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#501 Re: Not So Free Chat » Spam » 2005-12-30 18:35:28

Just use web based email. That way you have to try real hard to get whatever the message is laced with.

#502 Re: Human missions » Private Space Tourism » 2005-12-30 15:16:01

Well, at least the lines will be short.

#503 Re: Human missions » Nasa Shuttle, ISS Woes & To-Mars » 2005-12-29 17:55:35

Thats 3 pressurized, at least 1 unpressurized, and 2 crewed CEV/CLV flights a year.

They could do all the cargo flights for a year with 1 CaLV.

On a side note, it seems the CEV SM on a CLV, or in some cases an uprated derivitive on a EELV, could launch and dock most of the remaining components.

#504 Re: Human missions » ESAS Report including » 2005-12-28 14:13:23

Acrobat Reader 7 seems to allow copy/paste.

#506 Re: Not So Free Chat » What I Hate About The United States » 2005-12-22 18:22:41

Agreed.

No one is allowed to win anymore. In business, in life, in war, in peace, in everything.

And its making us all losers.

#507 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Rights or Duties » 2005-12-22 18:09:32

Rights in the modern sense are a consern only to those who have air in their lungs, food in their bellys, and most importantly, time on their hands.

If someone doesn't mind the greenhouse, no one eats. If no one maintains the oxygen generator, no one breaths. And then no one has any time on their hands.

In short, only once the needs of the colony are reliably met will secondary rights be dealt with. The right to live is far harder to earn on Mars. Even on Earth things go to hell in a hand basket when the most basic needs are not met. In an environment were were everyone is dependant on each other just to survive, ones duty to their job is of paramount importance.

#509 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Manned Missions To Jupiter » 2005-12-21 20:52:36

Yeah but its not just going to scatter evenly around the universe. Its going to go were whatever forces send it. Enless that means directly into the atmosphere, that means its going to float around somewhere in abnormally high concentrations.

In any event, heres Nasa's Human Outer Planet Exploration (HOPE) Mission plan to Callisto info someone mentioned: PDF (3.1MB)

Its seems like a good plan for what it sets out to do. But if you going all that way, you aught to take the time to find ways to open up the rest of the Jovian system to human exploration by testing various methods of radiation shielding.

#510 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Manned Missions To Jupiter » 2005-12-21 20:10:19

Hydrogen plasmas will rapidly cool in space and reform molecular Hydrogen too.

eek13.gif
Does that mean there is going to be clouds of hydrogen were ever we fire one of these off?

#511 Re: Human missions » Spacesuits - personal spaceship » 2005-12-21 11:23:58

An upgraded space suit would involve heat resistance and anti-radiation technology, bulletproof materials and robot mechanisms, Kyodo said.

Wonder if it will look like something out of Gundam Wing.  wink

#512 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-14 12:25:39

"Colonization" is only possible on worlds that have all elements needed for life available and all bulk elements for industry, the world must also not have chemicals in its environment that are readily dangerous, and also have physical conditions that humans can live in indefinatly without excessive artifical support.

Basically, to have a colony there must be sufficent reasources for essentially unlimited population and industrial growth without overwhelming demands for the average colonist: health, economic, and so on.

The Moon...:

lol
By that standard the Earth itself would not be suitable for human colonization.

Just as resources are not neatly and evenly distrbuted on Earth, nor are they in space. Sometimes you got to travel a little and sweat a little to get them.

We need to start thinking of space as a place, instead of little peices of it as place.

#513 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-13 21:24:44

At our current level of technology human exploration of the solar system will be motorhome, propane tank, and tv dinner style.

Assuming for the sake of arguement that this were actually true, without a bunch of people out there munching on their proverbial TV dinners in their proverbial RVs (and happy to do it I might add), what reason would we have to improve our current level of manned space flight technology?

#514 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-11 20:29:33

It absolutely does not, and with cheap launch from Earth, it loses very very badly.

Which is were, exactly?

We've toyed with several methods over the last decade or two, and canceled all of them. We've finally decided to hell with it and are going for bulk. Alt Space hasn't come up with anything yet. A RLV is is no wheres near NASAs drawing board, so its at least 30 years away, and even then is unlikely to have the weight or volume of the standard rocket, and a space elevator at least 50 years after that.

