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Cindy:-
If you'd listened for years to all the reports I've transcribed of all the disturbed people out there (let alone the outright mentally ill on medications)...
Yes, I certainly see the sense in that argument. Sometimes I wonder just what percentage of humanity is certifiably nuts! And when I think of some of the 'head cases' I've met over the years, imagining them all with guns is definitely an unpleasant thought. :shock:
Reddragon:-
While I do not propose denying people the right to keep and bear arms, I think that if we all carried weopons all the time, we would go back to the age of "gentlemen" dueling over an insult.
Yeah, and that's just the "gentlemen"!
What about the "ladies"? I've met quite a few "ladies" over the years, too! :?
And I don't think many "ladies" or "gentlemen" these days would trouble themselves to politely arrange a duel at dawn, either. A few well-chosen profanities and a quick bullet through the head is much more like it.
Hmmm, I'd better be careful here. I'm starting to sound like the anti-gun lobby!
[Must stop seeing both sides of an argument .. gets too confusing .. ]
Trebuchet:-
Honestly... just make it a bit longer and drag the end on Earth someplace a bit more defensible. The thing is 25,000 miles long, more or less, a comparatively little curve near the end probably won't throw things off, right?
I think I normally agree with most of what you say, Treb.
But I don't believe curving the bottom of the SE cable off-equator will work. To be commercially viable, I think the cable will have to have a lot of traffic on it, going up and down simultaneously. To support that kind of tonnage, it will have to be under considerable tension - provided by ensuring the centre of gravity is somewhat above geosynchronous.
-- The cable will be very taut. As I see it, no curves will be possible.
CC:-
Or as the bumper sticker says, guns cause crime like flies cause garbage
Cindy:-
Why not Castor for the other one?
Good point - the "Heavenly Twins". Makes sense to me.
GCNR:-
... okay, now can they make about 800 tonnes of it?
There's no doubt in my mind that they'll be producing thousands of tonnes of it in just a few years. The uses for material like this are limited only by the imagination and things will start leapfrogging as currently manufactured CNTs are incoporated into commercial products, creating markets for ever-longer and purer CNTs. The evolving market demand will then spur more research and development, and so on and so forth. "Where there's a buck, there's a way"!
-- The beauty of the CNT is that it isn't all-or-nothing. There are applications for the technology at each stage of its development and that spells success for Space Elevator grade material in the not-too-distant future.
Of course, whether or not Space Elevators themselves can be made to pay their way is an all together different point. There was a discussion about that very point here at New Mars about 2 years ago but I can't remember if a consensus of opinion was ever reached or not. I know some people were very doubtful that enough paying customers could be found to justify the $5-10 billion cost of setting up an elevator, with all its associated infrastructure. Having to place the ground station in the South Pacific Ocean, west of South America, for various reasons including storm frequency and terrorism, didn't help much. I suppose it would be much more convenient if the equator ran through Dallas or Denver or Cairns, or some such place!
GCNR:-
-The tubes must be longer, preferably of arbitrary length (like centimeters), which right now they are only a fraction of this length.
In fact, a 4cm-long single-wall carbon nanotube was grown in September last year. (http://www.lanl.gov/news/releases/archive/04-076.shtml)
-- Things are moving along very quickly. Sometimes it's a job to keep up.
[P.S. I love your sig.! ]
Reddragon:-
But I suspect that strong enough nanotube cables will be available eventually, probably soon. The technology is still developing and there is still plenty of room for improvement.
I agree.
This stuff is very exciting but I don't know why everyone is so surprised. Once carbon nanotubes were invented (or should I say discovered), it was only ever going to be an engineering development problem between us and a viable Space Elevator cable material.
-- I'm on record as saying I think a viable cable will come sooner rather than later and news like this does nothing to change my mind.
GCNR:-
This is still a loooong long way from making a practical space elevator material
Oh, and its pitch-black opaque, so you can't make greenhouses with it.
Tsk, tsk, GCNR.
I think your ingrained 'bah-humbug' pessimism is showing!
