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#1 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Heat Pump - Heat Pumps » 2024-05-01 09:44:20

Anchor customers should help with the economics here. If there's a hotel nearby, there's a customer who has a high demand for hot water, making it a far easier sell than having to sign up most of the street. So long as the system is sized right it can be expanded as needed to supply more people.

#2 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Planting Ships in the Ground » 2024-05-01 05:26:36

Doggerland City could serve as a North Sea Free Port. A European Hong Kong with a liberal immigration policy, which won't alienate the existing population because there isn't one. Close to London, Paris, Rotterdam. The sea is only ~20m deep there, we should be able to build prefab breakwaters we can sink like the Maunsell Sea Forts?

The lack of existing population to complain makes them good for other purposes too. Like a prison. HMP Dogger Bank won't need much security so long as the boats are secured. We could also put asylum processing centres out there too...

#3 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Architecture » 2024-04-29 04:31:54

Well, once we've partially terraformed it options may open up...

Terraced housing isn't such a problem if the garden is long enough. The Great British Shed can still be put in the garden of a terrace, which also provides room for pottering. Flats otoh are antithetical to the English spirit and should be considered temporary (rented) accomodation. Creativity requires that people have space to build, community requires that people have space to host. You *can* get that with terraces, you can't really get it with flats. No room for a firepit or chimnea.

Though with terraced houses you do need a back alley for access, so the space advantages over semi detached are diminished. Probably better to share the access with only youe next door neighbour rather than everyone on the block.

#4 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Architecture » 2024-04-26 16:24:04

I've suggested before that buildings on Luna will be hexagonal, with a circular pressure vessel in between two hexagon walls filled with radiation shielding. That way they can expand the way cities and buildings expand, with each new block added on to the existing complex.

Regarding Terran architecture, there are certain rules to follow for sure. Such as "he who builds in wood builds a shack" (Stewart Brand, How Buildings Learn). If you want something low maintenance, or that can withstand extreme weather, wood is not it.

How Buildings Learn is available on YouTube, if you haven't already seen it you should.

#5 Re: Terraformation » Colonizing / terraforming small asteroids » 2024-04-23 09:49:50

Ceres is known to have liquid water. How connected it is idk, I don't think Dawn was equipped to find that out?

#6 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Thermal Energy Storage » 2024-04-18 06:14:08

About 1kW per household. The trouble is, that's just about enough for *average* demand, not winter demand.

Loops in Morecambe Bay might cut it.

But for space heating, I think ceiling radiators + air source heat pumps are the place to start. Having ceiling radiators makes switching to a heat grid later easier.

The centre of town is dense terraces, but with back alleys, and there are car parks we could sink boreholes into (car parks which absorb heat during the summer hmm...). Back alleys are already used for water mains; we could install the heating grid without too much road disturbance I think. Especially in the central triangle.

#7 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Thermal Energy Storage » 2024-04-18 01:40:48

Unfortunately, run by the Green Party. Sure they are looking into district heating, but they're also known for being incompetent. The most obvious source of heat of course is Heysham, but I do not think they'll be enthusiastic.

Perhaps we could start about six miles north, in my hometown? At the triangle between the A6, Lower North Road, and Kellet Road, where there's accessible open land for any boreholes and a hotel that could be interested in cheap hot water? And a school that perhaps would be interested in revenue...

#8 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Thermal Energy Storage » 2024-04-17 09:17:46

I care far more about my hometown than I do about Londoners. Afaic, I might as well work on one for Dublin lol. Or Berlin.

Also my town has obvious places to start and a somewhat functional town council. I suppose my university does also.

A London system would not be one system anyway. It's far too big for that.

#9 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Thermal Energy Storage » 2024-04-17 07:32:39

Of all the people on here, I think GW Johnson is best placed to do any real world testing, since he has a ranch in Texas. Britain's pretty overcast many days, and land here is limited (and I have none at all of my own).

Still wondering about the Compact Linear Fresnel Reflector, since flat/slightly curved lengths of mirror laid flat should be a lot easier to mass manufacture and transport than parabolic troughs. What's driving the costs of solar thermal systems?

