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The animation and video guys must be working overtime, another release:
The team is considering a maneuver to nudge my flight path toward a landing spot on Mars 18 kilometers to the NW of where I'm headed now.
8 days ............
Aerojet Completes Early Risk Reduction Engine Testing
SACRAMENTO, Calif., May 13, 2008 – Aerojet, a GenCorp (NYSE: GY) company, successfully completed a hot-fire testing program of the Orion crew module 120-pound thrust mono-propellant engine to demonstrate operation at expected Orion flight conditions. Because this thruster was designed to operate in space, there was concern that performance would be significantly degraded as the thruster operated in an atmospheric environment as the crew module returned to earth. This sea-level test program included thermal cycle testing, with more than 20 thermal cycles and over 450 pulses as well as two mission duty cycle demonstrations. The test results indicate that the MR-104G will meet the required Orion operating conditions and is an important step in elimination of this risk. “A key tenet of the Constellation program is to identify and eliminate risk as early as possible. This testing validates the selection of Aerojet’s MR-104G engine for the Orion program,” said Julie Van Kleeck, vice president of Space Systems.
From the text of the 2008 NASA Authorization Act
SEC. 403. LUNAR OUTPOST.
(a) ESTABLISHMENT.—As NASA works toward the establishment of a lunar outpost, NASA shall make no plans that would require a lunar outpost to be occupied to maintain its viability. Any such outpost shall be operable as a human-tended facility capable of remote or autonomous operation for extended periods.
(b) Designation- The United States portion of the first human-tended outpost established on the surface of the Moon shall be designated the `Neil A. Armstrong Lunar Outpost'.
(c) CONGRESSIONAL INTENT.—It is the intent of Congress that NASA shall make use of commercial services to the maximum extent practicable in support of its lunar outpost activities.
As the author of this topic, allow me to restate what it's about. It's about the problems of putting humans on Mars as discussed by Bushnell and then Rapp in their recent detailed radio interviews. Hopefully most of us here agree that we want to put humans on Mars as soon as possible.
Yes, clearly Humans will use robots to achieve this immensely difficult task, robotic systems are already used for almost every other aspect of spaceflight.
Will we pay the cost - we already are, but are we willing to pay more to make it happen faster?
Yeah, very appropriate indeed and it costs Congress nothing. It'll probably get shortened to 'Armstrong'.
Note how they have added a clause saying that the Outpost must not need to be permanently occupied - that's really helpful huh.
The fighting shifted to another area of Baghdad and these are militias...
The evidence that the 'strategy' isn't working is evidenced by the fact that Iraq is land of wreck and ruin and that the occupation has resulted in massive increase of terrorism within Iraq. The Iraqi goverment can't even maintain control and order over a single city in Iraq, never mind the country.
Bombings and murders practically everyday aren't a very good sign of a working strategy. It doesn't really require references to point that out, there are just too many!
If these events were occuring in a US city, I doubt many of the public would be saying that the strategy is 'working'.
Iraq didn't have these problems (and on this scale) before the invasion. Yeah Saddam was an evil murderous tyrant, but this invasion has just created more death, destruction and mayhem. It also has drawn the likes of AQ toward the country,making it a breeding ground for terrorism and fanaticism!
Creating the condtions for more terrorism is usually a bad way of fighting it.
The US and its western allies need to pay massive reparations for destroying major parts of Iraq and years of genocidal sanctions.
It then needs to withdraw the entire army and leave it up to Iraqi's to determing their own countries fate.
Yes, in Sadr City they are mostly militias, the Mahdi Army is backed by Iran, one the key supporters of Shia Islamic terror.
Where's your evidence Gregori? so far it's just your opinions. Surely accusing the US of "genocidal sanctions" and insisting on massive repatriations requires a little bit more than that?
There is little evidence to suggest anything like that, it points quite to contrary. Its not working and the world is a much less safe place than it was 5 years ago. Invading Iraq drew Islamic terrorists towards that country. It was largely a secular state before that. (Albeit run by Saddam and his gang)
The alternative is to stop pretending they're fighting a war on terror and actually come up with a decent plan.
Well here's a small piece of evidence from yesterday - now where's the evidence to show that the Iraqi government and coalition strategy is not working?
This is the only decent plan, there really isn't other other except surrender unless you have some magical way of stopping determined suicide bombers and killers.
edit:
Sorry i missed your last point:
Taking away the support base and causes of terrorism might be a good start. That might mean - not attacking and occupying muslim countries.
Invading Afghanistan and fighting AQ and the Iranian backed groups in Iraq is eroding their support base. The coalition is under UN mandate to be inside both Iraq and Afghanistan as well as being requested by their governments. Should the coalition ignore the UN and those governments that desperately need help?
