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#551 Re: Human missions » Look out! Buzz Aldrins got a plan... » 2005-11-14 14:10:27

You hit my point exactly.  The cycler is fine (if a bit expensive) it's the shuttle that makes the thing difficult.  It has to be cheap, very powerful, and light.  But of course as the adage goes you can only have two of those.  It has an exceedingly difficult job, it has to be able to match speed with the fast moving cycler very quickly (before it's limited life support runs out), so it must be very powerful.  The redevou demands some sort of high thrust engine, either chemical or as you say some nuclear thermal option.  Unfortuantly chemical's low thrust means it can't be light (though it might be cheapish) and nuclear option means it probably can't be cheap (though it might be lighter).

But after further consideration, I don't think a powered abort is realy possible either way.  To do a powered abort it has to carry a signifigant fraction of the TEI/TMI delta-V with it.  Even with a NTR this is still going to be A LOT of propelent, and it increases the mass which increases the amount of propelent necessary to catch the cycler in the first place.  Without some sort of VERY high ISP high thrust engine such as GCNR/NSWR/Orion I just don't think it is going to be possible.  However, none of these engines are going to be cheap either.  Without some other magical way to stop in space (and I am open to suggestions) the crew is going to be in it for the long hall.  And if you have to provide for that, you might as well go on and forget the cycler and send them in the shuttle in the first place.

Buzz seemed to think that the CEV launch, L1 refueling, and rendevou could be done in 10 days. That assumes a modification to the CEV to hold and support a crew of 8. I suspect the L1 refueling will involve a top off of consumables as well. The problem is that the CEV is not only going to bring fresh crews to the cycler, but bring a crew back to earth as well. I really can't see that happening in the CEV by itself.

A shuttle would require a sizable, though short term hab. A Bigelow or TransHab should be both light and cheap, and able to support a crew for a month or two. The the engine is more problematic. You would need a fuel shot, and a crewed shot or two every launch cycle. And the reactors would need to be swapped out every so often. We might be better off launching a fresh nuclear departure stage on a regular basis. Upon return to LEO, the Hab and supporting reusable hardware detach and the unencumbered nuclear components make a final burn to someplace far away from Earth. Mars would be harder. But since we'll be making regular cargo flights anyway adding an unfueled nuclear tug to the manifest wouldn't be too hard. And in the event something goes wrong its not so bad to have a fresh crew go around the loop as it is for a old crew to have to. This is dependent on the ability to bring Mars hydrogen to Mars orbit anyway

As for the difficulty of rendevou I don't think it's impossible to pull of, but it will be considerably more difficult than any we have done before.  The craft are going to be docking at a MUCH higher delta-v than we have ever done before.  While their relative delta-V's may no be that diffrent (on the other hand to save some propelent they might well be) the high delta-V makes errors in positioning much more critical.  An error is twice as big when you go twice as fast.

More critical however is the short and critical time frame to pull it off.  Unlike previous docking missions both craft are on a hyberbolic (or nearly hyberbolic) orbits, possibly diffrent ones which only intersect for a limited period of time.  Unlike the most previous rendevous missions there isn't an (realitivly) unlimited number of tries you can take before you do it.  There is a time window that must be delt with, either you meet it, or you fly into empty space, no fun.

But like you said rendevous is not the only reason you need some sort of abort option.  Any malfunction that prevents the docking will cause disaster.

There are many ways to swap crews should a regular docking fail. We could bring The CEV's we launched with, bring the shuttle within a few miles, undock, and try that way. Any cycler is bound to have multiple docks. Even a spacewalk is possible, as both craft are apt to have airlocks.

Another thing to keep in mind is cycler resupply. Even the most closed of closed loop LSSs are going to need resupply. Spare parts, finished experiments, fuel are all going to be needed. But thankfully these are unmanned, and could be done on the longer segments of the flight.

To me the cyler approach seems most like shooting someone out of a cannon to catch a ride on an airplane.  Not a very smart thing to do.

