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#201 Re: Human missions » What should we call the first humans on Mars? » 2018-11-11 20:21:55

Terraformer wrote:

If they're coming back after having a look around, they're explorers. If they're sticking around and trying to make the first few settlements work, they're pioneers. If they're coming after that and setting up new settlements, they're settlers. If they're moving to a well established settlement, they're immigrants.

+1

#202 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-11 20:03:11

kbd512 mentioned that his knowledge of thermodynamics is not strong.  Mine also is not strong: Thermodynamics is a notoriously difficult subject and most of what I know is what to ignore when analyzing a thermodynamic engine.  Luckily, that is the relevant portion for most practical applications.  I don't know how much kbd specifically knows or doesn't know, but in this post I would like to cover the basics of thermodynamic engines for anyone who cares to learn.

My background is in mechanical engineering and my knowledge of the subject comes from a single class, which in my opinion was poorly taught by a professor who was an expert in his field but didn't care for teaching.  Thermodynamics is in some ways the bastard child of physics and chemistry, relevant to both but firmly part of neither.

Anyway, I'm going to start by defining the relevant variables:

T: Temperature, a familiar measurement which should be measured on an absolute scale (i.e. Kelvin or Rankine)
S: Entropy, measured in J/mol-K or J/kg-K.  I'll be honest: I don't know what entropy is and I'm not sure anyone does.  It has something to do with "disorder" in a system.  Hotter things have more entropy than colder ones, all else equal; gases have more of it than liquids, which have more of it than solids.  Entropy after a process will always be the same or higher than before it.
H: Enthalpy or heat, measured in J, J/kg, or J/mol.  This is a measurement of heat added to or subtracted from the system to get it to a certain state, which usually means some amount of fluid.
Q: This is a measurement of heat being added to or subtracted from a system.
U: Internal Energy, measured in J, J/kg, or J/mol.  This is a measurement of the energy stored in atomic vibration and physical or chemical bonds.
W: Work, measured in J, J/kg, or J/mol.  This is a measure of the useful (usually mechanical) output of a thermodynamic process.
X (technically the greek letter chi): Quality.  This refers to the portion of a fluid, by mass, that is vapor.  For example, you might have a X of 0.7, meaning that 70% of your fluid is gas and 30% is a liquid.  Turbines will not work with a quality factor below roughly 0.9.  Pistons are somewhat more robust but you will have difficulty clearing the piston on a downstroke if there's too much liquid in it.

The first law of thermodynamics is:

dU=dQ-dW

"d" as used here refers to an infinitesimal change.  You can replace the "d" with a "∆" (change in) without changing your understanding of the First Law.  This equation means that the change in the internal energy of a system (the energy stored in molecular vibrations and chemical bonds) is equal to the amount of heat added to the system minus the amount of work done by the system. 

In a thermodynamic engine like a piston, a rocket engine, or a turbine we are converting heat energy into useful work by exploiting a temperature differential.  Below, I have included a Temperature-Entropy diagram for a typical one-stage steam turbine.

images?q=tbn:ANd9GcRF203xLKkyqc-cg0LPeFVVlSPBkF8vhgJE4zgJHVMAmrAupuT1

Entropy is on the horizontal axis and Temperature on the vertical axis.  To the left of the red curve water is entirely in the liquid state.  To the right of the red curve water is entirely in the gaseous state, as steam.  Under the curve water is partially vaporized, with a quality between 0 and 1.  Here's what's going on in that graph:

  • Between points 1 and 2, water near its boiling temperature is compressed (i.e. there is an input of work)

  • Between points 2 and 4, the water is heated to its boiling point at said pressure (at point 3) and then further heated until all of the water has vaporized, and then further heated beyond that temperature (i.e. there is an input of heat energy)

  • Between points 4 and 5, work is extracted from the fluid using a turbine.  In the idealized model this is adiabatic (Q=0) and isentropic (∆S=0).  A process that is isentropic is also reversible because no energy has been lost.  Real-world turbines can achieve roughly 85% of the work output of the isentropic value.

  • Between points 5 and 1 the fluid is cooled back to its original state.

The value that we as users are interested in is the efficiency.  Here's how you calculate it:

Efficiency is the net work produced by the engine divided by the heat input to the engine.

The net work is the work output (between points 4 and 5) minus the work input (between points 1 and 2).

In the abstract, work done by a compressor is:

dW=d(PV)

In general, this is difficult to solve analytically because you need to determine how pressure affects temperature and vice versa when temperature is not constant (PV=nRT is not useful here).  However, water is much easier because the volume doesn't change with pressure.  Therefore, we have:

W=VP

To calculate the work output, we use the difference in H between points 4 and 5.  For water, we can look this up in Steam Tables and look at the difference in H between points 4 and 5.

Calculating the heat input is quite simple: It's equal to the difference in H between point 4 and point 2.

If working with Carbon Dioxide, the process is quite similar.  I just discovered that the back of my old Thermo textbook has steam tables for CO2, meaning I can give more accurate numbers for efficiency and work output.  I will do this in a following post.

#203 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-11 15:48:32

Hey kbd512,

My high-level take is that this is a good idea with a lot going for it.  A jar of LCO2 is pretty lightweight, easy to use, safe, reliable, and fairly easy to transport.  Assuming you get 80 kJ/kg out of the LCO2 when all is said and done (pistons and turbines being less than perfectly efficient, after all) you're storing about 0.025 kWh/L.  The tank itself might be a pain to lug around to where you need it but the mass delivered to Mars can be quite small.

For reference, the pressure range we're discussing is similar to what you would see in a propane tank.  If you're using a spherical tank make from Aluminium 7075 and a safety factor of 5 (standard for pressure vessels) and a design pressure of 10 atm you're looking at a mass (just for the tank) of 250 kg/m3 of internal volume.

In The Case for Mars Zubrin suggested that we could run things off MethLOX siphoned off from the fuel generated by the Sabatier reaction, burned in an internal combustion engine.  Incidentally, as has been mentioned previously, you'll still want to dilute the MethLox with some CO2 to keep it from burning too hot.

CO2 has a higher heat capacity than Nitrogen.  Based on the NIST WebBook, the heat capacity for N2 at 1000 K is 32.5 J/mol-K and for CO2 is 54.5 J/mol-K.  This means that the appropriate mole ratio of CO2 to O2 is 2.24, compared to 3.76 of N2:O2 in Earth's atmosphere. 

