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They stated recently that the big costs are in technology development and that they are prepared to learn from other space-faring nations. In other words they're happy to buy second-hand technology, especially from Russia I assume.
To be honest, I had less respect for the Chinese space program because I viewed them more as copycats than anything else, but I think you just changed my mind. Maybe China will earn more respect for being a great doer instead of being a great innovator of space technology. After all, why reinvent the wheel if someone has already done it? Let somebody else blow their bank accounts developing the technology.
If China, which appears to have the political will, puts aside just $4 billion a year between now and 2015, they'll have about $50 billion towards their dream of Taikonauts on Mars; more than enough for Mars Direct style missions. And it's relatively inexpensive form of international prestige, too!
I think China might just surprise us all.
Fifty billion should do it. I wonder if the Chinese have studied Mars Direct at all. Even though I can't say I love China's form of government, I think its about dam time a country finally got some vision for going places other then LEO. I still think if they want to get to Mars by 2015 though they'd be better off just cancelling their Moon excursion, but perhaps they can have both and eat their cake to. Guess it can't hurt to be optimistic.
The reason I brought up the problem with Venus's gravity is not because it's hostile to the human body but rather because colonists who land there will need launch vehicles on par with those we use on Earth to get back into space. Unless the Venusian colonists can manufacture rockets on par with the launchers we use on Earth to launch people into space, those colonists will be on Venus for a very long time.
This topic has probably already been covered in the past, but if colonists are going to set up domes how could you block cosmic rays with such thin material and how will you protect the dome against micro-meteorites that probably hit Mars a lot more frequently than on Earth? If the dome was big enough, would the air inside act as a sufficient radiation shield? I'm beginning to think that maybe more permanent residents might choose instead to build structures that are covered with enough regolith to block out radiation and protect against micrometeorites, or maybe they'll stick to hab-like modules that are well shielded. Personally though, I'd rather live in a big dome where I could have some running space.
I was looking around on the Mars Society webpage and wanted to know what you find in the "members only" section. The suspense is killing me.
Awesome, I never thought about the possibilities of having manpowered gliders on Mars. If we could thicken up the Martian atmosphere to the same degree as Earth's I'd definately take up gliding as a sport. I can see all kinds of endurance contests, like the first guy to try to fly all the way around Mars non-stop.
However, I pity soda drinkers. Even if Pepsi, Dr. Pepper, etc., can be turned into a powdered drink and shipped to them, it won't taste good without carbonated water. Of course, keeping soda icy cold on Mars doesn't sound like much of a difficulty!
Considering all the co2 in the Martian atmosphere it probably wouldn't be too much of a problem having carbonated drinks. Of course they won't have caffeine which makes me wonder, why do they add caffeine? Is it just to keep people addicted? Does it add some kind of buzz? If I remember right caffeine doesn't have a taste.
What i'm about to suggest next may sound crazy. It probably is. If a large spacecraft is used, one of the most efficient forms of radiation shielding is water. You could possibly have fish swimming around in your radiation shielding. It might be a problem getting them out, though
I wouldn't mind flying to MArs in a giant aquarium.
*No, I don't think so. Everyone has their ideals. And it's not for me to say who is welcome on Mars and who isn't. The people of my ideal would be willing to work/cooperate with, say, the Mormon settlers, simply because they are fellow humans...however, the Mormon settlers might refuse to work/cooperate with non-Mormon settlers on the basis of their religious sentiments.
Someone could say the same though of fanatical political sects. The deadliest wars of the 20th Century were fought over political differences, not religious ones. Some people cling to their political philosophies with the same mindless and destructive fervor as some people do with their religious beliefs. You have to be wary of letting in lunatics of any stripe, regardless of their beliefs, religious, political, or whatever. Anyways, if mass colonization ever becomes a reality, it's likely no one group will be able to pick and choose who goes to Mars. You'll probably have Buddhist retreats along with Marxist and Libertarian settlements all residing apart in their respective little domes or whatever.
Geez, how big would the Sun appear from Mercury? You couldn't look at it naked-eye, of course...
It'd nearly take up the whole sky, but anybody out looking at it directly probably wouldn't live long enough to enjoy the sight anyway, not unless they're wearing one hell of a spacesuit. Really though I never actually thought about looking at a star from that distance with my own eyes. I bet you'd gain new respect for its size.
*My guess is that this will be the general attitude of many Westerners. However, the rest of the world -- particularly Asian nations -- may take a very keen interest.
The Chinese elite seem to be milking their space endeavour all they can to fan the flames of nationalism. I think in many ways the Chinese space effort is paralleling the space effort of the 60's. I think you might be right about Asia as a whole gaining more interest in space. Japan seems to be ratcheting up its space program to full throttle lately. Of any country I'd like to see in space is Japan. It's fairly safe to assume they wouldn't be using their projects as military covers.
