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Doctern shmoctern, the devil is in the details as the saying goes, and goes doubly for space vehicles. All your plan accomplishes is to trade one expendable vehicle for another, while simultainiously wasting effort on reuseability.
That is indeed the trick.
Remember, the space shuttle was the 1970s poster child of spacecraft reuseability. Instead of lowering the cost and increasing launch rates it did the exact opposite and everything ultimately blew up in everyone's face with both Challenger and Columbia.
While the launch pad waits for a single shuttle for four, even five months easily a dozen various expendable vehicles are launched...and with less cost since there is no worries on recovering, no parachutes, no refurnishing. Think about the effort you put into ceramic plates: you prepare a sink of soapy warm water, you put in it, scrub it, wipe, and put it into a dishwasher. Effort of the disposeable paper plate: open garbage can insert. That is the harsh trouble with reuseability.
Its not impossible but like every man every spacecraft needs to know its limits.
A criteria to consider would be the Martian heatshields. In the VSE architecture one bonus the CEV capsule has over the shuttle, and like the Apollo for that matter, is that the heat shields were protected. Now, I noticed, in most architectures, even in Zubrin's renowned Mars Direct, the heat shields are wide open for anything ranging from LEO space junk to metoroid showers to punch a crack.
This is a worry that will HAVE to be addressed; not so much because of engineering but because the media press, with the CEV specs in mind, will, like naively-blunt Kindergardners, almost instantly point to the big fancy heat shield being toted at the front of the Mars armada and embarass the hell out of the NASA engineer stuck in the hot seat.
The CEV capsule itself could serve as the base for the acent vehicle however.
That I certainly would agree upon. Another question is would it be nessicary for the Ascent Vehicle to have heat shields, would it be expendible at Mars or double as the return vehicle to Earth?
I think what would need to be developed are the Mars vehicles. Beyond perhaps propellant tanks they will be creatures of a different sort from any on the Moon.
I'd like to model the architecture as much as possible off the Mars Semi-direct architecture Zubrin created as a "compromise" that later led to NASA's "Reference Mission." I can see the CEV as being the orbiting ERV from Semi-d; I think however we'd have to recalculate how much propellant it'd need for the return half of the voyage where it'd come into play.
The Mars Habitat could be the initial manned lander brought along with the CEV and then there'd be the Mars Ascent Vehicle, which in Semi-d brought the ISSP equiptment and power sources.
If the CEV were to be 'blended' with Semi-d, upon arriving at Mars it'd most likely have to seperate and break into a high parking orbit automated and solo (which it is capable of) while the Mars Habitat Lander first aerobrakes and then lands with the crew with it. In both Semi-d And Mars-d, should something happen to the ERV the crew wait on Mars in relative safey doing field research as opposed to the complete vaccum of space doing nothing, so if CEV blows in orbit just send another. The Mars Ascent vehicle would be closer in aspect to the original version in Mars-d to reach the high parking orbit and draw on ISSP to maximize its use while minimizing the ERV/CEV's propellant loads for orbital breaking and escape.
To test some of this, a large test probe carrying at least a model of the Crewed Mars Lander shields ought to be sent; to aerobrake first into orbit and then land from orbit. Possibly an unmanned CEV could be sent to test break into Martian orbit and then leave as well.
Ariane5 is only the fastest way to launch the CEV
I think it's simply ridiculous that NASA needs TEN YEARS to launch the first CEV, while, in the same time, Russia and China will launch 50+ crew and cargo vehicles! (and China will build its own space station...)
*just rolls over on his back and laughs*
First off...China has launched diddle-e-squat. It has done nothing with the Shenzou modules the flights left in orbit. China may boast much but it will at best become a minor partner in the ISS zoo. Perhaps it will establish a space station, but likely not until the CEV is up and running and en route to the Moon whether it be in 2014 or 2020+. It may have some success with unmanned probes but, in all fields, it has alot of catch-up to play. If Japan got its space program together I'd have more faith in it than China.
