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#101 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » SpaceX Incorporated » 2017-04-02 11:07:05

Also SpaceX has name brand recognition, some anonymous consortium does not! People don't know if they will be throwing their money away if they invest in a consortium, also Elon Musk will have to share responsibility for running the consortium with other people, and those other people might be nit wits with a lot of money they inherited from "Daddy!"

#102 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2017-04-02 09:25:38

SpaceNut wrote:

Popular Japanese fashion chain Uniqlo has a message for President Trump: We'll leave the U.S. if you insist we make all of our clothes in America.


The complete reason for no tarrifs is the companies make a specific level of product with in the US which creates american jobs....

Don't look at me, I wanted Ted Cruz to be President, but the Media wanted Donald Trump to be the Republican candidate and they got their wish, they just didn't want him to beat Hillary! I viewed Trump as a better candidate than deceitful Hillary, so I voted for him with the understanding that he wasn't going to be perfect. Now as far as trade goes, I believe in free trade, Donald Trump is more of a protectionist, he has to get those protectionist measures past Congress however, so maybe the Democrats will help him out if they end their senseless political war against him! If they insist on resisting Trump tooth and nail, then many of their constituents will lose their jobs to foreign competition, tsk tsk tsk. Trump is also more of a moderate when it comes to replacing Obamacare, too bad the Democrats wouldn't help him out and vote for the American Care Act! Those stupid Democrats were too busy trying to Impeach Trump over a joke he said about the Russians and those missing 30,000 e-mails that Clinton erased, while he was a candidate. The Democrats are a bunch of "Frown Clowns" with no sense of humor, you make a joke about the Russians, and they want to impeach you!

#103 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-02 09:16:30

SpaceNut wrote:

As usual, Donald Trump is completely upside down on the facts.  Van Jones: Trump may have signed Earth's death warrant

In 2015, President Barack Obama created the Clean Power Plan to slow climate disruption. It was the first action ever taken by the US government to cut carbon pollution from existing power plants.

First, Trump says he wants to dismantle the Clean Power Plan because it represents what he calls "job-killing regulation." False -- limited losses in some sectors are dwarfed by gains in others.

2016 the number of jobs in solar grew 25% from the year prior, according to figures from the nonprofit Solar Foundation, while jobs in the rest of the economy had less than 2% growth. Renewable energy jobs now create jobs 12 times faster than the rest of the economy.

Well in that case, a subsidy by the Federal government is not needed, Trump can take the subsidy away and see how well Solar power does then, if it can't compete, then its not a success! We've given Solar Power a good 8 years of subsidy, its time to stop, and let the economy grow for once! We don't actually know what the man-made component of global warming is, there could also be a natural component as well, something we wouldn't stop by curtailing carbon emissions. The Earth has its natural cycles, and if we wanted to stop those, cutting carbon emissions is not going to do it!

#104 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » SpaceX Incorporated » 2017-04-02 09:11:33

Terraformer wrote:

Why would SpaceX be the company to do it, rather than setting up a new corporation which can raise the money? Perhaps a Lunar Consortium, co-owned by Bigelow, Musk, and other players who would be interested.

Why pool their resources and share profits, if they don't have to? The Moon is a big place, they surely can set up multiple hotels if they want to.

#105 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-02 06:09:06

Creating an all powerful central government was a side effect of the Civil War, that wasn't why that war was fought! The United States of America did quite well for itself between the America Revolution and the Civil War, it experienced the greatest territorial expansion in those years!
7726.jpg
This is the United States during the Civil War, as you can see, its all there except for Alaska and Hawaii. After we got this powerful central government, because of the Civil War, our territorial expansion was greatly curtailed, we just added two states after the Civil War, other states we added were from territory we already acquired from before the Civil War. The centralized "federal" government greatly curtailed our territorial expansion, had it not been for the Civil War, Canada and Mexico might have been added to the United States, but with the powerful central government we acquired, other states were deterred from joining, we have creatures like the European Union instead, which has a weak central government, it has expanded quite rapidly, the moment it gets a powerful central government like the United States has, its borders will freeze! Does anyone disagree with me?

#106 Martian Politics and Economy » SpaceX Incorporated » 2017-04-02 05:57:05

Tom Kalbfus
Replies: 6

Maybe SpaceX doesn't need the government, maybe it can just incorporate, sell shares of itself and with the money raised build a Moonbase. It has demonstrated it can reuse its stages, this should greatly reduce the cost of its launches, this will in turn expand the market for space launches, increase its profits, and with that it can invest in a Lunar hotel, build reusable rockets which go there, sell Lunar real estate and vacations, and maybe on to Mars. Now might be the time to incorporate, what do you think?

