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#726 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-07 19:06:18

I believe an L1 transfer station allows access to the entire Moon from the entire Earth, solving plane change issues.

Lanuch Soyuz from Kouru, hook up with a propulsive stage and go to L1. Transfer to a re-useable lander that cyclers to / from L1 and the Moon. Go anywhere on the Moon.

Return to L1, then land the Soyuz in Kazakstan, no problem, or so I believe.

#727 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 15:39:02

If NASA is seriously committing to a renewed Heavy Lift launch capability, then it means we're ultimately going to see manned missions beyond Earth orbit. 

No currently planned Earth orbital missions require heavy lift.

Going to the moon does not require HLLV or SDV. It can be done without HLLV or SDV.

"Yes, but it would be silly"

Guess who said that! Thanks for the set up line.  big_smile

#728 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-07 15:36:44

My understanding is that low lunar orbits are rather unstable. Not good for long term station keeping.

L1?

Lots of folks like L1 as a transfer point, for reasons which include the ability to accomplish plane changes and reach any point on the Moon.

Once source suggests its about a ten hour trip to/from L1 and the lunar surface.


Edited By BWhite on 1118180248

#729 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 14:26:35

All of us here should be rejoicing. Not whining.

If NASA is seriously committing to a renewed Heavy Lift launch capability, then it means we're ultimately going to see manned missions beyond Earth orbit. 

No currently planned Earth orbital missions require heavy lift.

And I don't really care if the plan is to keep Lockheed or Boeing employees or NASA workers on the job.

:up:  :up:

#730 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 11:31:17

But ze lezders, ze arze zilent!

Michael Griffin knows he needs HLLV and he knows what you say about Rumsfeld and the Air Force. We will see, soon enough.

t/Space is proving damn inconvenient for Big Aerospace.

The ISDC program was printed saying the Lockheed guy, Karas would give a detailed presentation at dinner about their CEV design. Instead, he told some jokes and gave some history.

When asked to discuss Lockheed's CEV, his expression was priceless and his answer simple: "No!"

#731 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 11:10:18

Bush will choose EELV

Probably true;

and thus our civilian space will remain "The Emperor's New Space Program" - - lots of pretty pictures but nothing that really matters.

#732 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 11:07:40

Back to why costs are not lower if Nasa and USAF can both buy the same rocket. Well actually they can but how many do the USAF buy is what set the price so high for the Nasa purchasing of the same rocket. Not many..

First let's ask whether the same vehicle is appropriate for both the USAF and NASA. Back in 1970, the idea was that the Air Force would use the shuttle orbiter extensively, to keep the costs down. Look where that got us.

Let's not tailor the VSE into something that "needs" EELV just because we believe USAF & NASA dual use will save some money. An EELV only VSE allowing some military types to collect rocks, pose for pictures and wave the flag ain't worth the money.

And, EELV will no more transform into genuine-RLVs than shuttle derived. Indeed, if NASA EELV purchases are holding down the cost for the USAF there will be strong pressure to resist new systems like t/Space.

NASA (in my opinion) should be building destinations for private sector humans-to-LEO and eventually private sector humans to the Moon.

Open the Moon to private development then send NASA on to Mars. EELV cannot do Mars.

#733 Re: Not So Free Chat » Empire vs Rebel Alliance » 2005-06-07 09:42:22

I love Yoda.  He's my favorite Star Wars character, always has been.  There's something oh-so-endearing about him.  Were I to go to the Dark Side, it'd break my heart seeing those big brown eyes go sad.  :-\

http://www.withlouis.com/film/yoda/]Yoda, the song-meister

#734 Re: Not So Free Chat » Empire vs Rebel Alliance » 2005-06-07 09:36:51

The scene of he and Anakin dueling it out on those makeshift "rafts" (from the rubble of the towers or whatever) on the lava was absurd.

No more absurd than two guys taking starships to another planet to have a swordfight.  big_smile

Cobra 1
Lucas 0

He still has more money than you, however.

#735 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 09:29:36

Drink more Gatorade

“I wanna be/ I wanna be/ I wanna be … like Mike…”

= = =

Actually, that would make a pretty funny spoof.

Morph together some film clips of Mike Griffin with Michael Jordan's Gatorade jingle, "I wanna be like Mike"

#736 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 09:14:07

CEV has yet to be defined. Its mission remains ambiguous.

What exactly is the objective of the VSE, anyway?

LOL!

Colonization Bill. At least for you. Pushing the edges of our scientific understanding for others. A platform for the development of practical applications for yet some others. A social policy to attract and increase the number of engineers and scientists in society for others. A big waste of time and money for some other folks.

It is everything and nothing, it is whatever we want it to be. For me, it is simply the first step in increasing our choices and opportunities for the future of space exploration.

And what we will get is the "Emperor's new space program" with NASA buying EELV for the same reason the Air Force leases refueling tankers.   tongue

Finding a profitable business model is the only objective that matters. Otherwise nothing is sustainable.

