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#2826 Re: Space Policy » Is this a great time to go to Mars? - With the economy bad,will an expensive.. » 2002-01-28 00:17:41

Hi nebula!  Yes I do have thoughts about this and I think you are right about the economic stimulus of a major humans-to-Mars program.
   But it seems to me that at present money is already being channeled into the aerospace industry, in America at least, in the form of military spending. I read somewhere that this year the U.S. military will get US$370,000,000,000 to help keep the world safe for democracy!
   That sounds like a lot of safety, doesn't it?! Maybe it really is necessary, I don't know. The world is a dangerous place and, despite the venomous way some people like to attack America, I am much happier to have her as the only remaining world superpower than, say, the Soviet Union! And I certainly wouldn't want the People's Republic of China calling the shots either.
   Without wishing to bore everybody to tears, it is edifying to look at history before judging current affairs. Humans are aggressive and avaricious creatures, by and large. History is full of war and grasping empires. However hard people today try to imagine that we are more moral and enlightened than our predecessors, I don't honestly think we are. The best chance we have for peace and prosperity is to be under the rule of a powerful empire; look up "Pax Romana" and "Pax Britannica" to see what I mean. Today the empire is American and we have a "Pax Americana". The empire is more of an economic one than an imperial one, but an empire just the same.
   No empire is ideal and there will always be people who see themselves as fighting against "the imperialists" in a bid for autonomy. But empires are the lesser evil because, under the umbrella of military protection, commerce can thrive and individual wealth can increase in an atmosphere of relative security. And when wealth increases, major public works become possible: The Romans built magnificent roads and aqueducts; the United States sent astronauts to the moon!
   The point of all this is to say that I think America is a bit financially stretched at the moment with her commitment to military dominance. I'm not sure how these things work, but it seems to me there probably just isn't enough cash to go around.
   I'm torn here between my belief that a strong United States is our best hope for prosperity, and my passionate desire to put humans on Mars in order to explore it and, ultimately, to settle it.
   The military spending, as such, may be largely dead-end spending, whereas a vigorous manned Mars program would, I think, spawn innumerable technological, intellectual, and economic benefits. (The long-term benefits may indeed be so colossal as to beggar the imagination!) But then too, a world safe for democracy and for commerce is vital to achieving these ends.
   So, what's the answer to this problem? My view is that US$370 billion is probably more than is really necessary to guarantee our safety. Two percent of that amount, siphoned off annually into a well-structured Mars program, would give us ample cash to establish pemanent colonies on Mars in less than fifteen years. Plus we would get all those benefits we spoke of.
   Well, nebula .... "Any thoughts on this?", you asked. I bet you're wishing you'd kept quiet after all this stuff I've thrown back at you!! But I'm glad you have broached this subject because it is an important one, and I hope we'll get lots of interesting points of view on it.
   Who's first ... ?!                        smile

#2827 Re: Terraformation » Atmospheric Degeneration » 2002-01-27 22:54:29

I can't direct you to a specific source of information, HeloTeacher, but from the old cerebral memory banks (such as they are!) I don't believe atmospheric leakage is a problem.
   I've read heaps of stuff about Mars and terraforming over the years, and the general consensus of expert opinion is that it takes tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of years to lose a significant amount of atmosphere from a place like Mars.
   Certainly, your brand new atmosphere will immediately start to drift away into space, but it is so gradual (at least from a human perspective) that it will be no problem to keep up with it by importing gases from elsewhere. It's important to remember that humanity will be advancing as each century passes, so our technological ability will be increasing faster than the air is leaking!
   It's difficult to imagine what technological marvels we will take for granted in a thousand years from now, so I think you can safely ignore this problem for the time being. Let's concentrate on MAKING the damned atmosphere first ..... we can worry about losing it later!!   smile

#2828 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Monarchy? - WHy not a Constitutional Monarchy? » 2002-01-27 02:10:06

