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Personally I am betting on the iron-air battery system. I have a good feeling about that. Also I think green hydrogen will also have a role to play at utility scale. Heat storage I remain sceptical about but we shall see.
I think we'll see a full solution to intermittency within 5 years and then it will be a case of moving from existing energy technologies as contracts come up for renewal because I am of the view that the green energy plus storage is going to be cheaper than all the alternatives.
Louis,
You don't need an abandoned coal-fired power plant to heat up a block of metal- at all, or ever, really. If this little device fits inside a shipping container, then it can be set up inside a... wait for it... shipping container. No abandoned structures of any kind are necessary.
I am very optimistic that we will continue squander absurd amounts of money on technologies that are utterly incapable of scaling to the degree required and don't offer any tangible advantages over anything that came before them, because PT Barnum knew who he was selling his snake oil to. Paranoid hysterics can be convinced to hand their money over to absolutely anyone, for absolutely any scheme, in order to soothe their paranoia-driven hysteria.
A lot of considerations that apply on Earth don't apply on Mars. On Mars it appears we have vast tracts of probably lifeless regolith where you could site nuclear power stations well away from human settlement. . (Of course if there are ecosystems on Mars then all bets are off.)
However trying to ship out radioactive material from Earth is problematic. A rocket failure could have unpleasant implications. Ideally one would need to find a source of suitable radioactive material on Mars. I am not sure if any deposits have been confirmed.
That said I personally doubt the Mars colony will go down that route. Solar plus storage is so simple a solution that I think it will be readily adopted.
They are all accurate quotes. Yes they've been selected to make a point and why not? These scumbag politicians were using vaccine scepticism as a political tool in 2020 to prevent the vaccination programme getting under way before the election was over. The motivation as always was to "Take Down Trump". They never cared about the health of the American public one way or another. It's that simple. Now, the Dems are in power, they are outlawing vaccine scepticism and forcing people to have a medical procedure that can kill them.
As for your more general points, you've been had. You've been naive.
Take a look at what is happening in Israel, the most vaccinated nation on Earth of any size. The news is not good.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/News … spx/297051
Fox News is controlled opposition and was a big part of the election steal - calling Arizona for Biden after just a tiny fraction of votes were in. This was essential to persuade the American people the vote was going against Trump. We now know that at least 50,000 ballots counted in Arizona were duplicates (mostly) or otherwise extremely compromised.
Louis, why do you believe political propaganda from sources not vetted for truth in any way? Much of those video clips were clumsily altered (sound out of synch with picture). They were repeated and repeated to make them look like they were more than they really were. And they were quotes taken out of context, from a time before the election. It was almost 6 months later the vaccines finally became widely available under the emergency use authorization.
Why not go talk to real doctors and nurses. They will tell you the truth about SARS-CoV-2/Covid-19 and what the vaccines do, and how safe it is.
You should be aware that in the US there can be an emergency use authorization before all the data has been "saucered-and-blowed", but not until there is enough data understood to know it's gonna work. That process is now complete with the fully-approved Pfizer vaccine, and we expect completion in a matter of weeks for full approval of the Moderna and J&J shots. It may be different in the UK, but that's how we do it here in the US, and that has been working well for us, for a long time now.
Not to mention that these same vaccines are moving rapidly toward approval for use in children, where the plague is circulating unchecked in schools. Ask any teacher about that. It'll be the same process, emergency use authorization once most of the data are in and understood, then full approval once all of it is in and understood.
When you ask the real medical folks, and the real teachers, you will get the same stories you see on the evening TV news if you watch the real broadcast networks here in the US, not that cable crap. Which makes the notion of some cabal controlling all the "mainstream media" exactly the false conspiracy theory that it is.
Fox news is the well-known exception that has been promoting conspiracy theories as if they were true. Its founder Rupert Murdoch said quite plainly in public that it was entertainment for conservatives, not a factual news service. I heard him say it. Never believed anything from Fox ever again after I heard him say that.
GW
Why are small nuclear reactors a terrorism risk? This is why:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-k3NJXGSIIA
Unless you are going to have round the clock protection for your microreactors involving maybe 16 heavliy armed personnel to give 24/7 cover, you are creating a terrorism risk.
