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#3726 Re: Not So Free Chat » Newt Gingrich vs John McCain: Who'd make a better President. » 2006-12-27 09:18:09

I voted for McCain but surely you can come up with some better choices.

I just recognize that John McCain has been very critical of NASA and even wanted to cut its budget on occasion. I think Gingrich would be a better choice, since he had his proposal to award prizes for independent contractors achieving space goals. I have't a clue about Rudy Gulliani. Hillarr Clinton tries to be all things to all people, I'm not sure she would dependably push a Mars program, she tends to blow with the fickle winds of popular opinion. Obama is a big blank slate that the US Media is pushing, I don't know what he stands for, but the Press thinks he is such a great guy, personally I think he is the Media's affirmative Action program for the White House. The only reason I can think of for electing him is to be America's first black President, and I'm sorry that's not a good enough reason.

#3727 Re: Human missions » Big Dumb Boosters revisited » 2006-12-27 01:01:50

Give me a Sea Dragon, and place some large modules on the lunar surface. If some automated craft can slowly grow (assemble) mass-drivers, then you need no spacecraft at all once your infrastructure is up and independant.

The oceans have been well explored enough to virtually rule out the existance of sea dragons, and even if we could capture one, I doubt it would do us much good for getting to the Moon. Sea dragons are mythological creatures, just like unicorns and pixies, I doubt fairy tales offer us any avenue of approach for exploring the moon, the cow thing has been tried, there jumping skills are highly over-rated in such books.

#3728 Re: Human missions » Big Dumb Boosters revisited » 2006-12-27 00:57:00

Big Dumb Boosters?
Where the astronauts use a sextant and a pocket watch while manually aiming the spaceship and timing the controlled burns with frequent course corrections for the trans-lunar injection.

#3729 Re: Human missions » Energia's lunar plan » 2006-12-27 00:54:04

If I read the diagram correctly, they launch, orbit Luna and then land on a twin earth?  :?  lol

Seriously, the diagram looks very involved, lots of docking, 6 launches per mission or am I mistaken?

Yes, I saw that movie, they land on a twin Earth where everything is backwards. The cosmonauts think they are meeting their girlfriends and wives, but they notice they are left-handed when last they remember ther were right-handed, also they require a mirror to read anything, the Sun also rises in the West and sets in the East, and they are examined by the psychologist and put in a nut house when they claim to be not of this Earth.

#3730 Re: Not So Free Chat » Newt Gingrich vs John McCain: Who'd make a better President. » 2006-12-27 00:46:46

As far as manned space exploration is concerned, I think Newt is our man.

#3731 Re: Not So Free Chat » Why does U.S.A. support Israel? - Finally, I'm Asking » 2006-12-26 10:14:04

...You do pretend that fighting with higher moral position is a looser position, I do claim that fighting with higher moral position is a winner position, ...

Not always.

The Civil War was won by burning people's homes and farms to deprive the Confederate Army of their support.  The Confederate Army was literally starved into submission, and that was how we freed the slaves and ended this War.

I'm not advocating burning down people's homes by the way, it is just that sometimes this world provides us with some unsavory choices. General Sherman had to make one of those, he didn't enjoy burning down those homes, he wanted to end southern resistance once and for all and end the War, that was the greater good he sought, and he was a big advocate for reapproachment after the South surrendered, he was not an evil man, he just though ending the War with victory was more important than preserving people's private property.

#3732 Re: Not So Free Chat » Why does U.S.A. support Israel? - Finally, I'm Asking » 2006-12-24 15:52:24

...You do pretend that fighting with higher moral position is a looser position, I do claim that fighting with higher moral position is a winner position, ...

Not always.

The Civil War was won by burning people's homes and farms to deprive the Confederate Army of their support.  The Confederate Army was literally starved into submission, and that was how we freed the slaves and ended this War.

#3733 Re: Not So Free Chat » Why does U.S.A. support Israel? - Finally, I'm Asking » 2006-12-24 15:44:26

As for hypocracy, modern warfare does not always allow for morally consistant positions. If its the "white knights" versus the Barbarians, the Barbarians will always win. I feel that it is more important for us to stop the Barbarians than it is for us to act as "white knights."

So, you allow yourself an unconsistant moral position.
You do pretend that fighting with higher moral position is a looser position, I do claim that fighting with higher moral position is a winner position, allowing to get public opinion support, to get more easy capitulations in ennemies ranks if they know that if they surrender, they will be well treated. If not, they will tend to fight to death.

So I think that not only you are a poor strategist as well as a poor psycologist, but worse a poor morality human being.

Do you think you live in a storybook world, where there is always a moral at the end of each story?

Sometime the question is simply that of survival.

If the good guys don't win, then Evil wins.

If you let the evil side win then evil triumphs.

But sometimes the only strategy for defeating the forces of evil is slightly evil itself.

The dilemma is this, in order to survive the evil you are facing, you must do something that is somewhat evil yourself, and if you refuse to do that, the evil truimphs totally and the result is much worse.

Do you pretend that situations like that don't occur in the real world?

Terrorism often requires that you risk harming innocents in order to fight it. There is often no perfect strategy that you can follow where you can harm only the guilty and none of the innocent. If the good side adheres to a rigid moral conduct where it always gives the potentially guilty the benefit of the doubt in order to spare the innocent, then evil wins and none of the inncent is spared in their victory.

If you would rather the United States lose than do something wrong in order to win, then the terrorists win, the United States falls, and you don't get another chance to fight them, but in your perfect world, I suppose that never happens, for God is watching over you, and He makes sure that situations like that never occur, is that what you believe?