This is a very interesting debate for several reasons. The first thing that really hit me was that a Corporal in the U.S. Army would argue for a constitutional monarchy, like Britain's!
I thought that in the aftermath of the terrorist attacks on U.S. soil, all Americans had rallied to the flag and were determined to defend every aspect of American culture to the limit. I didn't think the current attitude in the States would really allow people, especially military personnel, to advocate any political system other than the American system. (At least not without risking being branded a traitor or something.)
   Not that I have anything against a constitutional monarchy since I was born in Australia and have lived here, or in Britain, all my life. I understand that Americans are terribly patriotic and that they probably think their system of government is simply the best, but I think the system I have always lived under is at least as good; if not better. There is something reassuring about Her Majesty, Queen Elizabeth. Governments come and go, often in a welter of scandal and corruption, but she is always there; above all the pettiness. She represents the Commonwealth and gives it a kind of solidity and stability which is difficult to describe to an "outsider". Of course, we all know that monarchies everywhere have had their share of serious scandal throughout history, and God knows the British monarchy is no exception! And, of course, in today's world, CNN and others make sure we get all the sordid details! But a long-reigning, dutiful, and popular monarch is a potent force for cohesion in a fast-changing and often frightening world. Americans understand "Mom and apple pie" .... well, The Queen is like a mother figure to us in many ways!
   I should, in fairness, point out that many Australians support
the notion of a republic, though they are in the minority at present. However, this may be due more to the fact that our monarch is an English woman living nearly 20,000 kilometres away(!) than to an actual distaste for constitutional monarchies in general, I don't know! (If only she were Australian ... !!)
   I think the main problem with setting up a monarchy today, on Mars or anywhere else, is that it would lack history. The British monarchy, for instance can be traced back over many centuries and its traditions are equally old and venerable. In other words it has a kind of "cultural momentum". The Queen is the queen and everybody knows that Prince Charles is next in line for the throne by birthright. I think it would be very hard to just pick a monarch out of a hat and expect everyone to respect him/her as their sovereign. Am I making sense to anybody out there? I know what I'm trying to say but I'm not sure I'm expressing myself very well.
   It is a refreshing thing, though, to see a debate about a Martian government including the possibility of a constitutional monarchy. We should not assume that an old idea is necessarily a bad idea, and every form of government which has proven itself stable and which has delivered freedom, justice, and democracy to "the common man" should be considered.
   Thank you for hearing my thoughts on this very important topic and may the debate continue in an atmosphere of good-will and friendship.    big_smile

