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Ah yes, similiar to Arthur C. Clarke's idea for a kind of mass driver to launch objects from the lunar surface.
Its not impossible but on Earth its also more than tricky:
1) You have to compensate for atmospheric drag which could rip apart a supersonic object.
2) Digging into a mountain requires ALOT more machinery and infrastructure than any NASA launching pad. Even if its a cost-saving concept Congress is pinchy over its wallet cash.
3) If you want an equatorial launch site...not too many stable space-faring nations along the equator. Brazil is the best candidate but it is more flat than mountainous, and neither Southeast Asia or Central Africa harbor governments politically stable or with ample budgets or interest in space travel (at least at the moment).
Edit: And I'm being conservative about that 4.0X figure.
We have no doubt there.
Oh, and for your asteroid comment, its not into air its into the vaccum of space technically.
My personal guess is if we do extract any lunar water the likelyhood is it will be used exclusively for life support, supplementing LOX production, and propellant for surface and lunar orbital operations. More to consider as well: water even in ice form is a scarcity on the moon. There is likely no more water on the Moon than even in one of the Great Lakes, and if it is spent as grossly as fossil fuels here on Earth within a hundred years' time it will be used up leaving nothing for any budding lunar cities to utilize.
To paraphrase that famous saying from Vegas: what water's on the Moon stays on the Moon.
500.000.000$ to change crews on moon? That kind of money buys you 3.000 passenger luxury cruise ship that will be usefull for 30 years.. and you don't just sink it after you ran out of oil.. sure, you can't launch it to space, but you could BUILD it in space if you wanted (remember those asteoroids and tugs?).. in space it doesn't matter how big something is.. percentage of fuel to get anywhere is the same.. and if you build BIG you can always use fussion/fission to help you move things around..
No offense but asteroid cities and free-floating star bases shall remain fiction for a good century at least. Fiction conceived by people who overlook the physics and politics of real space travel.
And the Moon isn't a tourist attraction, its a world that ranges from beyond broiling hot to freezing below Antarctic temperatures. No money-flinging space entrepeanour is going to the moon for a while yet, nor would NASA or any space agency allow it at this critical a juncture.
We won't dump everything - why do you think I support a RLSAM and LOX production? If we maximize the potential of our space-borne and unmanned vehicle cost will drop.
Even if you found mountains of platinum and gold you'd still be lucky to come out even for balancing the NASA budget but who knows...
Carrying liquid water instead of liquid O2 and H2 isn't a half-bad idea - I am honestly suprised why neither VSE or even Mars Direct considered that possibility. The only vague downside I can see would be needing a seperate tank to hold the water but if we're already considering using spent LSAM lower stages for LOX storage then sparing a couple for H2O should be within capability.
Again I reiterate don't count on space tugs just yet, certainly not within the next quarter century barring, perhaps, development from commercial spaceflight. However making the tugs transfer H2O instead of cryogenics may boost their usefulness.
Possible, but I imagine there will be considerable sifting through lunar soil to find the right minerals.
I'd consider it for a 3rd-generation Lunar Lander myself (LSAM being generation one, my RLSAM concept for generation two, and then a fully Lunar-fueled RLSAM). Not immediately applicable but certainly worth investigating and hopefully applying within 20 years of our return to Luna.
One further note...
I will agree on the Point of Eternal Light being a good resource utilization area, but only because of two reasons:
1) Its a confirmed source of near-constant sunlight.
2) Its within the South Pole-Aitken Basin, the moon's largest crater with numerous geological sites of interest and study applications.
Although I do not have substantial doubt wouldn't it be wise to first learn what form lunar ice is in at the least? It could possibly be microwaved out but somehow I doubt it exists like snow here on Earth. Definetley send a lunar lander to investigate directly otherwise a manned architecture bringing in the wrong extraction equiptment may prove detremental.
You have a good amount of faith in the utilization of tugs and lunar resources I must say neviden.
My architecture idea is based on simplicity and inspired by the original Mars Direct while utilizing what the VSE offers. The problem is when you start adding too many vehicles and components the budget gets strained and, also, you have to take it in the political factor - i.e. Congress cuts the budget, or your projects encounters massive overruns ala ISS. You have to deal with the physics of it all, physical and economical/political.
