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#651 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-21 07:48:15

There are many issues docking ships with solar panels so close...

my article/idea is not a "project" but only a "concept" that (of course) needs MANY changes in a real flight

it's only a way to suggest to don't "reinvent the wheel" and spend 7+ years and many billion$$$$$$ to build something of already available

about the SLV... if the Shenzhou will be used for the moon missions a single capsule can simply fly on the top of the SLV (since, now, I suggest a 3-astronauts moon mission while, in december 2005, I've only suggested to use the Shenzhou with the 4-astronauts mission/LSAM)

Shenzhou is still out with regards to how good of a ship it is. As for compairing there ship costs and not adjusting it for real wage differential no claim to a savings should be suggested as the web page does.

you know that the Shenzhou don't come from the zero... it derives from the Soyuz and use its simple, but reliable, technology and navigation system that works well in 100+ Soyuz and Progress launches (also ESA and Japan will use the russian navigation system for their ATV and HIIA) updated with to-day's technology

about the launch price... if China sells one Shenzhou launch for $110 million, this IS the price of a Shenzhou launch for every country will buy it!

why this rule is valid when buying a PC "made-in-China" while it is NOT to buy a Shenzhou?

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#652 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-21 07:27:02

Pricing engines 5 SSME's at even 65 million a piece is closure to the reality, a new ET at even 50 million or more since it needs to be bigger and with a thicker outer jacket and then 2 SRB's of the 4 segment type being roughly 40 million each. This will then put then the cost of what would be the first stage at more than 400 million since you still need all the support structure and hardware to make it work.

we can do many discussions about engines' costs but they are completely useless for two reason

1. we don't know the REAL costs of these parts

I read different prices on different forums/articles, also, we don't know if an expendable engine will cost less than a reusable one (and how much), if the engine can falls its price of 10, 20, 30 million (since it will be built in dozens units) or if its price will grows due to inflation, R&D costs, etc.

2. the low cost of the engines/tanks is NOT the main advantage/saving of the single-rocket-single-launch architecture

the MAIN advantages are: the giant saving of time to build one rocket instead of two, launch the first moon mission sooner, launch 50% more missions per year (and in total) with the same funds, etc.

and the GIANT money saving of the FAST-SLV (with 4-seg. SRB) don't come from the use of one or another engines, but from:

no CLV to build = 7-10 years of (part of the) NASA budget saved, $5 billion of the (base) R&D costs of the CLV, $2 billion of the (extra) R&D costs for the 5-segments SRB (that my FAST-SLV don't need), $300+ million of hardware, assembly, earth support, etc. multiplied by 20+ CLV launches, etc.

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#653 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-20 15:12:43

CaLV/Soyuz to the MOON now--then CEV later.

Six months ago I've suggested to use the Shenzhou as low cost (and ready available!) capsule for moon missions in my article www.gaetanomarano.it/LSAMshenzhou/lsamshenzhou.html but, when I've posted my idea on a space-forum, I've received lots of critics, insults and irony.

But, only a few months after my article/posts... NASA decides to build an adaptor to dock with the Shenzhou for emergency or co-missions, Griffin accepts the invite of the China's space agency and will go in China this year, China asks to be an ISS' international partner and to docks it ...and all these things happen only this year...

I think that the Shenzhou is better than Soyuz because it is made with to-day's technology (like the future Digital-Soyuz), has a 15% larger internal volume, its life support time is sufficient for the moon-earth travel and each launch (capsule+rocket+support) costs only $110 million (about 1/10th of a 2014's CEV launch!)

of course, it need some changes for a moon mission: a new earth-moon-earth navigation system, a remote-controlled (from earth or LSAM) flight control and an ugraded Service Module with 2.5 tons of extra propellant for Trans Earth Injection

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#654 Re: Human missions » Engine Pod Economics » 2006-05-19 05:04:53

.

build a recoverable-engines-pod is NOT a bad idea (it was, first, developed by Boeing for a possible cargo-Shuttle)

but, of course, it is a technology that needs time and money to become safe and reliable

now, the best way is to use expendable engines for the CaLV (or SLV or FAST-SLV or DDHLV or something else)

the ("final"...) choice of NASA is the RS-68 (recent news) that costs $20M each

the expendable version of the SSME costs $40M each (recent news)

but, since the SSME is reusable, it was never built in many units

I think that, also the SSME, may cost less that $40M if it will be built in dozens units

however, the recoverable-engines-pod technology (that, now, is not the cheaper way to build a rocket) may be useful in future if space agencies or privates will build rockets bigger than CaLV (like a super-cargo rocket to build big space stations) and with many engines

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#655 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-19 04:49:31

Nasa's choice is to finish the ISS with shuttle...

finish the ISS and build the new rockets are two different, but parallel, projects

if the latter (parallel) project needs to build only one rocket, there will be a clear (and big!) saving of time and money

You do not have anywhere of a complete rocket and to do so will probably cost the price of a shuttles flight...