#2829 Re: Terraformation » Red Views » 2002-01-26 02:18:17

Phew, gbbaker !! Your Posts add up to quite a tour-de-force on the topic of terraforming!
   In my more sober and pessimistic moments, I get to thinking that the whole terraforming thing is wildly optimistic. But I think it was Sir Arthur C. Clarke who, in examining where luminaries of the past had had trouble in predicting future advances, said that often it boiled down to a failure of nerve. And with the quickening pace of technological improvement, I have to say I'm inclined to agree with gbbaker ... always assuming the existence of the political will and the cash!
   As for the conservationists, rightly concerned about indigenous Martian organisms, I don't think it will be a problem. As I have said elsewhere in New Mars (more than once, I think!), Mars has never been biologically isolated from Earth, due to impact transfer between the two planets of viable bacteria and mould, or their spores. This is now common knowledge but it seems that most people are unable, or unwilling, to assimilate this information into their world-view.
They still cling to the now outmoded idea that life could have arisen independently on Mars and Earth and never interacted. Not so!
   The transfer of life-bearing material must have been two-way; Mars to Earth and Earth to Mars. Yet in all our travels and scientific studies all over Earth, we have never found any life forms based on anything but good old RNA/DNA and the same set of familiar amino acids. What this tells me is that life arose on EITHER Earth or Mars (not both ) and was spread to the other planet by meteoritic impact. (The only other possibility is that life arose independently on each planet but one type completely outcompeted and eliminated the other at some stage in the past ... but I doubt it.)
   So the kind of life we have here is the kind we will find on Mars. And I mean 'WILL FIND ON MARS', because life is enormously tenacious! Ancient life on Mars, whether from there or from here, will have survived into the present without any doubt (and been supplemented periodically with new arrivals from Earth). Maybe not as obviously as the Gaia theorists would have us believe, because the Martian surface conditions are so ferociously hostile, but it is there ... somewhere. Maybe we've been looking right at it, in the form of some of the surface anomalies noted by NASA, but have failed to recognise it for some reason; another failure of nerve, perhaps!
   Anyway, the point is that we won't need to concern ourselves with a philosophical debate over native Martian life-forms, and the morality of killing them. Martian bugs will be the same as Earth bugs and anything we do to make Mars more Earth-like will only be advantageous to those bugs, ... and to us! Is everybody O.K. with that? Excellent.  smile
   One other thing: Although ecopoiesis may be relatively easy (we hope!), I'm inclined to side with those who believe the apparently poor nitrogen inventory on Mars could end up as the limiting factor in totally transforming the environment. Does anybody know whether any of the asteroids contain large quantities of frozen nitrogen? If they did, of course, there would be the prospect (a la Kim Stanley Robinson) of steering a few into Mars' atmosphere, along with some big watery ones!!
   Any thoughts or rebuttals on any of this ... ? (Incidentally, I prefer Blue to Red!)

#2830 Re: Water on Mars » Water ice on Mars. - Elaborate breakdown of the polar caps. » 2002-01-25 21:37:50

Thanks RobS for introducing the obvious (in retrospect!) factor of altitude. I confess I didn't give this point any consideration and I can't believe how stupid I can be!
   It seems to me though that you have, in fact, made my problem worse! I note your comment that at -110C, the vapor pressure of solid CO2 is 34mm Hg; which I believe translates to about 44 millibars. At the approximately 5km altitude of the south cap, I doubt there'd be more than about 4 millibars of atmospheric pressure. So, shouldn't the south cap in summer, which appears from the above diagram to be at -110C or likely higher, be subliming furiously into the Martian air?
   I still don't know why there is any residual cap left at all by the end of summer ..... unless ... no, it couldn't be largely water ice, could it? Just a thought! smile

#2831 Re: Life support systems » We need a brainstorming session! - Bat around a few ideas. » 2002-01-24 22:19:33

This is all great fun to think about but I can't get the nagging feeling out of my mind that it might be a little premature. I know, I know ..... if I can't play nicely with the other kids and only want to spoil the game, then I should go to my room!!
   O.K., I'll be good! ... One question I did think of relates to radiation and U.V. light. I imagine the dome material, whether transparent or opaque, can be made impervious to U.V. or even engineered to allow through a modicum of U.V. if necessary, for plants (do they need it?) or just so you could still get a nice tan by the pool! Incidentally, for what it's worth, I tend to side with those in favour of transparent domes for psychological reasons. In fact I would even suggest making the anchoring structure around the perimeter as inconspicuous as possible to enhance the "open-air" feel of the place.
   But what about particle radiation? How much air, presumably at pressures of 1 bar (is that what we're aiming for?), would be needed to block most of the damaging stuff from space? My point is this: If thicknesses of tens of metres of dense air were to make any difference to radiation flux, and if the "tallest" dome is hemispherical, then the bigger the diameter of the dome the better. If lots of air between you and the dome is a good idea, then make the dome a hemisphere with a kilometre radius; thus giving yourself a thousand metres of lovely gaseous protection above your head! (At least in the middle of the dome.) And, as a bonus, you could build high-rise buildings to conserve space inside the dome for recreational purposes, and get great views out over the rugged Martian topography.
   Now watch while an expert rolls up and blithely informs me that you need way more than a kilometre of air at 1 bar to make any difference to radiation from space!! And after all that hard thinking I did, too!
   Well ... did I play nicely? And does anyone wanna take the ball and run with it?! smile

