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I just want you to know, I know Project Orion is a pipe dream of mine, the politics, and the fact that it uses nuclear bombs sours public attitude, but I think every once in a while, someone needs to push the envelope on thses things. Are we stuck on Earth because of public attitude not to go in certain directions or because of real technological limitations?
The CEV and Shuttle look like they are going ahead, they got their money.
however
Mars smaple mission - MSR looks delayed
the Dawn Discovery mission seems to be cancelled
The outrigger Keck telescopes are gone.
MTO is dead
NASA has dropped the Methane-Engine from CEV
LISA and Constellation-X will be delayed indefinitely
Europa probe is getting axed
Mars research has been cut by $243.3 million to $700.2 millionUnless Congress forks over a rather large increase in the budget, NASA has no business putting much effort into preparing for Mars in addition to Shuttle/ISS, and Lunar/CEV programs. Pick two, and only two.
Mars sample return doesn't need to be executed right now, and when we really start thinking Mars technology should not be difficult nor time consuming to develop.
Mars Telecommunications Orbiter will probobly outlive its design life before manned missions would arrive if we were to send it to Mars any time soon, and being powerd by whimpy solar arrays would have a hard time matching the next Mars Science Rovers' nuclear powerd communication system.
Likewise, the CEV doesn't need a Methane engine. Even if the stock CEV is used as the Earth reentry vehicle following a Mars mission it won't need a Methane engine. A Methane engine has little or no bennefit for missions to LEO or the Moon either, and infact probobly wouldn't work as well. NASA must make the CEV work, and do so without signifigant delay nor being over budget, and building a brand new engine isn't worth the risk of it delaying or making the CEV exceed its advertised price tag.
Outrigger Keck AND Hubble? LISA and Constellation-X? Just how much of NASA's budget can the astronomers demand before being satisfied? How much should they be getting? And is astronomy all NASA's business and not the Nat'l Science Foundation et al? Astronomers will keep on coming up with new and more and bigger and better space & surface telescopes forever, and we are supposed to cry and curse NASA when some of them are turned down?
The Dawn mission was cut because the builders could not keep costs under control, a half billion dollar mission turned into a one billion dollar mission. It has been far too long since NASA held its project managers accountable for incompetant or fraudulent estimates of the price. If you can't estimate the cost of your space probe to within 100%, then you have no business building space probes. Also, hopefully this will finally put the space probe/space telescope/space science people on notice, that if you can't deliver, then no longer will NASA sigh and bail you out - no, if you can't deliver, then the mission you have so emotionally invested in won't fly... Now if only they would do that for manned flight systems more often.
I don't really know what use the ISS is, it is a money eater and a feel good project that multiple nations can work on together. The amount of money we have to spend on these things is largely a function of public attitude. If we really want to go to Mars, we should send alot of Mars probes. The more we find out about Mars through our Mars probes, the more focused the eventual manned Mission can be, and the more useful things that can be accomplished. If we have a telecommunication satellite in Mars orbit, then we can do alot more things with probes on the surface. If we wanted to fly an airplane for instance, live video would be more interesting than a snap shot here and a snap shot there, it might wet the publics appetite for more, and may result in funding increases. I think a Moon program can quickly be turned into a Mars program with the change of Administrations and political climate, they both use much of the same basic hardware to get off Earth.
A few comments I would like to make:
Architecture on Mars will be shaped by several key factors: materials, manpower, and conditions.
1. Wood will not be available, but plastic, steel (stainless, made from meteorites), sheet rock (made from sulphate deposits), concrete, glass, and bricks will be. Aluminum will be rare and expensive until a major plant to extract it can be made. Copper should be readily available; it's often associated with basalt, and basalr is common on Mars.
2. Manpower will be scarce and expensive. As much work as possible will be done in a shirtsleeve environment, NOT outside in spacesuits. Enclosed and pressurized construction areas also avoid extreme temperature conditions and other environmental hazards (peroxide-covered dust, for example). As much work as possible will be done in an automated assembly line fashion (the bigger the base, the more an assembly line can be adopted). Modular home construction on Earth may be a model for much construction on Mars, with entire airtight, wheeled housing and work modules ("trailers") completed in a factory and hauled outside through an airlock. Tunneling will be kept to an absolute minimum unless large, robotic tunnel machines are developed and imported (we don't have these machines on Earth now!). Tunnels are inherently hazardous and can't be pressurized until they're finished. They're also inherently explosive under certsin conditions; imagine a tunnel leaking air into the surrounding rock for months and months that suddenly depressurizes as a result of an accident. The air pressure in the surrounding rock will suddenly rush back in, blasting rocks and debris into the tunnel and possibly precipitating collapses.
Isn't the point of having a Mars Colony so that people can go outside and explore. If people stay inside their offices and shuffle papers, what is the point of having them on Mars? If I wanted to be a Janitor, so I could sweep the halls of the Mars Base, Should NASA pay to sent me to Mars? If I wanted to be a computer programmer, or an Administrative assistant, Should NASA pay to send me to Mars?
3. The Martian atmosphere provides adequate protection against solar radiation and micrometeorites, but not against cosmic rays. Thus buildings will need a meter of rock or loose dirt over them to provide radiation shielding. They should be airtight and in turn be inside airtight enclosures, providing double protection against depressurization. If designed in this fashion, they can be surrounded by greenspaces, which is good for the human spirit.
