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#6626 Re: Life support systems » 3D Printers » 2012-01-25 18:15:36

Glandu wrote:

1. Well, do you need electric cables outside? Do you need to protect them? Are you able to protect them without plastic?
For the rest I agree. But the specific point of cable protection is really complex.

2. I don't understand. Sun is scarce, solar panels are complex to build on site, nuclear has a few difficulties by itself, & everything in the base will be energy-eating.

1. I suppose this comes back to the usual  question of "Are you talking about early on or later on in the colonisation process?"  Early on, I think it is far more efficient to take the cable to Mars - presumably we will use specialist lightweight materials, cost not being any particular object as far as cabling insulation goes.

Longer term, yes the colony needs to manufacture cabling. In an intermediate development phase, it might be possible to substitute with other materials and procedures e.g. perhaps you could use bamboo or ceramics and bury them in the regolith.

2. I think you have to look at this in context - even not allowing for LENR (which I think will come on stream within the next 10 years) we are talking about a huge energy potential.  Remember, there will only be a tiny population  on Mars for many years. It is relatively easy to get efficient PV panels or nuclear power to Mars, so that each person there can benefit from a huge per capita amount of energy.  Furthermore, it should be relatively easy to manufacture energy generation capacity on Mars - specifically solar reflectors and steam engine generators.  We can afford to be extravagant about external heating where necessary.

#6627 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Falcon 1 & Falcon 9 » 2012-01-25 02:16:36

The interactive panorama is great  - really gives you a feel for life inside the capsule.

Hook that up to a Bigelow style habitat, supply module, lander and rocket, then fly to Mars!

#6628 Re: Life support systems » 3D Printers » 2012-01-24 17:14:21

Glandu wrote:
GW Johnson wrote:

Plastics used outdoors on Mars are going to be susceptible to rapid UV damage,  without some sort of opaque coating.  Indoors,  just like here,  pressurized or not.  TiO2-white or C-black paints work pretty good here,  on kit-built glass-polyester/vinyl ester and glass-epoxy airplanes.

black carbon is a standard protection against many things, including UV. Of course, your product is black, then. Though I don't know wether it's enough for Mars specific conditions.

GW Johnson wrote:

The cold is bad for plastic items,  too.  Most of the materials I know get rather brittle below glass transition temperatures that are not very far below room temperatures here. Sort of like our winter temperatures.  Mars is a lot colder.

That is heavily dependant on the kind of plastic you are using. Polyprolylene is brittle at 0°C/-10°C. Polyethylene between -80°C & -120°C.

GW Johnson wrote:

Reinforced plastics would do better in the cold,  but that's not extrudable or 3-D printable.  You're talking hand layup in a mold for that,  like building canoes out of fiberglass.  Whether you bag-compress it or not depends on the materials.  Vacuum-bagging makes really nice carbon-epoxy panels. 

GW

Reinforced thermoplastic is still in danger in the cold, if the matrix itself is in danger in the cold. Little less, but I wouldn't take that kind of risks(and needs a huge pressure to be molded). Reinforced thermoset(which is, I think, what you have in mind, correct me if I'm wrong), as you say, also needs a mold.

A couple of observations:

1.  I would think we would wish to avoid use of plastics out in the open - surely the primary uses would be indoors to begin with?

2.  One thing we wont be short of on Mars: energy.  If we do use plastic outside, it will probably form part of objects which can be kept heat throughout the sol.

#6629 Re: Human missions » International Space Station (ISS / Alpha) » 2012-01-22 05:49:31

Jon,

I would agree that if NASA are sensible they could be in formal charge of the Space X mission to Mars.  But I think the bulk of the technology and money will be provided by Space X. Space X do ideally need NASA with all its coms and ground control capability, its launch facilities, and its strength in depth in terms of expertise across a range of space related activities. Not to have them on board would make the mission a lot more expensive.

#6630 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » The fusion age has begun. » 2012-01-21 19:22:58

Terraformer wrote:

Well, this should all be resolved one way or another within the next few months. If he bails out, it was a scam. If he doesn't...