#107 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » What is the source of metal asteroids/meteors? » 2017-04-01 19:12:56

I believe the Asteroid Belt used to be much wider than it is today, most of those asteroids collided with the planets or were thrown out of the Solar System altogether, the remnants of that are the Asteroid Belt the Kuiper Belt and the Oort Cloud there were obviously a lot of collisions during the formation process. There may have been some shattered planets in the mix, after all the collision of Thea with Earth might have resulted in the shattering of Earth itself, other planets might have been blown apart altogether, and maybe reformed later, maybe leaving remnants of itself in the asteroid belt for instance.

#108 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-01 19:06:33

Terraformer wrote:

America is a federation of states. Why does the federal government have to run a healthcare system? If Massachussets wants to have government run hospitals, they can. If Texas wants to have a fully private system, so what? The only thing the federal government should be concerning itself with is getting out of the way - reforming the FDA, preventing patent trolls from jacking up the price of drugs etc.

Yes, I agree! The Federal government has gotten itself involved in too many controversial decisions and it needs to be reined in! That is why we need a Constitutional Convention of States to pass new amendments limiting the power of the Federal Government.

#109 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-01 19:02:48

SpaceNut wrote:
Tom Kalbfus wrote:

I don't like plans which force people to buy something.

Most states require you to have insurance if you drive so how is that any different....

The problem is the accountability of the insurance payment for the use of it for how much you have paid in and the other is the price gouging from the provider that is also causing the problem with the final issue if the high cost of the perscription medication if you do not have that as part of the insurance.......

Well if you don't have insurance for your car, and you are caught driving it, your car is impounded, if you go to the hospital and you don't have insurance, what is the state going to do to you? Shoot you! Throw you in debtor's prison? Enslave you until you can work off your hospital bill? The problem is that assumes you are the property of the State. I think the Republican Party was founded on the principle that people are not property, you don't need a license to be a person, unlike your needing a license to have and to drive a car, your right to exist is not the subject of a license that is revocable by the state. There is another way, instead of putting a gun to someone's head and trying to force him or her to buy health insurance, how about the government simply put up the money to buy a health insurance policy for everyone, put it in a discretionary account such that you can only buy health insurance with that, that is each responsible citizen decides for him or herself or their dependents what health insurance is bought with that portion of the public money if no decision is made, the government automatically purchases a base plan for that person, thus everyone is insured without coercion. I think individual mandates requiring someone to buy something is unconstitutional, I disagree with Judge Anthony Kennedy, his judgement was results oriented rather than based on a reasonable interpretation of the US Constitution, what he did was wrong, regardless of his desire for everyone to have health insurance, this decision sets up a bad precedent, makes people property of the state!

#111 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-01 11:09:37

SpaceNut wrote:

coal power: air pollution with a typical coal plant generates 3.5 million tons of CO2 per year but it does not stop there as the other outputs as So2, Nox, mercury and Particulate matter for soot and ash.....

Burning coal is also a leading cause of smog, acid rain, and toxic air pollution. Some emissions can be significantly reduced with readily available pollution controls, but most U.S. coal plants have not installed these technologies.

So man is not just controlling one global warming pollutent Tom when we are looking at global warming. Here is some more damaging actions of burning just coal: cadmium, other toxic heavy metals, and trace amounts of uranium; hydrocarbons, volatile organic compounds (VOC), which form ozone and arsenic, which will cause cancer in one out of 100 people who drink water containing 50 parts per billion.

Even larger list with more details to how it effects man....
http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php/En … ts_of_coal

http://www.psr.org/assets/pdfs/coal-fir … plants.pdf
impacts of just particulate matter

  • Health  Effect  Incidence
    Premature  Death 23,600
    Heart Attacks 38,200
    Asthma Attacks 554,000
    Hospital Admissions 21,850
    Emergency Room Visits 26,000
    Lost Work days 3,186,000

How many lives does poverty take? How many lost work days are their because people don't have jobs cause the economy isn't growing? What are the environmental effects of radical Islamic immigrants from the middle east?

#112 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-01 11:06:01

GW Johnson wrote:

"So it seems to me that liberals are proposing that we cool the Earth as a means of storing water at the poles, s they are reaching for a second order effect rather than just storing the water itself."   

"Liberal" or "conservative" has little to do with the science of acting or not acting.  Stop injecting politics where it doesn't belong.

I do observe that more conservatives reject the notion of acting to mitigate CO2 emissions than liberals.  This has been true for decades.  It has to do with which party historically favored corporate profit more.  This irrationally ignores the science,  and the basic logic of the little trade matrix that I posted just above. 

The outcome "sitting pretty" favors higher short-term corporate profit,  all three of the other outcomes involve loss of profit (if not outright destruction of economies and even civilization).  But you cannot vote for that outcome without risking "lost $, lost lives",  which as a worst case is the destruction of the economies and civilization.  The selling point for this public policy position was always,  and still is,  that anthropogenic global warming is unreal or unlikely.  The science I outlined says it is very real and very likely.  The logic of the little matrix says you choose columns,  not rows.