I think the United States represents the better of the two civilizations when held against that of the Islamic terrorists, and I think it should win and survive even if it has to do something evil in order to achieve victory. Because if the terrorists win, there will be no mercy for any of us, and no freedom either, no freedom of thought, no freedom of religion. Now if you want the US military to act as perfect knights in fighting these hordes, then they will fall, and fail to protect the civilization they claim to represent, is that what you want?

Most liberals avoid moral dillemmas whenever they occur, they shrink from them and hide in their shells shirking responsibility for the outcome.

Here is a simple question: If terrorists are shooting at you from a crowd that contains innocents, do you fire back?

Most liberals would say you don't fire back and let them slaughter you. If you follow their advice then the terrorists win and they can slaughter the innocents in the crowd at their leisure after they have gotten you out of the way.

So do you fire back into the crowd and almost certainly kill some innocents while shooting atthe badguys?

Most liberals are "Now People", they only care if you fight well and honorably, not if you win. Liberals don't care about the ultimate ourcome of the conflict only that you fight as righteous soldiers and never harm a hair on a innocent's head, even if that means you lose. Liberals can't see the big picture however, they want us sending our soldiers into the slaughterhouse have the enemy grind them up and giving them rules of conduct designed to protect the innocent and which also guarantee that they can't win, and after a while after we've slaughtered enough of our soldiers by their rules of engagement, they declare the war to be unwinable and say we should concede and retreat. The ultimate outcome for a policy of retreat will be our final demise and the distruction of the civilization, and the liberals within, that put these extreme demands on our soldiers to do no evil no matter what.

#3734 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-20 14:00:22

A robot digger would be so specialized that it can hardly do anything else other than dig, such a robot could not repair itself for example and another digger robot could not repair it. You would probably need to send a specialized robot for each task you wish to perform on the Moon. Robots do have life support requirements, they need a power supply for one, they need lubricants to move their parts and they need maintenence. Once solution is just to send another robot whenever one breaks down, or you can send a bunch of robots designed to do the same thing, holding some in reserve in the antidipation of breakdowns. Human require a certain amount of infrastructure in order to live on the Moon. The amount of infrastructure requires is substantial, but the more people you send, the less the infrastructure requirements are per person. Larger life support machines work more efficiently. If one has enough plants in an enclosed atmosphere, then they can remove carbon dioxide and add oxygen to the atmosphere, plants can also recycle human waste and produce food. Humans are retrainable, can perform a variety of tasks if given the right tools, robots have to be reprogrammed, debugged, and retooled if they are to perform a different task from which they were designed. A human can learn faster than a robot can be reprogrammed, debugged and  retooled, unless you already have the software ready to load, and even then with the specialized equipment NASA has things aren't so simple. Getting robots to do the simplest things can be frusterating at times due to bugs in the software.

A robot digger is a specialised piece of equipment and actually a particularily heavy one. There will be a need for such a device but the Moon and Mars are problem cases. Bulldozers are devices that require weight to be able to function and on the Moon and Mars the gravity reduces a bulldozers bite. We can get around this if we use the old fashioned method of drag lines or to use innovative technologies like wire brushing to pick up regolith. There is also trench digging and the ability to drill small holes for foundations. Sending a robot able to do all these is a specialised robot yes but one extremely useful piece of equipment. Other telerobotots will be able to not only do tasks that Humans can do but also use human tools.
Robonaut

This robot is able to not only use every tool that we have spent billions in designing for years but it is a robot series with a lot of potential and experience.

Another point is Robots can be repaired and in the Meteor crater this year they where able to repair each other. Parts can be replaced. One problem with Robots is that though we have developed good power sources, locomotion systems and sensors as well as ability to manipulate the world, we have not got the ability to get them to control themselves.

So that is why telerobotics is the best choice, These robots will be manipulated from Earth by people in the comfort of offices. These robots will be working refueling then working 24/7. The weak link is the human operators but have them set on shift work so the robots can keep running. Fuel for these robots can be anything from electric batteries or fuel cells to internal combustion systems to Nuclear particle fueled. Fuel cell being the most likely with solar cell backup. You state that Humans can learn fast correct but there are Humans in the loop so this advantage is negated in comparison to telerobotics.

We will not send a whole spare robot to the Moon if we do it will be working not wasteing space on a flight.

The site has to be thoughly prepared for robots to work in it in complete safety.

Not really it needs to be surveyed but only on a basic level something a basic survey robot can do. It can also plant markers for the incoming safety of the Human crews so they land on flat stable ground. This need for flat stable ground for takeoff is not an essential for the first ground survey robot.

Remember those coal mine accidents in Pennsyvania? They send humans into those mines, not telerobots, there must be a reason for this.

We also can't learn how to run a space base by sending telerobots only, they can't work on Mars after all. What we need to do is set up a community of humans on the moon, and the only way to find out how to do this is by setting up a community of humans on the Moon.

#3735 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-20 14:00:05

A robot digger would be so specialized that it can hardly do anything else other than dig, such a robot could not repair itself for example and another digger robot could not repair it. You would probably need to send a specialized robot for each task you wish to perform on the Moon. Robots do have life support requirements, they need a power supply for one, they need lubricants to move their parts and they need maintenence. Once solution is just to send another robot whenever one breaks down, or you can send a bunch of robots designed to do the same thing, holding some in reserve in the antidipation of breakdowns. Human require a certain amount of infrastructure in order to live on the Moon. The amount of infrastructure requires is substantial, but the more people you send, the less the infrastructure requirements are per person. Larger life support machines work more efficiently. If one has enough plants in an enclosed atmosphere, then they can remove carbon dioxide and add oxygen to the atmosphere, plants can also recycle human waste and produce food. Humans are retrainable, can perform a variety of tasks if given the right tools, robots have to be reprogrammed, debugged, and retooled if they are to perform a different task from which they were designed. A human can learn faster than a robot can be reprogrammed, debugged and  retooled, unless you already have the software ready to load, and even then with the specialized equipment NASA has things aren't so simple. Getting robots to do the simplest things can be frusterating at times due to bugs in the software.

