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#376 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Orion (CEV / SM) - status » 2006-08-31 22:10:48

The X-33 raises a few concerns but Lockheed was as good a choice as Boeing.

I notice the solar pannels ressemble those of the upcoming Phoenix mission to Mars; given Lockheed's connections makes some sense and I suppose such a configuration might save room when folded.

I'm eager for future details.

#377 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-08-29 14:37:41

$15M for a Soyuz seat is under its real cost and Russia doesn't need to make money with the Soyuz since they receive a flood of billion$$$ (every year!) from oil and methane

...not when their space agency gets a mere fraction of it.  Don't confuse gross national income with funding for a specific agency - the amount ur thinking of is divided across a whole board of agencies.

#378 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-08-29 08:17:13

Ariane-V is no more built to launch capsules than Delta-IV HLV, which would take almost as much money to modify and make ready than Ares-I.

That Russia is charging the US for Soyuz seats at all is abhorrant to me, and shows just how little good faith the ISS project has garnerd with them. Even at that cost, I bet Russia is making several million dollars in profit from it.

Good points on both GCNR.  Gaetanomarano, if the Ariane-V can be modified, it'll be a project ESA will be doing on its own just like the forthcoming ATV.  It will take time as GCNR is trying to explain...but if ESA can pull it off, more power to them.

The USA can't put complete trust into another country to support a launch vehicle - we need one we can exclusively fund, construct, and launch.  International partnership is optional, not required.  This was a point Zuberin made in Mars Direct and one that the failure of the ISS has blatantly pointed out.

Again, the only option regarding international involvement worth considering is just making the systems compatable - in short just able to dock with one another.  This might be easier to convience with ESA, but Russia and China with their ripped-off-from-Russia hardware may not be so quick.  The Iron curtian may have fallen, but there are times where pieces of its fabric continue to get in the way of things.

#379 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-08-27 14:48:52

...You mean like the Shuttle?

like the Shuttle and the Ares-I but at 1/10th their price
that means... 250 mT launched at the same price of an Ares-I...

Its funny how when people say 1/10th price it ends up ballooning to more like 20/10ths of the original price...

#380 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-27 14:45:13

The first, rich French "adventurers" first contacted the aboriginals where Quebec City is now, lived it up, and then they left.

As is well known, many of the settlers in the New World began as indentured servants, often no better than slaves, who had to work-off their loans for years, before becoming their own masters. The same presumably will take place on Mars....

That's hard to picture happening today.

Initially, due to extreme expense and conditions, likely only scientists will be doing much of anything on both Mars and the Moon.  Mars especially, since I doubt may people are willing to dedicate themselves to 6 months of boredom en route and then another 6 back and add 2 or so years waiting for launch windows.  At the least it will weed-out those of the faint-hearted, the attention-deficet disorder(ly), and buisness entrepenaurs who think very short-term.

A few wealth adventurers akin to the Quebec and current Space Enthusiasts may come...but even if space travel becomes more commonplace people won't move so far unless there's a huge gain to merit the risk.

#381 Re: Human missions » ISS - Beware the Bear » 2006-08-24 21:21:28

The Russians are capable of alot, but I treat them as a player standing on a wobbly stool, much as China.

If they balance right and have a little luck, such as with their Phobos-Grunt probe, they certainly they may reach the Moon if not Mars.  However just look at their current budget as well as their track record.  They have noteworthy successes but they're rarely had consecutive ones.

#382 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-24 21:17:12

Heh, indeed.

I think what we'll be seeing is unmanned exploration being more directed toward finding key resources, water, and locations to better optimize manned exploration.

What I'd hope for is, likewise, the LSAM vehicle being optimized, at least in the unmanned cargo varriant, being optimized to land scientific equiptment and habitat equiptment.

We need to make the two 'generes' of spaceflight compatable.

#383 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Methods to Lunar Orbit » 2006-08-24 20:56:04

Magnetic levitaion is not a bad idea, but it sounds borderline to the plain rail-gun proposal.  Still no harm in combining a rail-gun with a lunar rocket...