#2832 Re: Water on Mars » Water ice on Mars. - Elaborate breakdown of the polar caps. » 2002-01-24 01:48:12

This is very interesting stuff, Josh. But I think I may be a little confused over some of it.
   In the material you quoted, I noticed this: "The south residual cap is different ... its temperatures in summer remain cold enough to freeze carbon dioxide, and very little to no water vapor has been observed to come off the south cap in summer".
   As I understand it, in the course of Mars' elliptical orbit, the southern hemisphere experiences its summer at perihelion (Mars' closest point to the Sun). This means that although the southern summer is shorter than the northern summer, it is considerably warmer. In fact, this is the reason why all the big dust storms originate in the southern hemisphere in spring/summer; because of relatively intense convection heating of the atmosphere.
   The converse of this, of course, is that the northern summer, though longer, is cooler.
   How is it ,then, that the northern cap appears to lose all its CO2 in its cool summer (and even starts to lose water!), while the southern cap retains a very significant quantity of solid CO2 even at the height of its warmer summer?!
   I'm sure there must be a perfectly simple answer to this question, but I'm obviously too simple to think of it!!
   Can anybody help me out? ???

#2833 Re: Mars Gravity Biosatellite » Go Translife » 2002-01-24 01:06:45

Thank you RobS and Bill. It's always gratifying to find that others can see what one perceives to be a problem, and that they concur.
   For so many years now, people have spoken routinely of the lead the Russians have in the study of the long-term effects of microgravity; usually with reference to Mars missions. I have never been able to generate any enthusiasm for these studies because the effects are all bad, the prospects for fixing them are all bad, and the ramifications for a trip to Mars under these conditions are all bad!
   Maybe startling advances in space medicine over the next half-century will produce a pill you take twice a day in space, which will keep you in perfect shape no matter how long you spend in zero-g. But for now we need centripetal force.
   It seems to me that whatever engineering problems may be involved in rotating a manned interplanetary spacecraft, they pale into insignificance next to the plethora of medical problems you face if you don't rotate it!
   I'm looking forward to any further comments or ideas you may have, RobS, Bill, and anyone else interested in this topic. I thoroughly enjoy this Forum and feel encouraged at the obvious depth of talent and knowledge among Mars Society members. It's a privilege to "meet" you for a chat! Thanks again to all of you.

#2834 Re: Mars Gravity Biosatellite » Go Translife » 2002-01-23 01:35:14

Oops! Sorry about the duplication. My server was doing strange things.

#2835 Re: Mars Gravity Biosatellite » Go Translife » 2002-01-23 01:29:34

Well, I had a look at "SCHEME" and I didn't like it much. The rigid truss idea is O.K. as far as it goes but I think it just doesn't go far enough.
   The radius of spin (you know what I mean) is only 20 metres, which means you have to have the craft spinning at 4 revs per minute to generate a mere 0.38g. The first problem I have with this is that 4 revs per minute has been shown to be more or less the limit as far as adaptation to the disorientating coriolis effects is concerned. So the astronauts gradually get used to the cockamamie way things fall and the swirling feeling in their heads every time they bend over, and then at Mars you "spin-down" the craft and they have to adjust back. And this at a time when they need to be razor sharp! The second problem, and this seems to be common to all the proposed mission-structures, is that nobody seems to want to provide artificial gravity on the way home! It's the "Don't worry, they're coming home to medical help" mentality. As I've said, after 500 days on Mars at 0.38g and 180 days in space at zero-g, I simply can't imagine them ever adjusting back to Earth gravity; with medical help or not! Ignoring this problem is futile; it ain't gonna go away!!
   Assuming that trusses are always going to be too heavy/bulky to be used in any significant lengths ... and I mean hundreds of metres ... there seems to be no alternative to cables on spools. And I'm not sure what might be used for a counterweight on the way home (is there a practicable modification that could be made to the  Mars Direct mission structure to provide for this?)
   I note the concern about a pressurised access tunnel between the two spinning craft. Am I to understand that it is feasible or desirable to attempt to transfer from one craft to the other while they're spinning? Surely the weight transfer would cause some kind of instability in the system, wouldn't it?
With cables, if you need to get at something in the "ballast" craft, you would simply spin-down, wind in the cable, dock the two craft, and open the hatch. Simple!
   And now I've had time to think about all this spinning-up and spinning-down for course corrections and other purposes, I've decided the perfect thrusters for the job would be those low-thrust ion motors. They're very efficient and don't need too much weighty propellant ... and who cares if it takes a couple of days to do the job when the journey time is measured in months!
   And one more thing: I still think we should be aiming at more than 0.38g, whether outbound or homebound. Doesn't anybody out there agree with me? Imagine your weight suddenly increasing from, say, 180 pounds to 470 pounds! That's what it's going to feel like to those poor astronauts, even if we DO give them 0.38g on the way home!!
   Well?! ....

