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For those who can't see in numbers very well, Mars is one planet out of a trillion trillion or so. Hubble is worth 16-20 times the funds used to extend Odyssey.
Dick, yes I do enjoy movies, even when reality is suspended. Your point is?
Yes interesting article, but how valid will it be when china's economy has doubled a few times? The fact that they can do what they have with their 1.5B annual budget astounds me.
The dangerous thing about China's space rogram is that unlike in the US it is a great source of nationalistic pride. When China spends money on their space program it directly aids the country by quieting opposition. It unites China in short.
When the US trys to increase spending on its space program there is strong opposition.
Ask yourself this, if we woke up tommorrow and China had landed a few people on the Moon, what would our reaction be? I don't think even this would start a new space race, because most people would be like 'so what'.
This is why I fear that China will take the lead in space before we can or will do anything about it. If they can land people on the Moon and we don't even jerk, then by the time they want to go to Mars we will be too far behind to dream of catching up.
LOL 9,000 a year, that's rich! Welfare recipients don't even get that much, let alone the average american pay that much.
Btw, more jobs means less welfare, so blame this lousy economy.
You would have had to see Star Trek II: The Wrath of Khan. It was Khans last word before his ship blew up. Very dramatic
I don't believe we live in a world where the first wins anymore. Information is very freely shared these days. So anyone making key breakthroughs in say nanotech can't key their secrets for long.
In the past, governments were the sole funders of groundbreaking research and could therefore keep a lid on world altering technology. We now live in a world where governemnts are more concerned in waging war to protect its citizens way of life (be they outdated or not) than to fund research that could better people's lives.
Most ground-breaking R&D is done by corporations. Meaning if Joe Blow develops a radical break through in nanotech, he will need to give away some of the information in order to maintain or increase his funding.
China is benefiting from this age of sharing. I honestly can't see the US doing anything to change this. The more we have alienated China, the more we ourselves are alienated.
Sorry Martian Republic, but your analogy isn't appropriate. A hotel is a place you visit, enjoy the sites, then go back home. Perhaps I shouldn't have used the word tourism since that comes with many preconcieved notions in most peoples minds.
Specifically, what I am talking about is real estate. Mars is a world, not an asteroid or moon. It has the same land surface area as the Earth (till it has bodies of water). It has air, wind, and many features that make it beautiful and interesting. The hotel you speak of will be the stepping stone for people to 'try-out' Mars and see if they like it. Most will go back home, but some will stay.
As I stated in an earlier thread, these things will play out on the Moon first. The Moon has several advantages over Mars in this respect. Travel time to the Moon in an economical vehicle is about a week. It is closer to 'home' and therefore safer in the minds of potential visitor/resident investors.
But once people are making money transporting and servicing people on the Moon, Mars won't be far behind. Mars offers something the Moon likely never will, a world where plants can grow in the open, where streams and lakes can exist.
Now before you get excited and say 'that's not possible' let me explain. Most people think of terraforming as making a planet like Mars Earth-like (and they are correct). But most people take the process a step farth in their minds and equate terraforming with breathing oxygen (not true). The work needed to make Mars into a world where people can walk around and breathe the air without aid is currently beyond our abilities.
However, the more we learn about Mars, they less hostile it seems. Long before, perhaps hundreds of years before humans could breath the air of Mars, plants will be growing on the surface. We already have a list of simple organisms that can survive and perhaps thrive on Mars today. With a modest effort, we could make Mars suitable to much more complex plants like trees and grasses in 50 years. Now how much more appealing is a green Mars than the Moon?
Comstar03 and Grypd, just about everyone here thinks this will one day happen, but not anytime soon.
Here's why:
The first back to the Moon or on to Mars isn't going to control either body. It is very expensive to just get there let alone bring along a personal military to protect said resource. Also, what would happen to the controling country here on Earth. Picture China saying that it was going to the Moon to exploit its resources and no one else better get in their way. Perhaps most importantly, there isn't oil on the Moon or Mars (as far as we know) or any other resource worth investing billions of dollars to reach, extract, and transport back. This is why I argue that tourism will open the door, because the only thing you can't get back here on Earth much cheaper is the view.