*I hear you. I've also read (can't recall the source) about a year ago that the Chinese hope to send a manned mission to Mars no later than 2015 (or thereabouts). What I'm wondering is *where* is their money for all this coming from, or going to come from?
I think the Chinese are doing a lot of dreaming if they plan to go to Mars just five years after they will have supposedly landed on the Moon. If the Chinese are truly planning on these space projects and aren't just posturing, I think they should just can the Moon shot and go straight for Mars. If that doesn't wake up the West, nothing will. Of course, I'm not so sure I'd volunteer for that mission.
I'd love to see someone drop a blimp in there and take some photos, if there's enough useful light down there. It might be pitch black under all that cloud cover.
I imagine there would be enough light considering that the Soviet Venera Venus probes were able to shoot some photos before they succumbed to the pressure and heat. You might need a sensitive camera though that can work in low-light conditions.
I read something not too long ago about using "algae mats" to produce cellulose material that could be spun into cloth or a whole number of other uses, and this would be far superior than using valuable greenhouse space for non-food crops such as cotton. If a non-food crop is grown in the greenhouses, it would most likely be hemp, as it's among the most versitile crops known to man, including edible uses (oil, for instance.)
Algae would be a far superior alternative to fibrous plants. I had no idea that it might be possible to make fibers from algae products. We could just harvest the algae from the fish ponds. I wonder if there might be easily obtained materials in the regolith that could be made into synthetic fibers.
As for the initial astronauts making the first trip to Mars, I'd think they would have a limited set of clothes to wear, only washing them (sonic cleaning, maybe??) perhaps after a week of continuous wear. I know it sounds yucky, but mass will be at a premium for the first voyage, and having an extensive wardrobe or smelling fresh every day will be at the bottom of the Mars crew's minds.
True. Sometimes you have to make sacrifices in comfort and hygiene to make history. I doubt if very many polar explorers dragged extensive wardrobes along with them. But I wonder how many suits they should take along with them. If they launch an unmanned hab module to Mars as a backup, they
could probably put a few extra changes of clothes in it for when the first explorers land.
I've often contemplated myself the role that spirituality will play on Mars. I don't think it's out of the question that if technology develops to the point that common people can afford to go to Mars that there will be religious colonies there. I can see a lot of cults and "lesser" religions running off to Mars to escape a world they may see as immoral or oppressive or simply because they think the isolation would enhance their spirituality. The same was generally true of the USA. Groups like the Quakers, Puritans, Jews, etc, founded colonies in the New World because they were either oppressed or disagreed with the morality of their old countries. Anyways, I think it's possible that various religions will be able to co-exist peacefully on Mars. Look at the USA, as much as people like to think we all hate each other and riot over religious issues, I really don't see much animosity towards people of other religions. Really I think differences in political opinion will breed much more intolerance and hatred then religious differences will. I know plenty of Christians who would tear each other to shreds because of their political differences.
I can barely even stand watching TV news anymore. It's so predictable and dumbed down. It feels more like the National Enquirer than a true form of journalism. Anyways, I'm beginning to wonder if education can even do the job of instilling greater appreciation of science in people. I think one of the problems with science education in high school and below is that it focuses so much on just memorizing rote facts and occassionally doing calculations here and there. With the exception of one class, I never had an enjoyable science class in high school. Most students don't understand that true science is often a mixture of both technical competence and creativity, which is very similiar to the way an artist works. But most revere artists while they see scientists as just these hags with big pocket protectors. We need to destroy those stereotypes and make science class focus less on the boring rote crap and more on the thinking and creative aspects.
Actually it might be somewhat possible to have a colony on Mercury considering that it's temperature plummets dramatically during the night. If there are permanently shaded craters or mountain ranges on Mercury it might be possible. Who knows, there might even be ice there in eternally dark areas like the moon. Would make a nice place to set up a solar observatory. Yeah but I agree about Venus, I think it's going to be a very long time before humans ever touch down on that planet. It's heat and gravity is to much of a barrier.
How much clothing will astronauts need to bring with them on what will be a nearly 3 year round trip to Mars? Will they be able to wash or dry clean their clothes or what? I think a textile plant would make an excellent first manufacturing endeavour on Mars for an established colony. The colonists will need clothing and there's no sense in waiting for such supplies to come from Earth if it can be helped. And also sewing could give the colonists something to do. It would also make dwelling places more homey if you could make things like quilts, blankets, curtains, pillow covers, etc. I think there should be experiments on growing fibrous plants like cotton, hemp, etc for this end. If we can't set up a textiles factory on Mars maybe we could just make Mars a nudist colony.