Terrorists could bring a large city to a halt and require the evacuation of millions of people if they got their hands on nuclear material and went driving around a city sprinkling it around.
It's not worth the risk.
Irresponsible anti-vax politicians - in 2020 - now reclassified as highly responsible pro-vax politicians in 2021. Wonder why?
Posty viral syndrome is well known in the literature but many hypochodriacs are inclined to exaggerate symptoms after infection. There's nothing new about this.
The covid 19 virus seems to have a link to many having chronic fatigue symptoms or CFS which is a chronic condition which has not a cure.
Post-COVID Syndrome: What Should You Do If You Have Lingering COVID-19 Symptoms?
A Look at the Underlying Similarities
How COVID-19 Could Reveal the Secrets of Chronic Fatigue Syndrome
self help for cfs
https://www.betterhealth.vic.gov.au/hea … hting-tips
Yet another interesting energy storage system.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=edVjYofLYc4
Seems to me like we are seeing a whole host of energy storage systems coming through now.
I am optimistic that a combination of these new storage technologies and reduced battery cost will mean we have reliable green energy systems within a few years.
I think Form will be as well known as Hoover, Tesla and Toyota in a few years.
I do wish there was the merge topic function where posts could be selected and copied to the topic of choice but its gone in this version of software.
No wonder with that title....I would have never guessed
Here it is:
http://newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.php?id=9987
"The Form Revolution".
For Louis re #2
If you started a thread about iron air batteries, it should be possible for you to find it and to show a link to it here.
For all ... if there is someone willing to help SpaceNut to develop a collection of posts about this technology, please do so.
The company (is there more than one?) behind this development will be supported by investors.
It will have early customers and trials a multiple locations.
(th)
Felix's latest take:
Yes, I think I started a thread on this. This is the company website. There are loads of You Tube vids on the subject - quite rightly as this does seem to be a breakthrough technology.
Since the Club of Rome report we've had 50 years of unprecedented economic growth, more than a doubling of the world's population, huge advances in technology and a great increase in per capita real income and wealth in nearly all societies.
The writers claimed the limits to growth would be reached within 100 years (ie by 2072) wisely not giving an actual date that anyone then alive would be likely to be around to see and determine whether the prediction was accurate or not. They've clearly got the first 50 years entirely wrong. There is no evidence they will do any better with the next 50 which will see secure and cheap green energy dominant across the planet, even greater improvements in recycling, the creation of novel materials (e.g. controlled fungi for furniture and construction), and the beginning of asteroid belt extraction.
Personally I don't think we are anywhere near the limits of growth but of course what we are doing all the time is competing with other species for resources and habitat, to an extent which I don't think can be ethically justified.
But if you look at all the advances in energy production, creation of novel materials, use of new materials, recycling, rocketry and so on, the idea we are going to run out of "stuff" any time soon is obviously ridiculous. There's no evidence for that.
All the problems we have experienced re economics and supply chains are human in origin e.g. poor management of financial markets leading to a banking crash, the absurd and dangerous lockdown-Covid policies, and now attempts to rush at a Green economy allegedly because the planet is about to die because of carbon emissions - ie hysterical nonsense.
Void wrote:I can see where it may be possible to get most peoples on board with something like this, as nobody wants to be told that
they just need to be poor and die. I have actually seen some dude on video telling the young people that they are going
to need to sieze control of the governments and shut down Carbon fuels completely. Same dude seemed to indicate that
7 Billion people need to not be here, to just leave 1 Billion. Club of Rome stuff. Not good.Done
The Club of Rome 'Limits to Growth' report has been much maligned for nearly fifty years, not because it was mistaken or inaccurate, but because people didn't like the implications of what it had to say. Delivering bad news, no matter how true, will never make you popular. So far, the results of LTG have proven to be prescient.
LTG was basically the results of a set of scenario models. Numerous starting assumptions were made, I.e. the size of resources, efficiency of use, recycling rates w.r.t time, etc. Population growth rate was an input parameter, energy intensity for production of goods, the ability of sinks to absorb wastes, etc. Then they ran the model. In all scenarios, exponential growth in population and resource consumption per capita, led to a peak in population and per capita living standards at some point in the 21st century. This was followed by rapid declines, which we would call a collapse. Varying the parameters to take account of different estimates of ore resources and new technologies, all shifted the point at which collapse occurred, but nothing changed the final outcome. In all scenarios, a catastrophic decline in population and living standards occurred at some point in the 21st century.