A robot digger is a specialised piece of equipment and actually a particularily heavy one. There will be a need for such a device but the Moon and Mars are problem cases. Bulldozers are devices that require weight to be able to function and on the Moon and Mars the gravity reduces a bulldozers bite. We can get around this if we use the old fashioned method of drag lines or to use innovative technologies like wire brushing to pick up regolith. There is also trench digging and the ability to drill small holes for foundations. Sending a robot able to do all these is a specialised robot yes but one extremely useful piece of equipment. Other telerobotots will be able to not only do tasks that Humans can do but also use human tools.
Robonaut

This robot is able to not only use every tool that we have spent billions in designing for years but it is a robot series with a lot of potential and experience.

Another point is Robots can be repaired and in the Meteor crater this year they where able to repair each other. Parts can be replaced. One problem with Robots is that though we have developed good power sources, locomotion systems and sensors as well as ability to manipulate the world, we have not got the ability to get them to control themselves.

So that is why telerobotics is the best choice, These robots will be manipulated from Earth by people in the comfort of offices. These robots will be working refueling then working 24/7. The weak link is the human operators but have them set on shift work so the robots can keep running. Fuel for these robots can be anything from electric batteries or fuel cells to internal combustion systems to Nuclear particle fueled. Fuel cell being the most likely with solar cell backup. You state that Humans can learn fast correct but there are Humans in the loop so this advantage is negated in comparison to telerobotics.

We will not send a whole spare robot to the Moon if we do it will be working not wasteing space on a flight.

The site has to be thoughly prepared for robots to work in it in complete safety.

Not really it needs to be surveyed but only on a basic level something a basic survey robot can do. It can also plant markers for the incoming safety of the Human crews so they land on flat stable ground. This need for flat stable ground for takeoff is not an essential for the first ground survey robot.

Remember those coal mine accidents in Pennsyvania? They send humans into those mines, not telerobots, there must be a reason for this.

We also can't learn how to run a space base by sending telerobots only, they can't work on Mars after all. What we need to do is set up a community of humans on the moon, and the only way to find out how to do this is by setting up a community of humans on the Moon.

#3736 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-19 10:05:31

There are somethings a robot cannot do for itself. Most robots built are specialized for one task or another. A remote control robot would have a 2 second time delay, that would tend to make such robots somewhat clumsy when operated from Earth, their reflexes would be slow. If such a robot were to trip over a rock, the operator would know about it about one and a quarter seconds later, and would send the commands to catch itself to the robot and those commands would reach the robot after it is already lying on the ground. A teleoperated robot would have to move slowly and deliberately to avoid damaging itself. Another hazard of of working at the poles is losing direct line of site with Earth. If an operated decides to take a walk around the back side of a hill and loses direct line of site contact with Earth, the robot is lost, and another one has to be sent from Earth to continue the work. Probably a number of teleoperated robots would end up piled in shadowy craters and behind hill sides after awhile.

Correct robots are a lot more specialised than a human is, but they are also able to deal with terrain better and without life support requirements are able to function for a lot longer periods. The problem you describe of 4 second delays is not really that bad it is perfectly feasible to design in safety mechanisms and of course taking your time getting the job done deliberatly will work. We have experimented with robots with this delay programmed in and have even done Surgery on humans with telerobotic controled arms. What we have seen that though yes tele-controlled robots have to work at slower rates than humans there capacity to work 24/7 all the time gives them the advantage. If you have a telerobotic controlled regolith mover speed is not necassary just constant work. And 24/7 work is possible just by changing shifts at the Earth control stations and the cost of a robotic digger drivers wages are in space industry terms negligible.

A robot digger would be so specialized that it can hardly do anything else other than dig, such a robot could not repair itself for example and another digger robot could not repair it. You would probably need to send a specialized robot for each task you wish to perform on the Moon. Robots do have life support requirements, they need a power supply for one, they need lubricants to move their parts and they need maintenence. Once solution is just to send another robot whenever one breaks down, or you can send a bunch of robots designed to do the same thing, holding some in reserve in the antidipation of breakdowns. Human require a certain amount of infrastructure in order to live on the Moon. The amount of infrastructure requires is substantial, but the more people you send, the less the infrastructure requirements are per person. Larger life support machines work more efficiently. If one has enough plants in an enclosed atmosphere, then they can remove carbon dioxide and add oxygen to the atmosphere, plants can also recycle human waste and produce food. Humans are retrainable, can perform a variety of tasks if given the right tools, robots have to be reprogrammed, debugged, and retooled if they are to perform a different task from which they were designed. A human can learn faster than a robot can be reprogrammed, debugged and  retooled, unless you already have the software ready to load, and even then with the specialized equipment NASA has things aren't so simple. Getting robots to do the simplest things can be frusterating at times due to bugs in the software.

The problem you describe with the lack of direct site Earth control is reasonably easy to fix. Repeater stations can be deployed which will allow broad coverage of any area and that includes in the blind spots around hills. These supported by polar satelites we will have to install anyway will help. These repeater stations have another function. Our knowledge of the Moon especially in the form of maps is very bad there is no GPS system available to help guide Human explorers. Ground stations could be used to give direction points so that we have a form of giudance on the Moon.

The site has to be thoughly prepared for robots to work in it in complete safety.

#3737 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-18 23:07:18

One major advantage the Moon has over Mars is it is within the range of useful telerobotic control. This could easily lead to construction projects being controled by the Earth and a major increase in the actual capacity to develop the Moon and near Earth space. Telerobotic's would reduce support costs while increasing development speed.