The stoichiometric mass ratio of CH4:O2 is 1:4, so this implies that the mass ratio of (CH4 and O2) to LCO2 will be 5:1.  The mass ratio of LCO2 to LCH4 will be 25:1 and of LCO2 to LOX will be 6:1.

What this makes me wonder is what the solubilities of each of these in LCO2 is.  It's something that probably hasn't been well-studied, but there's huge gains to be made from storing LOX or LCH4 (Which are substantially colder than the Martian ambient) vs. LCO2 (which is liquid at mild pressure under Martian ambient) and if you can solvate the fuel and oxidizer in LCO2 there would be big gains to be made.

I know very little about modern batteries or rad-hardening of electronics.  Fuel cells seem to be a potentially viable alternative, I know NASA has used them in space in various contexts in the past.  I would say that if it improves mission operations even a little bit it's worth spending a few million dollars to rad-harden some batteries.

#204 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Corporate Government » 2018-11-10 21:29:34

As I said in the other thread, I believe that your post started out in a good place but went rapidly downhill once you started getting into the details of how your proposed society would work.  Before I get to responding to what you said, I want to talk about how I think about the ideals of government.  It's hard to design a good society from scratch, after all, and I don't think it's entirely fair to criticise without proposing an alternative.

In my opinion, a good society is one which maximizes freedom, democracy, justice, and prosperity.  These ideas are all related, but can also be in conflict and require choices to be made for one over the other.  Here's how I look at each of those terms:

Freedom: Freedom is the ability to do the things you want to do.  Freedom has both positive and negative aspects, meaning that you are both not prevented from doing those things and that you are able to do them.  The important aspects of freedom are different for different people.  What this means is that freedoms in the abstract are different from the freedoms that actually matter to people in a specific place and time.  Both are important but I would say the latter is more important.

Democracy: As Abe Lincoln described it, democracy is government of the people, by the people, for the people.
Democracy means that the people affected by something get to make the important decisions about it.  Democratic governance is what happens when a group of people make decisions about matters as a group. In some sense, freedom is for an individual, and democracy is a corresponding attribute of a group.

Justice: Justice can mean a lot of things to a lot of different people, but fundamentally I think it means living in a society where ideas triumph over power dynamics.  Justice is the foundation for things like peaceful conflict resolution, fairness, and the rule of law.

Prosperity: Freedom, democracy, and justice exist in the real world, where human beings need food to eat, air to breathe, and homes to live in, and where the fruits of a well-functioning economy can enrich the lives of their beneficiaries.   Freedom, democracy, justice, and prosperity can exist alone but each is more meaningful in context and balance with the other three.

Anyway, I'll start with the good: I absolutely agree with the idea that the main levels of government should be local and global.  Most functions of government like education, infrastructure, safety, health, and community planning make sense as things that should be handled locally.  Then, there are some things like long-term planning, common defense, rights enforcement, etc. that should be handled at the highest possible level.  There's not much need for something in between, although towns and cities may want to form common councils or leagues for specific purposes.

Preventing war is a valiant goal, and designing a good political system to resolve tensions can go a long way to help it out.  But looking forward to hundreds of years of the future there's no way to guarantee a war can't happen.

On the topic of libertarian government: It's important, of course, to distinguish between the local and planetary government, which you have done.  And I think in the abstract "you can do whatever you want as long as you're not harming anyone" is a reasonable-sounding rule.  The thing is that every action every person takes affects other people for better and for worse.  You suggested, for example, that people should be able to buy and sell codeine without regulation or prescription.  I don't feel the need to say that it should necessarily be handled at a planetary level, but I would say absolutely that highly addictive substances like opioids (of which codeine is one) should have limited circulation.  If a town did want to make drugs legal and available, well--that would be a good example of freedom, democracy, justice, and prosperity coming into conflict.

Speaking more generally, again, I like the idea that each town can follow its own path and I think we would all agree that there would need to be limits.  I think the problem comes from the idea that, whatever limits are set, there won't be constant transgressions.  Most cases will be gray areas, and this becomes a trickier and trickier problem the more different the different towns are.

On the topic of taxation: All individuals and businesses exist in a society and benefit in various ways from the existence of that society.  Having a society costs money.  Therefore, members of a society pay taxes into a common treasury to support the institutions that make their way of life possible.  Charging citizens and businesses for use of public resources such as living quarters may or may not be good policy, but I take no issue with it.  Fundamentally, though, all wealth is created from common property (the land) and common labor.  The choices people make about how to use those resources affects other people, both in the positive sense (if you build a settlement somewhere, there is a settlement in that place) and the negative sense (if you build a settlement somewhere, I cannot build a mine on that same spot).

I think the place where I disagree most strenuously is your description of how it is to be paid for.  The claim that the colony will become profitable by overcharging immigrants for transportation seems questionable.  If a settlement isn't profitable on its own terms, wages likely won't be very high, and a family or individual won't drop everything to go.  Such things may have worked before the telegraph and the internet; they won't work now.

Broadly speaking, the society you've described seems to be one where the Corporation spends a lot of time bilking its employees and uses its power to profit off the acts of government.  Such a thing may come to pass but it's nothing to aspire to and indeed is a great reason to be skeptical of private space colonization as something that's worthwhile.

#205 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-10 18:02:33

So the idea is, in effect, to use the RHUs to heat up the CO2 (instead of liquid water as I have proposed) and thus extract more energy out per unit volume of fuel.

So far I'd say we're starting from a solid place.  In fact, the reason I suggested multiple stages of heating/turbines is that heating to -20 C is suboptimal for extracting all that pressure-energy--Heating to -20 C and then allowing it to cool by expansion to 198 K still leaves a residual pressure of almost 2 atmospheres.

Let's say the inlet pressure remains at 500 kPa and you want the outlet pressure to be 10 kPa (10 times Martian ambient).  The pressure change across that differential would be to decrease temperature by a factor of 2.75 (I have been assuming ideal gas behavior in this thread which makes my numbers somewhat inaccurate.  Consider them to be estimates).  That means that your ideal "hot" temperature for the gas would be 275 C.  This is a nice operating temperature, actually, because it's right near the upper limit of common steel materials.