Really, LTG stated the obvious. In a finite environment, in which human use of natural resources exceeds the rate at which nature replenished them, some sort of depletion induced collapse is ultimately inevitable. We have created a civilisation that uses stored fossil energy to make goods using concentrated ores and other resources. As time goes on, the EROI of energy sources is decreasing and the required energy per unit of refined metals and other resources, is increasing. Economy of scale and efficiency improvements allow us to stay ahead of decline, for a while. But ultimately the outcome is inevitable, so long as we remain within a closed system with a fixed assay of resources.
It was precisely this understanding that got me interested in space colonisation in the first place. Fifteen years ago, I read the original LTG and realised that the future offered poor prospects if we attempted to continue industrial civilisation, with its inherently high per capita resource consumption, on a finite planet. Growing population and depleting resources would always lead to the same result eventually: decent back to stone age, with billions of casualties along the way. We have a very limited window of opportunity to build a space faring civilisation, before resource depletion slams the door on that opportunity for ever. If that happens, we will be trapped in the celestial cradle, which will have become a prison.
1. The video indicates that steel is the main element in tower construction. So CFRP is not the right comparator - I think that's a bit of a red herring. I think the video is making the case that using wood you can build larger towers to support larger turbines. They claim this is because transportation on the road system is now an issue. I wasn't entirely convinced by that as presumably you could build you factory at a port. So I agree with your point that the "transportation" issue sounds a bit bogus.
2. I don't think we know whether the veneered wood will include fire retardant. All I can say is that the designers claim it will be more fire-safe than steel (in terms of structural damage).
3. My understanding from the video is that steel is also covered in a non-steel surface (presumably to protect it from salt air corrosion).
4 . There are over 3,000,000,000,000 trees in the world. There are 340,000 wind turbines. You can easily extract the required wood from forests without seriously affecting the overall ecosystems even if you need to make 30 million wind turbines. If it took 10 trees per turbine that would be 10,000th of the tree crop over a 25 year period. That sounds sustainable to me. Obviously it would be concentrated in areas where logging is allowed.
5. Bamboo does not survive well over decades owing to its cellular structure, unlike wood which, as we know, can survive well for centuries. We're talking about a minimum 25 year life for these towers which accords well with tree growth. Good production methods are practised in millions of factories around the world every day. That's a very poor argument against.
I am not saying that wood is the solution but it's about being open to solutions. I do think we (the taxpayer) should support innovative approaches to green energy because experience shows some of these technologies will be found to work well. I remain a little sceptical about the wood solution not least because steel is surely one of the easiest materials to recycle as you point out.
This is merely another vain attempt to contend with the absurd over-consumption of raw materials masquerading as "green energy"- costing the consumer a lot of greenbacks while delivering very little energy. If the associated material consumption was not so problematic, then nobody would attempt this kind of silliness. In point of fact, it is so problematic that we're back to throwing stuff at the wall, hoping something will stick.
1. Wood has a strength-to-weight ratio inferior to CFRP, and certainly inferior stiffness. The material properties of wood are inconsistent, which means you need a greater safety margin to assure that the structure doesn't fail under load. You can make a structure larger in volume to increase stiffness, but then you need more wood, further increasing demand for a building material that's already in short supply. We can make any CFRP structure lighter than steel and concrete for a given strength / stiffness requirement. The real fundamental engineering reason skyscrapers are made from steel and concrete, as opposed to plastic coated wood and glue, is that it takes far more energy and labor, therefore money, to fabricate composites using either CFRP or plastic coated wood.
2. Wood lacks fire and water resistance. Fires will be far less of a problem than water intrusion, but any fire is guaranteed to destroy the structure, either outright during the fire or from water intrusion damage associated with putting out the fire.