#2836 Re: Mars Gravity Biosatellite » Go Translife » 2002-01-23 01:28:54

Well, I had a look at "SCHEME" and I didn't like it much. The rigid truss idea is O.K. as far as it goes but I think it just doesn't go far enough.
   The radius of spin (you know what I mean) is only 20 metres, which means you have to have the craft spinning at 4 revs per minute to generate a mere 0.38g. The first problem I have with this is that 4 revs per minute has been shown to be more or less the limit as far as adaptation to the disorientating coriolis effects is concerned. So the astronauts gradually get used to the cockamamie way things fall and the swirling feeling in their heads every time they bend over, and then at Mars you "spin-down" the craft and they have to adjust back. And this at a time when they need to be razor sharp! The second problem, and this seems to be common to all the proposed mission-structures, is that nobody seems to want to provide artificial gravity on the way home! It's the "Don't worry, they're coming home to medical help" mentality. As I've said, after 500 days on Mars at 0.38g and 180 days in space at zero-g, I simply can't imagine them ever adjusting back to Earth gravity; with medical help or not! Ignoring this problem is futile; it ain't gonna go away!!
   Assuming that trusses are always going to be too heavy/bulky to be used in any significant lengths ... and I mean hundreds of metres ... there seems to be no alternative to cables on spools. And I'm not sure what might be used for a counterweight on the way home (is there a practicable modification that could be made to the  Mars Direct mission structure to provide for this?)
   I note the concern about a pressurised access tunnel between the two spinning craft. Am I to understand that it is feasible or desirable to attempt to transfer from one craft to the other while they're spinning? Surely the weight transfer would cause some kind of instability in the system, wouldn't it?
With cables, if you need to get at something in the "ballast" craft, you would simply spin-down, wind in the cable, dock the two craft, and open the hatch. Simple!
   And now I've had time to think about all this spinning-up and spinning-down for course corrections and other purposes, I've decided the perfect thrusters for the job would be those low-thrust ion motors. They're very efficient and don't need too much weighty propellant ... and who cares if it takes a couple of days to do the job when the journey time is measured in months!
   And one more thing: I still think we should be aiming at more than 0.38g, whether outbound or homebound. Doesn't anybody out there agree with me? Imagine your weight suddenly increasing from, say, 180 pounds to 470 pounds! That's what it's going to feel like to those poor astronauts, even if we DO give them 0.38g on the way home!!
   Well?! ....