Of course there's no particular reason to use the critical pressure.  The critical temperature is somewhat below average Martian ambient conditions, and actually because of the narrow liquid range near the critical point you might want to be at a somewhat higher temperature/pressure.

Speaking roughly, the amount of energy you can get per unit of LCO2 is proportional to that temperature change (not exactly because of changes in heat capacity and Cp/Cv with temperature but close enough).  Using this temperature differential (350 C instead of 55 C in my design) you'll get roughly 95 kJ of work per kg of LCO2 and the "efficiency" will be the same 52%.

Obviously the same caveat about efficiency applies, namely that this is not a true measurement of efficiency because it disregards the energy used to liquefy and pressurize the CO2.

One number that's relevant here is the energy cost of freezing CO2 out of the atmosphere.  The heat of sublimation of CO2 is 571 kJ/kg.  Let's say your cold side is at a temperature of 190 K (somewhat below the sublimation temperature) and your hot side at 250 K (a bit warmer than the martian ambient).  Refrigeration is cool because you can pump more heat than the amount of work you put in.  The carnot coefficient of performance between these two temperatures will be 4, meaning it will cost you 140 kJ/kg of CO2 to freeze out of the atmosphere.

Of those 571 kJ, about 200 kJ will be retained to melt and pressurize the CO2 into a liquid.  This can actually be much more efficient because you're pumping from a cold side of (say) 190 K to a hot side of (say) 230 K for a COP closer to 6.

There was one thing you said that isn't correct:

kbd512 wrote:

The heated CO2 increases gas volume, thus pressure in a fixed geometry gas line, to drive the engine at greater efficiency per mass unit of gas expelled.

Heating gas in a line doesn't increase the pressure unless the line is closed at both ends: Instead, the pressure remains roughly constant, the temperature rises, and the gas moves more quickly through the line.  As far as thermodynamic engines go I think this is a better thing anyway.

#206 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Corporate Government » 2018-11-10 14:17:43

From the Martian government and importance of communication thread:

RobertDyck wrote:

Hi Big_Al, and welcome. IanM mentioned corporate government; I started that discussion, initial post is my idea. I'll try to very briefly describe key features. If you want to continue discussion of that proposal, we should really do it in that thread.

Ensure no war
Leaders have engaged in war as far back as we have any history. That goes back over 15,000 years, before the end of the last ice age. We don't want to export war into space. So my proposal is very simple: no nations. There will be one Mars government, I called it a "federal government" but some have pointed out what I describe is a unitary government. So it's best described as a "national" government, not federal. This one "national" government will have jurisdiction over the entire planet Mars. All of it's surface from pole to pole, from the prime meridian around the planet back to the same prime meridian, solid matter from the surface down to the core, the atmosphere, orbital space, and even both moons. Everything. And if I didn't include anything, that's included too. There shall be just 2 levels of government: national, and municipal. That's it, nothing more. No countries, no states or provinces, no counties, shires, townships, rural municipalities, or "oblast". The last is a Russian term, used by former members of the Soviet Union. Furthermore, towns/cities will only be allowed to declare territory of a town or city, certainly not territory of a county or state or province. No backdoor method of creating a state or province. Towns will have authority of a town, nothing more. Only the national government will be allowed to have a military, and only that national military will be allowed to posses weapons of war. That means police and individuals can own a hand gun, but only the military will be allowed to own a carbine (sometimes called assault rifle) or tank or fighter jet, etc. If towns try to engage in war against each other, the national military will intervene and stop it. If a town builds a military, the national police will arrest the town mayor and councillors, arrest soldiers of that town's military and seize all weapons of war.

Minimal regulation / Libertarian
The point is maximum freedom. You can do anything you want, as long as you don't harm someone else. If you do something that harms yourself, you're on your own dude! National laws shall be very minimal, general principle is: Thou shalt not kill. That shalt not steel. Other than that, you're on your own dude! Of course there's going to be details to that: assault, battery, breaking-and-entering, theft, robbery, embezzlement, extortion, etc. Once lawyers get involved, something that was very simple becomes very complex. But if more than one person wants to marry each other, it's up to them. Age of consent will be set by municipalities, not the national government. Jewish tradition holds a "bar mitzvah" for boys or "bat mitzvah" for girls at age 13. That's passage from childhood to adulthood. You're not expected to know everything required to be an adult at that age, rather you're treated as an adult and expected to start to learn how to be an adult at that age. In Canada in the late 1800s, age of consent was 14. Young women in their late teens were expected to get married and start a family. The term "maid" meant a young woman who isn't married. The term "old maid" meant a woman over the age of 18 who still isn't married, and was considered unlikely to ever get married because she's too old. Today marriage before age 18 is considered a problem; how cultural morals have changed. My point is it isn't the job of the national government to enforce cultural morals. Furthermore, in the late 1800s men were required to wear a shirt in public. A man not wearing a shirt in public was considered indecent exposure. Polynesian culture had women walking around topless. Which is right? Why do men or women need a shirt when inside a pressurized, climate controlled environment? That's up to the town to decide, not the national government. When I was a child, my parents purchased headache pills called 222 or the stronger ones 292. These were aspirin with codeine. Why are they regulated today? If someone wants to buy prescription drugs, it's up to them.

No Tax
That means no tax. At all. Period. None. Full stop.
No income tax, no sales tax, no property tax, no import tax, no export tax, no excise tax, no luxury tax, no payroll tax, no business tax. No capital gains tax, no corporate tax, no dividend tax, no flat tax, no gift tax, no inheritance tax, no windfall profits tax, no alcohol tax, no sin tax, no carbon tax, no capital tax, no land transfer tax. No stamp duty. No medicare premium, no medicaid, no healthcare premium. No social security, no employment insurance premium, no pension plan premium. No federal/national license fees or permits. If I missed something, none of that either.

However, a pressurized habitat may charge a service fee. A town could be a pressurized dome, but more likely will be a pressurized building similar to a major shopping mall today. Rent for space in that pressurized building would pay for all the services that municipal property tax pays for today, and more: pressure, heat, oxygen recycling. But also security (police), garbage collection, public corridors (instead of streets). Utility bills would charge for water (with a surcharge for sewage based on water usage), electricity, internet.

