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Hi Samy, Nickname.
I know that higher plants need a certain level of O2. (I mentioned this at the end of my post.) But are you saying that they have a maximum level of CO2?
Which plants are so affected? I assume that this is not the case with cyanobacteria, and the bryophyte plants.
Will post later, very warm regards, Rick.
Hi RickSmith,
Hate to be the bearer of bad news but NO plants with atmospheric c02 above 5%, none in the only viable place with such an atmosphere the water since water will be frozen solid.
Hi Nickname,
Thanks for the feedback. I will discuss the temperature question
when I have more time (I'm at work right now). But after careful
rereading, I'm not able to make out what the first part of the
sentence is saying. Could you clarify?
Very warm regards, Rick.
Hi Samy, everyone.
Good point. However, I am not sure that how to calculate this. Let us say that there was no CO2 and we had nothing but the SF6. The scale height (which is based on the gravity and temperature of the planet) would still be 11 km would it not? (Doing some research here...)
OK, the formula for the scale height is:
H = kT / Mg
where:
k= gas constant = 8.314 j/ (mol K)
T = mean planetary surface temperature in kelvins.
M = mean molecular mass in dry air (kg/ mol)
g = acceleration due to gravity on surface in m/s^2.
(Note at heights above 100 km (basically a vacuum), molecular diffusion means that each gas species has its own scale height.)
All of these are constants (for Mars that is) except the molecular mass. SF6 is about 3.3 times larger than for the CO2 atmosphere that Mars has. So the scale height for SF6 would be 11km / 3.3 = 3.33 km.
The ~9 km height of the crater walls is: 9/3.33 or 2.73 times the scale height. So at the top of the Hellas Crater, we would have 0.065 times the atmospheric pressure as on the ground. (Assuming that the scale heights can be treated as independent partial pressures which is not true.)
(So if the pressure is 100% at the bottom it will be 6.5% at the top.)
Now on Mars, would things be better or worse than this? Well the winds by the CO2 atmosphere can only make things worse. Also, if you use SF6 to increase the temperature in Hellas Basin by 50 degrees C then that would increase the SF6's scale height by 1.23 times or to 4.1 km. (165K / 115K = 1.23) Finally the scale height is based on the average mass of the gases. Basically the CO2 bouys up the SF6 more than if the SF6 was on its own, which makes sense.
So I don't think that your idea will work for the Hellas basin.
However, I don't think that we have explored all the possibilities here. Let us say we drop several large asteroids in the Hellas Basin itself. An asteroid with a velocity of 10 km/s and a 50 km diameter will make a crater ~500 km in size. Figuring out the depth is complex. I found a study that suggest that the depth to diameter ratio is a 0.3 exponent (but they also say that huge craters are shallower than you would expect).
Crater Depth to Diameter Ratios.
500 km to the 0.3 power is 6.45 km deep. If we conservatively say that an impacter this big only makes a hole 3 km deep and then we drop 5 asteroids into the same hole it will be 15 km below the floor of Hellas Basin.
This will be so deep that much of the atmosphere of Mars will flow into it meaning that you would have no need of a pressure suit even with the current amount of atmosphere. Your SF6 would have (15 + 8) / 4.1 = 5.6 times the scale height.
So if the SF6 is at 100% at the bottom of this hole, then the pressure at the top would be 0.36% at the top of the crater walls. (Which is low enough that colonists might be able to replace losses. A hole this deep will likely outgas a fair amount of volatiles. if the local temperature (hot rocks) is above zero, you may end up with a sea down there and have to build house boats.
Since the CO2 buoys the SF6 up, you likely would want to make the hole deeper. If it was 20 or 30 km deep, it would be better. However a hole that deep would not need worry too much about winds. The winds blowing around the outside of Hellas likely would not have any effect down inside the hole.
Our hole might be 500 km across at the top and say 100 km at the bottom. This would greatly reduce the amount of greenhouse gases needed both speeding up the filling of the hole and reducing the cost to keep it topped up.
Interesting idea! I had never considered using gravity to keep the greenhouse gases in a small area before. I think that digging a deep hole may be a practical way to maximize any changes we wish to make to a volume of atmosphere and instantly get a local partial pressure where you would not need space suits. In addition, digging that deep into the crust may expose any number of useful ores.
Very warm regards, Rick.
There's a lot of talk about what a massive undertaking it would be to build up an atmosphere for the entire planetary mass of Mars.
There's less talk about building local small-scale atmospheres. ...
If you flooded, say, Hellas Planitia with SF6, the gas would stay at the bottom of the crater, would it not? By virtue of being heavier than the CO2 atmosphere above it? ...
Hi Samy, everyone.
What a neat idea. But I am worried that it won't work. At this link here it says that the bottom of the crater is ~9 km below the surrounding crater rim.
But Mars' scale height is 11 km. So if you had (say) 0.1 mBars of greenhouse gases at the bottom of Hellas Planitia, you would have 0.037 mBars above the crater being blown in the local winds. Now the density might be a little less that high up (since as you say CO2 is less dense than SF6) but I don't think it will be enough. There is plenty of CO2 in Earth's stratosphere even tho it is significantly more dense than air.
So I think it very likely that given a few years, most of the greenhouse gases would leak out.
Now if you put some sort of strong plastic dome over it, a slightly higher pressure inside could keep it up. You wouldn't much care about small leaks as they would be many orders of magnitude slower than if you left it open. Such a system would allow a vast area to warm up. Sadly being in the southern hemisphere, you would have the short summers / long winters problem.
Warm regards, Rick.
Hi everyone,
The next stage of terraforming needs to increase the nitrogen partial pressure. In many ways, argon would be a suitable buffer gas and I certainly would not mind seeing more argon from comets and the like. But nitrogen has one big advantage over argon, it needed by plants.
The second stage of engineering a minimum atmosphere is to increase the N2 level to 0.5 kPa. This is high enough that nitrogen fixing bacteria (in the roots of some plants) can fix the nitrogen. (This means that the N2 is broken up into a variety of nitride ions which plant and animal tissues can use.)
Now I've argued elsewhere that the high concentration of argon in the atmosphere suggests that Mars has NOT had massive impacts which have knocked off its atmosphere. If it had, the argon would have been lost as well. But the concentration of argon suggests that Mars originally had a dense atmosphere with a normal mix of gases (including a LOT of nitrogen) and gradually lost most of its air, leaving the argon behind.
Where has the N2 gone then? It is unlikely to have lost it to escape to space. With a gram molecular mass of 28, N2 is plenty heavy to stay on the planet. I think it more likely that lightning in Mars atmosphere has turned the nitrogen into nitrates which react with the soil. (This happens on Earth, but the nitrates are absorbed and used in the biosphere and then returned to the atmosphere.) See:
Given that there is likely to be nitrate deposits on Mars, (none have been found so far) how can these be released back into the air?
Well, some bacteria can bore into rocks and release the nitrogen. However this is SLOW, requires a fairly healthy bacteria population and won't work on deeply buried nitride deposits. If we didn't mind terraforming taking hundreds of thousands of years this might be enough.
Fogg suggests using thermonuclear bombs to shock the rocks into releasing nitrogen, CO2 and melting water. (His H-Bombs are not fission bomb triggered so they would produce almost no radioactive fallout.) I suspect that these methods will be used by Martians especially to get water to the surface quickly.