#2837 Re: Water on Mars » A Soggy World ... Maybe! - Looking at a Globe of Mars » 2002-01-21 01:23:14

It seems that almost every article you read about Mars is based on the same premise, that Mars was once warm(er) and wet. The main problem with this hypothesis being that there seems to be no way to model an early Mars with enough atmosphere and enough insolation (solar input) to get the surface temperature above zero.
   You can imagine a 5 bar atmosphere of CO2 soon after accretion of the planet, which would provide a nice cosy greenhouse effect .... IF there were enough heat coming in from the sun for the atmosphere to trap! But then you have to contend with the "dim young sun" problem. (I know, I know ... it sounds like an item on a chinese menu!) This refers to the fact that 3 to 4 billion years ago, the sun was only putting out about 70% of its present heat and light. Even today, with 43% of the insolation Earth gets, Mars is a very cold place. When you factor in the 70% output, early Mars was only getting 30% of the warmth we are basking in today.
   If you suddenly throttled back solar output arriving here on Earth today to just 30% of the norm, we would be plunged into the mother and father of an ice-age from which we would never recover. So, even with that 5 bar CO2 atmosphere we conjured up, it still seems impossible to produce a climate on early Mars which could be deemed anything but freezing cold!
   Exotic solutions have been put forward to try to get around this difficulty, including a dense cabon-dioxide atmosphere with high-altitude clouds of CO2 crystals. According to theoretical models, this would be a very effective "blanket" for Mars which would keep the surface warm enough for liquid water to exist. The only drawback being that Mars would have been continuously overcast for many millions of years.
   It seems to me that making up exotic theoretical models in an attempt to explain the data, probably means that you have the wrong data or that you have the right data but not enough of it!
   Then there's this guy Hoffman from Australia! He thinks Mars was never warm and wet. He maintains that it was always bitterly cold and bone-dry and that its surface features, so reminiscent of water erosion, were caused by floods of liquid CO2 mixed with rock and dust! No water necessary. And he must have developed this idea to a significant degree, too, because at one seminar he apparently had more than half the "watery Mars" advocates doubting themselves.
   But then again, I have a magnificent globe of Mars which I bought on the net from "Sky and Telescope". It is a topographical globe, color-coded to depict the relative height of the terrain, with the high ground in shades of orange and red and the lowlands in green and blue. It is based on the most recent Mars Orbiter Laser Altimeter (MOLA) data and is therefore highly accurate. I would recommend it to anyone with an interest in Mars.
   The point of all this is that when you look at this globe with its valleys, channels, and flood-plains, it just screams "WATER"! Large areas look 'smudged', just like a sand-castle that has been washed over by a wave! Craters in the northern basin have breached walls and highly eroded rims; some appear to be so buried in sediment as to be almost too feint to see. The whole planet gives every indication of having had water on its surface. And I don't mean some paltry amount of water! I mean the whole place must have been awash with it!! Buy,steal, or borrow one of these globes and have a really good look at it; I think you'll have to agree we're talking about millions of cubic kilometres of good old H2O here! Not liquid CO2. If it looks like a duck, waddles like a duck, and quacks like a duck; chances are it is a duck! And when you see this globe, you'll be able to TASTE the water on Mars!
   So where does that get us? Back to square one. I know Mars had to be warm and wet; maybe it even had extensive precipitation for lengthy periods in its history. But how do we explain it? Could Mars' internal heat have somehow contributed to a warmer climate? Could there have been more powerful greenhouse gases in the early Martian atmosphere?
   As to the fate of all that water, I'm afraid much of it has been lost to space. But not all of it. There may still be enough in vast aquifers to create lakes and even small seas if the surface were warmer and the air denser. Stand by for more data from Mars Odyssey which, a few weeks ago, may have found hints of large quantities of water under Vastitas Borealis.
   Can anybody add to this Post and maybe enlighten us all as to this vexed question of water on Mars?