I cut tugs out of the equation and transfered the funtion to the CEV2 & RLSAM for good reason:
1) Inefficency of delta-V. Zubrin himself struck out the idea of orbital tugs or even utilizing the moon for Mars because its more than a matter of getting ships coordinated like refueling planes in mid-air. Assuming you're transfering LOX from Lunar orbit to LEO there's a tran-Earth burn, and then on the way back a trans-lunar burn and lunar orbit breaking; even with aerobraking you need to maneuver the probe otherwise you'd still end up braking through empty space. Given all the burns, all the fuel, all the oxidizer lunar or otherwise, it sadly amounts to spending $500 on gas to bring back home $15 bucks worth to save for the next trip. Rocket science not nessicary to figure out a problem...
2) Beyond a month cryogenic storage is questionable, even if heavily layered which then reduces the LOX that can be returned. This simultainiously eliminates ion propulsion in outgoing cargo vehicles and aerobraking - the Mars orbiters weight mere fractions of what either a lunar tug or lander would and even they take months to reach their low operational orbits. A lunar LOX facility on Moon would manage better but not an independent vehicle. Even in my RLSAM architecture I would assume for an incoming CEV within a month to avoid boil-off.
3) Altogether, it is like a 3rd wheel, and a rule to conserve mass in space is: "if it's unnessisary, why bring it?" Surely the fuel can be stored and transfered between existing tanks.
A lunar tug may or may not be useful - the idea is to reduce Earth-launched mass which is why LOX production is a must for long-term Lunar operations. I don't think it'd be practical for the short-term however, not with NASA under enough stress as it is.
Considering thrust, lift, and minimal development efficency I think we should narrow it down to either the 4-segment or the 5-segment for the CLV. "Stumpy" aka 3-seg. is out of the question despite its simplicity.
I suppose alot will ride on the success of creating a working 5-segment SRB; that seems to be established now. At this point it's hard to tell whether it'll be NASA's lynchpin or it's Achilles Heal in the future.
If it works it'll certainly aid in boosting loads into orbit while (hopefully) retaining reuseability. The SRB now that I think about it is plagued by being "the cause" of the Challenger disaster. It wasn't. It was the decision to launch Challenger on an unnaturally cold day after the STS froze overnight Sheer human stupidity is what I blame. Metal will expand in heat and contract in cold, that's its nature not its fault. Surely human thinking can do better.
[i]When it comes time to build this booster, I was stating that the standard EDS stage used on Ares-V for Lunar missions might be modified to serve as the Mars booster. With more efficient engines, stretched fuel tanks, and docking hardware it would do the job.
I'm getting into this mainly to drop-kick people who hate the five-segment booster and are too easily swayed by how good the Ares-IB sounds without considering other consequences.
I have no problem with the 5-segment SRB, although I find it almost hypocritical how you support it while being critical of its lesser predecessor and its burn-throughs. With that logic I'd assume you'd be critical of SRBs of all segments...
All things considered my idea would be to amend the 'Ares I-B' concept to use the 5-segments instead of four, otherwise it'd be either a generic fuel tank or the first stage of Ares-V - either way with the CEV sittin on top. Utilize the 5-segments' increased thrust while simplifying the system.
Yes it'd all be atop a giant powder keg, but the CEV is in no less prone a position than any of the Mercuries, Geminis, or Apollos were before.
I don't know about modifying anything right now, but once we're landing on the Moon I'd advocate creating variations to let the architecture be adaptable; that'll have to be the case if we hope to move onto Mars as well. I've suggested a ReuseableLSAM concept for instance and you're suggesting biggers EDSes. We may see both applications in due time.
Yes I am talking about O-rings between SRB segments failing and the resulting leak of gasses igniting the main tank on the "alternate Ares-I" design. And it is the supersonic hot gasses that burned a hole right through the aluminum (aluminum melts rather easily for a metal) tank in the Challenger disaster. Hard ureathane foam doesn't burn that well, particularly in supersonic cold air flows.
