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As I have been posting for months, it still seems to me that a 5 segment RSRM with an RL-10 cluster or RL-60 upper stage can throw cargo to LEO at a lower cost than any other US option.
If you wish to abandon the standing army, well, okay.
If this rocket is cargo only, assemble it on a new pad (or a refurbished old pad) since all you really need is a flame trench, a rudimentary gantry and a big crane to stack the segments and then place the super-Centaur on top.
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But it was the politics that seemed most interesting about the article.
As we dither with return to flight and looking for way to prop up Boeing, the Russians keep plodding along, consolidating their stranglehold on everything except what is paid for by the US taxpayer - - meaning DoD and NASA.
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Ad Astra writes:
Some very interesting points, particularly regarding CEV acceleration. I still like SDV, but it's too big to be the answer to our need for a CEV launcher. I was thinking that the manned CEV capsule would launch on an EELV while the bulk of the spacecraft would be launched unmanned on the SDV.
Fine by me.
Perhaps what we face is falling "in between" problem - - our ambitions are too skimpy to support a full up SDV program yet too ambitious to rely solely on EELV.
But then, I have long believed that a conscious undertaking to settle permanently is the only source of launcher demand sufficient to solve this chicken/egg problems.
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A recent opinion on http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-05za.html]EELV v SDV.
Not Jeff Bell.
Bill Eoff also proposed similar HLLVs before leaving Marshall in disgust. One of my contacts in Boeing, has expressed to me in personal communication that he finds Heavy-Lift superior to EELV, but that pressure from above has kept him quiet.
There has been some scuttlebutt that even the heads of NASA centers at Johnson and Marshall have it in for any shuttle-derived HLLV, despite the fact that a CEV may experience as much as 23-27g loads upon the Delta IV, according to one of my engineer-contacts.
and this:
"Michael Griffin, NASA’s associate administrator for exploration from 1991-1993, says the most logical approach, all things considered, is to spend the $3 billion or $4 billion it would cost to build a shuttle-derived heavy lifter and forget about EELV-driven approaches. Griffin also said that ... he takes a 'dim view' of approaches that would rely on orbital staging and assembly operations," and how he doesn't "'think EELV is a competitive option...'"
Sadly, I fear his voice will be drowned out by the 'space libertarians' who drive to Washington on public highways to tell us how we don't need NASA and how wonderful Rutan's little plaything is, giving the Proxmire types all the excuse they need to savage future NASA budgets now in grave doubt.
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All of which leads us here: http://en.rian.ru/rian/index.cfm?prd_id … t=0]Russia leads space rocket boom.
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http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/uk/3814607.stm]UK head of Shell Oil believe this is a genuine crisis.
But no, he's merely a leftie moon bat, right? :;):
Ignore him, he obviously is a communist!
However, to use this as some kind of justification for his "elective war" statement, Cole stretches credulity well beyond breaking point. I think it's an emotionally-charged and transparently specious argument on his part, which most thinking people, I suspect, will have quite rightly dismissed out of hand.]
*Good points, Shaun. Actually, and unfortunately, I think a lot more people -do- buy into pat and absolute pronouncements of that sort.
But then most of the Talking Heads are probably megalomaniacs to begin with.
--Cindy
Heh!
Dismissed out of hand? What am I? Chopped liver?
In conclusion, I'm not saying the figure of 100,000 is wrong. I can't say that because it's impossible to be sure. But what is undoubtedly wrong is the fact that the media picked up that demonstrably unreliable figure and ran with it - for the most part failing to indicate the gross statistical uncertainties associated with it.
At best, this is appallingly sloppy journalism; at worst, it's one more attempt to marshal world opinion against the liberation of Iraq.
So too was the media's frenzy to announce that Saddam's WMD were an imminent threat to the West.
Yellowcake from Niger? al-Qaeda meeting Saddam's men in Prague? Saddam's soldiers ripping new-borns from incubators in Kuwait, back in 1990?
Sloppy, sloppy, sloppy and "yes-men" for the White House.
And as we know from Paul Wolfowitz, the Administration knew perfectly well that the "real reason" for Saddam regime change would never have been popular. ???