Water or Ice might work very well for this, it is also transparent and it lets sunshine through
4. Building design can be anything the inhabitants want, within the constraints of radiation protection and pressurization. I'd build them with large overhangs to reduce exposure to oblique radiation. I'd use flat roofs with gardens on top IF the buildings are within pressurized enclosures; there's no reason to waste the enclosed space with unused roofs. Pyramids are the worst shape, where space use and radiation protection are concerned. Greek-style pillars are unnecessary; if they're needed for decoration, they may be made of plastic! If one were to build with pillars, the pillars in lower Martian gravity would be thinner than on Earth, so the proportions would be different. It is likely, as Zubrin suggests, that much of Marsian architecture will have a mall-like feel, with large windowless spaces opening onto corridors with skylights. The exception will be construction inside domes/bubbles, which will open sideways to open spaces with windows.
One idea would be to lay down mats of astroturf on the Martian surface outside, then you could have a garden or artificial bushes, flowers and other things to make the outside Martian surface look nice and pleasant, then inside the dome you could continue the illusion by growing real plants under a dome covered with transparent ice. Make sure the Ice is as transparent as possible. I think if the water you made Ice out of was really clean, you could see right through it just like it was glass, and ice makes an effecive radiation shield. Perhaps the ice dome should be wrapped in plastic so that parts of it that melt won't sublime away.
5. Very large enclosures can be made "open floor." A very large bubble,with embedded cables, would be manufactured in a factory. Meanwhile, pile drivers will drive long nickel-steel stakes into the ground; pile drivers can be automated and require very little human supervision. The piles can be hollow; once they are in place the enclosure's embedded cables are dropped down into the hollow piles, then the hollow is filled with concrete to anchor the enclosure in place. The enclosure is initially pressurized with Martian air, which will rapidly leak downward into the ground, heating the regolith if the Martian air is heated. Once the ground has been warmed down several meters, water can be added to the enclosure. It will freeze up intersticies in the regolith deep down, allowing the enclosure to hold pressure more effectively. This system will require very large quantities of water; perhaps half a tonne per square meter. But if a Mars base is extracting large quantities of ground ice using spare reactor heat and extracting deuterium from the water, it'll have the water. Enclosures 50 to 100 meters wide--or more--and a kilometer long would be possible.
-- RobS
Its hard to model a Martian Colony in Antartica, getthing there is expensive and so is resupply, but I think there could be some payback for it if we allowed for some economic exploitation of Antartica to offset the cost of the colony.
I mean, if we are going to have a model Martian colony in Antartica, what useful activity are we going to have them do there? If the activity is useful to say an Energy company, then that energy company might pay for part of the project if we allowed that energy company to extract some resources from Antartica. If we don't give the colonists something to do in that model colony, what are they going to do with themselves, eat, sleep, and watch television. Has anyone ever tried wearing a spacesuit in Antartica? I see most scientists don't wear such things, they wear artic garb instead, they try to cover every square inch of their skin, they wear goggles gloves and boots along with 6 layers of clothing.
If they had a Mars spacesuit, they should be quite confortable working in the Martian environment. A properly designed Mars spacesuit shouldn't allow the scientists to feel any of the Artic cold, they will never see their breath, they will cycle through the airlock into their habitat and live in a comfortable environment at the proper temperature and at the proper level of humidity. A guy in a Mars suit, should be able to pick up a handful of snow and ice and not feel the cold. I heard that a person in Artic Garb can stay out in the Antartic for up to 3 hours at a time. A person in a Mars suit should be able to stay out there for as long as the power supply lasts. I think one first step for preparing for a Mars mission is to give the Antartic scientists Mars suits to try out, and see how they like them. The Mars suits won't carry their own oxygen supply, but would instead heat the air as it comes through the intake, have a rebreathing system to remove the carbon dioxide from the internal air, and take in additional air from the outside as needed.
I'm a bit confused, if somebody is popular, I'd expect that he would be elected, unless he is not running, and if he is not running and is not interested in the position, why would he suddenly try to overrule the colonial government that was duly elected by the popular will of the people? The obvious response to somebody who does not follow the rules is to lock him up and send him back to Earth on the next transport. It should be fairly easy to lock someone up on Mars, you just put him in a Hab and you don't give him a spacesuit, he can't get out from there, and if he punches a hole in the hab, he dies. Food and water can be cycled through, and he will stay put. Any hab will make just as an effective jail as any set of bars on Earth. If somebody does something that's dangerous to the colony, he should be locked up and sent back to Earth at the earliest opportunity.
Actually the 1967 war was the direct result of actions by Syria and Jordan. It was they who by diverting the water of the Dan-Barias into the litani and into dams would have bled Israel dry of water. Israel was forced to bomb these works so that the water would not be cut off in 1965.
This is a discutable point, don't forget that waters have to flow down the river Jordan to feed up also its eastern bank shore where much Jordan populations lived
There was also the actions of the PLO which where based in these countries.
The so-called "terrorists" where still called feddayins. In the fronteer-sided kibboutz I did work in, located aside a desertic uncontrolled jordanese area far from any jordanese army position, they did call simply them gangsters because the "terrorist actions" were mainly sheeps and sometimes crop robberies.
This kibboutz was a "strategic"one, with trenches network and safe shelters because had the jordanese army the will to cut Israel apart, that was the place to launch an attack. Jordan as well as Egypt wanted to make much noise, but, in fact, were not ready for any war. The only serious enemy was Syria with which there were almost daily fighter planes dogfights.
Because at the end of my travel, I saw the movie "Six Days To Glory" showing how carefully Israel had planned its attacks, I came back home with the feeling that Israel had really wanted that war, some kind of a preventive one, and very suspicious about who were the bad guys in this conflict. Before I started, I was 100% convinced that Israel was the victim.
That just goes to show you the power of propaganda. Make the victim seem like the aggressor and the aggressor seem like the victim. Do you think the loser in every conflict should always win? Germany was losing World War II, should we feel sorry for Germany because in the final year of the conflict it was out numbered and outgunned by the allies. Hey, they were ganging up on those "poor Germans", hey that's not fair! Maybe the Germans should win instead of lose!
