You are not logged in.

Announcement

Announcement: This forum is accepting new registrations via email. Please see Recruiting Topic for additional information. Write newmarsmember[at_symbol]gmail.com.

#5576 Re: Interplanetary transportation » 600 seconds » 2013-09-17 19:34:40

Well,  now that's an interesting idea.  I hadn't really thought about anything quite like that.  The radiant energy isn't released until the recombination starts,  but once it is,  a solid content at a concentration just high enough to be optically-dense just might do the trick to absorb it. 

Then you are faced with the heat transfer problem of getting it from the solid absorber into the gas.  The solid particulate will really have to be extremely fine to speed up that process,  because about the only parameter you have to control heat transfer rate is surface area.  I'd suggest fine soot.

GW

#5577 Re: Mars Society International » Mars Society Convention 2013 » 2013-09-17 19:07:57

Glad you're OK.  By the news,  it seems that too many are not. 

Amazing log-scale data.  Sort of makes the 100-year flood concept seem a tad irrelevant. 

GW

#5578 Re: Interplanetary transportation » 600 seconds » 2013-09-17 10:26:53

Looking at the post that started this thread,  in the hybrid chemical-nuclear engine we are talking about adding oxidizer and burning chemically,  after heating the hydrogen through a NERVA-like scheme. 

In that kind of scenario,  the temperatures will go high enough to ionize the propulsion stream quite significantly.  The more chemical combustion you add,  the more ionization you get.  That's the same problem that limits plain ramjet combustion to Mach 6 airspeeds:  combustion temperatures getting into the big-time ionization range when they exceed about 4500 F (2480 C).  All chemical rocket engines already suffer a little from this effect,  since they burn with chamber temperatures in the 5000-6000 F range (2760-3320C).

Why ionization is a problem:  the nozzle converts internal energy to kinetic energy,  but it does not recover anything from that portion of the applied energy that went into ionization.  The recombination contributes nothing to exhaust velocity. 

Somewhere,  I think I saw a proposal to afterburn a NERVA-like device with injected oxygen.  But the injection point was somewhere in the nozzle bell,  to avoid the ionization problem. 

It's something to worry about,  anyway.

Sensible air is really a concept for airbreathers and folks calculating drag forces.  It's a fuzzy limit,  depends on how large the forces are,  in which you are interested,  compared to the other forces in your problem.  Ramjet,  scramjet,  and turbine thrust forces tend to get rather small compared to vehicle weights,  somewhere in the 60-80,000 ft range.  Vehicles propelled only by those kinds of devices tend toward 0.01 gee (or less) accelerations at around that altitude,  instead of the 0.1 gee+ we'd like to see.

GW

#5579 Re: Mars Society International » Mars Society Convention 2013 » 2013-09-17 10:07:05

Midoshi:

Did you survive the floods OK?  Been worried about you!

GW

#5580 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Reusable Rockets to Orbit » 2013-09-15 19:11:39

As best I understand,  injecting oxygen into an otherwise-designed supersonic inlet-type ramjet would not sensibly affect thrust,  but it would lower Isp.  What it really does is stave off the low pressure-induced high-altitude flameout problem,  simply because the oxygen concentration is higher.  It makes the chemistry a tad more vigorous,  when it otherwise doesn't want to be.

Whether that effect is actually worthwhile,  is more than a little problematical.  At the high altitudes where that becomes significant,  the air is so thin that frontal thrust density is already rather small compared to frontal weight density.  Thrust margin over drag divided by weight is your acceleration,  which at low-"density" aero forces and high-"density" weight force,  is small indeed.

If your acceleration is low at high altitude (and it will be,  oxygen injection or not),  it takes large numbers of range and time to accelerate to some desired speed.  Especially for a vehicle that must also fly back to launch point,  that adds greatly to weight,  for the extra fuel that the long burn time requires.  It's still a killer,  even for a one-shot missile.  You are way better off,  if you can accelerate abruptly,  rather than gradually.  That simply takes thicker air (i.e.,  lower altitude).  True for turbine,  too.

Nothing absolute about this,  it's a trade-off,  different for every design.  But,  forced to generalize,  I'd say stay under 60,000 feet (about 19 km) for "best" results with launch accelerators.  Although,  the design cruise altitude for ASALM-PTV was 80,000 feet (about 25 km).  That was a ramjet designed for a Mach 4 cruise up there. 

Like I said,  every design is different in detail. 

GW

#5581 Re: Human missions » Landing on Mars » 2013-09-15 16:14:25

Regarding the expensive assembly in LEO:  most of this is propellant.  If it were water,  the very-strong form we call ice could be launched into LEO by light gas gun for something approximating $100-300 per kg. 

