You are not logged in.
Loved the Mars Homestead info! That's in line with what I hope for, for Mars!
A community of people trying to build a functional society for humans, on Mars. Together. On equal terms, as peers (or comrades, Tom.. hehe).
In the interest of science, human growth and development.
@Rob - is it really possible to have windows on Mars? I thought it was a radiation hazard? Or is it possible to make some kind of radiation proof glass?
The "souterrain" solution from the picture was so cool.
Just on a feel-good factor, that's the best solution I've ever seen for how to set up a habitation on Mars.
How hard is it to dig out the hills? Does it need explosives or just a digger?
Meanwhile, Tom Kalbfus' vision is a Mars community where a billionaire can move in and build a private swimming pool that nobody else can use. Tom probably also thinks that people who don't get the right Martian health insurance should be left to wither away in illness on Mars!
While you're at it: Why not charge the poor sods for the air they breathe as well? After all, it's not free on Mars! Welcome to the 51st state aka corporatist nightmare.
Tom's suggestion that people should pay their own trip to Mars is crazy. Unless something very revolutionary happens, we are talking about hundreds of millions of dollars in todays value, for one ticket!
Another "communist" characteristic that's needed is quite significant job security for workers on Mars.
Otherwise what do you do if you are sacked or made redundant? It can happen to anyone.
If your skills aren't transferable to some other opening or if nobody wants to hire you in a capitalist / corporate environment - what do you do?
Whoever runs things will have to either guarantee your job or some other employment, alternatively transport you back to earth for free. What's the alternative? Unemployed on Mars? On benefits? Beggar? Suicide? (all acceptable options from Tom's perspective methinks...)
Rob - what an interesting post! I really enjoyed reading that. Since I am not a chemist/civil engineer/phycisist/geologist etc, I sometimes feel as if i can't contribute with "hard fact" messages in the same way as some others here can.
But as a woman I can at lest contribute with interrior decorating considerations, lol.....
I really enjoyed your vision of making as much as possible on site.
One small problem though: It takes a lot of time! Supposedly they all have full time jobs, as well as maintenance of the habitation.
To take on these types of tasks in addition, is really demanding.
Just want to warn that to make the sofa, not only do you need wood and decent carpentry skills. You also need carpenters tool set, a sewing machine (sewing this kind of stuff by hand takes an eternity - believe me..) and the fabric and material to stuff the cushions with...
If you are going to make the fabric, you need some kind of spinning wheel and then a loom. Electrical versions of this are very large and heavy and need transporting to Mars. Spinning wheels and loom (traditional versions) are an acquired skill. A loom is always quite large.
Making fabric from cratch (sheep's wool or linen) by hand is incredibly time consuming.
I'm not saying it's not possible, but they'll either need housewives with some very thorough training... or people who specialise in these jobs as a profession.
I think it's an attractive way of life, to create these things from scratch in the way you describe.
But is it feasible? What do they do when things break or disappear?
Sewing machines consists of hundreds of parts which sometimes need replacing... That's true for all the other kit I listed.
There is nothing corporate about any of this! It's a traditional communal way of living, like in an old time village.
I can't see a corporation wanting to sponsor people getting to Mars and faffing around (would be their view) with these types of activities - there is no profit in it - quite the opposite!)
For this reason I think the first Mars mission for permanent outpost will have to be either philanthropic, science driver or simply sponsored by national government as "prestige" project with no profit motivation.
I repeat the question: who thinks a corporation/conglomerate would ship a studio like the one in RD's illustration, for a low-skilled Bangladeshi construction worker or Angolan miner?
If there are low skilled jobs, and if a corporation calling the shots, then there'll be second class citizens who get a capsule, meals in a canteen and a cheap flatscreen at the best.
He'll be confined to quarters, common room, possibly some bar (but can they risk serving alcohol on Mars?)
Resentment will grow and Mars will be a rather hellish experience for those at the bottom of society who see very little of the final frontier excitements that scientists see.