What about the Japanese during World War II? It was just an Island country in the middle of the Pacific in 1945, we mostly sunk their navy and we were bombing their cities, wasn't that unfair that we were picking on a country that was smaller than we were, and wasn't it racist that were we attacking mostly Asians in the Pacific conflict? :twisted:
That was just a little sarcasm their, I don't really ask questions like that because I believe the Germans and the Japanses were the wronged party in WWII, but I hope I've made a point.
Why should we be allies with Israel?
I think a large part of it is a case of doing unto others as we would have others do unto us. The United States sticks with our allies because we would like to have allies. If we let ourselves be bought off with oil and other economic interests, then we deserve no allies.
What are the arguments against our alliance with Israel?
1) If we are allied with Israel, the Arabs will attack us.
2) If we are allies with Israel, the Arabs will withold selling oil to us.
3) If we are allies with Israel, the Arabs will be provoked into making terrorist attacks against us.
Seems to me, that alot of these reasons have something to do with us caving in to Arab bullying. Now I ask you this question:
Who makes a better ally, Israel or the Arab states?
I only tried to average out all of the ideas, to see if anything would come of it. The assembly space station was a last ditch suggestion, which I didn't think would survive a concerted reply. No, placing reactors of any kind in orbit is asking for atmospheric fallout, and eventual cessation by the popular acclaim of space launchings of any sort, period.
Oh, that's great! All we have to do is launch a nuclear rocket and have an accident spilling radioactive contamination into the atmosphere and suddenly a World Government forms that is democratically elected, all the worlds dictators will fall and popular acclaim will matter and they'll say no more space flights. :twisted:
If that were only true, then it would be worth the nuclear accident, but its not. the world is not completely run by democratic countries. If we give up on space, their are dictatorships in China, and Russia that would only be glad to conquer space instead of us, using whatever technology is available. If we cede the space race, someone else will win. I'm glad the Chinese have got an astronaut program, not because I want them to beat us to Mars, but because we need them to drive us to pick up our pace or lose the race. Do you think it all depends on the US Congress and who gets elected there? Not anymore, NASA is not the World Space Agency, and I think the rest of the World is no longer going to take a back seat to it, if it slacks off. Our time for fiddling around and going in circles in space is over. If their is an avenue we could try to get into space more cheaply, we should try it. in short, we should think outside the box, that's how scaled composites got into space after all. I think for the last 30 years, NASA has had a bad case of conventionalitis we need ways to get to Mars cheaply. Billion dollar footprints are not acceptable, this is the 21st century, and some people are prepared to remain stuck on this planet for the next 100 years, and I think we need to get off this planet for our own safety. Look at the world today, religious fanatics, terrorism, the spreading of nuclear bomb technology. Seems like Russia and China are no longer interested in preventing nuclear proliferation, so the cat's out of the bag, we might as well build Orion spaceships since more and more countries are going to get nuclear weapons anyway, and the more that have them the more likely they'll be used. So long as nukes threaten our very existance, I think we should try to get some positive use out of them while we still can.
I think it will not matter if we have not used Orion spaceships to spread radioactive contamination in the atmosphere if we then have a nuclear war. I think its only a matter of time, no one's stopping North Korea, no one's stopping Iran, or Venuzualia, no one wants to help the United States in curbing proliferation, because they want to give us a "black eye" by letting a few of our enemies gain nuclear weapons to threaten us with, that of course means more countries will have nukes and nuclear war will be more likely. if we just fiddle and let thing go on as they are, we will all be sorry.
Chemical rockets have not gotten off this planet in signifiant numbers, the have instead made billion dollar foot prints on the Moon, and we need to do more than this, even Stephen Hawking thinks this is so.
Another possible short cut is Orion. The Chinese have nuclear bombs, they have access to all the declassified materials for the old Orion project in the 1960s and perhaps some classified ones as well. I don't think the Orion spaceship counts as a solid core nuclear rocket. The capabilities of that old Orion design were computed to be quite fantastic. If China wants to jump ahead of us in the race to Mars, they might build an Orion. Would their people object? Perhaps if their was an accident, if not, the Chinese are very patriotic, they'd be happy about China beating the US to Mars. Orions can be lifted above the atmosphere with a lower stage and then the bombs go off underneath it. If the UN objects, then China will simply use its veto and stymie the Security Council just as it has in the past with North Korea and Iran. Yes, China may eventually have to listen to its people, but who knows when that will be. If Chinese people die in a nuclear accident then they will die just like they had in Chernoble. Despite Chernoble, it seems that the Ukraine still has a loyal contingent of Russophiles who were opposed to seperation from Russia and Ukrainian Independence. Large numbers of Ukrainians are opposed to closer ties with NATO despite what Russia did to them. That says alot about a societies ability to recover from a nuclear accident, especially a totalitarian one. They paper over all those cancer deaths with propaganda and most people forget about it, i don't see why China couldn't do the same.
Orion is a bit more controversial and it flouts international law, by exploding atomics in space. International law has yet to stop the North Koreans, or the Iranians. If the UN has no teeth, as China and Russia has pulled them, then we can't dismiss the possibility of China using a nuclear solution to get into space while our public only permits us to use chemical rockets, that means China wins!
I can't help but think of how badly all those investors and stockholders of the Transnational companies got screwed when Mars had its revolution and reordered its whole society and economy to exclude them, they are the ones who paid for the terraforming of Mars, and they got royally screwed. The were the big suckers of the whole Red, Green, Blue trilogy, and its not that their all rich either. I try to put myself in the shoes of a transnat investor, and I keep on coming up with the question of why should I pay for this all if the Martians are simply going to rebel and steal my investments.