Water could be turned into LH2 and LOX on-orbit.  If we had a water NERVA,  we could just use it as water,  which is even easier and cheaper.  Maybe my expensive do-it-the-hard-way "baseline" is not quite as expensive as it seems at first glance. 

All of this should have been thought out and tested decades ago,  starting in the 1970's.  We could have flown such a mission anytime after about 1995,  and expected the crew to come back alive and reasonably healthy.  The light gas gun thing is new,  this decade. 

GW

#5582 Re: Human missions » Glass » 2013-09-15 16:06:33

Decimator:

Didn't you and I and Josh pal around at the recent convention?

GW

#5583 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Reusable Rockets to Orbit » 2013-09-15 16:04:38

What Terraformer is describing in post 243 above is really an ejector ramjet.  My friend Joe Bendot in LA is the premier expert in ejector ramjets.  I was the expert in ordinary ramjets.  Joe is in his 90's now,  if he's still with us.  I'm 63,  so none of us will be around much longer.  Ejector ramjet never got weaponized,  while ordinary ramjet did,  mostly by the Russians. 

See also my post this date under the 600 sec thread,  this division.  It discusses combined-cycles vs parallel-burn separate engines.  I come down firmly on the side of parallel-burn as something we could do right now. 

GW

#5584 Re: Interplanetary transportation » 600 seconds » 2013-09-15 15:56:34

NERVA "did it" with limited-life and liquid hydrogen at a fully-ionized MW of 1.  If we were to reprise NERVA today,  I'd think Isp 900 s at engine T/W 4 would be quite feasible for a very first article,  again with LH2.  But,  it's LH2.  Problem!

I'd certainly do that again for a first article,  but I'd also start a parallel effort to solve the chemistry and materials problems with a "water NERVA",  as in the sci-fi of the 1940’s and 1950’s.  Performance might be somewhere near the 600 s Isp we are discussing here (not close to 1000 s),  again at engine T/W 4 in a first article. 

That's actually getting very close to what Josh started this thread about.  Follow-on articles would look more like Dumbo (metallic instead of ceramic reactor fuel containment) than Timberwind (a fluidized-bed particle-layer reactor),  at T/W approaching 10.  If not SSTO,  then that gets you a very practical TSTO with a minimal throwaway 2nd stage,  and perhaps a recoverable winged 1st stage working VTO and HL. 

The main attractive thing about a water NERVA is its rework into a space engine instead of a launch device to LEO.  Avoids all the safety-of-flight concerns regarding damage to the public.

Plain water is very easily transported as icebergs,  and is also almost impervious to meteoroid impact damage that way.  Water-as-ice is located on a variety of bodies,  including Mars,  and might well be fairly easily mined,  depending upon the exact nature of the deposits (which also points out how important prospecting/ground truth really is,  as we explore with men). 

Separation of solid contaminants from liquid water is SO very easy,  even if you have to use spin-derived artificial gravity.  My best guess is that any solution to the chemical/material challenge of a water NERVA could easily handle CH4,  NH3,  and similar liquid contaminants in the water,  so purity should not be much of an issue,  although salts might be.  Be nice if our NERVA could handle salt water,  wouldn’t it?  Think 2nd-generation device. 

How could one possibly "beat" a high-Isp/high-thrust engine (with VERY easily-obtained propellant throughout this solar system)?  It's a dream-come-true!

The follow-on is something that deserves very heavy-duty development,  too.  Consider an open-cycle gas-core water-propellant nuclear thermal engine as a deep space engine.  If I had to hazard a guess,  I'd say engine T/W could be near 30 at Isp near 2000 s.  The real limitation is that regenerative cooling won't be enough for the shell and bell.  But,  there is no core or core-containment to damage or melt,  it's already plasma.  (This might also mitigate some of the safety-of-flight issues for nuclear launch,  too.) 

All of that is fine for relatively-small vehicles.  But,  for colony-planting vehicles,  nothing (and I do mean nothing!!!) beats the nuclear explosion drive.  It works best in gigantic sizes (10^4+ tons),  so there's little point to using it in small vehicles,  as NASA "tried" to do in 1965,  looking at it for the manned Mars mission then planned for 1983.  They went with NERVA instead,  and chemical as its backup.  (Lost-water-under-the-bridge,  since all of that was cancelled in 1972,  in the middle of the Apollo landings.) 

Beyond that,  we're looking for Star Trek-style impulse engines and warp drive.  The physics ain't there yet for them,  much less the technology. 