Don't get me wrong, the resources produced by any colony is going to be it's lifeblood for that colony. However, the Earth doesn't need ore or solar energy bad enough to get it elsewhere.
Comstar03, the rewards are there, but they aren't as tangible as a lump of steel or watt of solar energy. The true benefit of settling either place in an effort large enough that the colony will eventually be independent and grow under it's own power, is that whoever does it first will directly reap the new technology invented on a challenging frontier. Problem is, since it is new and alien, we can only guess what that might be (and people don't usually invest on guesses).
Everything has to be done in baby-steps. Put people on the Moon or Mars and you then have a greater need for faster/safer transport to and from. Large amounts of people had to travel to California before the governement thought it important to lay railroad tracks from coast to coast.
All these dreams of Moon/Mars colonies pumping out starships is great, but rather unrealistic. As Bill White has said many times here, these thing can't happen unless there is a profit motive. No one is going to invest billions of dollars for these things unless they can turn a profit.
Obviously we need a lot of people to work and maintain these colonies with or without robotic labor, so what is the answer? Tourism. The private sector will soon make a stab at building a lunar resort of sorts. Should that prove even moderatly successful, then a Martian community isn't far behind. The japanesse have been looking into the feasibilty of this on the Moon for decades and I believe it's only a matter of time.
I don't think Kerry will kill NASA anymore than other presidents have. It is already on a shoestring budget.
I just realized something! If you take the cost of this war and divide it by the number of americans it comes to $3,000 per person, sweet jesus, that's a lot of money.
We could cut our oil dependancy in half by buying cars that get 50+ miles to the gallon, and the government could make it a reality by offering $3,000 to anyone who buys one.
See, that's the kind of planning we need out of the government. Not some pie in the sky plan that won't take effect till decades after they leave office.
Nope, turning this country into a welfare state is bad, can't say I was ever for that. However, there are serious needs that aren't being addressed.
Nuclear fission is not the solution to our power needs. Until a means can be devised for dealing with the radioactive waste we have already, I cannot fathom a reasonable person being for even more plants.
No one sees Kerry as a saint (Bush either for that matter). These are the choices one gets when people cast votes due to a single issue (military, space, etc.). It becomes very easy to please enough the population to get elected by calling yourself 'the education president, the compassionate conservative, the environmental president and so on.
I honestly groan deep inside when a politicain says he/she will improve something while cutting funding (coarse they don't say how, but no one asks for details just soundbites).
It appears that the GOP's plan to label Kerry as a flip-flopper has been at least somewhat successful. I admit, I honestly hoped people wouldn't be fooled, but it appears to have stuck. Perhaps people have come to trust anything that comes out of their TVs as truth, without questioning where the accussers get their information from.
Has Kerry changed his position on issues over his 30 years in the Senate? Yes, of coarse. Every human being changes over time and with change goes insight and new opinions. A representitive should change the way they vote if the people that elected them expect them to vote as they would on a bill.
Bush's policies have hurt a LOT of people. Perhaps this is why they hate him so much. I don't hate Bush, but the people around him are rather arrogant, secretive, and deceptive. I don't like our nation being compared to Nazi, and I don't like the path this administration is leading this country. This is why I am voting for Kerry. He is a good man, a caring and hardworking man. I feel he has what it takes to be a good President. That's why I and so many others are going to vote for him.
Clinton may have made the world chuckle at us (and they mainly laughed because of how over-blown the issue became), but I fear Bush is making the world disgusted and angry with us.
I take it you are reffering to my comments? Which did you find humorous?
I have no doubt, one day, we will use the Moon for its resources and it will have its own space capabilities. However, this is far into the future.
Mars offers the possibilities of a smaller colony that can be built up to something you describe. The Moon requires a huge investment initially to be doing the things you suggest in 20-50 years.
Why you may ask? Well, plants grown for food on Mars can take advantage of its natural 24 hour day and atmospheric protection. CO2 can also be easily pumped into greenhouses where on the Moon it needs to be manufactured or imported. The Moon requires that greenhouses be built underground and therefore a lot of that energy you talked about would be needed to grow plants for people to eat. Perhaps most importantly, plants need Nitrogen. While early information suggests that Mars is short on Nitrogen, it is not devoid of it like the Moon is. Even with a heavily robotic society, the Moon would require at least several hundred or a few thousand people to do what you suggested.