All communication on Mars will be internet. Smartphones will be IP phones that use Wifi. No LTE cell service, no CDMA, TDSCDMA, EvDo, GSM, or WCDMA. No need because we can use Wifi. No landline telephone, just various capabilities of Wifi IP phone. No cable TV, instead streaming internet services including YouTube and the Mars equivalent of NetFlix.

How it's paid for
This leads the question: how is it paid for. I based this on what Robert Zubrin wrote in his book "The Case for Mars", but with more detail. He said the price of a ticket to Mars will be the life savings of a middle class family. Sell your house, sell your car(s), liquidate your pension and life insurance. This includes a typical modern suburban house. Sell everything, and you get a ticket for husband, wife, children, and room for some luggage. That's all. I expect a colonial transport ship would be reused, travelling from Earth orbit to Mars orbit and back. A reusable shuttle on Earth would transport settlers to the interplanetary ship, and a shuttle on Mars would transport them down. The corporation that owns the interplanetary ship would establish a city on Mars, and all settlers would arrive there. Propellant for the interplanetary ship would either be produced on Mars and transported to a fuel depot in Earth orbit, or ice on one of Mars moons (Demos ro Phobos), or a C-type near-Earth-asteroid. The same corporation would own/operate the propellant operation to supply their own ship. The city on Mars would mine resources on Mars, smelt, refine, and manufacture spare parts to maintain the ship. The city on Mars would also have greenhouses to grow food to supply the ship. So once this is set up, all costs to operate the interplanetary transport come from the Mars economy, but settlers pay in Earth currency. No need to transport any goods back to Earth, as long as settlers stream to Mars, investors who established this corporation get a massive stream of Earth money.

Secondary economy on Mars will be to supply settlers with everything you need: habitat, life support, power supply, everything required to build a homestead in the "outback". That's an Australian term. We can't use the term "wilderness" because Mars doesn't have wildlife. The corporation will strongly encourage homesteaders to establish a cottage industry to produce something. Can you build a spacesuit helmet better than the one the Corporation makes in their factory in the city? Great! You built greenhouses that grow cacoa trees, and you process the seed pods to produce cocoa, and then further process that to make chocolate? Wonderful! The Corporation will simply reconfigure it's factory or greenhouse to grow something else. Mars will need so much stuff that it'll be a long time before it's able to produce everything it needs. Besides, the Corporation will use your success as marketing to encourage more people on Earth to buy a ticket to Mars. Oh, you didn't notice that your ticket to Mars includes a clause that grants the corporation the right to use your story and your image for their sales marketing? Without paying you a thing. smile So out-compete the Corporation, the Corporation really wants you to, they'll make more money from settler tickets than they lose from manufacturing crap on Mars. big_smile

And the Corporation will establish an employee recruitment centre, right where new settlers arrive. Just came to Mars, spent everything you have on the ticket? No money to buy a homestead? No problem! We're hiring. We offer free accommodation in employee housing, with free utilities. The Corporation has a company cafeteria with free meals (for employees only). Free transport to work, but that's probably just a corridor you walk down from company housing to the factory. Mars rover bus for miners to the mine site. And free medical insurance for company employees, their spouse and children. Oh, did we mention? After all that free stuff, your pay is peanuts. But you can save up for a homestead! Groceries for your apartment you pay for yourself. Restaurant meals anywhere other than the company cafeteria are not free. Etc. Watch how much you spend. But you too can eventually be the proud owner of a homestead, where nothing is free!

Towns can establish their own system of government. Will town councillors/aldermen/mayor be elected? Or a religious colony? It's all up to the town. But town bylaws only apply within the town. The town could have their own police, but only municipal police. Initially, city police for the Corporate city will double as national police, but city bylaws only apply within the city, not the "outback" or other towns/cities. Outside boundaries of any city or town, the only laws that apply are national laws, and they're minimal. For example, a town may choose to be "dry", meaning no alcohol allowed, but if they do that only applies to that one town. No restriction in the "outback". A town may choose to outlaw marijuana, but no restriction outside that one town. A sealed pressurized habitat may ban smoking anything, after all it'll clog CO2 removal equipment of the life support system. And whatever you smoke, others in the same sealed habitat will have to breathe too. But outside in your pressurized rover, do whatever you want. In fact, driving high or drinking while driving won't be regulated. Inside a pressurized settlement it sure will! You don't want someone crashing a vehicle into people or a shop; it could do a lot of damage. But outside in the "outback", do whatever you want. If you crash your Mars rover into a crater, just remember there's no vehicle insurance and no AAA on Mars. I expect the city will require a driver's license to operate a motor vehicle inside the pressurized habitat, but outside in the "outback" no license required.

#207 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Martian government and importance of communication » 2018-11-10 14:16:13

Hey RobertDyck,

I think your post started out in a good place but went rapidly downhill once you started to get into the specifics of how the system you set out might actually work.

I have quoted your post in the corporate government thread and I will be writing a reply.

#208 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-09 21:09:00

kbd512,

No reason whatsoever from a technical standpoint.  The only reason is that, in my judgment, there are better ways to convert the heat from the Pu-238 into usable energy. 

From my perspective the biggest benefit to the system I described is that it can operate with an extremely low-grade energy source.  If I recall correctly, RTG sources generally operate at temperatures of several hundred degrees centigrade, meaning they're way overmatched for a system that can operate happily with a hot-side temperature of 0 C.

The other thing is that, from my perspective, the best thing about RTG is that it will produce power at a predictable, consistent rate with no fuel consumption for decades.  On the other hand this system consumes liquid CO2 as a sort of "propellant" so I think the benefits of the two systems are mismatched.

Based on the power production of an RTG unit (usually in the range of 1 kWt, if I recall correctly?) I think you'd want to look more towards a piston or turbine system operating at higher temperature, probably with Nitrogen, Helium, or Argon as a working fluid.  I know there's been some advances in microturbines lately but a piston system is simpler, if a little less efficient.

So: It would work but it's not the best use of the system imo.

#209 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-09 18:26:34

I don't think you would want to use this kind of system with a nuclear reactor because a gas or steam turbine would be much more efficient.  The main benefit to this system imo is that you can use a very low-grade heat source

#210 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-09 17:43:14

Hey louis,

Interesting article!  If I recall correctly there was a thread about that a while back but I don't think I got involved in that one.

