective Lenses - For that "Vision" thing... » 2005-05-03 21:41:49

It is the bare minimum you could get away with to perform a manned mars mission.

#781 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV III - Continued from previous » 2005-05-03 21:18:32

If that half a Delta-IV SHLV shot is coming out of your surface payload budget, then it sure as heck is unreasonable.

A reuseable system doesn't make sense unless you really can make use of it and need it. If we're only sending a few manned missions a year, and no RLV on the Earth end or fuel supply on the Lunar end exsists, then you are still having to pay too much for your rocket fuel since it has to be launched on a big expendable. The cost for your rocket fuel will be so large compared to the cost of your vehicle, that you won't save any money, but you will wind up mortally crippling the performance of each mission.

The idea is to put all your pieces together in orbit first, hopefully through an automated process.

That way the "cost per mission" is just the cost of the launch of your fuel and your CEV.

So if we spend $2-3 billion to put together a reuseable "lunar shuttle", and launch 4 missions a year at a cost of $250 million (for launcher, fuel module, and CEV refit) each your already down to $500-750 million total cost per mission, which will continue to go down with each additional mission. Thats already cheaper than Apollo, and with time will be half the cost of the shuttle.

And consider that thats for Spiral 2 missions (4-15 days moonside). I figure well do those for a couple years untill we develope the base modules. At which point we can still use the above system to shuttle crews back and forth for Spiral 3 missions, were we may have the capability to create fuel on the spot, which will reduce our Earth launch costs.

#782 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV III - Continued from previous » 2005-05-03 19:28:47

LOX Factorys, base modules ect. should be sent up completely seperate.

Anyway, I don't know about you, but I don't think spending half of the 40mt payload of a Delta4 heavy on a fuel tank for a single mission all that unreasonable.

#783 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV III - Continued from previous » 2005-05-03 18:52:13

---------------------------------------------------------------------

"What remains is equipment for use on the Lunar surface"

Reuseability is a non-option here, at least not yet. The amount of fuel needed for the Lunar lander to be fully reuseable would hurt the payload too much, and you would have to carry even more fuel to get it back to Earth. The lander itself isn't the problem, they will be relativly inexpensive, and will be expendable. It really is absolutely paramount that the lander maximize payload, ideally we're talking a ~15-20MT range, if VSE is to accomplish anything more then Apollo already did. We aren't talking kilos here, I'm talking multiple tonnes of heavy equipment you would need to start a base without having to send a seperate cargo flight. NOT JUST VISIT!

Same deal with the transit (TLI) module. So much of its mass is fuel, that you are going to be sending up a big rocket anyway to refuel it, that you aren't saving much mass. Infact, the penalty for returning it from the Moon will make it even worse mass wise then simply throwing it away. The added cost of making it robust enough for multiple uses, power supply, guidence/control, etc versus a simple throw-away job doubly dooms this idea. Later, when we have RLVs, yes... but right now, payload mass is at an absolute premium, so reuseability is not an option.

Much the same with the logistics/TEI module. Keeping it would be nice, but refueling the thing on orbit would be difficult, and building it for just one shot is easier then building it and maintaining it to last multiple flights. Furthermore, if the capsule can be held to a low enough mass (~6-9MT) then the logistics/TEI stage and the crew capsule could (and should) ride together on the same launcher, saving you a flight... Cost and mass concerns asside, this is probobly nessesarry, since the capsule couldn't come back down without it unless it were equipped with its own OMS engines, which would add weight and risk.

No way Bill, no resueability... not yet. The penalty for getting all this stuff back to LEO is too high until fuel is available cheap. Like, RLV or Lunar-produced cheap. Until we can do that, we absolutely have to have maximum surface payload, which means no reuseability. The lander and TLI stage themselves aren't going to be that pricey, since they aren't really much more then Centaur upper stages. This "disposable fuel cartridge" is just a nice way of saying "don't worry about the mass" and passing the buck to the launch vehicle.

Well hell, if thats all were going to do we might as well call it Apollo 18.

By transit module I mean a larger life support hab so half the crew don't spend 3 days in hell staring at there fellow crewmates rear end like in that 5 man CM you provided. Its will most likely be inflatable.

And by lunar surface equipment I mean mostly hand tools, at most a rover. A rover doesn't need to be anymore advanced than a glorified ATV with a tows trailer.