In one case you say we can effect the entire globe with our carbon-dioxide emissions, in the other case such as building mountains in Antarctica, you say that is "God's work" well which is it? Either we can affect the globe or we cannot! We can certainly start shoveling dirt in Antarctica right now, just as we can cut our carbon emissions right now, the technology to get a start on both exists today! Yet you say what I advocated is sheer folly, but you think our cutting carbon emissions will have an effect. How do you know? We haven't tried either! You want us to cut carbon emissions in hopes of cooling the Earth in hopes of freezing water at the poles so the oceans don't rise, that is a rather indirect means of solving that problem, don't you think? if the problem is global flooding, what is the most obvious means of solving that problem?


How politics gets into this at all,  has to do with selecting something you can extremize to differentiate yourself from the other guys.  The GOP made anthropogenic climate change denial a part of their political belief system,  and to differentiate themselves,  the Democrats went overboard the other way.

 
Its quite  simple economic argument, would you rather buy a new car or house or cut carbon emissions with your money? You can't eat reduced carbon emissions.

Both parties' positions on this issue are fundamentally irrational (although the GOP position looks even more irrational to me than the other side),  but they are the source of funding for most of the research on it.

You want to spend money to benefit some future generation that you will never live to see, or would you rather spend it on improving your own life.  I'd rather not spend my money on something I cannot see or touch!

And THAT is how politics corrupts science!

GW

#113 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2017-04-01 10:53:27

GW Johnson wrote:

The Dems are doing to the GOP exactly what the GOP did for 7 years to the Dems:  obstruct everything.  Why would you expect otherwise in an overhyped environment?   Is not turnabout fair play?

 
What did Donald Trump do for the last seven years?

As for the GOP,  it is amazing to me that they think they are fit to govern at all.

 
Abraham_Lincoln_head_on_shoulders_needlepoint.jpg
This is the founder of the Freedom Caucus.

A minority within them seems to either control them or block the rest from governing properly.  That would be the "Freedom Caucus" or "Tea Party" or whatever name applies these days.

You can add to that the 7-year lie that they had a viable plan that could replace Obamacare.  They so clearly did not. 

As long as they are so divided,  and so prone to egregious lying,  they really are unfit to govern.

GW

So you are saying that if you can sabotage them, they are unfit to govern and to Hell with the American People! Is that what you're saying? This is all about who has the power and who does not, never mind what the people sent them to Congress to do!

#114 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2017-04-01 06:07:46

SpaceNut wrote:

Trumps economic growth is negative, Despite Trump promotion — Caterpillar will close plant in Aurora, Illinois, that employs 800 with Fox News trying to help Trump take credit for Obama economy while blaming Obama for Bush’s depression. Trump Promised Job Creation — but His Budget Axes Many Job Creation Programs..
http://www.nbcnews.com/business/economy … on-n734531

American Jobs Are Headed to Mexico Once Again

Illinois Tool Works Inc. will close an auto-parts plant in Mazon, Illinois, this month and head to Ciudad Juarez. Triumph Group Inc. is reducing the Spokane, Washington, workforce that makes fiber-composite parts for Boeing Co. aircraft and moving production to Zacatecas and Baja California.
TE Connectivity Ltd. is shuttering a pressure-sensor plant in Pennsauken, New Jersey, in favor of a facility in Hermosillo.

The Democrats are doing all they can to prevent Trump's economic program from working, they are voting against everything, they are trying to sabotage his cabinet nominations, they don't really care about the American People, they never did, it was all about their careers, their perks and privileges, the American People were just a means to that end. he thing that works in their favor is that there are always more poor people than rich people, so the Democrats tax the rich to pay the poor people to vote for them. The rich are a source of jobs and economic growth, but Democrats are willing to sacrifice long term growth for short term redistribution, and that ends up making the country poor. A lot of countries in the Third World stay poor because their governments have redistributive economic policies.

#115 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2017-04-01 06:00:54

SpaceNut wrote:

Tom do you have an answer to why when you are American that you would go an purposely join a terrorist group?
I can say we are creating them....

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/how-many-am … ined-isis/
August 22, 2014 U.S. government has positively identified a relatively small number of Americans - fewer than 12 - who have joined ISIS, but precise numbers are unavailable and intelligence assessments, Was arrested teen on his way to join ISIS? October 7, 2014 even when caught it seems that the maximum penalty of 15 years in prison and a $250,000 fine.

3 men try to join ISIS: Here's what we know

The number of Americans fighting with ISIS overseas or trying to join the group has more than doubled in just the last year. Deputy Attorney General John Carlin said US officials estimate more than 250 US citizens have joined – or have been trying to join – ISIS in Iraq and Syria.

