You are not logged in.
Which is why I don't care for the disposable drop pod idea... provided you could keep your material from vaporizing (difficult given the density of most precious metals), you'd still have to launch the pod to the asteroid. You are going to need to send up stuff to the asteroid anyway, use the vehicle to bring some of it back down.
Yes I mentioned that also in my post. The problem would be building those pods. Building them on Earth would be way to expensive and in space could be very complicated. Also you will lose a significant part of your resources in those disposable pods building materials.
However I also added that ideally if you could make the cargo it self work like the entry vehicle and cover it with an ablative heat shielding, the shield http://www.seps.org/oracle/oracle.archi … html]could even be made of ice. Make it the shape of a lifting body, then you can have controlled crash but as you have no guidance system the exact location of touchdown is not 100% sure and so you will need let it crash-land in some remote area.
No, the "just return somthing, anything!" is a sure-fire way to make sure no investor will take you seriously, and why would anyone care about composition information if you can't mine yet, other than a few scientists? It would re-introduce Burt Rurtan's "giggle factor" that has made (and continues to) small-time commertial spaceflight a joke when it comes to real money.
I think its important as its a proof of concept. It will get you medai attention and lets you work out the bugs before deploying full scale.
Shipping it down a few tons at a time with a multi-stage RLV that docks with a LEO-to-asteroid-to-LEO tug seems like the best option to me.
Personally I think this is to expensive. I would rather go for a controlled crash in remote areas (like I mentioned in a previous post). This way nothing goes up from Earth except some light weight supplies and parts. As the materials are not fragile in anyway you don't need to make soft landings and have to maintain and build some expansive hardware on Earth.
Yes in the ideal situation it should work like that but I don't think you will have a lot of space faring customers in the next 50 years that have the means to construct complex objects in space using only your refined materials. Why else are they going for inflatable habs? Even the ISS was build on Earth.
If you want to have Earth customers you can't expect "normal" factories and transportation companies to start a space project to retrieve your refined products from space. As its just to expensive for them to do so. Remember that Earth minerals are still available in enough quantities and people knowledgeable about practical space technologies are still in small enough quantities for "normal" companies to see this as an impractical operation as who will design, build and operate the projects?
I would guess that as you are already in space its a lot easier to dump your refined products on Earth in some remote location such as Australia or Siberia. Then go up from Earth and retrieve it.
Again if there are space stations needing of these products then they are welcome customers. But you should also expand your market by exporting to Earth it self. More customers mean faster return on investments.
I was thinking on how you would get your mined resources on Earth. Lets say you are going for the asteroids and refine there and ship directly to Earth scenario.
You could have for instance a cargo ship that works on nuclear or an ion drive or be catapulted and so wouldn't need much or no earth fuels. But how will you get your goods through the atmosphere and land safely where it’s needed and be affordable? (BTW: On its way back the cargo ship will carry supplies and spare parts with it)
I was thinking of some kind of throwaway entry pod that contains the ore and is unleashed from the cargo ship at Earth orbit. But still it would be expensive and you will have to manufacture those in space and that is again very expensive to setup (a factory).
Unless if you can make the cargo (the refined ore) it self act an entry pod. By shaping it some way (like a lifting body) with a coating of an ablative material, and make controlled crashes on Earth.
I just thought of this scenario:
Use a grinder to grind up the asteroids in to a powder form. Then fill huge plastic like bags with this ore and crash land those bags on the moon and process/refine them there before you send them to Earth. Use a catapult like device to launch from asteroid --> moon to Earth.
I think you are still high :band:
BTW: Don’t think you have to design every bit from rockets to mining drones.
You should take in to account that Russia is using its ICBM to launch satellites into orbit. Strap a few boosters to those and you are of the asteroid field.
Like any good industry production practice, if someone can build a part cheaper then you or has a working model of what you need. Then use it. Worry about improving them later as soon as you have something working (space ship one) and attracted media and investor attention.
Hey if this system doesn’t work then your company wouldn’t have customers and each one would design their own autopilot system.
Basically what I’m trying to say is that you should stick to of the shelf parts and products when possible. As those parts and products will always be cheaper then your home made ones as for one they have a bigger market.
This leaves:
1. How will you get them their
2. Who are your customers?
I didn't know that the route was unknown. So my mistake and I get a better grasp of the problems facing the robot builder teams.