#2838 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Gravito-magnetic effect - "Breakthrough propulsion" » 2002-01-20 06:32:22

I think it is important to differentiate between a gravity-shielding substance which passively blocks gravity the way a sheet of lead blocks X-rays, and a gravity-shielding machine which requires power in order to modify or nullify gravity. The former was used by the great H.G.Wells in his book "The First Men in the Moon". Invented by the fictional Mr Cavor and called "cavorite", you could paint it on the bottom of a shipping container and sever the gravitational attraction between that container and the Earth. Unfortunately, of course, it can't work! If it did you could lift containers of, say, water, without effort, and then pour the water downhill through a turbine to generate electricity. You'd be getting energy from nowhere, thus violating the law of energy conservation which states that energy can neither be created nor destroyed.
   But as long as your gravity-shielding device doesn't create more energy than it uses, then there is no objection, in principle, to the existence of such a device.
   Gravity is essentially an extremely weak force. It takes a huge mass to generate a significant gravitational field and, in fact, when you use a child's horse-shoe magnet to lift a pin off a table, that weak magnetic field is easily out-pulling the entire planet Earth! Of course, the magnetic field only acts over a very short range (and comes in attraction and repulsion modes) whereas gravity acts over vast distances.
   The machine described in the New Scientist article has allegedly caused no more than a 2% weight reduction so far. No indication is given as to its potential to improve on this performance. But if the machine can be proven to bring about ANY change in Earth's gravitational field, it will be ground-breaking work of inestimable importance.
   Once the fact of gravity modification is established, then the theorists will have to find a way to explain it. When the principle is understood, maybe we could improve the efficiency of the machine and bring about a total gravity shield. Whether that could lead to negative gravity generation, i.e. gravitational repulsion, is an interesting question. My guess is that it may depend on nothing more than improved superconductors and and a little more power input. After all, as I mentioned, gravity is actually extraordinarily weak and has really only had such a profound influence on us for so long because we haven't had the vaguest notion how to "switch it off"!!
   With any luck, that situation may be about to change!

#2839 Re: Unmanned probes » MSR-ISPP » 2002-01-18 23:57:22

I sense your disgust with NASA over its glacial progress toward a manned Mars mission! I empathise 1000%!!!
   It seems that every time they have another meeting, they come out of it with a longer and longer time-table of less and less ambitious missions. They really do need a fire under their tails to wake them up. I think a lot of the trouble comes down to the same old thing: Risk. Nobody wants to do anything audacious or exciting any more in case it doesn't work and they're left with egg on their faces. It's a symptom of today's world that risk-taking is politically and culturally unpalatable.
   The problem is that virtually nothing can be attempted without at least some risk. And great strides forward can rarely be taken without quite substantial risks. I often think about the Apollo astronauts and the things they did with clunky 1960s technology! That whole program was so far ahead of its time it's hard to believe, in retrospect, that it was ever tried. And the raw courage of those astronauts has been very greatly understated.
   But getting back to the point: You write as though there is actually some possibility of the Mars Society pulling off a major coup by retrieving a piece of Mars ahead of the major space agencies! Are you serious or just making a rhetorical point? I mean, how much would it cost and where would we get the money? And what about a quarantine facility? From what I've read, you need an enormously intricate and expensive building just to process the samples in biological isolation.
   I'm not trying to rain on your parade but I'm having trouble digesting this idea. Surely there is just no way for a small space-advocacy group to really contemplate such a mission? Please somebody .... explain to me why I'm wrong. I'd love to be wrong!!

#2840 Re: Unmanned probes » Test » 2002-01-18 23:18:59

You should all be tested .... for drugs!