As for “combined-cycle anything” in chemical propulsion,  the geometry changes have always been the bugaboo.  Anything we can practically do for changing geometry very badly (usually fatally) compromises the performance of the individual cycles. 

For example,  subsonic combustion ramjet usually features a constant area combustion chamber contracting toward a throat by a throat/chamber area ratio 0.65 max,  and not much less.  The exit bell falls in the 1.5-2 area ratio range.  Period.  That’s what works.  Anything far from that essentially loses all the performance potential.  I know,  I used to design ramjet missiles for a living. 

Scramjet (supersonic-combustion ramjet) on the other hand features (at worst) a constant area chamber,  and usually gently-expanding at around 5 degrees half angle.  There is no throat contraction at all,  but locating the final expansion bell axially can make-or-break obtaining a burn at all.  This technology is still very far from being ready-for-prime-time,  the recent X-51 flights notwithstanding.  There’s no good way to reconcile these conflicting geometries except by one-shot/throwaway ejected components,  and even that is very most certainly not a trivial exercise,  or a “sure thing”. 

And,  we have not addressed inlet geometry incompatibilities between ramjet and scramjet at all.  They are huge,  more especially in the internal ducting lines,  surprisingly enough.  The external compression features are actually quite similar,  which is terribly misleading.  Failure to get this right causes as many violent explosions in scramjet test articles as does too-low a scramjet takeover Mach.  It is quite catastrophic,  and (so far) quite incompatible. 

Integrating ramjet-or-scramjet with rocket is even worse.  Most rockets have a very large area ratio contraction from chamber to throat:  on the order of 10+.  And the exit bell area expansion ratios exceed 10,  often by a very,  very large margin.  I know of no variable-geometry techniques to accomplish this kind of geometry change,  except one-shot/throwaway ejectable insert items. 

You can go from rocket to ramjet that way,  but you absolutely cannot go back to rocket.  How are you going to change back to rocket in a combined-cycle engine,  if your trade studies say that you want to do that?  I don’t think anybody on Earth has a practical answer to that,  excepting maybe the Skylon folks with their SABRE engine,  and I am very definitely not even sure of that!  (I hope they do,  but I am most definitely not going to bet the farm on it.)

And that’s why I think parallel-burn options for the differing engine types are way-to-hell-and-gone far superior to any combined-cycle proposals I have ever heard of.  I have seen many of those for the last 4.5 decades.    None has ever led anywhere,  before.  Not a good track record. 

But parallel-burn works,  both ways.  Try that.  We can do it right now.  All-existing technologies.  Not trivial,  but very definitely do-able. 

GW

#5585 Re: Human missions » Glass » 2013-09-13 10:13:07

No idea what a code tag is.  I'll try the periods.

Thanx,

GW

#5586 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Reusable Rockets to Orbit » 2013-09-13 10:09:00

The real question is aeroheating damage to the airframe at speeds above Mach 6 (1.8 km/s in the stratosphere).  This was catastrophic shock-impingement damage to the aft fuselage of the X-15 at Mach 6.67 with a scramjet test article on the ventral fin stub.  The compression cone shock wave hit the underside of the X-15's tail.  Had the flight lasted seconds longer,  it would have cut the tail off the aircraft and caused a fatal crash.  Above M6 in sensible air,  the flight configuration has to be very "clean" so that shock impingement does not occur:  basically a simple dart with stub fins,  no nacelles.  There are enormous pressure gradients through the wave,  too.  You have to be structurally extremely tough,  as well as proof against ridiculously-high temperatures. 

On the other hand,  if you leave the sensible air before accelerating past M6,  then you can avoid this issue.  Shuttle's side-mount configuration avoided this by leaving the sensible air (about 80,000 feet or 25-ish km) at only about Mach 2.  There's no sharp boundary here,  the shock-impingement aeroheating problem can be significant at about M3,  depending upon the materials you are using.  X-15 had superalloy Inconel-X skins,  which pushed the critical speed to about M6.  They go into trouble by (1) going faster and (2) adding a nacelle. 

Maybe Terraformer has the right idea just above:  take off on rocket,  climb then pullover-and-accelerate on ramjet,  then relight the rockets and climb/accelerate to stage more-or-less in vacuum at 3 km/s.  The booster airplane is a bit bigger because of the high altitude burn of very significant delta-vee,  but the payoff is a second stage with a lower mass ratio requirement,  so that its payload fraction is much larger.  That reduces second stage size,  but probably not overall launch size. 