Islamic terrorism existed a long time before the Baathists and the Taliban were removed from power. What are the causes of Islamic terrorism?
It's astounding that apologists for terrorism not only ignore its horrific deliberate inhuman brutality aimed at innocent civilians but spend their time and energy blaming those who are trying to deal with it.
Thats the whole point. They're not dealing with it!
Every single action is resulting in more terrorism.
There's plenty of evidence to show the current military strategy is working and terrorism is being defeated in Iraq and Afghanistan. As is often said, the Islamists can't win their war with the West, but the West can lose it.
So what's the alternative for dealing with radial Islamic terrorism, surrender and convert to Wahhabism?
I'm actually astounded at you neo-cons. You support war on terrorism and complain about the inhumanity of terrorists. Yet you ignore and sometimes even actually support torture,kidnapping of "suspects" and black sites. You support the War on Iraq DESPITE THE FACT THAT SADDAM WAS A SECULAR LEADER. When he was in power he only used religion to show his people that he was "the defender of Islam". You people support Israel and their war crimes.
Thanks for providing a perfect example of how a discussion about the nature of terrorism and those that choose to ignore it gets transformed into a personal attack. Instead of debating the character of terror or the point that some people chose to overlook it and blame others, you chose to fabricate my position and facts on entirely different topics. Further discussion is probably pointless and will no doubt be unpleasant.
Sounds like your misinformed. The latest figure I saw was about 300. I don't know where you got the other 299.7k. Hey you wanna guess how many Iraqis have died since America has invaded?
Nope. At least 300,000 graves, and they keep finding more.
Unlike some people who believe the largest number they read, the number of people who have died in Iraq since the removal of the Baathist terror regime is not precisely known. What is known is that the majority of them have not been killed by Coalition forces, and the majority of those that were, were terrorists and insurgents. Furthermore, many more civilians would probably have died under five more years of Saddam's rule.
Well, If you feel you want to cause 'necessary' deaths to fight terrorism, please allow 100 000 innocent Americans to die and stop making the Middle East to pay the tab. They never asked nor invited.
"please allow 100 000 innocent Americans to die" What??
Most people value life unlike the AQ and other terrorists who have made it clear that life is of no consequence to them other than a way to leverage their own power and force eveyone to worship their own perverted form of Islam. It's astounding that apologists for terrorism not only ignore its horrific deliberate inhuman brutality aimed at innocent civilians but spend their time and energy blaming those who are trying to deal with it.
Indeed, human spaceflight has been one of the most productive and positive activities of the 20C for stimulating technology, science, education and industry, as well as lifting the eyes and spirit of the human race. The cost is enormous, but probably less than spent on other activities such as tourism, sport, entertainment etc etc.
Looks like McCain lost out in the race to get the Lunar Outpost named.
Tom, note that tradition has been broken this time!
(b) Designation- The United States portion of the first human-tended outpost established on the surface of the Moon shall be designated the `Neil A. Armstrong Lunar Outpost'.
Thanks again Jon.
Turning things upside down usually results in nonsense. Just because a cost/kg can be calculated doesn't mean that it has any sense. There's no meaningful correlation between cost per kg of human missions versus robotic ones unless the same types of missions are compared, and that's almost impossible. Likewise it doesn't even make much sense to compare the cost/kg of communication sats with navigation sats, and they are quite close in functionality and location. Comparing the cost/kg of different types of communication sats that have similar capabilities would make sense.
Human missions are totally different to robotic ones. Human missions are enormously expensive will continue to be so for a long time.
Cosmonauts who died both on missions and were reported very quickly and honoured as heroes. So were those who died in training (Bodarenko being the only exception) People who failed or were removed from training did "disappear" from the record, but are now known and have been known for at least 30 years.
"Vanished cosmonauts" are a myth.
Thanks Jon.
Only two publically known fatal accidents involving the deaths of four cosmonauts were admitted by the Soviets when they happened, the others were covered up. All of these fatal accidents were in Soyuz.
Many people were killed in the Soviet space programme, all these fatalities were kept secret at the time. Yes much of this has now been confirmed, but only because of the tireless work of people like Jim Oberg.
Please quote an authoritative reference for the denial of Oberg's work.
The last time I checked them there photons do not always travel in a straight line. They may be bent or redirected by them there gravitational fields.
Now I called my cousin Bubba in West Virginia and he aint much let me tell you. He got expelled from the third grade and never went back He said this thing is in the center of the galaxy and it is obscured in Noise. I ask him what he is talking about and he said that them there photons can be beaten to death until they are no longer visible in the visible light spectrum. Well I don’t know about all of that. His cousin Jethro says he can tell atmospheric make-up and temperature by solar transit of a planet 100 light years away. Take the jug away please.