Enless we start pumping out HLVs by the thousands, there is no such thing as cheap Earth launch.

#515 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-11 19:41:20

Yeah, just like X,Y, or Z is "the one true religion®".  wink

Calm down, a difference in opinion over the role the Moon in the grand scheme of things has nothing to do with whats realisitic, and everything to do with what you want to accomplish.

There is nothing wrong with searching for a gravity well thats easier to get out of, and using it to save money on launch as long as you intend to launch enough to justify the cost of the infrastructure.

On the other hand, considering the politics involved, its hard to make that garentee. The way around that is private interests, and which will get you there quicker.

Given the cost of access, the Moon wins.

#516 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-08 19:04:50

A railgun to shoot Lunar ore or Aluminum ingots out to a Lagrange point makes no sense... how are you going to aim the thing if its many miles long? How are you going to stop and collect the material when it gets there? How are you going to power the thing? How are you going to smelt and mill the metal into useful parts on a space station of reasonable size? How are you going to move enough metal during the short "firing window" without becoming too big? ...And most of all, how could you possibly compete with a factory on Earth paired with a low-cost launch method? (that last one is a rhetorical question, you can't)

You don't aim it. You put a basket in front of it. Or send it with its own means of maintaining its orbit while still reducing the amount of fuel required to launch it. Although in theory you could building a big turn table in center of a large crater and put extentions every few degrees on the craters rim, effectively putting it in whatever orbit you want.

Back to the basket. A space station in geostationary Lunar orbit would be placed so that it recieves the bundles of material just as the force from launch is being overcome by lunar gravity. In otherwords from the stations prospective the cargo would hardly be moving at all. A large semi ridgid cone would absorb the little remaining impact and capture the material, and pull it inside for whatever processing it requires. The size and weight of the object would dictate how much juice to give it on the ground to reach the required trajectory.

Lunar factories are still a long ways off, and admittedly its going to be some time before were going to be able "export" large amounts of anything. But you underestimate what even small teams of what we would call on earth craftsmen working in small workshops can create. The amount of minerals that are going to pile up outside even the smallest lunar base from oxygen will literally demand that something productive be done with it, if for no other reason than the rover assigned to gather oxygen bearing regolith can't get around it! Basic smelters capable of churning out pure iron, aluminum, titianium, and other materials can be used for everything from structural beams to rover frames with simple tools that you can put in your very own garage. And everything that can be produced there is one less thing that needs to be launched from earth.

And the best thing is that it will all be of simpler to build and of higher quality because it doesn't have to endure a violent launch from earth while being similtaniously be light enough for launch.

There is just no way to compete with a factory on Earth that can make prefabricated "kit" sections right here on the ground where its easy. The cost of launching parts from Earth will never, ever come close to the cost of an orbital or Lunar rocket factory with a low-cost launch method (true RLV, space elevator) reguardless how you get stuff off the Moon. Its just so much easier to build the parts here on Earth with our preexsisting industrial base, ready supply of materials, and "everywhere shirtsleeve" environment. Period, end quote, full stop.

Only if you don't mind a $200 million surcharge on everything. The only route to truely bring launch cost down, barring a major advance in launch technology, is to reduce the force required to do it. And you can't find that here.

Asteroid mining is the next best thing to impossible, you can't effectively drill or saw without large downforce, which you can't get easily. And when you do cut up the asteroid, how do you refine the resulting ore without gravity? A spinning space station attached to an already spinning asteroid (they do spin you know) is a recipe for trouble. You can't use solar power either, which means you will need a VERY big nuclear plant to smelt the ore, and it won't come cheap. The combination of natural multi-axis spin (the bane of space farers) and low-but-not-zero gravity of the asteroid would make landing/launching from it very difficult too, just as the Japanese with their probe.

Asteroids are tricky. First you'd have to stablize its orbit. To mine it, the best way I can think of is to bring in scaffolds to put around it, and then firmly attach the scaffold to the asteroid, giving you something to lean against as you dig in.

That would only be practical with small asteroids though, which isn't by itself bad. Theres lots of them, and its saves the bigger ones (> 1km in diameter) for habitation.