The portion of the first stage trajectory that can be powered by the ramjet shrinks in that scenario.  For a supersonic design,  takeover speed is about M 1.6-to-2 (0.5-to-0.6 km/s).  The max speed capability will depend more on vehicle drag than the engine design,  but with missile shapes falls in the Mach 4-to-6 range (1.2 to 1.8 km/s at stratospheric speeds of sound).  The numbers I have run indicate too little thrust margin over drag for the weight,  at altitudes over about 60,000 feet (20 km),  because the air is getting too thin.  Acceleration times become impractically long,  raising vehicle weight again for all the extra fuel.  Every design is different in detail,  of course. 

It's awfully hard to imagine a two-stage airplane design that (1) does not involve "effective nacelles",  and (2) does not have higher drag because it is a cluster.  Both are leading toward lower peak speeds from ramjet alone.  If you solve that dilemma,  pushing peak speeds toward Mach 5 or 6,  then you run up against the extremized form of the shock-impingement aeroheating problem.  This will be inherent,  because the staged aircraft configuration will almost certainly have a side-mounted second stage,  in effect a "nacelle" that sheds the offending shock wave,  and perhaps also gets hit by one from the first stage.  (THAT is also why I see no point to using scramjet for launch.) 

Spaceplane design is not easy.

GW

#5587 Re: Human missions » A New Wave of Settlers? » 2013-09-12 09:10:58

Hi Louis: 

Like you,  I really applaud what Musk and some of the others are doing.  They have accomplished more toward men-outside-LEO in the last decade than has NASA (or ESA or JAXA or any other government agency) in the last 4 decades.  And that's a fact,  Jack!

Once Falcon-Heavy is flying,  it becomes easy to ship 1-3 ton cargo to Mars,  one-way.  That's entry aerobraking and direct rocket-braking with the big thrusters on their Dragon.  No chutes,  as I understand it.  Simple enough. 

Sending men two-way is very much harder without some futuristic propulsion we don't have yet.  Can't beat the laws of physics,  and we only have the technologies that we have.  To send men two-way and get them back alive will simply be expensive.  Inherently. 

We're going to need to land cargo in bigger packages than 1-3 tons if they are to stay a while on Mars,  and especially if some of them are to stay permanently.  That can be done,  but we need to build some new "tinkertoys" with the technologies we have:  a reusable "landing boat" or "ferry" between LMO and the surface.  It can be done,  but doesn't fit the payload dimensions on the rockets we have.  So,  assemble in LEO.  Costs more,  but it works (ISS is the proof).

And as for the manned transit,  they will need artificial gravity and solar flare radiation shielding.  We can already do those things with the technologies we have.   In point of fact,  we have known how to do all of these things since approximately 1995.  It's just expensive.  For the last 2 decades,  we have not done the manned Mars mission just because of the high cost,  and all the idiot politics that goes with money like that. 

Before Apollo was cancelled in mid-stream,  NASA was planning to go to Mars with men in 1983.  Based on what we know now about radiation and microgravity disease,  they would not have survived the trip. 

But we have known roughly how much radiation to protect against since about 1990,  and have had enough understanding of microgravity disease to know we need a 1 gee spin,  since about 1995. 

The slender baton shape is inherently stable in spin.  You build your transit vehicle of docked modules,  in that shape,  with the habitat at one end.  Even an untrained person can withstand spin at 4 rpm.  At 4 rpm,  you need a 56 m radius for 1 full gee.  As you stage off propellant tank modules,  the same-length baton just gets more slender.  Voila:  1 gee both ways.

Wrap your water and wastewater tanks around the flight control deck as the solar flare shelter.  20 cm of water,  clean or dirty,  works well enough.  A 3 year journey during the peak in the cosmic ray cycle is about the career limit for cosmic ray exposure,  but it's do-able,  and we have no technology to shield against it anyway. 

QED  --  we could have gone to Mars ever since about 1995 and returned safely. 

It's been all about just arguing over costs and politics,  since then.  Kinda like Ferdinand and Isabella arguing over selling the jewels to send Columbus.  Just less responsive because huge numbers of politicians and bureaucrats are involved. 

It's THAT problem that folks like Musk might be able to overcome.  THAT is the fundamental limitation.  Not the technical know-how

GW

#5588 Re: Human missions » Glass » 2013-09-12 08:42:51

I like the electrolysis idea for Mars.  The combustion-based traditional methods are an artifact of our oxygen-bearing atmosphere.  Things are vastly different without that environment. 

Dunno if you can simply separate minerals by crushing,  they may still bind together until your particle size is of molecular dimensions.  That's impractically fine.  Even colloidal sizes are very expensive to do,  and that does not undo chemical binding. 