Sounds like an episode of Fear Factor. wink

Remember, we are talking about people who willingly strap themselves to things containing millions of pounds of high explosives.

#552 Re: Human missions » Look out! Buzz Aldrins got a plan... » 2005-11-13 20:17:59

The oddest part has to be the Semi-Cycler...

I don't know what he was smoking when he dreamed up the semi-cycler.

lol  lol

I know, he's probably going to punch me now.  tongue

#553 Re: Human missions » Look out! Buzz Aldrins got a plan... » 2005-11-13 20:16:11

@ Austin Stanley: Yeah, the deal breaker really is the shuttle. You need something with a lot of power to keep pace, and as a last resort, return to earth in short order. Nuclear Thermal perhaps?

Redevou shouldn't be all that hard though. We match orbit with things all the time. The biggest issue would we a malfuntioning docking bay. Now if we have to dock with a spinning ladder, thats another story.

#554 Re: Human missions » CEV Cargo and Crew Design Variations » 2005-11-12 21:14:21

The basic CEV design has lots potential. The core of a lunar lander, a Mars sample return lander, or basically anywhere else. Just depends on the attachment.

You could also expand the end of it into a Gemini shape to add more seats.

#555 Re: Human missions » Look out! Buzz Aldrins got a plan... » 2005-11-12 20:40:56

If you got the December 05 issue of Popular Mechanics, then you already know the details.

It features a cycler in permenent solar orbit of the most absurd shape you'll ever see. Picture a 2 step ladder spinning in space. It even has pressurized elevators to transport crew between the hab and the docks and reactor. It supports a crew of 8 for 5 months.

The oddest part has to be the Semi-Cycler. This thing makes regular trips as well, but its sole purpose seems to be to ferry crews between the cycler on the Mars end of its orbit, and Mars orbit. On the Earth end, the CEV is launched directly from earth to somewhere between the Earth and the Moon (I'm pretty sure they mean L1), were it refuels on lunar fuel. It then uses that fuel to meet the cycler. Why he needs something that goes all the way from the Earth to Mars to ferry people from Near Mars Space to Mars Orbit is beyond me.

Finally, the first mission lands on Phobos first to set up a base using by then tried and true lunar hardware to be used as a launch pad for the following missions to the surface. Phobos might have useful minerals, but unless it has fuel I see no reason to add it to the list of gravity wells we need to deal with that early on.

Overall I think he's on the right track, he just trips on every tie. He mentions setting up infrastructure, and making the Mars program politics-proof. Heres how he should have done it.

The cycler is a good idea, but its much too small. It needs to be able to support a much larger crew with the supporting greenhouses, labs, crew quarters, ect. A little closed loop ecosystem away from home. And I would perfer one shaped like a revoler, and not a ladder.

I don't know what he was smoking when he dreamed up the semi-cycler. If you need to shuttle people from the cycler to orbit, at either planet, have one at each planet. It can be much smaller and cheaper. It would also solve the most dangerous weakness I see in the mission, a failure to dock in Near Earth Space. A CEV drained of fuel and crammed with a crew it can't support is the worst thing that happen to a program. We are better off having a shuttle in LEO, or maybe lunar orbit. Some thing that can chase the cycler down if need be, and return under its own power. Same thing on the Mars side. Theres plenty of fuel on Mars. If we can expolit it on the moon we can on Mars.

Theres plenty of good reason to have an outpost in Mars orbit. But Phobos isn't the place to put it. If it were up to me I'd build an exact copy of the cycler and park it in Mars orbit. The perfect place to store landers, and fuel for your Shuttle. Plus you can grow and stockpile food on it. Its also a retreat in the event things go pear shaped on the surface.

I'll scan the article as soon as I get to my scanner.

#556 Re: Unmanned probes » Dawn - Vesta & Ceres orbiter » 2005-11-11 20:45:26

Dawn staff ordered to "stand down", preperation slowed, launch delayed

I hope this one eventually takes off. I've heard that Ceres has just as much water in it as the Earth does.