#10 Re: Not So Free Chat » Public transport » 2024-04-15 15:52:44

My proposal is for a hybrid solution.  This would involve a single steel slotted rail installed down the middle of a road lane, sunk into the road surface like a conventional tram rail.  The bus running down the lane would be equipped with rubber tyres like a conventional bus.  However, it would also have steel drive wheels running down the centre of the chassis.  When the bus enters a lane equipped with a steel rail, hydraulics will push the steel wheels down into the slotted rail.  The steel wheels will be pushed down until they support about 80% of the weight of the bus.  The rubber wheeled tyres remain in contact with the road, providing stability.  With steel wheels on steel rails having 1/10th of the rolling reistance of rubber tyres, the rolling resistance of the bus (and fuel consumption) can be reduced by something like 2/3rds.  The bus can leave a railed section of the road, by releasing the hydraulic actuation, upon which the steel wheels are retracted on a spring.

As much as I love the the Boynton Monorail, I have to admit that this system is probably the easiest way to build out a public transit system, since it can switch to regular bus street running where right of way is difficult to acquire (and is simpler and cheaper than having an upper support rail). A metropolis such as Manchester, where there are plentiful open spaces but not necessarily contiguous ones, could construct dedicated sections where it is straightforward to do so and operate as buses in the built up patches. Then, over time, as space can be acquired, tracks can be laid down to complete the circuit.

If the rails are built to support the weight of a HGV, we could do the same with lorries, with the chassis having retractable steel wheels. Relieving the weight from the rubber tyres would cut down massively on the problems they cause in terms of road damage and pollution. We could build out a cross country network of such routes. Unlike using railways, there would be no time consuming step of transferring containers, though we could also of course connect them into trains to get significant labour and energy savings and separate them out at the end for last mile travel.

#11 Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Compact Linear Fresnel Reflector » 2024-04-11 04:01:18

Terraformer
Replies: 1

Wikipedia article

The reflectors are located at the base of the system and converge the sun's rays into the absorber. A key component that makes all LFR's more advantageous than traditional parabolic trough mirror systems is the use of "Fresnel reflectors". These reflectors make use of the Fresnel lens effect, which allows for a concentrating mirror with a large aperture and short focal length while simultaneously reducing the volume of material required for the reflector. This greatly reduces the system's cost since sagged-glass parabolic reflectors are typically very expensive.[2] However, in recent years thin-film nanotechnology has significantly reduced the cost of parabolic mirrors.[6]

A major challenge that must be addressed in any solar concentrating technology is the changing angle of the incident rays (the rays of sunlight striking the mirrors) as the sun progresses throughout the day. The reflectors of a CLFR are typically aligned in a north-south orientation and turn about a single axis using a computer controlled solar tracker system.[7] This allows the system to maintain the proper angle of incidence between the sun's rays and the mirrors, thereby optimizing energy transfer.

University of Sydney page

The array uses flat or elastically curved reflectors instead of costly sagged glass reflectors. The reflectors are mounted close to the ground, minimising structural requirements. The heat transfer loop is separated from the reflector field and is fixed in space thus avoiding the high cost of flexible high pressure lines or high pressure rotating joints as required in the trough and dish concepts.
The heat transfer fluid is water, and passive direct boiling heat transfer can be used to avoid parasitic pumping losses and the use of expensive flow controllers.
An inverted cavity receiver has been designed using steel boiling tubes which can be directly linked with an existing fossil fuel plant steam system. This is much cheaper than evacuated tubes used in trough plants. Direct steam generation is much easier with this absorber than with tubular absorbers in trough collectors.
Maintenance will be low because of ease of reflector access for cleaning, and because the single ended evacuated tubes can be removed without breaking the heat transfer fluid circuit.

May not be as efficient as trough systems, but if we're optimising for total cost rather than minimising land area (we have quite a bit of desert available), perhaps it has a significant advantage? The structural support requirements seem to be a lot lower, and the mirrors could be mass produced slats that can be easily transported and swapped in and out. IDK if it would be easier to mass manufacture in a factory vs other systems.