Russia is more respectable. Its Progress and Soyuz certainly support the ISS, but Russia is still crippled - it will recover but just look at its budget: if you think we have trouble affording the CEV their developement of their Klipper spacecraft will be nearly as troublesome as the Biblical camel-through-the-eye-of-the-needle. Also, in terms of humans launched, one shuttle launches 7 people - more than the manpower of 2 Soyuz and more cargo than the Progress...ALL AT ONCE. I'm not saying Russia is barely space worthy, but we regularly outperform it at its best even when we're at half-best (i.e. the current state of the space shuttle), it will have trouble keeping up.
On a final, minor note, ESA had attempted a shuttle of its own, the Hermes as I'm sure you're aware. It was canceled. ESA may have possibilities if the ATV vehicle they're developing is adapted for crewed flight but that will take equally as long as you're suggesting the CEV will in your pesemistic POV.
50+ indeed...only if you count unrelated commercial flights of MTV-esque satellites and the occassional Landsat. The only thing even remotely spaceflight related launched to the Moon was ESA's SMART-1, but not so much as an ounce of metal has landed on a planetary body; no cargo vehicles, no habitat modules, nothing. I'm not talking scientific probes I'm talking useable equiptment directly adapted for human use - there's a world of difference, or should I say two worlds since the Moon's involved.
Pardon my flames but I always try to inject logic into my conversations. You have your moments as well gaetanomarano.
We ought to rename this topic the "Best Outer Planets' Moons To Send Crew".
Ok I'll make my list up:
Jupiter: Callisto, dull as it is but I have to admit the low-radiation threat can't be ignored.
Saturn: Titan - I don't see the atmosphere as a burden but a blessing. It could be used for aerobraking which can't be done on the airless moons, you get methane fuel from the air itself w/o processing, it doesn't have the huge radiation threat the Galilean moons of Jupiter bear (at least not to my knowledge), and outside the rings of Saturn it is itself the biggest science target here.
Uranus: Tough choice. Miranda is the science moon but those canyons aren't good landing spots, so I'd vote for Titania since its the largest.
Neptune: Triton since it is pretty much the only major moon.
The SSME is not practical enough to be reused, that's why it was eliminated.
As for the 5-seg SRB and J-2X they're updates on old hardware.
I think this sums up how we think to paraphrase some StarWars ....
*RedStreak Skywalker* "Your overconfidence in Ariane is your weakness."
*Darth gaetanomarano* "Your faith in the SRB is yours."
On this topic I thought to mention the upcoming Phoenix lander being build out of Arizona. Technically its not a rover but it is going to be digging for ices in the soil and off and on I hear talk about a drilling mechanism if not for it than possibly a successor lander.
...anyone's guess how well a 5-segment SRB will perform...
after thinking, writing, talking and posting around for weeks about the 5-segments SRB... I think that it has no future and will be one of the next things scrapped from ESAS 2.0 (or 3.0, 4.0, 5.0...)
*cough* says the guy who advocates the Ariane V even though the Hermes it was designed to carry was canceled decades ago *cough cough*
Seriously though, I would be willing to bet more money on the 5 segment-SRV for carrying crewed vehicles than the Ariane V...and I'm betting with American dollars too not Euros either.
...use of a 4 segment for the CLV/CEV would also require some engineering changes...
true, but less work than build the 5-segments since they must only adapt the standard SRB, not redesign it from (near) zero (the new SRB needs changes to grain, dimension, nozzle, propellent shape, recovery system, etc.)
How much work will be debateable, but either way work needs to be done so its a "damned if you do, damned if you don't" situation in short.
However...NASA will damn itself moreso if it backs out now and returns to the original "reuse the shuttle until we burst all our astronauts into flame" senerio. If it comes out a billion overrun I would be willing to look the other way...however if it gets into 5+ billion overrun definetely take concern.
The plan is not flawed, neither is the CEV. To me its the best compromise using what we got now with what space advocates...at least those with a sensible brain (such as Zubrin on one of his more sane days)...have been preaching and begging for years on end.
Rutan and his commercial bretheren are promising...but at this moment they're not up to much more beyond taking tourists on costly trips.
I think we are well past the stage of using animals like monkeys or even dogs as "human test dummies".
