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We are NOT close to considering a ITS at this juncture. Anyone who believes the first manned missions will be using such a space vehicle for them is living in LaLa land. I've been thinking of a vehicle with roughly the performance of an uprated Falcon Heavy--using the new Raptor Methylox engines in place of RP-1 & LOX, to carry a 6 or 7 person crew, and a second vehicle carrying maybe 8 metric tonnes to Mars' surface. That payload must include a rover, a Nuclear powerplant, food, an Oxygen concentration system, a Methane Sabatier reaction system, construction materials, in addition to a water and air processing system. Between both spacecraft, in addition to a prepositioned Habitat module, we may have a payload in addition to bodies and their immediate needs for life support of maybe 12 tonnes. I am VERY familiar with the tech!
Just looking at the process system through the jaundiced eye of an industrial process chemist, that unit probably weighs in at something around 3 to 5 tons? The size and mass of such a unit is far beyond the early settlement's importation capacity to afford. Any guesses how much it would cost to transport to Mars? The volume is significant as well, since much of it is empty tankage. Just what the early colonists need to import! Not! Whatever system can be fit into the volume of 2 large refrigerators and weighs less than 350 kg is about the limit for an early colony water processing system.
Lake Matthew Team-Cole
I'm not saying that it's not a good system. Just the amount of mass required seems to be excessive for the early efforts at colonization. Your system would be 2nd Generation technology.
Robert-
Your idea definitely has merit, but a better person to contact would be my old Postdoctoral mentor now at Montana State University, in Bozeman , Montana. He did his Ph.D. under Mel Calvin at University of California, Berkeley, CA., and was a topnotch photosynthesis guy.
He's now a Distinguished Professor of Chemistry and Biochemistry, himself. Send me a personal e-mail message through the forum and I'll give you his name. The guy whose papers you should be reading about incorporation of proteins or cellular organelles into membranes is Wayne L. Hubbel; I had a chance to collaborate with him whilst he too was at UCB. Last I heard, he may have gone on to Rockefeller University in N.Y.C.
What I'm attempting to do is have a basic model developed by which agriculture and husbandry can hit the ground running so the psychological and emotional needs of the first settlers/pioneers on Mars are met so they don't go berserk over the crappy diet. My idea is to go through and selectively choose projects which have a high probability of success. I read one of Robert's posts about fruit trees being incorporated into the system. I agree wholeheartedly, but trees take time to grow, and usually after around 5 Earth years do we get any production. I envision intensive gardening and crop production, and since trees produce above ground, they are certainly a way to go. The areas beneath the trees, if fully illuminated, can be filled with vegetable or grain crops. Root crops can be interspersed with bush crops, which can be compatible with tree crops. But nothing will work without bees for pollination.
Many humans are in need of pets for some psychological support, so care of the animals gives some mental health assistance.
Lake Matthew Team-Cole;
You're thinking about technology far beyond what the FirstMars pioneers will be using. The processing equipment you have envisioned will all come from Earth, or by Mars manufacture after the basics are covered. Unfortunately I don't have an autoCAD program available to me now. I'm trying to come up with a simple solution to a complex problem of running the supply streams and waste streams of the colony. I'm not wishing to get out my drafting stuff and do this all by hand, but if that's what it takes--so be it. I'm still in the conceptualization stage, but what you are thinking is years ahead of where the first few ships filled with long term residents need to be.
In a press release dated 2 January, 2017 at 09:00 EST, SpaceX announced the results of the investigation of the September 2016 "anomaly," and announced a return to flight from Vandenburg AFB, launching the Iridium Next satellite constellation on 8 January 2017.
After skimming thorough this thread, it seems as though the SAFE-400 reactor is a possible candidate for an early SpaceX Red Dragon mission to Mars?
In my analysis of any construction of a Mars base/colony, one of the first requirements for any progress at all will be availability of ample electric power. The mobility option described above in post #128 seems to be a way of moving this to an operating location. This would not be used in an early Methylox generation protocol, but a pre-positioned power source for the first base.