3. Wood lacks resistance to biological agents like fungus or bacteria or termites that eat cellulose, especially over time. If you treat the wood with something that can realistically prevent that from happening for 20 years, then it's very toxic to basic cellular processes by definition and far less recyclable into new wind turbine towers, as well as being an environmental hazard for humans to contend with. Whereas bacteria have evolved to eat both plastics and diesel fuel in a mere 100 years, they've had hundreds of millions of years to evolve to eat cellulose. In this instance, they've elected to coat a laminated wooden composite structure with plastic, which means it's far more energy and resource-intensive than steel.
4. Trees take decades to grow. That process can't be "sped up" appreciably, but if it is, then the end result is wood with significantly less strength per unit weight and volume (the larger the individual growth rings, the weaker the natural composite becomes). Maybe some form of processed bamboo or hemp fiber would work, when infused with resin, but I see using wood for millions of skyscraper-sized structures as a technological dead end, and so did all other engineers on the planet, the moment steel and concrete became available in mass quantities. As with all other technologies, everything old is "new again", except that it's not, and some of this nonsense is getting pretty silly.
5. There is no global scalability to this solution, because it relies upon scarce natural materials fabricated using very stringent quality control, specifically because natural materials like wood are not homogeneous in nature. Again, I'd have an easier time believing that an abundant and rapid-growth plant fiber like bamboo or hemp could serve the purpose, accepting the limitations of natural composite structures. A single acre of hemp produces cellulose fiber tonnage equal to 4 to 5 acres of trees, except that the hemp can be harvested at least twice per year, if not three times per year in many tropical locations. It takes 90 to 120 days to grow 10 tons of hemp fiber per acre of land, so it's utterly impossible to grow trees of any quality fast enough to keep up with hemp or fast-growing bamboo, which yields 5 to 8 tons per acre. Pound-for-pound, hemp fiber composite is considerably stronger than high-strength steel, and 5 to 10 times stronger than wood.
I have a better question, though:
Why in the world would anyone revert back to using wood or natural fibers instead of using welding robots and jigs to turn coiled sheet steel, welded into a structure of suitable size, to make the wind turbine towers on-site, using commodity materials rather than highly specialized and expensive forged steel structures too large to transport via truck?
They make wind turbine towers out of a thick hot-forged steel tube, plate steel forged into a tube, essentially, because it's easiest to transport that to the wind turbine field. There's no reason why we can't make larger diameter, but lighter, sheet steel honeycomb structures that are welded together on-site. Metal aerospace structures are light yet stiff and strong by using good geometry for stiffness in conjunction with multiple thin pieces of sheet metal riveted or welded together. Why was that solution never considered, given that these things only last for 10 to 20 years before they're replaced? All these Modvion people have actually done is substitute much much thicker pieces of plastic coated wood for steel.
Sheet steel is also easy to cut and re-purpose or re-melt, so 10 to 20 years from now, when the turbine is defunct, a simple angle grinder or industrial tin snip can be used to deconstruct the tower, piece by piece. If the correct thickness of sheet steel was used, then a deconstructed wind turbine towers could then become the supply source for automotive sheet metal or liquid storage tanks. That solves the site cleanup problem, because people will recycle the material for free, in order to use it for other purposes to make money. There's no practical way to remove a 1 to 2 inch thick tube of steel for recycling, because you need a crane and a plasma torch to do it. Similarly, there's no practical use for a 2 inch to 6 inch thick multi-layer tube of plastic coated plywood or hemp / bamboo fiber. Seriously, what can you turn that into? A yearly global supply of knife handles from a singular tower? Why is every practical solution utterly ignored in favor of outright absurdity? SpaceX makes strong and light sheet metal structures by welding them on-site using commonly available and inexpensive coiled sheet steel, because when strength and temperature resistance matter, steel is the go-to material.
We're going to wind up living in a world with no trees left, no potable water, and no usable farmland, but hey we'll have "green energy", right?
"Just Have a Think" about that, because we're already seeing that happen. No solution is too nutty, so long as it feeds into the religion.
The claim in the video is that the wood-based towers are less susceptible to fire damage than steel. Sounds a but counterintuitive. But this is hewn timber, it's basically wood veneer sections not unlike how they made the Mosquito bombers. I don't think I've read anything to suggest they had a raised fire risk.