As for the misbehavior of the Transnats, we'll every good story needs a villian or obstacle to overcome, and the transnats were it. Terraforming Mars takes a long time and any author of such a trilogy needs a filler to keep the story going while the reader waits for Mars to be terraformed. 200 years is a bit short, but I think projecting society and technology 200 years into the future is very difficult, I don't think it will stay the same as it is today, but what changes will occur in 200 years is also hard to say. Transnats served as the badguys in these books, and I understand the literary need for such. Heck I might have used them myself were I reading the book, but them in Blue Mars, trying to make general conclusions about economics and transnats based on the behavior of some of them was a step too far. I don't think you can say much about economics based on the behavior of fictional transnats. The conclusion I come to is that the Transnats weren't governed or regulated very well by their respective governments, they were allowed to build private armies and fight wars with each other. I think a more realistic solution would be to have stronger national governments with monopolies on military force which is what is in effect to day, rather than to revolutionize the concept of private property and reorder society. In better only to make sufficient changes to solve the problem at hand rather than to reorder the way everyone lived to solve those problems.
I think misbehaving companies don't require sweeping statements on economics in general, only that those misbehaving companies be policed and the offenders punished. A corrupt corporate manager is not an inditement of Capitalism, just an inditement of that company in particular. In the Red, Green, Blue trilogy, the Transnats were simply allowed to get away with too much, and the solution was simply, enforce the law and don't let them get away with flouting it.
I think a better way to do a terraforming story, is to put the main characters at the end of the terraforming process. One way I suggested in another thread is to present an alternate history where Mars was already terraformed and had humans on it. the terraforming was done by aliens in the distant past, and NASA astronauts are presented with the final product of a terraformed Mars. the technology is still reconizable because its todays technology, the society is recognizable because it is today's society and politics, it is only Mars that is different, and the worlds space programs as a result of this different Mars are also different. In NASAs case, the Apollo program was followed by a manned exploration of Mars, when the Mariner spacecraft came back with positive results of very flagrent Mars life on its surface, it is really transplanted and modified Earthlife. now you may ask why did the aliens do this? They didn't do it for the Earthlings, but for themselves, but then some disaster over took them living only the finished product of a terraformed Mars. In this case I do not have centuries to kill and to tell the story. Mars is done, and all that is left to do is for astronauts to explore it.
When parties stay near the status quo it becomes easy to separate people into the left or the right because there are few issues which distinguish the political debate. In such times a demonomancy that promotes a few parties does a good job at representing the voter.
However, when parties start to make radical changes to the status quo on multiple fronts it is very likely that voters could be left with two equally bad choices. In such instances voters have no one that represents their interests. The solution is surprisingly simple. Simply increase the electoral districts 10 fold and let anyone that gets at least 10% of the vote become a representative. Moreover weight the percentage their vote counts in the representative body on the percentage of votes they actually get. Similarly base their salary on the percentage of votes they actually get.
I'm not sure that such a complicated governing structure would be right for Mars, especially since their will be few people living their to start out with on the colony.
The initial governing structure will be simple, and probably a participating democracy where its one citizen per vote. Basically everyone will agree to behave themselves, and the special interest groups will be few. Elected reprentatives is a luxury that a 100 person colony cannot afford, their will probably be one elected administator who makes all the immediate decisions, and their will be town meetings whenever a specific legislative issue needs to be addressed where the citizenry themselves will act as the legislature. I doubt that many legislative meetings will be conveined. People will just agree on the rules and agree to obey them, if they don't, they are locked up and send back to Earth on the next transport. When the population becomes greater, then a constitution on Mars will be convened to determine representative structures.
This creates an interesting situation. A politician only needs 10% of the vote to stay in power so it is easier for them to stand on their principles without fear of losing their job. However, if people don’t think they are doing a good job their salary suffers.
Now ware am I coming from. I fear a situation where the left refuses to support any kind of international commitment based on military action, favors economically crippling environmental policies based on junk science, wishes to over tax and waste tax payers money. I fear at this same time, the right neglects all environmental issues, promotes draconian totalitarian laws, cannot separate church from state, thows half the population in jail, lets guns run rampant in the streets and leads far too aggressive of a foreign military policy.
Environment won't be a great issue on Mars. Mars has yet to be proven to have an existant biosphere of any kind, its a little premature to talk about measures to protect it if we don't even know what is there to protect.
Who do you vote for to say they both suck? You can vote independent but you may not be left with anyone to represent you because the percentage of votes needed to become a representive sometimes sets the votes to high.
I don't know why you are bring this up here. It will be a long time before Mars needs a representative government, and when the need arises, they will convene a constitutional convention and decide of government structures.
I haven't been to anartica yet, I am hoping to go there for a post-grad or two.
I would leave the Oil alone as long as possible. There are some applications we may take a very long time to replace oil in. Aircraft to start with. We don't need Oil that badly, we just need to cut back on our excesses.
To test these domes you might want to try somewhere closer to home, up on a moutain plataeu somewhere. The Rockies, the Andes, Tibet. However they won't be the same as engineering for the greater gravity will complicate them somewhat and reduce their elegance and transparency.
I saw March of the Penguins on DVD. Seems to me by looking at their breeding habits, they have much in common with another flightless bird, the Dodo. The Penguins like the Dodo lay their eggs on land in an area that is largely devoid of their natural predators, and like the Dodo, they weren't afraid of people. In the "Making of" special feature that came with the movie, they showed the film crew getting up close to the birds and the birds not reacting. The Emperor Penguin basically has to stand there all huddled up through the Antartic winter to keep their eggs warm and their chicks alive. This feature seems vulnerable to environmental changes.