I'm not making a new contribution to this thread, but simply bringing it forward for some possible inclusion in a possible new "Mars Development Flow Chart" thread. I'm not a big supporter of a Solar Panels only approach. Power is needed during dust storm cycles.
There are many quotable posts above, but instead of filling up pages with previous comments, I'm simply going to make reference in passing. I've commented several times that a real "chemical engineering" type process flow sheet needs to be developed for all the planning. I'll get started on that sometime this week. We may want to begin a new thread which consolidates much of what is contained in the "Hydroponics" thread, "Materials" thread, "chickens," "swine," etc. since these are not stand alone topics, but interact within the broad spectrum of ideas which have been presented. In reality, there will be process flow charts in different eras of the settlement/colonization time lines. What I believe we should do is start at...The Beginning!
But as Robert has pointed out in his above post, the construction of greenhouses will have a top priority for the initial mostly vegan diet, followed by more substantial structures for handling varieties of husbandry (poultry, livestock, aquaculture, etc.).
I'll begin by filling in my background so everyone understands my "take" on things.
I began my university career at the University of Colorado, Boulder and majoring in Aeronautical Engineering; after about 2 years I began having some family and financial issues which started impacting my academics, and I left school. In that time frame, it meant no Draft deferments, so I spent 3 years in the U.S. Army as a Medic. After discharge, I was fortunate the U.S. Government had just started the Vietnam Era GI bill, which enabled me to return to school. It's difficult to pick up in engineering after a 3+ year layoff, so completed my degree in Chemistry. After a year in the Chemical Industry, I returned to school and completed a Ph.D. in Physical Chemistry at the University of Wyoming, Laramie. My specialty was Photochemistry, and specifically the interaction of light with living systems: Chemistry of Vision and Photosynthesis. I did a 2 year PostDoc at the University of California, Santa Cruz on an NIH Postdoctoral Fellowship through the National Eye Institute. I subsequently spent a year at Stanford as a Research Associate, non teaching faculty standing. I had made a few connections with some other entrepreneurial motivated guys and began a business doing custom organic synthesis of various biochemical compounds, which morphed into a concentration in the field of endocrinology and peptides. A divorce put an end to that venture, but a new girlfriend, also a chemist, and I began a new business which was quite successful in the field of polymer supported organic synthesis and manufacture of the beaded polystyrene supports (Merrifield Resins, and related). My new gal and I married and moved to Wyoming because industrial property was cheap. No state income tax, either. We bought a ranch in 1996 for our planned retirement, and I entered another "educational experience," learning how to irrigate hay meadows, operate the necessary machinery to harvest and bale hay for the herd of cattle we started, rising to ~ 100 cows by 2002. By 2005, the impact of China on U.S. manufacturing caused me to sell our business and become a consultant to the company which purchased it, and devote more time to ranching. By 2007, illness reached out it's ugly hand to my wife, and finally took her in 2010.
I'm fully appreciative of this opportunity to utilize my 55+ years of experience in a combination of chemical manufacturing and agriculture to colonizing Mars. I read Dr. Zubrin's book, The case for Mars, in 2009. I am very motivated to do whatever I can to further what I view as the greatest adventure and undertaking of mankind in the history of the world.
Not to pick but what century is this happening as we can not even deliver a whole person yet...with life sustaining supplies....
When my wife and I were getting started in ranching and my dad was still alive, he was fond of telling us stories about his childhood on a farm in Illinois. His comments about how they utilized a hog that they had butchered and how they used "everything but the squeal." That's the way things will have to be done on Mars for the colonists to succeed. Use of vegetable plant byproducts (chopped stalks and humanly inedible leaves and roots) for animal feeds, and animal wastes (chickenshit, cow manure, sheep manure, swine manure, etc.) for fertilizer/soil conditioner to grow crops. Everything will have to be kept as low tech as possible--initially.