The last method is to drop comets or iceteroids on Mars. (Iceteroid is a term invented by James Edward Oberg in his book New Earths.) This has two advantages. First they will bring more volatiles to Mars which is always welcome. Second by dropping them on Nitrate beds, you can free the nitrogen in the rock as well as adding what ever nitrogen is in the comet itself. Conservatively, (assuming a rich nitrate bed) the amount of N2 generated would be twice what the comet holds itself.
I keep meaning to do the research to allow me to write an article to show a magsail based iceteroid mission to bring ~500 meter sized iceteriods to Mars. (Finding the numbers is slow, the calculations are straightforward). Anyway, I feel that it is affordable to drop a fair number of iceteriods on Mars. Let us assume that this is done. What would our atmosphere look like?
Well, we may be able to find bodies that are 5 to 10% ammonia in the outer solar system. These bodies will likely have a lot of water ice, some CO2, some CH4 and maybe 5% rock and soot like substances in them.
So if we assume that we increase the N2 partial pressure to 0.5 kPa (up from the current 0.0175 kPa) using 50% asteroids and 50% thermonuclear bombs then this will require a lot of iceteroids, which will ALSO bring other gases.
Zubrin and McKay suggested that 40 impacts of 2.6 km diameter 10% pure NH3 asteroids would double the amount of N2 in the Martian air by direct importation. So adding guesses onto assumptions here we might have...
Typical Icteroid:
- Metals, rock, soils and salts.............08%
- H2O ice..........................................55%
- CH4 ice...........................................15%
- CO2 ice...........................................10%
- NH3 ice...........................................10% (Note 2.5 times as much C as N looking at %)
- Everything else (CO, Ar, etc.)...........02%
Now we need to increase the current N2 pressure by about 28 times. I am assuming that half of this comes by H-Bombs in deep rock deposits. I am assuming that for every tonne of nitrogen brought by iceteroid an extra tonne of nitrates are volatilized by the impact. So we would need to increase Mars' nitrogen level by 7 times via direct importation. (This would be 240 impacts of the 2.6 km bodies described above.)
So our atmosphere might now look like:
Composition:
- CO2.....55.0 mBar
- N2..........3.36 mBar
- Ar...........0.1 mBar ?
- O2..........0.012 mBar
- H2O........0.01 mBar (rising with increasing temperature.) ?
- Various trace gases ~0.001 mBar
- C2F6.....0.00003 mBar
- C3F8.....0.000125 mBar
- C4F10...0.00001 mBar
- SF6........0.000045 mBar
- NO2.......0.00001 mBar
Total: ~58.5 mBar.
Note that about 2 mBar of carbon are added via direct importation. What ever the form, most of it will end up as CO2 in a few years. All those impacts are almost certainly drive some CO2 out of clays and permafrost clathrates even if carbinate beds (if any exist) are not targeted. Further, we will get temperary warming during the impact years which will speed CO2 being outgassed by the clays. So I've bumped the CO2 level by 5 rather than by 2.
If we assume 3 of these 2.6 km iceteroid impacts per year, this phase would be take 80 years to complete. If one per year, it would take 240 years.
Also note that many megatonnes of water would be added to the planet. I've not added it to the atmospheric level as it would frost out. I have added a smidge to the percentage of H2O in the air as after adding all these gases, we would have a warmer atmosphere and it would be able to hold more water.
The effort to finish the second level of atmosphere engineering is significantly greater than the first. It will be hard to increase the nitrogen level quickly. However, once this is done, we can use nitrogen fixing plants to enrich the soils of Mars. Great fields of clover would be great steadily adding to the soil's quality and to the partial pressure of O2 in the air.
However, before we can get clover and other higher plants we have to do two things. We must reduce the UV level. And we have to increase the oxygen partial pressure. (Higher plants need O2, mostly for their roots. In an O2 depleted environment they smother.)
These problems will be discussed in the third essay in this series.
By the way, many of these numbers our very rough. I'll fine them up, time allowing, as I learn more. If you have references that suggest that any of them are wrong, please let me know and I will correct this post.
EDIT: The third and last post in this series of essays is at: STAGE THREE: ADDING OXYGEN.
Warm regards, Rick.
I must say that the image of 200 million Bangladeshi's living in houseboats serves as a hilarious reductio ad absurdum arguement against your position.
...
Terraformer, I've enjoyed your ideas in many other forums, but I think you have not rigorously considered this problem.Phil
...But at this rate, we'll be at 800 ppm by 2057. Then the average temp. will be 64 C, or 130 F. ...
...
Hello Jumpboy11j, Phil.
I think you are wasting your time. They are not interested in a rational debate, they are involved in propaganda.
jumpboy11j, I don't think that the temperatures would rise as high as you suggest because as the Earth gets warmer two things happen. One, we radiate heat faster, on a wider variety of wavelengths. Two as the temperatures rise, we will hold more H2O in the atmosphere. More clouds reflect more heat back into space. (Of course the clouds also trap heat underneath them. The models that try to predict the effect of more H2O are very complex, and none too accurate, but suggest that H2O moderates the temperature rise somewhat.)
Tho it will take thousands of years, the warming oceans will be able to hold less gas. This means that they will belch up a lot of CO2 that is currently dissolved. If the warming oceans make the methane clathrates less stable, a lot of methane could also be dumped into the atmosphere. (GWP a couple hundred times that of CO2 but it breaks down in a few years in an oxygen atmosphere.) The oceans rejecting CO2 could result in a run away greenhouse effect (discovered because of the space program at Venus, yea NASA) but who knows for sure?
The thing that worries me is that there are so many unknowns. Who knows what will happen? We could have H2S ecologies dumping massive amounts of H2S into the air in 300 years. We could have the oceans giving off CO2 and CH4 in massive quantities in 500 years (or less). I read that the Greenland sub continent has risen 4 cm in the last couple years. (This is caused by melting fresh water lubricating the ice and causing it to flow faster.) Ice caps on water are very unstable and mobile. See the November 2007, "New Scientist" article below (it is a short read):
But the apologists offer distractions like, "hundreds of millions of people will live in house boats." (Do they support the practicality of their idea by showing that X hundreds of millions of people are currently independent of land, living on boats. No.) Or suggest that having hundreds of millions of refugees moving into Russia or Canada would be just keen. (Well Alaska as well, maybe it could be turned into a separate nation when all these refugees get there. Sure wouldn't want to put them on Medicare.)
But the whole "Hundreds of millions of house boats and people moving to Antarctica" was not to suggest a serious solution. The purpose of this 'offering' is to belittle you and the entire debate.
Under the belittling category, how does it feel to be compared to Chicken Little and the even more stupid Hal Lindsey?
If they said "Don't Panic" and offered solutions it would be one thing. But they can't be bothered to address serious points brought up, and their "Don't Panic" is supporting the status quo of doing nothing.