#2841 Re: Mars Gravity Biosatellite » Go Translife » 2002-01-17 00:22:28

This Translife experiment is a great idea because I don't think we can subject people to zero-g for 6 months and then expect them to perform well in a new and hostile environment. It seems to me that rotating the spacecraft on the way to Mars will be essential and, therefore, we need to find out as much as we can about the effects of "artificial gravity".
   What is NASA's position on this problem at the moment? Are they investigating the prospects for separating the Mars craft into two sections connected by cable(s) and "spinning it up"?
If so, how difficult would it be? Presumably a spool of kevlar maybe one or two kilometres long wouldn't weigh much, but what about thruster fuel for spinning up and then spinning down for course-corrections? Are these problems likely to be "show-stoppers" or just minor technical difficulties we can solve with a bit of practice in LEO.
   Incidentally, for what it's worth, I think we should try for the longest practicable tether length in order to maximise the g-force with a relatively low rotation speed. This will minimise the coriolis effects. What I think we should aim for is a full 1g of artificial gravity on the outward trip and only 1 revolution per minute. To my mind, this will deliver astronauts in the best possible shape mentally, and especially physically, at Mars. It may be just as critical for the homeward leg of the trip too because, after 500 days on Mars in 0.38g and 180 days in zero-g, it might prove impossible to adjust back to full Earth gravity.
   Any information or criticisms?

#2842 Re: Life on Mars » New evidence for life on Mars? - Dark dune spots near south pole » 2002-01-16 19:03:59

I've seen these apparently anomalous surface features too, and I've seen Sir Arthur's comments on them.
   I think it's a brave person who tries to cast doubt on Sir Arthur's critical faculties! Having read quite a bit of his factual and fictional work, I get the impression that even running at half capacity his mind would be more than a match for most of us!
   Nevertheless, for what it's worth, the higher resolution pictures of what have been described as "banyan trees" don't quite cut it for me. Though initially their resemblance to trees is striking, I think we need to consider that crystals can grow into shapes very reminiscent of tree branches and that we are dealing with a non-terrestrial environment. Who knows what exotic mineralisation might occur under martian conditions?
   More intriguing, at least to me, are those "glass worms" dismissed as sand dunes by NASA. They do look, for all the world, just like enormous semi-transparent tubes with supporting ribs at fairly regular intervals. If they are indeed tubes, they give the impression that they could be biological in origin; almost like discarded snake skins! But the possibility of exotic mineralisation (say like bizarre lava tubes but perhaps based on flows of super-saturated chemical solutions) again springs to mind.
   Are there any geologists out there who have seen these pictures and can suggest plausible scenarios for them from a mineralogical viewpoint? Or, better yet, a biologist who can convince us that they are in fact biological artifacts?!
   Call me a romantic, but I still think they look more like worms than anything else! What do you think?

#2843 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Gravito-magnetic effect - "Breakthrough propulsion" » 2002-01-16 02:06:16

There is an interesting article in New Scientist (12 January 2002) which describes the work of Evgeny Podkletnov and Ning Li into a potential new form of propulsion.
   It seems that these two researchers worked independently; Podkletnov in Finland building a gravity-modifying machine, and Ning Li at the University of Alabama in Huntsville developing a theory which may explain how that machine works.
   It seems that the work was sufficiently plausible to attract the attention of Ron Koczor of NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, who has commissioned Superconductive Components of Columbus, Ohio to build an exact copy of the purportedly gravity-shielding machine. NASA paid $600,000 for the privilege and takes delivery of its new toy this month. Mr Koczor has stated that the series of experiments planned for the device should take no longer than six months to run, by which time we will know if it works or not.
   I don't pretend to understand how this machine works from a theoretical standpoint, though the diagram of its components appears relatively uncomplicated. But a doctorate in theoretical physics is not required in order to grasp what this invention will mean to the world, should it be found to work as advertised! I won't attempt to list all the things we could do if we could control gravity but the implications for space travel will spring readily to mind if you're a Mars Society member, like me!
   The purpose of this Post is really just to make sure that as many people as possible know about this important event; especially motivated and determined people, like us. I don't want this story to sink without trace the way other potentially history-changing developments seem to do. I want this laboratory testing at the Marshall Space Flight Center to be done openly, with appropriate reporting of progress, and with a comprehensive conclusion published at the end. And I want it whether the machine works or not! (If you are an American citizen, footing the bill for this through your taxes, you should be even more adamant than I am.)
   So let's mark off the 6 months on our calendars and, if we've heard nothing by then, let's start asking questions. This is very exciting stuff!!

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