While dry ice definitely has potential as an energy store, I don't think that particular device is the best way to extract energy from it.  The key fact about the leidenfrost effect that it's based on is that it slows down heat transfer, after all, which is the opposite of what you'd want.  More of a curiosity than a useful technology in my opinion.

Having said that, it's been pointed out various times on this forum that low nighttime temperatures on Mars mean that it's relatively easy to freeze CO2 out from the atmosphere.  For reference, solid CO2 has a density of 1.56 g/cc and liquid CO2 has a density of 1.1 g/cc.

Because it liquefies at a relatively low pressure and high temperature, CO2 happens to be a poor choice of gas for compressed gas applications without an external heating source.  Virtually any other gas is better.  On Mars, Nitrogen is probably the appropriate choice.

Having said that, I'm interested in the possibility of using liquid CO2 with a source of heat from the ambient environment as an energy store.  To start, here's some numbers:

The heat of vaporization of liquid CO2 is 15.326 kJ/mol.  The specific heat capacity of CO2 at constant volume is 47 J/mol-K. The triple point is at -56.6 C (216.6 K) and 510 kPa.

Let's say you store your CO2 as a liquid near the triple point, -57 C.  The pressure will be 5 atmospheres, 500 kPa and once released you further heat the gas to -20 C. Let's say that through a turbine or piston you reduce the pressure and allow the gas to cool to a temperature of 198 K, when it will begin to freeze.  The outlet pressure will be 1.9 atm, at which point you can reheat the gas to -20 C and re-expand (reducing the pressure once again by 62%) if you so choose.  The benefit is a more efficient use of LCO2.  The cost is that you'll get a worse efficiency, because you need to heat your CO2 by a larger amount.

The heat input required for the first stage once the CO2 has boiled is roughly 1300 J/mol (30 kJ/kg), and you will generate up to about 675 J/mol (15 kJ/kg), depending on your efficiency.  The reason your efficiency is so good on such a small temperature differential (the theoretical efficiency here is 52%; carnot efficiency between -20 C and -75 C is just 22%) is that it's possible to obtain the energy of vaporization from the environment which, while cold, is not that cold, usually.  You might use methanol in a heat exchanger to transfer the heat from the ground to the generator.

As far as the question of where that heat is supposed to come from, I believe there's actually a pretty simple answer: From freezing water which, as we all know, freezes at 0 C and releases 334 kJ/kg in that transition.

This is not a good fuel source for a vehicle, but actually seems quite promising for stationary applications.  A good nighttime energy source for a colony if you can freeze the CO2 during the day, perhaps?

Edit: I wrote this post over several days and I see that there's been substantially more discussion in the meantime

#211 Re: Planetary transportation » Steam powered rovers » 2018-11-08 10:22:24

Hey Big_Al,

I'm assuming you're talking about rovers build on Mars rather than sent from Earth, since for things sent from Earth mass really does matter.

A steam engine as we normally think about it is basically two things: A coal furnace hitched to a piston heat engine with water/steam as the working fluid.

Coal is wholly inappropriate for Mars, because there's no Oxygen atmosphere and no coal. 

I would argue that a steam engine, as we normally think of it, is inappropriate too.  The main reason is their extreme inefficiency.  Power plants these days use steam turbines instead because they're way more efficient at extracting energy. 

If we're looking to use chemical fuels on Mars, I think the right solution is either an internal combustion engine (for low power) fueled by an alcohol and compressed Oxygen or a gas turbine (for higher power) also probably fueled by an alcohol and compressed Oxygen.  For lower powers I think you'd probably want battery-electric.

A steam turbine might make sense for a Concentrated Solar Power system, though.

#212 Re: Civilization and Culture » Martian Moments » 2018-11-04 13:00:59

Okay, I've got a couple more for you.  This is a building owned by Spokane County in the city of Spokane, WA just north of the river.  It really looked to me like the kind of structure you might see on early Mars:

7FyuBe2.jpg

Here's what I like about this building as something you could see on Mars:

For reference, I described how I think buildings should be built in this post.

  • Brick outer layer: Would provide some radiation protection and thermal insulation, plus bricks are modular and relatively simple to manufacture (Sidenote, probably will be strengthened with basalt fibers)

  • The four corners are capped cylinders with narrow windows: This is a great shape for pressure retention and thermal insulation

  • Roof is well-shaped for 5-10 m of sandbags/regolith to contain pressure and protect from radiation, perhaps with a greenhouse on top (I would say every building should have a greenhouse on top with a lower level people can walk around in, it's important for people to have ready access to outdoor-feeling space)

  • Strongly fortified side-walls are well-designed for the potential to contain pressure in the lateral direction (If you look at the post I referenced above, most of the lateral pressure retention should be done with steel cables which lightens the shear/bending loads on rectangular walls)

  • Building is square in cross-section, which is good for pressure retention as described, for efficient use of a structure, and for thermal/radiation protection

  • Windows are tinted, which can provide a good view while still offering some protection

Given all the windows this building might find use as some kind of arcade or public space, or could just be a regular workspace/living space.  I would love if they followed Arkady's suggestion and used the brick faces of the buildings for murals.

#213 Re: Civilization and Culture » IQ and Space Colonisation » 2018-10-19 22:05:43

On the topic of affirmative action:

Diversity is critical to the success of a settlement.  In fact, I would say it's a sine qua non for any meaningful effort at permanent human populations on Mars.  I can think of at least two dimensions on which diversity is so obviously critical that most of us would endorse not just affirmative action but an honest-to-god quota system.

These two dimensions are professional skillset and sex.  The former to ensure that the settlement is adequately staffed to perform the functions it needs to survive, and the latter (among other reasons) because one male human and one female human are required to conceive children.  I suppose men aren't strictly necessary, but given that we're talking about STEM jobs I would expect there would be many more men than women without an effort at balancing the sexes.

I would go ahead and say that it's good to have a mix of ages in the settlement, from people who are younger and stronger to people who are older and wiser.

I would argue that other elements of diversity have value too, although they're sometimes hard to quantify.  When choosing members for settlement and choosing between otherwise comparable people it seems like no great loss (and indeed some benefit insofar as you're more likely to get different viewpoints) to choose the one coming from an underrepresented group. 