GW

#5589 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Falcon 9R Launch » 2013-09-12 08:38:40

From what I've seen and heard,  the Merlin 1-D has about the same thrust as the Merlin 1-C's,  just a lower hardware weight,  for a substantially higher engine T/W ratio.  They sure sound about the same when tested on the stand in McGregor. 

Haven't seen anything yet on the Spacex site about the redesign changes for v 1.1,  but I haven't been there for a while. 

I do know Falcon-Heavy is supposed to be based on the Merlin 1-D's.  Haven't heard one of those tested yet. 

GW

#5590 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Reusable Rockets to Orbit » 2013-09-12 08:27:36

Hmmmmm.  There is a concept for HTO TSTO (two-stage orbital craft with a winged airplane for a first stage) that I haven't looked at before.  In all the descriptions above,  The staging occurs at M6 (1.8 km/s) at 20 km altitude with a ramjet airplane.  It is beneficial to pull up to about 40 degrees at staging,  which requires rocket thrust be added to the ramjet thrust. 

New idea:  go back on rocket thrust at that point and thrust to a bit higher staging speeds in thinner-to-no air a bit higher up.  The penalty is a larger first stage airplane,  because it has to hold more propellants,  and more of its acceleration trajectory is powered at (lower) rocket Isp,  which compounds how big it grows to be.  The advantage is reducing the delta-vee required of the second stage below the 5.9 km/s in the prior discussions,  letting such craft be more potentially reusable while having higher payload fractions (for better economics).   

The ultimate limit on payload becomes more like that with an all-rocket TSTO airplane design (somewhat like the original concept for the shuttle,  except HTO,  not VTO).  There is a practical limit to the size of the airplane we can build,  because it starts to look like a water balloon supported on sharp nails,  when parked on its landing gear waiting to launch.  Square-cube scaling law at fixed material stress-strain limits.  And wing-loadings are limited by practical takeoff and landing speeds.  The bigger the wing the heavier,  by roughly the 0.58 power of the wing area. 

Unexplored trade study territory.  Interesting.  Hmmmmmmm,  again.

GW

ps --  I'd resist going VTO with the winged first stage,  because that way "traditional" rocket-launch huge logistical tail-type thinking gets into it,  making it hugely expensive.  Those government-type launch rocket guys never think like missile/weapons guys,  because the missile/weapons guys are all thinking one-shot by their tradition.  Spacex and ULA are the commercial exceptions that prove my point:  lower costs with reduced logistical support.  If it behaves more like a traditional airplane,  then traditional airplane-type thinking goes into it,  and that is aimed at extremely-low logistical support requirements.  That means far lower costs.

#5591 Re: Human missions » Glass » 2013-09-09 13:02:59

Josh:

I went outside and found that chunk of caliche limestone with the iron nodule in it.  It’s been in the boundary of a flowerbed for a couple of decades now.  Most of the white rocks around here do not have the nodules,  but a few do.  I suspect the solution deposition happened during the ice ages,  when things were much wetter here,  than the current semi-desert climate.  With the drought the last 3 years,  the “semi” in that name looks less and less appropriate.

I busted the rock apart with a hand-held hammer and chisel.  The nodule was harder than the white caliche limestone,  but still breakable or crushable with modest hammer blows,  far easier than I expected.  This one was not round,  and actually looked like two separate deposition events within the same solution cavity.   The protruding nodule came loose from a cavity-fill layer of what looked like exactly the same iron nodule material.  Color is a very dark brown,  not red,  not black.    It was not magnetic.  I have no instruments with which to measure hardness. 

I consulted my old manufacturing processes textbook from 1969,  and found that the useful iron ores are as listed:

Ore        color    formula        iron content    where found
Hematite                  red    Fe2O3        70%        near Lake Superior   
Magnetite    black    Fe3O4        72.4%        NY, AL, Sweden
Siderite        brown    FeCO3        48.3%        NY, OH, Germany,  UK
Limonite                  brown    Fe2O3xH2O    60-65%        Eastern US,  TX,  MO,  CO,  France

The book says that hematite by far is the preferred ore.  Vast quantities of iron pyrite FeS2 are available,  but they are not used,  because of the enormous costs of getting rid of the sulfur.  Back then they roasted it,  in a separate operation (very energy intensive,  and very polluting). 

The book didn’t say,  but magnetite is magnetic,  I believe.  Not so sure about hematite,  although the deposits near Lake Superior disturb the hell out of a magnetic compass.  Been there and done that:  180-degrees out on a 10-foot baseline.  With lower iron content still,  the others ought to be non-magnetic.