I will grant you that the farside of the Moon is a wonderful place for radio and optical obsevatories. However, if your point was to illustrate that the Moon is perfect for creating next generation spacecraft and develop needed skills for expanding humans through the solar system, I am afraid you are mistaken. It makes much more sense to use NEO (Near Earth Orbit) asteroids and comets for resources and experience. Asteroids offer all the benefits of the Moon's resources (plus even lower gravity) with none of the drawbacks.
I remember that when we first started to go to war in Iraq, oil prices shot up in anticipation of more oil fires (even though Kuwaitt only provides a tiny fraction of our oil).
OPEC is pro-Bush due to his being an oil man and his energy policies, so they wouldn't be trying to oust him by raising oil prices.
Let's not forget that oil companies sell oil to make money, not determine elections. Remember all those polls a few months back about weither Americans would buy less gas for summer holidays and traveling if gas went over $2 a gallon? Remember the results of those polls? Americans said they would continue to buy as much gas as always mainly cause they have no choice.
There is a false belief in this country that oil producers can offer cheaper gasoline at the pumps if production is raised in the Middle East. This is simply not true. OPEC sets the prices and regulates the production of oil to avoid flooding the market with oil and therefore make less per barrel.
Notice how they make just enough barrels to satisfy demand, yet not enough to actually allow countries to build up reserves?
Kerry may or may not live up to his promise of ending the Middle East's strangle-hold on us by switching to alternative energy sources, but we have little choice. Bush's policies won't have any effect on our energy consumption until around 2020 and that is only if the next four presidents continue with his policies. And seeing how partisan politics has become, I don't think that is possible.
I hope Hubble is still in orbit and crashes into the JWST when it finally goes up!!
'From the fires of Hell.....I spit at thee!'
Here's a thought, split NASA up!
Our military doesn't fall under one office and their tasks are relatively simple by comparison. Our Armed forces are made up of the Navy, Air Force, Army, Marines, National Guard and Coat Guard with each having their own specific goals.
Perhaps NASA would be better off if we had a Moon, Mars, Beyond, and Earth Science branch. This way each department could focus on their specific goals instead of fighting amongst each other for much needed funding.
NASA worked great when THE goal was entering space, then orbiting the planet, then going to the Moon. However, these days NASA does so much more. Like solar missions like SoHo, telescopes like Hubble, deep space missions like Voyager and JIMO, rovers like Spirit, not to mention all the PR work they do with schools across the nation and other tidbits.
Perhaps this is what is really wrong with NASA, we are asking them to do too much at one time....
Personally, I say leave the Moon for private industry. It is a goal that they can realistically reach in a few years. Anyways, it's so 60's......
I disagree. We had prided ourselves on our diversity and correctly stated that it is our greatest strength, not a weakness. The EU now has greater diversity that even our nation. Is it too much? I don't know, but I don't believe you can have too much diversity.
I feel it is very signifigant that countries that have had war with each other longer than we have been in existance, are not only at peace, but working together.
And as far as space exploration goes, don't forget that several of these countries were incredible pioneers and colonizers leaving a mark on the world still felt today.
China and the EU have come much farther in the past ten years than the US did in it's infancy....
'Deag, you twit, the media itself went back and recounted the ballots. Bush won anyways. Stop beating the dead donkey.
That butterfly ballot was made by a Democrat, btw, and the confusion of votes was between Gore and Pat Buchanan, not Gore and Bush as you insinuate, though that's an irrelevant issue anyways.'
See, this is the major difference between people like me and people that support Bush. I respect your rights to have an opinion based on facts, but you don't respect my same rights. Theres no need to name call.
The 'media' (whoever that is) may well have recounted the available votes and Bush may have won, but that doesn't change the fact that thousands of votes from key districts historically known to vote for Democrats have missing votes in a disproportionate amount to the usual amount of 'lost votes'.