For example, (if any examples are needed, given the quality of this debate), I brought up the Ogallala aquifer. Many scores of millions of people enjoy food created in the American bread basket. But this paleo-water resource is being wasted by moronic ecological policies. Over the next 50 or 60 years, the USA economy is going to take a big hit on this and those depending on that food will have to go elsewhere. If they can. (Do you think this will SLOW habitat destruction & species extinctions?) This is not airy-fairy stuff; this will hit the USA where it hurts. But the whole point is beneath their notice.
They seem to be saying: 'No concern of ours if the USA is living beyond its ecological means. After all, it won't bite us in the ass for 50 or 60 years! I MIGHT be dead! Let my children deal with the problem because I'm "not panicking"'.
This abuse of Earth's ecosystems affects you and I. But the apologists treat the whole debate with contempt. It is sad. But it is hard to feel pity for someone when they piss me off so much.
One thing that really puzzles me is WHY they are so desperate to stop this debate, that they are willing to use such contemptible tactics? ("Millions of people to Antarctica", "Chicken Little", my God!) Would it really hurt them to either a) acknowledge that some people are concerned and discuss this rationally out of simple politeness. Or b) not bother to take part in a debate that does not interest them. It would seem to be easy for them to take a) or b). But instead, we get a showcase of insults and contempt. (Ecologists = people who sterilize millions. Millions of refugees = Antarctica and Siberia) I would be ashamed to post such stuff. Why are their egos so involved that they stoop to such behaviour???
Anyway, my advice is, this entire thread is a shining example showcasing the tactics used by the apologists on a very serious subject that will affect all of us in the coming years. ANYONE reading this thread can see the TYPE of effort each side has put into the discussion.
I suggest that we let them get the last word and do not dignify their insults, (sorry, I should have said 'solutions') with a reply. Perhaps after they get the last word, the moderators of the site will lock this thread so we can get on to talking about Mars.
Warm regards, Rick.
Methane and Hydrogen Formation From Rocks
During the formation of magnetite, ...
The presence of the reduced species H2, CH4 and H2S in the fluids that seep out of the rocks provide important energy sources for different microbial species that seem to thrive around the Lost City structures.
Hi SpaceNut, everyone.
So this is an indication that the Methane found in Mars' atmosphere is NOT created this way. If it is, then we should see H2S in the atmosphere as well and we do not.
This suggests that life, volcanic outgassing, earthquakes or comet impact are the different ways that it could get there.
Thanks for the interesting post! Warm regards, Rick
There was a weapon system that was talked about called "THOR" where you take crowbar sized objects and drop them from orbit. As they blaze thru the atmosphere they leaving behind a glowing trail of plasma which looks like a lightning bolt above what even they destroyed.
The objects dropped come in crowbar sized, fence post sized and telephone pole sized.
I am a bit curious about if there is enough stuff on Phobos to vaporize the whole of the Martian south pole, but it would likely take me 2 or 3 hours to work out an estimate. (Which I'm not going to do now.)
But let us say that you do this, dropping crowbar sized chunks of Phobos and turned all of it into gaseous CO2 and H2O. Great hot holes are everywhere on the south pole; all of the CO2 is gone and most of the water is vaporized. (It won't be all gone as the permafrost there goes deep.) The heat from the impacts will rapidly radiate away. Then the H2O will frost out, lowering Mars' albedo. Next Martian winter, the CO2 will frost out giving us larger CO2 deposits on the south pole.
As long as CO2 will frost out in the heart of winter, then any warming is strictly temporary. I think you will need something (like super green house gases) to keep it warm enough, long enough to start having the CO2 in the soil come out.
Warm regards, Rick.
I think that we will likely want to have a soletta reflecting heat to both poles. Simply, the poles are where we really need some heat where as greenhouse gases are make things warmest where the sun is. As the Martian atmosphere thickens it will be better at moving heat around.
Dr. Zubrin estimates that a mirror 125 km in diameter would be by itself enough to increase the temperature at the south pole 5 degrees. The mass of this is about that of a super tanker and their is plenty of aluminum on Luna. If we build it in Earth orbit it will be cheap to move it to Mars, it can act as a solar sail.
However, I think that we will want more than just a 5 degree increase in temperature. Since the Case for Mars has been written, it is clear that there is not as much frozen CO2 in the polar caps as hoped. (They are almost entirely water ice.) This means that if they sublime, they won't give as much pressure and warming as hoped. The warmer the better since the higher the temperature, the more CO2 will be released by the soil and clathrates. Also, the warmer it is the faster the new warmer temperature will work its way into the soil.
Let us say that we wish to have a 5 degree warming in addition to the mirrors.
Zubrin and McKay suggests that for +5 degrees we will need a partial pressure of 0.012 micro bars of PFC's. This will require 260 tonnes per hour to be created for 20 years (with a cost of 1,310 MWe (Mega Watts electric) to refine the ores and produce these gases. This would require several thousand workers (mostly miners) and a dedicated power plant but is certainly doable if we have native industry.
Each gas has some wavelengths of heat that it absorbs best and others were the heat can escape easily. Having a mix of gases means that the weaknesses in one can be covered by others. So we will certainly want a variety of these gases.
What would be a suitable mix of gases? See this article:
In Marinova, McKay's & Hashimoto article they suggest that 0.2 Pascals are needed of their mix. This is 0.00,000,2 Pascals or 2 micro Bars. However, they are assuming that their is NO mirror, and that with 2 microbars enough heat will percolate down to the pole to start a run away green house event.
In the new study Marinova, et all, suggest that to produce the 2 micro bars it will require the production of 25,700 times the Earths yearly production to reach this value. (Since the break down of these gases is so low their is no reason that this amount could be spread over a period of time. They suggest 50 years.) However, assuming that McKay and Zubrin's numbers are correct, you would reduce the amount of greenhouse gases needed by about 17 times if you put up a soletta as well.
In any case I think we will want a soletta. Mars is cold and even if we get liquid water on the surface, it will evaporate and migrate to the poles. We will have a true desert on the equator and the areas most hospitable to life. If we have a large mirror warming the south pole all winter, then that snow and ice is much more likely to melt (or at least flow as a glacier) and eventually return to the equatorial areas where the humans and their plants are.
As for how much CO2 will be released if we warm the planet 10 to 20 degrees, this is hard to tell. The numbers in the case for Mars are too optimistic I think. (Or rather I think the numbers are realistic but it will take much longer than McKay and Zubrin thought for that much gas to leak into the atmosphere.)
When Zubrin wrote "The Case For Mars" it was thought that Mars had much less water than we do now, and that the South Polar Cap was mostly CO2. We now know that it is mostly water ice.
So when the runaway greenhouse event occurs, we will certainly get enough CO2 to reach 14 or 15 mBars with in months (this is how much its normal pressure varies). It will likely increase more over the next decade or two but I have not been able to find good numbers on how much. After that, there may be a long slow rise.
The greenhouse gases will gain a 30% effectiveness boost when they are in CO2 rather than Ar. And all this gas itself is a greenhouse gas. So it is likely that the temperatures at the poles will increase by 20 C or more. This might be high enough to reach the temperature of desorption (the temperature where much of the CO2 will outgas from clay soils). If not, we will need a northern polar soletta or a few more years of greenhouse gases.
Assuming that the CO2 starts coming out of the clays, the temperature will slowly rise as the pressure increases. However, this higher temperature will have to work its way down into the soils which is a slow process. You will get a rapid increase of 10 to 20 mBar in the first decade and it will slowly drop off as the wave of thawing moves more and more slowly.