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Had Bush said that we shall remove Saddam and then transfer give real power to Sistani's people, I probably would have supported the invasion. Because then Saddam's removal (an evil MF to be sure) would have been accomplished consistent with the Clintonista policy in the former Yugoslavia. :;):
(Edit - - had Bush renounced any long term US plan to stay, we probably would have had more significant foreign support.)
But as William Shakespeare says, "All Well that Ends Well" and since Rumsfeld has announced Iran is many years away from nukes (meaning NO imminent invasion of Iran) and since we seem to acknowledge that Sistani "won" the elections and therefore we will not seek to impose our puppets on Iraq, maybe things will end up being just fine.
Except for $100 billion dollars in wasted money and several hundred US dead and thousands (tens or hundreds of thousands) of Iraqi dead who would be alive had we given the keys to Iraq to Sistani 14 months ago.
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Some historians claim England was not ready for war when Chamberlain made his infamous deal with Hitler and that England profitably used the years between the Munich "appeasement" and May 1940 manufacturing large numbers of Spitfires and Hurricanes.
Few things in history are black and white.
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As for Iraq, had we embraced the current scenario as Plan A, I would have been much less critical of Saddam's removal.
It appears the Sistani favored Shia slate will win, and win big as a result of last weeks election. Put simply, good! This gives the US one last chance to resolve the mess on terms that offer lasting stability.
But remember, the current situation is Plan D for the neo-cons.
Plan A?
An Iraq ruled by Chalabi and his exile cronies. Plan A has been long since tossed in the circular file cabinet.
Plan B?
Paul Bremer plays Douglas MacArthur for 4, 5 or 6 years and Iraq remains a US military zone. I believe Cobra Commander favored this scenario even after elections were scheduled.
Sistani wanted elections one year ago.
Paul Bremer's FUBAR-ed efforts to Ameri-form Iraq have and will cost us dearly in the future.
Plan C?
Allawi is made the "winner" by rigging the election results.
THANK GOD! no one tried this. The ensuing Shia insurgency would have made current events look like child's play.
Also, I believe some in Washington actually believed Allawi had widespread support.
In a nutshell? Wrong!
Sistani plainly is the "big kahuna" in Iraq and he refuses to meet face-to-face with US envoys. ???
Plan D?
A coalition of Shia leaders are given substantial political control. Not a bad result IF we avoid military action against Iran since the Najaf Shia and the Qom Shia are rivals.
Invade Iran? The Najaf Shia and the Qom Shia may set aside their differences to fight the Great Satan, America.
But remember, Plan D (what we have today) could have been accomplished 12 - 14 months ago with hundreds fewer US casualties and billions less in expended treasure.
Make no mistake, Plan D - - giving Sistani de facto control - - is the best it can possibly get for the US however it is a shame we didn't simply agree to do this a year ago.
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http://www.grain.org/articles/?id=6]Patent rights for seeds:
For generations, small farmers in Iraq operated in an essentially unregulated, informal seed supply system. Farm-saved seed and the free innovation with and exchange of planting materials among farming communities has long been the basis of agricultural practice. This has been made illegal under the new law. The seeds farmers are now allowed to plant - "protected" crop varieties brought into Iraq by transnational corporations in the name of agricultural reconstruction - will be the property of the corporations.
To oppose GM (genetic modified) crops for safety concerns - - Frankenfood! - - is NOT a major concern of mine.
To oppose GM crops for legal reasons - - to oppose having a small handful of corporations hold patent rights to a large percentage of the human food supply (corner the market on food!) - - seems far more reasonable.
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It appears the intention is to compel Iraqi farmers to only use patented seeds so as to facilitate higher yields and entry into the WTO. Opponents see a more ulterior motive.
I wonder what Sistani will think of these Western patent laws?
:;):
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A comment from elsewhere on this subject:
The sad thing is that the corporations that produce the seed, fertilizer and pesticides that are required to grow crops succesfully from these seeds claim that they yield more food than traditional seeds. While this is true under laboratory conditions, in the real world, poor farmers aren't able to afford all the required, chem-based fertilizers to make it work, and wind up borrowing money to pay for what they can afford, which in turn produces lower crop yields = less profit in the market = increased borrowing to pay for next years crop = increased debt burden on the lower classes of society.
