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#6901 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-15 06:44:09

Thanks Ciclops for that info which is helpful.

However this debate isn't completely at a tangent. We're trying I think to establish the sort of photovoltaic efficiency that could be achieved in an operational (as opposed to laboratory) environment. Given as far as I am aware there have been hardly any relevant missions to the lunar surface in recent times, we do have to draw on Mars experience to get an idea of what can be achieved. There's a big difference between the 30% plus I am claiming and the 9% Bobunf is putting forward.

Do you have any info on what efficiency levels (as opposed to watt hours) have been achieved on Mars?

#6902 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Solar Federal Republic » 2008-05-14 20:18:46

Kalbfus -

Your assuming that consciousness will survive transfer to electronic forms. There is no evidence of that.

Consciousness is poorly understood.

If we are not conscious "we" do not exist.

That is how I distinguish between "good" and "bad" technology in this area - we must preserve our consciousness. To be robotised would be simply suicidal.

#6903 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » what do you think aliens would look like? - like what color, how tall.....etc. » 2008-05-14 20:14:12

Depends. I've always been taken by the idea that squid type creatures could develop high intelligence.

These creatures would prefer an aquatic environment of course. They would maybe have a "breast plate" with pigmented cells that evolve into a kind of written speech i.e. they can will patterns to appear. They would have several tentacles but with one or more highly developed for gripping and so on. Tehy would have a very large brain.

#6904 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Relativity of light - light at light speed » 2008-05-14 20:09:22

It took me a long while to establish that the special relativity theory applies only to bodies that aren't accelerating or decelerating - that's why it's called the special theory because it relates to special conditions. The reason it took so long was that it is never mentioned in primers or popular science books. But for all other bodies i.e. all bodies in the cosmos (!) which are of course accelerating and decelerating all the time relativity doesn't apply.

I was sparked into thinking about this by realising that of course we EXPERIENCE the forces of acceleration and deceleration and so we KNOW if we are moving away from the platform (though for a few seconds it might take the brain  a while to notice the forces).

#6905 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-14 19:11:59

Bobunf -

I think it's you who are confused. They are charging the batteries for the 4 hours (and they do to a certain extent track the sun). For the rest of the time they are on the move.  That's my understanding.

No, we're at 30% plus efficiency I think.  It's just for a limited time.

I'll see if I can get you a citation because obviously you're not going to believe my recollections.

#6906 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-14 13:12:59

Don't be cheeky Bobunf!

I'm v. critical.

However NASA have been very clear that the Mars Rovers operate for only four hours max. a day, so if you want to dispute that you will need to provide some evidence.

See this article for efficiency of over 40% being achieved -

http://www.reuk.co.uk/40-Percent-Effici … Panels.htm

The Mars Rover panels would have been state of the art when designed in  2000-2002 I guess. So would not seem impossible for them to achieve 30% around that time I think. 

I have just seen an efficiency claim for ultra thin of over 19% which is also v. encouraging.

#6907 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-14 01:50:34

From Wikipedia: "the rovers' power supplies hovered between 300 watt-hours and 900 watt-hours per day, depending on dust coverage. "

Looks like I fell victim to the watts v watt-hours beginner's mistake - apologies for that (or it might have been the writer I read did, since i understand the difference!). On a  four hour session  looks like it was achieving between 75 watts and 225watts.

One point though, with a human mission the figures achieved are likely to be more towards the higher end because we will be able to do something about dust coverage.

#6908 Re: Human missions » Problems with Humans on Mars » 2008-05-14 01:16:51

Thanks for that Jon. It confirms my impression that this is a lot about competition for scarce resources within the scientific/technological/business community.  There is nothing odd about that - it is perfectly natural. But as tends to happen I think some people have ended up arguing a little dishonestly (again, that happens on all sides).

I don't think that there can be any doubt that, as you say, kg for kg, humans make by far the better explorers, being so versatile and so well able to zero in on the important.

The real question in the human v robots debate is the cost of getting humans to location X which with current technology is always going to favour robots. That said, if you were to look at the relative cost in terms of knowledge output, I think the calculation would favour humans. I mean - how many robots would you have to put on Mars to replicate the abilities of one trained geologist with his mobility, a laptop, a knapsack and a spade? I think you'd probably be talking in terms of 20 or 30 separate machines working for just 4 hours a day if you are lucky and even then they would have to avoid certain types of terrain.

#6909 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-13 17:39:18

Mars Rovers achieved peak performance of 300 watts per hour over 4 hours I believe. I think the panel area was about 1.2 sq. metres giving about 2.5 megawatts per hour four hours for an array covering 10,000 square metres i.e. average 0.4 megawatt per hour over a 24 hour period.  But that could probably be doubled with 12 hour operation from static arrays giving 0.8 megawatt per hour average over the whole day/sol.  So 800 KWs on a 24 hour basis - a lot of energy.