Another location for CO2 is in ice. CO2 saturated water will form clathrates where the ice has CO2 in its crystal structure. Clathrates have lower melting temperatures than ice so they will break up sooner than normal ice. However, Mars would still be 40C or so below freezing so freeing up the CO2 in the clathrates will be a very slow process. To speed it up we could darken Mars' poles with black dust, drop a few small asteroids on it or just be very patient.
Anyway, my feeling is that the pressure of Mars will pop up to ~50 mBars partial pressure of CO2 and then slow, (tho continuing to rise for centuries as more CO2 leaks out of the ices and crevasses.)
So eventually we have gotten to my estimate of the composition of a first stage Martian Atmosphere some 20 to 50 years after significant production of PFC's and the addition of a large soletta over the South Pole:
Composition:
- CO2.....50 mBar
- N2..........0.12 mBar
- Ar...........0.095 mBar
- O2..........0.012 mBar
- H2O.......0.0025 mBar (rising with increasing temperature.)
- Various trace gases ~0.001 mBar
- C2F6.....0.00003 mBar
- C3F8.....0.000125 mBar
- C4F10...0.00001 mBar
- SF6........0.000045 mBar
- NO2.......0.00001 mBar
Total: 50.23 mBar.
I've not been able to find if the human skin can take 50 mBar of pressure with out a pressure suit. However, it CAN take it with a suit that 'hugs you close' e.g. a spandex like material reinforced with Teflon fibers and the like. In another 50 to 100 years, the pressure would like rise to around 100 mBar and you could walk around in shirt sleeves and gas mask.
I've had to guess more than I like in this post. I'll correct and update these numbers as I find more information. But I think it likely that even with very conservative assumptions, Mars will have a high enough pressure for humans with gas masks within 100 years after the South Pole subliming away the CO2.
Warm regards, Rick
Shooting down the movie "The Day After Tomorrow" is another straw man argument. I did not bother seeing it. But no reputable person considers a movie that's premise is that 100 to 200 years of global warming is condensed into a few weeks (days?) time, to be a valid input on this debate.
Those who act as apologists for the current policy (of not doing anything about pumping greenhouse gases into my air), typically base their arguments on six major strategies (my opinion):
1) Not a problem because: it is a fabrication of thousands of scientists over the last 40 years / all natural / the Earth actually cooling (the big lie) / there are polar caps so we are in an ICE AGE / who cares? I discussed this at length in the "Is Global Warming Real" thread.
2) Won't be a problem for me, let my grand kids clean up my mess. Contemptible.
3) Ignore debate and keep repeating calming phrases. If you repeat something long enough it can start sounding sensible. While a valid propaganda trick it has no place in a rational debate.
4) Such and such a quick fix will solve the problem. Phil brought up a real study and I explained the flaws in this quick fix idea. It will be HARD to get 300 years of CO2 out of the atmosphere. VERY HARD. Fossil fuels are so energy dense than those who burn them become rich. It will require a larger amount of energy to collect and compress that CO2 back into some form that we can safely bury and really solve the problem. Paying that energy cost will make people poor. Let China pay I guess. Or India. Or Europe. However some still argue that there is this or that quick and easy fix.
And if it really is so easy, why does not Exxon or the Saudi Royal family spend a couple million and permanently stop a increasingly militant backlash against them?
5) Create straw man arguments as a distraction to the real debate. Trivialize the debate when ever possible. ("Do I really WANT Canada to be shoved into the Hudson River?" Ha ha.)
People on this forum have pointed to bogus 'studies' by a psychologist saying global warming is not real. This man has no degree in physics, chemistry, meteorology or oceanography and is paid more than a hundred thousand dollars a year by Exxon. However, strangely, he gets a lot of press from the media as an 'expert'. When I called them on this, why, they don't bother defending the guy or retracting their statements. They just come up with different 'experts' for me to waste my time tracking down. Intellectual cowardice, plain and simple.
My main objection to the "let things take care of themselves" plan is that there are many indications that the climate is a chaotic system which may suddenly tip into a significantly less pleasant state. And these changes will have a tremendous amount of inertia. They won't be possible to reverse after they occur for a LONG, long time.
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Speaking of Straw man arguments, can anyone see the flaw in this (seriously proposed) "solution" to CO2 build up?
I've read of people who point out that we could collect CO2 that is being emitted by coal burning plant, purify it, compress it, cool it. So now you have a gigantic, increasing amount of liquid CO2. Then they suggest that we pump it in insulated, cooled pipelines to the coast, and down over the edge of the continental shelf to the ocean floor. There the liquid CO2 is stable so it speeds up the movement of CO2 to the sea floor bottom. Don't have to worry about seeding the oceans with iron, cut out the middle man! Out of the atmosphere! The global warming problem is fixed, or at least not getting any worse!
This is what I call the "sweeping the CO2 under the rug" way of solving the problem. A science star point for each flaw people can find in this plan. (First person to post a given solution wins.)
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As for hybrid cars, they are still burning fossil fuels. However, they are burning them slower which is a step in the right direction at least. As for cars using electric highways, the cost of the infrastructure places that safely in the future so we don't have to do anything now. However, as long as we are getting the majority of our electricity from fossil fuels it still won't help. Is a fossil fueled electric highway (complete with resistance losses) more efficient (in terms of less CO2 production) than a fossil fueled internal combustion engine?
My first guess would be to doubt it, but modern internal combustion engines are sufficiently inefficient (at converting heat into motion) that it might well be possible that your electric highway would save a small amount of CO2.
As for the "auto companies adapting by introducing electric vehicles", did you see "Who Killed the Electric Car?"? At risk of spoiling the ending, let me just say that I doubt that car companies will embrace your electric highway cars any more than they supported the electric cars that were required by California law.
That documentary never discussed WHY the car companies were so dead set against the electric car. I think that some research into how much common stock that the Royal House of Saud has in USA companies (particularly car companies, media companies and oil companies) might shed some light on the subject. But more than one person has accused me of being alarmist, and it is OK to ignore alarmists, right?
Which brings me to the last common strategy the apologists use:
6) Label those working to educate - as: people who are fanatics; people who are panicking; or people who are alarmist. Perhaps suggest that environmentalists are all for sterilizing millions of people? Would that work maybe?
(I still have not heard an apology for that vile, evil slander Mr Kalbfus. I suggested some ways you could support that argument, if you, in fact, thought, for one second, that it was true. Why, if I may be so bold to ask, have you not supported or retracted that truly ugly, cruel opinion that YOU STATED AS A FACT, and that you felt the need to display on a public forum?)
Propagandists know that it is easy for others to discount the message of someone who is perceived as panicked, as opposed to someone who is, for example, rationally concerned. It is also easy to discount the statements of those who sterilize millions is it not?
I am willing to take my time and engage in rational debate. But I am growing very angry, Mr Kalbfus, at your propaganda. At BS arguments designed to trivialize the debate. At evil slanders. Do you not feel shame?
Since you seem remarkably immune to picking out the main thrust of my arguments, I will make it very simple for you. In your next post, I welcome you to discuss:
1) Do you think that people will get the impression that your argument is really weak when you need to resort to slander and propaganda to support it?