I've seen this happen in Peru, where rural farmers were pulling thier hair out because half of thier crop yielded beatiful looking potatos (or is it potatoes?) and the other half of the crop was completely ruined-infested and unable to sell in local markets. However, they were unable to revert to their old ways of growing crops since local seedbanks were stripped of traditional, locally conditioned seeds, and had been replaced by the hybrid. Rural farmers had no choice but to continue on their vicious cycle of debt and impoverishment.
All so our corps could earn more money. Another case of markets not benefiting the whole.
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http://www.monthlyreview.org/0703tabb.htm]Two Wings of the Eagle:
What is actually at issue here is the choice between two U.S. imperial strategies: a hegemony geared primarily to promoting neoliberal globalization on terms particularly favorable to the United States, and an alternative hegemony that steers toward the establishment of a more formal U.S. empire. These two paths represent alternative strategies that an imperial ruling class may choose between, but in many respects they may also be complementary.
Soft US power versus hard US power?
As globalization proceeds, the role of the nation-state as the relevant unit or actor of international (sic) political activity shall diminish.
Whither the United States or any other nation-state in the accomplishment of entering space?
Multi-national corporations and churches are two examples of entities capable of space exploration independent of the traditional nation state.
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This sounds like political potpourri to me!
So was it written, so shall it be done.
etc. . .
etc. . .
etc. . .
*It's already happening, Bill. It's okay to protest and speak one's mind in opposition, but a lot of this seems like demands for unscrambling eggs. ???
We're there, we've been there for well over a year now. Can't undo any of it.
This is why I feel a lot of political discussion is basically -- in the long-run, essentially pointless (though yes, it can be interesting and even gratifying).
It's like being a tiny twig trying to stop a flood in the Mississippi River...good luck. :-\
--Cindy
Overcoming denial is the first step to recovery.
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Edit: It is indeed unfortunate that my having strong opinions puts off some people.
I have very great respect for everyone having the right to their own opinion, which necessarily includes my right to explain why "their opinion" is simply wrong! :;):
Which you all can take or leave as you see fit.
And if I can be funny, snarky, pointed or even shrill, well, hey, that's my right, also. . .
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A preliminary report is out, I heard.
Looks pretty damning for the U.N. Annan's son was mentioned and the Deputy Secretary-General, too, if I'm not mistaken.
???
Round of the guilty people and put 'em in jail. End of story.
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But this does strike me as rather Martha Stewart-esque - -
sure she's guilty but so are a whole heap of other people we KNOW the prosecutors will never ever touch.
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But bringing down the UN?
The current global war is whether the US can impose its will on the rest of the world and "the world" - - EU, Russia, China, India, Islam, South America - - ain't buying it.
Do we really want to fight Anglo-English versus everyone else?
http://www.juancole.com/2005/02/marine- … .html]Juan Cole hits another home run. . .
One of the reasons that the Neoconservatives are wrong that unilateral war can be used for good, for spreading democracy, is that war brings out the worst in human beings, making some of them sadists and racists. Sometimes it is necessary to fight a war to defend oneself. An elective war is always a mistake. It twists one's own society, and someone else's as well.
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Intuition tells me ERRORIST is an alter ego of someone else we know and love, here at New Mars.
I am not saying this for sure, its just a hunch.
Can a congressional subcommittee overrule the White House's order to forget about a servicing mission?
Without the line item veto, that is a tricky question.
Whether the White House can refuse to spend money Congress appropriates is a complex legal question concerning relations between two co-equal branches of government.
Often Congress will tie funding to something else. Service Hubble or $X billion for pet project Y gets cancelled.
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PS - - Can a subcommittee overrule? No.
Congress as a whole? Probably.
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I would rather circumvent those same treaties while maintaining a plausible argument that we have done nothing of the sort.
Which is essentially what I proposed some time ago, though not fully formulated in its original presented form.
Another point of agreement then.
Which is why I say "continue kissing the UN's butt" unless or until we hold cards sufficient to "run the table" - - talking tough is foolish unless we can follow through and right now Soyuz (and China's "son of Soyuz") is the only operational Earth to LEO platform.