Think oil-rig conditions. But two months on, one month off is not possible on Mars.
I maintain that a permanent settlement on Mars is only going to work if everyone has the same conditions and is "in it" on equal premises.
That they work together to improve the conditions for all on Mars.
I know such a thought is revolting to Tom Kalbfus, but perhaps somebody else is able to see the risks I am flagging?
Robert - yes, the studio you are depicting is what an educated person from the developed world would expect. Mind you: The padded chair, the sofa, including two pillows and the ornamental globe will have the most expensive home deliver charge in the universe. We've got large flower pots, paintings and flower vases. The freight of this equipment for a handful of units may possibly work out...
Do you see a corporations paying billions to ship 1000 sofas to Mars? At least for anyone but the head honcho?
Anyone who's worked for a large corpoiration knows that nowadays they are even unwilling to pay indiividual offices for mid level managers, for business class tickets or high-end hotels etc, etc. Corporations are always as cheap and stingy as they can possibly get away with.
Even if only the raw material is shipped and it's assembled or made on site, the price is staggering. Then we have the wooden floor tiles, the paintings, the coffee table etc.
Further: If there is any kind of unqualified work that needs doing: Digging, transporting things back and forth, simple construction, some kind of mining operation etc:
A corporation will get cheap labour with low expectations of living conditions for that.
On the same principle that all office work that can be outsourced, usually is, by large corporations. And it won't be some small cosy local company that sets up on Mars. It will be the BPs, Rosnefts of this world and they operate on profit and lowest common denominator (believe me, I worked for several organisations like this and am very hardened in this respect. They have absolutely no heart and no social conscience whatsoever).
Think sweatshops, shady outsourcing contracts and environment cover-ups.
If they can possibly get away with using cheap labour from the third world do do the unqualified tasks, they will. Do you think they'd ship over a deluxe studio like that for a Bangladeshi construction worker?
No, he'd be lucky if the corporation provides a capsule, a communal canteeen and some porn flicks (shipping a real stripper/prostitute like in your film scenario, will be too expensive - no profit for the corporation unless she is actually an employee of them, and they take their cut of her income...)
And it's not like she can pay her own way to Mars.
The corporate government idea is naive and very dangerous and it can only end one way: Exploitation and fascism of the worst order. Mars will have to be some kind of scientific meritocracy or democracy, where whoever calls the shots about the living conditions is either democratically elected or a very genuinely benevolent dictator who will ensure that everyone is treated the same and has acceptable living conditions.
It's not like you can hand in your notice and walk away, on Mars.
And yes, I'm a computer nerd so I know how to check that.
Then you also know that there are 101 ways to circumvent a geoblock.
If anyone was really concerned, they should take the information down completely.
That said, the NSA has a special program which trawls the internet and targets forums, picks up email addresses, logins, passwords and IP addresses - looking for suspicious keywords and sentence structures. It works on most standard forum software packages, definitely including the one used here. (info courtesy of Snowden).
martienne,
If they want a communist society, then they can strike out into the wilderness and build it. But Mars shouldn't be restricted to only those wishing to live under communism. If you don't want them in your own colony, don't let them enter, but you have no grounds to stop them founding their own colony.
I'm not talking about an intrusive type of communism like what we know from the past.
It doesn't even need to be called Communism.
I am talking about a logical way of organising things in a hostile environment, that happens to have a lot in common with Communism.
The first colonists will have a lot in common with tribes, like Indians for example. They shared things equally, and everyone contributed with whatever they were best suited to do, whether it was hunting, making clothes, keeping the fire or something else.
It seems like a complete waste of time to run around with red flags, have accountability meetings and be a pro at quoting Marx. I am not promoting anything along those lines, for Mars. I'm talking purely about a way to run a society.
All I am saying is that an extreme capitalist (corporatist) view, as promoted by modern USA and Russia, does not belong on Mars.
Would you like to see a Mars where the corporate bigwigs have perfect safe environment suits and transport, live in spacious and luxorious quarters.... While workers are scraping by with the bare essentials in grim conditions where they can't control their environment, or even leave the settlement?
