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#1201 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 12:34:10

Bush: http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington … VA]Private accounts won't help save social security.

WASHINGTON — President Bush conceded Wednesday that private accounts do not address the projected problems with Social Security,

* * *

Bush is calling for action by Congress to shore up the system, which he says will go "bankrupt" in 2042 without changes. As part of the overhaul, he wants to let workers divert part of their Social Security payroll taxes into private accounts that could be invested in stocks.

But he said Wednesday he will not be pressed into outlining a more specific plan to deal with the projected shortfall. "I have not laid out a plan yet, intentionally," he said. "I stood up in front of the Congress and said, 'Bring your ideas forward.'"

The president emphasized he believed action is necessary now, even though the projected shortfall will not appear for decades. "The longer we wait, the more difficult it is to solve the problem," he said.

Memo to Harry Reid, the Stormin' Mormon - -> let Bush bid first. Show us your plan first, Mr. President, then we will show you ours.

:;):

Or maybe just say "No!"



Edited By BWhite on 1110998100

#1202 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 11:30:23

Cooperation beats the living crap out of competition.  :;):

#1203 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 11:26:47

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=s … iraq_3]1st freely-elected parliament in 1/2 century

*...had its first open session today.  Reports of at least half a dozen nearby explosions.

We've come this far.  I surely hope the new Iraqi gov't remains democratic, does not become a theocracy and that women and ethnic "minorities" will retain/gain their status/rights in that society.

--Cindy

I agree 200%. smile

#1204 Re: Human missions » Griffin nominated for NASA post - SpaceRef link to testimony » 2005-03-16 11:09:54

Haha, dream on. Falcon-V doesn't exsist, and it would barely be able to launch a two-seater capsule, with no fuel for TLI/TEI. And a lander? Please Bill, Falcon-V is intended to be a match for the sissy Delta-II. It would not by any means "work fine."

All Falcon V need do is reach LEO Hotel Hilton. No further.

Which is good because it can't.  :;):

= = =

So, to speed things up a little bit, government lays the groundwork for them, as they are not controlled by the profit motive.

I agree with this. The issue is "how" to do this best.



Edited By BWhite on 1110993965

#1205 Re: Human missions » Griffin nominated for NASA post - SpaceRef link to testimony » 2005-03-16 10:06:53

Yes, it can be interpreted (due to bias) that it is everything under the sun, but it isn't. It leaves the options open. That's the mistake in analysis so many are falling into.

A mistake perhaps encouraged by those trying to sell the "Vision" to the American people.  :;):

Like I said in the other thread, false advertising.

= = =

If we want a beach head, GCNRevenger, use HLLV to launch a Bigelow/Transhab space hotel and offer free room and board to whoever can get there by private launch from the US.

Musk's man-rated Falcon V would work just fine for this purpose.

Congress & NASA pays for the HLLV one throw hotel and after two dozen guests stay for free, we auction it off to the highest bidder and repay the Treasury.   

= = =

But DoD does NOT want lots of civilians messing about in space, so we will get EELV only and for the next 30 - 50 years some uniformed folks will collect rocks and we will be told to "ooh" and "aah"  :;):  ???



Edited By BWhite on 1110989480

#1206 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-16 09:35:57

Then it is false advertising to call it Moon-Mars?

#1207 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 09:33:14

No sacrifices, Iraqi oil revenue will pay for everything!

Ah, sacrifices. Why does that always mean "tax increases" I ask? Maybe some of these exorbidant and utterly ineffective government social programs should be sacrificed. There's enough money spent in waste, fraud, pork and utter stupidity to pay for the war in Iraq many times over, I think we've sacrificed enough on that altar.

Looks like Bush intends to pay these bills by gutting social security benefits.   :;):

Seize power, loot the pension plan. Heh! Classic corporate raider mentality.   :;):

= = =

Another multi-front war.  Lets see, fight Islamic-terror, neuter the UN, flip off the French AND start a pre-emptive class war all in the same Administration. Oh, and annoy Tony Blair (logging & Kyoto) while we are at it.

Well done!

Let's fight everybody and have a civil war at the same time.

And I forgot: withdraw from treaties so we can fry Mexicans without consulting their consulate, proliferate landmines, and "nuke" the Senate over anti-abortion judicial nominations.

big_smile  big_smile  big_smile

#1208 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 09:25:28

Forget "the Left"  wink

Believe me, I'm trying.  big_smile

I was right, going in light and wasting a year with Bremer's ham-handed Ameri-forming projects has turned what could have been a brilliant victory into a FUBAR-ed mess.

I have agreed on several occasions that Bremer wasn't doing what needed to be done, but to classify the entire operation as "FUBAR-ed mess" indicates a total unwillingness to look at the positives. Iraq has had elections, the effects of that are being felt throughout the region. All that high-minded "spreading democracy" stuff that I dismissed as flowery excrement is working. There is a very real potential for this to change the entire dynamic of the region and in so doing cut out the foundation on which militant Islam rests.