#557 Re: Not So Free Chat » Froggy's » 2005-11-09 22:40:21

LO
First, is a question : why 2 kids feared so much police that they endangered they lives to try to escape if police wasn't usualy very rough at arab native kids ?
It was first reported that these two kids where listed by police as usual delinquents which is absolutely false.
This added to the previous Mr Sarkozy (our equivalent for a State Secretary for inland security) speeches claiming he would "karcherize suburbs" set fire in the two boys district, teens interpretating the two deaths as the begining of the "karcherization" policy.

They didn't fear for their lives, they feared getting caught. A lot of suspects run cause they think they get away with it. They rarely do. And whats the average police officer going to think when a couple teens break out in a dead sprint?
Enless these kids have reason to fear for their lives when under arrests, or the police intentionally herded them into that substation, this is much ado about nothing, and these kids deserve a darwin award.

Feeling in youth is that police is above laws, be true or not. As an ordinary citizen, I have this feeling too, I've often seen police cars outpassing red traffic lights with no alarm sounds on, what means that they weren't in any state of emergency.
Police is supposed to respect laws, and traffic lights, by the way.

So that excuses the mass destruction of private property? A police car running a red light?

The Police "general survey services" say that there is no terrorist organization  behind these events, Ulemas and all muslim authorities published fatwas to condemn any act of violence against other peoples' and public goods, in vain.
Objectively, there is a police usual harassment at black and arab origin youth which is far enough to rise these kids wrath.

Right, because kids in 300 French towns, Belgium, and Germany, are all such buddies that they all risk serious jail time, injury, and when if police ever get their act together, death, to help each other burn stuff. And they all have such pride in their old countries that they abandoned them in search of a better life. And they love France so much that they are burning it down. Islam and their crappy situation are the only things unite them. And they figured out the connection. The riots are in defense of who they are, Muslim. If islamic extremists are not exploiting this now, they will.

In France, number of african or arab originated policemen as well as politicians is ridiculously weak compared with the rate of african and arab originated people in the population. This is a very heavy governmental fault.

No one will argue that. The question is how do you deal with. Do you allow the communities in question to police themselves? Try to buy them off with more wealth redistribution? Admit you don't want France to turn into Eurarabia and ship them someplace else?

#558 Re: Not So Free Chat » Which Korea published this? - North or South? » 2005-11-09 17:41:40

Do the North Korean (people) know what GPS is?

Oh and I don't feel like registering.

#559 Re: Not So Free Chat » Froggy's » 2005-11-09 17:33:56

I've been keeping an eye on this, and I must say its very disturbing because the "punishment" does not fit the "crime".

These people have been treated as second class citizens (in France) for 40 years, completely dependant on welfare, and they come completely inhinged because 2 idiots got themselves snapped? At least there was actual evidence of police brutality in the Roodney King case. The police didn't even touch these kids. The only way you can go nuts about this is if you think your kids are somehow above French law.

I'm sorry, but something else has got to be going on here. If you don't like government policy, economic, social, or otherwise, you don't just go around burning things. That You sit in front of Chiracs house and yell hell no we won't go, or something like that. These people are skipping steps.

Something more sinister is going on. Somehow these people, all over the country, at the same time, are getting the idea that this is going to help. And given the age and education level of these people, its not historical knowledge of the French love affair with the white flag. This isn't just boys being boys. You can guess who is using this non-event to stir up trouble.

#560 Re: Human missions » Fighting over the Moon » 2005-11-09 16:51:34

I suspect that there would be no war as the Idea of claiming a whole region is all well and good, as long as you can actually prove your claim and more importantly able to control it.

My space tank and squad of space marines says so.  tongue

There really needs to be a framework set in advance make sure that whatever comes from the Moon benefits those on the moon first, and they get a say in what goes on. The US settlement plan for the (then) Northwest Territories comes to mind.