I looked at it. That guy is quite interesting. Not far off the mark, actually. But, I stand by what I posted.
The fire risk has to do with the electrical hardware and the actual generating machinery. That stuff, if not detected in time, can blaze up. There is also the issue of lightning strikes (which ignite fires in combustible materials). If you build a wooden tower, you still must add something to ground it like a lightning rod. Otherwise, you increase the lightning strikes and the fires they cause.
Once you light off the wooden tower, you need a sprinkler system to put it out. Not just hold the line till the fire department can get there, literally put it out. Most fire departments would have no way to put out a fire in a combustible tower that tall. Same would be true of high-rise wooden buildings. (How inconvenient that I once worked in fire protection engineering, among so many other things.)
GW
Yes, it's the towers. Not the blades. And of course you still have to secure the base which does include concrete and steel I believe. One advantage of wood is that you can make bigger circumference towers without facing problems of transportation (steel towers come in complete sections where as the timber-based towers can be assembled from incomplete sections.
For all who've posted so far .... has anyone actually watched the video Louis showed?
I haven't yet, but definitely plan to do so.
My hope was that the towers were to be built of wood, rather than the blades.
A tower made of wood can be enclosed in fire resistant material.
However, a fire in the gear box could be a risk for any tower. Iron burns after all, but I admit ignition point is quite a bit higher than wood.
It seems to me an obvious solution is to design the gear boxes so that they stop automatically when temperature exceeds some reasonable limit.
I've never understood why the fires that occur occasionally in wind generators are allowed to happen.
Is someone trying to save a couple bucks? (or Euros?)....
Or is this just another example of sloppy engineering, to which every organization is prey?
(th)
I am sure this will be good news for those here who are concerned about materials usage in wind turbines...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lJsznA1ug1w
Looks like wood might be the way forward for towers.
If "sink isolation" is what I'm guessing it is (the heat retentive material coalescing at the bottom of the cylinder). I think they said in the video they've resolved that issue (basically by pumping air through I think).
Temperature and sink isolation are the issues for rock storage...
Barrels of water inside a greenhouse and other such tricks have been employed for centuries as a means to control an internal environment.The geo thermal loops are usually burried in a layer of sand for heat pumps...
What was that song by Michael Jackson...? No, not Thriller...not Billy Jean...what was that other big hit...didn't Van Halen play a guitar solo on it...just can't bring it to mind...
For Louis re new topic and many other topics created over the years ...
Your time is valuable and we (forum readers) are fortunate when you invest some of it here.
Therefore, it is with some recognition this may be an imposition, never-the-less I am pressing ahead in hopes of a favorable outcome ...
Could you possibly dig a little deeper into the people and organizations behind this venture?
There are plenty of commercial outfits that earn a living supplying data about finances and many other aspects of public (or private when possible) corporations, but many of us (perhaps most) don't have resources to subscribe.
It would be a donation of your time and energy to follow some of the many promising technologies you've discovered over the time you've been posting here. Your interest (in the past) seems strong at first, and then it fades out.
What I'm asking you to consider is the potential value of re-visiting some of the topics you've created, to see how they are coming along.
What we don't need is a "discovery" of a "new" technology you've already reported.
What (I at least) think is needed is a series of reports on the progress of various enterprises competing in the real world to address problems of our time.
The "Hot Rocks" storage method seems (to me at least) to be a strong candidate for energy storage at Mars, where every btu of "lost" energy is not lost at all, but instead helps to keep the habitats warm against the constant tug of space to claim whatever thermal energy might show up.
SearchTerm:Hot Rocks Thermal energy storage system
SearchTerm:Rocks Hot
SearchTerm:HotRocks(th)
Even if this process was only 30% efficient overall, 30% of something is still 30% more than nothing, which is precisely what you get right now since there is no such thing as a grid scale battery and probably never will be.
Hot rocks and hot gas flowing over rocks that retain heat well has the following benefits:
1. It requires no new technology the might exist "one day", because all real engineering is based on technology that we have, not technology that we wished we had.
A truism but re iron-air batteries, all the technology is there, it's only a question of whether the system can be operated cost-effectively.
