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#51 2003-02-23 14:10:15

Josh Cryer
Moderator
Registered: 2001-09-29
Posts: 3,830

Re: A nuclear event - Do you expect one in your lifetime?

I'm saying that Afghanistan is no haven for freedom, womens rights, and democracy like we pretended we'd make it be. It takes a lot more effort than we're putting in.


Some useful links while MER are active. [url=http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/home/index.html]Offical site[/url] [url=http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/MM_NTV_Web.html]NASA TV[/url] [url=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/mer2004/]JPL MER2004[/url] [url=http://www.spaceflightnow.com/mars/mera/statustextonly.html]Text feed[/url]
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The amount of solar radiation reaching the surface of the earth totals some 3.9 million exajoules a year.

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#52 2003-02-23 15:03:31

soph
Member
Registered: 2002-11-24
Posts: 1,492

Re: A nuclear event - Do you expect one in your lifetime?

You can't expect it to change overnight!

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#53 2003-02-23 15:18:43

Josh Cryer
Moderator
Registered: 2001-09-29
Posts: 3,830

Re: A nuclear event - Do you expect one in your lifetime?

You're right! Not with only a few million going into reconstruction and so on. I never said that it had to be done overnight, mind you.


Some useful links while MER are active. [url=http://marsrovers.jpl.nasa.gov/home/index.html]Offical site[/url] [url=http://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/MM_NTV_Web.html]NASA TV[/url] [url=http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/mer2004/]JPL MER2004[/url] [url=http://www.spaceflightnow.com/mars/mera/statustextonly.html]Text feed[/url]
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The amount of solar radiation reaching the surface of the earth totals some 3.9 million exajoules a year.

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#54 2003-04-19 21:46:08

wccmarsface@msn.com
Banned
From: Bremerton, Washington
Registered: 2003-03-10
Posts: 12

Re: A nuclear event - Do you expect one in your lifetime?

On the "nuclear event" possibility suggested by Cindy:  No way to "sugar-coat" this:  what with the advent of so many nations either possessing nuclear weapons or developing the means to acquire them, at some point some nation-state will probably use them against somebody they just don't like.  Perhaps the scariest aspect of this lies in the fact that, irrespective of the end of the so-called "Cold War," both the U.S. and Russia still possess nuclear weapons to the tune of nearly 60,000 warheads with a total yield of about 13,000 megatons between them.  In the TTAPS study in the early eighties, it was shown that a "baseline" 5,000 megaton global nuclear exchange, under certain conditions, would result in the much-discussed "nuclear winter" effect, although, very significant and dangerously, people over the years are so wont to "downplay" the nuclear winter finding as though such could never happen, so, perhaps the "unthinkable" might be, for some, "thinkable!"                                                                                                                                                If, say, India and Pakistan once and for all resort to nuclear hostilities, how can we be at all certain that some domino effect won't occur where-by, perhaps due to a series of miscalculations or miscommunications, the counterforce arsenals of, say, the Russians, doesn't become active in some misperceived retaliatory response?  Suddenly, a number of U.S. cities and various targets of strategic value are now under the horrific pall of numerous hydrogen bomb bursts.  Now, in this event, the U.S. must respond with its own counterforce measures!  Hopefully, Cindy, the foregoing possibility is realistically a "bit of a stretch!"  But, I think, though the "Cold War" is ostensibly over, the threat of nuclear war, either regionally or global (or both!), will be something we will always have to live with.                                                                                                                                                                 I was five years old during the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis.  At that time, unbeknownst to us until many years later, it was a huge miracle that nuclear war was avoided.  I was a little boy living near Tacoma, Washington, which probably would have escaped direct nuclear incineration.  Sometimes I wonder how different my life would have been, growing up in a world severely damaged in a nuclear holocaust at least a few short years shy of the vast "overkill" capability that could result in nuclear winter!  Such could make a chilling alternate history novel!            wccmarsface@msn.com

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