GW-
If you recall, the original Ares I in the defunct Constellation program was relying on a solid propellant first stage? I actually thought it was a good concept, since SRBs are considerably less expensive than a LOX-RP-1 propellant booster; no enormous plumbing systems and turbo-pumps, not to mention the rocket motor itself. I had an online discussion with a friend who recently retired from NASA at the Ames Laboratory in California, and he commented that the cancellation would probably come later in the program anyway, since the manned vehicle had "gained weight" during the design process and the Ares I booster as designed would have been inadequate to place the overweight vehicle in LEO, even with some upgrades to the second stage.
Lake Matthew Team-Cole
From your previous post, it strikes me that what you're describing if dry sand is where the final crops are located, you've created standard soli type agriculture? Kind of the "Long way around." I understand the wish to create an optimal new system, but the crop planners need some hands-on time before succumbing to theory.
My REAL objection to hydroponics is very pragmatic; it's one thing to GROW the crops. but harvesting takes considerable effort. If one is talking about grains, it takes different pathways for them. Some, such as oats, are first mowed and cured in the sunlight before threshing. Wheat is simply cured on the stalk before threshing. Doing this over hydroponic beds is pretty impractical, regardless of the theoretical yields. Going the hydroponic highway violates my basic principle of KISS!
Hydroponics could serve for crops such as Bush variety squashes (Zucchini, Yellow Crookneck), Tomatoes, Lettuce, Bush Beans, etc. but would be a real pain to use for grain crop production on a large scale. As Spacenut has indicated above, there are several mass limitations involved, rendering hydroponics as an interesting impracticality.
I don't know how many here have actually worked in agriculture--in the real world. My involvement was strictly as an avocation, since I'm actually an Industrial and Manufacturing Chemist (now retired) professional. When my late wife and I bought a ranch in 1996, it was strictly meant to be fulfillment of a retirement dream, and neither of us realized just what we'd gotten into! Everything I know about agriculture and crop production, livestock management, raising poultry, etc., came from a fortuitous happenstance of having an excellent neighbor. It was Dr. Cross, DVM, from whom I gained an education. He was a lifetime rancher and a brilliant veterinarian, a member of the State Board of Pharmacy, and on the State Livestock Board. If it involved animal diseases and husbandry, and I had a question--he had the answers. As a result of our friendship and his disability, I wound up attending veterinary conferences at Colorado State University, School of Veterinary Medicine.
Many of Louis' concerns are unfounded, regards chickens and pathogens. If the chickens are hatched from eggs on the trip to Mars, and from eggshells externally treated to remove all traces of Earthly diseases, the only bacterial contamination they would be exposed to would be from the animal feed provided, and exposure to humans. Veterinary medicine has come a loooong way! Trichinosis in swine has been virtually eliminated--even in Iowa "Pig Factories." This has been accomplished through widespread utilization of embryo transplants under extremely selective conditions and to sows certified disease free. I'm proposing we bring only pathogen-free livestock to Mars. The concern of airborne pathogens is based on the presence of pathogens in the first place. Each animal species would have it's own environmental enclosure, and since air recirculation is important--adequate filtration on a micron scale.
Another reason I mention the chickens is the benefit of chickensh*t, which is mostly composed of Uric Acid. Birds do not urinate, and no urea is produced. Their excretion product, Uric Acid, would be very beneficial to gardening and destruction of perchlorates in Martian soils. so--"Mary, Mary, how does your garden grow?" One heckuva lot better with Uric Acid fertilizer on Mars. This would enable even bush crops such as Blueberries, Raspberries, etc. to be grown in Mars soil.
As I mentioned earlier in this discussion, a master flow chart is needed in order to maximize utilization of EVERYTHING!