That and simple fact the Earth itself offers a safe haven.  Whatever we send to Mars won't have such a safety net, hence why I keep pointing out that while Mars will be the interesting place the Moon will have priority in the short-term.  Its an interesting trade-off.

I agree the Moon will have priority it has to. But as noted we do not necassarily have to have people in permanent occupation to fundamentally create a significant prescence on the Moon and from there in Near Earth space as well.

Creating lunar mass drivers is an example of something that reguires little actual human prescence in person. We significantly know how to make lunar concrete and using simple techniques we can develop the actual rail system with supports and foundations just by lunar teleprescence robotics and time. Materials as well as the control systems will have to be sent to the Moon by the Earth but as we are able to extract resources this total becomes less and less.

Permanent Human prescence on the Moon gives incredible advantages and many things can only be done when this happens but making the infrastructure for this to happen does not necassarily need people present to do it actually it can be done more effectively by robots which are more robust and tolerant of the terrain.

There are somethings a robot cannot do for itself. Most robots built are specialized for one task or another. A remote control robot would have a 2 second time delay, that would tend to make such robots somewhat clumsy when operated from Earth, their reflexes would be slow. If such a robot were to trip over a rock, the operator would know about it about one and a quarter seconds later, and would send the commands to catch itself to the robot and those commands would reach the robot after it is already lying on the ground. A teleoperated robot would have to move slowly and deliberately to avoid damaging itself. Another hazard of of working at the poles is losing direct line of site with Earth. If an operated decides to take a walk around the back side of a hill and loses direct line of site contact with Earth, the robot is lost, and another one has to be sent from Earth to continue the work. Probably a number of teleoperated robots would end up piled in shadowy craters and behind hill sides after awhile.

#3738 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-18 12:12:20

One major advantage the Moon has over Mars is it is within the range of useful telerobotic control. This could easily lead to construction projects being controled by the Earth and a major increase in the actual capacity to develop the Moon and near Earth space. Telerobotic's would reduce support costs while increasing development speed.

That and simple fact the Earth itself offers a safe haven.  Whatever we send to Mars won't have such a safety net, hence why I keep pointing out that while Mars will be the interesting place the Moon will have priority in the short-term.  Its an interesting trade-off.

The Moon is easier to adapt to. If the initial base is on the North Pole, then we don't have to worry about its slow rotation, just treat it like a space colony. Start with a small dome, and have 100 people live there, then you expand it, build more small domes and connect them with tunnels. Probably the best kind of domes are in the shadows of dark craters, the domes would be spaced far enough apart so they don't shadow each other in the sunlight and a reflective mirror would reflect  visible light, but not the highly charged particles coming from solar flares that these settlements would mostly be protected from. I believe the first O'Neill colony would be on the Moon, it doesn't have to rotate for gravity, and would have to make due with the Moon's lesser amount. A mirror held above each dome would reflect sunlight into each dome producing day and night. A dome 700 feet in diameter would allow 2500 square feet of living space per person or a 50-foot square of space per person in a dome housing 100 people and with room to spare for parks, and additional domes could be erected for agriculture.

#3739 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-18 01:20:53

Hence why humans won't be making a resort out of it anytime soon.

Why exactly do we need a riot of alien flora and fauna to settle a planet?
Seems to me, your just looking for an excuse not to go, first its because we might contaminate an alien Martian biosphere...

We only get one shot at studying a pristine planet; whereas probes are kept clean humans carry a veritable garbage bag of life-forms with us.

My attitudes toward going to Mars is get it right the first time.  Either there is, never was, or was life on Mars - those are the 3 possibilities.

Btw, we need things like plants with us because if the ISS' life-support is any indication machinery innevitaly breaks down.  We don't need a full-out freaking Biosphere 3 setup, certainly not for a starting outpost, but a good-sized vegtable garden wouldn't hurt.  Just enough to ease off supplies on Earth to a degree.

What exact revelations are you looking for on this pristine planet? You see there is a paradox here, if we avoid contact with the planet then we never get to find those hidden bacteria that your looking for, but if we have the extensive contact required to do a really thorough search, we increase the chance of contaminating the planet with Earth life forms. What I suggest is that we stop worrying about the nearly lifeless planet Mars and start worrying about ourselves. Mars is not the only planet out there, there are plenty of other Mars-like planets out there that we haven't touched and probably never will. These Marslike planets with unthinking bacteria hidding beneath the planets' surfaces will be thousands and millions of light years away, the bacterial if such there are will likely thrive underneath their planet's surfaces until the local primary goes nova, and throughout each planet's lifetime the bacteria will probably never evolve beyond the single cell stage and will probably never be visited by Earth Humans. If we "mess up" Mars by our presence or perhaps through terraforming, cheer up - there are likely to be many more Mars' that we'll never get to tough or alter, so the loss of Mar's native biosphere is not likely to be so great in the overall scheme of things. A terraformed Mars will likely have more life than any native biosphere that we may find there.

#3740 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-17 10:23:59

Well, its great to read your comments about larger scale development in our solar system.  We need the development of alot of hardware ( both human and robotic) to build the critical mass required to move large numbers of humans into space on a permanent basis. Our targets should be over the next 50 years to bring up on the moon to about 300 personnel ( including mining, all sciences, and administration) it could be in a single or multiple bases from a group or single nation or nations. The Earth Orbit will have alot of government and private sector space stations providing a variety of tasks for humanity on earth.

The martian outpost would be about 30-60 peronnel again in single or multiple locations in driving distance. We could also launch deeper space vessels for mining, exploration and satellite / droid / probe deployment within our solar system, or have a mobile laboratory visiting our outer planets. ( these deep space ventures could be manned or unmanned but using a large vessel platform.)