On that we can agree!  I personally gave Rossi one year from his last public demonstration to provide something one could characterise more as proof - so that would be October 2012.  Obviously working models going on sale is a pretty good proof and that is how he says he will give proof.  If we get further postponements and the university tests he has promised don't materialise, then we will have to call it a scam or an exercise in delusion.

#6631 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » The fusion age has begun. » 2012-01-21 11:55:29

Latest news from Rossi is that he will be releasing within the next two weeks a timetable on establishment of a factory to manufacture the E cat heaters. We should have a clearer fix then on what is  proposed in terms of getting this device on the market.

#6632 Re: Life support systems » Chemicals centre on Mars » 2012-01-21 10:17:29

JoshNH4H wrote:

Save the lecture Josh, I am fully aware that air and water and me are made of chemicals.

Though obvious, the point I was making there is IMO extremely important to our understanding of the production of chemicals on the Red Planet.  It's very difficult to talk about process or economics without knowing the specific reaction that you want to do, or at least the final product which you want to create.  The basic point here is that different chemicals are so different that speaking about them generally will not yield productive results.

On Earth, the chemicals industry might be a limited thing.  This is not true on Mars.  Everything on Mars is directly dependent on the chemicals industry.  Every plant, every machine, every structure, every joule of energy will be no more than two stages removed from the chemicals industry.  If I appear to be lecturing it's only because you missed what is in my opinion a very important aspect of this issue. 

Further, not all of the compounds produced by the chemicals industry on Earth are toxic or explosive.  Some are simply complex or not found in nature.  Some are desired for their abrasive properties (For example, Silicon Carbide and Diamond).  Probably the most significant product of the chemical industry on Earth is gasoline and related petroleum derivatives. 

Firstly, with regard to the chemicals which you generally talk about synthesizing:

Rocket Fuel:  Why?  If we're talking about our prototype mostly self-sufficient colony then we're not going to be launching much into LMO at all.  Given the complexity of rockets these are most certainly not a product we will be looking at making until several years have passed.  Methane and oxygen are obviously going to be necessary for a goodly proportion of reactions, but focusing on producing rocket fuel for a very limited number of rocket launches doesn't make any sense to me.

Otherwise, metals (particularly Iron and its derivative, Steel) will be huge.  I don't know why you chose glass fiber as being particularly special, especially since Basalt Fiber will probably be the material of choice if you're looking for something with tensile strength or something to composite with.

More generally, chemical production techniques will be required to produce a lot of different things.  As I said before, they're going to be vital to the survival of the colony.  Rather than arbitrarily choosing a few different products to "focus on," it will be necessary to provide this industry with sufficient capacity and variety to produce a very wide variety of products, hopefully with relatively standard components.

I accept that life on Mars is crucially dependent on the chemicals industry in a way it is not on Earth. 


Methane could double up as  rocket fuel:

http://www.space.com/3774-methane-rocke … ested.html

You can have fuel self-sufficiency before you have rocket self-sufficiency.

Here are some principles I would suggest we need to keep in mind:

1.  SIMPLICITY. The methane example is a good one.  If we can double up methane as a rocket fuel that may be a better way to go than trying to deal with the difficulties of managing other rocket fuels on the surface. If we "triple" it up and use it as energy storage as well, to avoid the need to import or make heavy batteries then all the better.

2. SUBSTITUTION.  Where possible we should substitute the easy to make materials for those that are difficult to manufacture. On that basis, although we need to investigate the potential for polymer production, it will probably be best to make most implements, containers and so on  out of wood (bamboo, specifically), metal, ceramics (formed basalt) and glass.

3. SAFETY,  We should have safety at the forefront of our minds and procedures at all times.   There must strict zoning of chemicals usage and we should avoid as far as possible the use of chemicals that required elaborate safety management.


There you go, the three Ss.

As for pharmaceuticals, these are mostly lightweight and not a huge demand on the colony's capabilities. However I think we should develop plant based pharmaceuticals as we go along.

#6633 Re: Human missions » International Space Station (ISS / Alpha) » 2012-01-21 09:56:58

JonClarke wrote:
louis wrote:

The significance of Space X is (a) that their founder and prime mover is dedicated to the objective of getting humans to Mars to settle the planet as quickly as possible and (b) they are cutting the price per kg to escape our gravity well substantially. So for me that's how Space X developments are more relevant to Mars colonisaiton that other earlier rocket developments.