I am with you brother, I think it is a straight shot from the center of the galaxy to us. I recon I will do anything for a groaner.
Yep, photons are affected by gravitational fields. If they travel near big fields they followed a curved path. Several objects have been discovered that do this, they're called gravitational lenes. As far as I know none have been found in the local galaxy. There is a super massive black hole in the galactic center, but no lensing has been seen - probably because it's too near.
The frequency of photons is affected by the velocity of the source, this is a one off effect. Frequency is also changed on the cosmological scale by the expansion of space - the famous red shift - this won't affect photons traveling inside the local galaxy.
Yes again, exoplanet atmospheres have been detected and spectroscopically analysed during transits.
From Constellation Enabled Missions (PDF 8MB) - 18 Jul 2007
Can we do it? Yes
• Constellation Program Elements (Ares & Orion) are capable of supporting a 2 or 3 crew Mission to a NEO.
Lots of details about different mission configurations, targets, trajectories and time lines.
With more funding this type of mission could be happening in the 2015 time frame!
Progress P29 Docking - 16 May 2008
A new Progress cargo carrier docked to the Earth-facing port of the International Space Station's Zarya module at 5:39 p.m. EDT Friday with more than 2.3 tons of fuel, oxygen, air, water, propellant and other supplies and equipment aboard.
The station's 29th Progress unpiloted spacecraft brings to the orbiting laboratory more than 770 pounds of propellant, more than 100 pounds of oxygen and air, about 925 pounds of water and 2,850 pounds of dry cargo. Total cargo weight is 4,657 pounds.
P29 launched from the Baikonur Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan on Wednesday, May 14, at 4:22 p.m. It replaces the trash-filled P28 which was undocked from Pirs on April 7 and destroyed on re-entry.
P29 used the automated Kurs system to dock to the station. Expedition 17 Commander Sergi Volkov was at the manual TORU docking system controls, should his intervention have become necessary
Thats fair enough, but its doesn't take much credit away from Russian success in space. They've been quite technically excellent at it. Countless people have died pursuing manned space flight - Its inherently very dangerous.
The Soyuz craft is the most used vehicle for delivering humans into space and is extremely reliable.
Yes, and most of those "countless people" who died have been Russian or living under Russian occupation.
There's not much difference between the safety record of the Shuttle and Soyuz. Shuttle has certainly put far more people into orbit. The Shuttle is by far the most technically capable vehicle.
The Soviet media was totally controlled by the government, and now the Russia media has recently fallen back under government control. The US media digs into every nook and cranny and reports every nut and bolt that fails. The Russians cover up everything they can including massive accidents, no wonder so many people believe the Russian systems are wonderful and that NASA's are useless.
Me do massive trading with China? All I buy are a few clothes and some electronics assembled there
China's military machine is not state of the art, that art is changing rapidly and the West has a clear edge. Any sensitive technology transferred to China will help them advance. Ever heard of Missile defense? These are real worries. Until recently most of China's technology has been imported, and that includes nearly all their space and military technology.
The future is really difficult to predict, simple extrapolations usually don't work. There's no way of knowing how far China will develop and how fast. Right now the Chinese economy in dollar terms is smaller than Germany's, it has a long way to go.
All national space programs have connections with their militaries and the US is no exception, however the US has had a clearly defined civilian space program with little military overlap since 1958 when NASA was founded. .
Technology flows in free markets and free markets thrive in democratic states. China is still not part of the global system, it's developing its own standards and has isolated itself from the global internet. Anyone opposing the government is arrested and imprisoned. Furthermore it has invaded and occupied East Turkmenistan and Tibet for decades and threatens the separate state of Taiwan with war if it dares to declare itself independent. It supported Saddam Hussein and Slobodan Milošević. North Korea and Iran are its close allies and it supports and arms the Sudan military in its genocidal war in Darfur. Why is China so loved and admired for its barbaric behavour and the US despised for liberating the people of Iraq and Afghanistan and protecting the free world? BTW the US also helped free China from Japanese occupation.
Yes, fully automated factories that have lower production costs than human operated ones are in the future.
Sure.
Jim Oberg's lecture slides (PDF) - Oberg is probably the best authority on the Russian space program outside Russia.
and
Lots more on his site
Soyuz was built during the days of the Soviet Union, when engineers and technicians were effectively slaves controlled by the government. They also had blank checks for whatever they wanted. Nothing stood in the way, if anyone objected they disappeared in the Gulags. The media dare not report the accidents and cosmonauts who died were erased from history. Today Russia is different, even with petrodollars flowing in, funding is tight - that's why they need ESA euros.