And I have agreed on several occasions that it all might work out well for exactly the opposite reasons the neo-cons thought it would.

Read riverbends blog on why Chalabi deserves the Nobel Peace Prize. Its sort of funny. And maybe they will go "democratic" to persuade all those nasty Americans to go away.

The price we are paying, however, is very much higher than it needed to be. The apparent desire to maintain a long term presence and influence over Iraq delays accomplishing worthy goals and increases our cost in blood and treasure.

And the key question - - how the three main factions in Iraq balance each other without partition - - remains unanswered.

#1209 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 09:19:56

Cobra:  All that high-minded "spreading democracy" stuff that I dismissed as flowery excrement is working. There is a very real potential for this to change the entire dynamic of the region and in so doing cut out the foundation on which militant Islam rests.

*On a related note, an interview of King Abdullah II of Jordan by Peter Jennings was aired last evening on ABC News.  Apparently he's working with his Parliament on reforms within his own gov't; going from a hereditary monarchy to an elected monarch. 

He also seemed optimistic about some changes (pro-democracy) in the Middle East.  It didn't seem like "just diplomacy" on his part, either.  I sure hope so, all things considered (lives, money spent, etc.).

--Cindy

Jordan is our best hope for Arab democracy. Lack of oil may be a reason.   :;):

#1210 Re: Interplanetary transportation » A new HLLV essay » 2005-03-16 09:13:46

Without atmosphere and with 1/6 gravity tracking motors to move an inflatable mirror array could be quite tiny, right?

Exactly.  In fact they may not be necessary at all, the rate of motion for the mirrors is quite small, somebody could probably just go out there and turn them manualy, perhaps with a big lever if the array was still to heavy.

For humanity's very first lunar LOX pyrolysis unit, laboratory efficiency would seem irrelevant. Inflate some parabolic mylar balloons, point them at a box filled with regolith (filled with a rudimentary Bobcat)

Sit back and let the thing bake off O2.

Suppose "efficiency" were 50% of a fancy robotic system. Instead of building the fancy systemn spend a few milllion on mylar balloons and the lift needed for another 100 or 200 pounds of mass and build TWO solar furnaces.

Waay cheaper than the fancy system.

If the objective is LOX for ISPP (bring your methane like Zubirn says) make LOX in the sunshine and fly away in the dark. Load up the system as night approaches and "hop" to the sunlight.

= = =

Pump the O2 out of your passive box, compress and store the LOX tanks in the shade. If in 100% shade, wiht the tank pre-chilled before it is left, how long would a tank of LOX survive without boil off?

Make 125% (for example) of what the tanks will hold, deploy the tanks in 100% shade (no sunlight at all, even reflected) chill the tanks with surplus LOX then fill.

How long would the LOX tank remain usefully filled?



Edited By BWhite on 1110986308

#1211 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-16 09:03:55

What about the other aspects of Zubinr's missive, lunar orbit rendevouz or direct flight?

#1212 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 08:46:13

Forget "the Left"  wink

Before the Iraqi invasion I posted very plainly (here at NewMars) my view that regime change was "imprudent" even though Saddam was/is a MF bastard who deserved it.

I also posted that if we went in, we needed to go HEAVY, because going LIGHT would be a FUBAR.

I was right, going in light and wasting a year with Bremer's ham-handed Ameri-forming projects has turned what could have been a brilliant victory into a FUBAR-ed mess.

And this is pure revisionist history:

But we wanted a smaller footprint, an independent Iraq, democracy and all that good stuff. It seems to be working, though with problems and setbacks.

Paul Bremer intended a fundamental transformation of Iraqi society, which failed miserably. Too light, we went way too light while promising the American people we could have guns and butter.

No sacrifices, Iraqi oil revenue will pay for everything!



Edited By BWhite on 1110984540

#1213 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-16 08:28:07

I feel like we should be doing more but it's not my call.

I know the feeling.  big_smile

If Bush (rememebr Wolfowitz: "oil revenues will pay for it all") had told us the truth about the cost we could be doing more. Been prepared to do more.

Go back in the posts. More than a year ago I called for hundreds of thousands of MORE soldiers and to cancel the tax cut to fund genuine reconstruction efforts.

But no, Bush would rather reward his rich pals than get it right in Iraq.

= = =

Bush is fighting Iraq like the endless dieter who never loses weight and whines. . . but I'm trying. . .

#1214 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-15 21:06:15

Our checkpoints killed an Iraqi general today.

#1215 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-15 17:15:44

Italy has ordered the staged withdrawl of the 3000 troops that it currently has in Iraq. This follows the Killing of a secret service agent and the wounding of a freed hostage by American soldiers.

So there the repercussions have happened, Italy was a faithful supporter of the coalition in Iraq and a supporter of both Bush and Tony Blair. But with public feeling very negative since the incident. Is this a body blow to the coalition and has put more pressure on Blair as a European

Tony Blair http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/programmes/n … 3.stm]gets chopped at the knees!