Pretty much every space agency as a goal of getting people to Mars and to reduce the cost of egtting to space.

Musk may well want to do this "quickly" but SpaceX are still years behind schedule simply to get Dragon operational as a basic cargo carrier.  Their rockets have a very spotty reliability record,and there are not been a vast rush of commerical contracts.  Nearly all their income is from the US government.

Don't get me wrong, they have done well for themselves, but we are kidding ourselves if we think this is a massive step forward on the road to Mars.  It's not.


This is like saying a child who can't read at three will never read.  Space X's development from a standing start as a non-state organisation was nothing short of phenomenal.  Once they have the capability of (medium to) heavy lifting, orbital assembly and a manned capsule, there will be nothing holding them back.

The difference between Musk's dedication (I used the word advisedly) to reaching Mars and the formal, distant objective of a national Space Agency (with many competing short term, medium and long term goals) couldn't be wider.

Musk for me embodies the idea of something I have always called for: a separate Mars and Lunar Settlement Agency. He's kind of doing it by himself.

I think you will be amazed at the speed with which Musk advances towards Mars as the commercial money starts flowing in and as the company's capability increases.  It will be eventually a case of NASA coming along for the ride.

#6634 Re: Life support systems » Chemicals centre on Mars » 2012-01-20 22:21:06

JoshNH4H wrote:

One highly, highly important point on this topic and then two offshoots:  The topic of the production of "chemicals" is so broad and so important to the survival of the colony, involving so many different products, starting materials, procedures, reactions, as well as having such fuzzy boundaries, that it is extremely difficult to talk about it in a coherent manner; Chemical Engineering will be one of the most important occupations in any Mars colony.

Two offshoots of this: Firstly, you seem to have a general dislike or aversion to "chemicals" as evidenced by points a,e,f,g, and part of c talking about supposed dangers of "chemicals."  Secondly, just about everything is a chemical; Essentially, if it's electrically neutral and made of atoms, it's a chemical.  Pure, filtered water is a chemical.  Air is a mixture of chemicals.  Talking about chemicals as a whole like they're uniformly dangerous badly obscures the realities of the situation.  When I put my retainer in water and then drop in one of the cleaning tablets, that's a chemical reaction, but it's an entirely safe one.  Baking Soda and Vinegar is a chemical reaction, but you can literally do it inside your mouth without the slightest bit of danger.

Save the lecture Josh, I am fully aware that air and water and me are made of chemicals.

However we do refer to the chemicals industry on Earth and by that we usually mean the chemicals necessary to agriculture and industry.  They require a lot of processing, special handling - and they are dangerous which is why explosions and fires at chemical plants have been among the worst seen on the planet. We can afford to lose a few people out of 6 billion on Earth, but we can't afford to lose a single settler on Mars. So this is an important question - or rather series of questions.

From the answers so far I'd say I think we need to have as our motto "keep it simple" to begin with...we shouldn't try anything too  complex with chemicals to begin with. Perhaps we should focus on rocket fuel.  It may safer and more productive to focus on metals, glass and glass fibre as involving fairly simple processes.

#6635 Re: Human missions » International Space Station (ISS / Alpha) » 2012-01-20 22:08:50

JonClarke wrote:
louis wrote:

we are several steps closer to humans on Mars

This is all very good for SpaceX but how is this more significant that the first HTV, ATV or, for that matter, Shenzhou 8 and Tiangong?


The significance of Space X is (a) that their founder and prime mover is dedicated to the objective of getting humans to Mars to settle the planet as quickly as possible and (b) they are cutting the price per kg to escape our gravity well substantially. So for me that's how Space X developments are more relevant to Mars colonisaiton that other earlier rocket developments.

#6636 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » The fusion age has begun. » 2012-01-19 15:22:58

JoshNH4H wrote:

"www.infinite-energy.com"- The height of credible sources. 

Have the experiments been repeatedly and successfully replicated or have they not?  If so, please provide credible sources demonstrating this assertion.

Not sure how one can have a sensible debate if you are going to judge a wealth of evidence on your view of the journal where it appears.