Put on one end of the scale Islamo-facists financed by oil purchases in the middle east blowing people up with their bombs, on the other end of the scale, put the Antartic coastal environment, Penguins, fish, seals etc., vulnerable to potential oil spills. What I'd like most of all is to find a substitute for the Middle East, so we can not go their for our oil, this would require quite a bit of oil exploration, because who really knows whats under those glaciers. The prospect of Arabs or Iranians building bombs and giving them to terrorists to kill westerners who bought their oil and paid for their bomb is incentive to find oil elsewhere if only to deprive terrorists of these resources and sponsorship from oil-producing terrorist countries.
To build a domed colony in Antartica, we need a reason to have large numbers of people their, an economic reason would work best. What else might be in Antartica, Natural Gas for one. Natural gas does not spill like crude oil does, perhaps it would be better to drill for natural gas in Antartica. Energy companies could pay for domed settlements to house their workers and in the process we'll get to test various methods for building domed settlements in hostile environments that could later be applied toward Mars. Anything built on Earth would have to be more robust structurally than on Mars, except that the internal pressure a Martian dome would be required to hold inside would be greater than an Antarctic dome, Some pressurization might be a good idea for Antartica, especially for those high altitude glaciers. A sea level pressure inside would make breathing easier, and a dome is a very efficient structure for keeping out cold. Internal pressure would hold up the dome structure, without which we'd need structural elements to hold it up. One greater problem in Antartica would be wind, the wind force on the dome surface in Antartica would be greater than on Mars. The Dome would contort under the force of the wind that howls outside. The Sun would heat the dome during the summer, during the winter, it might be a good idea to burn off some of the natural gas to heat the interior. A dome could allow for year round operations for gas extraction. A more efficient transportation system would also be required for getting into and out of Antarctica. I hear the scientists at the south pole station are often quite isolated during the winters. We'll need a means for people and equipment to come and go all year round despite the cold temperatures and adverse winter outside.
No, this risk is much more dangerous than you know, that this really would produce fallout comperable to Chernobyl if not worse thanks to the rapid fuel burnup. Even if you sucessfully shut down the reactor, the nuclear waste built up during its operation will remain extremely deadly for some years.
Blowing up the reactor over the Atlantic and dropping it into the ocean is a non-solution, since the remaining radioactive dust will remain in the atmosphere and the winds will blow it all over the place. Nuclear fuel is always a ceramic, which if blown up will shatter. Chernobyl's cloud extended for hundreds of miles, this could be even worse with a high altitude failure.
What exactly will be contaminated if it blows up over the ocean? The Ocean?
Chernobyl was on land near a populated area. I think the worst parts of the fallout zone we're where the radioactive fallout wasn't dispersed so much, especially where it rained. Lets suppose it rains over the ocean, causing the fallout to drop out of the air and into the water. Well the water will disperse and dilute the contaminants.
Lets now suppose the winds disperses the radioactive fallout over a wider area, that's less contamination per unit area over the effective area which are mostly thousands of miles of ocean. By the time the remaing fallout reaches land there will be much less of the stuff to go around. Life will go on as usual, and it won't be Doomsday just because of this rocket accident.
I think the attitude toward nuclear rocketry is excessively cautious. What if the Chinese are not as cautious as we are and jump ahead in the space race by building nuclear upper stages to boost their craft into orbit? That's a 50% increase in payload capability is one way of looking at it, but consider this. If the bottom stage is not moving at high velocities when it reeneters the atmosphere, it becomes easier to recover this booster and use it again. The Chinese could build a resuable bottom stage rocket booster whose only job is the lift the nuclear stage above the atmosphere and then fall back to Earth. If that stage has wings or a parachute, the Chinese can recover it and use it for the next launch. The Chinese could develop a safer more reliable bottom stage, it could even be a solid rocket booster with no cryonic propellents at all, and no plumbing, simply ignite the rocket, the rocket delivers its payload, and then the nuclear rocket ignites. The Chinese government is sort of immune to criticism from anti-nuke groups just as they were immune to the pro-democracy protestors in 1989, if they cause too much of a fuss, they end up in jail. Besides if the Chinese were so concerned about the World environment, they wouldn't be helping out the Iranians or letting North Korea get the bomb. Even more dangerous than a nuclear rocket which may fail is a nuclear bomb in the hands of a fanatic, but no one in the Communist government considers these environmental risks, so why should they concern themselves with the effects of nuclear rocketry. Seems like we'd have to build much more massive chemical rockets and spend alot more money in order to compete with a Chinese nuclear rocket program to send men to Mars. Zubrin justs spoke in China. I think China might be willing to take more risks to get ahead than NASA might. Nuclear rocketry is tempting, the consequences of failure for the Chinese are less. Lose a few astronauts, they go on, evacuate a village or town, they go on, no one dares criticise the Chinese government while in China.
Now its time to expand the development of space with newer designed for the payload to carry personnel and cargo into orbit and beyond. All issues have solutions and we could develop a long term crew vehicle for ferrying personnel to orbit their to a space station / factory or another space vessel. I find that you want to throw things away all the time and yet don't want to move forward in creating a space industry that can accomplish the ideals of many of the mars society members and other space society members are working towards, which is Human Settlement in space NOT joyrides, NOT tourist missions, BUT permanent settlements and outposts.
People, keep in mind, don't tend to settle until an area is well established. Space will be littered with tourists for a few decades before anyone commits to abandoning Earth for a home elsewhere. Not many nowadays are willing to leave purely on ideals, we're not pilgrams anymore, we're suburbanites.