With simple logic, I mean what do incase of an obstacle. The AI doesn't need to understand "walls" in the DARPA challenge. It must understand that its an object of certain dimensions and if its powerful enough to "conquer" an object of its dimensions or if it should find an alternation route (a way around it).
For example you have a fallen tree or a brick wall of 20 cm's high (I think that’s about 2/3 foot) across a road. Now if the robot is a buggy or truck it can easily "conquer" this object. The robot should know that an object (pre-programmed) of a certain size will only make the journey less comfortable not impossible. Smaller robots will have other parameters.
A robot must learn that you cant drive through a wall, that going too fast in poor terrain will cause you to crash.
A robot must know of object and its dimensions and that’s all. Use radar and sonar to determine this.
However yes a robot must know about terrain types and how to act to them but there are not a lot different kinds of terrain types so the can be pre programmed. For instance:
1. If on soft terrain then speed should be such and so. (Suspension sensors decide the terrain)
2. Don’t enter water deeper then the height of your suspension (Sonar and radar)
3. And so on…
Just travel a couple of days with off road motorists and take notes. It should be less lines of code to set up those rules then programming a learning AI.
---
The entire goal is to reach the finish line not to be able to directly dumb the robot in Iraq or the Jungle
With TightVNC if you want more then one (remote) person seeing your desktop, you will need to enable Request Shared Session option.
I clicked on it and made it a favorite and saved it.
At the present time I don't have a use for it, but now I have the link when I need it.
Larry,
No that was a paid (shareware) application ment as example. If you are really interested then look http://www.tightvnc.com/screenshots.html]at TightVNC. Which is free and runs on many platforms.
TightVNC Features
Here is a brief list of TightVNC features absent in the standard VNC.
* File transfers in Win32 version. You can updload files from your local machine to the TightVNC server, and download files from the server to you computer.
* Local cursor handling. Cursor movements do not generate screen updates any more, remote cursor movements are processed locally by the viewer, so you do not see slow remote cursor movements behind the local cursor.
* Efficient compression algorithms. New Tight encoding is optimized for slow and medium-speed connections and thus generates much less traffic as compared to traditional VNC encodings. At the same time, TightVNC supports all the standard VNC encodings, so it can operate efficiently over fast networks, too. Thus, with TightVNC you can work remotely almost in real time in most network environments.
* Configurable compression levels. You can choose any appropriate level of compromise between compression ratios and coding speed, depending on your connection speed and processor power.
* Optional JPEG compression. If you don't care too much about perfect image quality, you can use JPEG compression which will compress color-rich screen areas much more efficiently (the image quality level is configurable too).
* Enhanced Web browser access. TightVNC includes a greatly improved Java viewer with full support for Tight encoding, local cursor feature, 24-bit color mode, and more. The Java viewer applet can be accessed via built-in HTTP server like in the standard VNC.
* Support for two passwords (full-control and read-only). The server allows or disallows remote keyboard and mouse events depending on which password was used for authentication.
* Advanced Properties dialog in WinVNC. Unlike the standard VNC, TightVNC gives you the possibility of setting a number of advanced settings directly from the WinVNC GUI, and to apply changed settings immediately. There is no need to launch regedit to set query options, connection priority, to allow loopback connections, disable HTTP server etc.
* Flexible configuration options. Unlike the standard VNC, TightVNC allows you to choose arbitrary port numbers for TCP/IP connections, in addition to display numbers traditionally used in VNC.
* Automatic SSH tunneling on Unix. The Unix version of TightVNC viewer can tunnel connections via SSH automatically using a local SSH/OpenSSH client installation (provided that an SSH/OpenSSH server is running on the server as well).
* And more. TightVNC features a number of other improvements, performance optimizations and bugfixes, see change logs for more information.
If we could figger out how to hook my computer to an on line network where we could all look at cad program together and work out engeneering detail on the electronic side house. Now that would be some thing interesting.
If you can accept a crude but working now solution to this, then I can help you with this problem.
You should use a desktop sharing application such as Windows XP Remote Sharing or VNC. VNC is somewhat slower but you can have clients from what ever OS, as long as they have a webbrowser and JAVA. You also have non free applications for these tasks which also allow you to share files like an FTP server. Here is https://www.gotomypc.com/tr/affil/cpnpc … desktop]an example. However sofar as I know only VNC (which is opensource and free) allows multiple people to connect to your computer.