$400M is only the FAST-SLV cost of the "hardware" per launch

it may be less than this figure... yesterday I've read that an expendable-SSME costs only $40M, not $60M, then, the 4-SSMEs version of the FAST-SLV may costs about $320M of hardware

of course, all rockets costs "n" billions of R&D, but, building one rocket using many ready available parts, is a giant saving of, both, R&D and hardware

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#656 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-17 08:36:43

we have two completely different opinions

you don't change your opinion and I don't change the mine[/color]
.

Then stop going back and forth, if no-one is going to agree anyway, this is a waste of time (and bandwidth, keyclicks and emotions wink )

the "different opinion" is (mainly) with GCNRevenger and (I suppose) with you

the other users/guests that read this thread may have other opinions about my proposal or (simply) want to read the different posts/replies about this argument

however, since I've already explained my proposal here and in my website, now I post only my replies to questions and critics about my idea

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#657 Re: Human missions » Engine Pod Economics » 2006-05-17 05:57:13

.

reuse the engines is an excellent choice since engines are the main cost of a rocket

the idea was first developed by Boeing for a cargo version of the Shuttle (not the Shuttle-C)

when this option will be available many billions can be saved

its main problem is that needs very much R&D time and money to do it, especially for manned launches

if it needs (e.g.) 3+ years and $3+ billion, great part of the advantage is lost

I think the better way is...

- develop a rocket with expendable engines

- use it for early launches

- develop a new version with retrievable engines

- use the new version only for unmanned launches

- if it will be proven safe and reliable, use it also for manned launches

these are the reasons I've suggested to use expendable engines in my design of the FAST-SLV (despite its drawings suggests the use of a retrievable engines' basket)

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#658 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-17 04:59:20

without a way to service the ISS post shuttle...

as explained in my article, the SLV can be used for mixed cargo+crew launches to the ISS (it's like launch one CEV and ten Progress with the same rocket)

This doesn't mean that it is the ONLY acceptable choice for a first stage engine.  Particularly if you do not recover the engine, it is extreamly costly.

if NASA builds the SLV the SSME is the only choice because it is already man-rated

the SSME costs more but not so much like the giant saving of time and money of the SLV

A role it was rejected for because it realy wasn't suited for it.  The SSME is an excellent cryogenic, recoverable, first stage engine.  If you need an engine that fits those requirments (like the shuttle) it is without a doubt the best choice.  I still think it could play an admirable job in our HLLV if it is recovered, especialy if it is paired with the SRB like it is in most designs.  It's playing essentialy the same role it does on the shuttle.  But it has to be recovered to be economical.

the SSME was rejected due to the time/costs problems to develop and air-started version

right, in my design the SSME is used exactly like with the shuttle

my proposal of FAST-SLV already is a big EELV that can be used to launch big satellites, probes, ISS' modules, etc.

recover the SSMEs adds saving but also many problems and risks (especially in the manned launches)

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#659 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-16 17:42:55

But they won't be..

it's not my problem, I post only my opinions

websites, forums, blogs, etc. exist to discuss different opinions

big companies and agencies already have their press offices and LOTS of (paid) PRs and supporters

Those 13 years will include flying Shuttle...

no, but, build one rocket (instead of two) is a GIANT saving of time and money

But it was thrown away...

but, if the SSME was the first choice, that means it is a good engine for that job

each SLV will eat up >$200M worth of engines...

one giant FAST-SLV (with 4 SSMEs) may costs only $400M of hardware (like two EELV)

SSME is built to power Shuttle, it was never intended for anything else...

not true... NASA's first choice for the CLV's 2nd stage was an SSME...

NASA won't be "building two rockets" from scratch!

if all is so easy, why the will spend $17 Billion of R&D (NASA claim) to build two rockets so "simple"?