As I said, I don't swallow the excuse put forth that butterfly ballots are at fault, it makes no sense.
Fact: since exit polls have been taken they have never been wrong with only one notable exception, Florida 2000. In 50 years of taking polls from people who have just cast their votes, this is the only exception.
All this is beside the point anyway. Give Bush Florida by 500 votes and he still loses the majority vote national. Bush W, could have made the arguement about electoral colleges mute by setting a president and refusing the office on the basis that he didn't win the majority vote. This is supposed to be a democracy isn't it?
What boggles my mind is that many supporters of Bush don't see this as realistic. The ends justify the means, no matter what the cost. If the roles had been reversed and Gore had taken the position Bush took, I'd be ashamed of my vote for Gore. Winning at the cost of your morales and integrity is not worth it. We are Americans and we should expect better from our leaders.
Unfortunately, we cannot afford to fly Air Bush....
Dreams are great, inspiration is something badly needed in modern America, but basics must come first.
The problem with presidents like Bush is that he does have a plan for America, but not Americans. We have been negleting our domestic needs for far too long. I know that many will disagree, but I believe that Republican presidents wage as much war as they do to distract the American public from more important issues.
Ask yourself what issues will be important to everyday citizens twenty years down the road. Will the war in Iraq really be seen as an important event in our day to day lives that far into the future? The answer is no (unless a new generation of terrorists are attacking us).
A war against terrorism cannot be won with conventional weaponry. The ranks of terrorists are swelling (as I correctly predicted) due to the behavior and tactics of our government and soilders.
Had we assasinated/captured Saddam and then brought humanitarian aid to the Iraqi people, this war would long ago have ended.
Kerry wants to invest in America. This is why he is getting my vote regardless of his position on space exploration. By improving OUR country our private space industries have the best chance of opening up the new frontier for people like you and I.
Well, yea Euler, Ive heard something similar too about the top 40 militaries (but lets be honest #40 is like 1 million dollars)
I never did buy the 'information' coming from GOP camps at the time about butterfly ballots being the cause of the difference between exit polls and actual voters ballots (wouldn't it be just as easy for a Bush supporter to vote for Gore?).
I don't think its a coincidence that the company that recounted the votes has strong GOP ties (owner is cousin to Jeb I believe) or that the districts missing the most votes are dominantly black districts (in other words: Democrats).
I wish the media would have published some of the information available about the demographic breakdown of missing votes. But oh well.....
:angry: No politics? Grrrrrrr :angry:
Ok......
Cobra-I believe the election was stolen because Bush lost the election and no one can say his team didn't use every resource they had to take the presidency.
You know I'm not crazy about Democrats either, but if Bush hadn't spent 42% of his pre-9/11 term on vacation after fighting so hard for an office he wasn't elected to, I wouldn't be nearly as pi$$ed at him. Politics aside it was beneath the office to assume it after losing the majority vote. In short, its undemocratic.
I also don't feel that someone should be considered weak on defence simply because they have a limit in mind as to what our military should spend (it has to stop somewhere doesn't it?)
Quick fact before I go to bed: Of the top 7 country's military budgets, the US spends more on its military than 2nd to 7th place combined. Is this really necessary? Can't everyone see why the world fears us?
It will also be interesting to watch as China becomes more democratic, will population increases force China to look to Mars as an expansion possibility?
You and I both know that no matter how ambitious a space program China has, it won't be enough to transport population growth to Mars even if Mars could be made to sustain thousands of immigrants a year.
wgc-I didn't need Michael Moore's movie to tell me that this is the worst president ever to steal the office. The facts speak for themselves. We will be paying for Bush's policys during Kerry's term much as we paid for 12 years of Reagan and Bush Sr.'s during Clinton's.
Bush hasn't done anything for our space program. Opps, I nearly forgot, he did make a speach at the beginning of this year.
If you think four more years of record deficits and deceptions are going to get us to the Moon or Mars, then I have some beachfront property you might be intrested in at low tide.
The surest way we will ever get back to the Moon or go on to Mars is to quit wasting the governments money by fighting needless wars. Kerry has promised this.
I don't feel as if my point is getting across.