2) What you are doing here? I mean, if you don't believe in greenhouse gases, what are you doing on a science forum where we research the absorption spectrum of a variety of gases in order to figure out the best way to warm up a planet?
3) Why are you so determined? I've stated why I am up in arms over this. I think that the human race is in big trouble. Call me a romantic or an idealist but I think we should work at fixing this before it gets worse. (What can be fixed. Dead species are extinct for good.) I am willing to put my valuable time answering people's science questions, as a way to help. I am here because I think a Mars program WOULD be a help in lifting people's thoughts to the sky and get them thinking about life support. But I am getting pissed off at your sly little digs. I certainly don't need you to tell me that the important thing is to not panic. But my question is WHY is it so important to you to convince others, that you resort to such shoddy, shameful tactics?
Rick
The 100mb of c02 isn't from the poles as such.
Its the reaction of carbon soot on water ice with heat from carbon bullet impactors, guessing at a 20% conversion of water to c02 and 80% non reactive carbon....
OK, if I understand what you are suggesting you are saying that the impacts will vaporize the bullet and some area of the impact zone. All this gas comes from the volatiles released. Is that a fair summary of your idea?
Warm regards, Rick.
Hi Everyone,
I've been playing around with an idea for warming Martian guts using a mohole. It also gets rid of some of the iron on Mars surface (which is likely at a high enough a concentration to be a nuisance). Let us say that you dig (using successive small asteroid impacts or some future mining technology) a mohole that is a few km deep.
You place some tungsten tear drop shaped bodies at the bottom of the hole & fill them with nuclear wastes & neutron reflectors to make them hot.
Then you start filling up the Mohole with iron. Any metallic garbage, iron taken from the red dust, scrap iron from asteroids, etc. Gradually fill this puppy up.
Most of the heat in terrestrial planets comes from iron sinking to the core of the planet. (Converting potential energy into heat.) This column of iron will be so heavy that it would crush the rock under it and would start sinking thru the crust. The normal mantle rock would be fragmented and float upwards as the iron oozes down. Locally, you might get a small volcano out gassing volatiles released from the rocks.
With a bit of fission biproducts softening the rock just below our artificial iron mascon, it may be able to reach right down to the core.
When one volcano freezes shut, start another elsewhere.
This is obviously a far future plan but I don't see anything impossible about it and it accomplishes three positive improvements for terraformers. Namely:
1) Reduce iron on surface of the planet.
2) Add volatiles to the atmosphere.
3) Cause volcanoes which often concentrate useful ores.
Any comments would be welcome, warm regards, Rick
The two species: Salvia hispanica and Salvia columbarae might make
important food sources for a Mars colony.
These plants are rich in Omega 3 fatty acids, grow in dry climates and
contain anti-oxidants. The seeds can be eaten or the leaves can be used
like sprouts in cooking. They are a good source of water soluble dietary
fiber.
Warm regards, Rick
Hi nickname,
My bias is showing in my earlier post. I would like to move more mass into Phobos' orbit. With a larger moon, the long term climate variation will be less so I just think, "grab one asteroid", rather than "use up what is already there".
I know of no evidence that there is 100 mBar of CO2 in the polar caps. (My numbers suggest that you would be doing well to get 10 or 20 mBar from them quickly.) Where did you get the numbers you quote above? They seem far too optimistic.
Warm regards, Rick
I had a thought. Let us say that you get a Carbonaceous Chondrite (CC) asteroid to build a soletta with. A CC asteroid is the most common sort and has plenty of clay minerals for aluminum and carbon and hydrogen for plastic.
Assuming the soletta has a mass of 200,000 tonnes (estimate from Case for Mars) then a 1 km radius asteroid should have enough aluminum to build this with a healthy amount left over. The CC that is left could be dropped on the south pole to multiply about 19 fold the effectiveness of the heat being beamed onto white ice.
The area of the south polar cap is roughly 500,000 km^2. From my calculations before we need 2.2 kg of dust per square meter. So we will need 5E11 kg or 5E8 tonnes.
Each cubic meter of CC is 2200kg so we will need 2.3E8 cubic meters. This is a block about 615 meters on a side. This is about ~1/40 the volume of our initial rock.
So if we assume that the Martians build their own soletta, (rather than flying it from Earth on the solar wind), then they should have enough left over from a 1 km rock to dust the polar cap. This will have a huge impact on how quickly the south pole heats up. Waste not, want not.
Warm regards, Rick.
LIKELY GREENHOUSE GASES:
On Mars, we wish the green house gases to cover the range from 4 to 17 and
19 to 25 micrometers as these are wavelengths that carbon dioxide does not
absorb well. Water is a strong absorber of infrared radiation but it won't exist
in the Martian atmosphere any time soon. It absorbs IR radiation everywhere
except in the range of 8 to 11 micrometers wavelength so gases that absorb
strongly in this area are also welcome.
Thermal Infrared is considered to be radiation between 3 and 25 micrometers.
The following table gives a variety of green house gases. The table
tries to show how effective the warming will be, over which wavelengths
and show the duration in the atmosphere.
Several entries have question marks after them. These are from sources
that I am not as confident of or I expect that the numbers from Earth are
likely to vary significantly on Mars. If people find better data please private
message me with your reference and I will update this chart.
I have found new data from experiments done using Martian Conditions by
a paper by Margarita M. Marinova, Christopher P. McKay, Hirofumi Hashimoto
so this data is much more accurate than extrapolating from Earth conditions.
This results in different values than I've seen in a number of other sites.
Gas......GWP............Wavelength micro meters..................................~duration in atm.
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
CO2......x1................4 to 4.5, 17 to 18 on Mars................................infinite
H20......x0 (Mars)......Everywhere except 8 to 11..............................0 (frosts out)
CF4.......x6,500........7.5 to 8.5 & several others weak zones (Mars)...>50,000 years
C2F6.....x9,200........5 to 23 w/ gaps; @6.5, 11 to 17& 19 (Mars).....>10,000
C3F8.....x9,190........3 to 25! (Mars) except 4.6 to 4.8......................>5,000?
C4F10...x7,000........?.......................................................................>2,600? (conservative estimate).
C6F14...x7,400........?.........................................................................3,200
SF6........x23,900......8 to 11 and 18 to 19.5 (on Mars)........................3,200
N2O.......x310...........5?, 8.3?............................................................... 120
SF5CF3..x18,000.....?..........................................................................4050
CH4.......x23.............3.5?, 8?...............................................................<300? (No O2 to react with)
NH3.......x2?..............?...........................................................................<10?
O3..........x?................8?.........................................................................Constantly regenerated based on O2.
GWP = Global Warming Potential over a 100 year lifetime. Note that most
of this data is for Earth. Mars has about 1/2 the UV flux which will extend the
lifetime of these species. However, the bands of UV that are stopped by the
Earth's ozone layer may cause a faster break up until the O2 concentration
can be raised. Some think that SF6 is destroyed by electrical effects caused
by the Earths magnetic field and auroras. If this is the case then its survival
on Mars may be longer than shown above since Mars has no significant
magnetic field.