Letter From Aerospace and Technology Company Leaders - 15 May 2008
As leaders of our nation's largest aerospace and technology companies, we employ hundreds of thousands of Americans and know first hand the formidable challenges in today's global marketplace. We write to thank you for your past support of NASA and to urge you to enact a top-line increase for NASA's FY 2009 budget. Without this increase, our nation faces the very real risk of losing our uniquely critical industrial base and human space access capability.
NASA plays a crucial role in advancing our nation's innovation agenda. NASA programs promote our scientific, economic and educational interests, and contribute to our national and homeland security requirements. In the past few years, we have witnessed the rise of strong national space programs in China, India, and Japan, and a resurgence in Russia. We face major challenges to our space leadership and our national security.
In 2010, as the Shuttle is retired and we make the transition to the next generation of human spaceflight systems, the United States will become temporarily reliant on foreign human space transportation capabilities, if domestic commercial orbital space transportation does not emerge. In order to minimize this potential gap of independent American access to space, it is critical that we maintain funding and program stability for Orion and Ares I, sufficient to ensure a rapid and safe transition for American human space exploration. Future U.S. leadership in space is at stake.
This nation has an obligation to future generations of young Americans who, we hope, will focus their studies on science, math and engineering. Creating good, high-paying jobs in the aerospace and technology sectors will ensure that America maintains the technical human capital necessary for our country to retain its global economic strength well into the 21st century.
We are deeply concerned that there is a growing disparity between the programs that NASA has been asked to accomplish and the resources the agency has been provided.
The FY 2009 budget request is not adequate to accomplish all of NASA's important missions. Therefore, we respectfully request that Congress appropriate $20B for NASA in FY2009, a $2.4B increase above the request, to minimize our nation’s gap in human spaceflight capability, ensure U.S. leadership in space, and contribute to our national and homeland security and international competitiveness.
Sincerely,
Followed by a long list of names of every large US space company.
No confusion at all. If you want to directly compare like with like, use the mass in LEO of the Mars bound spacecraft, excluding EDS propellants. The average cost per kg in LEO of orbiters, landers and rovers is $517,000 per kg, almost twice the average cost of crewed missions in LEO.
If you insist on leaving the ISS out of then equation (even though in size and complexity it is at least as challenging as Mars mission) sthen use Apollo. With Apollo as a baseline the cost in LEO per kg of an unmanned mission is still 1.5 times that of crewed missions.
Thanks for you comments Jon.
Let's finish this ISS v MER comparison instead of wandering off to another system. MER in LEO without fuel to reach Mars is useless, it's an incomplete system. This would like excluding the solar arrays on ISS, excluding parts of a system does nothing except change the numbers. This type of analysis is pointless and so is using the metric of cost per kg to compare human and robotic systems that do entirely different jobs in completely different locations. That's why nobody uses it.
Program briefing - 15 May 2008 - audio 61 mins
Briefing participants:
- Jeff Hanley, manager, Constellation Program, NASA's Johnson Space Center, Houston
- Mark Geyer, manager, Orion Project, NASA's Johnson Space Center
- Steve Cook, manager, Ares Projects, NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center, Huntsville, Ala.
o Reaching end of the formulation phase
o Finishing formulation for Orion and Ares I by summer 2008 and program approval review by end of 2008
o Improved confidence in March 2015 date of Initial Operational Capability for Orion/Ares I
o Excellent prime contractor (ATK, P&W, Lockheed Martin) performance
o KSC preparing for Ares I-X, hardware CDR June 2008
o Ares I-X main risk to launch date is availability of mobile launch platform (max slip 6 weeks)
o Construction continues at pad 39B and VAB
o USA will process Ares I-X stack
o Internal first flight date is Sep 2013 - unchanged - no impact due to slippage
o Biggest challenge is funding
o Ares I-X test will validate dynamics models, trajectory and flight controls; also prove lean methods for manufacturing and operations
o Cx budget can manage 6 months of continuing resolution from Congress
Ares I
o Ares I vehicle stack PDR starts 14 July to be complete 10 September 2008
o 70% wind tunnel testing complete (5000 hours)
o First stage now in PDR to be complete 5 June 2008
o First drogue parachute tests in July 2008
o First inert 5 segment cast complete for ground vibration tests
o Nozzle tests complete
o First static test of 5 segment motor April 2009
o J-2X starting CDR component reviews, full engine CDR in November
o Testing J-2X gas generator
o Started production of powerpack #2 (J-2X)
o Upper stage PDR starting in June 2008, all subsystems PDRs complete
o Acceptance testing large scale robotic weld tools
o Wide panel structural tests starting July 2008
o Thrust Oscillation issue in work - design and tests - to be ready for Ares I stack review