In all these outlines the developments are small but providing the infrastructure needed to expand into space with more and more personnel. Buy the end of the century our plasma / ion propulsion will be working and bring the ability to move around our solar system efficiently to allow the expansion of humanity into space, the Martian Outpost will expand into Multiple Larger settlements upwards of 300+ personnel and start the large scale exploration of the planet. Mineral resources and water resources collected from asteroid and moon mining operations could be ferried to the necessary colonies including the lunar surface and orbiting colonies without coming from earth reducing the overall running costs of the space community.  The space environment rapaidly moves to economic environment that trades with all colonies outside the earth atomsphere leaving the planet resources to concentrate on earth issues.

The sooner we, pull our heads out of the ground and start working towards the day humanity leaves the earth and can exist from the solar system resources and not earth planetary resources we will then come of age, The space community age of humanity.

P.S. It need work to commence now to get to that future outlined above or we might not see that environment until the end of the 22nd century not the 21st century.

If you are suddenly transported to the year 2093, would you be able to pick up a newspaper, look in the help wanted section and get a job based on the skill set you have now. If what you are saying about future technological developments is true, then it should be very easy for you to get a job as technology won't have changed much. Probably the cleverest technological innovation in the last 80 years would be the invention of ethenol powered cars. You could go to a Computer Store and buy a computer, and learning to use it would simply be a matter of learning to use the new operating system, the computers will still do the same old stuff they did 80 years ago. They may do it faster, but when you are typing into a word processor program it makes little difference.

#3741 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-17 10:16:35

Anyone can see Mars is not an abode of life, at most underground bacteria if even that.

Hence why humans won't be making a resort out of it anytime soon.

Why exactly do we need a riot of alien flora and fauna to settle a planet?
Seems to me, your just looking for an excuse not to go, first its because we might contaminate an alien Martian biosphere and then its because there is no biosphere, seems like you've covered both angles haven't you? So if someone say there's life then the life could be dangerous, it could contaminate the humans that live there and they could bring the life back to Earth and wipe out the human race, or we'll wipe out all Martian lifeforms with Earth bacteria that quickly adapts to the Martian environment and quickly takes over the planet.

Or else we have a dumb colonist who steps outside without a spacesuit and who suffocates due to lack of oxygen, and we have a bunch of other colonists who say, how can we settle this place if we can't breath its air? There are no local plants growing here that we can pick and stuff into our mouths, so how are we going to eat if their aren't edible plants growing here already? Ah, these conditions are way too inhospitable to us, and to top it off there's no money growing on trees, lets go back to Earth.

If the life is that hard to find, its not worth worrying about.

I take it you are no exobiologist then...

Without a large human presence, that microbiologist is less likely to find those well hidden Martian life forms. How do we know there's no life on the Moon for that matter. There could be an alien abode of life buried underneath the Moons surface, powered by a nuclear reactor and and supported by alien technology, like that monolith in the Movie 2001 A Space Odyssey. We don't know there is no hidden alien artifacts underneath the Moon's surface which might be dangerous to humans, so we should not go before we make sure that no such alien technology exists right?

I wouldn't be so quick to write off the next 50 years of technological progress. Are we supposed to take stupid pills and go "Duh" for the next 5 decades? We made such marvelous technological progress in the first half of the 20th century and then someone applied the breaks.

We spent almost 4 decades of "duh" since the Apollo landings, and the shuttles had considerably more technology than Apollo invested.  It's not the technology its how its applied.  Sadly in today's world that means a large portion of it will more likely go towards bomb detectors, x-ray-scanners to locate hidden illegals, or the first fully-automated Starbuck's Coffee Drive-up to eliminate minimum waged employees altogether.  It's not exactly encouraging...

No, it is the technology! If the technology is such that it requires a decision by government and the investment of billions of dollars to get to the Moon and Mars, then technology is stuck. Sooner or later something is going to give and free up te wheels of progress and we'll be on our way to the Moon and Mars in large numbers. The technology I'm talking about is the technology to make space travel cheaper, that is where we have the Duh factor. We need clever new ways to get into space not the same old same old that we have been using ever since we went to the Moon.

...but there is some promise.  The fact NASA is finally putting a timetable on returning to the Moon starts granting a timetable to when commercial spaceflight can take off.  However this is still 20 years away at best, and probably another 20 later before "normalnauts" to quote The Simpsons get anywhere near some Lunar dust.  Space travel isn't in the distant future anymore but it isn't exactly in the near-future either.  There won't be a Moon Disneyland any more likely than we were supposed to have flying cars as advertised in the 1950s future-films.

Technological revolutions are by their nature very unpredictable, so far we haven't had a technological revoultion in space travel since Sputnik. Unless you've been to the Future, you really can't say what's going to happen.

#3742 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-16 11:57:44

Doesn't that depend on economies of scale? For ten people it might not make any sense to have a cycler, but what if you plan to send hundreds or thousands of people to Mars in a single launch window? We'll assume also that a Mars colony has already been established and that housing is constructed with native materials, the biggest tast becomes just bringing the people with their luggage to Mars.

You're thinking well past terms of horse-and-carriage and thinking freight train there Tom.

Firstly, even a few centuries from now, I doubt moving people between planets will be cheap...and I'm talking far more expensive than suborbital jumps being advertised for celebrity gimmicks.  You'll be lucky to get a hundred people ala Red Mars in an Underhill-style colony.

Second, Mars won't be an open settlement to anyone.  The Moon more likely will before Mars namely b/c we're STILL trying to seek out life on Mars, and opening the planet to settlements on the scales you're talking would massively contaminate that effort.  For the first 50 years of exploration Mars will be wilderness with at absolute most 24 people spelunkering around.

Anyone can see Mars is not an abode of life, at most underground bacteria if even that. In any case what's more important, the bacteria we haven't found yet or us? I don't try too hard to look at the Universe through the point of view of hypothetical Martian bacteria. If the life is that hard to find, its not worth worrying about.