The more that we have to throw away it the more money we have to spend for every mission, and the bigger rocket we'll need (aka more money).

I'd rather spend a little more money now so theres more less we have spend for every mission and more to spend for toys.

#784 Re: Human missions » Some Corrective Lenses - For that "Vision" thing... » 2005-05-03 17:40:10

Remind me not to bring a computer to the Moon house made of magnetic bricks.  big_smile

The biggest threat to the VSE is attention deficit disorder. We'll just get to the Moon and then try to run off to Mars, or we'll find Mars is hard and abandon it, or something.

We need to be established on the Moon now. Its relatively cheap to get to and is a treasure trove of thing that will make our further exploration efforts easier.

#785 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV III - Continued from previous » 2005-05-03 16:48:39

Well thats one team, and I hope the next one does better.

I'm looking at the popular mechanics piece, and the pic is a little better than the Space.com one. If anyone has a place to host it I can post it.

I'll give it two things. Its reusable and it can carry 6 people.

But otherwise I can't find any other redeeming values. A spaceplane is useless in this case. We already spend 6 months in the ISS and land in a Soyuz capsule, why would there be an issue after spending 3 months max in lunar gravity?

The propulsion module, transit module, and Lunar Access Module should all be reusable, a parked in a suitable orbit. That way the only thing we have to launch for each early lunar mission is the CEV capsule, and a disposable fuel module of variable sizes for various missions. That way we can land multiple times in a single go if we choose to. What remains is equipment for use on the Lunar surface. Perhapes it can be stored in compartments on the side of the transit module.

#786 Re: Not So Free Chat » May 1st ("May Day") Traditions » 2005-05-02 17:29:46

Thats the day we all wear red and parade our tanks down the street. big_smile

#787 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » What kind of social system will be on Mars » 2005-05-02 16:51:33

Those who live in glass houses should change their clothes in the basement.

#788 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » What kind of social system will be on Mars » 2005-04-30 19:59:36

Given that the traditional social welfare issues on Earth will be dwelt with on Mars as a simple manner of survival, theres no reason why everything else can't be traditional capitalism.

It will be a major selling point for settlement in space.

#789 Re: Interplanetary transportation » An operator-free reactor for Space - RAPID (Refueling by All Pins Integrated Design) » 2005-04-30 18:14:36

A reactor with a fully automated operational capability from startup to shutdown in order to ensure extremely high safety by eliminating human errors.

To er is human. To really screw things up, you need a computer.  big_smile

Joking aside, it looks impressive. Although I'm not sure how they intend to resupply on on the lunar surface.

Also, I'm a little nervous about anything not water cooled, having heard a lot about early Soviet sub reactors.

#790 Re: Human missions » NASA is screwed up. - I have no patience left :-( » 2005-04-30 18:06:13

But I can't say it often enough, building a cheap Earth-LEO infrastructure is the key for every long-term colonization effort.

Yes, mass production to bring the price down. Several nations are expressing an interest in the Moon. Just think if an Axis of Evil nation sent a man to the Moon. North Korea or Iran, to demonstrate their ability to strike anywhere on Earth. All of a sudden, military budgets would have a large space component.

You don't have to imagine. China is coming.

#791 Re: Human missions » Finally, a sensible solution to the Hubble debate - ... that we can all agree on...maybe. » 2005-04-30 17:52:17

If I'm not mistaken, the first one third scale Bigelow module is due to be tested by the end of the year.

While I'd love to see a fire lit under the butt of the development of these modules and give it the publicity it deserves, to do a sort of life boat mission for Hubble, the greater portion of such a mission would be the method to attach the module to the station, massive external gyroscopes to support the now dead weight of the Hubble and that of the station, rockets to maintain the orbit of the station, and of course the various needs of a station itself, like the solar panels, life support, external work areas and air lock, and probably a robotic arm.

A tall order in only a few year, and all of it based on a technology that few with the money to do it are willing to spend it.

And the biggest part of any private effort would be getting to this contraption they created. At best, the winner of Americas Challenge won't be ready to go untill after 2010, and I don't think it could make it to Hubbles current orbit anyway. Granted if we managed to do all the things mentioned above, changing the orbit shouldn't be a big problem.