If you're going to test using animals its cheaper to use either a facility like ISS or a ground based one if possible, and its more likely creatures like mice or perhaps specific creatures sensitive to key factors would be required.
The damn monekys are endangered enough as is...
Eventually NASA will have to select sites for planetary bases as the VSE advances and both scientists and engineers press for off-Earth sites of operation.
Feel free to suggest where would be ideal locations for sites of human settlement on either Mars or Luna. Try to cite merits on accessibility from orbit, resource potential, science potential, safety, and anything else that'd merit considering such a locale for a human base.
I'll make the first suggestions of course.
For Luna: Since water is scarce the lunar poles are likely candidates. I will be more specific and say de Gerlache crater in the South Pole-Aitken basin. It itself is one of the craters believed to hold polar ice. The basin as a whole due to its depth into the crust offers great potential for lunar geological science and even sampling the lunar mantle. Resource extraction including ice (if cornfirmed naturally), metals, and LOX are possible so for creating a self-sustaining lunar colony it's prime relstate. The down sides are the terrain, which is cratered, and the extreme southerly position imposing orbital maneuvering.
For Mars: Kasei Vallis is the planet's most impressive channel system on the planet, and even if it was a short-lived mass flood it lead from the northern basins almost directly into Mariner Valley itself - if you want research on ancient hydrological cycles you can hardly get better or finding sites for Martian fossils. It is also adjacent to numerous locales: to the East Chryse where Viking 1 sits, to the South the glory of Mariner Valley with the network of the Layberinth of the Night to the Southwest, and to the West not just Olympus or even the Tharsis Mons but numerous volcanoes.
Conventional rockets will likely be the only way to get from the Earth's surface to Lunar orbit for quite some time. However, if you're talking about launching from a base on the lunar surface...
Ok, conventional rockets for certain although there's the hydrogen import problem, lunar dust rockets if they can't be made for orbital still have the potential to be effective suborbital rockets for Lunar exploration, and add to that the rail gun launcher and those are the three ideas I see as being simultainioudly practical and foreseeable.
Nuclear propulsion could be applied to the Moon, but I fear finding and refining the uranium fuel rods nessicary will impose engineering, economical, political, and even security risks. Even if oxygen alone is the working propellant I doubt uranium will be easily obtained.
Solar thermal propulsion is only a slightly smaller joke than solar sails. Too much flimbsy hardware that needs to be deployed, angled, and even repaired versus the constant power from either fuel cells, solar cells, or nuclear power that's simply 'turned on'.
The lunar equivellant of a geosyncronus station could be constructed - the trick is the only connecting point would be the L2 Lagrange position since every other Lagrange position is too close to Earth or unstable. It would make an efficent spaceport for craft arriving or departing from Cislunar space, and it'd definetely aid in spreading LOX to the solar system from Luna as opposed to a network of tankers.
Between what's being reported it sounds almost like its anyone's guess how well a 5-segment SRB will perform. A 50/50 senerio, figures...
I think this is where the actual engineering tests will solve things.
Glad to hear someone giving the STS technology some credit.
The SRB is rated the safest for any solid rocket booster - compared to any of the EEVLs so many seem to tote as being viable alternatives it is known to be safe. Also the EEVLs don't provide enough power - they could maybe launch the CEV alone but not the EDS, LSAM by a long shot. Zubrin in his Mars Direct shot them down because they require numerous multiple launches *cough cough like the ISS*
To me it sounds like the plan is becoming more viable, but I will admit alot will hinge on the abilities of the 5-segment SRB. However, whereas the Challenger and Columbia perished because NASA was too hesitant to take charge or risk the VSE will make the risk truly worth something...in other words actual space exploration versus studying guppies having sex in orbit as an old political comic pointed out when the shuttle was orbiting on Apollo 11's 25th anniversery.
If it is simply intermixed with the dust it may be easy to gather. Essentially you use a beefed-up rover with a snow shovel and collection baskets to the sides.
Once collected the dust would have to be sorted as much as possible. A good-old-fashion sifter in one form or another at least. This may vary depending on the exact form of the ice which makes identifying it beforehand definetely vital.