2. A steel tank filled hot gas like CO2 and heated rock truly is cheap and durable. All materials used are infinitely recyclable using existing technology, unlike Lithium-ion batteries.
Agreed these are massive pluses - but so is having iron and air as your basic battery materials.
3. Spectacular total efficiency is far less important than spectacularly low total cost, as it relates to energy storage. If the cost of losing 100% of the generated energy that you can't immediately put to good use is higher than the cost of storing it for later use, then this is a winner.
Totally agree that these technology advances are basically cost driven. If you can find a cheap way of storing cheap solar and wind, then you have hit the jackpot.
The salient questions are as follows:
1. How cheap and fast is it to implement (what are the hurdles to implementation)?
2. What is the dollar figure attached to losing 100% of what we're losing now?
3. Can we store that otherwise lost energy (and money) at a profit?
You might add another salient issue - risk factors. Pumped hydro is a pretty good storage technique, especially once you have paid back your initial investment. However dams can fail - there is a significant risk factor, especially if populated areas lie below the dam.
Louis can scoff at thermal energy storage and GW can scoff at overall efficiency, but the theoretical Carnot efficiency with a cold reservoir of -30C and a hot reservoir of 600C is 72.15%. They're claiming 60% efficiency, so that falls within the realm of feasibility. Is that realistically achievable or have they neglected to mention something important? Maybe, maybe not, and yes, they probably did leave out something germane to realistically achievable overall efficiency, because they're trying to sell their invention. That doesn't mean their invention won't work, merely that it may not achieve the efficiency touted. It's a closed loop system, and looks like it uses re-injection of heat to increase efficiency with a multi-stage turbine, same as NREL does with their Supercritical CO2 gas turbines for solar thermal power plants.
I wasn't scoffing so much as confessing my own prejudices. These prejudices are not irrational. There have been quite a few solar-thermal interface systems that have failed abysmally. This technology appears more robust.
If they're correct, then 60% of something is still a lot more energy than 0% of anything. When I consider what we have now, I think of that as a significant improvement.
All schemes that use extreme temperatures (50% efficient SCO2 gas turbines operating at 715C), extreme materials (Lithium, Platinum, etc), or rely upon extreme efficiency (all batteries), are typically expensive, finnicky to operate, and strictly service life limited.
You know what's good about this new technology Louis has brought attention to?
It's none of those things. It's a "middle-of-the-road" solution that could actually be practical. I get the impression that most people don't truly understand the meaning of that word. Practicality trumps all other considerations in the long run. If you can run a boiler, then you can run this energy storage plant. Humans know how to do that, because that's how our civilization is powered.
The guy behind it has a good record in developing wind turbines, so his pragmatic approach may well be what we are looking for. I do have a lot of respect for the Danes who are often in the van of green energy developments but in a way that provides practical solutions. Their latest approach - creating green energy islands out at sea is another example.
Felix still sounds quietly confident about Space X's Starship programme despite the small number of orbital launches scheduled for the next year.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g-ThNeIGtBY
One possibility is that there could be launches from Cape Canaveral, he notes.
The video mentioned at some point capturing heat from other energy control installations I think which might be adding to the overall "efficiency". But you don't have to persuade me to be sceptical of heat storage! lol
But, as always, it's less about efficiency and more about cost. Would it be cheaper per unit than chemical battery storage?
Let's just say I am extremely skeptical of the "60% efficiency" number. This thing is a heat engine, subject to classical thermodynamics. The hottest point in its cycle is 600 C = 873 K. The coldest point in its cycle is -30 C = 243 K. The upper bound on efficiency, never actually reached, is the Carnot efficiency, which for these temperatures is 0.72 (and the heat engine turbine isn't really operating between those two temperatures). About half that might actually be feasible: around 36%.
1000 MW-scale power plants use heat engines (these days mostly steam or gas turbines) operating at 35-45% efficiency. Smaller-scale, you do worse: an automobile engine could approach 20% in steady cruise, but usually averages closer to 10%.
GW
Sounds like this guy has been reading some of my posts! lol
This looks promising...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6tEkRRec3NE
It's a heat storage system (used crush rocks, currently basalt).
Utility scale storage up to 7 days.