Based on that table of properties from the book,  the fact that this is Texas,  and my observations made while busting-up my sample,  I’d have to venture the educated guess that my iron nodule was in fact a piece of limonite,  essentially the hydrated form of hematite,  and thus very consistent with evaporative water-based deposition in a solution pocket.  The hydration obviously reduces structural strength,  but the basic iron content is almost as worthwhile as that of hematite. 

If the so-called “blueberries” on Mars were in fact the result of water-deposited iron,  into solution pockets inside rocks long since eroded to dust,  I’d guess that either hematite or limonite might be the mineral form of the “blueberries”.  The more we think water was involved,  the more likely limonite becomes.  I kind of doubt most of the science instruments we had on these probes could really tell those minerals apart,  anyway.  The iron contents are just too similar. 

No more than it took to bust the nodule that came from my garden rock,  I have to revise my original opinion,  and agree with you,  that crushing-to-powder is quite feasible,  and with machines not so very large and powerful,  after all. 

So your reduction process looks very,  very feasible to me.  (No more than I know,  of course.)

To this old engineer,  it sure would be fun to establish the first steel mill on Mars!

GW

ps - I can't get the table to space right.  It looks perfect in edit mode.  Sorry about that.

#5592 Re: Human missions » Landing on Mars » 2013-09-09 11:34:47

I really don't think kerosene is something we could practically manufacture on Mars,  but it might be somewhat representative of a hydrocarbon heavier than methane,  that we might dream up a process for.  It is a very well-known technology.  But,  I'd bet we can find a way to ignite or keep-unfrozen any of these choices,  though. 

I really don't think NTO or any of the hydrazines might actually be practically manufactured on Mars,  without a source of fixed nitrogen.  That's a huge obstacle there,  as far as I know.  But,  we already know those propellants can be easily stored,  and we have had engines that re-light multiple times in vacuum with them,  for decades now.  That's pretty much the technology of the shuttle OMS maneuver engine pods. 

I suspect LOX-LH2 would actually be the "easiest" to manufacture on Mars,  using mined ice and electrolysis as the basis.  LOX is not too much trouble to liquefy and store;  LH2 is much trickier to do,  with the ortho vs para form problem perhaps now the easiest problem of several to resolve. 

On Mars,  the truly fundamental problem is "where is the ice deposit big enough to be worth mining?"  We now know for sure that Mars has lots of water still (in the scientific sense),  the trouble is that it's just not "everywhere".  The kind of ice lenses Phoenix found near the pole is not the kind of deposit that supports practical mining and manufacture.  What we need is a buried glacier 10+ meters thick and many,  many km in lateral extent. 

BTW,  it'll be subliming as we dig it out.  Every mine hole has to be regolith-buried when not in use.  There will be one whale of a lot of regolith-moving operations involved in this activity.  The machines will look like heavy mining and road-building equipment.  That takes a big lander,  even if shipped in small pieces and assembled on site.  These things will not be carried by a series of Apollo-like dinky-little landing modules.  No way.  We need real "landing boats" of very significant size. 

They're not gonna fit existing payload shrouds for launch to LEO for this mission.  Something else to think about. 

We have orbital observations of where some such buried glaciers might be (emphasis on "might"),  but we have absolutely no ground truth about it.  I have never seen a robot probe design capable of determining that kind of ground truth,  either.  So,  if we are going to plan on making LOX-LH2 to return,  where do we land? 

Tough question.  We have to be close enough to walk to the ice,  or it ain't gonna work.  We're talking front end loaders,  bulldozers,  and large pressure-vessel process machinery here,  with maybe even some pick-and-shovel work by more than 2 men.  Long range transport is simply out of the question,  that first time up with propellant manufacture. 

As for making methane out of water,  and the CO2 in the "air",  the low inlet densities make all your machinery (whatever it is) look very large and heavy and energy-intensive,  compared to what we are used to here at home,  by about a factor of 14.  My guess is you can make 1's,  not 100's,  of kg per day.  You'll not accumulate enough to return a crew (tens of tons),  not even in a year's stay,  even if it doesn't break down or encounter unexpected problems. 

And you will encounter unexpected problems (lots of emphasis on "will").  Done robotically before the men arrive offers a potential way out,  except that robots-as-we-know-them-today are simply inept at solving unexpected problems.  Put the men there to solve those problems,  and you are right back to the inability to accumulate tons of propellants in time.  Plus,  with LOX-CH4 you still have to solve basically the same water problem as LOX-LH2,  to get the oxygen and the hydrogen. 

So I dunno which one to try.  And I don't yet see much of a path to resolving this in time for a mission in the 2030's,  much less the 2020's we'd all like to see.  NASA has no plans to send the right kind of probes that could locate the propellant-making resources.  I don't see anybody else sending the right kind of probes,  either.