The GWP of C3F8 is likely 2.5 to 3 times larger on Mars but the article did not
give these numbers so I left it at Earth values which we do have data for.
SF5CF3 = Trifluoromethyl Sulfur Pentafluoride. This is a new gas I found in
my researches. Not much data on it but it is included with hopes that we can
find more information later.
N2O = Nitrous Oxide. The main advantage to N2O is that it does not require
fluorine. Fluorine is a used in most of the other greenhouse gases since its
covalent bonds are so strong that compounds made of it are very resistant
to chemical reactions and are reasonably immune to UV light. However
fluorine is a rare element and a major expense will be mining & processing
enough of the suitable ores. We can make N2O from the air and water so it
may be suitable as an early greenhouse gas before we find large deposits
of fluorine.
The McKay, et all, study singled out C3F8 (Octafluoropropane) as the ideal
gas for terraforming Mars. On Earth it is less powerful of a greenhouse gas
than Sulfurhexafluoride (SF6) but C3F8 has strong absorption bands that
are covered by water on Earth. On Mars, these frequencies are critical. They
found that it was so much better than CF4, that you were better off with a
zero concentration of CF4.
(The Martians may eventually wish to put in some CF4 in the atmosphere
however, as it has a very long lifetime. This would act as an insurance
policy in case of a loss of technology.)
Marinova, McKay & Hashimoto recommend the following gas mix:
C2F6 - 15%
C3F8 - 62.5%
SF6 - 22.5%
This mixture was the most effective of the 4 perfluorocarbon gases they
studied. (They also looked at the absorption spectrum's of some Chlorine
and Bromine gases but did not seriously consider them given that these
species attack ozone.)
Their conclusion was that using the mix above, that 0.2 Pascals would on
its own cause the South Polar cap to sublime all CO2. (Much less would be
needed if there is a solleta warming it.) Once the CO2 sublimes, the small
variations wouldn't cause it to freeze out again since the thicker atmosphere
is better at moving heat from the equator to the poles.
Notes:
CF4 boils at -128 C (at 1 atm)
C2F6 boils at -79C
C3F8 boils at -36.7 C (These will be much lower at Mars' current pressure.)
REFERENCES:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_warming_potential
http://www.epa.gov/nonco2/econ-inv/table.html]
http://ucsu.colorado.edu/~browndp/web3d.html
// Spectral absorption website. Unfortunately, this is specialized in the nano meter wavelengths.
More Info on Spectral Absorptions.
// Place where I found boiling temperatures of gases at 1 atm pressure.
Article Discussing Problems with Greenhouse Gases.
Radiative-convective model of warming Mars with artificial greenhouse gases
by: Margarita M. Marinova, Christopher P. McKay, Hirofumi Hashimoto
Published by the American Geophysical Union. March 2005
(Costs $9 for an abstract.)
I think the cheapest thing to do is move your house to a higher elevation. Also whats wrong with a warmer Earth?
...Would you really want to go back to he Ice Age? ... is that really the Earth you'd want?
Mr Kalbfus,
Have you even bothered reading my posts?
My argument was clearly, that it is impossible to remove that much CO2. Given that this is impossible, I am not much worried about glaciers scrapping Canada into Arizona.
An Earth that warmed up over 12,000 years might not be such a bad thing. Human society will have time to adapt. But as I've clearly stated in a variety of posts:
1) I think that the human caused extinction event will have terrible consequences leading to wide spread human misery, famine and war.
2) I think that global warming will make the current situation worse. If sufficiently sudden and severe, it can cause its own set of famines, disease and wars.
3) I think that the economic upheavals caused by the above will make it impossible (or at least far more difficult than it is now) to fund Mars colonization.
Since NONE of these are addressed by your "move to higher elevation" platitudes, just what is your post trying to accomplish?
May I gently suggest that in a rational debate, you answer the arguments as presented instead of wasting the forum's time with straw man arguments.
Rick
Hi Antius, everyone.
Antius, I agree totally with what you said. There is a further reason why we would not want to ship them to the asteroid belt. They are wildly valuable. Nuclear wastes are filled with rare earths, and material that can be processed (using breeder reactors) into more nuclear fuel.
Assuming humanity does not lose technology, I will bet anyone who cares to, that the nuclear wastes will be dug up within a hundred or two years and USED.
Imagine a fission reactor on Titan. With that giant heat sink, a heat engine will be 80% efficient. Even low grade radioactives will produce plenty of power.
If I had my way, Canada would take responsibility for every gram of nuclear waste on the planet, with the sole proviso that we get ownership of it. Sigh, not likely to happen in the current media climate.
Warm regards, Rick.
... But I also remembered a phrase from an article that I read in high school, the phrase "Give me a freighter full of iron and I'll give you an Ice Age." I looked it up and it relates to the John Martin's Iron Hypothesis: ...
Hope to hear everyone's perspectives. I think the environmental platform retains a lot of merit, but enough for now.
Phil
Hi Phil, everyone.
Thanks for the kind words Phil, and welcome. I read a couple years ago the report in Scientific American about John Martin's experiment (of dropping iron dissolved in sulfuric acid in the antarctic waters to stimulate plankton growth. It is a real effect but I think that it can have, at best, a small effect on the CO2 levels. However, I'm afraid that my explanation will be fairly involved so please stick with me.
First, about 20 years ago I read an early article in Scientific American about the Carbon on the Earth. The author said that there were X numbers of tonnes in the air, Y tonnes in the biosphere and Z tonnes in the ground. These numbers were so huge that they were almost meaningless.
So he said, "let us call all the carbon in the biosphere (living and dead) as one life unit." He showed that 500 years ago there was 1 life unit in the biosphere, ~100 life units in the air (as carbon dioxide) and millions of billions of life units of carbon in the ground.
Since then the burning of fossil fuels has pumped about an extra 100 life units of carbon into the air, (doubling the CO2 concentration).
At the time I was going to university and I saw posters from the Marijuana party saying "plant weed, reverse global warming". I have a lot of sympathy for their cause (pot is certainly a less dangerous drug than alcohol) but I mocked them. They would have to plant 100 Earth's biospheres worth of hemp to bring CO2 levels back down below what they were pre-industrial revolution.
The biosphere can NEVER absorb that much carbon. The fact that humanity has been cutting down forests which lock up carbon for hundreds of years in the hard wood is insignificant compared to these numbers.
The article pointed out that what we might wait for the carbon to be buried back into the Earth. So how does this happen?
1) Vast shallow seas (caused by continental flooding) have massive number of ferns buried as in the Carboniferous period. (Not happening now.)
2) Coral and shell fish gradually take calcium and other trace elements and using CO2 turn it into shells, largely made up of Calcium Carbonate. This builds up over millions of years and eventually is crushed into rock forming limestone. Even tho we are losing coral reefs (to pollution and warming waters) this can be expected to continue, tho likely at a reduced rate. However it takes millions of years to form vast amounts of limestone.
3) Acidic bogs can absorb CO2 by forming peat in a period of thousands of years. However we have drained the majority of the bogs on Earth as they are in prime agricultural zones. Further, a few peat bogs are small potatoes compared to hundreds of years of burning concentrated hydrocarbons.
4) Dying life forms sediments on the ocean floor. Eventually the motion of the plates buries these and takes the carbon out of the biosphere and down into the mantle. This takes millions of years.