They'd be unable to do anything at all to improve their lot, just like serfs and peasants in the past - as everything is owned by the corporation(s) and they need special equipment, not freely available, just to go outside or travel anywhere.
Everything in RD's scenario is controlled by the corporation! The workers can't even strike - because the corporation controls the very air they breathe! If everything is driven by an underlying requirement for profits, by a corporate government, life on Mars will be hell for anyone but the very elite and perhaps a few irreplaceable engineers.
Great answer! I didn't actually look up the verse, so thanks for doing that.
My Christian background is not pre-trib.
Clearing off to Mars to avoid the tribulation is as good a plan as any...
At the first sighting of a one world government, mark of the beast etc, Mars could turn out to be the rescuer.
Note: I think pre-trib is the dominating view in the US, whereas most European Christian who give it any thought, think that the antichrist events will happen before the Rapture. Imo - I don't personally know where in the Bible either side gets most of their arguments from, and I think a lot of it is quite vaguely phrased.
But there are any number of American Christian books and films where everybody suddenly disappears, i.e. "Left Behind", "Thief in the Night" and many others. I have no idea why there is a difference and I was told that it's not a key faith question.
But it sure is creepy to think of.
But don't you think "Clouds of the heaven" (from the quotes) are on Earth though? I mean, there are no clouds on Mars....
"From one end of the heavens to the other" sounds more likely to include Mars, but as often happens with the Bible, it's not a clearcut case.
This is a terrible idea in my opinion. Corporate government = fascism. Read up on it if you don't believe me.
I remember a book I read as a child - by Robert Heinlein, in which Mars was governed by a corporation. The plot of the book was driven by the fact that the corporation tried to screw over the inhabitants of Mars by skimping on expensive processes and maintenance to save cost. All decision the senior decision makers were in the pocket of this corporation, including the headmaster of the school that the main character was attending.
Corporations cannot be trusted!
Profit is always their driving force.
I am a strong believer in that Mars can potentially be a fresh start for humanity, and that a Mars colony can be free of the things that are plaguing us on Earth: Capitalism, wars, pollution and more.
It's always been said that Communism would work just fine, if everyone was intelligent and motivated, and there was no rich capitalists to compare standard of living against. I believe this to be true.
The people initially colonising Mars will be scientists and engineers, i.e. intelligent people. They will no doubt be highly motivated. There will be no rich capitalists to compare yourself against, on Mars. I.e. initially there will be no ads, no people who have more than others because everyone will live together and work together under the same conditions. No extravagant consumption will be possible. This environment is the perfect greenhouse for a true communist society (which, to clarify, has never existed on Earth).
Letting a corporation into this will be like letting the snake into the Garden of Eden. If you let them make decisions, you are taking a bit from the proverbial apple.
Don't do it!
I am completely against this "Corporate Government" idea. I don't think it would work and Mars should be a scientific outpost to begin with, then a new type of society for those who are passionate about being there, or who would like to live in a society of equals, with a mission to grow the human presence there.
Those who want to live on Mars with the motivation to get rich should not be allowed in whatsoever, and the colony should not be run by corporate interests on Earth.
Question for any Christian members, of the more traditional orientation:
Can you see any reason why a believing Christian should not live in a Mars or Lunar colony?
I recall a comment I once heard, that space travel was un Christian and it stuck in my mind, but no clear explanation was given.
Based on my own knowledge of the Bible and Christian doctrine, I can't see anything that clearly speaks against it.
The only thing i can think of, is that people who believe as some Baptist denominations do, that the Rapture will happen completely unexpectedly. If so, some Christians might miss out on the Rapture (???) if they happen to be on Mars at the time... Not that this would be beyond God to fix, but if you want to be completely literal, and have the pre-trib view, the Rapture is happening on Earth and nowhere else.
Other than that - I can't think of anything...
I'd be interested to hear what anyone who is Christian has heard on this, and what you personally make of it. Can you be a committed Christian on Mars?