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I have a draft article in process:
Oh Lord, won't ya buy us a Mercedes RLV;
Our rivals fly Soyuz, we're filled with en-vee.
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Our space settlement views are largely consistent, if I recall correctly.
I think I have a somewhat more blatant disregard for existing treaties and the consequences of shredding them, but other than that...
I suppose so.
I would rather circumvent those same treaties while maintaining a plausible argument that we have done nothing of the sort.
Funding a Mormon settlement on Mars (filled with Mountain-West US patriots) allows the US to establish a colony and simultaneously tell the whole world, "Nope its not our colony. . ."
Don't pick needless fights merely for the principle of it all. . .
That said, I believe we see the world very differently - - differing sets of data inputs will result in opposite conclusions despite similar methods of analysis.
Or perhaps more to the point I think we usually want essentially the same thing, we just have very different ideas on how best to achieve it sometimes.
It's opposition of means rather than ends for the most part. With notable exceptions, I'm sure.
But then the means to an end can be almost as important as the end itself, so debate and attempts to circumvent the food tasters must continue.
If we were Senators, our base would villify us both for "consorting with the enemy" no? That said, I will freely buy the beer at the next convention.
Our space settlement views are largely consistent, if I recall correctly.
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I continue to believe Bill and Cobra as equal pro-consul, each with veto power over the other, would do a damn fine job of running America.
*That'd be interesting.
Considering how some (a lot, most?) of your viewpoints are diametrically opposed...(no offense to anyone).
Will withhold other comments, other than to say I know who'd get -my- vote.
--Cindy
IMHO, Cobra and I think very much alike, and we may share more values in common than it appears.
That said, I believe we see the world very differently - - differing sets of data inputs will result in opposite conclusions despite similar methods of analysis.
What we are doing in Gitmo and to Padilla is morally wrong; undermines the principles of our Nation and hinders our fight against radical Islam.
For a US Senator to say that LOUDLY from the floor of the US Congress is the very essence of what it means to be an American.
Only if they truly mean it. Always, even when it cuts their own perversions of the Constitution as well.
As that is not forthcoming, I remain convinced that we cannot fix the system by working strictly within the system.
Yup. This is what we need to talk about.
I continue to believe Bill and Cobra as equal pro-consul, each with veto power over the other, would do a damn fine job of running America.
But we'd both need food tasters!
From Hugo Black's dissent:
The personal history form thus did not contain so much as one statement of fact about Anastaplo's past life or conduct that could have, in any way, cast doubt upon his fitness for admission to the Bar. It did, however, contain [366 U.S. 82, 99] a statement of opinion which, in the minds of some of the members of the Committee at least, did cast such doubt and in that way served to touch off this controversy. This was a statement made by Anastaplo in response to the command of the personal history form: "State what you consider to be the principles underlying (a) the Constitution of the United States." Anastaplo's response to that command was as follows:
"One principle consists of the doctrine of the separation of powers; thus, among the Executive, Legislative, and Judiciary are distributed various functions and powers in a manner designed to provide for a balance of power, thereby intending to prevent totally unrestrained action by any one branch of government. Another basic principle (and the most important) is that such government is constituted so as to secure certain inalienable rights, those rights to Life, Liberty and the Pursuit of Happiness (and elements of these rights are explicitly set forth in such parts of the Constitution as the Bill of Rights.). And, of course, whenever the particular government in power becomes destructive of these ends, it is the right of the people to alter or to abolish it and thereupon to establish a new government. This is how I view the Constitution." (Emphasis supplied.)
What we are doing in Gitmo and to Padilla is morally wrong; undermines the principles of our Nation and hinders our fight against radical Islam.
For a US Senator to say that LOUDLY from the floor of the US Congress is the very essence of what it means to be an American.
http://www.cygneis.com/anastaplo/collec … ]Anastaplo on McCarthy:
The challenge to which this meeting is primarily directed was that posed by the Cold War, particularly the effects upon life in the United States of that somewhat paranoid campaign which came to be known as "McCarthyism." (I myself never liked the term "McCarthyism," in part because it made too much of the aberrations of a Wisconsin opportunist who was soon in beyond his depth.) That paranoid campaign seems to have raised the price paid, especially in Vietnam, by the United States in its understandable opposition to perceived threats from the Soviet Union and Stalinism.