With this more recent South Carolina man accused of trying to join Islamic Group

Its called "freedom of Religion," and their "religion" is a terrorist religion that calls for making human sacrifices of other people that are not part of that religion. Maybe we should be less tolerant of religions that support terrorism. As for ISIS, so long as they are attacking us, we will be fighting them until they are destroyed! We don't really have a choice. Do you propose we just sit here and let the kill us without our doing anything about it? ISIS wants a war, we should make sure the war they asked for is intense enough to destroy them, we should stop pulling our punches with them, that only makes them think they can win. The Vietnam War model of gradual buildup doesn't work, it never did! We need to hit them with everything we have! We need to wage total war on them until they are destroyed! Make any civilian populations that fall for their propaganda and help them out regret it, the same way those Germans who supported Hitler got their homes destroyed in World War II! Do Muslims really want this war that ISIS wants, do they want all the destruction that comes with it, its their choice, they can support ISIS, elect radicals to their government and as a result we will go to war with them and destroy their way of life, or they can choose to live in peace with us! We gave Egypt the opportunity to have elections, and they voted for Islamic Warmongers, I don't know why, do they really know how vulnerable their cities are? Do they want to live amongst ruins if they are so lucky as to survive?

#116 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-04-01 05:47:55

kbd512 wrote:

GW and Tom,

This thread was much more interesting when it was still focused on the science of global warming / climate change, rather than mega-scale engineering projects that we've never attempted for lack of technological capability to do so.

Tom,

Flights of fancy into the wonderful world of tomorrow are fun to daydream about, but the problems before us may not wait for centuries of technological advancement.  There is no practical way, at present, to do what you proposed.  GW's response to your proposal was a truthful statement about our present engineering capabilities, however roughly worded.

GW,

Getting upset over the musings of the daydreamers amongst us is counter-productive.  Whether you fully understand the thinking of other people or not, there are quite a few people on this planet who still think flying machines are "magical" and may have had a bit of pixie dust sprinkled on them.  A little bit of imagination, backed with a healthy amount of "engineering pixie dust", may be required to solution major problems.

All,

At some point in the future, we may require the capability to literally move mountains.  It's pretty clear that the technology doesn't presently exist.  Rather than throwing our hands up in the air over what seem to be intractable problems, maybe it's worth the effort to figure out exactly how we could go about some of these proposed mega-scale engineering projects.  That said, mega-scale engineering projects are a topic for a different thread.

Trying the cool the entire planet is a megascale project all on its own. Reducing out carbon footprint might not accomplish anything, the Earth could still warm up in spite of it, and if the ocean levels rise, the amount of effort spent in reducing our carbon footprint will be money that would not be available to us in dealing with the rising ocean level. So it seems to me that liberals are proposing that we cool the Earth as a means of storing water at the poles, s they are reaching for a second order effect rather than just storing the water itself. If we just let the ice melt and the ocean levels rise, then we simply move our population to higher ground, but the liberals are saying most of our population is too primitive and dumb to do that, they have lived in their mud huts on the shore for generations, and they can't afford to move their mud huts, so they'll just get washed away when the ocean rises and they will drown.

#117 Re: Not So Free Chat » Election Meddling » 2017-03-31 08:50:38

SpaceNut wrote:

That accounts for the multiple bankrups....and restarts......oh wait its probably his other connections as Trump's business network reached Russian mobsters to expand his real estate developments over the years, Donald Trump, his company and partners repeatedly turned to wealthy Russians and oligarchs from former Soviet republics — several allegedly connected to organized crime. Trump has been linked to at least 10 wealthy former Soviet businessmen with alleged ties to criminal organizations or money laundering.

I hope you like your internet privacy but its gone with the GOP's most recent work.

http://www.theverge.com/2017/3/29/15100 … -fire-sale

The 265 members of Congress who sold you out to ISPs, and how much it cost to buy them, They betrayed you for chump change...they voted to reverse a landmark FCC privacy rule that opens the door for ISPs to sell customer data.

General Electric CEO Jeff Immelt says President Donald Trump’s imagination is at work if he doesn’t believe in climate change science or the Paris agreement. Taking aim at Trump’s latest executive order rolling back Obama-era energy regulations, which was signed Tuesday, Immelt said the company’s incorporation of green technology in response to “well accepted” climate change science has had a demonstrable effect both on environmental protection on improving company profits.

This is no way to treat someone that works for the people and not just being in the party.... as Rep. Mark Sanford: Trump threatened to go after me to win my vote on health care

President Trump threatened to run a primary challenger against him in 2018 if he voted against the Republicans’ proposed replacement for Obamacare.