For some reason, I'm not great a fan of heat storage but this sounds like a real advance.
Uses surplus energy to "charge" the system.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XbIQRwjpztY
Sounds like progress on FAA approval/environmental assessment.
My view: Musk is always several steps ahead of the game. He will probably have a back-up plan e.g. launching from somewhere like Brazil maybe.
Interesting that the video says FAA has dragged out the environmental assessment.
I'm definitely not a fan of early livestock farming and I am coming to the view it may never be required on Mars.
Stem cell meat is certainly a reality already now, and I am sure that technology will be honed and improved over the next, say, 50 years.
I think it would make a lot more sense for the Mars colony to put its energies into developing that food technology. The point of being on Mars is to do things differently. Stem cell meat addresses our evolved food requirements while also avoiding animal cruelty and all the other attendant nuisances of raising livestock in an enclosed pressurised environment.
In the meantime the "Impossible Burger" approach can be used to grow pretty good meat substitutes on Mars for things like burgers and "meat as a treat" can be imported from Earth as frozen, tinned etc.
If we really want to raise livestock on Mars I would say, "think small". Guinea pigs are widely eaten in South America and a far more manageable than chickens.
Fish farming is way more difficult than people realise. You need copious amounts of water and disease can spread among farmed fish very easily. In fact you have to dose them up with antibiotics and other medicines.
You can always bring preserved food for a science mission: canned, dehydrated, dry, etc. That's easy. But what do you do for a permanent settlement? You can't ship food from Earth, that's too expensive. For permanent settlement, you have to produce food locally. That's what this topic is about. Livestock are difficult to transport to Mars, and difficult to maintain. You need a hard wall containment of some sort, basically a pressurized barn, that livestock cannot bite/claw/kick/dig or otherwise puncture the pressure vessel. Livestock will consume oxygen and exhale CO2, requiring more oxygen recycling. Lifestock will produce manure and urine, which have to be dealt with. And livestock consume several units mass of fodder (feed) for each unit mass of meat. On a planet without a breathable atmosphere, greenhouse area per person is a concern.
Then there's the question of how you get livestock to the Red Planet. As I've posted before, imagine a cow on a spacecraft with astronauts, going through high acceleration during launch from Earth, then zero-G in Earth orbit, then moderate acceleration during TMI, then zero-G for months in transit, then high-G during Mars atmospheric entry, then a jerk as the parachute opens, and all the manoeuvres during landing. If the spacecraft uses rotation for artificial gravity like Mars Direct, then there will be a period of zero-G after TMI before the craft spins-up for artificial gravity. As it spins, the livestock will get dizzy. They'll get used to it, but it'll take a while. Upon approach to Mars, a Mars Direct style craft will cut loose the counter-weight, which will initially result in faster spin with much shorter radius. Then quickly de-spin. Then zero-G before atmospheric entry. All this will leave a cow freaking out. You would want to transport calves, as young as possible to minimize mass, but weaned from milk because Mars will not have any milk. At least not until the cows mature.
If you transport chickens, you have all the same problems, but with a smaller animal that can fly. Birds do not produce urine, their waste is mixed with their feces. I had considered transporting fertilized chicken eggs, put them in an incubator upon arrive on Mars. You can refrigerate live fertilized chicken eggs, just not as cold as a kitchen refrigerator, and no longer than 6 weeks. That isn't long enough to reach Mars. So how? Cryogenically freeze chicken embryos? That'll take serious research. Then how? A dedicated large scale livestock transport could do it, but that's seriously expensive.
That's why I've looked at vegan diet. Yes, it looks like we could transport fish, so aquaponics is possible. But elsewhere I posted the idea of mixing starch with gluten from a genetically modified yeast to produce flour. So we could produce flour without wheat. On the surface of Mars it would probably be most convenient to just grow wheat in a greenhouse. But on a large scale passenger ship, starch from chloroplast oxygen generators, and gluten from yeast grown in a vat. So this recipe for "vegan chicken" made from wheat gluten made me think. Instead of isolating "vital wheat gluten" from wheat flour, instead use the gluten produced by yeast. So the same gluten that can me mixed with starch for flour can be used on its own for "vegan chicken".