It would be nice though it the mainstream American media would give out at least a blurb about the discovery of water on Mars despite the all important news of some movie star's shoplifting escapades. I have yet to see the discovery mentioned on TV news, which of course, is hardly a source of news, but still, it does reach a lot of people and the discovery is definately a newsworthy item.
HELP!!! .... ADRIAN!!! There's something wrong with this topic!
I think the posts by Phobos and Byron have inexplicably vanished. Hope it wasn't something I did!!
This happens a lot when I start a thread for some reason. I hope those moles at NASA haven't attached some alien technology to my computer to keep the truth from getting out!
Sure. While I wait I think I'll sit in the pilot's seat and pretend I'm bringing 'er back in with all systems critical.
The Shuttle transports payloads in the 10-20 ton range while the Saturn V would need really heavy payloads (100 tons+) to be cost-efficient (cost per pound). The thing is that there are far more small payloads (satellites! ) suitable for the Shuttle than payloads which fit the Saturn's launch capacity.
That's why we would also have a fleet of smaller rockets in addition to the Saturn V. Those same payloads that we launch on the Shuttle would likely be a lot cheaper to launch on smaller, unmanned rockets. At least if we did have Saturn V's still readily available we'd still be that much closer to having more massive space projects a reality. And considering how many launches it took to build the ISS, the Saturn V could have done it in way fewer launches. So I think there would still be reasons to have Saturn V's available.
Looks like an innovative use of expended fuel tanks. Will they have to pay NASA to unload those things where they want them? I didn't think NASA would be accomodating of private ventures like this, I hope it pans out. I hope they cut some holes in the tanks though to make windows. It's gonna be a lousy spacestation, not to mention a very lousy space hotel, if there's no windows. But in any case I guess it's a start.
I'd like to read the ideas anyone who has a better plan for getting to Mars than Dr. Zubrin, i.e. a plan more cost-effective :and: practical/common sensical :and: more logically and brilliantly simplified than Mars Direct...if we're talking of sending humans to Mars, that is.
Tell me about it. There seems to be plenty of people who like to play death by a thousand questions with Zubrin's plans, but I have yet to see anything that's sounds even remotely plausible, both economically and technically, by those enlightened beings who like to call Zubrin a crackpot. Granted, there are technical holes here and there that need to be plugged up, but I think Zubrin has done a good job of laying the basic groundwork for a Mars mission. With human ingenuity I'm sure the few technical problems remaining could be cleared up in no time.
Congratulations on the new addition to your family! I love babies...
Thanks!
What happens to our dreams of a new human civilisation on Mars if all our women-folk's reproductive plumbing shuts down?!
Scary thought. I hope we never have to turn to things like artificial wombs, or even worse, cloning. Those things sound to unnatural and Orwellian to me. ???
Also, it turns out that plants are far more tolerant of exposure to vacuum than animals. A crop raised in a pressurized terrarium could be harvested by opening the terrarium to the outside air. The crop would not be damaged by exposure to outside air and the seeds would still be viable. The plants we harvest it from may still be viable as well if the exposure does not also involve exposure to cold temperatures associated with the climate and decompression.
Using seeds from hybrid plants is definately a danger that I hope is realized before people start growing plants on Mars. With the direction modern agriculture is moving I hope there's a pure strain of food crop left before we go to Mars. If plants are truly vaccuum tolerant, that will sure make harvesting them a lot easier if we only have to build small terrariums to keep them in. On the other hand, you have to be careful that the plants don't freeze to death when exposed to the ultra low temperatures when you go to harvest them. I guess you could flip on a heater that would keep the plants warm. Maybe line the terrarium with heating elements and a thermostat to regulate so the temp stays nominal?
It's too bad that the only Buran that was actually flight tested and ready to go was destroyed when the hangar roof collapsed on top of it. But then again if people wouldn't have died in event, it probably would have been for the best. The last thing we need is another inefficient space shuttle program going on.
That's 10 times the payload for half the money ... which represents an improvement in efficiency of 20 TIMES! Even if I'm wrong ... even if each Saturn V launch were equal in cost to a shuttle launch, you're still getting 10 times the bang for your buck in terms of payload-to-orbit.
Sometimes I think this high emphasis we put on the reusability of a vehicle goes a bit far. I agree and would bet my life that we could probably get more for our money using Saturn Vs as opposed to the space shuttle. If you don't want to waste any material just reclaim the parts, smelt them down, remold 'em and go at it again. The Saturn V is a glorious, proven vehicle it didn't deserve to die such an untimely death! Of course, we could use smaller vehicles if we don't need to put anything heavy into orbit, like re-crewing the space station or whatever.