#517 Re: Human missions » Nasa Shuttle, ISS Woes & To-Mars » 2005-12-08 17:23:34

-He still adheres to his false and fraudulent view that the O'Keefe Moon plan was not possible, even though it is similar to the VSE plan, except with more docking events.

Not impossible, but pretty silly. Using 4+ EELVs makes little sense, and gives you little room for expansion. Plus your cost will probably be higher.

-The big HLLV can only carry 125MT with the EDS stage acting as an upper stage, and that only to equatorial orbit. Since this stage should be as "dumb" as possible, this would necessitate an even more complex tug vehicle to deliver modules. Without the expensive EDS stage with its support hardware and launching to the ISS orbit, the HLLV could probably only carry ~70MT. With ~20MT of that taken up by the tug and payload cradle that means only two modules can be launched at a time. The HLLV could only fit two or three modules by volume anyway, so this is not a huge loss.

There is no need for a modified EDS for ISS construction duty to be smart. All it has to do launch the modules to close proximity to the ISS. It’s not like were going to dock the modules with the tug. I'm assuming a shuttle will be there to pluck modules off the tugs and put them on the station. We will loss some mass by sending it to the ISS orbit with a substantial payload cradle, but should regain a good percentage of it by no longer needing the fuel to go to the moon, which is at least half the 125tons in a lunar mission.

-The ISS is indeed a time-sensitive project. The station is getting old, and the probability that it will be viable for more than another decade is not very good. It will take NASA several years to build the HLLV or the CEV, during which time the ISS will have no heavy cargo support. With two modules launched per HLLV, then that really won't get the station done much quicker.

The ISS is at this time intended to be retired in 2017. If MIR is any indication it can safely go beyond that, less safe well beyond that. Between all the resupply going to it I wouldn't be surprised to see it in orbit for another 2 decades.

Between now and completion, if we go the HLV route, we can stand down one shuttle completely and slow preparation on the other 2 to nearly a halt, and pay the Russians to launch a Progress once a month. Between them and the ATVs starting in 2007, that should be more than enough to keep the gears oiled.

After completion if we do it right it can be done very cheaply as far as the US is concerned. Develop one of those HLV cargo modules I mentioned in the other thread. Assume it costs a half billion a piece. Use a 6 man CEV for crew exchange. Split the cost of the logistics module and the CEV launch 6 ways and make anyone who wants to stay for 6 months pay their share.

Switching to Methane for the EDS isn't practical, maximum Isp is absolutely essential, and the extra weight of Methane would require more significant external tank modifications.

If we actually lose a flight to boil off you can be sure something will be done. I would prefer a reusable EDS stage anyway. It makes sense if you consider one of our primary non-science goals is to exploit Lunar LOX. We are already sacrificing by using a methane based rockets which makes whatever water we find on the moon good only for drinking. Sacrificing a little mass for a heavier reusable tug that will save us money in the long run makes just as much sense.

-Direct launch/landing is terribly inefficient since you have to lift the Earth-return fuel from the Lunar surface into Lunar orbit, which more than offsets the mass of a dedicated accent vehicle. Methane made from crew waste will be trivially small too, Bob just threw that it in to sound good.

I am not sold on his direct launch landing, but I don't like having to pay for a separate accent module. It is identical to the CEV in nearly every way. It would make more sense to swap out the accent module for a CEV, and swap out the Service Module for a beefed up accent engine to deal with the minimal weight difference. With time and work in some other areas it could be reusable.

#518 Re: Human missions » Nasa Shuttle, ISS Woes & To-Mars » 2005-12-08 10:46:47

Zubrin's Latest

He proposes, as I have, using the HLV to launch the remaining ISS components. But he seems to want to do it without the Shuttle, which I don't think is possible.

He also points out the weakness in launching a TLI stage using cryogenic fuels. I wonder if methane, the fuel used in the CEV that allows it to be useable for up to 6 months, would be a viable choice for the 2nd/TLI stage. It would probably require a different rocket.

Finally, he still hasn't managed to mentally seperate the important mission of orbital optical astronomy, and the Hubble.

#519 Re: Human missions » Nasa Shuttle, ISS Woes & To-Mars » 2005-12-08 10:26:36

Perhaps offering a seat or two to the Chinese will hold them back as much as it has held us back.