Where will go that money? (maybe... PR...?)

on a barbaric attitude about the safety of the astronauts. Its a big risk to put them on either the CaLV...

the CLV 5-segments SRB's 1,500,000 kgf thrust under the astronauts don't seems exactly like do a  bicycle's tour

NASA isn't going to use the EELVs!

the FAST-SLV costs "LIKE" two EELV but don't "IS" an EELV

Building the Shuttles cost billions of dollars...

the Shuttles costs about 3$ billion each, but it's cost is already damped in the past NASA budgets

now, each Shuttle's launch costs about $600 million and only $200 million of them are for its hardware (two SRBs, one ET, fuel, etc.)

the main costs are for maintenance, assembly, astronauts' training, earth support, "foam" problem research, etc.


your insults are useless

we have two completely different opinions

you don't change your opinion and I don't change the mine
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#660 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-15 09:52:03

First you are trying to compare your rocket..

stop the Shuttle is only an extra-saving, the main saving come from build a single rocket in less time and with many ready available parts

I still meant even the dumb rocket with no payload...

the timeline to lauch the first (dumb-payload) FAST-SLV is similar to CLV but the FAST-SLV is the ONLY rocket to test, not the FIRST of two...

More redesign means more time and money...

true, redesign the tank/basket needs time and money... but not $17 Billion and 13 years, like design, build and test TWO and greatly NEW rockets

Again, SSME is not like an engine on "all rockets...

the SSME was the first choice for the SDHLV in the ESAS plan, then, it can work

All this means "FAST-SLV = SLOW-SLV"...

probably, but NEVER so slow (and expensive!) like build TWO rockets...

It will cost much more then simply copying the RS-68 assembly from Delta-IV...

do you sell the RS-68s?

Again, this savings is a lie...

no, because NASA must though build a rocket like the FAST-SLV: the CaLV

but, while the CaLV is the first of TWO rockets (= twice the costs) the SLV will be the ONLY rocket (= save money)

that risk isn't nessesarry...

all rockets and all missions are risky

Each SSME, not counting support hardware, costs almost $50M...

the figure I know is $60M each, but one FAST-SLV with FOUR expendable SSME may costs only $400 million of hardware

it's twice to-day's EELVs but the FAST-SLV can lift 110 mT !!!!

Its expensive BECAUSE its the same as Shuttle, not inexpensive...

each Shuttles' launch costs so much due to its maintenance and problems, not due to its hardware costs

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#661 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-15 07:15:47

NASA isn't going to be sitting on its hands for the next four or five years, they've got the ISS to finish in a "sprint" of Shuttle missions up until the 2010 deadline. You can't consider this in your $25Bn scare figure...

my evaluation is only the ESAS funds (and time) saved with the FAST-SLV

if NASA stops now the Shuttles' launches the saving may be higher

the first test flight can happen in 2-3 years...

not the rocket with the CEV, etc., only the main stage with SRB, tank, engines and a dumb upper stage

Basket and tank are seperate structures...

my drawing is only a "concept" (see the note at the end of my article); the real FAST-SLV needs a redesigned tank and the final SLV will be like all rockets

seperate power generators, hydraulics pumps, control computers, and pressurization hardware and associated equipment for the SSMEs...

true, the FAST-SLV needs its own computer, etc. like the "stick" and all rockets, nothing new, nothing NASA is unable to do

the SSME costs tripple what RS-68 does...

use an expensive engine on a cheap rocket/system (made in less time and money) is a giant money saving

with the (minimum) $15 Billion saved (only of less R&D) with the FAST-SLV you can buy 250 SSME or build 42 FULL FAST-SLV!!!!!! (the entire rockets' fleet for the next 20 years of moon missions!!!!)

And no humans will ride on the CaLV under the ESAS plan...

the humans have made 112 safe launches with an SRB-based vehicle (the Shuttle) and, if something goes wrong, the CEV has its LAS

It will be expensive...

no, because great part of the hardware is the SAME of to-day's Shuttles

The expendable SSME is just a paper concept...

no, it's only an SSME that don't come back to earth......

But if you go with the fully reuseable SSME concept...

this is only a possible (future) option, my design of the FAST-SLV don't needs reusable SSMEs

no engine is as complex as SSME...

if the SSME have made 112 successful flights with the old Shuttles' hardware, computers, software, etc., they can do the same job with to-day's technology

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#662 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-14 06:51:38

Actual CLV unmanned was planned for 2008...

the original timeline was:

1st CLV launch with dumb upper stage in 2008

1st CLV/CEV launch in orbit unmanned in 2011

1st CLV/CEV manned launch in 2012

1st CaLV test in 2017

1st moon mission in 2018

but, since the CEV choice has one year of delay and other delays will happen, I think that we must add 2+ years to all dates

As slow as they have been solving the foam problem...

the foam problem don't exist with the SLV or the FAST-SLV because...