#737 Re: Not So Free Chat » Empire vs Rebel Alliance » 2005-06-07 09:07:25

I thought the beginning was a little boring, really. Sure it looked cool and all, but it just didn't seem necessary. Action with no clear purpose and extensive droid gags just didn't seem to work IMOSHO.

Absolutely agree. When the opening scene was over I recall thinking "Good, now the movie can start"

Remember this: Everyone needs an editor, especially George Lucas.

#738 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-07 08:15:50

CEV is a top priority and I see no reason why it will, or should, be curtailed to make way for SDV development.

CEV has yet to be defined. Its mission remains ambiguous.

What exactly is the objective of the VSE, anyway?

WHY should CEV be a top priority?

= = =

Griffin leads NASA, but Griffin serves at the pleasure of the President and is primarily charged with executing the President’s directives. I’m sorry, that’s just how it works over here.

NASA's objectives SHOULD be set by Congress.

And I reserve my right to whine and complain at anyone who says "Bush said, therefore it shall be so."

big_smile

"Dr. Bush" to quote Robert Zubrin.



Edited By BWhite on 1118153986

#739 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-06 21:27:45

Or, some of us have been arguing with each other for a little too long, perhaps.  :;):

Intellectual incest, as it were.

Someone, I forget who, wrote an essay about the narcissism of petty differences, where powerless people will argue forever about trivial distinctions.

That said, I believe many at these boards truly desire that humanity become spacefaring, a multi-planet species, and we fear "The Emperor's New Space Program"  where there is lots of talk and pretty viewgraphs but nothing really happens.

= = =

By the way, I favor SDV for cargo and vessels and t/Space for crew. <wink>

= = =

I also favor ending the paradigm that says "NASA equals spaceflight and spaceflight equals NASA"



Edited By BWhite on 1118115363

#740 Re: Not So Free Chat » Empire vs Rebel Alliance » 2005-06-06 15:17:03

"Good relations with Wookies, have I"

That line still cracks me up. So many gutters for my mind to run through, so little time.

#741 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » The Moon Treaty of 1979 - Turning Curse into a Blessing » 2005-06-06 15:14:38

Fine, Moon mining Inc it is. Every one gets a share in the company, let the Stockmarket trading begin. Eventually the Moon mineral rights will be owned by a few. but they will be shareholders of the Company.

As long as we specify that none of the Minerals are to come anywhere near the earth and that they are to leave in place a colony infrastructure that will last forever when they abandon the Lifeless resource drained moon (ie- remnant asteroid) when they are done, they can process and refine all the moon dust they want.

That way we can be certain of the trade of the people who go: Miners. the Working Class.

You read the treaty wrong there Srmeaney, You may mine the Moon and you can have a company mining the materials but You do not own the rights to mine the minerals and nor can you sell the right to mine. Therefore mineral rights are a no goer. And one other thing these minerals you mine you may not still own as they if treated like the law of the Ocean are the property of all mankind.This latter view depends on test cases which im sure will be brought up in the world court.

If Dennis Wingo is correct in his specilation (and he does admit its speculation) perhaps there are chucks or nuggets of PGM bearing asteroids on the lunar surface that can be picked up and processed. No territorial rights needed.

In a similiar fashion, if surface regolith were scraped up and processed for He3, ownershiip of the land would be irrelevant after the fact. Its like sheep grazing on a pasture owned in common.

The sheep own whatever they eat, nothing more.

#742 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-06 14:59:40

Go mine an asteroid and see who tries to stop you from selling the products. Having a good public relations team will be mission-critical since global public opinion will eventually control that which is recognized as legitimate.

Sorry to burst the balloon...

Public opinion is irrelevant. Yukos is a good example.

Burt Rutan is popular, but that popularity does not mean Uncle Sam is going to look the other way when profits or national interest are at stake.

Besides, the magnitudes of wealth we bat about- imagine how destabilizing concentrated wealth of these magnitudes are within a democracy (or any government really) [shrug]

Chicken and egg.

So we need a rich shrewd gambler with good political skills and the ability to play brass knuckle hardball when needed.

Remind me again why I believe Abram/Abraham's journey from Ur to Canaan is the best historical precedent for humanity becoming spacefaring?

#743 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-06 14:46:08

Yes, the memory hasn't failed yet.  big_smile

Go out there. Build a fence. Say "this is mine" and see who objects.

That's a multi-billion dollar gamble. Most people/groups with the resources to pull off something like this would not want to gamble on such a huge unknown.

Even if there was an ostenible national recognition scheme for 3rd party commercial interests, those nations without access, but with means to disrupt commerce, may very well prove to be a destabilizing factor.

How do you think a bunch of third world nations are going to react when the heavens start getting carved up and they get left in the cold?

I didn't say it would be easy, but until someone takes a chance and makes a claim why will any government stick its neck out to assert a right to recognize property rights? 

Go mine an asteroid and see who tries to stop you from selling the products. Having a good public relations team will be mission-critical since global public opinion will eventually control that which is recognized as legitimate.

Property may be theft and it may be sacred (or both) but it does exist (as property) only in our collective minds.