I only just became aware that several astronauts involved in the lunar landings as well as some Russian cosmonauts of the past have claimed that they saw UFOs. Some of the most senior US astronauts have also said that there was possibly "Aliens" observing the Lunar landings.
I want to clearly state that I am not a UFO enthusiast and I would normally dismiss UFO claims without any consideration, but it's the quality of the people reporting this, that surprises me.
Astronauts themselves, had a lot to lose by making these types of statements (their entire professional credibility).
Seems that there'd be no motivation for them to publically speak about any possible UFO experiences, except that they genuinely believe it to be true and want the truth to be told.
Perhaps I'm missing some obvious motivation, or perhaps these people are either mentally unstable, or were the victims of some kind of illusion on temporary hallucination.
Finally from the perspective of any potential alien (....with that not said I am a UFO fanatic..) it makes sense that mankind's first space flight might be something they'd be interested in observing...
Just curious to hear other people's take on it....
I appreciate GW Johnson's post and totally agree that the "internationalist" approach to any space venture is preferable!
It almost goes without saying that this is a more efficient use of money, resources and time, like Terraformer says.
I think we are all worried though, that the countries that have the know-how and means are poles apart, look at each other with suspicion and rarely agree on anything.
That leaves the crowd funded / reality soap / ad-driven approach of MarsOne which I think nobody really thinks is feasible.
Alternatively the corporation conglomerate approach which is also unlikely since it wouldn't generate immediate profits. It's also an unappealing idea to most for the first mission to another planet, to be corporate branded.
So it's with sadness that I say, like GW, that it's not looking good for Mars within our lifetimes right now. I mean, we don't just want to see it - we want to follow it for decades, as the base becomes a permanent settlement...
Sorry, i've said what I have to said about this, and then some. Sorry to be ranting.
Frankly it's Tom Kalbfus that sets me off, but that's no excuse to be a broken record.
I think my position on these things are pretty clear.
What about ESA - does that attract you at all?
So, you're saying China hasn't changed at all in the last 5000 years? It's still run by the civil service, it doesn't matter who the emperor is?
Void, the generation that's emerging is the *3rd* after the WWII one, not the 4th, regardless of what the authors seem to think... certainly, we're not particularly materialistic (well, not yet), and also not particularly left wing (at least in the UK), despite what those on the left like to think.
After the war, the era of US influence spread the junk culture that's all but knocked out our own and replaced it with lowest common denominator garbage and some values that may well be the undoing of our continent as we know it.
Given that the continent was aflame twice in the first half of the 20th century, it's very hard to see how America could wreck Europe any more than Europeans have already managed to themselves...
Re the question about the Chinese Emperor; no - he was considered divine, so his word was law. But he was done away with almost a century ago. Mao ended up with almost the same near divine status (partly it's culture in East Asia - compare with other contries). This was contrary to traditional communist ideals of course.
Instead my comments refer to the secretaries of the Chinese Communist Party - in modern times. Let's say, Deng Xiao Ping and onwards.
Re the US influence after the war:
Your comparison was apples with pears!
Just because we ourselves messed up with the War, doesn't in any way give that we need to become Big Mac-eating, Coca-Cola drinking, Rock'n rolling fans of multiculturalism, pride parades, violent & vulgar TV programs and whatever else is pouring in from across the Atlantic. It's killed our national souls. If you are British - just look at your own country.
And if you look at the countries that only got under US influence recently (90s) they have a great deal more left of their own culture. Their kids don't swear in US English and they are not themselves instantly jumping on the latest politically correct concept that becomes popular with American hipsters.
It's becoming increasingly clear to me that the American influence has become extremely damaging to Europe. I don't want to be horrible about it because I know that most of the people here are North Americans and I absolutely don't blame any of them personally for my grudges. But I think most Europeans will know where I am coming from on this, even if you personally happen to love Starbucks and the latest US indie band.
Give me a chance.