You know there is an election in 2020 where Trump himself can also be primary challenged! if Trump alienates his conservative base, that base can challenge him in the next Presidential election, it was the conservatives that won him the election after all, as they did not want Hillary, in 2020 they will have other choices. Trump by moderating is sponging up some moderate Democratic voters, you know the kind that Democratic Politicians have ignored in the lurch to the left during the Obama years! I think if Trump continues in this direction, then his main challenger in the 2020 election will come from the political right, not the left! The Democrats will have destroyed themselves, they are acting as pure obstructionists in Congress, no matter what Trump is doing, they are opposing him. Voters will start to wonder why they elect these Democrats if all they are doing is opposing Trump in every trivial matter, how does this help them. Trump is obviously not the "Fascist" the Democrats were saying he was during the election! Now that Trump is President, we are learning about the true Trump, and he is not Benito Mussolini, they Democrats basically lied in their attempt to prevent him from getting elected, and that effort failed, so now their past lies are staring them back in the face! People are learning not to trust the Democrats. Without Democratic opposition, I believe the natural course would be for the Republican Party to split into two parties, one party will retain the name of the "Republican Party", and it looks like that portion of the party will follow in the tradition of Lincoln and be the liberal party for this future era, {The Democrats having made themselves too radical to be acceptable in American politics) the other faction of the Republican Party will split off and become the Tea Party, an official Political Party, it will field its own candidates and Run against Republican candidates put up by the more liberal Republican Party. The Democrats will be left out in the cold along side their comrades in the American Communist Party, the Libertarian Party, the Green Party, the Working Families Party, and other third Parties that most people aren't even aware of.


The congressional investigation into Trump ally Roger Stone is not answering questions and won’t identify his WikiLeaks contact — even to Congress claiming to be a journalist and we are to take his word on what was said their communications are not about the Russia probes....

Your assuming there is something there to investigate, what if there is nothing? The Trump Administration hasn't had a lot of time to do much, there is not much to investigate! This is nothing but a witch hunt! It will hurt the Democrats as much as Joe McCathy's investigations hurt the Republicans, if not more.

Michael Flynn wants immunity in exchange for agreeing to be questioned as part of ongoing probes into possible contacts between Donald Trump's presidential campaign and Russia. Flynn is facing "claims of treason and vicious innuendo" is factoring into his negotiations with the committees.

The salient point is that talking to Russian citizens is not illegal, I've talked to a few myself. If we are to outlaw conversations with Russians, we are no better than Stalinists, because during the Stalin Era, Russians were often arrested for talking to Americans!

Florida GOP Sen. Marco Rubio said hackers using an Internet provider from an unknown location in Russia tried twice to access internal information from former members of his presidential campaign team, including as recently as Wednesday.

You should know better than to trust the word of politicians who may harbor grudges against Donald Trump, Senator John McCain in particular seems to worry about who's in and who's out rather than what's good for the American People. I have very little interest I his personal vendetta against Donald Trump!

Then there is the leaving of position and firings that have and are continuing as Top aide to President Donald Trump leaves administration

Remember that Trump was going to create jobs and tried to seal the deal with several companies with false hope and promisses now ‘There’s not a hope alive for us’: A factory Trump targeted begins its move to Mexico The moving of companies even after all the executive orders to remove regulations, it still has not changed how we need to do business...its only done more harm...

Economic growth is picking up, you just have to give it a few more months for it to be apparent, after all you gave Obama 8 years without much to show for it!

#118 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-03-31 08:24:14

GW Johnson wrote:

Tom:

1 able-bodied person can move about a ton of dirt and rocks a day with picks,  shovels,  wheelbarrows,  and the like.  For about 1/3 of Earth's population,  that's all they have to work with.  We in the industrialized third can move about 10 or 20 times that with power equipment.  If we had that much equipment,  which we don't.  The rest fall in between somewhere. 

Say by some unprecedented means (that also does not exist) we can put all 7 billion of us to work building your ring of mountains.  Just for an approximation,  half with hand tools move 7 billion tons in one day,  the other have moves 70 billion with power equipment.  77 billion tons at specific gravity 2.5 is some 31 million cubic meters,  or 0.031 cubic kilometers.  (Denser is even less volume.)

Now,  assuming 40-degree angle of repose and 3 km tall,  the cross section of your ring wall is 3 km x 7.2 km triangle,  whose area is 10.7 square kilometers.  Using the circumference of a 3000 km dia circle to represent the length of your ring wall (about 9400 km),  the volume to be moved is 101,000 cubic kilometers.  Dividing by the 0.031 cubic km per day just above,  the job is 3.2 million days long. 

Tom,  that's 8,900 years to build your wall.  That's a bit late,  don't you think?

Assuming there will be no technological progress at all in those 8,900 years! That's a very big assumption, and the last time we had such a span of time where there was no technological progress, we were living in the Stone Age! So the first assumption in your analysis is all technological progress will come to a halt for almost 9 thousand years! What evidence do you have that technology will come to a screeching halt? That hasn't happened since civilization began. I would say that if all technological progress came to a halt, we would have bigger problems than global warming! Your assumption that the poor will always be with us is also not supported. I don't think the Third World will exist in 100 years, advances in robotics and AI will see to that. Human stupidity is what keeps people poor! Replace the limitations of human intellect with machines and there will be no reason for anyone to be poor at all, whether one has a job would be irrelevant, since machines will be doing all the work. So no, there won't be toothless idiots with wheel barrels and shovels moving dirt. Most things in 100 years will be built by machines, not us!