I had forgotten how brilliant this man truly is.
Thank you, Purdue, for inducing me to look him up again.
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I have had a curious relation with the University of Chicago since I first crossed swords with its Law School Dean in 1950. (One consequence is that I never attend Law School class reunions. On the other hand, the Special Collections Department of the University Library has requested and acquired from me a substantial amount of my papers.) I have been permitted, for some forty years now, to conduct adult-education seminars downtown for the University. But I have never been permitted to teach on this campus, with one exception: in the late 1950s I was taken on for one of the Common Core Social Sciences courses in the College, and even met my class for one hour, during which we began a discussion of the first reading in the course, which happened to be the Declaration of Independence; but before the second meeting, I was informed by an embarrassed course chairman that difficulties had developed with my appointment and that my class would have to be taken over by someone else.
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http://www.cygneis.com/anastaplo/intro.htm]George Anastaplo was booted out by three tyrannical regimes for daring to speak the truth:
The nation of Greece for daring to criticize the military officers after their junta;
The Soviet Union for speaking too honestly on a trip to Moscow;
And the Illinois State Bar Association for refusing to sign a paper saying he was not a Communist. For the record, he is most definitely NOT a communist.
:;):
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He took his case to the US Supreme Court, by himself, and was rewarded with an eloquent dissent by Justice Hugo Black.
Today, he teaches constitutional law at Loyola University in Chicago but has refused to accetp admission into the Illinois Bar, despite resolutions apologizing for the McCarthy era miscarriage of justice.
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http://www.cygneis.com/anastaplo/about/tribune.htm]His story
Anastaplo, incidentally, was not a communist. He was not a card-carrying member of anything, not even the public library. "I'm not much of a joiner," he says.
"It was perfectly obvious George was much too independent a mind and character to be affiliated with any party, and certainly not one as doctrinaire as the Communist Party," says Mikva.
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New thought,
The record companies, cable TV companies and other digital media companies would LOVE to Gitmo-ize those who steal cable TV or swap songs using the defunct Napster or Kazaa.
al Qaeda does create new problems in the context of the Geneva Convention versus the Federal Code of Criminal Procedure. Problems we are plenty powerful enough to address in an open and transparent manner.
Indeed they do create new problems. One could argue that they are civilians with the same rights as American citizens, but it could also be argued with equal justification that as non-uniformed combatants they are essentially the same as spies or saboteurs and can be executed on site if need be.
At present they're in legal limbo and I'll agree that we have some details to work out in as transparent a manner as possible.
"Non-uniformed" is an issue. Who defines uniform?
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What about organized gangs who run drugs for profit?
Sufficiently state-less to justify falling between the cracks of criminal law and the law of war which includes the geneva Convention?
If drug running organized criminals can be fought using tools designed for al Qaeda, what about conspiracies to import illegal cigarettes, or white collar RICO crime rings that steal software?
Can we Gitmo-ize those people?
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So you see, to scream loudly about Ashcroft, Gonzalez and Gitmo is not un-American, it's the essence of being American.
:band:
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It also implies that if those Rights apply to everyone, anywhere and the Consitution exists to defend those rights, that we have an obligation to ensure they are upheld everywhere. Which essentially means we have an obligation to expand our own borders or remake other nations in our image by whatever means are necessary.
Cobra's point also means US global military supremacy would violate the spirit of the 2nd Amendment. Let's discuss the 2nd Amendment and gun control in the context of Iran's potential "right" to nuclear weapons to resist US flag SWAT teams. ???
If it is unjust for society to keep handguns away from drug dealers on Chicago's South Side what about mullahs with nukes?
You mean the Constution defines the basic human rights of all people? Not just Americans? Well, golly.
Actually, no.
The principles which guide and shape the Constitution, the basic human rights which the Constitution was drafted to preserve apply to all people.
And if we violate the spirit of those rights we undermine our own legitimacy.