#561 Re: Human missions » 4Frontiers » 2005-11-09 16:27:12

This reminds me of the Underpants Gnomes of South Park Lore.

I whole heartedly support 4Frontiers efforts to research, develop and design space mining equipment and methods. Someday someone will make a mint on it. But that day is at least a quarter to a half century away. These people will either never be heard from again, or will eventually stand with the Morgans, Vanderbuilts, Carnegies, Rockafellers, Fords, and Gates.

If they can survive that long, all power to them. Though I wouldn't base my business on something that is at the moment is completely dependent on the whims of the goverment and a seperate industry.

#562 Re: Human missions » NASA's Moon Mission » 2005-11-07 15:52:29

Reusable solid boosters are a definite possibility. The SRB formula is pretty simple based on aluminum and oxygen. You don't have air to worry about. Its relatively simple ballistics

But I would still want some control on landing, something you can’t get from solid boosters. There’s also the overhead. Is solid booster production and all it requires more expensive than splitting water or methane? Than shipping it up there? How far can we get on solids alone?

Of course this is a temporary solution until we can build roads or rails, which might not be as far a way as you’d think. A small fleet of orbiters are going to map the place in a very few years. We will be able to plot out rover paths years before anything ever lands. A single rover with what I believe was microwave emitter can bake roads as it goes. Then we can truck boosters wherever we want. Rails will come later when we can extract and smelt metals.

#563 Re: Human missions » NASA's Moon Mission » 2005-11-07 13:52:23

If there is ample sources of water on the poles, we are going to want to spead it around to enable base building elsewere on the surface to open up mineral resources. A cheap suborbital RLV full of harvested hydrogen can bring water to equatorial areas, and return with oxygen.

NASA seem unwilling to commit much to long term lunar planning. Most likely this is do to the uncertainty surrounding lunar water. They need to go full steam ahead regaurdless, because the same technology will open up other sources of water.

#564 Re: Human missions » Fighting over the Moon » 2005-11-04 20:01:45

Territorial dispute? On the moon? I just can't picture astronauts pushing each other around while yelling "Get off my moon!"

Indeed. True warfare in space will either make exploration impossible, or spark an arms race that will greatly speed it up.

I think don't think its every been an issue before, but if anyone so much as flicks a booger at our people up there, the gloves come off here on earth.

#565 Re: Human missions » Fighting over the Moon » 2005-11-04 19:27:55

If they shed their totalitarian & communist tendancies on their own, we work together.

If not, I think earth issues will ground them.

#566 Re: Human missions » Treating Space like the first trappers in history past » 2005-11-04 19:23:47

Never underestimate the enterprising human can do with enough duct tape. tongue

Early missions are going to be heavily scripted. Its a decade or two in when we have permenently manned bases and roving caravans of prospecting explorers going that I can really see the really pure exploration kicking in.

"That old tank has got to be here somewhere. I can feel it. 33 tons of pure aluminum calling my name." smile

#567 Re: Space Policy » Chinese Space Program? - What if they get there first » 2005-11-04 19:02:28

Well, in terms of a military threat, its no comparision. China already has ICBMs. The worst thing that may come out of this is MIRVs, and they are after them anyway.

But this is a direct challenge to US dominance of space, which is considered reason enough to keep the shuttle around long past its useful life. In terms of national pride and engineering prowess, this is a race we can not afford to loose. And as Gryp pointed out, the control of polar and equatorial areas, and high altitude sites are vital in terms of future developement.

The congressional subcommittees controlling NASA needs to take this very seriously.

#568 Re: Space Policy » Chinese Space Program? - What if they get there first » 2005-11-04 16:14:14

The race is on.

Good. Now if we only get those in power to see it. It took the powers at be how many years to figure out Osama ment business?

#569 Re: Human missions » NASA's Moon Mission » 2005-11-01 21:07:54

The legs could be designed to let the DM "hang" off them, allowing the hab part could be dropped off and dragged/rolled to the side, leaving just the AM propped up on the legs with a ladder going up.