#1216 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-15 16:56:43

Well... no. Energia Vulkain would be aproximatly a match for even a "mega" SDV with RS-68R upper stage and five-segment SRBs. It would be  expensive to do though, given that the Vulkain varient was never built. Given the political problems, and the fact you would bascially have to "move" half of KSC to Russia, that ain't happening.

Again, nobody knows that SDV will be cheap enough to fly... not you&me, not NASA, and definatly not Bob Zubrin (despite his bogus assertions to the contrary).

I can agree with this, but

No one knows if we can sustain a lunar presence with 40-45 MT per launch and we sure as heck are not going to Mars with a 45 MT launcher as our biggest and

if Boeing needs a new VAB and pad for the 7 core Delta, will we need to re-hire that standing army anyway?

#1217 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-15 16:34:59

Take Delta from the 50MT intermediate catagory to the heavy 80MT+ range? You would have to use the seven-core megacluster, and a new massive upper stage. New launch pad/VAB too.

Explain where I am wrong - -

The VAB, Pad 39 and the crawler give us heavy lift capability the Russians cannot dream of deploying without billions in infrastructure improvements, at a time when they are cash starved. Even Energia is smallish compared with big SDV.

We can make big tanks at Michoud. No one else in the world can do that.

For all my US bashing, I am gung-ho USA on this. Only the US can build genuine HLLV. Unless we throw that capability away.


Edited By BWhite on 1110926125

#1218 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-15 16:04:17

The tripple-core Delta using a cluster of GEM-60 solid rocket boosters (the little ones) and all the bells/whistles (Al-Li tankage, RS-68R, new fuel mix, ML-60 2nd stage) could hit the 40-45MT mark, which I believe can be built in bulk no more then $200M each when purchased in number.

Building a heavy-lift rocket based on clusters of EELV cores strikes me as a bad idea, that the inherint inefficency of such a system would probobly make a small clean-sheet launcher the superior option. Same deal for adding Shuttle SRBs to make Delta more powerful... could you? Probobly, but with all the changes involved (massive structural changes, all-new upper stage, new launch pad and VAB) you might as well do clean-sheet.

Stick a cluster of RS-68s under a Michoud tank and what do you have?

Shuttle derived.  :;):

Can anyone make a big tank better or more efficiently than Michoud?

= = =

How do we move from 45 MT to 90 MT with Delta?

Edited By BWhite on 1110924623

#1219 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-15 15:22:40

Zubrin said (at a forum where I was present) that he is agnostic on the choice of HLLV.

Super-heavy Delta or Atlas are an option but would they need new launch facilities?

= = =

Add SRBs to an oversized Delta barrel with RS-68s and that starts looking a lot like an in-line SDV.

And some might say a 45 MT Delta IV is an HLLV.

Can you add SRBs to a triple barrel Delta IV?


Edited By BWhite on 1110921943

#1220 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-15 14:46:20

Heh! I await the details.  :;):  ???

= = =

Another question. Suppose we have a quasi-permanent lunar base with launches leaving periodically and lift is powered by LH2/LOX or CH4/LOX or a mixture.

How much, if any, of the rocket exhaust combustion products would fall as water ice or CO2 ice within the close vicinity of the launch point? 

If we are scooping up regolith to process for O2, H2O or CH4 anyway, what about mining the regolith around your launch pad? Regolith that just got rained on with several tons of water and CO2 combustion products.

#1221 Re: Human missions » Zubrin on Moon, then Mars - Three essays, one link » 2005-03-15 14:12:29

http://uplink.space.com/showflat.php?Ca … part=]This space.com thread offers convenient links to Dr. Zubrin's three recent essays on lunar mission architecture.

Very interesting on the need for HLLV.

#1222 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-15 13:15:28

Follow the money...

Exactly!

A rule of analysis that works equally well for domestic and foreign policy. Some neo-cons have been whining that the French have been thwarting our foriegn policy.

Well d'oh! DeGaulle did that 50 years ago.

= = =

"Crying Wolf" on Saddam's WMD actually makes it harder to stop the Iranian bomb.

#1223 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-15 12:18:49

Cindy, all I am doing is refusing to answer "why" Chirac prefers Hussein to Bush because I believe the question makes no sense.

And I am explaining why I believe the question makes no sense. If other people wish to discuss why Chirac prefers Hussein to Bush, no proble, its a free country.

= = =

Anyway, why does Putin prefer the mullahs in Iran to Bush?  :;):



Edited By BWhite on 1110910745

#1224 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-15 11:42:44

World politicians are amoral weasels, ALL OF THEM. Even GWB.

Who they "prefer" is entirely the wrong question to ask and utterly irrelevant.

#1225 Re: Not So Free Chat » Political Potpourri III - The next round. » 2005-03-15 11:40:45

I simply don't see how anyone could possibly favor Hussein above Bush -- and I mean on a human, gut-feeling level (politics aside).  It seems to me Chirac favors Hussein  ::shrugs::

See what drinking Kool-Aid causes?

Why is it either/or? Like 3rd graders playing who is my "best" friend.

Chirac would sell out Hussein in an instant IF it served his purposes.

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