Given insolation at the earth surface is 1000 watts per square metre ,insolation on Mars is unlikely to be higher (even though the thin atmosphere makes up in large part for the additional distance from the sun). So, I think the Mars Rover panels must have been operating at 30% efficiency or more.

It would be great if we could get some accurate figures on ultrathin PV film. It's difficult to get performance info - but it would probably be a lot less than 30% - 10% might be a reasonable estimate at this stage - giving  a figure of about 270KWs for an area 100x100 metres.  The mass involved would probably be around 500Kgs. Very good going I would say - and we could cover larger areas if we wished.  But we probably need to balance area covered with effective storage. Chemical batteries would be part of the solution.  Not sure how easy it would be to manufacture methane on the moon. Need to look into that.

#6910 Re: Life support systems » Apartment Concept » 2008-05-12 17:48:44

One method of dome construction could be to create a sphere resting in a hemisphere hollowed out of the regolith. This wouldn't  need anchoring - water or regolith could be used as ballast at the bottom. Hydroponic farms using artificial lighting could occupy the lower levels of the sphere.

#6911 Re: Life support systems » Light bulbs » 2008-05-12 17:43:09

Gregori -

You say:

"There wouldn't be INSITU production of lighting and electronic devices for colonies smaller than 10 000 residents. It doesn't make practical or economic sense. "

I think you may be applying earth economics here rather than Mars economics. In terms of Mars economics the aim is to reduce the mass of supplies to Mars, since that is where all the real costs are.  We will have the machines, the materials and the energy to manufacture electrical devices such as electric motors, light bulbs, cable and so on. It will make economic sense to do so. The initial colonists won't have many needs. They won't be jetting off on holiday, or wearing a wide range of clothing, or driving personal cars...But among their simple needs will be electrical equipment.

#6912 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-12 15:51:47

"Five thousand or even ten thousand square meters of PV panels seems quite feasible."

I agree Bobunf.  In fact with ultra thin PV film and no weather we can cover large areas easily. Although there may be some reduction in efficiency compared with standard solar panels, the reduction in mass would still make the use of film desirable. 

Ciclops -

Food production could be conducted on a near closed loop as far as water and nutrition is concerned, supplement with some lunar-sourced nutrients.  I think we can move straight into food production. You take hydroponic equipment, water, and nutritional solution and an inflatable facility. The advantage is that once it is up and running you can make proper use of all waste matter - faeces and food scraps to recycle. If you don't have a food production facility, you don't have that recycling opportunity and you are having to resupply from earth.  I think you could probably get a useful facility up and running with 200 litres of water. It's better to ship that in if necessary than not to set up crop production.

#6913 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-12 06:25:41

1.  Well, yes, but there's no reason we can't run with a "peaks of light" location or simply use energy storage.   Arriving at the start of a 2 weeks lunar day will provide plenty of opportunity for energy storage. A habitat can in any case run on v. little energy during the lunar night. I would, for a variety of reasons, much prefer to start with the aim of making full use of solar energy.

2. Of course water needs to be produced first. But if we can't begin producing that within a few days of landing, either through tapping a water source or manufacturing it from regolith, then the outlook isn't too good. In other words I would fully expect water to be available in copious quantities at an early stage and therefore also available for agriculture.

#6914 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2008-05-12 04:32:38

Interesting ISRU outline. Broadly, looks OK.

Couple of points:-

1. I can't for the life of me think why you would bother with a nuclear reactor on the moon, given there is no weather there. It is perfect for ultra thin PV film, which already exists and which can no doubt be made even more efficient over the next ten years.

2. I would argue for moving straight into crop production as food is one of the greatest contributors to mass in terms of what needs to be supplied. Once you get your hydroponic facility going waste matter can be recycled into nutritional solutions.

#6915 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Solar Federal Republic » 2008-05-12 01:59:03

Stormrage -

Bet you had to use some research to come up with that one! I'll give you that as possibly the only example.

In future I shall amend my statement to "Where a democracy launched an invasion of another democratic country." 

Even if there are one or two, I think one can mulutiply by a 100 the examples of non-democratic nations launching wars on each other or on democracies. Also, non-democratic nations are far more prone to serious internal civil war.

#6916 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Solar Federal Republic » 2008-05-11 15:49:43

"Actually no one owned the land, it was just there. The Indians in North America didn't recognize property rights, they just lived there and roamed the land freely."

That is a very ignorant view TK.  A large proportion - probably half (my guess) of the Native Americans in what is now the USA were settled farmers, some with quite sizeable permanent settlements. Remember it was the Native Americans who kept the Pilgrim Fathers alive with their farm produce.

What we think of as the archetypal Red Indian - freely roaming the plains on horseback - was a consequence of European intervention. Prior to the arrival of the horse on the continent - introduced by the Spanish - the Native Americans had little mobility and were much more settled.