The author's point is that what we burn in 20 years will take geologically significant amounts of time (hundreds of thousands or millions of years) to cycle back into the rock formations of the Earth. It does not matter how long it takes to take the CO2 and put it into the biosphere. Because sooner or later 99.99999% of that carbon goes from the biosphere back into the air. The Biosphere is saturated.
He also pointed out that in all the past ages when CO2 levels were high, we had warm climates.
My second point is from an essay by Issac Asimov where he was asking why are the center of the oceans largely deserts, barren of life. He pointed out that life grows exponentially until it uses up its first critical resource. So in the center of the oceans, there is plenty of light, plenty of water, plenty of CO2. So life grows explosively until it runs out of something. This is usually phosphorous or nitrate ions. John Martin knew this which is why he chose to sail his ship to Antarctic waters rather than doing the experiment off the east coast of the USA. In the North Atlantic, there was much higher levels of iron in the water and it would be harder (perhaps impossible) to detect any change. But by sailing down to Antarctica, he knew that there were plenty of phosphates, nitrates, etc. from ocean upwellings and the effectiveness of his experiment would be multiplied.
The first time his experiment barely worked, so he had to sail to the Antarctic Ocean again, this time using dissolved iron. (The sulfur also was a useful trace element.) His experiment clearly worked.
However, if we seed the oceans with iron, the various trace elements will be used up, there will be a bloom of life, and then phosphorous, zinc, selenium, potassium, nitrates, cobalt or some other trace element will run out and the bloom will stop. And you will have a lot of iron left.
What happens to the plankton? They grow, absorb CO2 and release O2. Eventually they die, go to the bottom of the ocean. And rot.
It is very hard to get oxygen down to the bottom of the ocean. This happens very slowly as the water circulates. A surprising fraction of the benthic oxygen comes from the North Atlantic conveyor belt. (The gulf stream moves water north in to stormy cold areas. Cold water can absorb significantly more O2 and sinks, flows south and aerates the ocean floors.)
It looks like one key climate tipping point is the turning on and off of this ocean conveyor.
If O2 does not get down to the dead material it will still rot, but it will be oxidized with anaerobic bacteria and produce hydrogen sulfide. Trust me, we do NOT want vast areas of the ocean floor producing huge quantities of H2S, it will kill whole marine ecosystems. At least.
Worst Case Global Warming - Hydrogen Sulfide Ecologies
The third problem is that this iron will sink or diffuse into deeper waters. Once it goes below the volume that light will cause photosynthesis it is wasted until ocean currents bring it back up again. A tiny amount of trace elements are needed for life. But they have to be in the right place at the right time. If you need (for example) 200 years of fossil fuels to be removed from our atmosphere right now (because we are getting strong chaotic shifts in climate with vast inertia) then you have to have a lot of ships pumping trace elements into the oceans all over. Those ships will burn a lot of diesel fuel while they try to keep the top 30 meters of the ocean filled with iron and other trace elements.
I could go on but those are the main elements:
1) You can't just use iron. Phosphorous, potassium, zinc, selenium, etc. etc. all must be in sufficient amounts for life to grow. The amount of phosphorous and nitrates needed, in particular, will be huge. Let us say this emergency measure is implemented in 2050 when the CO2 level is expected to have doubled. Remember, we are trying to draw down 300 biospheres of worth of carbon (assuming we want preindustrial levels) at emergency speed. (This assumes that one super tanker worth of solid iron is enough to do that, which I am not sure is accurate.)
2) All of these trace elements (and not so trace elements such as the nitrates, potassium and phosphorous) must be kept in the top layer of the water long enough for all of them to be used up.
3) If we dump 300 biospheres of carbon on the ocean floor it won't matter or not if global warming has cut off the deep ocean conveyor or not. There won't be enough O2 down there to rot it with aerobic bacteria so we will get 300 biospheres of H2S erupting from the oceans and damn near sterilizing the planet. (The hydrogen sulfide ecology will survive of course.)
Which brings me to a final observation. Let us say that I am completely off. That really one supertanker full of solid iron (or a fleet of them filled with iron dissolved in sulfuric acid) can bring on an ice age.
If this fix is so quick and easy, why do not those minimizing global warming hire a fleet of super tankers to seed the oceans and draw down the CO2 level to, say, 1910 levels? They could likely do it for a couple million dollars which is a tiny fraction of the hundreds of millions of dollars that Exxon gives to psychologists, producing climate science papers which minimize global warming. See the following link showing how just Exxon pays for the 'think tanks' which produce endless 'studies' saying the Global Warming Crisis is false. Strangely the media gives these studies equal time as those by real scientists.
Exxon Secrets
(In particular take a look at the "Map Exxon's Network" link.)
Rather than spending hundreds of millions of dollars on lobbying and lying, why not just fix the problem for a tiny fraction of that cost?
Or if I'm right and it will take a huge investment in energy and matter to use this method. Who will pay for it? I mean, lots of people seem bent on saying that very modest conservation measures to slow CO2 production will cost too much. Why should China (say) pay to solve this problem? Perhaps you put your faith in politicians and international agreements?
I'm very sorry that this post is gone on so long. I hope I've answered your question.
Warm regards, Rick.
I was reading a while ago that tiny, trace amounts of H2S (80 ppm) in the atmosphere would bring on a hibernation like state in animals. It was suggested that using this people could 'sleep' for several days or a few weeks, wake up and exercise, then hibernate again. This would significantly reduce the life support costs for long space trips and make it cheaper to ship large numbers of people to Mars and back.
It just occurred to me that this might be a evolutionary response to massive eruptions of H2S. Consider, some animal living far outside the normal area where H2S is generated. A strong wind from an odd direction starts blowing this lethal gas towards them. Those that fell down at the first whiff and basically stopped breathing until the wind changed and clear air came back would survive better than those that didn't.
This would suggest that H2S was around in quantity for millions of years (long enough that evolution would adapt species' biochemistry for it) and that this effect might be widespread across many animal species. If true, it could mean it is more likely to work on humans.
See: H2S Wiki article including discussion on hibernation
Warm regards, Rick.
Hi Everyone,
This thread is intended for a detailed discussion of what would be a minimally useful change to Mars. My hope is that as people find more data we can refine this estimate.
*** IF YOU ARE UP ON THE STANDARD TERRAFORMING IDEAS YOU CAN SKIP DOWN TO THE BAR OF ASTERISKS ***
For newcomers: it has been thought that if we can warm the poles of Mars by 4 degrees C that all the solid carbon dioxide will sublime. Being a greenhouse gas this will warm the planet. Eventually more carbon dioxide will start coming out of clay minerals in the soil (which when cold can hold 8% CO2). Some ice can have CO2 in its crystal structure. (These are called clathrates.) Mars likely has a huge amount of CO2 clathrate and if a significant amount of this melts even more CO2 will join the atmosphere. Mars could end up with a 'permanent' (millions of years) warmer, higher pressure atmosphere.