Taking the portion of the dust that is primarily ice then you simply thaw it, either directly with solar light or in a microwave powered by solar panels. Once liquid pump the water through a filter to eliminate the final bits of lunar dust.
As for what to do with the water just store it as H2O I say. In that form alone there'd be plenty of uses for it at a lunar base. Any cryogenic H2 or O2 should be meant as short-term storage for immediate launches otherwise we'd be wasting water - only use electrolosis to break it up when we absolutely need to. It takes more effort and energy even in the shaded regions of the moon to keep O2 and H2 at those temperatures so, again, only when nessicary.
Now if the ice is intermixed with solid rock, which hopefully isn't as likely, then we'd need even tougher equiptment; certainly an automated jackhammer at least. Add rock crushers to the aforementioned extraction process and it'd be mostly the same.
LOX production should be a priority indeed. Its application to the RLSAM would be lowering the resupply mass by extracting it from lunar soil (or regolith if you want to be technical). As I said in my big statement atop page 8 it should be considered since it will allow, for instance, more H2 to be imported, more base equiptment, ect.
I agree G. Its not an unreasonable architecture that is simply getting the minor details filled in is all. Again its better to build something than not to go at all as you said.
Nothing surprising, special, nor indicitive of a downward spiral of doom.
*someone at a NASA center blows a part favor for the support*
It doesn't sound completely unnerving. The CEV diameter is being maintained and if they can minimize the size of something while maintaining priorities then there's no problems.
Looking at the picture the whole spacecraft looks a little 'dumpier' but hey, size isn't everything. The CEV is meant first and foremost to carry crew safely to and from the Earth - anything else is secondary.
A bonus of a smaller SM would be to the LSAM, which is already tasked to perform the trans lunar burn with the EDS, leaving more room for exclusively lunar equiptment and propellant.
So again this doesn't mean any inherent problems right away.
Get Ares V built at all costs.
Oh definetely. I'd even prioritize that over the Ares I and CEV.
Consider large HLLV nuclear-electric craft under a black budget that can also be used as probes
Nuclear is a major iffy - sure it provide constant and maybe even more power than solar but if you plan for more than a couple RTGs you'll have not just every enviormental agency on your back but the Atomic Associations.
These can come later and are a bone thown to the all-science folks. This will be for cargo only and reusable.
Good to see you're being realistic.
Place a station in Lunar orbit with small micro-landers for quick sample returns with the station as a safehouse.
A similar discussion was made before - Lunar space stations aren't nessicary and it'd be wiser to keep landers on the moon rather than worry over a free-floating platform being dragged down by the surface's uneven gravity.
The moon base would be near any fissure, evacuated lava tube found and filled with air.
Not a bad idea actually once you find such sites; I heard similar ideas floated for Mars too.
Direct missions with capsules atop Ares V.
A lot of mass can be moved very quickly--and the science mongers get JIMO out of the deal too.
Good news and bad news. I agree with the Ares V idea, especially to allow for larger varriants of the CEV. Bad news is JIMO is dead - it and Prometheus were canceled just before O'Keffe resigned.
Good to see some people thinking here and with different ideas.
Right. Testing with 4-segments isn't nessicarily bad -it would at least give engineers an idea how the vehicle would behave relistically in flight.
I'm willing to try the stick, but if it proves too complicated switch to the lower stage of the CaLV.
Not a bad architecture. Obviously when we have just expendable vehicles we prioritize scouting a suitable site and then work to establish long-term essentials like power, life-support, and LOX production to make way for the RLSAM.
Until we have confirmation on accessible lunar ice I have to second the LH2 importation, certainly for the initial base setup. As an idea consider storing the LH2 in H2O to avoid cryogenics.
If sending up a 2nd CLV with a EDS atop is possible I recommend that.
For a Reuseable LSAM concept we ought to establish several bare minimums so the purpose of the vehicle isn't skewed too horrifically.
1) Exclusively for crewed vehicles.
