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The issue is not all of these methods are practicle, and building a kilometer plus tower on Mars certianly qualifies as impracticle, IMO.
- Yeah, but so is manufacturing photovoltaic cells, nuclear power plants, burning petrofied martian microbes...
Your concentrating too much on terrestrial efficiency; whats more important is that a chimney thingy could be manufactured easily from native materials, and constructed with basic tools.
Reduce the crew to 3. -All problems solved.
Perhaps I used the wrong analogy... What I meant was the space program must be more efficient, not profitable, atleast not financially, but more efficient. And replying to comstar: Hey, y'know if we need He3 for our fusion reactors, then let's mine the moon for the stuff. But reallistically, I do not see He3 as the primary driver, either now or in the 'near' future, of a manned lunar effort. Rather, and somewhat contrarily, I fear 'human exploration' will be the primary driver, and not scientific or technological return. Let me elaborate: Demonstrating technological abiltity (i.e building space ships and other space-based infrastructure) is a useless way of showing off. Demonstrating the ability to learn, however, is far more valuable. When the Apollo program was initiated, the president did not say, "Here's $50 billion, build me some spaceships." He said, "Here's $50 billion, put men on the moon, and you better learn something while your at it." Okay, those obviously aren't historically acurate quotes, but you get my drift...
Zubrin did say there are worthwhile reasons to go back to the Moon, and going to the Moon is a good idea all by itself.
But, as a steppingstone to Mars, that is nonsense.
I fear a manned lunar program might kill any future mars program, not because it will steal resources from the mars effort, but because the space program itself must start showing returns on investment if it is to be fully funded in the future. And Mars, in my mind, is the only hope we have of showing enough return on those investments. I fear a renewed lunar program, after some initial excitement, will settle into being another Space Shuttle: A big dumb liability, and a bad advertisement for the space program in general.
Finally, I wish to express my doubt in MarsDirect and Dr. Zubrin's plan... I don't think that MarsDirect is really any more than a Martian Apollo, as the entire system is just barely enough to get people to and from, and that is about all. The practical limitations of the Ares or other SDV vehicle demand that MarsDirect have very, very small mass margins, so small that any serious weight creep will doom the mission. So little useful hardware mass can be sent to Mars this way makes the whole proposition of dubious usefulness.
MarsDirect was never meant to be an ideal mission plan. But it is something we can afford today, and can implement with current technology. We have to reach a compromise, guys! Colombus didn't set off to colonize America; Hell, he didn't even set off to explore the continent. Rather, he just wanted to see if he could make it all the way to China. Colonization came after exploration, which only came after discovery. Colonization of Mars will probably not happen within our lifetimes. We must face this and set our sights on something we can achieve within our lifetimes. And MarsDirect may just be that something.
I'm tired of hearing 'Let's do this first, let's do that first'. How about: 'Let's just do it and see what happens.' It might end up being a lot easier than you think. :;):
Dook, remember, to quote Zubrin; Columbus didn't wait for trans-atlantic steamships or Boeing 747's before setting off. I think what must be said here is that the reason we don't have a more permanent position in space currently, isn't because we lack the resources, it is because space itself lacks the resources we need.
http://www.space.com/news/moon_mars_040729.html]NASA Issues Call For Moon, Mars And Beyond Technologies. Looks like NASA is starting to think reallisticly again, prompted by the budget cuts, no doubt. Sounds like they're calling for Mars Direct, except with an inflatable hab and stuffed in an Atlas (where will the astronauts fit? ) Can't find much more info on the NASA link. Please discuss.
Yes. But make it sensible. Bang for buck, please. :;):
Y'know what? I agree with the guy. We have been sending men to LEO for nearly half of a century, and for what purpose? Okay, now that sounds pretty shocking coming from me, but let's look at this thing logically. I'm too lazy to go into exact figures, but haven't we spent something like upwards of 90% of space funds on human flights? What if we could have spent that money on robotic missions instead? Think about what we could have done with NASA's full budget from 1970 to today, if it hadn't been wasted on the Space Shuttle and ISS. Perhaps 20 rovers to Mars by now, a few sample returns included. Marsian balloons that could have mapped the entire planet to the centimeter; artificially intelligent UAV's buzzing around near the surface, sending incredible snapshots from deep in the mariner valley, etc. etc. Robotic explorers on Titan, Callisto, Io... High resolution maps of Pluto, Sedna...
Imagine what might have been if Van Allen had his way...
Okay, if that's my view, what am I doing here at Newmars.com? Well, I'm an explorer too, and I'm all for the 'human experience', but giving hundreds of billions of dollars to NASA so they can send a few characterless astronauts up to the International Space Station, having only time to look out of their window as they float between endless maintenance chores, is not my idea of adventure. We need astronauts on Mars to do the science, but we don't need them in leo fulfilling Arthur C. Clarks 1950's vision of vacuum tube replacement men! :down:
Could there be an upside to the budget cuts? I mean, with no money for CEV, Plan Bush etc., all of NASA's $15.5 billion will be going to the Shuttle/ISS. Maybe if the purse strings are pulled tight enough Congress will finally notice how incredibly wastefull the Shuttle/ISS has been. Surely it isn't possible to continue to spend the entire NASA budget on the Shuttle/ISS for the next six years? Right? Help!?... :bars:
They're both crap, IMO (How did this happen? :hm: ). But atleast we know how crap Bush is, so my vote goes to Kerry 100%.
