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Do you know what a cycling orbit is?
It is an orbit that takes the ship from the vicintity of Earth to the vicintity of Mars, and the gravity of Mars bends the orbit path just enough to send the ship back to Earth, whose gravity bends it juist enough to send in back to Mars again and this cycle is repeated over and over again with very little or no propellent expended. A cycling spaceship doesn't require much in the way of rocket engines to maintain its cycling orbit. You could have lunar rock placed around the cycling ship as it cycles around in its orbit...
Mars Direct completely nixed that idea. You still have issues with rendevous - AFTER accelerating to the speed these cruisers are already going at. It makes it kinda redundant and we're only sending handfuls of people not shipfuls.
Much of the expense of a Moon/Mars crew rotation and supplies are tied up with propulsion to get them there. The Moon and Mars both have resources to dramatically reduce the propulsion requirements for a given mission.
...coming from the guy with ISRU issues.
Just exclaiming that carrying a heavy feedstock to make heavy propellant kind of defeats the whole purpose
No oxygen for you!
Still to settle this question can anyone crank some numbers on whether carrying water is easier than hydrogen?
Lugging Hydrogen to Mars (or any place) in the form of water is a bad idea, the whole point of ISRU is to bring a small mass of feedstock and make a large mass of propellant.
The extra oxygen would be handy on a manned mission...unless...you don't LIKE oxygen. :twisted:
You have your point on mass, my point is on logistics. The mass to store the hydrogen long-term for insulation could prove to be equal to the extra oxygen in the H2O in which case little difference. Water is a more stable form than hydrogen hence my suggestion.
If liquid hydrogen IS easier to carry than water to Mars then use it; I don't care if my way's better I just want something done right. If we get to ice mining on Mars then our dependence on Earthly H2 or O2 is cut but obviously that's only after we get something on Mars.
With or w/o ISRU we still have to deal with the mass of fuel needed to return to Earth. I think if we can prove it then do it; therefore if we can prove that ISRU works on Mars let's use it. Ice on the Moon is one thing but Mars unquestionably has resources.
In-situ fuel production. It may work, but the mission design should progress as though it will not be feasible. It is hard enough to build, test, prep and launch a rocket here on Earth; try adding the complexity of doing so 0.5 to 2.5 AU away? Good luck. At best (from an engineer stand point) your launching a Falcon I; more than likely you'll be launching something akinned to the Atlas V or the stick. Fun!
Much of the testing for In-Situ on Mars could be done while men are still at Luna; i.e. unmanned test vehicles. Smaller versions could be sent on Phoenix-esque-massed craft and if that works a Mars-Sample Return could test the technology fully. When we're finally testing manned Martian vehicles then send a full-sized ERV - perhaps it could deliver the initial base materials.
I think the technology is sound; it just involves Martian CO2 mixed with H2 to produce methane, water, and some oxygen. If you're worried over cryogenics then lug the H2 in the form of water and electrolocize it on Mars - the shuttle does that regularly as does the ISS so it isn't unheard of (on the ISS they keep the O2 and vent the H2 in their case).
We just need to build the damn thing. Test it in simulated Mars atmosphere here on Earth, then send the model on a Mars probe, and then send one or two progressively beefed-up versions. Pathfinder was considered extremely risque with its airbags and yet when MPL blundered the MERs immediately bounced their way to Mars in its wake. New tech isn't untouchable - you just give it a chance to work and, if it does, then use it.
...btw, we BUILD the damn rocketry here on Earth. At Mars all the stupid thing has to worry about is opening a few vents otherwise its all internal, which goes back to the quality of its Earthly construction. Mars didn't kill MPL, shotty Earthly engineering did which is the only true worry.
I think we should at least give the idea of O'Neill type space colonies a thorough study. How close are we those capacities, and how much closer are we than the 1970s when they were proposed.
HELLO...we're having trouble building a space station not even the length of a football field, give or take, and it is one that has been met with natorious cost overruns.
Add to that, everything is still being sent up from Earth. We don't have true space production capabilities. At best, we have a shot with VSE to start the seed, but not the fruit-producing tree, of what you're talking about with constructing an O'Neil space colony. Even talk of constructing things out of lunar rock is experimental unto itself.
Any talk about space colonies right now is literally up in the air, and personally I think most of what was envisioned in the 1970s was a tad overrated, i.e. STS and ISS...and worse still has proven to be overrated. For all the tons of material STS has sent up...not one of it related to manned exploration has ventured beyond 500 miles above Earth.