Mars seems to have two stable climates. When its atmosphere is thick it is much warmer (tho still below freezing). However, usually Mars is in the current cold, thin atmosphere climate. Large volcanic eruptions are believed to in the past have lead to MEGAOUTFLO events (Mars Environmental Glacial Atmospheric OUTburst FLood Oscillations). During these periods the planet is warmer, there may have been frozen seas or lakes and a lot of snow and frost was deposited in the southern regions of the planet. (Mars likely never has had rain but it may have once had snow. Currently it just gets frost.)
The hope is that with relatively small changes to the planet, we can kick it over to the warmer higher pressure phase of its climate.
This can be done by using solar mirrors to warm the poles (especially the south pole), adding super greenhouse gases (especially perfluorocarbons) to the atmosphere and dropping comets or icy asteroids (iceteroids) on the planet to release atmospheric gases. There are other ideas to accomplish these goals but these ones do not require any new science, just engineering.
*****************************************************************************
Creating a Martian atmosphere that is breathable is very difficult. However there are 3 intermediate steps which would be useful.
1) Evaporate the polar CO2 ice and release enough CO2 in the soil / clathrates to allow humans to move about with out pressure suits. This much pressure will also give very significant radiation protection against solar flares and cosmic rays.
2) Add enough nitrogen that plants that can fix nitrogen from the atmosphere can survive.
3) Add enough oxygen so that a ozone layer forms. This would cut down UV radiation and perhaps slow the loss of hydrogen from the top of the atmosphere by preventing photo-disassociation of water.
In the posts below I will give what I believe to be the smallest, easiest changes that would fulfill the goals above.
Where I have questions, I will highlight them. My hope is that if many eyes keep a lookout for this data we might be able to fine up these estimates. If you discover some data, please give references to where you find it!
If anyone else has ideas to cheaply improve the suggested mix below, don't hesitate to speak up.
Warm regards, Rick.
Hi Terraformer, everyone.
Or you could make a solenoid with superconductors. Modern superconductors work at soft cryogenic temperatures. They can be cooled with liquid nitrogen which is fairly inexpensive. The major problem is not the temperature, but the amount of current that they can carry. A modest current going around a solenoid (a iron bar inside an electric coil to strengthen the magnetic field) might be enough to get your job done.
The question is if the cost of cooling the superconducting ribbon is more than the cost of wasted power to resistance if you don't use it. Either way you could give Ceres a magnet field if you want one.
Warm regards, Rick.
The other thing you would need would be circulation (presumably by convection).
Basically the salt would dissolve making ions. Let us say that you make an nuclear furnace at the bottom of some area. The heat would cause convection circulation cells. As the ions flow, the orbit of the asteroid would carry the cell thru the suns magnetic field. This would induce a current flow.
When you have a current it will generate a magnetic field. This is called the dynamo effect (but you need a tiny amount of current to get it started).
So what is happening is the energy from your reactor is moving a lot of salty water in a big circle. This generates a magnetic field as it moves thru the sun's field.
However, if you have a nuclear reactor, it would likely be more efficient to put bands or superconductor around the equator and run current that way. The magnetic field that you get would be more direct than going the salty water route.
Warm regards, Rick.
That is right. Pretty much any place you land over 40 degrees you will find water somewhere near by. (Of course it is frozen rock hard.) But explorers shouldn't have too much trouble digging up a few blocks of ice / mud per day. That would be plenty of water and everything that can be made from it.
Warm regards, Rick.
Hello Mr Kalbfus.
You state several opinions as fact, which I strongly disagree with. First of all, reasonable ecological protection is not equivalent to "lower productivity levels and making ourselves smaller". The Green political movement is very strong in Europe and their economy is growing faster than the USA's. Just look at the relative movements of the value of the US dollar and the Euro in the last few years for one thing.
Furthermore, the sloppy eco standards in the USA is costing the US real money. Your cars produce such high pollution levels that they can not be sold in most places in Europe. They pollute so much they can't be sold in China! Higher standards would improve your balance of trade.
You say that the Great Extinction is happening because we are Earth rather than in space. Riiiiight.... You could have hundreds or tens of thousands of people in space and people will still be breeding. It is habitat destruction which is the key cause to this increasing rate of loss of species. Global warming will cause drought, climate shifts, etc. This will put further stress on weakened and fragmented ecosystems.
You seem eager to put the blame on lots of unpleasant things on "hippies, environmentalists, liberals and their left wing agenda". This is a nice little fiction but, perhaps, if it is all their fault that we are not in space, you would care to discuss the history of US conservative politician's, aggressive space programs, in the last 35 years?
Because of my support for nuclear power I've been called an "anti-environmentalist", but trying to slow global warming sounds like a fine idea to me. I wrote a post discussing the hypothesis about H2S ecologies caused the Earth's largest mass extinction. Perhaps you would like to go to this thread and comment?
Hydrogen Sulfide Ecologies.
Don't you think it is just a little, tiny bit of a stretch to associate the environmental movement with forced sterilizations in China? I mean, you obviously wish to lump as many unpleasant associations on to your targets as you can. But it seems to me that the Canadian and European environmental movements have managed to not sterilize too many people. Perhaps you could give a link to American environmental groups that have sterilized people?
I personally, would put the blame of this Chinese policy on their government. Perhaps you think the Chinese government is controlled by a pack of environmentalists? Then you would have evidence of strict environmental policies and powerful laws on ecological conservation in China to share with us?
I pride myself in providing accurate information. I including references. I work hard at providing links and information to things of value to the people of this forum. Did you read the links that I made in my previous posts? We could make large progress in space and in the environment for a tiny fraction of what the world spends on the military, so it is obvious that the human race can afford to do this.
I am well aware that I am far more worried about species death (including our own) and environmental destruction than most people. However, I find the quality of your post to be near insulting, especially considering the importance I give to these subjects.
It seems that any hint of reason has left what I thought was a rational debate. This will likely be my last post on this thread unless things improve rapidly. I am really quite pissed at the shoddy logic you expect the people in this forum to swallow. It is shameful. Shameful.
Rick
Think of global warming as a "yellow light", just beyond that yellow light is an opprtunity for a high energy future and mass travel into space. We can do one of two things, we can "step on the gas" or we can "step on the breaks and wait for the next "green light".
"Stepping on the gas" includes doing things like fostering higher growth so we can afford the greater resources to break into space.
"Stepping on the Breaks" includes taxing ourselves into a lower productivity level, reducing our impact on the environment and trying to make ourselves smaller so we can live within Earth's Environment without effecting it too much, it would also tend to preclude opportunities for space travel later on as we will have made ourselves too poor to conduct it. Besides which the Sixth Great Extinction will still be going on because we will have continued to live on Earth rather than moving into space. I have spent 40 years of listening to the Hippies and Environmentalists, and All I can see is that they have not gotten us into space. All these liberals don't seem much intereasted in Space Travel. I think the main thing about it is that Space Travel offers freedom from government regulation, taxation, and from government control. If we implement the left wing Environmentalist Agenda, we shall have more government control over our lives, perhaps even up to the point of their regulating how many babies we can have, and the forced sterilizationthat is going on even now in China.
In Space there is freedom, we can't affect the environment of space very much, so there is no need for government regulation over what we do, no need for carbon taxes, and no need for government to reach into our pockets, and that frightens many liberals. The idea is to break into space before government forces us to become regulated "Earth creatures" under their control.