You've had a list of peer-reviewed papers. This article explains there were a number of replications or partial replications with those backing orthodoxy refused to recognise. The whole point about LENR is that it is not easily reproducible as there are a number of crucial parameters. But it is now evident - as NASA confirms -that LENR is real. You can be a compulsive denier if you wish -but don't confuse it with scepticism.

#6637 Re: Science, Technology, and Astronomy » The fusion age has begun. » 2012-01-19 13:17:48

JoshNH4H wrote:

louis- How about all of the peer-reviewed studies which have looked into "Cold Fusion" and concluded that it was a hoax or a scam?  I would imagine that there are much more than 21 of them.  Further, is it a fair bet that you have not actually read a single one of these studies? 

.

Josh -

I am afraid you have a naive view of science. It isn't some ideal disinterested search for the truth - it's more often a snakepit of competing interests, grubbing for money, commercial corruption and dirty tricks. This link tells the real story about how MIT and others suppressed the truth: that cold fusion was replicated after Pons and Fleischmann's initial experiments.

http://www.infinite-energy.com/images/p … report.pdf

Read up on what's been going on!

#6638 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Mars Economic Activity » 2012-01-19 07:18:50

Terraformer wrote:

They are if you're looking to flood the market - they're only that valuable because of their rarity.

...and there will be no rare minerals or meteorites on Mars, of a kind never found on Earth?

#6639 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Mars Economic Activity » 2012-01-18 20:51:15

SpaceNut wrote:

Scientists pining for a sample return from Mars have a consolation prize -- rocks recently found in Morocco are freshly arrived bits from our neighbor planet.

The rocks not only are rare because they came from Mars -- of the roughly 24,000 meteorites that have been discovered on Earth, only about 34 hail from the red planet, NASA says -- they also just arrived.

Scientists believe they plummented to Earth in a meteorite shower last July. They were recovered in Morocco in December.

The biggest of the 15 rocks weighs more than 2 pounds. They're worth 10 times the price of gold.


Ten times - that's about $500 per gram then. According to some people such figures are "Pie in the sky"!

#6640 Re: Human missions » International Space Station (ISS / Alpha) » 2012-01-18 20:36:22

SpaceNut wrote:

SpaceX had previously planned to launch a Dragon spacecraft on its Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral, Florida, on February 7. The company announced Monday, though, that there are "a few areas that will benefit from additional work" in order to ensure a safe and successful mission, and that it was working with NASA to determine a new launch date.

Better that than a belly-flop I guess. smile

#6641 Life support systems » Chemicals centre on Mars » 2012-01-18 13:44:58

louis
Replies: 19

Discussion of the scope for polymer production, leads me to try and conceptualise how we would organise chemicals production as part of  scaled down industrial infrastructure.

Of course we may have a major rocket fuel production operation going from early on, maybe Mission One, but what about the wide range of chemicals we need to produce to facilitate industrial production, make fertiliser and maybe maintain life support? Does anyone have any views on the following:

(a) Is it best to concentrate chemicals production in one centre - or better to create as many centres as possible? Which carries more risk?

(b) What should be the main chemicals we aim to produce after the more obvious oxygen, hydrogen, carbon, methane, silicon...?

(c) Is there a way you can group production of chemicals from a safety or utility angle?

(d) How do we do store the chemicals? Will glass containers be could for many of them?  Should they be stored away from the chemicals centre post-production?

(e) Do you agree we should keep to an absolute minimum storage of chemicals in the habitat?

(f) How far away from the habitat should be the chemicals centre?

(g) Should there be special safety procedures on Mars for chemicals production? I am thinking of perhaps (i) wearing of space suits and (ii) having someone actually ready with a fire extinguisher at all times during chemicals handling.

(h) Any other thoughts?

#6642 Re: Life support systems » Cold fusion (LENR) is for real - NASA says so » 2012-01-18 13:33:44

JoshNH4H wrote:

If you have a temperature differential, you can generate energy.  I maintain that this will likely not pan out, but in the nearly unthinkable case where it does I fully intend to eat a hat (no promises how long it will take; I can't imagine hats are palatable and so it would likely proceed at a very slow pace)

Yes, but no one ever seems able to make a go of Stirling engines. 