I wouldn't be so quick to write off the next 50 years of technological progress. Are we supposed to take stupid pills and go "Duh" for the next 5 decades? We made such marvelous technological progress in the first half of the 20th century and then someone applied the breaks. Some one will step on the gas eventually, I don't think we'll be stuck in the 20th century for that much longer, things are coming to a head, we're running out of petroleum, and somethings going to have to be invented to replace it. Computers are getting ever more sophiticated, so if we humans are too stupid to travel the Solar System, then our mechanical friends will do it fo us, they will figure out a way, even if they have to be 100 times smarter than us to do it.

#3743 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-15 10:29:45

That's what I assumed regarding cyclers.  You still have to waste so much propellant and then there's how you handle maintaining something that big.

Personally I'd just make something more like a reuseamble Mars transit vehicle; a craft that waits in high orbit over each planet and then leaves when everything's loaded up.  Far easier rendevousing with something in local space than interplanetary space.

Doesn't that depend on economies of scale? For ten people it might not make any sense to have a cycler, but what if you plan to send hundreds or thousands of people to Mars in a single launch window? We'll assume also that a Mars colony has already been established and that housing is constructed with native materials, the biggest tast becomes just bringing the people with their luggage to Mars. For that you need an enourmous cycling space station that carries and reuses all the infrastructure needed to support that many people on the outbound and inbound legs of the journey both ways. The Cycling space station basically has a closed recycling life support system, food is grown their, oxygen is regenerated partly with the help of plants, and their are some peopl who actually live on this space station serving the needs of the passengers enroute to Mars, it is basically a space hotel, there are people who work and live here and there are the transients on their way to Mars or back to Earth.

Cyclers can start out small however. It looks like we won't build an Island One for a while yet, I believe someone said it would require 3,000,000 tons of lunar material, but what if we built a one tenth scale Island One, so instead of it being 3,000 feet in diameter it is only 300 feet in diameter? If we kept the rotation rate the same as in the larger model the inhabitants would experience one tenth Earth's gravity at the space station's equator, and the amount of lunar material required to build it would be only 3,000 tons, about the equivalent of 30 payloads of the Aries V rocket delivered to low Earth Orbit. If we could build the ship at L5 or perhaps even L1, then we could use a high efficiency engine to slowly bring it into a Cycler Orbit. Where the Full scale Island One has land area for 10,000 people, the one tenth scale Island One can provide the same amount of living space to 100 people. The mass of the Island one is a cubic function and it gets reduced by a factor of 1,000, but the interior area of the sphere is only a square fucntion of size so the living area only gets reduced by a factor of 100 on a one tenth scale reduction in size.

A One tenth scale Island One would require 3,000 tons of building material, while it is possible to bring that material up with multiple expendable rockets, it might be more economic to process lunar material on a small scale. This would be great practise for when we work up to building actually full scale O'Neill colonies. Granted one tenth gravity wouldn't do much to keep the travellers in shape, but it would help them to move around a bit more easily, and eat their meals in a non "zero gee" environment. Perhaps if people's stomachs can tak it, the Mini Island three can be spun a bit faster to provide Mars Level gravity at the equator.

#3744 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2006-12-15 03:13:09

The point is cyclers don't stop...ever.  To rendevous you have to archieve escape velocity which is what something like Mars Direct would already be doing.  Propellant-wise you're talking about wasting more to make an extremely difficult rendevous in interplanetary space.

Its an ellegant idea but problem is when you look at the actual requirements and numbers its not.

A cycling spaceship is actually a misnomer, the proper term would be a cycling space station, as that is what this spaceship is. Now what good is a space station, you might ask? Look at the ISS for example, it has solar panels and equipment for keeping astronauts live for months at a time. The Shuttle can bring astronauts into orbit, but it is no good as a home for months at a time. To reach a Cycling spaceship once its established, you need a rocket such as a Saturn V, or  Aries V, and you need a CEV to deliver astronauts there. The CEV probably has life support for 2 weeks, enough time to reach the cycler and dock with it and enough time to get back. The Cycler provides an environment which can support the astronauts for months at a time, if it is large and elaborate enough, it can have a closed cycled life support system, that can generate oxygen, remove carbon dioxide and grow food for the astronauts to eat. The astronauts eat the food that is grown on the station and they contribute waste for use as fertilizer and water to be recycled. Docked with the cycler is a Mars Lander with enough fuel to make a soft landing on Mars. The lander departs the cycler for the surface of Mars while it is inbound toward Mars, and while it is outbound moving away from mars, another lander rises from Mars to meet the cycler so it will be ready for the next group of outbound astronauts, or perhaps carrying astronauts from Mars heading to Earth. Everything the Astronauts need on Mars is brought up from Earth, but everything they need to survive the interplanetary cruise is already established on the cycler.

#3745 Re: Space Policy » NASA 2008 Budget » 2006-12-14 11:39:48

Colonizing the Solar System will have an impact on our lives, especially who colonizes it, us or somebody else.

Yes agreed that we should colonize but space is for everyone and so is this great planet that we live on. I can no more say that you can not go to space anymore than I can say where you can live.

There is a phenoninon called leading culture. The people who get there first establish the precident and all people who follow must adapt. We want democracies to get there first. The two other leading space powers are China and Russia, neither one is a democracy right now. The Europeans and the Japanese choose to participate only in a small way, while focusing on their domestic agendas. I think its worth the extra $16.67 per person to get there first, rather than just stare at our shoes while the dictators take the lead.

Science just tells us what's out there. We already know there is plenty of stuff out in the Solar System that we can use, but a manned Mars program will force us to develop the technology that will make getting out their easier

Technology developement is something that should be done under another department.

NASA is also a technology development agency, it develops the technology it needs to go into space, it also does aeronautical research which is basically technology development.