Cindy:-
I'm not opposed to gun ownership (my father had two shotguns, my husband has a pistol and a shotgun), but if we "have to" arm everyone then you're implying (which sort of scares me) that the overall crime issue is so terribly out of control...
Hmmm. Well, I happen to feel that the "crime issue" is out of control, at least here in Australia. The reason for it is the illicit drugs problem.
-- I happen to espouse the notion that the tendrils of the drug business reach far and wide, into the law enforcement organizations and even into government. I have a friend, an ex-politician, who was a Minister in State Parliament, who has told me he reported specific drug crimes to the Police Commissioner's office in his state some years ago. My friend had his and his family's life threatened and his property damaged as a result. What he'd told the Commissioner's office had been reported directly to the drug gangs because those 'tendrils' I'm telling you about had reached and infiltrated that office!
-- Now, it seems very likely to me that if the Police Commissioner's office was implicated in the drug business, then echelons higher up still were probably involved .. and probably still are.
I firmly believe that this is the reason the drug problem, with all its criminal ramifications, will never be solved. There are far too many people 'on the take' at all levels of law enforcement and government. I don't know what goes on in the U.S. but I'd be very surprised if it's not exactly the same there.
-- It's estimated that 90% of all crime in Australia is drug related. If you took away the drug problem, we'd be back to the much lower crime rates of the 1950s, when people in my home town could leave their cars and houses unlocked with a better than 99% chance they wouldn't be robbed or burgled.
So yes, I think the crime issue is very much out of control and the honest police, assuming there are some left, are physically unable to deal with all the crime we're faced with. Every day here in Australia, innocent people are subjected to appalling violence and the law courts hand down laughable sentences - usually community service or suspended sentences.
-- Makes me wonder if elements of the judiciary are also 'on the take'.
There are places here in my country where it seems like madness not to own a gun. And yet, the politicians and the judiciary have gradually seen to it that ordinary law-abiding citizens have no chance of ever being able to get hold of one. Sometimes I wonder what the real reasons are. :?
... (my father had two shotguns, my husband has a pistol and a shotgun), ..
That would be illegal here in Australia in an urban environment. However bad the restrictions on personal liberty are in America, believe me, they are much worse here. Only the criminals have guns in Australia.
-- We never needed them at all until the drug problem started. Now, we're not allowed to have them to defend ourselves. Interesting, isn't it?
[:: EDIT :: This post was edited by me about an hour after the original version was posted. I altered some references to certain people, which, in retrospect, I thought were too specific and explicit. The main points of the original post remain intact.]
Rik:-
How's the weather there? (esp. the islands)
The Cape York Peninsula has two seasons ... the wet and the dry! In other words it's tropical.
-- It's prone to cyclones, of course, but Florida is prone to hurricanes and is a lot further from the equator (more expensive launches).
Of course, Australian politicians may yet be able to claim that they've been hanging off on development of a spaceport on the Cape because they had such faith in the Space Elevator!!! ...
-- If the SE is built in about 12 years time, equatorial sites will be at a premium and Cape York will be an 'also ran'.
-- We'll see!
In the meantime, I think this thread has wandered quite a long way off topic. And I suspect it's mainly my fault. Sorry! :oops:
Cindy:-
More defrosting. Looks like the snowplow's been out again.
Hey, would carbon dioxide frost burn like dry ice if you touched it?
That picture reminds me of wood grain.
And yes, I think CO2 frost would burn you. Dry ice is just solid CO2, after all. The only difference would be the consistency of the frost, which I imagine would be fluffier. :?:
Cindy:-
Wouldn't the thickness difference be in proportion to the width difference?
Maybe someone better at math than I could calculate that difference.
Hmmm. Well, they say the rings are 250,000 kms wide and would squish down to 100 kms if they were solid. i.e. 2,500 times narrower.
-- The thickness is said to be:-
.. actually quite thin, less than a mile (1.5 kilometers).
Let's say the thickness is 1 km, just roughly.
-- Thus, if the reducing ratio is the same for the thickness as it is for the width, we would expect the thickness of the rings to reduce down to 1 km divided by 2,500.