Really - that kind of stuff is not my call, and I have my own challenges workwise right now. Sorry to have brought up the details of my job situation - it really wasn't much relevant to the discussion and may have given the wrong impression. I would have helped if I could, but I can't.
Ya being in the 50 plus club means we have seen or done quite bit in our life time thus far. Here is another page where Rob GW and Myself post about our past experiences and ya we hae done this in other topics as well.
http://www.newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?id=7157&p=2http://www.newmars.com/forums/viewtopic … 88#p122488
http://www.newmars.com/forums/viewtopic … 92#p122492for several posts, I am an arm chair Space engineer with majors in Electronics to the point of telling you what is wrong with a design circuit as to why the smoke came out of the parts that just fried.... I can not say what I do for work currently but it has simularities to how space uses a self contained vehicle that must have all the bells and whistles to protect life..
Cool and I have found your posts very impressive. If I could re-do my degree, I think I'd go for electrical engineering, but it's of course not an option.
Yes, the world can be a small fish tank sometimes and if you are in a niche field, you had probably better not give too much away. Big brother is watching and even without that, privacy is valuable.
The median age seems to be a lot higher than I thought and that probably accounts for the fantastic quality of some of the information I've seen here. The thought that this kind of info would come from a teenager was scary!
I'm not in the 50+ club but I remember the world before the internet very well. It's very cool how people from across the world who share an interest or a passion can find each other to have stimulating exchanges that geography would normally prevent.
It's a shame that it's a solitary exchange in front of the computer, sometimes I think people spend too much time writing on the internet about what they'd like to do or what they think about things, rather than actually physically doing something.
As for me, I'm currently and open university student, mainly doing maths but adding in some biology and planetary science. Though after seeing The Martian, I'd like to add some botany into that mix...
Haha!
Do you have plans of trying to get into the space programme?
This is a response to Tom Kalbfus' comment to me:
Hey - I think we all know what these people look like. Enough with the picvs.
Your criticism against China - Kettle, pot, black....
Also; your insights into political science are seriously lacking. The Chinese communist PARTY rules, not the secretary. Its secretary is a figure head with a marginally higher level of influence than the other members. But he needs the support of a a number of other key figures and the rest of the party. China recently has appointed civil servants as party secretaries, essentially. Taking policy decisions is done by committee not by one person.
Hitler and Stalin - seriously?
Stalin - You've got only the Western propaganda version. Most people in the USSR at the time had no beef with him. Granted absolutely, some citizens were unlucky by belonging to some ethnic group that came under wholesale suspicion due to the ongoing war (Volga Germans, Koreans etc). Some regular people wrote or said things that ended up costing them dearly. Some Baltic people still nurse the grudges of their great grandparents who spent a few miserable years in Siberia. But 99% were either with the programme or kept their mouths shut and had no problems with the gov't.
You can find literally millions in Russia who still like him, or young people who look back on him as a hero - despite having heard all the dirty on him, most of which they deny.
That is their prerogative! He defeated Hitler whose armies slaughtered 26 million Soviets. He is responsible for the beautiful reconstruction of some very stunning looking cities in the ex USSR area. He presided over fantastic construction projects that are still in use.
Stalin recently nearly won a TV competition for "most popular Russian through the ages", even though he's ethnically not Russian but Georgian. The TV company had to rig the competition to prevent him from winning because it would have been an international scandal. I think he came second.
I do not share the positive view but I think you should leave it to the Russians and Soviets to judge him (and many do, many hate him). Either way, it's got nothing to do with you - and YES I'd prefer him over the US. Modern USA ruthless, cold, extremely dangerous and much more devious with its propaganda than even the Nazis. Certainly more than the Soviets. Look what the US has done to the Middle East, to North Africa, to Indochina.
Hitler - Well, I fall into the category of Hitler's ideal human female, so I personally wouldn't have any trouble from him, I believe. I don't agree with his racial views or with the wars he started, but the discussion is hypothetical. He's long gone. Either way - the Soviets would have got him eventually anyway! It just happened a bit faster with the USA attacking from the other direction. I am no longer convinced that was for the best. We are still under US occupation as a result. After the war, the era of US influence spread the junk culture that's all but knocked out our own and replaced it with lowest common denominator garbage and some values that may well be the undoing of our continent as we know it.