#744 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-06 12:10:16

http://www.thespacereview.com/article/386/1] Dividing up the spoils

We can go for the tourism but there is little or no profit to be made. We can go to explore and do the science of discovery but again there is no profit. We can go to colonize but how do you pay for resupplies.

So unless the land is owned then there is no reason to stay for anything other than just to say we could and can do so for a few footprint, a flag or two but little else.

So how can we make space profitable if you can not own...

When I first joined this board, long, long ago but still in this galaxy, I recall that clark tended to quote Rousseau rather frequently.

Do I remember correctly?

Anyway, waiting for government(s) to grant land rights to celestial objects may result in a long wait. Someone needs to just follow Rousseau's advice:

Go out there. Build a fence. Say "this is mine" and see who objects.

= = =

PS - - Pay for it by selling the televison rights.



Edited By BWhite on 1118081490

#745 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-06 10:19:58

Orbital tourism? Even "Gumps'" pressure-fed air-launched liquid methane rocket won't be cheap enough for all but the richest tourists, so you aren't going to have a big enough market for that.

And where are you going to fly it to?

To answer my own question, the average Hollywood movie costs over $100 million to make and market.

Loft a space hotel and I see no difficulty in selling two or more flights per year to movie studios for making the next James Bond action adventure. Or Bourne sequel. The movie studios might even invest $50 million or $100 million to buy a time share slice of a genuine LEO hotel.

If carried by Proton, how much might a two module Bigelow style hotel actually cost to deploy? $500 million?

#746 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-06 09:40:23

Orbital tourism? Even "Gumps'" pressure-fed air-launched liquid methane rocket won't be cheap enough for all but the richest tourists, so you aren't going to have a big enough market for that.

And where are you going to fly it to?

The t/SPace proposal makes no business sense whatsoever unless they plan on selling lots of flights.

Other than tourists, who do they contemplate as customers?

#747 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-06 09:33:11

Griffin is a hatchet man and he is taxed with making the changes to NASA as outlined while O’Keefe was at the helm. We hear talk about saving Hubble- and we are hearing talk about saving the main stack. But it’s just talk. There will be no Hubble rescue, and there will be no SDV.

Okay, I cry "Uncle" on the cynicism match.   :;):

Perhaps the real target by those at the top is a "de facto" elimination of NASA altogether. To raise and crush Hubble hopes  undermines NASA enormously. Mix with ITAR and that ends civilian space flight for a generation, or longer.

Griffin's the fall guy. O'Keefe saw the handwriting and wanted to get out and get those lucrative directorships rather than the blame for the death of NASA.

Ouch.

Time will tell whether we are being "too" cynical. In the meantime, those who want civilian space, should buy Russian.

Columbus wasn't born in Spain, you know.

#748 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-06 08:47:53

They want votes, and they want jobs in their districts.

For the foreseeable future, Florida is the toll booth for the White House. Why do you think Jeb moved there (and George to Texas) in the first place?

Florida jobs trump all other jobs in this equation.

Call me cynical and paranoid, whatever.

Now who is more cynical? Griffin may well have been chosen to preserve the Florida jobs option.

= = =

Another PS  - -  If SDV is dead per Rumsfeld, someone screwed up politically by letting Griffiin encourage the folks at Michoud.



Edited By BWhite on 1118069714

#749 Re: Human missions » Shuttle derived revival - Space.com » 2005-06-06 08:04:26

I think that Bush wouldn't or couldn't dismiss Griffins' preference so easily without him quitting and making a huge stink in the media (who would looove any kind of Bush ignores council! stories).

I agree with this.

I need to find again that cartoon about Griffin's Senate confirmation hearing and appointment. Compared with Bolton, Gonzales and nuclear war over judges, Griffin's confirmation was a total love fest. That gives Griffin power, and he knows it.

I remember the tag line:

"Congradulations Dr. Michael Griffin, you are confirmed."

"What, no questions? But I studied for this!"

#750 Re: Human missions » Mars Colonization Program - Mission 1: Your Comments? » 2005-06-06 07:56:08

And what T/Space has done is Blatantly Ignore "form follows function," because VSE isn't about the most efficent way to LEO, its the most efficent and safest way to the Moon first and Mars later. Their aproach is neither as efficent nor safe as a conventional Saturn-IV EOR style mission for Lunar missions, and their CEV isn't big enough for Mars... I doubt it could aerobrake either.

Fair enough.

Except t/Space's plans aren't really about the VSE. t/SPace is really after the orbital tourism market. As clark wrote (or implied) getting NASA to pay for t/Space development would give Gump a free rocket to sell to tourists.

Thus, the political question becomes "what is the proper objective for the VSE?" - - might tweaking the VSE's goals & objectives result in more science and an expanded commercial presence in space all for less money?

= = =

Is the goal to perpetuate or shatter the paradigm that says: "Spaceflight = NASA and NASA = spaceflight?"

How does (or should) the VSE fit into that question?


= = =

Add: Rick Tumlinson frames the question exactly the right way, IMHO:

Are we von Braun-ians, Sagan-auts or O'Neill-ians?

And that is a purely political question. What do we want or seek from space exploration?



Edited By BWhite on 1118066391

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