-- This is equal to 0.0004 km, or 0.4 of a metre, or 40 cms.
-- In plain American English, that's a little less than 16 inches! :shock:
-- Amazing that something so beautiful and so clearly obvious from so far away has so little substance. :!:
CC:-
Maybe the new TSA director has figured it out. Screening for tiny little cutting implements totally misses the point and may actually be detrimental to security.
I'll be handing out knives and throwing stars to passengers as they board. Have a safe flight.
More good points from CC.
Reminds me once again of the town in America somewhere, the name of which escapes me, in which everyone 18 years old (or 21?) and over is required to own a gun and to have completed an approved course of instruction in how to use it.
-- Result: A virtually crime-free town. Every crook knows there's at least one gun in every home .. and a person who knows how to use it!
-- Should be more of it. 8)
Spacenut:-
Good space port location but who owns the land and how many acres are there?
It's 137,000 square kilometres (~53,000 square miles), depending where you draw its southern boundary. Some place that boundary just north of Cairns, which makes its area 200,000 square kilometres - or about the size of Great Britain.
-- Most of it is wilderness and the population is roughly 18,000 - mostly concentrated in the three largest towns of Thursday Island, Weipa, and Cooktown.
Here's a map:-
There are large tracts owned by aboriginal tribes and the conservation movement sees the place as a battleground but there are still vast areas where a spaceport could be constructed without having any significant impact on the overall environment, in my opinion.
-- And half of it is within 15 degrees of the equator - a huge advantage for rocket launches.
All we need is the political will .. politicians who can see further than the next election (precious few of them in this country!) :?
Questionable:-
Or did I get all exited about a hox email?
Yes. It was a hoax.
Mark :-
..i just find these bits of history interesting.
Yes. So do I!
Thanks, Mark.
Rik:-
Maybe that's got something to do with Australia's science/space politics?
Yeah, I think you're right about that. The overwhelming majority of Australian politicians wouldn't have the foggiest notion about anything to do with space or science.
-- We've got Cape York Peninsula, which is practically perfect for a spaceport because it's so close to the equator, but nobody has the vision to get on with it.
-- But how do you get the politicians to wake up to the future in space unless the electorate wants it to happen? And the electorate will never see the value in it as long as the damned media either disseminate BS about it (as in the above article) or treat it as a joke. It's a classic 'chicken-and-egg' conundrum.
-- Sheesh!!
A very interesting post, Grypd.
Although I suspect there'd be some economists who could find problems with over 1 million East Europeans arriving in Britain for short-term employment. (What effect does it have on the housing market, for example?)
Personally, I don't have a problem with free movement of people between countries, as long as it's within reason. Even long-term migration is fine if a country's infrastructure and economy can take the short-term stresses which may occur in the first stages of such movement. i.e. "Everything in moderation".
Your post addresses the 'ordinary' difficulties involved in such transference of human resources, together with the 'ordinary' problems of how family-friendly you want your working week, etc.
-- There's no question of any fundamental changes and difficulties because the people you're talking about don't necessarily have strong religious beliefs which affect their whole view of government and everything else.
-- When hardline religious zealots are involved, and this includes creationists/evangelists as well as Muslims, the democratic way a country is run could quite conceivably be endangered if the population of such people reaches 50% of the total. That was my point.
-- I admit the point is hypothetical at present but there's nothing to say it won't become very real in coming decades and I was merely trying to find a viable way to avoid it. (And so far I haven't heard a solution I would describe as realistic.)
That's all!
Cindy:-
*Can I make an exception to wish a happy birthday to a non-NM member?
As far as I'm concerned you sure can!
They sound like they were both wonderful people. Thanks for sharing.
CC:-
"Plate" I answer. "License plate." After that everything was cool, though I've never heard anyone else refer to it as a "tab."
Yeah, confusing. I've never heard of 'tab' used in that sense either. Here in Oz, we tend to call 'em 'number plates' rather than 'licence plates', but we're so used to American T.V. shows we wouldn't even blink at the American term.