Well, you asked for it, there you have it. People like you really set me off.
And to the person who accused me of propaganda:
Fine - but you've had Tom Kalbfus as a member since 2006. He has written thousands of posts, many of them to promote his political views. Can you stomach a few posts that give the other side of the argument?
Interesting to hear about your background! You are true space geek even though, for reasons of circumstances you could never work for NASA.
Sorry - I've not got anything. You know how it is - there is usually a special skill/language that's needed, and if it's outsourced it goes to India or Ukraine, not a place like Canada. I would if I could... And I can relate to your experience of not really having your heart in your existing career.
But if you are a programmer and unable to get a job, why not set up some websites to try to make a few quid?
If Putin goes down, Russia could get back in the game and be our friends again. With China its the same deal!
The US is a false friend that's not worth having. The short decade or so that Russia was the US' friend was the worst decade in the history of the country. Poverty, corruption, national humiliation and looting of the state's property.
The US only likes 'friends' it can boss around, like the UK, and friends that will accept being spied on and under constant occupation, like Germany. It's pathetic really.
Neither Russia nor China will put up with such friendship.
And if my country was every taken over by a dictatorship, I'll take my chances with the dictator any day, over a US liberation which seems to be 10 times worse, more dangerous and depressing than even the worst dictatorship. And that's precisely what the Iraqis and Afghans are thinking as they are pouring into Europe by the hundreds of thousands, or joining islamic terrorist groups (or both!)
I don't know why Putin persists in always saying "our American partners" when he talks about the US, when the US is constantly busy with their anti-Russian propaganda..
As for the Chinese - they own you! Those sly Chinese will turn the table on the US when the time is good and ready. And they operate on long term perspective - they were writing poetry and creating fine art while we in Europe were running around half naked in primitive stone mazes. They don't mind waiting a decade or three but I am sure their plan is to become the "middle kingdom" again.
Many people are writing fantastic articles (hesitate to call them comments!) and I am just curious whether we have lots of scientists and engineers here, or if Mars is more of a hobby with most?
I feel at a disadvantage, my background is IT/Systems and I am now doing management in this field.
I wish I could follow discussions of a chemical or engineering nature better than I actually can.
I don't feel like I can contribute with the kind of hardcore stuff that most others seem to be able to come up with.
Who really cares what software is running things... It's neither glamorous nor sexy - like designing a greenhouse or calculating launching orbits.
He actually is a botanist and an engineer.
OK, I had forgotten that since I read the book. What kind of engineer?
Either way - I hope the film gets more people excited about a Mars mission.
As far as foreign astronauts are concerned, NASA has sent a few of those into space including an Israeli, a German, and a British Astronaut.
Yup America's favourite tail-wagging countries. Not everyone is from one of those countries.
The funding is supposed to be from crowdsourcing, ads and corporate sponsorship - right?
I'm thinking - they couldn't even fund a TV series on Mars that way (remember Pioneer One? )
I think it will flop. I hope I am WRONG!
Gosh - checking their financial model, they need $6 billion.
This is a chicken and egg situation. Nobody will invest in something they don't have confidence will happen (compare, sponsoring Olympics..) and it will never happen because nobody will sponsor it...
The only hope is that some eccentric billionaire throws in the first billions, then possibly companies would have the confidence to join up.
martienne wrote:Well it seems the drop in Oil price, and to some degree possibly sanctions put stop to Russia's latest space plans.
What a shame! Always something to derail things...