*Yay go Kerry!*
Wow! Bedrock looks thinner than expected... Outcrop on farside rim obviously can't be studied in much detail, pity; the outcrop directly beneath Opportunity seems to form a inviting ramp into the center. Interesting land-slide features and erosian under the overhanging outcrop; wavy dunes extending up the right rim. Magnificent! :laugh:
Im going out on a limb here, but I tend to agree with a lot of what DeagleNinja is saying. I fear the US is slowly alienating itself from the rest of the world, and the political climate of today has only served to make this worse. What will become of the future, when the growing economies of the EU and China may (will!) become a major economic threat to the US?
Err, I don't think the 'blueberries' are really blue, either. Grey hematite.
I suspect the stress on the vehicle at maximum dynamic pressure (Max-Q) would be too great. Unless the extra SRB's can be staged; lit after the first two SRB's have been spent? Perhaps longer-burning 6,7 or 8 segment SRB's are the better route?
If the shuttle hardware is scrapped, development of an all-new HLLV for Mars missions will only add to the cost of any future Humans-to-Mars program. NASA wants to gain space access step-by-step. I'm afraid that after the lunar program, the huge development cost of a clean-sheet HLLV, and the infrastructure needed to accomplish the Mars mission, might be a step too big. As Glenn stressed, we must plan for the future; a non-SDV lunar program is procrastination from the investment that is inevitable. It will only leave the Mars mission development decision for the next generation.
Whats interesting here is the development timetable on page 14. The CEV is developed first (flight-ready by 2008, as Bush demanded), but the infrastructure required to make it useful are developed later. Odd... In my opinion, the CEV should either be an orbital space plane, or a genuine lunar exploration vehicle. NASA needs to decide which; an OSP should not be built presuming it can be later adapted for future lunar exploration. Though they don't explore the SDV option in detail, it is shown on the timetable to be a much quicker route to Mars, and therefore any real science payoff (BTW, what is 'Sustained Earth Neighborhood Access", for what other than the moon is in earths neighborhood?). An HLLV, whether shuttle derived, or all-new, is shown to be required for any Manned Mars mission. When will we see official documents exploring the SDV option? Why should we scrap our perfectly good Shuttle infrastructure (Remember, it is the Orbiter which plagues us), only to re-develop the infrastruture for a clean-sheet HLLV (all at considerable cost) only 10 years later? These preliminary plans seem much too complex, considering we will only gain the capability to send people to the moon (albeit on extended stays; but why...?), a feat which nearly became routine 3 decades ago. And when we finally get there, Apollo will be half-a-century behind us...
The last question asks: What Could the Future Look Like?
A lot like 1969, actually.
Spending up to 18 months on mars, long-range mobility on the surface will be paramount for efficient exploration, as geologically interesting sites will likely be scattered far from the landing site. I heavily favor a Mars Direct plan, which as SBird has pointed-out, may be too heavy for further improvement. Perhaps a set of wheels or some sort of 'mobility package' which easily attaches to the frame of the hab could be sent ahead to mars parking orbit (where it waits in preparation for the hab to land) on a commercial launcher, landing next to the hab or ERV where appropriate landing beacons have been deployed. That way, development of mobility hardware is not mission critical, and may be delayed and introduced during the later missions.
Using (relatively) cheap commercial boosters to launch hardware ahead to mars would be greatly beneficial to any manned mars mission; delivering science packages, large rovers, spares and other non-essential supplies (and also alleviating the burden on expensive HLLV launches). This idea may have been covered by Zubrin or others. However, I feel it is something which is too often over-looked.
A mission to Mars will only be accomplished by the US if there is a serious enemy contender that could achieve that goal first.
Does Zubrin publish his books in russian?
Yeehaa! :laugh:
NASA has no hope left for RLV's. Pity, as the failure of Lockheeds design was a result of being overly ambitious and underfunded, rather than a fundamental oversight of RLV performance. My hope is that NASA will cease operation of the shuttle much sooner than 2010, perhaps selling the ISS to the Russians (or even perhaps the Chinese?) for a reduced price (thereby avoiding the potential for international ridicule, as an alternative to leaving the station out to dry). NASA should then focus solely on its primary objective: Exploration. Forget the CEV or any other set plans and goals, just ask this question:
'Whats the most effective way to explore, and how cheap can we make it?'.
Put another way: Whats the biggest bang for the buck? We shouldn't try to emulate Apollo, and we're not moving forward under the present NASA administration. It frustrates me to hear NASA's many critics babbling about this thing and that... And yes, I am one of them. But I cannot continue citing their specific faults, as my mind insists their must be something fundamentally upside-down in their logic somewhere.
I don't care how, NASA, just go damn forth!
:bars:
Im convinced NASA's logic is still backward. A Shuttle C might be seen as a threat to ISS logic, after the shuttle is retired (ie, there's no point developing 100 tonne launch capability to send astronauts and space junk to and from the station). They will justify every last decision, good or bad (Hubble) to their demise. What NASA needs is reform, not vision. They need to change their mode of operations, and Bush's goals will not force or even require that cardinal change.
Looks like NASA and the government have given up all hope for anything less than $10,000/kg launch costs. Aww man... This is crap. I can't help but worry if this new program is going to slow down space travel, rather than get on with it. Let's hope the private industry develops $100/kg boosters in the 25 tonne class... Remember Zubrins comments about the management at Lockheed?
Hehe, With such great public interest in the space program, I can't help but ponder whether the Apollo and other programs have by now unknowingly profited 10 fold!