Anyway, booster seal burnthrough has now happened on two occasions, once with Challenger due to low temperatures, and a second time with Atlantis. In the latter incident, they got lucky, and the leak faced away from the rest of the vehicle and was temporary.
Can't argue with that, but how many shuttle launches didn't have that happen by comparison? Even the reliable Protons and Soyuz or even the Ariane have similar problems once in a great while. As long as we understand what causes it and work to correct or handle the problem it ceases to be a problem.
Plus reguardless how well the escape system works and with astronaut survival, having Ares-IB blowing up will not be good for the space program.
Kinda a big duh, no offense. So long as the ground and the flight crews keep an eye on it it won't happen.
And we definatly, absolutely don't want to change the payload ratios of the "1.5" launch arcitecture! Absolutely not! If you have a heavier ~40MT Ares-I but a lighter ~110MT Ares-V, there will be one very signifigant change to the mission plan: the CEV will perform the Lunar orbit capture burn. What this means is that the Ares-V can no longer deliver unmanned heavy payloads (several tonnes less) to the Moon and manned flights would be more limited (equipment only ~1MT now) due to the lower hypergolic fuel efficiency.
So...how does improving the CEV decrease the LSAM's or EDS' thrust? I can understand if you mean adding mass to the CEV happers momentum or something but on an unmanned, solo-LSAM cargo mission its irrevelant since the CEV wouldn't be joining it.
It would also make trouble for a future Mars plan;
Ok this I disagree on. If I'm going to be stuck in a space tuna can for six+ months I'd prefer it to be larger. Unless the Mars Lander is based off of Mars Direct's BIG habitat landers it'd get on the astronauts nerves - not drive them insane nessicarily but it'd make the job stressful. Even if the command module remains the same size an increased size in fuel tanks increases not just delta-V but in how much radiation can be blocked.
Now, if NASA has a bigger 125MT class Ares-V, it could instead use chemical propulsion (simple nuclear engines save aprox 50% fuel) and radically reduce the cost and development time for Mars. Infact just take a stretch Lunar EDS stage with docking gear...
Hold on. I doubt nuclear drives in space will be reaildy apapted myself so I agree there but I'm not as certain about giving the Ares-V more "oomph", barring perhaps light-weight materials being developed nor stretching the EDS stage. Part of the idea is to maximize the architecture with what we got.
I wouldn't want a 3-segment booster myself, either a 4 or 5 in this scheme so payload lifted is maximized at minimal cost. If a flaw is found in the current CLV I'm saying this could make a back-up, particularly if NASA is desperate to meet the 2014 deadline.
Frankly I think anyone who would spend $35 million for their private selfish enjoyment is a pathetic swine.
If I wanted to be bold I'd add, "That's what a poor person would say."
However I think anything that delves into the millions for personal amusement is a bit gross safe to say.
If you have $35 million to blow, I don't see why not. It's about proportion, someone in the third world could spend $2 to see a movie, money which would be "better" spent on food. Does that make them wasteful? Hardly, we do like to enjoy stuff every now and then.
Selfishness rules!
No Jeffery dear, no... thats bad. ISS bad. European control of critical Lunar hardware bad. International cooperation bad, generally speaking.
I have to agree there, but we should make our equiptment universally compatable. We don't have to rely exlcusively on one nation making this while another makes that, but it'd be handy for a USA CEV to accept the occassional cargo from a ESA ATV or a Russian Progress. Also helpfuly for emergency rescue and what-not.
Interesting argument of 5 versus 4 segments.
Initially I argued against the 5-segment on the CLV out of fear of cost overruns ans developemnt. The trade-off as I noticed NASA pointing out was it'd hasten CaCLV developement, and of the two I have to rate CaCLV of greater value since it could launch anything to the moon on its own.
The 4 segments have the advantage of being proven, and they are after all what the 5-segments are going to be based off of. If the 5-segments prove to be unworkable I'm willing to bet for better or worse NASA will fall back on them anyway it can and I doubt the SRB's makers will frankly care either way since it means buisness for them.