Even the Plains Indian recognised communal property rights - "these are our hunting grounds".  When the land was stolen by the USA it was usually simply taken into a different communal ownership i.e. federal state ownership.

#6917 Re: Life support systems » Light bulbs » 2008-05-11 14:29:46

Well we have to get into definitions, don't we. 

I tend to think of the "Initial Colony" as being that phase of its development from initial landing to about 100 residents.

I would agree that for the initial landing and maybe for one or two after that we would simply import light bulbs.  But beyond that we are going to have glass blowing and  metal working capabilities. Given that there seems no reason why we shouldn't programme our machines to produce a few light bulbs.

#6918 Re: Not So Free Chat » Did Iran become a player in space ? » 2008-05-11 14:24:10

Depends where you live Terraformer. If you live in Saudi Arabia they'll come round, tear down your tower, arrest all the congregation, put you all in prison and give you 500 lashes or similar.

If you live in the USA they'll probably accept it.  Muslim scholars  distinguish between the Land of Islam (where Muslims rule) and the Land of War (where Muslims are not in control).

I'm stopping there whatever anyone comes back with.  I don't want to ruin this lovely space forum with such considerations.

#6919 Re: Not So Free Chat » Did Iran become a player in space ? » 2008-05-11 08:07:31

Well, just as we see Muslim scholars take seriously the problem of in which direction to pray when orbiting space I think you will find they will also take seriously the Shariah injunction that no Christian Church should exceed in height a Muslim place of worship.

#6920 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Mass People Transport » 2008-05-10 19:06:53

I agree with you Gregori about the importance of ISRU on the moon. If I've got this right, it doesn't take a lot of energy to propel a large craft with lots of consumables on board from earth orbit to Mars orbit. I think if we can grow a lot of the food on the Moon, that will make the problem more tractable.

Deep sleep technology will at some point become a reality (we already have medical procedures where people have been kept alive through deep freezing). However, I think we better assume that for the foreseeable future our pioneers will be fully conscious - and hungry.

Regarding water and air, I've found it difficult to get accurate figures on recycling. I mean 90% recycling doesn't mean much unless you know over what time cycle. Figures can be rather ambiguous.

#6921 Re: Life support systems » Apartment Concept » 2008-05-10 15:59:17

Lovely images!

Anything we build on Mars should ideally look good and these do!

Obviously not a candidate for early development.  I would doubt anything like this would ever be built on Mars. I think we will find more efficient ways for creating "mini atmospheres" (e.g. closing over canyons or craters).  Domes constructed of hexagonal or triangular panels remain favourite for intermediate development I would say.

However, let's run with your idea - how would you construct that huge glass or plastic dome?

#6922 Re: Life support systems » Light bulbs » 2008-05-10 15:52:39

I'm looking at this from the point of view of an initial colony where we want to minimise the manufacturing base. I don't think there's much point in leaping on to solar system wide industrial production.

#6923 Re: Not So Free Chat » Did Iran become a player in space ? » 2008-05-10 15:48:27

Gregori -

Don't show your ignorance of Islam.  Shariah law is based on the idea of extrapolating from previous practice when confronted with new circumstances or new technology.

Would Muslims tolerate a Christian evangelist balloon over Mecca? No - of course not, even though balloons did not exist when Shariah was first formulated.  Would Muslims be happy with a geo stationary Christian evangelist radio satellite directly over Mecca? - I very much doubt it.

While my question may seem absurd, be assured it is NOT absurd for Muslim scholars. They will find very troubling the idea that a Christian "Church" could be above Muslim buildings in this way.

#6924 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Mass People Transport » 2008-05-10 14:26:40

I'd like to throw in some ideas from other threads.

I think part of the solution will be ISRU on the moon, so we manufacture both rocket fuel and a simple "space bus" housing maybe 30 people.  The space bus might be assembled in lunar orbit following a number of launches by a dedicated vehicle.  Once assembled the space bus is towed from lunar orbit to earth orbit.

We then launch the Mars lander from earth. The lander - which all the complicate machinery on board is attached to the space bus (which will be attached to the front of the lander). When in Mars orbit, the space bus and lander detach and people are taken down five at a time say. There will be a number of landers already on Mars and rocket fuel will be being produced on Mars. So a number of landers will go up and meet the "space bus" and bring people down over the course of say 2 to 3 days.

Once launched, Mars landers never return to earth, they only ever enter low earth orbit. People return to earth in two person  "Pods".  People are transferred to the space bus from dedicated stripped down personnel launch vehicles.

#6925 Re: Not So Free Chat » Did Iran become a player in space ? » 2008-05-10 14:14:29

Stormrage -

Since on earth according to Shariah law no building of a non-Muslim religion can be taller than a Mosque, do you think only Muslim space craft should be allowed to fly in the highest orbits?

lol

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