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#1901 Re: Human missions » A new thread - on Bigelow's space prize » 2004-11-08 16:16:33

If you could win a trip to space by drinking a certain brand of beer that would give me a strong incentive to drink that beer. But I don’t know if beer companies are allowed to give out prizes that big. If they are it would be quite a way to launch a new brand of beer.

Or coffee.  big_smile

= = =

Sorry, John. That will make sense (maybe) in a few weeks.

#1902 Re: Human missions » A new thread - on Bigelow's space prize » 2004-11-08 15:46:11

Uh oh, Bill is drunk again.  roll  tongue  big_smile

Nah. Richard Branson read my space hotel ideas right here at NewMars.

Ain't it cool?

#1903 Re: Not So Free Chat » Saw this coming... - Weaponization of space proceeds... » 2004-11-08 15:43:49

Once again we play chess, when the game at hand is Go.

#1904 Re: Human missions » A new thread - on Bigelow's space prize » 2004-11-08 15:41:28

Bigelow's space hotels are a bad joke as far as profitability

Heh! Stop selling steak, start selling sizzle.

I agree selling rooms will make a few shekels at most and maybe not even that.

But FedEx is paying $400 million to name Redskins Stadium.

A Virgin Galactic Hilton will sell hotel rooms in Fargo North Dakota to Mike Midge the widget salesmen who desires to rub a tiny bit of space adventure on his pathetic little life.

Heck, the beer companies even have me believing that if only I drink their beer, beautiful half dressed supermodels will fawn all over me.  (But who needs the beer, that happens already.)

#1905 Re: Human missions » A new thread - on Bigelow's space prize » 2004-11-08 15:31:47

Space Ship One cannot achieve orbit. Obviously.

However a Space Ship One sized vessel can be mounted on top of something bigger. Maybe even an R-7.

Scaled Composites was a leading contractor on the X-38 which was almost finished before being scrapped. Take a 5 seat Space Ship Two and add X-38 style heat tiles subtract the rubber rocket and there you go.

SS1 masses 3200 kg with fuel being 2000 kg of that.

Falcon V (allegedly) can lift 4200 kg to LEO.

= = =

SS1 / SS2 is cross bred with X-38. Scaled Composites did both projects.

If Falcon fails to come through, license a plant in American Samoa to build Russian R-7s and plop an even bigger SS2/X-38 hybrid on top.

#1906 Re: Not So Free Chat » Presidential Elections - ...and other political discussion. » 2004-11-08 11:55:00

That whole global free trade stuff, means nothing to our economy. Bush has no effect on that at all.

...said Clark in a shower of sarcasm.

Cobra Commander, I have one question for you that I've intended to put for a long time. As a Fascist, doesn't this bother you at all?

When I was an undergraduate at the University of Chicago, precisely two individuals openly proclaimed themselves as fascists.

We mocked them incessantly, especially when they reached an agreement to alternate being Fuhrer.

#1907 Re: Not So Free Chat » Any thoughts - on this. . . » 2004-11-08 11:50:49

But then I'm out to expand the influence of Western culture and civilization, so I already have a vague yet strangely definate objective in mind.   If it gets furthered by people trying for something else, so be it.

Over the weekend, I speed-read a new book, European Dream by Jeremy Rifkin. An uneven book, to say the least. Yet it portrays a patently Western vision deeply at odds with the Ameican vision.

Whether George W. Bush represents where Western culture and civilization is heading actually is the real source of US tensions with France, Germany, Spain and Russia.

And poor Tony Blair is the mouse trapped between two elephants.

= = =

I agree with you, Cobra, about Gulf War 1. But there were several conflicting goals.

If containment of radical Islam was the ONLY goal, letting Saddam just have Kuwait would have made much sense. Then Saddam could have been our surrogate to pressure Iran and Saudi Arabia.

However Saddam also threatened the established system of nation-states created by the British in the early 1900s - - we just couldn't let that happen.

Saddam also happens to be a vile MF.

= = =

Choices, choices. No good choices.

#1908 Re: Not So Free Chat » Any thoughts - on this. . . » 2004-11-08 10:57:52

Cobra, I feel you have evaded the question.

What was our mission in Vietnam? Armistice or overrun Hanoi?

A blurry, undefined mission is "unwinnable" by the military no matter how proficient the soldiers and officers. If we are blurry about how we define the current mission in Iraq, and therefore cannot articulate clear victory conditions, another Vietnam seems inevitable.

We kill bad guys at a 100 to 1 ratio, or 500 to 1 ratio, or even better, but we will still lose.

Gulf War 1 had a clear mission. Remove Iraqi forces from Kuwait. Mission accomplished, everyone go home for the parade.

#1909 Re: Not So Free Chat » EU - Iranian nuclear deal - Good? Bad? Indifferent? » 2004-11-08 10:13:36

http://www.reuters.co.uk/newsPackageArt … on=news]EU - Iranian nuclear deal pending.

If France, Germany, Spain and Britain say the deal is done, is that good enough for Washington and Tel Aviv?