Looking at the numbers, it doesn't seem logical to save Hubble. It is expensive, yes. It is dangerous, all missions are, but yes. Is it worth it? Definately.
As I have said, NASA has nothing better to do in the next four years. We probably won't get much past Core Complete let alone finish the damn thing so why let Hubble die for a space station no one wants?
Has O'Keef even asked another country if they don't mind waiting for their personal module? Has any attempt been made to contact our so-called partners and stike a deal? Nope.
Why can't Japan wait for their module a year longer so we can service Hubble and then we can share the viewing time with their scientists on a regular basis?
When O'Keefe made his January announcement that Hubble would not be serviced again there was an incredible outcry from teachers, politicians, and supporters like us. When has any NASA program generated that kind of support? Even Apollo was old and unwanted after the first landing.
Killing Hubble only reinforces the public's perception (perhaps correctly) that NASA lacks the determination to follow through will grand schemes.
It isn't about the costs or risks. This is about inspiration. You can't tell the taxpayers 'well we know you want us to keep this here, but we'd rather go ahead and build an obsolete space station'.
Of the two, don't you think that the ISS will cost more lives than one or two more servicing missions? Frankyl I'm suprised no one has died yet.
Hi Cobra!
It was only a matter of time before we got your two cents, but I know theres a couple nickels in your pocket
Yes, yes, and yes......er I mean no. I totally agree with most of what you say.
Will China's boom last forever?
No. No economic boom lasts forever. As you correctly state, when China does reach levels of western living and consumption (isn't that a great word?) then their success will cool their own fires. Wages will rise and cheap t-shirts will no longer be as available.
Does this mean an end to cheap t-shirts???
No. Companies don't typically raise wages to meet their demands for cheap t-shirts. What they do is maintain wages and if Chow Yung So is unhappy making t-shirts for a dollar a day he finds a better paying job (think computers, cell phones, etc.).
What will China do when people don't accept a dollar a day?
They will do what the US has done so well.....look for markets in cash poor countries where people are happy to make t-shirts for a dollar a day!
What the hell does t-shirts have to do with space or Mars???
Good question. And the connection isn't obvious at first glance. What we are talking about is a chinesse economic revolution. Chinas standard of living and economic muscle is rising at an incredible rate. This means that their people are getting closer to making the kind of income that we western civilizations are accustomed to making. When or even if the chinesse people start to make say $15 a day you will notice China taking on larger government projects (including spaceflight).
How can a t-shirt maker influence their space program?
Because they tax their citizens. As the chinesse people make more money, so does their government. China is already dealing with Russia for aerospace technology. Soon they will be striking deals with the ESA (a more mordern space-faring organization). However, even solely dealing with Russia, they can surpass our space superiority. After 50 years Soyez (sp?) and Soyez derived rocketry (China's first manned launch) is still the cheapest and some would say most dependable rocket in use. It is simple and that is its greatest strength. Even just using these kinds of rockets, China can put much more cargo into orbit or perhaps on the surface of the Moon or Mars.
Don't forget that China's communism is a benefit for a space program. If a rocket blows up and kills its crew, it is nowhere near the impediment that it would be here in the US (with a media salivating for a chance to call NASA stupid and wasteful).
Missions to Mars or even the Moon are likely to cost lives. We have already seen how easily our space program shuts its doors when we lose 7 people.
Advantage: China
I was going to say....damnit Euler, you took the words out of my mouth.
But seriously, it is important to note that a China depression or recession would be on par with steady US growth (think Clinton years not Bush).
As more and more industry bends over backwards for China you have more Chinesse making pretty nice salaries (which in 20 years translates into a large generation of inheritence powered people). At that point China will control much more of the high tech market as its people can afford all the niceties that we enjoy (luxury cars, cell phones, computers). When more than half of China has a pc conected to the internet, then China's economic boom will start in earnest, as well as real social change.
What we are feeling now isn't really even the beginning of China's boom. All we are experiencing now are the tossings and turnings of the sleeping giant. When China's population can afford (10-15 years) all the junk we buy, only then will people understand its power. By then, unfortunately, it will be too late.