We could also potentially use the land in between the slats in a way not possible with heliostats and troughs. The University of Sydney page suggests the slats could be opened up for daylighting on cloudy days; with the slats providing shielding during the hottest part of the day, maybe the desert soil beneath could be used for growing things in the cooler early morning and evening sunlight when the plant isn't generating..m

#12 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Energy Return on Energy Invested for Solar PV » 2024-04-09 11:21:56

If we really wanted to go low embodied energy for solar... could the mirrors for a compact linear fresnel reflector be made out of wood and foil? big_smile The strength requirements should be a lot lower than for a parabolic trough, and the mirrors are either flat or slightly curved. AFAICT the mirror slats themselves are adjusted to account for changing solar angle.

#13 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Trough Solar Collector- Design- Construction- Operation- Maintenance » 2024-04-09 04:24:58

Compact Linear Fresnel Reflector

Instead of using a curved parabolic trough, it uses a number of flat reflective strips to focus light, much as a Fresnel lens does with refraction. Supposed to reduce costs and simplify manufacture. Even if efficiency is lower, it might win out for simplicity?

#14 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Energy Return on Energy Invested for Solar PV » 2024-04-07 16:09:15

In the area of sacrificing efficiency for cost, how do Fresnel lenses compare?

#15 Re: Not So Free Chat » Chat » 2024-04-05 15:37:43

Bald Eagles hunting Canada Geese? Auspicious.

Day of the Rake when? tongue

#16 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Synthetic or Natural Fuel Produced using Solar Power » 2024-04-05 08:38:52

Trying to get figures for the round trip efficiency of ammonia energy storage -- Ammonia for energy storage: economic and technical analysis

The figures given range from 34% (Haber-Bosch, gas turbine) to 72% (reversible fuel cell). Predicted cost for the latter is $0.24/kWh, so pretty pricey. As previously talked about, ammonia can be shipped around the world, so it can be synthesised where there is cheap power available, such as deserts with solar thermal electricity generation.

I don't see ammonia being used in road vehicles, given its toxicity, but as a fuel for ships or electricity generation where we're not expecting Average Joe to handle it it could be a contender. Pricey, even with a cheap source of electricity for producing it, but the storability makes it one of the few options to keep the grid on for the dozen or so windless weeks we have each year in Britain. Probably we'll want to have a dual/triple tariff system where the priciness is made clear to consumers, rather than trying to average it out over the year...

What I'm seeing from discussions of solar thermal power and synfuel is, whilst getting cheap energy is difficult, we can probably get cheap enough energy to keep our technological civilisation going at least if we make a few adjustments. You won't get to drive a gaz guzzeleen muscle car, but keeping an efficient (hybrid?) compact on the road will be a possibility. Electricity will be pricey but we can make up for it in part by going big on cheap hot water. Maybe we have to cut back on energy intensive materials, but we'll still have a shipping industry. The core parts will keep going.

#17 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Energy Return on Energy Invested for Solar PV » 2024-04-04 16:14:52

Hmm. I've seen far higher figures given for lifecycles of Li-ion batteries, in the 2-5000 range. But I don't know what they were counting as a cycle. Keeping the depth of discharge shallow seems to extend their life quite a bit (I should probably charge my phone more often lol); but then, it reduces the effective amount of energy you're storing.

The sellers of this battery claim it can last 3000 cycles before losing 20% of its power. Of course, its also a pretty pricey battery at $500/kWh, so maybe they're just limiting the depth of discharge to achieve that...

#18 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Energy Return on Energy Invested for Solar PV » 2024-04-04 06:26:58

It's pretty clear that EROI for solar panels very strongly depends on where they're placed. It would not surprise me if the studies claiming the highest EROI are based on desert installations with high efficiency panels.

Which... sure, if you're looking to make synthetic fuel or ammonia, that's not necessarily a problem. If you're looking to produce electricity for non desert regions however, you find yourself needing very large scale investment in politically risky high voltage power lines...