Redesign it for sure - I wouldn't want anything with that much glass. I remember a psychological study cartoon of these things showed a man holding a rock above one of those giant mirrors yelling "Declare me king or I break the window!"
Out of everything Zubrin suggested my bet is they'll modify Semi-Direct since the ERV could be based on the CEV, whether modified or not it essentially fits the bill.
I would like to see a HAB used as the manned lander but all this is just wishful thinking on my part.
Please--its not a hoax. We bounce lasers off retro-reflectors.
I say you a re not really a person--just a computer program designed to simulate/spout conspiracy theories. Any attempt to convince me you are real is just more text of the program.
Now prove you exist.
If he's a program let's have some Star Trek humor and say "This is a lie"
Asteroid mining is a pipe dream, and the show-stopper details are numerous and often simply ignored by proponents, intractable basic physics problems casually relegated to the future.
To what intractable basic physics problems and show stopper details are you referring?
If any I'd say finding an asteroid with a stable-enough orbit to allow frequent revisists. Mars you can visit one ever two years but NEOs are trickier - they can get closer than the Moon but only once in a blue Moon...
If somewhere out there there's a rock that's allow revisits, say, once every two to nine months (or at least once a year if our asteroid sojourns are really robust) then you're in buisness.
Still I think asteroids at best will be second to the Moon due to launch window access. Someone will just have to look for an ideal candidate rock...and with several small NEO-watching-groups already on the job there is potential for this route.
No, enough with the mass drivers and movement of material off the Moon! You keep on making noises about moving vast masses of material at huge expense into space to build stuff.
Furthermore, although we would eventually like to be able to build big O'Neal space station colonies and the like, we should FIRST set up where there are resources: on the planets and moons of the solar system. After we have a self-sustaining and growing Mars colony, and after we have visited out to the icey gas giants, and after the Earth's economy is joined at the hip with space for real... THEN we talk about it.
To expand, the emphasis should be on finding ways to benefit the Earth from space: if you do this, then the expansion into space will come. But, if you spend all your efforts on building big space ships for no good reason, then the money will dry up and you will go no place fast.
Amen to that. The Moon may be no Mars or Europa but it is as optimal you can get for a space-based construction site.
The minerals are right there and steady power at the poles if not water ice, no atmosphere to demand a protective shroud (or clouds to scrub launches like ol' STS), shadows that can ease the trouble of storing cryogenics, sufficent gravity to allow normal manufacturing practices (you try handling a free-floating glob of molten metal, even with a robotic arm) and yet light enough gravity to easily send craft anywhere in the solar system, and with Earth always within a week's travel away...
I would think many alien civilizations would envy our sheer luck of having a habitable world paired with a rocky spaceport-to-be.
Amazing photographic capability - it is hard to believe the Vikings have been spotted from orbit and thirty years (give or take a few months) since they landed.
Obviously they're still sitting there, dead as frozen car batteries, but the photographs still leave me to wonder about their physical conditions. I guess we won't know until either an aerial probe visits (since the sites are too damn boring to warrant a shorter-ranged rover and certainly lander) or humans walk up to 'em.
I hope we'll hear some news from SHARD next, not that the photographs are bad but if you want some real back-up on that water gulley bit finding an underground lake will bolster the odds.
It just occured to me the sheer coincidence this probe has of being named Phoenix and being conceived of in the University of Arizona
A Halloween mission - how spookily intruiging...
Still hoping to see some specific technical designs of LRO and its piggy-back LCROSS. Any specifics yet on what LCROSS will be carrying for that matter?
A mission to Phobos and or Demos would take a year or more and require a Mars Transit Vehicle (MTV) to carry supplies and the propulsion for the return journey. Yes it would make a good test of the MTV and the crew. It would however delay a Mars landing by two years.
Not really, but if development in the Mars Lander is delayed using the MTV itself (asuming a CEV-esque configuration) for a mission to these satellites then a jaunt to the Martian satellites is a good 'filler' mission.
But as I stated in another topic before on the outward leg of the mission, just prior to Mars Orbital Escape I doubt it'd be that troublesome to investigate the moons; surely the last month out of a two-year stay in Mars' vicinity is sufficent.