There can be political benefits too, insofar as your program will likely garner more support if more people can identify with it.

#214 Re: Civilization and Culture » IQ and Space Colonisation » 2018-10-19 15:26:51

RobertDyck wrote:
Belter wrote:

Still, chances are most anyone sent is going to have a PhD and a 140+IQ.   But they will also have a back up team of everyone in the universe at Mission Control making sure they can figure out how to program the remote control and can fix the drain.

Be careful. I spoke with several individuals at Mars society conventions who have a PhD. I look up their current research project and education, then find something that effects the research that's outside his/her education. So far every time it's worked, the doctor didn't know that and was blown away. They just can't accept the idea of treating me as an equal.

One astrobiologist who you would know if I mentioned his/her name, didn't realize that plagioclase feldspar is alkaline. Basic geology. Or the same astrobiologist didn't know how chemistry from the petroleum industry would affect his/her research.

How many PhDs in engineering does it take to operate a projector?

I'm not sure, but it's more than I've ever seen in a room together at once.

Higher education can be a valuable addition to a person's skillset, but it often comes alongside with overspecialization and an unwillingness to speculate on topics outside one's particular, narrow area of expertise.  That's fine if you're seeking to become preeminent in your field but in the context of the wide spectrum of tasks and jobs settlement entails is a big problem.

#215 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Key features of a Mars economy » 2018-10-19 14:59:39

Louis brings up the economy of the UK.  Okay, let's talk about that.

The UK has an economy worth £3 trillion per year ($4 trillion), or £32,300 per person per year ($42,000).  The economy is roughly 1/5 industry and 4/5 services, with a very small amount of agriculture and mining.

The top service job categories in the United Kingdom are:

  1. Retail (including auto repair): 4.97 million workers

  2. Human health and social work: 4.43 million workers

  3. Professional Scientific and Technical Activities (I believe this category includes both scientific research and corporate research as well professional as jobs such as cable repair): 3.05 million workers

  4. Administration: 3.02 million workers

  5. Education: 2.93 million workers

  6. Food service and hospitality: 2.42 million workers

  7. Transportation and Storage: 1.79 million workers

  8. Public administration and defense: 1.50 million workers

  9. Information and communication: 1.48 million workers

  10. Finance and insurance: 1.14 million workers

  11. Art, entertainment, and recreation: 1.01 million workers

All other service jobs have fewer than 1 million workers.

I don't believe that the intent was to denigrate the service sector, which is a crucial part of the economy of any advanced society, but rather to denigrate the specific services which you are claiming to be valued in the billions on a sustainable basis.  One thing that stands out about these activities is that the bulk of them are not exportable at all, and the  remainder are not better-suited to Mars. 

Let's have a look at the dictionary definition of the word "gimmick".

dictionary.com wrote:

Gimmick (n):

  1. an ingenious or novel device, scheme, or stratagem, especially one designed to attract attention or increase appeal.

  2. a concealed, usually devious aspect or feature of something, as a plan or deal

An interesting thing about these two definitions is that they're opposites: In the latter you're trying to hide what makes you different and in the former you're profiting off it.  I suppose the common thread is the notion of making sales by cheating or hiding the ball.  We seem to be going with watches, so to speak briefly on that: Martian Watches can either be made in-house or in cooperation with an established luxury watchmaker.  If made in-house it will be difficult to make watches of a high quality and also difficult to establish a reputation as a luxury brand (Consider that there is no meaningful difference in timekeeping ability between a $5 watch, an Apple Watch, and a $50,000 watch).  Once you get past the hype of a Martian watch, after all, you might find that the Martian brand doesn't stack up to established watchmakers in quality.  If working with an established watchmaker, it's certainly worth asking how much value the "Martian" brand adds to a watch because this is the maximum amount of money they will be willing to give to a settlement organization to achieve that branding.

You have provided guesses on what this value is, but when pressed you retreat into claims like "I think it's reasonable that..." and "wouldn't you agree that..." when in fact nobody agrees and they are unreasonable on the face, particularly as a long-term multibillion dollar revenue strategy.  Coca-Cola ads on rockets going to places where nobody lives? I think not.

Fundamentally, the underlying value behind most of your revenue schemes is a kind of fashion.  It is your belief, based on the things you have proposed to date, that Mars will be so fashionable that all sorts of companies will need to get a piece of the Martian pie.  It's not clear to me that there's any reason to believe this is or will be the case, but even if such a fashion comes around there's one thing with fashions that you can always count on: They will eventually pass. For a settlement on Mars that means a group of people will be left high-and-dry with no viable source of income, a catastrophically bad result if you want to see settlement that is sustained and perpetual.

#216 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Towards highly reusable rocket engines. » 2018-10-18 13:59:16

GW-

Do you have an estimate of how switching from a turbopump to a positive displacement pump would affect the mass of the engine?

#217 Re: Civilization and Culture » IQ and Space Colonisation » 2018-10-18 12:46:02

I'd be willing to countenance the idea that the average IQ of Martian settlers will be higher than that of the average Terran, but I don't think IQ is a good metric to use for selection.  In fact my understanding is that it has fallen somewhat out of favor as a measurement of inherent intelligence since studies have shown that the heritability is substantially associated with social factors (for example, children who grow up in a home with a lot of books like to read; people who like to read have homes with more books; their children will grow up around books; reading correlates with intelligence, and it's not hard to believe that it is a causal relationship that goes both ways) and that, by studying for an IQ test, you can substantially improve your score.

Here are some other factors that I think will more strongly determine who gets to go than IQ:

  • Education

  • Professional experience, especially but not exclusively military

  • Work ethic

  • Personality (I imagine that the traits that make someone a good roommate will also score points in settlement selection)

  • Physical health, including family history

  • Age

  • Working in the space industry and having connections to the people who decide who gets to go

  • Acquiring some kind of certification that demonstrates knowledge of operating in a vacuum/radiation environment

Or:

  • Having enough money to pay your own way

I wouldn't be surprised if a lot of these factors correlate with intelligence as measured by IQ score to some degree or another but I would be surprised if there were a hard "cutoff" established by any organization.