Don't underestimate the threat of meteoroids.  Those sails are still supported by struts so a critical hit can bring down a LARGE section which starts affecting your plans...

Yes, cargo obviously if anything.  Problem is solar sails need to be very light or else you require obscenely larger sails.  You need to slowly deploy those sails...and as Skylab and the ISS have demonstrated the compartely squat solar panels prove unfluring sail like structures won't be 100% perfect 100% of the time.  It starts becoming an ineffective balancing act worse than propellant loads on chemical rocket launches.

Again regarding those ground stations, too much stuff here on Earth will be in the way, whether its built by NASA or SpaceX.  Giant mirrors or giant laser beams don't come cheap and their beams will be blinding if not occassionally lethal.  The Moon would be a better site to use but don't expect immediate contruction.  Also what happens if your target is NOT Earth or the Moon?  You'll need multiple stations to slow you down, save perhaps Mercury or Venus where the light pressure increases.

#384 Re: Human missions » We have a new planet - Ceres » 2006-08-24 20:43:21

I don't think 'dwarf' is an appropriate name - people will still say 'planet'.

A whole new name should be created, something like planetoid would be perfect for instance - it suggests it is both planet-like and yet with characteristics like that of an asteroid.  Isn't that what Pluto, Xena, and even Ceres all have in common and yet each is still a unique world?

Astronomers are notorious uncreative...such as that 'Pluton' remark that geologists had to point out was already one of their terms.

#385 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-24 20:39:34

That is why the CEV Design will be the only design used to go to the moon or mars without the express permission on the US Government because the would use the NAtional Interest Policy to have economic / trade or resource constraints with suppliers to foreign space facilities.

Well if it flies I won't have anything against it.

#386 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-24 14:28:30

Quite an interesting tale for the ISS and STS indeed.  That helps to put their existance in perspective, and definetely shows the political aspects of them.

Let us hope the CEV remains on target for the Moon regardless of who wants to use it in their schemes.

#387 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Methods to Lunar Orbit » 2006-08-24 14:24:19

Solar thermal propulsion is only a slightly smaller joke than solar sails. Too much flimbsy hardware that needs to be deployed, angled, and even repaired versus the constant power from either fuel cells, solar cells, or nuclear power that's simply 'turned on'.

I certialy don't agree that solar-sails are a joke, they may prove to be an immensily pratical method of moving things about the solar system.  They are slow, but they require no fuel (having an infinate) ISP and are reusable.  Certianly in the inner system they are pretty much unbeatable.

As for Solar Thermal propulsion, I was refering to a system where the solar energy was "beamed" or reflected to the craft from a ground station, rather than carrying it's own mirrors.  Only a secoundary reflector might be required.  Alternatively Laser or Microwave power could be used, however these would require eletrical power generation, while reflected light is pretty much free, and mirrors could be light and cheep.

In space the Solar Thermal concept (carrying it's own mirrors this time) is viable, but inferior to NTR issue.

Ok two problems I immediately see with solar sails that would keep me from supporting it:  extremely slow thrust - they make ion propulsion look like a Ferrari by comparison; a solar sail a few square kilometers in area makes a pretty fine target to a swarm of micrometeoroids - I don't care if kevlar struts support it I just can't trust a propulsion system thinner than the plastic in my garbage bags.  I could see an unmanned interstellar spacecraft making some use of it, but it is, sadly, the epitome of impractical.

NASA or any space agency is not going to contruct ground stations for remote propulsion. Worse still, just like laser pen lights, a beam like that would blind any stray airplane or satellite in its path.

If a propulsion system takes more than 10 days to reach simply the Moon from LEO or vice versa I have to say it is "out of the race" for human passengers.

#388 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-23 22:17:38

RedStreak,

Then why build the ISS in that orbit , If it can't be used for Lunar Expansion and Mars Expansion ? Again Misuse of government and taxpayer money !!!!!! Again another reason for the public not trusting NASA to get to the Moon and Mars without spending 400 Billion dollars .  !!!!!