1. the tank must be re-designed, then, the foam problem can be solved in the new design

2. the foam is dangerous for the side-mounted Shuttles and its wings and tiles, with the stacked design the foam can't damage nothing

Does that mean that the engine basket is to be retrieveable for re-use?...

no

not in my design of the FAST-SLV

I've not suggested this option for two reasons:

1. to avoid critics about complexity, risks, design problems, etc.

2. because the FAST-SLV already is so cheap (also with expendable SSME) and so fast to build (with a giant saving of time and R&D costs) that don't needs to add nothing

however, if NASA will build the FAST-SLV able to reach the orbit and retrieve the SSME for re-use (an idea developed over 10 years ago in a Boeing concept of a possible cargo-Shuttle), the further saving of money will be FANTASTIC !!!!!!!

NASA has 15 (already paid!) SSMEs (nine on the Shuttles and six as spare parts) and all was designed to fly 50+ times

with these SSMEs, it's possible to build three reusable "baskets" with five engines each (or five baskets with three SSME) and use them to launch up to SIX FAST-SLV per year WITHOUT BUY ENGINES FOR THE NEW ROCKET !!!! (no RS-68s or new, expendable, SSMEs)

each FAST-SLV flight may costs only $200 million of hardware (two SRBs, one tank and fuel) while, the total money saved with the first 30 orbital/moon launches will be of $60 million x 5 x 30 = $9 Billion !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

the engine would need to probably gimble more than a shuttles would to keep it flying on course

the FAST-SLV is a rocket (like THOUSANDS rockets already launched!), so, it CAN'T HAVE any new or complex problems to design, build and launch

the rocket now does not get to the 110 or more...

by comparison with the Shuttle, the FAST-SLV can lift up to 110 mT in orbit with the 3-SSMEs design (but a 4-SSME with a redesigned tank and more fuel may be better)

This could only happen if cash was give up front to begin bending metal...

no, because the hardware is the same of the Shuttles (SRB, SSME, launch pad, etc.), then, the first launch with dumb upper stage may happen in 2-3 years and the first unmanned launch in the same time of the CLV/CEV or less (since the FAST-SLV don't need the time and the money to design the 5-segments SRB)

What bothers me most about the developement costs and utilization is that Nasa is not using sharing it with those that would want to be COT's providers.

this parallel program may be useful for cheaper orbital vehicles only to be used with the ISS

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#663 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-13 10:40:57

10+7=17, not 25, can't you at least try to be ...

only the planned R&D costs of the two rockets are "10+7" but you must add the billions of annual budget that NASA will spend for nothing waiting 13+ years to launch the first moon mission; if the first moon missions will happen 5+ years before than planned, the money saved is very high... probably MORE than $8 billion!

the first test flight can happen in 2-3 years (instead of six with the CLV) because the FAST-SLV needs only a new tank with and engines' basket (same SRB, same launch pad, same engines, already man-rated, etc. etc. etc.)

the first manned orbital launch may be in 2010 and the first moon landing (if they start now to buìld the LSAM) in 2012

the tank-engines system of a Shuttle is MORE complex, because the tank and the engines are in two different places and they must be well connected when the engines work while must separate perfectly and fast when the fuel ends... very complex

the SLV engines are fixed inside the basket that is fixed with the tank, like common rockets... very simple

if the SRB's leaking is a problem the entire VSE moon missions must be DELETED NOW because the (very expensive and indispensable!) CaLV will use the SRBs!

if so many CaLV-SRBs may leak... no astronauts will risk their life... but MANY moon missions will fail.................

#664 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-13 05:24:12

You want to use the stock 8.4m Shuttle tank...


the tank would have to be modified but it don't need 15 years and $25 billion of R&D and tests like two new rockets

the engines' basket is LESS complex than to-day's Shuttle system, then, easy to design and build

the problem of SRB's leaking is solved from '87 but some additional modification can be made to be safer

110mT are sufficient but with one-two more SSME can be increased

about..."Uh, mission control, we set down 25km from our cargo vehicle. That would be within the range of the rover"... if NASA (with to-day's and 2020's technology) is not able to land exactly its vehicles on the moon, I suggest they move from space-travels to holidays' sea-travels, because, land the LSAM 25 km. away from planned site, means a big risk to lose the CREW, not the rover!

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#665 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-13 02:14:36

.