Lake Matthew Team-Cole- I have issues with the concept of using hydroponics. It's certainly possible for certain varieties of plants, but totally unfeasible for grain crops such as wheat, barley, oats, rye...etc. It's very difficult to harvest from hydroponic containers, at least in any quantity. I believe RobertDyck has already addressed the perchlorate issue, as perchlorates decompose upon addition of acids. We've mentioned a requirement for ammonium nitrate for Nitrogen, but a common additive to gardens in parts of the USA is Ammonium Hydrogen Sulfate. In particular, for growing Blueberries which require acidic soil. I've used the stuff as a surface dressing for my alkaline soil at my ranch. The Martian atmosphere is also a source of carbonic acid, simply by bubbling it through water and spreading on the soil. Gypsum dust is nothing other than dry Plaster of Paris, which is found at White Sands, New Mexico. Not really a toxin. Chromium in traces is an element required for proper function of the pancreas. As a rancher, I'd much rather deal with treating the regolith and conversion into a viable and fertile soil.
One of the questions that keeps nagging me: if we are going to Mars "to stay," then should the second Hohmann transfer window expedition be sending a lot more than a single replacement crew and return ship? The scale of the endeavor needs to expand rapidly such as bringing an entire ship (or ships!) loaded with agricultural essentials; Ammonium Nitrate based fertilizers, especially enriched with Potassium. Also, the basics for constructing the enlarged greenhouse. It's going to take manpower and supplies to get a true base up and running. This could be accomplished with the cargo vessels by using an lower energy flight path of 8 months as opposed to the 6 month "free return" model. Send 3 or 4 cargo ships and start accumulating the supplies. Elon Musk's dreams are marvelous, but a bit fanciful in areas.
Many years ago, I remember being able to buy a fertilizer at the hardware, ranch supply, and feed stores called "Milorganite." It was the dried and sterilized poop from the city of Milwaukee. In the waste treatment plants of most large cities, there are several steps to processing, one of which is centrifugation for removal of solids. The waste water is subsequently treated either by aeration or addition of various chemical agents. If toilet waste can be segregated such that tampons and condoms are trapped before entering the centrifuge, this new "Marsite" fertilizer can be used in agriculture.
Firstly, we are not going to move to 100% self-sufficiency in Mars food production from the get-go. The first missions will bring substantial food supplies from Earth. Agriculture will initially be supplementary and so very short growing times will not be an absolute imperative. I think we will simply want to put in a place a range of crops to provide a varied and satisfying diet.
Some of the most useful first crops will probably be the salad leaf varieties. These are already successfully grown in artificial conditions in Antarctic stations. Maybe tomatoes as well. Bean shoots grow very quickly and abundantly.
We shouldn't neglect more substantial crops though. Buckwheat is a very useful crop that can be used to make breads and pancakes. Dwarf Buckwheat can be grown in 65 days.
Buckwheat is a useful short growing season crop, as is grain sorghum. Many of these crops we've been discussing have more than one part of the plant providing usable product.
Doing the analyses as many here have done, resulted in some screwy models based on isolation from other uses of what would be "waste, or by-products." It makes very little sense to me to model in this manner; a massive flow chart of all agricultural undertakings would serve to illustrate. For example; a set of figures for chicken production was presented, but that's for a "chicken factory," or massive operation. The feed was all listed out as quantities needed for XYZ number of chickens. Grain sorghum was included in that list, as were Corn and Barley. Chicken production on Mars will NOT proceed that way, since the necessary products will be unavailable or in short supply. A lot of "human food" has concomitant "human inedibles." That can go a very long way towards cutting into the list of feeds required for chickens, cows, and swine. Looking at the big picture--flow chart and spreadsheet--will serve to get things a lot more realistically organized.
The chickens are a great species to begin with, since they are capable of two forms of food production: eggs and meat. Building some horticulture around chickens would make a good starting point. I'll spend some time building a flow chart system on a smaller initial scale and post here at a later date.
In order to accomplish a true Mars colony, there will initially need to be an emphasis on bringing in agricultural supplies, embryonic livestock or immature animals in order to save space and weight. One supply ship with skeleton crew to care for baby chicks, piglets, and calves could work, especially if crewed with the colony's agricultural team.
