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#1626 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » Prudent or Paranoid ? - Have radio transmissions doomed Man ? » 2004-09-05 15:36:02

what you are saying is that a hostile race would bother coming all this distance and just wipe us out.

If there are so many races out there where are they and why have they not said hello

#1627 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-09-05 13:05:10

I was and I think so was DARPA surprised though at the quality of some of the amateur entries. And the competition had a very team orientated fair play to it, Was it not team firestorm who where helping out a schools entry with debugging. And there where fan bases around a few entries like the team that had a motorbike entry.

It was an amateur entry which DARPA was most interested in as the way its robot thought was vastly more efficient than the Million dollar entries from the big UNIs. And it seemed to be programming that backfired on most of the robots as they had too little time to debug programs. One of the favourites Firestorm due to a very slight  computational change had there robot wrecked when it flipped two weeks before the challenge.

This is one thing I find fascinating about robotics. I find it fascinating how much you can do with a simple design. I often wonder if knowing too much theory sometimes works against you in this field. I have seen a four legged walking robot made out of one motor and the top of a fax machine.

I agree it does seem to make them most effective you must keep them simple. Overengineering is ok unless it adds to the things that can go wrong. A simple tough working robot seems to be the way to go and especially if one part fits all type of engineering standard is used. What would be better too is if the majority of parts can be made at a base. This could mean we send the parts that cant be manufactured so reducing launch costs.

Of course we can try this out on earth and see what we can learn here before being expensive and sending the mission out.

#1628 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-09-05 10:57:17

I was and I think so was DARPA surprised though at the quality of some of the amateur entries. And the competition had a very team orientated fair play to it, Was it not team firestorm who where helping out a schools entry with debugging. And there where fan bases around a few entries like the team that had a motorbike entry.

It was an amateur entry which DARPA was most interested in as the way its robot thought was vastly more efficient than the Million dollar entries from the big UNIs. And it seemed to be programming that backfired on most of the robots as they had too little time to debug programs. One of the favourites Firestorm due to a very slight  computational change had there robot wrecked when it flipped two weeks before the challenge.

#1629 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-09-05 10:23:16

I think what happened was DARPA where not expecting the challenge to be of as much interest as it became. They started with too many teams as a lot of what could be called amateurs joined in. There way of sifting was really a quick and not too well thought out process. The DARPA grand challenge was an attempt by DARPA to see what a little competition could do.

They should sort out the problems by the time DARPA grand challenge 2005 comes around and maybe the leaders of the challenge will be less confused and readier for the interest to be high.

#1630 Re: Not So Free Chat » The Turning Point? » 2004-09-05 10:08:56

It could be a turning point but not necassarily what we would want. Currently based in France, Britain and the USA are Chechen independence groups and there web sites. It may be that the Russians will have a serious backlash against all the chechens and there tactic supporters.

#1631 Re: Human missions » China The Dominant Superpower In 20 Years..... - What does this mean for US? » 2004-09-05 09:54:01

(Considering, only years ago, I was rabid anti-nuclear power... Phew! Can hardly believe I'm typing this... big_smile  But if you watch closely, even Greenpeace is changing their tune... Slowly...)

As things go to be able to have the energy we need for our evergrowing power needs it seems nuclear is the way to go as it is actually greener than the many other options and some so called green options are athough not polluting have serious side effects. From a space advocacy point of view this is good as it will reduce the opposition we have, to using Nuclear Engines and power in space.

#1632 Re: Human missions » China The Dominant Superpower In 20 Years..... - What does this mean for US? » 2004-09-05 09:19:46

China is suffering from growing pains!

With the construction of the three gorges dam it got a lot of cleaner hydro power but at the expense of some towns and a lot of good farm land, Not to mention some serious political and focus group backlash. It was almost certain that China was going to have to go to a nuclear solution to solve all the electrical shortage it would be facing. It like all countries cannot use Gas and Oil as the costs of this are going up. It really only left Coal and Nuclear, and coal was too heavy a polluter so nuclear it had to be.