That puts me back to the costly-but-sure-thing concept:  first mission relies on propellants-sent-from-Earth.  Which means it is an LMO-based mission,  sending down multiple ferries to multiple interesting sites,  and emplacing the machinery to experiment with propellant manufacture at the most promising ones after the men return home.  Leave the ferries in a higher Mars orbit,  with whatever propellant is left over,  for the next mission to use.  What's the point of going all that way with men,  and only making one landing?  That's really dumb!

Meanwhile,  we have to guess which propellants might actually be made on Mars most practically,  and build the first-mission ferries to use that.  That way subsequent missions (including planted bases) can refuel and re-use the same ferries.  Right now,  I'd guess LOX-LH2 from ice.  But with an engine compartment big enough to accommodate being refitted with different engines.  And with compartmentalized tankage to accommodate being re-plumbed for different propellants.  That's heavier,  and so is structural robustness necessary for long-term reusability.  My assumptions of inert structural weight 20% are quite likely too low. 

Any other ideas?  Opinions? 

GW

#5593 Re: Human missions » Glass » 2013-09-09 10:42:25

Hi Josh:

There's iron nodules in the caliche limestone rock here on my place.  I think they're the hematite ore we have been discussing.  Not all these are round,  but all are very hard,  and fairly-easily dislodged from partly-broken limestone.  This was deposited by iron-rich water evaporating inside solution pockets in the rock. 

These iron nodules are very,  very hard,  and seemingly (to the senses) metallic in nature.  It would take some very tough,  very powerful machinery to grind them.  I'm not at all sure whether or not simple melting might in fact be the more energetically-efficient way of handling these things.  How that would impact the process you describe,  I dunno. 

I'm going to go out and try to bust or crush one.  But,  I bet I am unsuccessful with hand tools. 

GW

#5594 Re: Human missions » Battlestars » 2013-09-09 10:34:06

I don't pretend to understand quantum mechanics.  I understand special relativity,  except that I disagree that the infinite-mass result at V=c means there is a speed limit.  I think it means there is an observation limit,  speed itself is not limited.  So I think FTL flight is possible,  but navigation will be hell unless we find some new,  better theories for this. 

If I understood quantum mechanics,  then I might be able to offer an opinion about FTL communication-by-entanglement.  I do not understand that stuff.  I know those are English words when I read about it,  but I have no dictionary.  It's gibberish to me. 

That being said,  all I do know is what I've read in the journals.  The entanglement thing seems to be instantaneous,  or what Einstein termed "spooky action at a distance".  That by definition is FTL.  The disagreement seems to be whether useful info can be sent by this technique.  The consensus of what I read says no. 

But,  I don't believe it's settled.  Nothing ever is.  As we see experimental results that defy what we thought we knew,  we develop new theories (or new versions of existing theories) that encompass the new result.  That's been our history since we "invented" science. 

Josh is right:  by our current knowledge and theories,  the consensus is that FTL communication is not possible (although FTL quantum entanglement effects certainly are).  Once we have had time to play with this stuff and find out more about what can be done,  our theories and knowledge base will be adjusted.  That's the right way to do it. 

Whether that will lead to FTL travel and communications,  who knows?  But,  it is already clear that some quantum things really do happen FTL.  That gives me hope for the rest (the travel and the communications). 

GW

#5595 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Cyclers » 2013-09-06 08:51:38

This is actually a very old idea.  Originally,  the idea was to locate an asteroid passing by close to both Earth and your destination (usually Mars).  You land your crew with a base hab,  the destination delta-vee rockets,  and your landers,  on that asteroid,  and let it take you to your destination,  where you get off and do your thing.  Same process to come home.

There are two difficulties.  One is a lack of suitable asteroids in exactly the right orbits (something that a man-made cycler ship eliminates).  The other difficulty is that by the time you have done all the delta-vee work to get on and off,  you might as well have flown straight there.  That would be true whether it was an asteroid or man-made. 

GW

#5596 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Reusable Rockets to Orbit » 2013-09-06 08:43:52

Has anybody considered hybridizing this reusability concept?  A combination of reusable and throwaway components?

How about a reusable first stage core and strap-ons?  Don't worry too much about recovering the second stage.  Entry is less challenging at 3 km/s than it is at 7 km/s.  That 3 km/s figure would be typical for the first stage of a TSTO vehicle,  as they are currently designed.  Use the strap-on concept to help make up for the extra inert weight in the reusable core,  since that weight hurts you worst near takeoff. 