Even if all 7 billion of us had big power equipment (and we don't,  that many power shovels and dump trucks do not exist on the planet,  not by an overwhelming long shot),  the rate is only about .06 cu.km per day,  only about a factor of 2 faster.  Still a 4400 year job.

Still that's assuming we'll be living in the year 2017 forever with no changes, you assume the needed equipment can't be built, but we really have to take technological progress into account, we do so when we talk about building space colonies, so why shouldn't we do so here? The time scale in which this problem needs to be solved will have quite a substantial amount of technological progress in it, part of the work is developing the technology we need, we can start with human beings shoveling dirt if you like, and that's a good way to get started, but technology will overtake those human dirt shovelers.

NOW do you understand why your ring wall idea is impractical to the point of being extremely silly to even suggest?

And yes I know methane is a greenhouse gas.  But it's also a clean fuel.  That which is lost due to careless extraction and transport has a short life before being oxidized to CO2,  a few years.  It does greenhouse damage during that time,  but it also clears much more quickly.  Trying to slow the careless leak rate is one of the things your precious Trump is rescinding.  Or didn't you know that?

As for claiming I said frac water stops rainfall,  that is absolutely the STUPIDEST thing I have ever heard anyone say!  You claim to be a free market conservative.  Do you NOT understand what happens when there is more demand for freshwater in a river than there is supply of fresh water in that river?  Some go without (imagine that!!!,  and it's fatal,  too),  prices skyrocket,  and there is chaos and tumult until something can be done to relieve the shortage.  HOW DO YOU NOT KNOW THAT?

In the age of Steam, people did not worry about running out of water for their boilers. I kind of doubt that there is more fuel to be extracted from the ground than there is fresh water. Do you live in a desert or something? People sometimes imagine the world to be like what their local part of it looks like. People who live in cities tend to worry about overcrowding much more than people who don't. People who life in deserts worry much more about the future availability of fresh water than people who don't live in deserts. Where I live, water is not in short supply there is something called a water cycle going on where water that ends up in the ocean evaporates and recondenses on land in the form of precipitation (rain, snow, hail, etc.)

I swear,  arguing with you is like arguing with an ignorant 3 year old child who knows nothing.  Sometimes I think you cannot be real.  You must be a "bot" programmed to say stupidly-irritating things just to start arguments. 

No real human could be that ignorant and stupidly argumentative ...  no,  strike that.  Middle eastern religious extremists certainly are. 

GW

Is it really smart to assume that there will be no technological progress in the future, when you look to the past and see a lot of technological progress in the past 100 years. And you do know that SpaceX successfully relaunched one of its rockets after landing it and recycling it, that is an example of technological progress. This changes our assumptions of what it will cost to send people to the Moon or Mars. People who assume there will be no technological progress are building the SLS right now!

#119 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2017-03-30 08:06:56

GW Johnson wrote:

There is no "media monopoly",  Tom,  liberal/democrat or otherwise.  There are only editorial biases coming from the owners,  some strong,  some not so.  If you bother to look at multiple sources,  you can pretty much discern what is true and what is allegation.

If the Democrats owned the media the way you contend,  Rush Limbaugh would never have been allowed to make such a fool of himself on talk radio.  You believe far too much of that far right wing fake crap,  that much is clear. 

Now kbd512 made a good point about headlines without evidence.  That's true.  You do have to listen close to more than one source to detect it.  It comes from the ratings game,  and from the fact that over the centuries,  bad news sells,  while good news does not. 

As for the "media barking dogs" nipping at Trump,  if he didn't get his facts wrong so often,  they wouldn't be biting at him quite so much.  We've seen this before,  it's not unique to Trump,  and it's not unique to Republicans,  either.  They're doing exactly what they should be doing,  although the style is undesirable,  in my own opinion. 

GW

So getting one's facts wrong makes one rich? I didn't know that! I guess Trump must have started with $100 trillion and now because of his stupidity, he is merely a billionaire! wink

#120 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-03-30 07:40:34

GW Johnson wrote:

"It can because it will cost money! and my mountain scheme will at least give you something to show for the expense CO2 reduction will not!" -- from Tom post 37 above,  who could only make that comment in response to what I wrote in post 35.  Other readers:  please go read what I wrote for yourself. 

Tom,  your mountain scheme is technologically infeasible for anyone but God,  and I already took you to task for that idiocy in post 35 above.