For now I lean toward the 5-segments; yes it means some R&D but it means more capacity for the CaCLV rather than reduced oh-sorry-you-can-only-bring-a-can-of-beans-instead-of-that-Lunar-Keck-3-Telescope-you-hoped-for here-and-now load.
Keep the designs for the 4 though. No sense in mothballing the only man-rated solid rocket yet.
[This "backup" Ares-I plan has one really serious flaw, that it has a risk the same thing that Challenger did could happen here. Two three-segment SRBs would cost more than one five-segment booster too, plus the extra J-2 engine cost. I doubt that this plan will happen.
Of course the cost of two five-segment boosters on the CaCLV beats that of two three-segments anyday, which ought to be accounted for...AND the cost of modifying a 5-segment to accomidate a booster with the CEV atop in turn you seem to forget.
Each plan has a drawback. This version doesn't need a new crawler platform built and uses alot of the equiptment that'd be used for CaCLV - no cost for new development.
I like it because I'm willing to bet it can launch a larger CEV than alotted by the Ares-I and without modifying SRBs. And by that I mean we could stick with the old 4-segments and get the job done.
Wait wait wait...what do you mean? Are you talking O-rings? Apart from Challenger there hasn't been a flight scrubbed by problems caused by the SRBs, and if so please correct me.
The problem with the shuttle was with the ET insulation - THAT after all was what caught on fire in the Challenger's case and cracked the Columbia heat shield.
The CEV would be atop the ET in this scheme. With the launch escape system in place I doubt there'd be any more risk to the astronauts than there would have been to those aboard Apollo. Now explain in better detail what worries you? And I hope its more than just fearing design overruns for a 3-segment SRV.
RedStreak,
We need to establish a long term view of launches to the moon and the L points for Moonbase Development or maintenance of space objects including all the telescopes and other observatories. If we look at the throw-away ideas of the Saturn -Apollo tourist missions as our guide for Ares Platform then we won't get anywhere with the CEV as well.
What I'm thinking about is something practical for the near-to-intermediate future. At the least I have in mind a Reuseable LSAM to cut down on equiptment launched, at least for crewed vehicles, and modifying the CEV for wider applications.
Utilizing the Lagrange or L points isn't a bad idea, but we need to remember the lessons learned from the ISS. A moon base with LOX production capability is a higher priority than interorbital vehicles or any type of platform like a lunar space station. I'm trying to take a horse-before-the-carriage POV.
I believe the current VSE and its vehicles will be nessicary for the initial implementation but once a working lunar base comes into being then and only then should we begin reworking the nessicary lunar architecture and even then something akin to the Mars Direct approach is the most economical.
Martin I dunno if an interorbital vehicle like your suggesting is nessicary. Its better to use the heavy lift and get the transluna stage with the cargo at once, especially if the fuel used is cryogenic. Its a bit of a waste of time and money waiting for a tug or to rendevous with a booster rocket.
We need to minimize what needs to be brought up. If anything is to be learned from the woes of the space station is that building something too huge tends to blow back up in your face. That is why I advocate for a reuseable LSAM at least later on in the VSE, so fewer landers need to be launched.
Here's a reiteration of my refined RLSAM idea, using the CEV as a tanker:
I noted several problems related to the concept of a Reuseable LSAM (or RLSAM)vehicle that brought this idea to me:
1) Refueling - even if LOX is developed there's still the need for either H2 or CH4 and we can't bet exclusively on lunar water ice nor utilize it in the short-term.
2) Tanker Vehicles - even if the RLSAM is reuseable, the architecture needed for a tanker (particularly if it is expendable) undermines the merits of a RLSAM and overcomplicates the project.
3) Servicing issues. Roughly a quarter of a million miles makes fixing the Hubble in LEO look like trip to a car wash.
Now why use the CEV? Or how as a refueling vehicle?
First off its already designed to rendevous with the LSAM. Its only lacking point is it is dependent on the LSAM and EDS (Earth Departure Stage) to reach the moon. It can (or ought to be able to) carry cryogenic fuel. Thirdly it itself is a manned vehicle - if servicing is thought to be required a short spacewalk ala Hubble is possible...especially since the LSAM has an airlock for egress even if the CEV doesn't. As for the worries over a fuel-line next to an airlock, well the Progress ALSO carries fuel and yet it too sports an airlock for astronauts to reach their goodies...