What about France, Germany & Spain, without Britain?

#1910 Re: Not So Free Chat » Any thoughts - on this. . . » 2004-11-08 09:54:25

Vietnam had some factors missing from the other examples, the defeat was not the result of military factors to the same degree. As North Vietnamese General Giap himself admitted, the communists would have given up had it not been for the American anti-war movement hurting the effort.

Huh?

Given up? How? Armistice like in Korea or US troops greeted with flowers in Hanoi?

Big picture, isn't Vietnam less of a headache for us today than Korea?

= = =

What has losing Vietnam cost us, except pride?

#1911 Re: Human missions » A new thread - on Bigelow's space prize » 2004-11-08 09:02:51

Lockheeds cev concept is the american version of the klipper but the real problem with the whole concept of built in a american would be that he is looking for russian level pricing for products delivered.
Lockheeds version probably would be well over 200million was as the russian if they hold true to form would be probably no more than 50million. With my best guestimate no real info in hand.

Build Kliper in Puerto Rico or American Samoa?

#1912 Re: Human missions » A new thread - on Bigelow's space prize » 2004-11-08 08:53:40

http://space.com/spacenews/businessmond … .html]Link here

Could a 100% American company license Kliper technology and fly a "made in America" Kliper to win?

#1913 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-08 08:25:16

Cobra, had Bush sent another 100,000 men, we could have had it both ways. Once again, Cobra, you defend the weak Roman way of doing things.

Another 100,000 troops would not have secured every weapon or explosive compound in Iraq. Another million troops wouldn't have done it. It's not possible to capture everything with a potential military use, it just can't be done. It's a balance, more troops would allow us to search more areas and guard storage facilities more heavily, but at a cost in other matters, all in the pursuit of an impossible task. With any occupation there will be opposition, and they will acquire weapons despite our best efforts to the contrary.

On a more fundamental level, small arms aren't the problem. A country in which every man, woman and child has an AK-47 and an RPG is not a great concern if they don't want to kill us. Securing weapons from specific sites is only a side issue in dealing with the insurgency. Even if we magically clamp down every ammo dump in Iraq they'll smuggle weapons in from Syria though we can remain confident that we've done all we can, meanwhile the practical effects are virtually nil. I'd much rather search for terrorists than missiles, and that requires something a bit more refined than simply "more troops" if we are to avoid alienating the entire population.

Unless we just kill so many people that they can't resist, burn cities to the ground, seize the food supply and shoot or starve anyone that doesn't submit, depopulating the entire country if need be. Extreme even by my standards.

Overwhelming initial force would have suppressed much of the early post-Saddam disorder.  Sure, it would not have been zero but weigh the costs of having sent 100,000 more men versus the benefits of having secured substantially more of Saddam's weapons.

Suppose the historial truth is that we secured 80% of Saddam's weapons. Had we secured 95% then the terrorists would now have only 25% of the weaponry we allowed them to loot from unguarded bunkers.

And its not like the Pentagon wasn't warned (calling Gen Shineski. . .).

= = =

Going forward, how can we have confidence that similiar mistakes won't be made again?

= = =

Unless we just kill so many people that they can't resist, burn cities to the ground, seize the food supply and shoot or starve anyone that doesn't submit, depopulating the entire country if need be. Extreme even by my standards.

Allawi's strategy for Fallajuh?

Lets see, 60 days of martial law, then a election?

#1915 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-07 12:37:03

Do you think, just maybe, we should have been a little more careful to assure that 4,000 shoulder fired surface to air missiles were secured and guarded by US forces?

The problem with this argument is that no one talks about the tens if not hundreds of thousands of tons of explosives and munitions captured, guarded or destroyed by Coalition forces, only the small percentage that slips by. Iraq was and remains flooded with weapons of every sort, to expect that any invading force could secure 100% of it is being unrealisitic.

Cobra, had Bush sent another 100,000 men, we could have had it both ways. Once again, Cobra, you defend the weak Roman way of doing things.

= = =

I am not angry with Bush for fighting terrorism, I am angry with Bush for fighting terrorism in a half assed way and then claiming scads of credit for it. . .

= = =

I want to WIN the "War on Terror" - - not merely fight it.

#1916 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-06 08:23:22

Do you think, just maybe, we should have been a little more careful to assure that http://www.theday.com/eng/web/news/re.a … DA37]4,000 shoulder fired surface to air missiles were secured and guarded by US forces?

Only several hundred shoulder-fired surface-to-air missiles from the Iraqi arsenals have been turned in to American forces in a buyback program, the government officials said.

Cash for SAMs?  What a world!

#1917 Re: Not So Free Chat » Heading North? » 2004-11-05 16:05:29

...friends near Detroit. At one time in Detroit, where I was born, but no more.

Did I just get jabbed?  ???

No, the city did. :;):

My extended family lives in the metro-area, outside city limits. 40 years ago, they all lived inside Detroit proper. No more.

Now its Livonia, and Bloomfield Hills, and Burton (next to Flint) and even Gaylord (waay north) and Kalamazoo.
 