[Note your use of 'license' and my use of 'licence', though. I was brought up with the idea that 'licence' is a noun: "Here's your licence", and that 'license' is a verb: "Passing this test will license you to drive". (In the same vein as 'advice' and 'advise') Ah well, just another local peculiarity! ]
Cindy:-
An example: "I'll be there Wednesday week."
This is a commonly used expression in Australia and it does mean 'a week from this Wednesday', i.e. not this Wednesday coming, but the following one. (Well, at least that's its meaning here!)
Josh:-
Why didn't you guys do the home renovation stuff yourself?
It was a big job, involving turning a weatherboard ('clapboard' in the U.S.?) house into a brick house, extending the ground plan, adding an upstairs room accessed by a spiral staircase, and laying a new patterned concrete driveway sheltered by a new steel carport .. not to mention renovating the kitchen and the bathroom, adding a powder-room and adding a new ensuite bathroom off the master bedroom.
-- With my wife looking after two under-fives and me working full-time, I calculate it would have taken me roughly 7,593 weekends to complete the work myself! :shock:
Rik:-
Yay, way to go, moron!
And he gets paid for that? I think I'm going to file my resumé at CBS, looks like anyone is fit for the job...
Exactly!
They say that any publicity is good publicity but, with ignoramuses like this guy writing derisory garbage like this, we'll never persuade the general public to back Mars colonization.
-- This kind of thing fits in with my other pet hate. You know, the way news items about human space colonization or Earth-grazing asteroids get tucked in at the very end of the news bulletin and the newsreader presents it with a wry smile and a giggle - as though it's all just fairy tale science-fiction, good for a laugh, but not worth taking seriously. (Or at least, that's how it's usually portrayed here in Australia.)
-- It's like the universe ends at the cruising altitude of a Boeing 747 and there's nothing above that level! I wonder how these medieval clowns will react when we finally detect an asteroid headed straight for Earth. : "Huh? You mean space is a real place? And we could actuallyget hurt?!! :shock: "
[Twits!]
Cindy:-
What you call a "caravan" we'd call an "RV" (recreational vehicle). Sometimes they're referred to as "trailers"...but then so are prefabricated homes (which are also called "mobile homes"...not sure why, since they're only mobile when they're being taken to the lot they'll rest upon or being moved to a different rental lot). Regional wording preferences have something to do with this, as does mixing up wording.
Yes, there can be 'translational problems'.
In Australia ...
This is a trailer:-
This is a camper trailer:-
This is a caravan:-
This is a motorhome:-
This is a mobile or relocatable home:-
This is a supermarket trolley:-
:!: :!: :!:
This thread came into being because it was determined that the residual Martian south polar cap is made of water ice and not carbon dioxide ice. This upset some terraforming calculations, which were relying on the CO2 they thought was there in order to bulk up the thin Martian atmosphere.
-- Some of you may recall I had a somewhat heated exchange here with someone called mbastion over the idea of terraforming in general, and the use of perfluorocarbons as greenhouse gases in particular. Mbastion claimed this class of gases is toxic; which I refuted.
Some 14 months on, we're still getting reports like this one, from CBS News:-
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/08/ … 0044.shtml
It tells of research on the terraforming of Mars by Margarita Marinova, a graduate student at the California Institute of Technology. :-
"Marinova says that the goal is to warm Mars enough so that the planet’s south polar cap will evaporate."
-- This is a fine goal but seems to rely on the outdated belief that the south polar cap is predominantly CO2. As we now know, that's not the case. So why are some people still basing their research on it?! :?:
The CBS report goes on to include statements like this:-
That's right. Earthlings are thinking of using the same toxic stuff already blamed for global warming here to put some life back on Mars.
And this:-
As Marinova explains it, the devil’s in the details. And the little devil’s name is octafluoropropane.
"This is our favorite molecule,” Marinova said.
Octafluoropropane is a really nasty greenhouse gas that is the by-product of circuit board production on Earth.