Some seed money may be required to close the four year gap.

$16.67 per person. Well Congress wants to scuttle the War in Iraq, that should more than make up for the additional cost of closing the gap. We have to pursuade the Congress of 2007 and the Congress of 2009.

I will say again; While increasing the funding is obviously the way to go, it is the amount that gets the no go by those in the drivers seat. It would needed to be on the order of another 3 to 5 billion between now and shuttle retirement to make any real effort to get the orion flying sooner while still using the shuttle.

Why waste time? Time is a commodity just as valuable as money. I think the bean ounters overestimate the time we've got. China's growing pretty fast, do they think the World will wait for us as we wait to finish the Shuttle? Too many people seem to think that space can be put in a tiny little box in the corner of our universe. We spend outrageous sums to protect stupid little backwards societies that sell us oil, yet suddenly we get all miserly and frugal when we talk about the future of the human race. trying to get off the planet should be our major concern.

They don't care that we have to rely on a Russian dictator to get to the Space Station we built?

This is the comment that I put in bold for a reason at the start of the thread.

"BOEHLERT ASKS Office of Management and Budget (OMB) FOR ADDITIONAL SCIENCE"

There is no reason to launch the Orion Crew Exploration Vehicle before 2014, and there is every reason to retire the Space Shuttle in 2010, as planned.

This was from the previous person that was in the place of power... and as you can see they do not have a problem with the US space program being supported for manned missions. Myself I would prefer that it was not this way but thats how it is.

It is just two years till the end of the next Congress, we can ask this question a little later. Why wait? We spend so much money on trying to solve our problems on Earth, but they have often proven irretractable. The middle east has not become a peaceful place, no matter how much money we've spent there, yet we continue to devote a major share of our attention to that primitive place, while space travel and colonization is a distant after thought. We spend too much resources trying to manage the current situation and not enough trying to prepare for the future.

#3746 Re: Space Policy » NASA 2008 Budget » 2006-12-14 10:11:15

Sorry for the very lengthy post and thanks Rxke...

if we don't have something to show for the ISS effort, how can we then pursuade Congress to fork over money for Manned Moon/Mars missions?

We have science.... oh but that does not pay the bills and I have yet to see something that to which has come from it that can or that has had an impact on our day to day lives. I do not mean space spin offs since most occur though the support of the scientific activity.

Colonizing the Solar System will have an impact on our lives, especially who colonizes it, us or somebody else. Democratic countries must be able top do it themselves, and should not have to lean on dictators for help. The ways spae travel will impact our daily lives has more to do with technology than science. Science just tells us what's out there. We already know there is plenty of stuff out in the Solar System that we can use, but a manned Mars program will fore us to develop the technology that will make getting out their easier

I'd like to use the ISS as an incentive to hurry up on the CEV construction, having the Russians monopolize access to it, could be a good pursuader to get more money from Congress.

Since Russia is cash strapped and congress does see this. So Russia has resorted to tourism to help but even with this they can only build the ships so fast, give training to those going for the challenges of being in space...it is only a gap filler and not anything substancial.

I heard Russia was awash in oil revenue, is this not true?

Our resources aren't really stretched to the limit here, all we really need to do is provide Congress with a good reason to put up the extra funds

The whole vision of space exploration thou was layed out as a pay as you go within the same amount of budget money that nasa was already getting, plus some small amount of seed money to get things going. So getting congress to change there mind set is going to be hard to do.

Some seed money may be required to close the four year gap.


How do you know they won't? The problem is one of pursuasion, not one of redistributing limited resources. Our resources aren't that limited.

No you need more funds, so the tast is to pursaude Congress to allocate them.


This has already been stated by the actions of congress, since these are basically all new people that have been put into the once republican held positions of power it will take some time to convince them to side on Nasa's course of action.
Nasa must present more complete plans for justification for the additional funds.

They don't care that we have to rely on a Russian dictator to get to the Space Station we built? I thought it was called the Democratic Party. Putin is certainly not a Democrat, I can tell you that.

If we stopped flying the Shuttle now, then the gap would start sooner and the Space Station would be incomplete. Obviously the only way to close the gap is to increase funding to develop the CEV while we fly the Shuttle.

So how does the US sustain a manned presence in space?

What would you Tom propose to accomplish this task?

Increase funding so we can develop the CEV while we fly the Shuttle and thus operations can begin on 2010 instead of 2014.

While increasing the funding is obviously the way to go it is the amount that gets the no go by those in the drivers seat. It would needed to be on the order of another 3 to 5 billion between now and shuttle retirement to make any real effort to get the orion flying sooner while still using the shuttle.

$16.67 per person. Well Congress wants to scuttle the War in Iraq, that should more than make up for the additional cost of closing the gap. We have to pursuade the Congress of 2007 and the Congress of 2009.

#3747 Re: Space Policy » NASA 2008 Budget » 2006-12-14 03:10:47

Come on, guys...

This is about NASA budget, go yapping about Putin in free chat, willya?  roll

The reason we need a larger NASA budget is that we don't want to have to depend on Putin to get us to the Space Station we so laboriously built, that's all I'm saying.

#3748 Re: Space Policy » NASA 2008 Budget » 2006-12-13 15:21:08

Oh dear lord, please don't tell me you bought that hook, line and sinker, at least based on what is publically known.

It is the most likely explainaition: Someone criticises the Russian Government ie Putin, and then that someone dies by a radioactive isotope of Polonium that has a halflife of a few months, this stuff cannot be stockpiled for very long and it needs to br produced by a reactor. I don't think the ex-KGB agent was willing to die so that he could frame the Russian government for his own murder, religious fanatics do stuff like that, not usually Russians

I find it very hard to believe that Putin would choose to eliminate his enemies, if at all, in this way. The use of such a rare substance in a way that is sure to cause international consern will bring far too much attention. It far more likely that someone within the FSB who may have have access to the stuff did it to either shut the guy up or shine an unpleasant eye on his bosses.