Now here's my senerio:
The RLSAM would be single stage - a one-piece vehicle. Larger fuel tanks to carry the total fuel volume for descent and ascent but the fuel required would be little different than for the two-stage LSAM. The need for only one set of engines would offset any mass difference. Keep in mind the RLSAM is for a crewed vehicle - a cargo LSAM would land on the moon but I doubt there's any need for one to take off again.
The CEV/tanker, which I'll call CEV2, would have the same command module, same dimensions although future variants (such as for Mars) could be scaled up. Its service module would be modified however to carry the fuel required for the RLSAM - just the fuel not the oxidider; that portion would be lunar-generated. A CEV2 would be launched via the Ares-V as well (it has been mentioned in numerous reports that the Ares-V WILL be considered as an optional manned vehicle so this is not unreasonable). It'd take the place of the LSAM atop the EDS. The rendevous would occur exclusively in Lunar Orbit instead of LEO.
Here's the launch plan itself:
1) An RLSAM is brought up in a more or less normal VSE flight plan. Instead of being disposed it instead remains in Lunar Orbit with a load of LOX sufficent for a Lunar Descent.
2) A CEV2 is launched carrying sufficent fuel & LOX for itself and also fuel for a complete RLSAM ascent/descent.
3) The CEV2 and RLSAM rendevous in lunar orbit. Once docked if deemed nessicary a space walk is done. A small fueline would perform the fuel transfer to the RLSAM.
4) The RLSAM uncouples and lands, performing the required mission. It refuels its LOX fully while on surface.
5) The RLSAM ascends, using up its remaining fuel to enter Lunar Orbit and rendevous w/ CEV2 but retains sufficent LOX for a future descent.
6) The CEV2 undocks and returns to Earth while the RLSAM awaits its next flight.
It involves modifying both the CEV and LSAM but, especially if you want a Mars mission or a more advanced lunar one, modifications like this would be nessicary, and for the most part all that is physically modified are the fuel tanks.
Hmmm...so you suggest fuel storage on the moon itself? I'll admit that wouldn't require modifying the CEV and it goes along with the RLSAM idea.
I'll put this stuff in the LSAM forum...
A one-piece reuseable lander will be expensive to develop, but probably not be all that expensive to build in number. Why is disguarding it such a bad thing?
You can either throw away the lander or you can throw away the tanker, but if you go with the expendable lander you only have to develop one vehicle instead of two. You would probably get a higher maximum payload too, which would be critical for base building.
Why is throwing away a lander a good thing at all? We've been throwing stuff away in LEO alone for long enough that the ISS and even satellites have to periodically monitor space garbage. Is it REALLY any better to start spewing junk in Lunar space especially when we don't have the benefit of a tracking station there? Also surely there's ways to utilize the equiptment...at the least the lower half of a disposable LSAM, already on the moon and in a surveyed area, could be used as an LOX tank.
Anyway the point of a resuseable lunar lander is to reduce the need of launching equiptment. You have a good point on "resuseable tankers" and the problems they generate...which brought me to a solution that ought to have occured to us all earlier.
Why not use the CEV, and yes even a CREWED CEV, itself as the tanker?
I noted several problems related to the concept of a Reuseable LSAM (or RLSAM)vehicle that brought this idea to me:
1) Refueling - even if LOX is developed there's still the need for either H2 or CH4 and we can't bet exclusively on lunar water ice nor utilize it in the short-term.
2) Tanker Vehicles - even if the RLSAM is reuseable, the architecture needed for a tanker (particularly if it is expendable) undermines the merits of a RLSAM and overcomplicates the project.
3) Servicing issues. Roughly a quarter of a million miles makes fixing the Hubble in LEO look like trip to a car wash.