#520 Re: Human missions » Mars Base Designed (Children/UN) » 2005-12-07 21:32:18

Well thats because at the moment there is no power it it. You can be sure the moment we decide to do anything big up there this committee will be dragged in front of the General Assembly for questioning, and try to control it.

And there are people in America who would go along with that, cause, well, wrong forum.

#521 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-07 21:04:18

Commodore:  I know we've discussed the lunar mass driver before.  I can't remember the exact details but I believe your electromagnetic launcher has to be miles long in order to build up enough speed to escape the moon.

Wouldn't a lunar space elevator be better?

An elevator would be best for things that do not take kindly to high acceleration or high gs. After a year on 1/6g I don't think I'd put crews through a sudden high g ride. But for dead weight its the ideal solution, at least untill an elevator is up. Its relatively simple to contruct and could be done pretty early on.

The trouble with the elevator is it would require an anchor. You'll spend decades launching enough mass from Earth to do it. An effort to bring one anywhere near earth would have to be a highly controlled and extremely difficult under any circumstance. One could agrue you would need the moon with mass drivers to launch either the mass, or perhapes the fuel to propell it, if thats even possible. Certainly a worthy goal, but something that would not be needed right off to acheive other goals, and would be easier if we do other things first.

#522 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-07 17:54:05

The best reasoning for creating self sustaining bases off world is to provide an example for creating a civilization less dependant on environmental issues. Space based agriculture will lead the way in recreating earth based agriculture to be less dependant on fragile climactic changes. I hate to bring global warming into what is already a mud slinging fest, but its the reason. Global warming or cooling will happen no matter if we burn fossil fuels or not, because its happened before.

By the way Tristar, your missing link and the best way to exploit lunar minerals is with a mass driver. That way you can cheaply collect resources without the trouble of zero g mining, shoot it off the surface cheaply, and construct objects in in zero g with ease. Its much easier that launching with rockets, and almost infinately scalable. Parts of huge spacecraft could be prefabed on the surface, launched and put together much like huge oceangoing ships are today.

#523 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-06 23:44:05

Dook, please don't every bring religion as a debate topic on a science forum.  One, there is no way to prove religion is true via scientific ways.  Two, religion and science have been clashing for the past 500-600 years.  Three, there is no way to prove God created the Earth and if you think the Earth is so beautiful, go to LA, Louisiana, or SE Asia and see for yourself.  We are killing the Earth.  Maybe that's an incentive to go find another habitable planet.

Now now, realistic science can't debunk God, nor can realistic theology debunk science, because they each serve one half of human curiousity, the how and the why respectively.

I believe we are talking about both the how and the why here in terms of eploration and colonisation.

#524 Re: Human missions » What should be the focus of human space society/exploration? » 2005-12-06 23:37:30

What about a big disposable HLV module stuffed with all the supplies needed for a year or more. It would seem to be cheaper than launching several cargo CEVs,
Progresses, or ATVs per year, and the cost would be far less than even a shuttle launch.

Being basically a big tank, and not requiring much in the way of shielding since its not really going to lived in (it doesn't even need life support, just be pressurized, the respirators by the door). Contraction/expansion issues should be limited, its only got to last about a year. It would dock in the same manner as the shuttle. Basically a big pantry, or storage shed, garbage truck at the end of its life, and if provided with fuel its second stage could provide orbital boosting, though that could cause structural issues..

It would eventually form the basis for the horizontal hab modules needed for bases. Real ones would have much better shielding, be strengthened (so it can be buried for radiatoin protection), and landing apperadi and a rudimentary method of surface locomotion (just wheels, so they can be towed next to each other and attached), one destined Mars would have a heat shield. One destined for the ISS could be equiped with a deployable heat shield to get an idea of how a Mars entery would go.

#525 Re: Human missions » Mars Base Designed (Children/UN) » 2005-12-06 22:45:36

I'm not opposed a world governing body that musters the resources of member states to explore and colonize.

But the UN is farce. Even its name is a joke, the only thing the delegates are united in is contempt for New York State traffic laws.

The UN needs to be disbanded and the democracies of the world get together and set up a federal style democratic body to sort out common issues. If others want to join they got to work for it.

But this isn't the place for this kind of politics.

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