As for hat eating I believe the Japanese have rice paper hats for some occasions. I recommend one of those.

It's pretty clear now by the way (through a new statement) that National Instruments are working with Rossi on developing the operational capability of the device - which suggests this can't be out and out fraud as alleged by many to begin with.

#6643 Re: Life support systems » 3D Printers » 2012-01-18 08:47:57

Well if you haven't taken a look at this machine ,please do - it seems a real advance.

#6644 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Mars Economic Activity » 2012-01-17 16:23:40

SpaceNut wrote:

I see a trend I all of the economy threads thus far and its all one way back to Earth bound investment and profits of those on Earth.
What about these other directions for investment or profit to be had....
What about the wages of the settlers?

Well let's limit this to the first 20 years. We will be doing well if we have 1,000 people there by then.  If they each earn say $50,000 per annum (plenty of money, since nearly all their living expenses will be covered) we are still only talking about $50million per annum - set against huge investment and revenue earnings in the billions.

I think it probably only makes sense to talk about wages once we have a Mars money economy on Mars.  Initially there will in effect be cost free rationing and free accommodation.


SpaceNut wrote:

What about the settlement of one place to another on the same destination(Mars or Moon)?

  I think there will certainly be separate settlements early on but most will be quite small I think - e.g. mining or coms centres.  For both Moon and Mars I expect there will be one big major settlement.


SpaceNut wrote:

What about the Destination place Mars or Moon to another Mars or Moon settlement?

  I think there could be a developing Mars-Moon trading system. Lunar settlements might find it easier to get some materials and even finished goods from Mars.  Mars might buy in rocket fuel from the Moon.

#6645 Re: Life support systems » 3D Printers » 2012-01-17 16:10:25

Adaptation wrote:

3d printing is one of the slowest forms of manufacture and produces inferior parts to injected or machined parts.  We have a very nice 3d printer and we use it all the time for prototyping and mold making.  A good well programmed five axis cnc with a tool changer can can machine out just about anything faster than the printer can print it.  The reason we still use the printer is because skilled man power to program the milling machine is at a premium and the cnc is often occupied with production work.  On mars or the moon I would prefer to see multi-axis cnc lathes and mills programmed from earth doing most of the work.  The one big exception would be for very small parts, a small wax printer used in investment vacuum centrifugal casting can produce some of the highest quality small intricate parts even from high performance alloys that are normal difficult to cast.

How old is your 3 D printer?

Did you look at my original post?  The output from these new printers seems pretty good, and of course this is without the benefit of tens of millions of pounds of funding that would be available for a Mars ISRU project.

#6646 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Mars Economic Activity » 2012-01-16 18:49:17

Josh -


Your categorisation is interesting and might be useful even.  As ever I think one has to define the timeframe. Some economic activity, although sustainable in the long term,  might be costly to set up.  I also think you misunderstand the Mars Rolex project I suggested - it is very much trading on the Mars brand. It would impractical to set up an actual watch mechanism manufacturing operation on Mars. It would be a finishing process I think - probably putting metal surround and glass on to the parts, and maybe incorporating some Mars gems. The Mars brand aspect would be enhanced with photos of the watch in situ on Mars, and other little add ons (e.g. perhaps an engraving of the location on the back or similar).

Your comments on the valley are interesting as well. I thought there was a point where the valley does narrow considerably, but you know Mt. Kilimanjaro is not that impressive really, it's just straight up but people keep making documentaries about it.

On documentaries, I think you are looking at the low end.

Planet Earth gets a £16million budget: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Planet_Earth_(TV_series)   Frustratingly they don't give the take there but it's clear from the sales that there must have been a very substantial surplus.  A Mars TV documentary will play all around the world.

Glad you see from the Olympics just how much sponsorship could be available.

re grapes - I thought you were a scientist! All that it takes is the right light, temperature, humidity, wind. day-night cycle, water and soil chemicals to produce brilliant grapes.  I don't think it's impossible. The wine making process itself may be an issue of course. There are no doubt many "tricks of the trade".

ON the virtual reality experience we will have to just differ.