Now if you are working on Windows (I don't know other solutions) and use Yahoo Messenger you can have conferences, meaning allowing multiple people to connect and talk at the same time.
---
This all gives you a crude but working enverioment to do what you want and its 100% free.
Why did the Darpa grand challenge fail, It didnt, there where no winners so what, it was a research mission.
The problem is that we have imbecile robots, to programme into a robot enough information to create an imbecile dog level of intelligence would take a team about 300 years. So we try to create self learning robots, these robots learn for themselves and as they grow they get brighter. We are at a very early stage with these technigues and technology.
I don't understand why you would want learning robots for something like the Darpa challenge. The route is known and simple logic should handlel unknown obstacles. Simple pathfinding I would guess that you also find in 10 year old computer games.
I think you are going the wrong way by wanting to create a mammal like intelligence in robots. Insect like intelligence should do for 99,95% of the tasks.
For example If got this from the above mentioned NASA study:
Six important robotics and machine intelligence technology categories were identified as most critical by Workshop participants:
1. Machine vision capabilities, especially in the areas of depth perception, multispectral analysis, modeling, texture and feature, and human interface
2. Multisensor integration, including all nonvision sensing such as force, touch, proximity, ranging, acoustics, electromagnetic wave, chemical, etc.
3. Locomotion technology to be used in exploration, extraction processes and beneficiation, with wheeled, tracked, or legged devices under teleoperated or autonomous control
4. Manipulators, useful in handling materials both internal and external to the machine, general purpose and special purpose, teleoperated or fully automatic
5. Reasoning or intelligence, including logical deductions, plausible inference, planning and plan execution, real world modeling, and diagnosis and repair in case of malfunction
6. Man-machine interface, including teleoperator control, kinesthetic feedback during manipulation or locomotion, computer-enhanced sensor data processing, and supervision of autonomous systems.
You have a really cool job . I like electronics myself but I am always postponing to learn it. I have a teach-your-self basic electronics book right next to me. But I always seem to find a reason why not to read it.
If I had the skills I have an endless list of ideas of things I would build. http://www.xs4all.nl/~smurfy/2004/04/eb … .html]This would be one.
Anyway I think you should look http://sources.wikipedia.org/wiki/Advan … ontents]at this free NASA report on mining and automation in space. In general it’s about building self-replicating factories but if you can skip the parts of that and just read the automation and mining parts.
Do you have any idea on the hardware you will use? Not talking about computer hardware but the diggers, drillers and transporters and their engines and anything else.
Also how will you proceed?
1. Get those things into space.
2. How will you know what asteroids to mine?
3. On what kind of energy will your operation work? How will that energy be produced?
4. Who are your customers?
BTW: Why did the Grand DARPA Challenge fail? I mean you have for decades now autopilots for aircraft.
I am an employee of a company that makes autopilots for miniature UAVs. 9 of the 15 cost centres of NASA purchase our products, and several U.S. army and navy UAVs or target drones use our autopilot. Every autopilot goes over my desk for calibration and quality control testing; that's got to be worth something.
Question what kind of hardware is needed for such an autopilot? Would a processor in the same league as an 486 or early Pentium do? Just want to know if logic hardware is cheap and if you can use of the shelf parts (ok needs radiation hardening and redundant logic).
Or shouldn't it be better in a mining operation to have no AI on the miner it self but all the AI (autopilot) actions are tele-controlled by a central computer in proximity that will be able to control 100's of miners. Should be easier to upgrade and maintain. As the miner digging, engines and other hardware should not change often or need upgrades if they do their jobs. So dumb all the decision-making logic and install a high bandwidth tele-control unit. But keep all the sensors. On UAV's you can't do that due to possible enemy jamming but I don't see a problem with doing it in space this way.
However I think there is even a market on Earth for this kind of operation. Some Australian mines are already using automated miners. And I think if you can get your plan to work on Earth mines you will have a fantastic money making proof of concept, that will finance the possibility of new mining operations who happen to be in space.
Not saying you must only think of the money but money makes dreams become possible so you should accept its power. You will reach your goal eventually however with some money making detours, that are needed to proof your concept and finance your end goal.