It would more than likely need NASA funding, and as a result the cost would more than likely top the cost of a Shuttle mission. But would it be worth it? We'd be testing a number of handy technolgies needed for the VSE, ranging from the inflatable, to Zero g grappling, to station sized electric ion engines. The Hubbles life would basically be extended indefinately, opening up as many servicing missions as we care to do. And the science would continue, limited only by the size of the mirror.

The downside is even if we managed to put it together in time, the earliest servicing mission would be after 2010 when either the Americas chanellenge winner is sent up, if it can get there, or the CEV, if the project is funded by NASA. So there will still be a gap. And if NASA were to fund such a project there'd be no  chance the HOP would ever get off the ground. If the hubble itself as a design can withstand the changes needed to stay competeitive with technologies bound to come out, such as the wide angle part on the HOP is an open

#792 Re: Human missions » Finally, a sensible solution to the Hubble debate - ... that we can all agree on...maybe. » 2005-04-27 07:16:33

Heres the latests drivel proclaiming Griffin as Hubbles Savior...
http://www.space.com/adastra/adastra_gr … .html]NASA Chief Michael Griffin and Hubble

Among the insanities suggested are not only SM4 but SM5.  roll

Its "arguments"...

First, a shuttle servicing mission would be a concrete demonstration of the importance of humans in space exploration at a time when such a demonstration is needed. Simply put, a successful Hubble servicing mission at this point requires both people and robotic systems working together. A shuttle mission thus supports a central tenet of the Vision for Space Exploration: that we must send humans to explore the space frontier.

This is not exploration, its a repair mission that diverts funds from exploration.

Second, the public wants it. Here at the National Space Society, we have received innumerable pleas from our members to do what we can to "save Hubble." It has stirred some of the strongest feelings amongst the public that we have ever seen as advocates for space. Committing to a plan that the public manifestly desires will be to achieve a key recommendation of the Aldridge Commission: to periodically achieve successes related to space exploration that will buoy public support.

If the public collectively wants to jump off a cliff, should we let them?
Of course not. The public wants pretty pictures. The HOP will deliever prettier pictures for less money. If all choices were put on the table, the HOP would win. But the HOP doesn't get much publicity, does it?

Third, important Democratic leaders want the Hubble to be serviced. As many have noted, achievement of the Vision for Space Exploration will require bipartisan support long into the future. Sens. Barbara Mikulski (D-Md.) and Daniel Inouye (D-Hawaii) made their interest in Hubble explicitly clear during the administrator’s confirmation hearing. NASA and the space community must, where possible, seek to maintain bipartisan support for the vision. Such leaders also might be partners in allocating additional resources for such a mission.

No. Theres enought pork being handed out in Washinton as it is. Hubble huggers would have us reduce astronomy to the level of pork. Which is a disgrace.

Fourth, upgrading Hubble would enable it to continue its prodigious scientific productivity. At a time when there are questions from the science community about the president’s Vision for Space Exploration, preserving and extending the life of NASA’s most productive scientific instrument would be a strong sign that the vision will further science.

HOP does more science for less money. This is a no brainer. And these people are suppose to be sciencists afterall.

#793 Re: Life support systems » Dust, The health effects - danger to humans from both Moon and Mars » 2005-04-26 20:57:01

I'm not sure dust removal systems on the moon and Mars will be the same. In Mars we can used compressed Martian air to blow dust off. We won't have that option on the moon.

                 -- RobS

If we bake enough oxygen out of the soil, we could use that.

Just not in a confined area, or near sparks.

#794 Re: Not So Free Chat » "Sanitizing" Movies (DVD/VHS) » 2005-04-26 17:25:50

I have no problem with them toning down a movie, but they still need to kick back some profit to the orginial maker.

#795 Re: Life support systems » Protein Sources in First Colonies - An idea » 2005-04-23 16:55:42

Yeah, if that pans out a whole herd could be put to "sleep", put on a slow IV drip for norishment, and launched. If the crew gets hungery, they can wake one up and slaugher it.

Of course theres the not so small manner of getting these critters adapted to their new g when they wake up.

#796 Re: Life support systems » Protein Sources in First Colonies - An idea » 2005-04-23 10:13:50

Sounds like you found a good reason to get serious about hibernation research. Not for humans, as many have argued, but for farm animal breeding stock.