#1633 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-09-05 09:04:16

"Or perhaps use GPS measurements to have the Jeep follow a known safe root."

The Desert Challenge thingie with the autonomous jeeps WERE GPS guided. Down a straight, flat, hard-topped well defined highway with plenty of gravity. All of them from ALL the contestants failed, most badly... and thats just for the robot ore truck. We simply are not that far along yet.

Telerobotics aren't very efficent when you have an eight second delay either, particularly with a big operation... anyway, I don't think its practical to operate a mining operation purely by machine, you will at the very least need some people up there for the inevitible breakdowns that aren't easy to handle and for real-time monitoring.

That is wrong they may have had GPS but it was not a flat terrain. Certain points where given to the robots which they had to find and navigate there way too. This terrain is really rough desert terrain with deep gulleys and high dunes. Not to mention boulders and tough vegitation but it was not straight line runs with clear terrain. Frankly human controlled vehicles have trouble in this terrain and unlike human controlled vehicles its not possible to step out and dig yourself out of the terrain you just crashed into.

We have used telerobotics to do this before the Nomad project that was operated by NASA was one such idea. But the DARPA desert challenge is for completely automated robots and Hummers ATVs where used by some teams.

What we would do on the Moon/Mars is to create roads or even light rail. These roads would have had the way hardened for traffic and with the route given waymarkers. Light rail is even better with ore trains being relativelly simple machines and if you have ever played with a toy train set it shows how easy it is to automate such a system.

#1634 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-09-04 18:10:53

GCNRevenger,

I am talking about Battlefield Computer systems that are designed for those conditions. That is why you get information from Canadian Shuttle Arm designers on the environment specifications they used to develop the ISS Robotic Arm because that would be based on new data from all the shuttle missions after creation of the first series robotic arm. 

I Know that the environment in space is an extreme location but can use standard components with protection for that environment.

If you use 486 (100mhz)  based systems then you get the results of those slower systems, If you use a P4 ( 3000mhz) systems with large EPROM ( erasable programmable read only memory ) and Large active RAM for operating tasks you will get a increased results in precision, tasks performed, and reduced time expended to perform those tasks. also using fibre optics for interlinks from components and communication subsystems will provide reduced time to transfer volume information to systems, allowing telepresence systems to act in real-time.

Again the cost for the prototype will be high 300-600 $M but the mass produced versions will be under 20 $M each because all you are doing is copying the prototype not working out all the issues. The other main cost is the droid transporter for earth orbit. Each Droid team will be different in the capabilities - heavy build team, finishing team, general contustion team, service team, and more.

What you are talking about is a manipulator arm it is a tool, not the true telerobotics that are needed. A true telerobotic robot will be self powered and will have its own manouvering system. We cannot use solar cells as a powersource as they would restrict the places this robot could go. The NASA robotic astronaut is for use as a short term crew member, but the need is for heavier construction capable devices almost miniature space tugs. But saying that there will not be a need for anything like this until a really major space project is envisaged and we are decades at least from this.

#1635 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-09-04 16:55:41

If we go to a hydrogen fuel based society from the current oil based platinum group metals will be needed in increasing amounts. Platinum foil is likely to be heavily used in the fuel cells that these vehicles use. It does mean that with the increased demand that it may become a financial proposition for this mineral to be mined in space.

Of course this predisposes that we can a) go to a hydrogen fuel cell based economy. b) that we can mine platinum cheaply. c) that we cant find the required platinum on Earth

#1636 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-08-30 04:17:10

GCNRevenger,

Why and how, are your two questions. Lets start with how ? - We have technology across the planet to build smarter systems then we currently have in production or development. example - 2GB RAM DDR, 1GB EPROMS, and 250GB HD, 10 -12 megpxls CCD Cameras, High Speed, High Performance Graphic Processors, 1GB LAN sytems and more ( Current Technology ) - Technology has moved alot in the past few years and with general public receiving the 64 bit processors, development tools for that platform, and also the increasing bandwidth developments, the next generation of communication systems in the next few years will allow , VR type control in real-time. Current Client-Server Software Architecture can be used to build smarter droids.