Has anyone here contemplated Elon Musk's proposal of bringing settlers to mars 100 at a batch, and the impact that has on supply side of things? Calorie counting aside, a normal person has a 2 % body weight daily food intake for weight maintenance, and 2.5 % to 4 % or more with heavy activity; i.e. doing farming or construction. Running some rough numbers, supplies from Earth will be a major source of food for the first 3 years after new arrivals begin consuming supplies. Taking the FAA guideline for the average passenger weight on an airliner, 170 pounds, that calculates to a minimum of 340 pounds per day for sedentary activity, or double that if they are all going to be engaged in construction or say an average of 500 pounds per day for an average set of activity levels. Before they arrive, I would expect there to be a 3 year supply of food on hand, which calculates to 547,500 pounds of food. Add in the base building advance party of maybe 20 to 50 workers, there's another supply/logistics problem of having 273,750 more pounds stockpiled. His interplanetary transport system is going to be busy bringing food, much more so than additional colonists. Some SERIOUS WORK needs to be accomplished before massive colonization begins. There's a distinct need for a serious agriculture base before overloading the system with more mouths.
As I mentioned in another post--an initial exploration party of 7 is ideal; enough hands to get something done, and not just wandering around doing science. Need to begin the agricultural experiments with a wide variety of test crops in a smallish greenhouse, and get some serious structures capable of shielding from Solar flares. Finding and developing a reliable water supply; bringing a small Nuclear reactor on line, etc. Other suggestions of using artificial light for agriculture are nicely discussed in Robert Zubrin's "Entering Space." Too high a power requirement!
My proposed greenhouse system will undoubtedly be only temporary; I would prefer the construction to be more resistant to the postulated micrometeorite hits, tears, and more suitable for enclosing livestock (?).Long term solution? Build of regolith bricks and polycarbonate windows. That, or glass , locally produced. RobertDyck has proposed a much smaller greenhouse in the Materials thread. I'm approaching this problem as one who has actually produced crops and livestock; anything as small as proposed elsewhere will ultimately fail in the purpose of feeding the anticipated numbers. The smaller versions will undoubtedly be useful in augmentation of the food supplies brought from Earth, but nowhere close to generating sustainability.
I just completed another calculation, and we definitely need to include a floor. Pressurization of my structure would lift it off the deck in a heartbeat. I'm now including an additional floor area of 6963.6 meters^2, of a substantially heavier polymer coated Kevlar fabric. I'm guessing an 12 kg per meter^2 weight. Add 83,562 kg to my initial weight of the structure; this is minus and airlocks or support equipment (sprinklers, LED lighting, etc.). I believe there is also a discussion of the materials used on another thread? Mainly, we need a transparent south facing "window,' which can only be of a polymer film.
Lake Matthew Team-Cole;
That seems to be massive overkill, and designed for deep space use. I would expect that the polymer films would be considerably lighter and thinner. The greenhouses would not need to be at 1 atm. pressure, either. We need a transparent southern exposure, if the greenhouses are optimally situated. I've calculated the area of both the hemi-cylinder and 2 hemispherical walled ends at 4907meters^2., and a heavy polymer construction at 5 kg/ meter^2. Yes, this is pretty heavy: 24,539 kg. I've estimated on the high side for the weight of the structure, and depends on the wall thickness and any Kevlar reinforcements for strips at edges of the joints.
I checked and rechecked the calculation, and have made the appropriate corrections.
What structural mass per m3 do you estimate for your quonset-style greenhouse? For comparison, an LMT 300-m water-roof dome is notionally a modular titanium polygon / ETFE foil cushion structure. That structure (including anchoring system) comes in around 0.1 kg/m3.
I haven't done any calculations, and am assuming the early greenhouses will be inflatables brought from Earth. Later on, they will be from locally produced Polycarbonate and/or ABS plastics.