With a little luck it will happen, but alot of time is needed.
There don't need to be many! We couldn't send many if we wanted to, but there are always a few, and that's all we need and all we can afford to send to Mars. The reason why we are Suburbanites instead of pilgrims or settlers is because we mostly work for someone else rather than for ourselves as our forebears used to do when they farmed their own land. Because we work for someone else, we must live near the city, and I hate the city, I don't like going near the place, but that unfortunately is where all the money and jobs are, so I'm tied to that damn stinking city as if it were a ball and chain, and the worst of it is, that its so vulnerable to nuclear attack, but because of economic necessity and the stupidity of employers, I've forced to live near their too. If I could live where ever I wanted too, I'd live out in the country, the real country, not this suburbs with million dollar homes that I can't afford.
dicktice, no offense, but that is a gallingly narrow viewpoint ruled by a one-sided secular view that refutes the possibility of people believing in a "hereafter" while also holding a deep desire for space and space exploration.
If you need a way to rationalize and understand how an individual can believe in one, and still desire the other, think of it like this: The "hereafter" is an eventuality. The non-hereafter, or the now, well- that's our time in the sun to do what we want. Speak a few lines, have a few scenes.
This whole martyrdom thing is simple human rationalization. People routinely throw away their lives for religion, or for ideals, or for family, or for any number of beliefs that are decidedly secular.
Your suggestion treats a symptom, but not the root cause. I don't have an answer. i don't think there is one. We are dealing with a fundamental aspect of human nature- altruism. Yeah, it's twisted, but suicide bombers and those who sacrifice themselves for whatever reason are acting from altruism. They sacrifice themselves for something greater than themselves (or so they believe).
Human beings, like most organisms, have a natural inclination to preserve self. It takes conscious thought (mostly) to override that instinct. Sorry, but sh*t like this is something we are going to have to learn to deal with.
And I am in no way apologizing or excusing those who sacrifice their lives to senselessly kill others. However, I am willing to try and understand the motivation and the drive that carries others to do it. [shrug]
Perhaps the word Islamo-facist or Islamo-nazi would be helpful here.
We need a name for our enemies that distinguishes them from the rest of Islam, and we must delineate Islam to the exclusion of the Islamo-facists and the Islamo-nazis, and we must be clear that those who give aid and comfort to the Islamo-facists or Islamo-nazis are Islamo-facists and Islamo-nazis themselves. Saudi Arabia recently gave objection to the label Islamo-facist, used by George Bush. Why is that? isn't Islam a peaceful religion. The way to get rid of Islamo-facists and Islamo-Nazis is by killing them and not listening to their propaganda. Hezbollah, for example attacked Israel and Israel defended itself, and for that trouble, for the trouble of using precision weapons to kill their enemies and to take out the missile launchers, they get roundly condemned by the world community for defending themselves. People who condemn the Israelis don't offer them any alternative means of defending themselves that would inflict lesser casualities, they just condemn the Israelis for wanting to live in effect. You know that old saying, "how they judge others is how they shall be judged."
It is an outrage that Hezbollah can attack a Nation and then be treated as the victim of aggression. Suicide bombers are not invincible and neighter are terrorists, and they first step to getting rid of them is to first get rid of the UN, a useless mouthpiece for terrorists and antisemites. My main philosophy is that its better to have a few friends that you can count on than to have many friends that you can't. "Fairweather friends" and "sunshine patriots" are worthless.
Likewise, if you exercise them under Earth gravity, they are likely to grow bigger and stronger, people who lift weights have this happen to them. Being subjected to stronger gravity is likely to have the same effect as those Martians lifting weights. The DNA chains are persistant, the mutations required to inalterably adapt to the Martian gravity are going to be slow in coming, and the genes for dealing with Earth gravity are likely to be long in persisting. Muscles may weaken. On the otherhand people living on Mars have rason to utilize their Earth muscles to their full capacity.
The reason they are on Mars is to go out side, to go outside, they need to carry their oxygen and life support system on their back, this is likely to make them weigh at least as much if not more than they did on Earth. If they are going to stay indoors and get weak in the muscles, they might as well not be on Mars in the first place.
It could reasonably be done using current materials although you would need an pretty serious and clean manfuacturing environment set up on mars.
So what do you think, would Antartica be good practise for Mars?
Antartica has large regions at high altitudes on top of glaciers. What if we attempted to erect domes over there? Colonization of Antartica would require some economic incentive to support the effort and pay for construction costs. Hopefully spare the wildlife on the costs and in antiartic territorial waters. Your country is fairly close to Antartica, have you ever been there?
One possibility that comes to mind is oil, unlike ANWAR in Alaska, Antartica is relatively barren, but in the past the continent was found in the tropics. Antartica is vast, much larger than Alaska. The oil fields in Antartica are bound to dwarf any found in Alaska. A pipeline can be laid along the Antartica penninsula under the straight of Magellan and into Chile some distance to an all season port where oil tankers can dock and receiver their load of crude oil. The oil workers in antartica can live under domed settlements similar to ones planned for Mars.
Bob Zubrin knows that his plan is borderline even by his stanards, and so he has proposed a modified version of Ares with a different upper stage, trading the single SSME class engine for a single J-2 sized nuclear rocket. This would make MarsDirect practical and put it over the threshold from "nuts."
The problem is that this has to be a pretty big nuclear engine, and it won't be in orbit before the reactor is brought critical and starts producing radiation & radioactive waste. The exhaust is pretty trivial, but even a small chance that it could come back down is a risk I am not willing to take. It won't fail "most" of the time, but even once is too many, resulting in either a hypersonic radiation bomb that could fall anywhere around the Earth's equator, or a cloud of radioactive fallout of the same scale as Chernobyl. So long as the engine is below orbital or escape velocity, it or its remains will fall back down before the nuclear material decays to safe levels.