 
You just need a large enough work force, we can move small amounts of Earth around, and if we had enough bull dozers and shovels, we can move mountains! We can build robots to do it, according to one prediction, in just six years we will have computers powerful enough to do as much processing as the human brain! We can manufacture a workforce to do this. Most left wing projections assume no technological progress, funny that they call themselves "progressives" yet they don' believe in progress! They worry about the people living in mud huts in the year 2100 AD getting flooded out of their homes by rising ocean levels and being unable to adapt because they are Third World and stupid, so we need to make enormous sacrifices in reducing our carbon emissions to save these dumb primitives who can't adapt!
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If people are still living this way in 2100 AD, there is something wrong with them.

It ain't the money,  it's simply orders and orders of magnitude beyond any earth-moving capabilities we have ever had.  If you could read at a 6th grade level,  you would've understand that's what I said in that post.

 
How many orders of magnitude is terraforming Mars, surely doing this is orders of magnitude less that terraforming Mars!

We are already ahead of schedule reducing emissions of CO2 in the marketplace,  because at today's prices,  natural gas is a more cost-effective fuel than coal in power plants,

Of course natural gas otherwise known as methane, is a super-greenhouse gas! Do you think all the natural gas we drill for gets burned? The only solution in the long term is to move off planet. Mud hut people and their goats are not going to colonize space!

and it simply has less tons of CO2 emission per MW-hr of electricity produced.  THERE's a market-driven solution in operation for you,  right there!  AND,  it is cleaner in terms of poisonous emissions:  no fly ash,  no acid rain,  no radioactivity (and don't kid yourself,  there is radioactivity in natural coal).  Win-win for everyone!

And the extraction methods for natural gas are less objectionable:  no piles of mine tailings leaking acid in surface streams,  no disfigured mountaintops clogging valleys with moved earth,  and such like.  The only real downside folks are talking about is earthquakes induced by the too-enthusiastic deep injection disposal of used frac fluid.  Spread it out some,  and they don't happen at perceptible levels.  That's simple enough,  and economically acceptable to all but the most criminally greedy.

 
We could strip mine the Moon and Mars with no problem.

No one is talking about freshwater shortages induced by massive freshwater consumption as frac fluid,  but that's coming.

 
You mean it doesn't rain? Does fracking destroy water?

Until they start reusing frac fluid,  and figuring out an additive package that works with brine instead of fresh water.  And they will,  once conditions force the issue.  THAT's how the market really works:  enlightened self interest,  but operating within the bounds and rules acceptable to us all. 

Plus,  more jobs have already been created doing wind and solar than have been lost in coal mines.  That's because those are installer jobs,  which are (for the near term) invulnerable to automation.  The coal mine jobs were lost to automation and to coal mine closures as natural gas outcompeted coal.  Simple as that.

 
How many people have died in coal mining accidents? I've seen robots that can walk, there are cars that can drive themselves, do you think we will still be sending people down in the mines to die for a paycheck when that happens?

Automation is what cost the factory jobs,  too,  in automotive,  steel,  and similar.  Bringing car factory work home will just not add many assembly line jobs,  precisely because those were automated out of existence after the original outsourcing,  for the most part. 

What Mr. Trump is doing rescinding all this energy and environmental policy will not create that many jobs.  It will kill Americans with dirtier air and fouler water,  all for the profit of the giant corporate few.  That's not to say outfits like EPA don't need serious reform,  because they do.  The Byzantine EPA rules bullshit was written by lawyers who want to litigate,  instead of scientists who mostly want to serve mankind,  at EPA.  So fix that!!!!  Our stupid congress and senate doesn't seem to even be aware of that as the real problem. 

Lest you think I am some sort of "liberal",  I am most definitely not.  I hate both party's ideologies and belief systems.  Neither makes good public policy.  No ideology or belief system ever has.  No ideology or belief system ever will.  THAT is the lesson of millennia of political history. 

GW

Do you think Trump is an ideologue or is he just the wrong man in the wrong place and the Democrats need someone to serve as their piñata. I've never seen Democrats do much negotiating with them, they wouldn't even vote on his heathcare bill, by not voting for his healthcare bill, they have ensured that a more conservative one will be proposed in its place, as it ultimately failed in congress without their support. Obamacare will fail, it is unsustainable, at least if the Republican's American Care Act was passes, they would have shared some of the blame had it failed too, but the Democrats were at war with the President, too bad for them! Now the Republicans will hash out a new bill amongst themselves and with 52 Senators they will pass it and Trump will sign it! Obamacare will be repealed, it will just take a little longer without the Democrats input.

#121 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-03-30 07:31:46

GW Johnson wrote:

"The oceans are already a storage facility with no construction or costs" --  true,  Spacenut,  but there are three really big "buts". 

(1) adding water to the oceans raises mean sea levels,  with all the flooding that implies.  OK for hunter gatherers.  Farmers and city builders,  not so much. 

(2) adding CO2 to the oceans creates acidity (carbonic acid for the chemists out there),  which in the lab seems detrimental to life,  especially that kind of life that forms calcium carbonate shells.  It is unclear at best whether this effect has kicked-in yet.  It is clear that ocean pH has decreased in the last several years. 