Now why use the CEV? Or how as a refueling vehicle?First off its already designed to rendevous with the LSAM. Its only lacking point is it is dependent on the LSAM and EDS (Earth Departure Stage) to reach the moon. It can (or ought to be able to) carry cryogenic fuel. Thirdly it itself is a manned vehicle - if servicing is thought to be required a short spacewalk ala Hubble is possible...especially since the LSAM has an airlock for egress even if the CEV doesn't. As for the worries over a fuel-line next to an airlock, well the Progress ALSO carries fuel and yet it too sports an airlock for astronauts to reach their goodies...
Now here's my senerio:
The RLSAM would be single stage - a one-piece vehicle. Larger fuel tanks to carry the total fuel volume for descent and ascent but the fuel required would be little different than for the two-stage LSAM. The need for only one set of engines would offset any mass difference. Keep in mind the RLSAM is for a crewed vehicle - a cargo LSAM would land on the moon but I doubt there's any need for one to take off again.
The CEV/tanker, which I'll call CEV2, would have the same command module, same dimensions although future variants (such as for Mars) could be scaled up. Its service module would be modified however to carry the fuel required for the RLSAM - just the fuel not the oxidider; that portion would be lunar-generated. A CEV2 would be launched via the Ares-V as well (it has been mentioned in numerous reports that the Ares-V WILL be considered as an optional manned vehicle so this is not unreasonable). It'd take the place of the LSAM atop the EDS. The rendevous would occur exclusively in Lunar Orbit instead of LEO.
Here's the launch plan itself:
1) An RLSAM is brought up in a more or less normal VSE flight plan. Instead of being disposed it instead remains in Lunar Orbit with a load of LOX sufficent for a Lunar Descent.
2) A CEV2 is launched carrying sufficent fuel & LOX for itself and also fuel for a complete RLSAM ascent/descent.
3) The CEV2 and RLSAM rendevous in lunar orbit. Once docked if deemed nessicary a space walk is done. A small fueline would perform the fuel transfer to the RLSAM.
4) The RLSAM uncouples and lands, performing the required mission. It refuels its LOX fully while on surface.
5) The RLSAM ascends, using up its remaining fuel to enter Lunar Orbit and rendevous w/ CEV2 but retains sufficent LOX for a future descent.
6) The CEV2 undocks and returns to Earth while the RLSAM awaits its next flight.
It involves modifying both the CEV and LSAM but, especially if you want a Mars mission or a more advanced lunar one, modifications like this would be nessicary, and for the most part all that is physically modified are the fuel tanks.
I think its possible for the government to build and sustain a small base on both worlds, like 6-8 people, but little more then that without a real political sea-change of support for exploration.
6-8 would be an impressive number to sustain and I hope they put it around there, but I fear they might do as they did with the ISS at 3 or 4. :cry:
Hopefully alot of interest will come if the offer to expand this base is given to the public - for instance I'm certain a "Lunar Disney" would be an attraction. More likely I imagine science centers, observatories....
The Moon I imagine will generate alot more interest than the ISS ever possibly can. There are places surely less bland than the wide flat seas - its not just a rock its an entire world to look at.
The only thing the SFF says in this article is that they believe NASA is doomed unless they prostrate themselves to the AltSpace community, who save for the dinky Falcon-I have not shown that they are up to the task.
Most of the "fact hiding" has been from Congress when M. Griffin has sucessfully killed SSME and scaled back reliance on uneeded/expensive/incompetant NASA centers in various states.
As much as I like to give commercial space projects slack and the benefit of the doubt you have a point; I don't like it when a company promotes and brings forth no product. Its also sad the Falcon-1 was brought down by a stupid loose nut of all things which doesn't give me confidence....
Mister Griffen is doing as good a job as one can expect. He's more active than O'Keffe in my opinion w/o being as overbearing and overpromising than Goldwin.
Its not the government's job to really colonize or industrialize space, they neither could most likely nor should.
You are right on the money GCNRevenger. Apollo was a triumph, but the fact it was relative short-lived compared to the shuttle or even MIR proves the fact the government can't indefinetely support endeavours of this magnitude.
If the government can establish a working base on either the Moon or Mars, hopefully commercial spaceflight can arrange to help support it. THAT ought to be the long-term aim of the VSE.