#19 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Synthetic or Natural Fuel Produced using Solar Power » 2024-04-02 14:33:20

Progress in the production of synthetic methane:

https://terraformindustries.wordpress.c … tural-gas/

First, our innovative electrolyzer converts cheap solar power into hydrogen with current production costs at less than $2.50 per kg of H2. How? To first order, our electrolyzer capex costs <$100/kW, and we’re currently baselining solar PV DC electricity at $20/MWh. There is no hand waving about economies of scale or subsidies here, though we are eligible for the full IRA 45V green hydrogen tax credit, worth $3/kg-H2.


Second, the proprietary direct air capture (DAC) system concentrates CO2 in the atmosphere today for less than $250 per ton. How? Our DAC capex costs <$600/T-year-CO2. Like the electrolyzer, this represents a substantial improvement on the state of the art.

Mental quickmaths says that to make CH2 (stand in for fuel hydrocarbons) you need 22kg of CO2 to each kg of H2, giving you 7kg of CH2. The CO2 if their prices are right would be $5.50, the hydrogen $2.50, so $8 to make 7kg of CH2. About $1.13. Not back to the era of cheap fuel by any means, but Brits already pay significantly more than that. The system is supposed to be able to operate intermittently afaict, so storage is far less of an issue.

Transport represents 44% of Britain's energy use, and a majority of its CO2 emissions. If over the next few years we can switch to synfuel produced in say America or Australia (or even Egypt, the most stable country in MENA...) that would put us most of the way to net zero. And, of course, our purchases would only be funding consumerism, not terrorism or repression...

#20 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Why the Green Energy Transition Won’t Happen » 2024-03-31 09:50:32

So you are accounting 212 kg per kw.

But 1 kw of PV are aprox. just 3 standard 60 cell panels of 18 kg per unit. A total of 54 kg.
Even if you argued that the panels aren't the total weight of a PV installation, to multiply that number by 4, a lot of inefficient things are being done to reach that values.

No, not really. All you have to do is assume a capacity factor of 25%. Which for solar would be a really good capacity factor; in Britain it's more like 10% (but we're not exactly the sort of place you'd put solar if you were thinking straight).

#21 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Permenance Movement » 2024-03-30 15:17:00

I've also suggested before that flat plate collectors/radiators could work in deserts for a low power density but very cheap and simple base load system. Nighttime temperatures can get low enough to freeze water, daytime flat plates can reach maybe 80c? 60c? Enough to get power -- iirc you talked about using butane as the working fluid.

When it comes to space based power, flat plates should be able to get *really* hot, radiators really cold, and afaik using mirrors is far easier. I just don't see solar PV being able to compete if we're using say Lunar ISRU. Not even if we're bringing the system from Earth, potentially. Solar thermal could allow a rapid buildout of space based solar power generation using Lunar resources. And with that power we can smelt aluminium and ship it down...

#22 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Why the Green Energy Transition Won’t Happen » 2024-03-27 15:50:55

kbd,

Why are you like this. You always answer innocuous questions in a really aggressive manner as if you've been personally offended. Go reread my post and highlight where I talked about lockdowns being brilliant and how it was great people lost their jobs.

#23 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Why the Green Energy Transition Won’t Happen » 2024-03-27 14:56:43

I wonder what specifically led to the 10% dip in 2020? I'm guessing it was reduced driving, afaik we didn't have a massive manufacturing slump that year? And cars/trucks make up a sizeable fraction of oil consumption.

#24 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Why the Green Energy Transition Won’t Happen » 2024-03-21 10:51:46

Hmm. I wonder how the steel requirements compare for Vertical Axis Wind Turbines?

Contra-rotating floating turbines promise unprecedented scale and power

There's been a trend in wind power to go for larger and large individual turbines, but that's not necessarily the way to optimise for costs. VAWTs can be clustered together in ways HAWTs can't be, and not being top heavy their foundations should require far less engineering work. If they have foundations at all.

They might take up more space, but *gestures at the north sea*

#25 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Lithium used for batteries » 2024-03-20 16:33:24

Much of this stuff already is steel and Aluminum

Given the massive price difference between copper and aluminum, *are* there many areas left where aluminum can be substituted?

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