Anyway, while I disagree with your characterization of a selection process I don't substantially disagree with your premise, that settlers in space will in some regards represent the best of humanity, and that this will no doubt have a big effect on the societies we build in space.

While I have been skeptical of this as a justification of Martian settlement, I think it's entirely reasonable to think that settlements in space will be a loci for technological progress.  I would expect that sooner or later (probably much later, 100+ years into the future) the best universities and most advanced research facilities will be in space, and that brain drain may become a problem for Earth.

A common trope in science fiction is for the Earth to be caught up and dragged down by the weight of 10,000 years of human history, while the people of space progress both technologically and socially.  While naturally there will be huge variations in both (and it's not at all crazy to think that settlements will be associated with a Terran nation for a long time) in broad strokes I would expect this to be true.  The colonization of the Americas or the Greek colonia may be something of a model here, insofar as the newcomers were affiliated with but distinct from their places of origin.

#218 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Space Towers and Skyhooks » 2018-10-16 17:40:06

tahanson43206 wrote:

For Josh: #1 ...
Your vision of an inflatable tower inspired me to look around a bit to see what might already exist.  I found a commercially available Ham Radio field antenna tower that inflates to a height of 30 feet.  It is held in place with a steady flow of air from a small gas engine powered air pump.

From past camping trips, I remembered that there are collapsible cups, so I ordered a couple to see how they are made.  The cups arrived yesterday.  One is made of metal and the other plastic.  Both achieve water tight seals through (what I assume is) cohesion between the (nearly perfectly) smooth surfaces of the ring walls of the cups.  However I note that the commercially supplied cups could not be inflated because the wall seal does not occur until the sections have been physically brought into firm contact.

In reviewing this before posting, I noted that it is not clear that the intention is that the hooks shown in the diagram are intended to push against the wall adjacent to them, to create a seal at inflation time.  The vertical pressure of the inflated tower should provide a seal as the lips come into firm contact with each other.

In thinking about how the collapsible cup idea might be adapted for an inflatable tower with metal walls, I offer this little doodle for consideration.
Hopefully Dropbox's link below is available to anyone who might wish to open it.

(th)

https://www.dropbox.com/s/40ysvk22xr9tm … l.pdf?dl=0

Hey Tahanson,

This seems super interesting and just the sort of thing we might look to when the time comes to build the actual tower.  Because we'd be operating at a much larger scale we might choose to go for some sort of winch/hook assembly that operates on each level with a temporary seal over the top of the cup while lifting

#219 Re: Meta New Mars » Too many political threads » 2018-10-14 21:12:19

I tend to agree that this is not the place for politics, but it is mostly confined to "Free Chat" where it belongs if anywhere.  It would be a big problem if political debates were spilling over into other threads, but as it is it seems to be staying where it belongs. 

We did try to ban politics on the Forum back before the Great Crash, but it didn't seem to accomplish much other than upset people. 

What I try to do now is just not read or participate in political threads.

#220 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Towards highly reusable rocket engines. » 2018-10-14 13:56:29

This is a worthwhile goal, but the way you've suggested going about it seems to be in most respects the polar opposite of how I would try to do it.  It seems to me that the sacrifice you're trying to make (much lower engine mass in exchange for much lower Isp) won't really pay off.

To get rough numbers, I used the equation here.  It's not perfect, but does give a good approximation of the exhaust velocity for most fuels.  According to this page, kerolox at a mixture ratio of 2.3 has a flame temperature around 3550 K, a mean exhaust molecular weight of 21.7, and a gamma (Ratio of specific heats) of 1.22.

Assuming that the nozzle is perfectly expanded to vacuum, this gives a vacuum exhaust velocity of 3,883 m/s.  Real high performance kerosene engines can get as high as 3600, and 3500 is reasonable for a well designed engine.  I will therefore introduce a "fudge factor" of 0.82 within the square root to account for the finite efficiency of the engine.

The stoichiometric mixture ratio for kerolox is 3.4.  At 2.3 my expectation would be that the exhaust would be a mixture of CO2, CO, and H2O.  It happens to be the case that at a ratio of 2.3 the exhaust will be entirely CO with no CO2 admixed at all.  At mixture ratios below 2.3 the exhaust will contain either Carbon or Hydrogen.  In order to move on, I wrote down the following chemical equation:

CH2 + nO2 → aCO2 + bH2O + cCO + dC + eH2

The equation is valid for values of n between roughly 0.1 (hot enough to dissociate the kerosene into its constituents) and 1.5 (stoichiometric combustion, above which excess molecular oxygen will exist in the exhaust).  Here are the results for three selected values of n:

d14yz2F.png

R, in this case, is the mixture ratio in terms of mass that we use when discussing rocket fuels.

Below n=1.0, combustion will not reach a level near what could be considered "complete" and there will either be uncombusted carbon or hydrogen in the exhaust.  In terms of enthalpy, it is favored to produce water and carbon; in terms of entropy it is favored to produce hydrogen and carbon monoxide.  I'm not sure where the equilibrium lies and it's entirely believable that rocket exhaust is not at equilibrium.  I will therefore consider three possible cases: In the first case, H2O predominates with a small amount of CO and H2.  In the second case, H2O and CO are produced in roughly equal proportion.  In the third case, CO predominates with a small amount of H2O and C.  The numbers I will use are as follows:

zeWnFBW.png

To calculate the combustion temperature, I will assume that the unreacted elements absorb heat in accordance with their heat capacities and proportion.  I will deal with solids by ignoring them (except for the heat they absorb) and reducing exhaust velocity in proportion to their mass.  In other words, I will assume that if the exhaust is 75% gases moving at 4000 m/s and 25% Carbon the effective exhaust velocity will be 3000 m/s.  I will assume the ratio of specific heats remains constant.

Using the equation above with the modifications I have described, here are my results:

dyN4efh.png

Naturally these results are approximate, but they suggest that the actual exhaust velocity is not strongly sensitive to the location of the chemical equilibrium, and furthermore that the vacuum exhaust velocity should probably be in the range of 2500 m/s.  It's also worth noting that at low mixture ratios there's potential to produce really substantial amounts of Carbon in the exhaust.  It' hard for me to believe that an engine will continue to work well for long periods of time when 20% of the exhaust produced is a solid.