Embryos have been flash-frozen in liquid nitrogen, and later thawed; but adult animals never survive cryogenics. I saw a documentary about one researcher who cryogenically froze a hibernating ground squirrel. It was completely frozen solid; he knocked on its head with a spoon to demonstrate it was frozen. He was able to thaw and revive it, and it did walk around for a few minutes, but bled internally and died. The freezing process creates ice crystals that pierce cell walls, destroying them. The solution for an adult animal is hibernation, not cryogenics. Hibernation can last for months at a time; some species of ground squirrel hibernate from September to May. That's 8 months, more than the 6 months required to get to Mars. If you can induce a cow or pig to hibernate, it may wake up thin and hungry but you can feed it there. Body temperature during hibernation drops below 10°C, usually about 6°C but arctic ground squirrels drop to -3°C (they have natural antifreeze in their blood). One species of bird is known to hibernate, the common poorwill; but it isn't necessary to induce chickens to hibernate, just take fertilized eggs.

Before sending livestock make sure you have pressurized barns with pressure walls they can't pierce, and greenhouses to produce sufficient fodder.

Looks like all we need is http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/science/natu … m]Hydrogen Sulphide.

#797 Re: Civilization and Culture » Should a space station be a piece of Cultural art? - An abandoned Rover or cultural artifact? » 2005-04-22 22:34:01

They should feature whatever helps our intepid explorers be comfortable and accomplish their mission, in that order.

As for our unmanned probes, we should include apologies for the first radio signals to be transmitted from Earth... Hitler at the 36 Oylmpics.

#798 Re: Interplanetary transportation » New article » 2005-04-22 22:15:00

The EELV's today are by far from the end possible varient. The Delta-IV imparticularly has alot of growth headroom with only small changes @ it could reach payloads up to 50MT with standard three-core Aluminum construction. The single-core Atlas-V equipped with a heavier Centaur stage could perhaps launch the CEV with few or no SRMs either for maximum safety. I want to emphasize that these would be only variations on exsisting rockets, not derivitive vehicles, and thus would be relativly inexpensive and low-risk to develop versus SDV or any HLLV option.

I have no doubt that EELV's will cover us up through spiral 2. Its when we start longer term lunar missions, ones that require permenent surface installations, that I think we will need a HLLV. And I can't see us doing an all new HLLV program while doing spiral 2 lunar missions. The money probably won't be there. For that reason it makes for sense to hang on to the SDV, even if the launches are rare.

Their price is also a known quantity unlike SDV or clean-sheet so the fiscal risk of SDV with its legacy price-is-no-object Apollo infrastructure or make-work Shuttle Army.

We've been launching shuttles for 20 years, and your telling me we don't know how much it cost to refuel a set of SRBs, to build a ET, to build a set of shuttle engines that need to be replaced after a few missions? The only unknown is the cost of the cargo section itself, which will vary from launch to launch.

Thats far fewer unknowns that a rocket that only exists in computers.

Since SDV is too big for the USAF, NASA would be the sole buyer, and since SDV is so infrastructure-intensive to fly (crawler vs. truck, vertical vs. horizontal integration), opening a second SDV pad to inrease flight rate would be much more expensive probobly.

If I'm not mistaken, the USAF has been look for a way to quickly replace a number of satillites in wartime to replace losses. Theres nothing else out there that could potenially do that. Plus, if they ever get that kenetic energy penatrator they want, their not going to want a small magazine on it.

In short its in there best interest to have that capability, and there not going to get it on there own.

#799 Re: Not So Free Chat » Interstellar colonization - Finally, a destination » 2005-04-22 21:46:45

Instead of looking at random stars, why arn't we studying stars in order of their distance from earth? Just a pet peeve of mine.

In any case, if we can travel 41 light years, we can move the astroids to the most ideal place in the system and build massive space stations out of them. That system will be inhabited someday.

#800 Re: Life support systems » Protein Sources in First Colonies - An idea » 2005-04-22 20:29:56

Except you'd need a small armada of ships to grow food for your cow on the journey.  :;):

They have pigmey cows that could do the same with lower food requirement. Otherwise, I'd go with chickens, or maybe swine.

Frankly, if theres no bacon on Mars, I don't want to go.  big_smile

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