(3) adding heat to the oceans has two rather serious effects:  (a) thermal expansion,  which raises sea levels,  which raises flooding risks,  and (b) it seems detrimental to at least some forms of life,  as evidenced by coral bleaching. 

When you add overfishing to those three,  the viability of the ocean as a continuing source of food and oxygen becomes questionable,  and this is directly due to human activities that up to now have known no bounds.  That last as a matter of plain common sense suggests that we understand these effects and put some prudent limits on our activities.

Idiots like Tom will deny it,  but most reputable scientists in oceanography and biology agree that if the ocean dies,  we die.  That dead-ocean effect does seem to be the root cause of the Permian-Triassic extinction,  according to them and the geologists.  Largest of them all,  at an estimated 95% of all forms of life. 

GW

Dinosaurs-dinosaurs-28340905-1024-768.jpg
Is that what killed these dinosaurs? Presumably when these dinosaurs lives the ocean levels were much higher, the ice caps were almost nonexistent, there were still glaciers high in the mountains, particularly in places like Antarctica. I wonder what the carbon-dioxide levels were back then? If we lived 65 million years ago, could we have farmed in this climate? I think so. Lots of plants grew in the age of the dinosaurs, there was a huge variety of life back then, probably extensive rain forests as well. We have fossil evidence for plant life from this time period.

So are farmers and city builders stupid, are they just going to sit their on their primitive farms and not move them as the ocean level rises, because they are as dumb as the dodos? If we can't adapt to a changing environment, I think we probably deserve to become extinct!

#122 Re: Not So Free Chat » When Science climate change becomes perverted by Politics. » 2017-03-30 07:20:32

GW Johnson wrote:

"Because that connection is counterintuitive to make, when glaciers melt, you get more water not less."  --  NO it is NOT counterintuitive when you consider the passage of time with physical processes,  instead of just the rhetoric of words on a page. 

The way glaciers feed rivers is by a time delay.  During the warm months,  that's when the ice slowly melts,  feeding the rivers.  Once the ice is gone,  the rivers dry up.  If the ice is gone permanently,  those river cease to flow altogether,  at any time.   

Honestly,  Tom,  don't you know ANYTHING about how this world really works?  I learned about this stuff for the first time in the third grade about 6 decades ago.  And in every Earth science topic of every science course since.  This is the stuff that keeps you alive,  you blithering idiot!  You really ought to understand it. 

GW

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The fabled Martians had a solution for this, they irrigated their entire planet, or at least that is how astronomer Percival Lowell imagined it! Is that such a bad idea? The Earth has as much land area as Mars does, but I don't think our irrigation project would have to be as extensive as what Percival Lowell thought he saw through his telescope on Mars. I see us becoming a great civilization, just as we once imagined the Martians to be, not a bunch of idiots in mud huts helpless as the oceans rise to flood their homes. There are technological solutions to climate change, what Percival Lowell thought he saw on Mars was an example of a technological solution to climate change on Mars! You see building mountains in Antarctica requires industry, cutting down on our carbon emissions requires deindustrialization, I'd rather go with industry and rework the surface of our planet to make it more habitable. Deindustrialization requires reducing our population and living in ecological balance with nature, that means forever giving up the dream of ever colonizing space and living like the primitives do, in mud huts! I think building artificial mountain chains is more consistent with colonizing space and terraforming Mars, than living in mud huts in hunter gatherer societies in ecological balance with nature. You see sooner or later an extinction level even will occur and wipe us out if we live in a sustainable society. You have to remember the dinosaurs lived in ecological balance with nature, they had no industry to prevent what befell them, and that is why they are today extinct. The Dinosaurs did not produce industrial emissions of carbon-dioxide, they did not cause global warming, the lived the same primitive lifestyle without technology and nature in the form of an asteroid of comet eventually did them in!
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#123 Re: Human missions » The Space President? » 2017-03-29 08:42:02

The Moon would be good enough for this Administration. SpaceX was hoping for government funding, and was disappointed. The point of SLS is of a baseline rocket for SpaceX to compete with, it will get us to the Moon, if we don't put all our eggs in the Falcon basket. SpaceX funding comes from the launches it sells and the boosters it recovers and reuses.

#124 Re: Human missions » The Space President? » 2017-03-29 07:33:03

Congress has not yet had its say about this, what Trump has put out are proposals, Congress can change them!

#125 Re: Not So Free Chat » Politics » 2017-03-29 07:26:21

Terraformer wrote:

As far as I can tell, you can't even greet a Russian person, if you're in the administration, without your name appearing in the papers the following day alongside claims that you're a Russian stooge.

The Democrats did that a lot, and there appear to be different rules for Republicans than for Democrats, this jus shows you how sick the Media has become, and that it needs to be replaced!

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