- The only reason today that spacecraft return to Earth is to retrieve samples for more intensive study on Earth and, for more obvious reasons, to return men and women safely back to Earth. With scientific equiptment and laboratories being established on the lunar surface and geologists coming for "hands-on-research" the need to bring back lunar samples diminishes quickly. A cargo vehicle's purpose is to deliver the maximum amount of cargo; for reuseability you have to sacrifice a solid portion of that cargo capacity - which is why the shuttles are no longer in the buisness of delivering even military satellites into orbit. If a VSE cargo-exclusive lander can deliver a few tens of cargo to the Moon, its purpose it done with no need of extensive redesign. Also...why would we bring LOX from the Moon? Why to lower propellant cost and breathable atmosphere. But if people are on the Moon, there's no need to take it beyond lunar orbit, and if our limit is lunar orbit then we just load up the RLSAM with our LOX. No reuseable unmanned landers period.
2) Optimized for operations in lunar space.
- Once its brought to lunar orbit the RLSAM is in its element. Taking it anywhere beside the Moon itself is not just unessicary but wasted effort. A lunar lander is meant to deliver people to and from the Moon. In both the old Apollo and VSE architectures the lander is dumped anyway once the crew is ready for the trip Earthward. If it is reuseable may as well keep it there, but nothing like flimbsy heatshields ought to be added at all.
3) Supplemented by LOX.
- If we have to constantly send all the propellants to the Moon it undermines the benefits of the RLSAM, so at the very least we should eliminate oxygen out of the equation. Possibly H2 from Lunar Ice but that's still iffy, but LOX should be possible to establish with expendable landers and then utilized by reuseable ones. The benefit of RLSAM is to reduce the mass needed from Earth - adding LOX further reduces it.
4) Realistic reuseability.
- GCNRevenger pointed out the innevitable damage caused by radiation and even micro-meteoroids. And as the shuttle itself has taught us a vehicle can only be reused so many times. The autonomous Progress is used once as will ESA's ATV, but surely more flights could be done than that. I suggest conservatively 5 to 10 reuses before 'retiring' a lander on the Moon. Even then its a piece of equiptment not mere garbage, so once on the Moon canibalize the crew compartment while saving the fuel tanks.
Anyone want to make suggestons, further amendments to this RLSAM 'draft'?
It doesn't matter
It really does matter:[list]
if everything is reusable, then the only cost is propelant.. if it takes 1000 MT of lunar ice to put 100 MT to LEO, you burn 900 MT to do it.. it would be cheaper than building ares 5
~Those tugs and mega landers (or fleet of smaller ones) will cost alot of money to develop and build that you wouldn't need otherwise.
And that in turn leads to a Lunar fiasco equivellant to ISS. If the plan's kept simple that's our best chance.
These are not infinitely reuseable, and are only going to be good for so many trips, especially with solar flares, the Van Allen belts, and aerobraking erosion. A billion dollar tug, a billion dollar lander, another billion dollars for support, and a billion to launch both over ten flights and you still lose versus expendable Ares-V and lose big to lander reuse only. And loses even bigger to a partially reuseable launch vehicle too I bet.
Given those factors I'd give, conservatively, a RLSAM 5 to 10 uses before permenantly grounding it on the Moon, and by that either a final landing or a junked crash - preferable the first if we want to salvage the equiptment especially for the propellant tanks. That's more cost effective than the regular dumping of Russian Progress or stretching it out as riskily as the space shuttles.
but, if you can get this propelant elsewhere you don't have to send it from earth.. you can get it from moon.. you can get it from comets.. you can get it from asteoroids...but to reuse them, you need to develop space refuling, aerobraking, manufacturing, avtomate things as much as posible..
No no no, all this mining, reuse, and development and whatnot, its all so expensive that it can actually be more expensive than simply importing from Earth, and are all these things really harder than an Earth RLV or even a partially reuseable rocket?
Totally agreed GCN. That's thinking too far ahead and too out of reach. We have to balance everything realistically. The Shuttle has proven that a RLV isn't cost effective versus expendable nor safe. I'd go with the VSE plan as it is first and foremost, as long as some equiptment is landed on the lunar surface itself. Only after some rudimentary LOX is established is reuseability an open option, and even then we still have to largely work with what we have now.