The added performance, and the high cost with developing a large nuclear engine is not worth it. The engine that would be equipped would only increase payload by ~50%, so instead it would be better to make the launch vehicle larger. It probably wouldn't cost much more.
"who can object to nuclear rockety which is much safer than an Iranian fanatic with a nuclear weapon?"
This is nonsense babbling, genocidal theocrats in Iran has nothing to do with spaceflight and its risks.
Demanding 100% safety all the time is what keeps us on Earth. Do you want to avoid all nuclear accidents, or do you want to get humans off Earth and spread our risks? I think the risk of nuclear accident is over avoided putting us in danger of other risks such as all of us being wiped out by nuclear war and none of us surviving the attack as we were too busy trying to avoid nuclear accidents in getting off Earth and so we stayed all on one planet, vulnerable.
Do rockets typically launch over populated areas?
You seem to be assuming that a failed nuclear rocket would always fall in a densely populated area dropping nice solid chunks of concentrated plutonium so as to make the area uninhabitable and forcing its evacuation. the Pacific ocean is not very populated. The Atlantic is even less so. A nuclear launcher can always be rigged sith exploses so any fallout won't come down in a concentrated mass. Instead of banning nuclear launches to avoid nuclear accidents, why not design the nuclear rockets so that accidents are less likely to happen and if accidents happen plan the flight trajectory so that the rockets don't overfly populated areas.
The best strategy is to launch over an ocean and quickly attain orbital velocity and failing to do this on schedule, blow up the rocket so that it lands in unpopulated areas. Shouldn't be hard to do, we have reliable bombs.
Suppose you wanted to create a domed environment on Mars and you placed a House in the center of that dome and surrounded it with fields. How practical would such Martian homesteading be? Suppose you wanted to make the dome invisible to those standing in the center, would that be possible? how about the idea or artificially creating air currents and using sound absorbing material for the inner dome surface so that it doesn't echo like the interior of a greenhouse would. What are the limits of reproducing an Earthlike environment locally? What if you projected a blue sky on the inner dome surface and had a sprinkler system installed for whenever it rained? Could this all be done?
Just thought I mention something:
ust think of all the things that Martian children will be able to do in their native habitat due to the .38 g. After all, the low g will make everyone a "superman," able to perform physical feats that Earth kids can only dream of doing. Build a decent-sized halfpipe for young skateboarders, and just watch them perform astonishing feats of aerial acrobatics...perhaps the Martian kids will then consider themselves "privilaged" to live in Martian g, as opposed to living in the crushing gravity of Earth.
Children born on Mars will not be "superhuman" compared to Earthling equivalents. Mars children will be exsposed by and large to a .38 gravity for their entire life- their muscles will adapat to that stress (unless extra stress is added)- which means they will behave in a .38 gravity the same way we behave in a 1.0 gravity. We live in 1.0 so anything less allows us to be stronger than we are- it's like going from 100 pound weights to 38 pound weights- the mars kids will not have the same benefit- thats why they can't come back to Earth- it would be like going from 38 pound weights to 100 pounds for them.
Martians, left to their own, will never be stronger than Earthlings, and Earthlings will have an easier time in their environment.
Also, I'm not quite convinced that children would resent their inability to play certain sports- children are pretty adaptable- define their world and they more often than not find a way to live within that world. We have a hard time imagining life without certain sports or certain games- but these games are just that- games- as long as the fundamental principles of what a game or activity means can be reproduced on Mars, there shouldn't be any "problems".
The question is, will they infact adapt, is it just environment that determines the amount of muscles or is it genetics? The genes will "want" to make bigger muscles designed for Earth gravity, since such muscles aren't really a disadvantage in dealing with Martian gravity, I don't see those genes disappearing any time soon. It is also not clear that the human body wouldn't adapt if subjected to Earth gravity even if the children were born on Mars. The genes would instruct the body to built a heart and muscles of a certian size regardless of what's needed on Mars. Millions of years of evolution has created bodies designed for Earth, one generation born on Mars is not going to change that.
The Russians dominated LEO, but they've never got folks on the Moon or landed much robotic stuff on Mars that didn't fail after a few seconds
and now they've little money leftStill they have done some great stuff and a making a little comeback, I hope they get to fly the Phobos grunt mission
I wish the Russians well with their peaceful space endeavors too. I'm just wary of conducting joint missions with them. I have nothing against the Russian people, its just their habit of producing Anti-American governments that follow policies that are harmful to us that bothers me, as long as they do that, we shouldn't be going to Mars together, that is my only real objection the the whole scheme.
Just what, exactly, is this "nuclear rocket" that you are epousing?
An upper stage rocket that heats hydrogen as a propellant above the Earth's Atmosphere. So long as the thrust is high enough, it can take the space ship the rest of the way to orbit. It goes like this. You have a lower stage that uses some cheap easy to handle rocket fuel to thrust the Vehicle above the atmosphere and then a nuclear Nerva rocket takes over. The real danger is concentrated radioactives, the higher the nuclear engine is when it first goes on, the more dispersesd the propellent is, and were talking about hydrogen here, even the heavier more radioactive isotopes will tend to stay on top of the atmosphere. I'm interested in any way to make space flight cheaper. if someone just has a knee-jerk reaction that "if its nuclear, it must be bad," that is rather unfortunate and it makes people not consider the possibilities or even try to fix the problems they have with the concept, while currently were are doing worse things to Earth's environment than nuclear rockets would have done. There are many ways a substance can be harmful to the environment, radioactivity is just one of them.