Now Why Question ? - In order to expand space rapidly we need thousands of personnel working development and constructiing in space, BUT the cost would be astronomical and not cost effective. The Ansers in Workteams of Droids in space.  Its cost effective for private enterprise to expand into space and build markets in orbit and eventually expand to the moon.  Another reason - The cargo is more important to get into outer space than humans at the point in development.

The implementation plans would provide the creation of human outpost in Earth Orbit that can sustain human life. Those components can be sent up into spaceand assembled via a number of droid teams and tested before human occupation and commencement. Once that happens then the orbiting platform takes control of earth-outward traffic and incoming orbital traffic. ( space traffic control )

Is that enough detail for you , GCNRevenger,  ???

The NASA robot as developed was intended to be moved to its construction or work area by way of the shuttles robot arm. For a construction Bot to be effective it will need a means to pilot itself ie it will need an MMU. To develop one in which fuel and duration is increased will cost a lot of money. To then pair it with a telerobotic robot which has to last an extended length of time in orbit, so it has to have duration and all with a weight limit begins to get very very hard. This is getting to the point where we are sending one of these robots up on there own so your talking a single delta or shuttle to deliver one.

We are now talking about a robot which in effect weighs about 10 to 15 tonnes and is using ion thrust to move about and has a nuclear power source. All these will have to be developed. I am now changing my view it will cost 5 to 6 Billion us$ to develop. If you want an effective construction droid that is what has to be done.

I have just thought differently than I usually do, I usually will drop a project when it gets too big or the weight problems prove to be impossible to fix. Comstar we can create a construction droid but it will be heavy. It needs a real construction project to build the problem is not software for the construction droid it is hardware the ability to move and maneuver in space means that the robot will have to be of a realistically larger size to be of use.

#1637 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Tethered Space Stations » 2004-08-29 18:06:16

It is dificult to build a wheel type station without the ability to create orbital construction. Modules sent from Earth are easier to assemble as they fit inside the shuttle or in the rocket sent up. To create a wheel you must actually make the tresses in space and then fill them up. A hard bit would be if you wish to make the central part of your station not spin as this causes design problems.

Some of the dificulty in creating a wheel station has now been solved if the use of inflatable modules is used

#1638 Re: Human missions » The need for a Moon direct - and sustainabilty program » 2004-08-29 17:57:55

Dook it would be the highest rated television show at least for that week, then the second week it would be still doing ok, but by the third week the latest version of Sex in the city would be back on top.

This is fact the population of the western world have a really poor interest factor, ask anybody who works in television.

We know the Moon has all that we need to create a full industrial center for Man to get major access to space. And it has when necessary got reasonably easier access to the NEO class of asteroid and there materials.

We cannot colonize mars when all we are sending is 6 people at a cost of 2 Billion $us for each 6 man crew. How many crews will we be able to send before the plug is pulled. We must reduce the cost of sending people or the mainstay of colonisation families will never be sent. This is the idea behind cyclers, which once constructed only need resupply and all the expensive costs have been dealt with. Cyclers will certainly have a nuclear power source and use solar as backup. They will probably spin to provide a limited gravity and the colonists will take along there own food and supplies.

#1639 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-08-29 17:25:53

When we have to start building things in orbit from scratch then telerobotics will be a big aid. But apart from the NASA robot currently in development little has been done as far as I know to actually work out how best to do this. One advantage that Telerobotics can have is that the robot does not necassarily need just one set of arms.

I have used Rovs which are the underwater versions of the telerobotics we would need for space and it is not an easy job to actually be able to feel for the material you are working on. Advanced use of VR eguipment should be able to sort this problem, but it is still in the testing stage and most development is still in the military side.

NASA developed there space telerobotic robot in a human shape as they wanted to have it able to use Human tools already made. But is it the best shape this im not sure actually a robot with a lot of arms may be a better design as this allows for more grip and stability when working.

Needless to say this will cost a lot of money to develop and as little work has been done it will be at least 5 years before we get a robot that will meet the standards we want and actually last for more than one mission.