You also said this:

RGClark wrote:

For instance, reducing the combustion temperature, the pressure would also be reduced, say by a factor of three requiring reduced chamber wall thickness.

This is not correct.  Reducing the combustion temperature does not reduce the chamber pressure.  The combustion temperature is a function of what is being combusted.  The chamber pressure is a function of the inlet pressure generated by the propellant feed system.  It is possible to lower the chamber pressure in conjunction with other changes, but you will suffer further reduced Isp for doing so if you are operating in the atmosphere.

You certainly could see some mass savings from reduced temperature as you can have a smaller cooling system, perhaps even a passive one, but I don't think they're very substantial.  I don't see why your tankage or structural mass should change at all, for example.

Here's some numbers: Let's say you have a two-stage rocket where each stage has a delta-V of 4700 m/s.  With ideal kerolox at 3500 m/s Vex your dry mass fraction will be 26%.  With the mixture ratio you have suggested (Vex=2500 m/s) the dry mass fraction is just 15%. 

I would choose to go at it the opposite way by allowing for a moderately higher engine mass while keeping performance close to constant.  The biggest change the pumps from turbopumps to something more traditional such as a reciprocating pump.  I suppose you could also build a combustion-based pump where the detonation of a small amount of fuel serves to pressurize a much larger amount of fuel and push it into the combustion chamber.  Turbopumps have a higher efficiency and lower mass but they are also more complicated and last less time (alternatively, you could build a turbopump and run it to failure and see what breaks, make that part stronger and do it again)

#221 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » Newmars Book Club » 2018-10-07 12:57:35

There's a few ways we could do it I guess.  The easiest would be to pick a book, section it up, and plan to read a section per week.  If we want to do it on the forums we could create a designated thread for each section and discuss them there, then a wrap-up thread at the end of the book.

If enough people are interested we might even ask SpaceNut or jburk to create a subforum specifically for the purpose.  We could also probably use "Martian Chronicles" since there's not much else going on there.

#222 Re: Human missions » Deal Breakers » 2018-10-04 19:27:41

Terraformer wrote:

Mars is not *the* prize. Mars is one prize among many, and it's not even the lowest hanging of fruit. Luna is a lot quicker to get to, and the Lunar poles have what we need to sustain settlement. More importantly, it's easier to make a business case for a Lunar base than it is for a Mars base - the frequent launch windows and low transit time make tourism, science research, and mining a lot more viable.

Once Luna has paid for the fuel depots and mature life support system, then we can send humans to Mars to set up a base for the cost of a space probe.

I would say Mars is the biggest prize and the Moon is low-hanging fruit (Literally, if you're a geocentrist!).  Both are valid targets for exploration and settlement, and I would support a program targeted at either.

What I can't endorse is an unfocused program that includes spurious missions to secondary targets.  The moon is not on the way to Mars in any consequential way.  The relevant technologies and procedures can be tested on Earth, in LEO, or perhaps in a free-return mission if necessary.

I have basically no power over the direction of any space program, so my "endorsement" really doesn't matter.  I don't have a ton of hope right now for anyone's space program.  Here's what would give me hope that settlement was really happening:

  1. A reason for going that makes sense.  Examples include:

    • Profit

    • Opening a new frontier

    • Establishing an off-Earth tax haven for billionaires and corporations

    • Research

    • Military Supremacy or Geopolitical Preeminence

  2. A single, clear destination (vs. "Moon and Mars", "All of the Above", "Moon on the way to Mars", "Let's just build this rocket and use it for everything", "Hey what if we try to capture a NEO and put it in Lunar Orbit that's cool isn't it", etc.)

  3. A mission design that makes sense as a way of fulfilling the program's purpose

    • A program designed to turn a profit for a company is probably going to go to the Moon for the shorter timescales and should have a reasonable expectation that their efforts will eventually make them money

    • A military program will probably be composed overwhelmingly of robots with a few human minders, possibly stationed temporarily

    • A program whose aim is research will probably be lightly and temporarily staffed and focus on regions that are of scientific (rather than economic) interest.  For example, a lunar farside radio telescope; An IR observatory in a permanently shadowed crater; [Something about geology and planetology--hard for me to say exactly which sites are of the most interest]

    • No side missions to secondary destinations

  4. The organization should have the financial, technical, logistical, etc. resources to accomplish the task they are undertaking or the ability to acquire them; the organization's broader purpose should align with the purpose of the mission (Universities won't fund a program aimed at military supremacy or profit; Private companies won't fund pure research, etc.)

#223 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ion Neutralization Propulsion » 2018-10-04 14:40:20

Very promising!  We would need confinement many orders of magnitude better but it seems like something of this sort should be possible if we really go for it.

#224 Re: Life support systems » Power generation on Mars » 2018-10-03 21:39:44

Void wrote:

I have found out that my copy and paste works from the image, to wordpad.  So the image script is in there.  However does not work if I do the [ img]???[ /img].  Will work on it some more.

I am able to paste my password if I to log on if I have it on Notepad.

If the image is on your computer you need to upload it to the internet first, then follow the procedure I mentioned.  I normally use imgur.com to do that.

#225 Re: Human missions » Deal Breakers » 2018-10-03 18:07:32

louis wrote:

I agree that a Mars Mission has to take risks. But we are in uncharted waters with cosmic radiation in deep space.  NASA send out v. mixed messages on the subject. 

What I would say is we need to have some deep space testing before we embark on a Mars Mission...Judging from this -

https://history.nasa.gov/EP-177/ch3-4.html

that would involve some v. extended lunar orbits over say at least 3 months.

I don't know if the Moon is far enough or if you still get some protection there from the Earth's magnetic field.  It's outside the radiation belts, sure, but I would think there would be some shadowing still.  Or maybe not, really I don't know.

The core of Zubrin's message on this I think is that "if you want to go to Mars, go to Mars".  We have some research on chronic radiation exposure that suggests it shouldn't affect astronauts too much, so while there might be negative effects it wouldn't kill the mission.

If I were in charge of a space program, I would spend probably 90% of my human exploration budget on missions to Mars and the other 10% on earthbound design/testing of key technologies required for settlement to build them into actual usable products.

Not to say there's no value in detours, I just don't think it's the best use of money.  If SpaceX wants to muck around in lunar orbit I'm sure they'll learn a lot.

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