Cobra, you have political beliefs I think are simply daft. But you are a good guy.

= = =

My Mom and Dad moved when I was 6 weeks old.

To Dallas. And I've been a Chicagoan since I was 6 years old.

#1918 Re: Not So Free Chat » Heading North? » 2004-11-05 14:39:11

Tylenol with codeine. Over the counter. (Kaopectate needs a doctors script but codeine over the counter. Go figure that.)

I have family and friends near Detroit. At one time in Detroit, where I was born, but no more.

But the Strohs stays in Michigan.

#1920 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-05 10:23:26

Extinction is losing, right?

What we define as an acceptable time frame and what we define as "our team" can make a great deal of difference.

I agree. Actually this IS my point. Who or what is "our team"

Certainly, it's an integral part of who and what we are. It may be that humanity is incapable of forming a society without a them to contrast against.

Agreed! This probably is true. So we must choose who we define as "them" wisely.

bin Laden's strategy (IMHO) is to seize control over how and who the West defines as "them"  - - if the War on Terror becomes a war on Islam in general, bin Laden has accomplished his objective and has infiltrated our decision making apparatus.

= = =

I recall a Star Trek episode like this. . . (original series)

#1921 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-05 09:47:19

Further musings: Bill's finger-puzzle analogy carries the implication that unless we handle our conflicts well that human civilization will "fall down". This in turn carries the implication that "human civilization" exists, as opposed to human civilizations, each developed independently then thrust together by advancing technology, and often into conflict. Two possible futures come into focus, one in which these various civilizations fuse into an amalgamated mass of humanity and move forward from that point. The other option involves much falling and whoever is left standing wins and can get on with expansion at its leisure.

Yet won't the "winners" spawn further internal divisions amongst themselves?

In colonial New England, Puritan-ism spun off a plethora of sects many having one or two members. At the University of Chicago, one year, we had precisely FOUR communists (Spartacus Youth League) and TWO Nazis. The rest of us found it all hysterically funny.

Especialy since the two Nazis agreed to rotate being Fuhrer.

I also was an early member of the B.C.R.D.L.S. or Bourgeouis-Capitalist-Running Dog Lackey Society.

So we can pass the "test", become a spacefaring species and still remain the creatures we are, belligerent and exceptionally good at killing things and blowing stuff up.

Winning and losing depends on your level of observation.

Individual winning or team winning?

Suppose Kobe Bryant is 2 points away from winning the league scoring title. Its the last game of the season and all other games are over.

Lakers are down 1 point and must win to advance to the play-offs.

3 seconds left, and Kobe is just outside the 3 point arc but guarded closely while Shaq is wide open under the basket.

Pass to Shaq, win the game for the "team" but fail at the league scoring title?

= = =

IMHO, to argue competition is better than cooperation, or the reverse is like arguing whether the positive charge (+) or the negative charge (-) is more important for building an electronic device.

= = =

PS - - Cobra, I agree with you. Human beings will continue to kill each other and blow stuff up. Even out in space. Think how boring things would be otherwise.

Yet what percentage and how well we mix cooperation and competition amongst ourselves will determine how well we compete against those nasty aliens.

In that one Star Trek Movie, the Klingon captain summarily executes a pilot who peforms badly. Long run, its a bad policy if you want a strong professional space navy.

#1922 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-05 08:06:18

:laugh:
On the other hand, if you pull hard enough you can break those things.  big_smile

Exactly.

"ALL" fall down. I had a dream once. . .

tongue

#1923 Re: Not So Free Chat » Another metaphor - for the "War on Terror" » 2004-11-05 07:48:16

For those who say the problem is:

"They hate" and we do not, explain the relevance of this http://www.thegag.com/jw-0139.html]item.

If you do not "get it" I cannot possibly explain.

= = =

Now, merge this with Drake's equation and Carl Sagan's legendary "billions and billions" of stars.

Billions of intelligent species spread across the cosmos, as they climb the evolutionary ladder (okay an anthropomorphic metaphor, but hey) will sooner or latter face the challenge of the Chinese finger puzzle.

Those that pass the test survive and become space-faring. Others species cannot stop pulling.

What happens when both people pull too hard on the puzzle?

#1925 Re: Not So Free Chat » Presidential Elections - ...and other political discussion. » 2004-11-03 15:07:35

LO

What is queer (sic!) is that the USA and the EU may end up fighting more about the rights to be afforded gays than anything else. After all didn't a prominent EU minister just resign over an anti-gay position?

Hey, let's be serious, mayor of Paris is gay, he is appreciated over parties, he manages Paris well enough to have very weak opposition.
And we're not ready to let bigotry threaten the rights conceded to women to abort and to gays to have a "Civil Union Act" that give them some of the rigths of an average family.
Many straight couples choose the "Civil Union Act" (called PACS) instead of contracting a marriage.

How dare you threaten the foundations of Western Civilization and all good and righteous moral upbinging!

Ah, you have nukes?

Okay, nevermind.

tongue

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