Re tourism and the super-rich I did get to know someone who had a £16million house many years ago...probably talking about £40million now. He did seem a pretty bored person, always looking for new things to interest himself in. Anyway I think the experience from both sale of Russian space flights and Virgin Galactic bookings is good and promising.

I think we do need to discuss those categories further.  Focussing on that is helpful I think.

#6647 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Creating the Cis-Lunar economy » 2012-01-16 17:50:27

Terraformer wrote:

However, not when you need to pay off your capital costs... the investors are going to be wanting some return on their investment.

Do you know much about company finance? - I'm not claiming to be an expert, but there are various ways in which capital can be raised e.g. share sales, retained profits, bank loans, selling company bonds, and government grants.  A well run company accounts for the need to pay off its capital costs.  The profit is the money left over when ALL costs have been covered INCLUDING capital costs (e.g. repaying interest on bank loans).  Therefore your comment makes no sense. There will only be profit if the capital costs have been covered (along with all other costs).

#6648 Re: Human missions » Developing the cis-Lunar economy and infrastructure » 2012-01-15 10:47:25

Rune, I don't think anyone would deny that the Moon (and Mars) are a harsh mistress, but as far as I know, no-one has suggested that those Apollo flag poles are anything other than as upright as they were 40 plus years ago.  What were they made out of? Unobtainium?

Obviously a cost benefit analysis has to be undertaken of what is the best coms system, but I was just arguing against those who said there was only one solution in effect. A ground system will be a lot easier to maintain for one thing.

#6649 Re: Life support systems » 3D Printers » 2012-01-15 07:24:08

JoshNH4H wrote:

Louis- Do you remember the thread I posted a while back on the subject of polymer production?  I believe I demonstrated that it will certainly be possible to produce some kinds of polymers.  Polyethylene happened to not be one of these, though, seeing as it requires high temperatures and pressures, as well as ethene (Common name ethylene), which while certainly not impossible to synthesize will not be easy.  That last sentence, by the way, is code for "Nothing's impossible, but I have no idea how to do it."  If you want to look into it, I'd look at hydrocarbon cracking, or, as a last ditch, feeding hydrocarbons to microbes which secrete ethylene.  The former may be expensive, and the latter will be highly inefficient.

For polymers, I think the primary ones we're looking at are Silicone and Melamine.  Silicone is often used as a caulk (if you have a fish tank, the glass is probably sealed to get Melamine is one of the components of formica, though formica is actually a composite material.  If you're interested in the production processes for either, I'd be glad to post them here, seeing as they were lost in the crash and I think they're good to have around.  Keep in mind that polymers will require a significant input of energy to produce and this will make them more expensive than metals, especially more than Iron.  This applies triple for Silicone, because silicon, which is obviously a vital component, is very difficult to produce.  It might (I'm not sure about how often this reaction actually occurs) be possible to react SiO2 with chlorine gas at high temperatures to go straight to SiCl4, which would actually be a great help, when it comes to the production of silicone.  I did the calculations, and this reaction can be favorable, but only at temperatures in excess of 3600 K.  In short, it is not a viable process.  It would help to reduce the change in energy, though I'm not sure how one would go about that.  The normal strategy is an applied electric current, though how to do that is beyond me given that the reaction is between a nonconducting solid and a gas, and produces a nonconducting liquid which will not solvate ionic solids and a gas.


Only vaguely I think. Thanks for those useful thoughts.

#6650 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Possible Martian Export Products? » 2012-01-15 07:17:58

JoshNH4H wrote:

Hannah-

This is a topic which we often speak about ourselves.  It is unlikely that there will be any new (or old) element on Mars which will have such a high concentration relative to Earth that it will be viable to export it.  However, there may be a market for the production of products like watches and jewelry.  These are not specific to Mars, but could be used to help make balance sheets work in an ongoing colonization enterprise.

By the way, louis, did you perhaps mean $100,000 per kilo, or have you changed your mind and started agreeing with me in terms of meteorite pricing?  wink

Yes it was  $100,000 I meant. smile

I think there may be some v. unusual or rare minerals to be found. I base that on having read that some meteorites contain very or unusual combination of elements or molecules. I guess they might have some practical use in theory.

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