#1640 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-08-29 17:12:43

I would like to remind you that the Greece, the Romans and British did not start off being empires, but were later transformed into empire. It is this transformation the started the deterioration of those nation and ultimately lead to there demise or collapse. As in the case of Greece, it went from being a Republican concept of government in Athens Greece to being an Empire with all of it rottenness. The Romans did the same thing and the British did the same thing. England was the second nation state after France, before it became an empire. It was this moral rottenness of Great Britain that drove the American Colonies to break away and form the new American Republic. It was that New American Republic that was constantly pushing for new technology to be developed and not the British Empire, which was the opposing view point of pulling thing down so they can control things.

We are dealing with two different concepts here:

The Imperial mindset of pulling things down so they can control things. It generally leads to slavery and other forms of debasing man and because of that corruption it will eventually destroy itself.

The Nation State or Republic mindset is based around building stuff up and using new technology for accomplishing that mission. Since they can continually develop new more advanced technologies, they can continue to develop almost indefinitely.

If there is an Empire that had interstellar flight between stars, at some time in there past they had to be Nation State of some type before they became an Empire. Empire don't have the capability to develop past a certain point, because you have to develop the general population and build them up so can build city on Mars or things like that. The Imperial mindset of the people in control will prevent that from happening. The will do that by brainwashing the people that they control through education, new media, etc. Now our Interstellar Empire if one existed after they took over would start the process of disintegrating. They will also be trying to brainwash all there subject throughout the Empire on other planets in other star systems. Now when our Empire collapse and it will, any body that has bought into there propaganda or economic concepts, will also continue to go backward too. They may hate the Empire. They may have been repressive, etc, etc., but the economic policies of the Empire they are still endorsing whether they recognize it or not. Those economic policies will also continue to drive them backward too, because those economic policies are corrupt and are designed to pull things down and they do.

But, lets say that there is one colony that thinks more the way I think and did not buy into that corruption and they clean house of that corruption and go back to the Nation State concept of the General Welfare and building people up. That one society would be the only society that would not lose it interstellar flight capability and would even progress to even higher levels of technological development.

What I’m saying is, you concept of reality can have both a good or negative effect on both humanity and any space development program that you think up or improvement of mankind that you can think up. What going on between your ears is more powerful than either the technology, infrastructure, because your going to have society going in both direction that either did not have the technology and infrastructure who developed it and those that had it and lost only on the bases of what going on between those ears.

Larry,

It was not Moral rotteness that made the American Colonies break away from great Britain, nor was it that Britain was fading. At that time Britain was a young state and no where near the pinnacle of its power. Inventions and Ideas flowed from Britain as Britain went through the Industrial revolution a state that occured mostly after the Colonies had broken away.

You must remember that our ideas of what is classed as Morality is different now than then. The majority of the Founding fathers where slave owners and slavery existed in the USA long after Great Britain had banned it. But what we call morality really came about in the 19th century in the age we call the Victorian age. But what really matters is that the USA is now the Empire and most of your arquement can now be thrown at the USA. It is now the turn of the USA to either take on the challenges or to begin to fade.

#1641 Re: Human missions » The need for a Moon direct - and sustainabilty program » 2004-08-29 08:05:13

I think an important fact that most Moon enthusiaist miss is that going to Mars makes a lot of their dreams for the Moon more realistic. The Moon is still the 'high frontier' becuase we have gone no further. A successful mission or two to Mars would alter the public's perceptions towards the Moon, making it seem much more realistic to build hotels or other structures there. And that change in attitude means more funding raising for said projects.

At the moment if we go to Mars it will take a large part of the resources that the space agencies have to do the mission. If we are lucky then there might be a couple of others. But after that they will drop the Mars missions, they did it to apollo and they will do it to the Mars missions. The next stage is obviously colonisation but without the infrastructure it will not happen.

We have to try to avoid this the general public are no longer interested in what occurs in space only when things go wrong. If we land men on Mars then that will attract large numbers of people to watch the landing, but the second and third missions will simply not attract much public interest. What we will get if you land men on Mars and do not have the ability to follow up immediately with colonisation is this. Ok youve landed found alien life oh wow, lets cut your budget you dont need it anymore. What do you mean NO, you dont have anything to spend it on do you, NO of course not. I want to put that money to this military overspend, this health program, this National debt.