The only reason its up there is because of the ties to international cooperation otherwise it'd have been canceled years ago.  Blame Regan and Space Station Freedom.

#389 Re: Planetary transportation » Helium » 2006-08-23 17:27:35

...................................................

No offense but the laws of physics apply everywhere so, in short, yes...yes helium will still provide lift in the Martian atmosphere.  I'm pretty sure you could have gotten your answers in the Dirigible forum.

...only place helium and hydrogen wouldn't be so effective would be on gas giants - when the atmosphere is already primarily hydrogen its hard to get something heavy to lift above all that.

...oh and, of course, on airless planets too.

#390 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-23 17:23:35

"the only application left for the ISS, and this is one included in the VSE - funding allowing - is research into the effects of space on human physiology. Even then we know the basics: without gravity the body slowly falls apart and the more radiation you're exposed to the greater your risk of cancer."

Except the ISS is in low Earth orbit below the protection of the Van Allen belts, and is thus useless for determining the health effects of cosmic/solar particle radiation.

Err...kinda overkilling poor ISS I see.  Still the Van Allen belt comment is true.

#391 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-23 10:35:53

At the same time use the ISS as our luanch platform for interplanetary missions and lunar missions. The public would see the benefit for the space station and would continue the support into the space program and may even expand it towards the mars.

Overall GCNR, you don't understand the management of resource allocation, public support for the space program and the increasing demands on the space vehicle platform over the next decades to come.

Martin...do you realize the ISS is in a roughly 50+ degree angled orbit?  That was decided upon because of our partnership with Russia that, while being useful, was basically a last-ditch effort that put the last nail in the ISS coffin for applications beyond its drying puddle of LEOresearch applicaions.

High orbital inclinations impose large correction maneuvers, therefore the more inclined the orbit the more propellants you must consume to get in alignment with your target.  Inversely, given how the moon is only 3 degrees off the Earth's equator in alignment...to go from the ISS to Lunar orbit would involve an even larger version of those second stages you blogged to GCNR that you despise so much...

So...

*a giant second stage falls on top of Martin_Tristar* Enjoy you present.  Maybe the ISS can use the remote manipulator arm to pry that off ya while the rest of us take a ride of the CEV to lunar orbit and moon ya.  tongue

In seriousness...the only application left for the ISS, and this is one included in the VSE - funding allowing - is research into the effects of space on human physiology.  Even then we know the basics: without gravity the body slowly falls apart and the more radiation you're exposed to the greater your risk of cancer.

Space Station telescopes were scrapped because the vibration from life support would jarr their sensors, material sciences left because Earth-bound research is improving, and pharmacutical companies lost interest.  Possibly, and even hopefully, ESA and Japan might add such equiptment to their science modules but even then no direct applications beyond life sciences.

Nothing that visits the ISS will actually go anywhere else...even the CEVs that are 'station-bound' will be modified for servicing it alone, never the Moon.

When I was maybe 10 I had hopes for the space station but politics pretty much f***ed it all up to be blunt.  The CEV at least has a few hopes tied to it.

#392 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-23 10:27:31

Project Orion already exists, historically (The mega nuke-launcher)

No...at best Orion the nuke-powered-starship existed on theoretical papers.  I think there may have been a model powered by dynamite explosions but either way, Orion was never actually built...and thankfully so!

The only name even remotely stupid to me would be "Project Uranus" - spearheaded by high school Beavis and Buttheads to probe the deepest darkest reaches of the black hole...  tongue

#393 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-23 10:23:45

Using past veto-ed names isn't unprescidented.  The Voyager program, for instance, was originally the persuror of what later became Viking progam but at the time in the 1960s it was canceled for being too complex to undertake and the life-seeking experiments to expensive or ambitious.  And, obviously, the name was reused for the wildly successful twin fly-by craft and...heh...a certain Star Fleet spacecraft piloted by a Captain Janeway  wink

Orion itself is a pretty well-known astronomical name so it's not a bad choice.  I certainly can't see "The Big Dipper" (or even "Ursa Major" if you will) being looked at as a respectable name...