#570 Re: Human missions » NASA's Moon Mission » 2005-11-01 19:24:03

Well I think you have hit on something with regards to reusuability of what gets left behind. I have also been wondering about other senerios with the LSAM moon lander. Since we leave the descent stage on the moon but return to lunar orbit with the crew ascent stage. The question I have is could we bring the fuel for the ascent stage and just a new descent stage for each repeat mission if the LSAM could be placed into a high enough orbit to keep it safe until we returned weeks, months or possibly a year later.

The accent stage at this point is probably not going to be built to last longer than the 2 weeks out, there, and back. The CEV can apparently stay in lunar orbit for 6 months, but I think that’s mostly a fuel issue.

I would love to see any number of steps taken to reduce the per mission costs of early missions. We are going to have the CEV by 2012, and at the rate the Shuttle is going the HLLV before that. We should take the time in the time in the intervening years leading up to 2018 to set the infrastructure in place to allow a sustained lunar campaign. Its only a matter of time before some Senator decides the current plan is too much like Apollo.

A reusable accent stage would free us from a massive HLLV launch every time we go. Decent stages could be launched 3-4(assuming 25 tons each and another 25 tons of supporting systems) at a time, completely fueled, in a shielded "magazine" module in lunar orbit at the cost of two launches (the magazine, and the tug to get them there). Plus both the tug, and the empty magazine could be used later. The accent stage could be stored in LEO.

The "trouble" is the service module can't take itself to lunar orbit as is, much less with the AM in tow. A tug, or TLI stage will still be needed, but since it no longer needs to haul as much cargo its weight and the fuel weight will be much lower. This will make a reusable TLI and fuel depot much more practical. Your moving 30-35tons (20ton CEV/SM + guestamated 10ton AM) per go instead of over 70. Now you get 3-4 missions for every fuel launch. So while your technically only down to .75 HLLV launches per mission, the work put into developing the side systems is well worth it. In fact in reality your probably only developing one system, the LEO fuel depot module. Its a huge empty tank with significant insulation and shielding to prevent boil off, along with some side tanks for recirculation what does. It’s also the ideal place to store your AM.

But you ask "what about the "magazine"? It's just Decent modules stacked on top of each other, with significant insulation and shielding to keep the fueled decent modules fueled. The very same significant insulation and shielding found on the LEO fuel depot module.

But you ask "what about the refueling tank for the fuel depot"? That’s just the huge empty tank gutted to last just long enough to get the fuel in the depot. The same one you made for the fuel depot, sans the significant insulation and shielding.

And I ask what was Skylab? A big empty fuel tank with significant insulation and shielding, and life support. The fuel depot module with added life support can be a huge solid hab, in LEO, on the moon, on the way to Mars, on Mars, ect.

I present a fourer.

Now if only we could design the decent module so they not destroyed when the AM takes off.

#571 Re: Unmanned probes » New Horizons - mission to Pluto and the Kupier belt » 2005-10-31 15:31:12

Why is Charon so... turquoise?

I still think it criminal that were sending something all the way to Pluto for the first time, only to fly right on by.

This only reenforces that.

#572 Re: Not So Free Chat » The Onion has a little fun with Mike Griffen » 2005-10-28 17:10:55

NASA Chief Under Fire For Personal Shuttle Use
NASA-Chief-C.article.jpg

October 26, 2005 | Issue 41•43

CAPE CANAVERAL, FL—NASA Administrator Michael Griffin has yet to respond to recent allegations that he used NASA space shuttles on as many as one dozen unauthorized outings to such destinations as New York City, the French Riviera, and his vacation home near Ketchum, ID.

A report issued Monday by NASA's Oversight Commission indicates a cumulative 1.8 million miles unaccounted for on the Atlantic, Discovery, and Endeavor shuttles. In addition, shuttle pilot James Kelly reported numerous occasions on which he found the pilot seat "adjusted for someone else."