That is why I want to go the Moon first, we can develop the Moon using Telerobotics. It can make infrastructure creation a lot cheaper than any means we have from Earth. We will never make the Moon completely self sufficient, but the reverse is also true with resources coming from the Moon the Earth is no longer self sufficient. Space colonisation and utilisation is a serious and expensive game, if you can reduce costs then you increase capability. And at the moment we are not capable of colonising Mars.

#1642 Re: Human missions » When Would You go to Mars? » 2004-08-29 07:30:34

The first thing I would do is send an orbiting mirror this would begin to reflect more light onto Mars, But until we really decide we want to go full tilt for terraforming what it would do is provide more light for power use at the main Mars base.

But yes go for Mars as soon as we can then we change it to what we want, But there is no reason not to go for colonisation as soon as we have resources to do so.

#1643 Re: Human missions » China The Dominant Superpower In 20 Years..... - What does this mean for US? » 2004-08-29 07:13:22

Hopefully, when China does become a mobile society, they won't do so using combustable engines. I don't think it's unrealistic to predict that by the time the majority of China has long range transportation, the combustable engine (gas using) will be obsolete (perhaps even frowned upon by industrial nations).

One of the main reasons for the massive increase in the cost of Oil is that China has become hungrier for oil than ever before frankly it needs more than is being produced. Car ownership in Shanghai tripled in one month. and this increases are carrying on. 100 k of cars to 300k is a lot of increase all needing fuel. That is just a symbol of Chinese buisness success as foreign capital at the moment floods in to invest in China, Of course it will move when the cost of doing buisness gets too high, but it may be many years before that happens and China will reap the benefits in increased tax and technologies

#1644 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-08-29 07:05:20

If we were in an Empire that had interstellar fight from one star to another and that Empire falls, we would still lose our ability to maintain our space flight or interstellar space flight.

Some of the other people that were protesting against my views said, well once the Empire gone, then we can do what we want to do.

No, that not so!

Although the Empire was on the out side is gone, they trained you and a residue of that Empire is on the inside of you and directs the way you think. The same thing that cause that Empire to collapse because of there own rottenness, will also cause you to fall backward too if you don't root out that rottenness out of your own thinking. That kind of rottenness is in thought patterns of most people in the United States and even in the rest of the world and is our biggest hindrance when it comes to getting into space. Matter of fact, it a bigger hindrance than not having either the technology or the infrastructure in place. Because, we can develop the technology we didn’t have and we can build the infrastructure we didn’t have, but, some one who does not see that rottenness from within and refuses to entertain that idea it exist will impose those limitation on himself and stop a progressive space program and colonization and he will not know that he did that from within himself.

Larry,

What you seem to be saying is that at the beginning when Your empire was young it had little resources and it was a challenge to do anything and people who where motivated went for it and solved those challenges. Now your Empire has aged and though it has more resources it does not have the motivation to do what was once possible, people now look at these challenges and say too hard why risk my comfortable life to try.

This seems to happen to all empires they stop expanding not wanting to risk the trouble and cost. It happened to the greeks, the Romans and to the British. So will it happen to or is it happening to the USA, probably. When an empire decides that it will not keep expanding it will eventually fail, through internal troubles or due to the incapability to deal with other external factors.

But sometimes when it seems things are going to go dark there is that last gasp of expansion and that could be enough to get a breath of fresh air into the Empire as there is that new generation of people in the frontiers with so much to do that they become your new class of motivated people. Of course then these frontier provinces become independent and even with the original Empire collapsing they will push the Empires ideals forward but with the slant of local conditions.