I was watching the commentary for Zathura on my DVD, and they mentioned another upcoming movie project called John Carter of Mars. Apparently it is a movie version of Edgar Rice Burrough's Barsoom novels. In the first book, A Princess of Mars John Carter leaps all over the place upon arrival on Mars, 15 feet up in the air! A side from their being life on Mars, is this overdoing the low gravity bit just a little? Mars gravity is one third that of Earth, I think a human being that is unencumbered by any gear such as a spacesuit for instance should be able to leap three times the normal height on Earth, is that correct? Also how much advantage would a Earth human have over creatures that were adapted to the Martian Environment? Would a green martian be a feasible creature for a Mars with a breathable atmosphere?
I was just wondering, if one did a semi realistic Mars movie, not the Mars that is, but the Mars that could have been, what would you put in it? Also has anyone heard about that movie project? Zathura came out in 2005, so if their working on it, it may be in production already.
Yes, it changes it from "Bob Zubrin is nuts" to "cut off toothbrush handles so we make it off the ground"... which is why I think Zubrin secretly doesn't believe in the chemical option for single-launch direct flight to Mars. He is a nuclear engineer by trade after all.
No reason you can't use a nuclear stage for the artifical gravity counterweight, the separation distance would be sufficent to limit radiation exposure probably.
The trouble is that a nuclear Ares would have to activate the reactor before reaching a stable orbit, which even me the nuclear fan boy (the "N" in GCNR) believe is a bad idea.
Why space is space. Scaled Composites reached space without reaching orbit. What if we had a chemical booster with a nuclear upper stage? The bottom booster could fall back into the atmosphere and be recovered for later use, just like Space Ship One was. The upper nuclear stage can then reach orbit, but the larger more expensive portion of the launch system could be made reusable. The upper nuke stage is only a problem if it fails and doesn't reach orbit, so if we design it properly, it won't fail most of the time. The reaction mass would be hydrogen with a higher specific impulse. If Iran can have nuclear reactors and the World gives its assent to that, which apparenly does, who can object to nuclear rockety which is much safer than an Iranian fanatic with a nuclear weapon?
There are alot of things that damage the environment alot more than a nuclear rocket would. the exhaust from the Shuttles SRBs is not healthy after all, is the reason that its unhealthy being chemical rather than radioactive all that consequential. I hear that doctors used to prescribe mercury to their patients, they'd swallow some mercury and it would go right down their digestive track, well most of it anyway. Compared to that, I think the rocket exhaust of a nuclear rocket released in space is less dangerous than a spoonful of mercury swallowed by a single patient.
And to top it off, Putin is a dictator and an enemy of freedom, "not wanting democracy" in government is perhaps the slogan of a facist.
Edit: Oh, and if national self-interest isn't valid when doing the helping eachother/holding hands/international cooperation thing, then where is your outrage over Russia charging the US for Soyuz seats?
Hear hear! I think we should cooperate with Democracies like Japan, strong democracies that can step up to the plate and pull their own weight. Japan has proven to be a good ally since the end of World War II, I think India is a potential partner too, Great Britian too, and maybe Israel. I think the world is still broken up into two camps, the Free World, the Unfree world and the fuzzy middle including such countries like France that think that all countries no matter how governed are of equal merit. If we are to do a proper job of colonizing Mars, we should make sure first that it will be democratic, a one world government there would leave no room for others to set up unfree tyrannies there. That way the residents would not have to fear their neighbors and terrorists would have nowhere to hide and regroup on the planet. I like a civilized planet under the lawful rule of a just government with democratic participation, something that the Earth is not. I know its a dream, but we have an opportunity here with a new planet untouched by human hands, because of nuclear weapons, the dictators are well entrenched on our own planet, but if the democracies were to get to Mars first, maybe they can preven the dictators from spreading their tentacles there.
dude, governments fight. Last I checked, I had no personal beef with any Iranian or any Russian.
But perhaps Russians and Iranians are evil, i mean, after all, their governments are evil. So it only follows...
paranoid nut job.
Then I take it your not an American. Well I am, and the Iranians say, "Death to America!" the put American flags on their floors and they walk all over them, and now they say they want nuclear power for "peaceful purposes"? I am an American, if they say, "Death to America," they are effectively saying they want to put me to death, and so that makes it personal because they are threatening me, and Russia wants to help them build a nuclear bomb. I don't think that's paranoid. You blithely say they are lying when they say, "Death to America," and telling the truth when they say they want nuclear power for peaceful purposes, how do you know its not the other way around. I'm sorry, I just can't get along peacefully with someone who wants to kill me, and the Russians want to help them to kill me, so as long as we do that, I don't want my country involved with any collaborative projects with them so they can gain our technologies so they can pass them on the the Iranians and hence make their job of building bombs and long range missile easier. I don't believe in time outs and having tea with our enemies, and so long as the Russian government acts the way it is, it will be our enemy. They make competant engineers, I don't question them on that, but I don't trust their government.
I don't know if the Russians are evil, but they have not stepped up the the plate and seized control of their government. They overthrew communism, only to let another dictator seize control of their government and they did not fight it! This really disillusioned me with the whole detente cycle, I used to believe in it you know.
I wish their could be real peace between our countries, not peace as defined for them, where they have a chance to rearm or attack us in other ways all under the guize of peace and negotiation. Iran is our enemy, has been since its Islamic Revolution in 1979, anyone who is the friend of this Iranian government that wants us dead is not our friend. If the Russians want to change, then that is good, but so far I have not seen this. I think a space race will bring more progress anyway, it worked in the Apollo years. I think its always best to keep one's enemies at arms length rather than close at hand, where they can undermine and sabotage you.