The report also revealed that radio presets on the shuttles had been changed to receive various talk-radio stations from across the country, and that the cargo bays contained foreign items such as an old pair of sneakers, "aviator"-style sunshades, two empty Big Gulp Los Angeles Dodgers collector cups, and CDs that shuttle astronauts say are not theirs.

Griffin's apparent joyrides came to light last week, when sharp-eyed patrons at Georgia's Augusta National Golf Club spotted Discovery in the club's parking lot. Within hours, NASA employees began coming forward with their own observations.

"Every now and then on a Friday, Mr. Griffin would stop by Launch Complex 39B and say, 'Well, I'm off early today, taking the wife shopping on Fifth Avenue,' and I wouldn't think twice about it," said assistant fuel-cell technician Lawrence Clemmons. "But about half an hour later, the ground would shake, I'd hear this earsplitting roar from the pad, and then the shuttle would fly off."

"Sometimes I'd think, 'Hey, it looked like he had his overnight bag with him,'" continued Clemmons. "Then, on Monday, we'd get an e-mail from Mr. Griffin saying he was running behind, but he was just leaving Edwards Air Force Base and he'd be in soon."

Trajectory-optimization engineer Russ Holcum said he'd long suspected that Griffin "had an in" with the staff in Engineering and Fabrication. Said Holcum: "I figured he knew someone who cut him an extra set of keys or two."

Holcum added: "More than once, I heard him ask the Mission Control guys if they'd mind 'counting him down' on his way out before a long weekend."

In a press conference held Tuesday, NASA spokesperson Arjun Congrove apologized to taxpayers for the billions of dollars expended on the unauthorized missions.

"The shuttle costs an estimated $2 billion per launch, not counting delays and repairs, and for Mr. Griffin to use it to take his wife on luxury shopping trips to Europe is not appropriate," Congrove said. "We apologize to affected personnel at NASA, and to the good people of New York City whose homes were vaporized by Mr. Griffin's several unauthorized launches near LaGuardia Airport."

Griffin may face penalties ranging from dismissal to having his salary garnished for the next 376 years in order to pay for fuel.

lol

#573 Re: Human missions » Ichabod » 2005-10-28 15:52:05

I was under the impression that many peices required the specific skills of the shuttle arm. The truss and solar panels come to mind. Some of the other peices (ESAs Columbia, Japans Science Module) could be docked directly via a tug. Others could be  launched via cargo module and put together via ISS arm and space walk.

It is important to note however that no individual component is bigger than the Shuttles lifting power, so the stick (though Griffen says he'd rather not go that route), or even a Delta 4 heavy could in theory lift many of the peices. But each would require its own tug. It would seem to me that developing a single large tug who's cargo bay is closely based on the Shuttle bay launched via the Heavy SDV and put together with the help of the shuttle would be the most direct approach.

The agency is already pondering retiring one or more shuttles to save money between now and final retirement. Keeping one shuttle operational in storage for a few years and sending the others to museums is sure to save plenty of money. Enough to field the HLLV? Who knows.

Also, could more regular Soyuz or progress flights enable the ISS crew to to be upped to 3? An extra man up there, who was trained in advance for the gauntlet of ISS construction tasks could allow Soyuz contingencies in the event of a Shuttle heat shield failure

#574 Re: Human missions » Ichabod » 2005-10-27 11:42:04

The best application I can think of is to delay construction of the ISS untill the VSE HLLV is ready (start it now), ground the Shuttles and retire 2 and increase Progress supply missions to the ISS to pick up the slack. Once the HLLV is ready. Reactivate the remaining shuttle, launching with a crew of 3. Launch another 3 on a Soyuz, and have a spare Soyuz on the pad should the Shuttle be damaged on launch. Launch the remaining peices of the ISS en mass and stick them together in one marathon Shuttle mission.

#575 Re: Human missions » Lunar Carbon? » 2005-10-25 12:02:51

The article may have its base in military application but I can see it being used elsewhere.

Well now if we ever have to rescue humpbacks to save the Earth in the 23rd century... tongue

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