#1645 Re: Human missions » Master of AI » 2004-08-28 17:06:41

I Did use gears to gain an increase in power to the legs, But they still struggled with any power plant I could put in and I really did not want to have it attached to the mains but in the end I did. And it still struggled to move in fact it barely did. I even used/attempted to a rotating leg system so the legs would flip if they got stuck(a commen problem). In the end I gave up as it had turned out so bad. You see to keep the Bot stable it had to have legs which where too heavy, the flipping legs just stopped the machine dead. sorry if im not explaining myself too well.

#1646 Re: Human missions » Master of AI » 2004-08-28 15:58:59

My hope in using a lawn mower beam bot was to see if

a) it could be done but in this I had real trouble

B) One of the most effective mining technigues in space is to use a rotating brush to collect surface material up from the ground. Standard digging technigues used on Earth are a lot less effective on the Moon and Mars and objects that have a reduced gravity. Also the surface of these objects are covered in slightly compressed rubble or regolith caused by asteroid impact and we must dig through this to find if we want to non fractured strata. Using a beambot meant I could use legs as stabilisation.

It was my intention to use them like an ant colony would but I had too much trouble with weight issues/movement.

Unfortunatly I have now come to the Idea that until a form of stonger way to make muscles for robot legs and arms appears with a decent lightweight power source . Robots using wheels will have the advantage when being used. (it is what I now plan to turn my lawn mower robot into but with the advantage that we can use a petrol engine to provide power source). Also the reduced complexity of a Wheel based robot reduces maintenance problems.

#1647 Re: Mars Rovers / University Rover Challenge » Simulation of Intelligent Robotic Colony » 2004-08-28 15:44:54

Thanks John very interesting site, Maybe give me ideas to sort out all my little bot hiccups.

#1648 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-08-28 11:12:31

At first cargoes sent to the Moon and Mars will be sent directly to there respective destinations. But when we manage to get a lot more efficient means to LEO then it becomes cheaper to have a shuttle service between a station and the Moon etc. The required technology to be developed is a reusable space plane, with a lot more reduced costs then the current shuttle. This LEO to Moon shuttle service can use indigenous lunar fuel to reduce costs.

Of course the space dock in LEO will not be the ISS its in the wrong orbit and designed wrong. A replacement built in a better orbit could use inflatable structures and be made large enough to provide a modicum of gravity by spinning.

#1649 Re: Not So Free Chat » Canadian Politics » 2004-08-28 03:31:54

In the 70s and 80s both the USA and USSR created a first strike weapon this was the suitcase sized atomic bomb. With the fall of the USSR the new russian goverment can only acount for about half of these weapons that where made. Where are the other 42 or so is a good question.

It would not take much for a person to walk to the top of a skyscraper and detonate one of these weapons. There explosive yield will only measure in the Kilotons but they would still pretty much destroy a city and kill thousands. This weapon cannot be defended against by any missile shield.

#1650 Re: Human missions » Post central for information on CEV 2 - ...continue here. » 2004-08-28 03:23:57

We need, 20+ Personnel transporter from earth to LEO; We need one way cargo vehicles from earth to LEO; and We need cargo transporters from LEO to Lunar surface go to surface then unpack based equipment and supplies and return to LEO platform for resupply, just to start with.

We design the one way vehicle to be modular for recycling when they are in orbit and be reused into space platforms, transfer vehicles. One of the first long term platforms in orbit will be a supply base to manage surplus engines and other modules from all one-way crafts.


Just think about those things

All these where to be introduced as part of the original space station freedom. But as costs overun and Nasa's budget got slashed. The original plan was to have the Spacedock and Lunar transfer vehicles plus orbital tugs and construction pods. All this was dropped after review after review. When international partners came on board the designs where changed again and again. But the most cutting was done when it was only NASA planning to build it. It was NASA that got rid of the Tug, the Lunar transfer vehicle, the construction pod and the spaceport function.

The ISS as it is now is in the wrong orbit and does not have the design and capacity space to provide what is needed for a spaceport. It is doubtful that the ISS can actually handle all the stress we are putting on it now as some worried NASA engineers can tell you. It is putting out the signals of becoming another MIR with multiple fixes having to be done by the crew just to keep it working. Oh and there is that rather ominous noise that comes occasionly hinting at some other real trouble, Metal fatique maybe?

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