Dear GCNRevenger,

if you want, I can post again my answer to the points of your last posts, despite, after my new article, I think its unnecessary

that because, if NASA uses to-day's Shuttle' hardware (with some changes, of course) to build the SLV, all (my and yours) calculations and predictions make no sense

the time, costs, R&D, etc. of the new rockets can be argument of a dispute... the time, costs, etc. of EXISTING parts CAN'T

we already know the cost of an SRB, the time to assemble them with the tank, how to launch a shuttle, etc.

NASA already has all the experience, enginneers and employeers to do this job

that overcome all the discussions about the future, the new rockets, the timeline, the costs, the % of failure, etc. etc. etc.

the SLV made with (exactly) the same parts of the shuttle, can fly 100+ times like the shuttle, can be reliable like the shuttle, already is man-rated like the shuttle, can launch safely 600+ astronauts like the shuttle, etc.

the only differences (in favour of the new stacked design) are: no "foam" problem, a safer capsule with LAS on the top, less costs, etc.

now (if you REALLY want that NASA goes again on the moon SOONER and at REASONABLE costs) you can only SUPPORT my proposal, because it's the FASTEST and CHEAPEST way to accomplish the new mission!

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#666 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-13 01:57:16

Sorry but the ET can not be used since it was not design to push verticle weight as it is. A new tank would need to be design to allow for the SSME to be mounted to the end.

you're right

my drawing only explain a "CONCEPT" (see the note at the end of my article) since the payload, engines, etc. need a support

but this change can be made in one-two years, then, the "FAST-SLV" will be ready for its first test flight in 2007 !!!

the CLV needs 7 years (and $7 billion) to fly, while the CaLV needs 12 years (and $10 billion)

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#667 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-12 14:08:48

.

Build the SLV is faster and cheaper than build the CLV and the CaLV.

The way to save 3+ years is to build the SLV not with "shuttle-derived" technology but with the SAME (ready available) Shuttle's hardware!

Full story here: www.gaetanomarano.it/articles/005_SLVnow.html

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#668 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-12 06:24:43

So back to the topic at hand of "Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket?" well if this news release is of interest as the title goes it is all in the testing.

NASA Ames Tests Heat Shield Samples for Spaceship Capsule

the article is interesting but it is about the heat shield of the CEV

the info I search is about man-rate rockets/engines to know the possible times, costs and procedures to manrate the SLV that I suggest to use for moon missions

however, man-rate the SLV may costs more only in the CaLV-like version, with 5-seg.SRB and RS-68, while, the SLV-light, that I suggest to use, with to-day's SRB and SSME, don't need so much time and money, since, the SRB and SSME, already are man-rated and have made 100+ successful (manned!) flight with the Shuttles!

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#669 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 13:34:34

.

about reliability... the main problem is that the 1.5 l.a. BORNS with the "sum-of-delays-failure-option" (and twice rockets per mission twice risk of rocktes' fail) BUILT-IN while the SLV borns WITHOUT these (bad!) "options"; if the CLV will have more delays than you hope, great part of missions will fail

about Thats a 97% sucess rate... true, but if only one or two J-2x will fails (you can agree that the 0.3% may happen like the 97%...) the entire CLV will fail (and also the entire multi-billions moon mission!) because the central CLV engine is also the ONLY engine, while, the SLV, with many engines, will be successful like the 4-only working engines of the apollo13 2nd stage

I think that successful missions need a good design that avoid all possible problems NOT your (useless) hyper-optimism, pink-eyed evaluations of risks & costs and ESAS' strong fanatic support!

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#670 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 13:14:26

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about An under 1% chance of failure... this is only your optimistic evaluation (as CLV-fan), there are rockets that, in real launches, are not so reliable... we will see in next year...

about Six billion out of a... the evaluation may change and may be more or less, but, build two rockets (or two cars or two computers or two buildings, etc.) clearly costs TWICE (that mean LOTS of BILLION$$$$$$$$$$$$)

about And hey, only $300M for each CLV... NASA evaluates at $800M/year only the costs of the CLV structure (employers, etc.), no matter if the CLV will fly 1 or 10 per year... each CLV launch will probably cost more than $300M... we will see when it will fly

about "Idiot"... for missions' success and astronauts' safety it's "idiot" to have only one launch pad, it's better to have a second l.p. (if a failed test or unmanned launch damages the first)

some assembly structure can be reused for different vehicles but this is only the last part of rocket assembly, the single parts need (many) single factories

only takes 24hrs or so to roll a rocket to the launch pad... after all problems are solved (like to-day's Shuttles after 114 launches, not 10...)

two days for the CLV to be put into position, two days for checkout and fueling... in your dreams...

your timing is so "real" that NASA have changed the planned orbital LSAM/EDS loither time from 30 to 95 days (probably they know something more than you about assembly, launch, delays, etc.)