You know there are stupid people in the world running countries at this moment. The argument that Putin is too smart to do something like that, and that he should know better would also apply to him seizing power in the first place. Given Russia's history, Putin ought to know better, look what happened to the last Czar of Russia and his family. If Putin wants to be the next Czar, he'd better watch out. Someone is poisoning the enemies of Putin and so long as they are doing that, why don't they just poison the Putinistas themselves while they are at it? Seems kind of strange to oppose Putin in this way, it like someone killing Jews to make Hitler look bad in hopes that the Public outrage would cause his overthrow.

#3749 Re: Not So Free Chat » Why does U.S.A. support Israel? - Finally, I'm Asking » 2006-12-13 12:24:20

Yeah Tom


A Palestine hospital attacked by helicopters from Israel,

Were their terrorists hiding in that hospital? I don't see any reason why terrorists would not hide in a hospital or stock pile their weapons there, or plan their operations their, just like they hid in the Churh of the Nativity in Bethlehem. Terrorists will bring their war any place they think they can hide from the Israelis. The question is why do the Palestinians allow the terrorists to hide amonst them, why don't they turn them over to the Israelis. I'm sure if General William T. Sherman were running the Israeli side of thie operation, he'd be asking these questions. General Sherman burnt farm houses, destroyed crops and tore up rail roads all to destroy the Confederacy's ability to fight, and that's how we won our Civil War. When the Enemy fights ugly, then sometimes you have no choice but to include some ugliness in your battles with them if you want to win. If the enemy is hiding in hospitals and using them to kill your soldiers, then you have no choice but to attack those hospitals if you want to win. The terrorist enemy has no morals and no scruples about where he will hide and with whom. If the Palestinians would help the Israelis to root out the terrorists, then maybe it wouldn't be necessary for the Israelis to attack the hospitals, but unfortunately the Palestinians saw fit to support them and it has come to this.


villages scorched in Vietnam,

I'm sorry, the Israelis scorched no villages in Vietnam. Vietnam isn't supporting any terrorist attacks against Israelis, so the Israelis have no reason to go there. I don't know where you get this information from.

the homes and airports in Lebanon,

In modern war people's homes and airports will be destroyed. I don't know how you can fight a modern war in cities without that happening. However if the Hezbollah enemy would agree to meet the Israelis in a battlefield away from civilians, then I'm sure the Israelis would be happy to destroy them in detail without harming any Lebanese civilians, but so far they have not aggreed to do that. Feeling sorry for the attackers aren't you? Do you feel they have a right to attack Israel with no danger of relatiation from them? Are Israeli civilians supposed to willingly put their heads on the chopping block so that the terrorists can chop their heads off? If those are your expectations, then I feel they are kind of high. The Israelis will defend themselves even if that means harming their neighbors. Too bad for their neighbors really, but they should never have let the Hezbollah terrorists live amonst them and conduct their attacks on Israel from their neighborhoods. Do they expect the Israelis to come up with some miraculous way of killing the terrorists without harming any civilians? Do you? How can you expect something of the Israelis that you cannot do yourself. If you can make the terrorists simply drop dead where they stand without harming any of the surrounding areas, then why don't you?

Palestinian childrens school by bombed Israeli jets, the young women and old men of Hiroshima, Abu Ghraib torture, the deaths of Native Americans.


All LEGITIMATE TARGETS according to the Tom Kalbfus propaganda news network


He's almost as hypocritical as those damn terrorists

Trying to pull some emotional cords aren't you? Well the realities of modern war are such that if you intend to win, some civilian casualities are unavoidable. if you know some miraculous way to kill the enemy while they hide amonst the civilian population without harming any innocents, lets hear it. Come on if you got some ideas, then why don't you put them forward. The only ideas I've heard from folks like you lately has been how to surrender or give up to the terrorist enemy. I feel that letting the terrorists win is the greater of two evils and killing some civilians unavoidable while fighting them is the lesser of the two evils. Apparently you disagree and feel that we should let the terrorists win and rule the World, well that is your perogative, but remember we face the same choice when we fought the Germans during World war II.

As for hypocracy, modern warfare does not always allow for morally consistant positions. If its the "white knights" versus the Barbarians, the Barbarians will always win. I feel that it is more important for us to stop the Barbarians than it is for us to act as "white knights."

#3750 Re: Space Policy » NASA 2008 Budget » 2006-12-13 12:04:08

I don't want US Astronauts to have to fly Putin Spaceways.

Well this was the only line that had meaning towards the topic and thou there are many on this as well as other boards that would feel the same it just is not the total issue.

In what way can we fund the VSE if congress will give no further funding other than to flat line at current amounts which is the case for 2007?

How do you know they won't? The problem is one of pursuasion, not one of redistributing limited resources. Our resources aren't that limited. If Congress really does not want Russia to monopolize our access to the ISS, then it will find the fuinding to accelerate the CEV program.

Retiring the shuttle on or around 2010 puts the US in the non driving seat to space until Orion flys and while that frees up the cash to build it does not do anything to fix the time frame to first flight.

No you need more funds, so the tast is to pursaude Congress to allocate them.

Now if we were able to free up cash by not flying shuttle we would already have a boat load but that is not the case.

If we stopped flying the Shuttle now, then the gap would start sooner and the Space Station would be incomplete. Obviously the only way to close the gap is to increase funding to develop the CEV while we fly the Shuttle.

So how does the US sustain a manned presence in space?

What would you Tom propose to accomplish this task?

Increase funding so we can develop the CEV while we fly the Shuttle and thus operations can begin on 2010 instead of 2014.

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