#394 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-08-23 10:16:52

Suffice to say gaetanomarano you're trying to make a point of China being, at the least, a potential candidate for future space domination.

Lets save further comments on China for another forum - we're starting to get off track from the Ares I which IS the actual topic here...

#395 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2006-08-22 18:38:31

now the China space program is slow, but China has the money and the engineers to do more and (I think) in the next decade their space program will grow VERY QUICKLY

The only reason China has much of anything is because they copied a signifigant portion of hardware from the Russians and managed to update it marginally.

Money is debateable - I don't think they have any more money than the Russians if not less.

Never hurts to keep an eye out on 'competition' but China is not a concern for the immediate future.  10 years maybe, but not now.

#396 Re: Human missions » We have a new planet - Ceres » 2006-08-21 16:21:48

Keep in mind they're still debating.  They're simply outlined the most basic definition of a planet - i.e. something big and round.  There's bound to be devils in the details.

Still I advocate visiting Ceres.  It's obviously the biggest thing between Mars and Jupiter, its likely a prime example of the bodies that existed in the solar system during planetary formation, and it likely is a world unto itself...which may prove it worthy of the planet title.

#397 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-21 04:35:39

Probably the first crew number for the first twenty years of moon visits but, as soon as commercial spaceflight catches up....  wink

#398 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-20 22:51:08

Now its time to expand the development of space with newer designed for the payload to carry personnel and cargo into orbit and beyond. All issues have solutions and we could develop a long term crew vehicle for ferrying personnel to orbit their to a space station / factory or another space vessel.  I find that you want to throw things away all the time and yet don't want to move forward in creating a space industry that  can accomplish the ideals of many of the mars society members and other space society members are working towards, which is Human Settlement in space NOT joyrides, NOT tourist missions, BUT permanent settlements and outposts.

People, keep in mind, don't tend to settle until an area is well established.  Space will be littered with tourists for a few decades before anyone commits to abandoning Earth for a home elsewhere.  Not many nowadays are willing to leave purely on ideals, we're not pilgrams anymore, we're suburbanites.

With a little luck it will happen, but alot of time is needed.

#399 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-20 22:43:12

Actually Martin_Tristar I have an idea what you mean.  H2 and O2 make water, which is perfectly natural versuses fuels like keroseone, methane, and certainly hypergolics.  That was an idea behind the X-33 (as a bad example I'll admit).  And I also note how garbage is piling up on the ocean bottom courtesey of spent rocket shells and even LEO debris too.  Eventually a completely reuseable booster that is purely H2O in terms of waste will arrive...but given all the priorities space flight has to face and the larger concern of a few million cars around the world...

...well the sheer math explains itself.  However your point is valid all the same.


Regarding government funding government is gonverment for better or worse.  :?   It was tough enough to get the VSE accepted as is.

#400 Re: Human missions » CEV is Bullshi... » 2006-08-20 21:43:22

To limit the waste of modules in space we design the launch vehicle on a return via parachutes to earth when expended its fuel...

This would allow the creation of orbital logistic systems to remote transfer of fuel and supplies to space stations and other platforms in orbit within the use of humans. Then returning the payload vessels back to earth to be reused under the reuseablility doctrine.  ( example payload vessel used 25 missions would reduce the costs by 24 spacecrafts. The use of hydrogen and oxygen propellant  also in large quantities are reused when the earth's gravity draws the spent particles back to earth and the propellant is environmentally responsible.

So you plan on using the Earth's gravity to supply propellants?  :?

Look...you're advocating saving fuel, right?  Why not consider, for long space voyages, storing fuel and propellant in one wonderful package: it's called H2O.  If you want one of these giant vessels lugging H2 and O2 across space considering doing it at non-cryogenic temps.

Aside from that, refer to what GNC and I wrote on reuseability.  We're not saying its a crock but we're keeping it real.

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