Well he could always cancel his invasion of Ukraine and save some money there. Also bombers are quite expensive to operate, maybe he could stop violating our air space with them, cold wars are expensive you know, and Putin could save quite a but of money, if he would not have one with us! Russia doesn't need a cold war you know, and if he doesn't send those bombers to test our air defense responses, then nothing will happen to his country. I have to tell you, just think of all that maintenance those bombers require and all the jet fuel that is burned, then their are the ordinance crews, and all Putin does is order them to fly in circles to test our air defenses and those of our allies. Now honestly, what would happen if Putin stopped doing that? He would save some money that's what!
Russia is not invading Ukraine. You've got your head is filled of propaganda by people half a planet away, who have no idea what they are talking about. There is a civil war that was caused by a foreign-backed, illegal coup-d'etat.
Tragic as hell, but Russia did not start it and are not driving it (although nobody is denying that the odd overly patriotic Russian civilian may have travelled there - old European tradition to go and fight with your "brothers" - it's not anything Russia is doing officially).
Half of Russia has relatives in Ukraine and everybody is totally devastated at the situation.
And do you really think that Russia needs more territory? Seriously? And run-down mining district at that. Russia's already got more territories like that than it knows what to do with. It's going to cost a fortune to get that area up to Russian standards.
Finally - if Russia was really involved, the war would have been over in 2-3 days maximum. Most of the population would welcome it, and Ukraine's army is a joke.
China - not likely to be a major player, unless it substantially liberalises. Manufacturing is shifting back to the west as it gets more and more automated, so the only thing China will have going for it is sheer numbers.
Iran - any oil wealth is either going to be dug up soon or remain in the ground, with the way solar power is going. It might have a future if it changes it's government, but not if it has to expend it's energy pacifying the population.
Russia - it's economy is very much dependent upon oil, I think? It's already got problems, hence the need to distract the population with conflicts elsewhere (much like Argentina with the Falklands). I really don't think it will be able to pull off a mission.
I think you are wrong on China. And don't kid yourself about "liberalising". I think their strength is partly the fact that they have strong leadership that's unlikely to change. No thinking people in Europe have any illusions about the US being credible as a democracy, for a number of reasons. (and the same thing can be said for at least half of the European countries too, for various reasons). Democracy is an illusion in most countries. Even those who like America, usually like it because they suport the "neo" world order where corporations run things and American media dictates who's good or bad and where to invade.
In China they are upfront about not being democratic. Plus - the Communist party is a sort of meritocracy. They skim the cream off the elite from the best universities there, and offer them stable well-paying and prestigous jobs, virtually for life. So they have bright, well-educated and experienced people running the country, centrally. Sure they have corruption and can be somewhet ruthless to their population at times. But it's a very competent country that's going places, whether we like it or not. (I don't like that mentality at all, but nobody can denies that what they are doing is working for them, and mvery fast too).
Iran - I don't think they can do it alone, but they could be a useful partner for someone like China, possibly. They have a huge surplus of young and very well educated people. Iran is incredibly keen to show itself off as forward thinking and modern - to prove that this can work for an islamic state. They have tons of programs to encourage building robots, automation and engineering, and practically free energy. Like Russia, they know they have to get off the oil dependency and they are doing as much as they can.
(As a silly footnote I guess they'll have to make a space suit with a built in hijab for any female astronauts + figure out how to pray facing Mecca when in Space!) But it's a big country that's keen to prove itself and that could work with both China and Russia.
As for Europe / US: -We might be able to do it together. But I don't think either of us have our houses in order. Corporations are running the show. EU is split, confused and broke, the US is greedy, aggressive and both. I fear both our continents are "has-beens" and that the future for space travel lies further East...
Russia - knows it needs to diversify away from oil and gas and has some ambitious projects for it. May or may not pay off.
Russia has huge challenges internally to sort, I don't think it will want to commit to driving a Mars project. Maybe in partnership with China, probably not the US or EU. Russia is in arms about how it's being villified and blackpainted in Western media. I think they trust places like China a lot more even than Europe right now. Not to mention the US.
Unless MarsOne works out (tihi) I don't think anything is in the pipeline for the next 20 years (buhu).
Unless some serious space chemistry suddenly happens between any coalition of China / Russia / Iran.