Octafluoropropane, or C3F8, is a perfluorocarbon (PFC) and an essentially inert gas with no measurable toxicity. To re-quote an excerpt from the Proceedings of the Postgraduate Course on Mechanical Ventilation, Dept. of Anaesthesiology and Intensive Care Medicine, Technical University of Dresden, Germany:-
Perfluorocarbons (saturated organofluorides) have unique chemical and physical properties like chemical stability, biochemical inertness (no known metabolism in mammals) ...
Extensive studies in humans showed no toxicity of PFCs when used intravascularly ... as a blood substitute. After temporary storage in cells of the RES, PFCs are eliminated by evaporation through the lungs (>99%) or skin. Therefore PFCs are attractive substances for intra alveolar use as a respiratory medium and potentially useful for transport of drugs into the lungs.
-- C3F8 is also used to inflate the human eye as the vitreous gel is removed during vitrectomy surgery. As the eye gradually refills with aqueous fluid over a period of some weeks post-operatively, the gas is harmlessly absorbed by the body and vented to the atmosphere in the way described above.
-- To describe it as "really nasty" is about as far wrong as you can get!
And, as for C3F8 being blamed for global warming here on Earth, that's another error. Although some C3F8 has escaped into the atmosphere from refrigerators and from factories manufacturing semiconductors, and although it is certainly a potent greenhouse gas, the amount released in comparison with CO2 and CH4 (methane), is negligible.
-- Perfluorocarbons are minor players and are not routinely blamed for global warming at all.
-- It should also be pointed out that perfluorocarbons are not the same as chlorofluorocarbons, or CFCs, which contain chlorine. The chlorine in CFCs is released into Earth's stratosphere when the parent molecule is bombarded with UV light. In the bone dry stratosphere, chlorine is an extraordinarily potent catalyst in the destruction of O3, or ozone, and has been rightly blamed for the creation of the 'ozone hole' we're all concerned about. PFCs contain no chlorine and therefore do not contribute to ozone depletion.
-- Again, it's impossible to level the accusation of "really nasty" at C3F8 molecules.
All this could perhaps be construed as nothing more than lamentable scientific illiteracy on the part of the reporter, Jerry Bowen, except for some other comments I think are designed to help 'set the mood' of the piece. :-
Ever since Hollywood directors started yelling “Action!” B-grade science fiction thrillers have depicted a warmer, livable Mars.
Marinova hopes to turn those fictional accounts into reality. She has co-authored a NASA study that says it’s doable – even if it's not understandable. ..
.. The idea has made headlines worldwide – from Marinova's birthplace in Bulgaria to Beijing – raising questions of whether it’s right to fool with Martian nature.
Let's have a look at the whole theme of the report, shall we? :-
" .. same toxic stuff already blamed for global warming here .."
" .. the devil’s in the details. And the little devil’s name is octafluoropropane."
"Octafluoropropane is a really nasty greenhouse gas .. "
" .. B-grade science fiction thrillers .. "
" .. it’s doable – even if it's not understandable."
" .. raising questions of whether it’s right to fool with Martian nature."
Is anyone else here getting the impression Mr. Bowen is trying to tell us something with his inaccurate (?malicious) account of the science here and his apparent attitude toward Martian terraforming in general?
-- And what kind of impression is his nonsense going to leave in the mind of the average reader, who may not have the scientific background to see through his gross inaccuracies and might not be able to recognize the subtle antagonism and gentle derision in his journalistic style? :?:
O.K., Sean. What have you been taking?
I sympathize wholeheartedly.
We once employed a builder to do a major renovation and extension on our home in Victoria.
"3 months", he said.
We moved into a 5.5 metre caravan (do Americans call these 'trailers'?) in the back yard, with two toddlers aged 2 and 4 years, expecting to at least get back into the house in a few weeks.
We didn't get back into the house for over 3 months (it was winter) and he didn't finish the job for 12 months in total!
At one stage I went around to his house, met his wife, explained we had two little kids in a caravan in a freezing back yard, and begged her to ask her husband to get on with the job.
She closed the door in my face.
Don't talk to me about builders!