An example were you could make money would be the tar-oil fields in Canada. If you take your asteroid mining operation and use it to mine the tar-oil fields. I’m sure you will not have problems getting financers; well no they will begging you to invest in your operation.
Sounds more to me that you want to change the way America works.
Not saying your ideas are good or bad. But we space geeks should take what we have instead of waiting for a revolution in American banking systems.
They wanted a resource colony and not a colony that had industrial capability.
Like any British colony of that day I think.
That my point. We want a government based on a general welfare of the people that are going to be colonizing either the Moon or Mars and not a corporation seeking profit for profits sake. Now we want private enterprise in space and there a place for private enterprise in space, but we don't want it being the master of over what going on in space. Private enterprise does a really good job, competing for the business for good and service that are needed and providing them, but they do a lousy job over governing people and deciding the fate of people lives. Nor would you want private business making life and death decission over your life either.
Larry,
Well you can let the government do anything but then you are just longing for communism. But I don't think that it was your plan to do so. And you know how effective and human rights friendly communists are.
---
I do think you must make a separation between small to mid size businesses and multinationals. In general multinationals don't really do much for their workers. However small and mid size businesses do in general care about their workers. And the bosses know most of their employees by name and their family situations.
If you are calling a mom and pops coffee shop, which makes a profit and wants to make more (expand), a corporation just seeking profits for profits sake, then we don't agree*. As there is nothing wrong with making profits for a mom and pops shop as this nothing wrong for multinationals making profits. As most of American aerospace industries wouldn't exist with foreign customers. Without these evil profits the American economy wouldn't even exist.
*Ben and Jerry’s Ice Cream model
---
I think that NASA should only do exploration and design academic plans (R&D). All the other things should be done by private enterprises.
---
Also in my idea a person in space would be like soldier in a foreign country. He will follow the laws of the country that send him and that’s it. Well until a more then 100.000 people colony has been setup and you have a (international) trusted local government.
Basically put Earth laws will follow into space (well, there were humans go their ways will follow). So if you like American laws then you will like working in Space for an American company. If you don’t like the way American companies treat their workers then you should either immigrate or vote differently.
---
Anyway don’t expect Space to fuel your little revolution as many of the modern cultures follow a certain logic that evolved over many years and makes most of their peoples satisfied on the way how things work and get done. If it wouldn’t then you would see a lot more civil wars.
---
I can accept something like a moderate FCC that controls things in space like it does now with the airwaves. But nothing more. Working on a space station should be like working on an international ship, you follow the laws who’s flag you carry. The fcc will decide which flags are accepted.
They wanted a resource colony and not a colony that had industrial capability.
Like any British colony of that day I think.
Smurf, I'm afraid that I must respectfully disagree. I feel the need is to reduce the high cost of lift mass from Earth. That means finding easy to manufacture, heavy components that are needed in space, and make those from in-space resources. This reduces the need for heavy lift. Propellant, spacecraft or space station hulls, fuel tanks, rocket engines, solar arrays, and complete atmospheric entry vehicles to return cargo to Earth. These are the parts we need to make in space.
You are not disagreeing with me at all. I just wanted to point out that a high tech industry orbiting Earth is viable now.
I just mentioned the space shuttle to point out that you can use such an inefficient craft and still be profitable in my situation. In practice you would use (after the station is build and equipped) capsules like the Soyuz for supplies to and from Earth. The heavy lifters are only to get the space station up there and running. And they will not be space shuttles.
And if you want to build really big things in space (such as colonies) then yes you will need new technologies and new ways of working. The high tech factory will be from the out side not be fancier then the ISS only slightly bigger.
Only differences I think between your ideas and mine is that you are looking for the long term and I’m thinking about what could be done in the next 15 years and directly make a profit.
Either way, if I use the heavy lifters from now and build my high tech space factory I will be profitable but if your plan works and is rolling I will be even more profitable.
But in the mean time I’m earning money and developing practical* new space technologies with the money I have earned so far and you are still lobbying the government and NASA to accept your ideas.
(edited)
*These will be just to enhance my profits and could in the long-term mean things as mines on the Moon that will ship all the non-rare elements from the moon for production. In the short term they will be cheaper ways (pounds/$) to send materials to space. And these new technologies will have a lot of interesting spin off's that can fuel your plans.