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#671 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 12:41:00

about which requires more volume... if the 5mt. cone-shaped CEV volume is claimed as sufficient by NASA to have space for ALL (including spacesuits fos six!) a bell-shaped 4.5mt. CEV volume is sufficient for 3 astronauts, their suits etc.

A nuclear reactor... the LSAM don't seems to have any solar panel then it may use precharged batteries or fuel-cells

however, with one cargo-LSAM (sent before manned missions) will be possible to send a little solar energy central with rechargeable batteries

probably half-ton of the first cargo-LSAM payload will be sufficient to sent a permanent solar energy source usable for many years, also, when the battery cicle will ends can be simply sent on the moon a set of new batteries, not another central

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#672 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 11:30:30

.

the DOUBLE risk of fail due to TWICE rockets' launches per mission + the risk of moon missions' fail due to a "sum of delays" of the second launch are NOT the only bad aspects of the 1.5 launch architecture

it is also VERY EXPENSIVE and will need more time to see the first launch!

with the SLV architecture, NASA may save:

$5 billion of (planned) R&D costs for the CLV

$2 billion of (announced) extra R&D costs for the 5-segments SRB (I suggest to build a smaller SLV with 4-seg. SRBs)

$6+ billion for the CLV "hardware" of the first 20 moon missions

$15+ billion of standard NASA budget (because they save 3 to 5 years of time and work before the first moon mission: 2015 instead of 2020)

$5+ billion of extra costs for a big 4-astronauts-SLV (with 5-seg. SRB, more engines and 33% bigger LSAM, SM, EDS, tanks, etc.) in the first 20 moon missions

also... NASA may save the costs of two launch pads, two specialized assembly and launch teams, two manufacturing lines and buildings, twice air and surface transport of parts, two assembly costs, two launches earth support, two SRB after-launch recovery-teams (and costs), etc. etc. etc.

not only NASA can make the first moon missions sooner (3 to 5 years BEFORE planned!!!) but, with the same VSE funds, they can make from +50% to TWICE moon missions!!!!!

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#673 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 10:17:06

about spacewalk... Gemini/Apollo/Soyuz/Shenzhou was/are very little in volume, but all support spacewalks

about Lunar missions will be limited to about two weeks tops... I've not seen any solar panel in the LSAM drawings (however, our technology is able to recharge accumulators...)

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#674 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 09:43:30

about rocket will have a reliability... the main risk is not the reliability of the two rockets but the the sum of delays of the second launch

also, the 2nd stage CLV will have one J-2 derived engine (and only two in the CaLV 2nd stage) and in one of the 11 apollo missions (apollo13) the central J-2 of the 2nd stage failed, but the other 2nd stage engines of the SaturnV was sufficient for a good orbital insertion

unfortunately, the 2nd stage of the CLV will have only the "central" J-2x.............. (and the CaLV 2nd stage only two J-2x.... both indispensable!)

good luck CLV and CaLV! (and... good luck 12-only moon missions...!)

about It won't have any better emergency options after departure... I hope they will be right (for astronauts' life)

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#675 Re: Human missions » Do you (exactly) know how to "man-rate" a rocket? » 2006-05-11 09:16:02

about solid rocket... I've read that they can explode on a forum, but if they can't explode, this a point in favour of a manned SLV

about EELV-like liquid engines rockets... I suggest to don't build ANY orbital-CEV (then no need to build the CLV or man-rate an EELV) because only a few flight will be made to the ISS with a cost 10-15 times higher than Soyuz, etc. (I don't think that NASA can spend 10 times the money for the same "service"!)

about old suits... also if they don't become smaller, the spacesuits' weight is not a problem (especially with 3 astronauts missions)

about astronauts... the apollo missions sent only two astronauts each on the moon (and was 100% successful) but, with the (plenned) ESAS' cargo-LSAM, these numbers don't counts because, with months extra life support and tons of extra moon hardware, one astronaut will do the job of 20 apollo astronauts!

about escape system... I agree, the escape system will be 100% automatic, but, since a computer can't easily evaluate the risk, great part of times it will start the LAS; however, this is a too deep technical problem to discuss only with words without real hardware to test, I think that NASA is able to develop the best and safer procedure

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