Use a "pointy-ended" first stage core and a "Russian-style" truss interstage,  cheap enough to throw away.  The pointy end is the heat shield to protect the tankage,  and coming back streamline avoids broadside crush load breakup.  The engines at the rear are protected from airloads and entry heating better. 

Stream out a series of chutes/ballutes of increasing size out the rear to slow to subsonic,  then swap ends suddenly by clever chute redeployment,  for a rocket-braked touchdown on land.  Here on Earth with our dense atmosphere,  one can use chutes like that to reduce the amount of rocket-braking propellant. 

For launch sites like Canaveral,  first stage touchdown will be at sea.  I'd land by chute alone,  pointy-end first.  Better chance of not breaking up on ocean impact that way.  No rocket-braking in that scenario.  You can keep the truss interstage.  If it survives entry at all,  it can act as a sacrificial spike to help open the cavity into the water upon ocean impact. 

Either way,  the tankage is going to see some rather heavy airloads,  and some of them will be lateral,  as you swap ends.  Even subsonically,  that is tough to do.  But we have a history of heat-shields,  including hitting the sea successfully with them.  Ocean impact loads are really enormous,  too,  even with really big clusters of really big chutes.  Anything over about 30 mph sees loads not unlike those striking hard Earth.  Ask any waterskier about that. 

Just tossing out some ideas that seem feasible to me.

GW

#5597 Re: Life on Mars » Life might have orginated on Mars » 2013-09-06 08:21:02

This topic is really resonating in the science news right now.  It would appear that the origin of life was a far more complicated thing than we ever guessed,  whether it happened here or there,  or both independently.

That is actually in-line with prior discovery.  Most things have turned out to be a lot different and a lot more complicated than our initial guesses.  Pretty much across-the-board. 

GW

#5598 Re: Human missions » Glass » 2013-09-06 08:17:09

Hi Josh:

I would think those hematite "blueberries" would be an easy source of fairly high-grade iron ore to utilize.  Just scoop 'em up with the equivalent of a front-end loader,  and process 'em in a reducing atmosphere.  Hematite is considered a pretty desirable ore here on Earth.  Mostly iron oxide mixed with other rock minerals,  I think it is. 

Based on some of the other discussions I have seen on these threads,  mined ice could be a source of hydrogen with which to reduce the hematite.  Products could be an equivalent to pig iron,  perhaps silica from the slag (as you suggested just above),  and probably some water from the gas exhaust (on Mars,  one should not think smokestack,  should think recovery instead). 

If such a process were emplaced and operated successfully on Mars,  it could teach us here at home a great deal about how to do heavy industry far more cleanly.  There's a really nice "spin-off" for you.

GW

#5599 Re: Human missions » Battlestars » 2013-09-06 08:08:26

Allow me to interject some humor.  Have y'all heard the one about the flying saucer landing on the White House lawn?  Little green man gets out and asks to be taken to our leader.

In the course of interviewing our visitor he says he's from Alpha Centauri,  and that it took about 15 minutes to get here.  The humans say "Our theories say that's impossible."  The little green man smiles and says "Maybe we use a different theory."

My point:  a theory,  no matter how elegant,  no matter how all-encompassing,  is only useful insofar as it helps us deal with what we are doing,  or (more importantly,  what we want to do and haven't done yet.  No theory is ever "real",  only descriptive.

I think there's an awful lot going on in this universe that we are not perceiving,  just because we don't have theories to describe it,  and it is perceptible only by means outside our senses.  There's a long history of this. 

Relativity & quantum theory,  useful as they are,  have not yet been rendered compatible,  and will not be the last,  in a long line of theories about how the world works,  stretching back over 2 millennia (that we know of). 

GW

#5600 Re: Human missions » Battlestars » 2013-09-04 09:13:03

This quantum physics stuff is way beyond me,  I'm an old aero/mechanical engineer. 

But here's thought regarding the "great silence" of ET's.  If they are capable of rapid interstellar communication and flight,  I would guess that capability depends upon physics we don't yet have,  and probably not upon anything detectable anywhere in the EM spectrum all the way past gamma ray frequencies.  There's no radio or laser to detect,  they do it differently. 

Here's another thought (not original with me,  see the 1951 film "The Day the Earth Stood Still").  We have ventured out into interplanetary space with probes,  and may soon find some means to send an interstellar probe.   We are also at constant war with ourselves.  If ET is out there,  why would he reveal himself to us?  Not until we-as-a-species outgrow being a threat to all bystanders.  Anybody with the capability of interstellar travel and communication could easily stay hidden from us. 

GW

Board footer

Powered by FluxBB