Disclaimer:
As you could also see from other posts in other threads, my way of thinking is dominated by social - economics. I'm not interested in building pyramids where only the special people can lay/live and live out their dreams. In my way of thinking everything must have a purpose. Spiritual purposes (pyramids) are not wanted. Building a colony for the heck of it or some unproven doom is spiritual to me and is fine if your church/cult pays for it. But don't expect me to agree with you if you think that your deams should be paid for by tax payers. However I do think that national space agencies have a useful purpose and that is to explore.
I don't want to repeat my self but I think that I need to explain my earlier statements.
What I meant with that I think the only viable industry in space at this moment is the one that makes "parts" like microchips, optical lenses and alloys that are worth many times their weight and couldn't be produced on Earth. And this if there is no space colony.
For example a kilo of space made zero gravity microchips should only contain a few grams of precious rare elements. But a kilo of microchips is worth a lot more then its building materials, maybe a million times more.
So a kilo of space made microchips could be worth 100 million dollars. BTW a kilo of microchips could be a million microchips and I’m not talking about a Pentium but those wafer’s that contain the core of the chip. Now I think that’s economic to ship to Earth. So ten kilos of these microchips would be worth 1 billion dollars. Shipping 10 kilos from space to Earth is doable and still economical even if you would use the space shuttle especially at a worth of a billion dollars per 10 kilos.
I think if you have a space colony you can extract the raw materials of the asteroids. But setting up a space colony of at least 100.000 people is a very big task and not payable at this moment. And besides that it will take at least a 100 years or more to get it done. Just look how long it will take NASA to set up a moon outpost. And sending four people to moon is a lot easier then building a city on Mars.
So personally the economical person in me says go for the high tech building space stations orbiting Earth first. They don’t have to be big something like 50 people max. The high tech gizmos that are build by the space station(s) will pay for the project.
The adventurous person in me says, I would love to live on Mars or at least see it and the other planets with my own eyes. But I know I can’t expect for other people to pay for my dreams as much as they should pay for a persons dream to climb the Mount Everest.
You know there is a difference between NASA and commercial space flight!?
NASA is more like: "To boldly go where no man has gone before" and commercial spaceflight is more like to exploit space where man has been before, technologies needed are sure and tested (by NASA) and do I get a "short" term profit?
So there is a big difference between NASA and others. They don't compete at all. NASA is for commercial spaceflight a free R&D agency and that’s good as long as they are American companies or pay for the knowledge gathered by NASA. If so with that NASA will have even more value then without commercial spaceflight.
I mean everyone knows that NASA and military agencies broke any record set by the X price decades ago. So technically what Burtan is doing is nothing special as a lot of knowledgeable people will tell you as most of his designs were from other (tested) crafts.
Disclaimer: I still think what he did is cool but nothing worth all the crap I see across the Internet.
---
About raw materials vs high tech industry in space.
If you are going for raw materials I see no future for your enterprise as Earth has more then its needs (at this moment and the next 100 years). Only force driving might be that materials in space are cheaper in general but not to ship to general populations. But who will make the initial trillion dollar investments? NASA can't compete with private enterprises so forget them. And at this moment the market is quite happy with what it has. They market is more looking into cheap labor and automation then cheaper raw materials.
If the space debris orbiting earth is becoming a real problem, I'm sure there will be measures to make sure that satellites or rockets-parts will burn in the atmosphere instead of circling the earth when they are not needed anymore.
Your arguments against the possibility of a high tech industry in space will work with the same arguments against a mining industry in space. Both are impossible at this time and in my opinion only a high tech space industry is needed. With that I mean a high tech industry that is able to make "parts" in zero gravity. And those zero gravity “parts” are special and worth more then their weight. There is no other need for a space industry. You can do everything else on Earth.
I think exploiting space for pure raw materials is to expensive.
What you need is a high tech industry that builds "parts" that are worth more then their weight. Like microchips that use gold and other elements.
I got this from slashdot but the information is of interest of this forum.
TheSync writes "FuturePundit has a story about work at MIT to develop a photovoltaic cell from spinach chloroplast proteins to generate electricity. These cells convert 12% of the light energy into electricity, and researchers hope to reach 20% efficiency, better than commercial silicon solar cells."
Read http://science.slashdot.org/article.pl? … tid=191]it here.
Found http://www.marsquestonline.org/tour/wel … .html]this site. Just follow the link (must have flash player installed)