More to consider to in favor of Deimos and Phobos: whereas Mars has the surface area of the Earth's entire landmass where scientists will spend decades, and likely a good century even, combing for sites for life, water, ect. these moons have less area to suvey than the state of Conneticut combined. If they have anything of value it'll be far easier to find than on Mars' vast surface without putting much of a damper on the exploration of their father planet.
Looking at that diagram it looks like they might be using solar electric judging from that module with the blatantly huge solar arrays. It looks like it is jettisoned around MOI...kinda a waste but is that an atmospheric entry capsule near Mars? That makes me ponder if a lander is being considered, either Russian or perhaps Chinese (if the later no doubt an effort to boost their space ratings).
Beyond what I noted above looks like the usual for a SRM ala Stardust, Genesis, and Haybuskia (the Japanese asteroid mission): a main bus landing and then delivering a capsule for reentry & landing on Earth.
I hope well for this Russian(/Chinese) mission, and that more details about it will be revealed soon.
this would be very good mission to test elements needed for earth-mars transit.. and you don't need landers to achive this mission..
The same concept could be applied toward visiting the Martian moons, or in the long term the tinier satellites of the outer planets. Comets, save those still inactive and in deep freeze, I think would be another matter since they're blasting out debris that'd make them a tad dangerous for a manned expedition.
You're forgetting these are the makers of Energia and Buran - if their governement really wanted to get devoted to space they would be orbiting the moon without ESA's blessing and currently exploring options for a lunar lander.
Not a bad alternative plan. Question is are the people proposing this are actual space engineers or mere "enthusiasts".
Devoting a seperate launcher for the booster stage would give it more capacity, but would it put a cramp on cargo that can be carried?
Well even if there is that monetary unit known as a gallon of Moon Water
in the regolith that can be mined. Here are practical questions.1) How big a solar Array would you need to run a mining operation
2) Will you need reactors to power the H20 extraction process
3) Yields? crush 100 tons of rock to get 1 Gallon of H20?
All good questions, and this is why we need lunar probes providing data for answers asap.
Regarding crushing moon rock, we still need to generate LOX and extract minerals - we can do plenty with that 100 tons - the H2O would be the bonus from the process. Personally I'd hope that gross an excess wouldn't be the case but it could just as likely be too with as little 'ground truth' we have.
P.S. I bet those colonists would tear their hair out when a visitng LOX-H2 powered lander arrived (talk about conspiquous consumption)
Depends - lunar landers if they're developed into a local-operated vehicle may be modified to run on LOX-aluminium for instance to utilize more cost effective materials. I would recomend that route for the same reasons you state - H2O is there but like oil on Earth it isn't limitless.
It is also possible the hydrogen signal from the polar regolith was caused by solar hydrogen. We know hydrogen is present in the reg there in low densities and that there's potentially a huge amount in all that soil.
If the moon had some form of magnetic field that could channel hydrogen toward the poles I might believe that hypothesis more solidly but it is just as if not more 'iffy' than the likelehood of ice down there.
Regarding efficency of extracting ice, I think even if microwaving the dirt requires alot of power the point of Eternal Light's high solar illumination efficency becomes moot...but of course more efficency is better, particularly when it comes to keeping any melted ice from evaporating away.
Martin summarizes alot of what I think alright. You want to lower the cost of getting into space? You need to build stuff in space - not like the ISS I mean mine, refine, forge, assemble, wire, stamp and launch it into orbit.
The Moon is a blessing, even if it is lifeless and barren.
Yeah sure It can be used, but at what cost and why not move (mars) instead.
...namely because Mars is an entire planet and I'd rather not being the idiot who accidentally steers it into Earth.
Seriously though the Moon should be utilized. It has the minerals, metals, minimal gravity, no atmosphere, and even without the ice an underground lunar base has a hell of alot more protection than a free-flying space station. In the short-term it isn't essential for the first Martian explorations but with distance being a huge factor when you get to talking about sending people en mass to colonize the Moon will be targeted first. The Moon will hold greater appeal than Mars because the Earth is safely within reach.
Sorry Admiral but your comment has to be demoted to cadet...
These are based off Earth-based radar readings, much of which like visual Earth-based observations are difficult at best due to the angles we're seeing the lunar poles at. Also ice grains are likely mixed in with lunar dust, so when you bounce radar off you're more likely to see it as dust not pure ice.
I find it only fitting that we're getting contradictory findings from something so many space enthusiasts are betting their hopes on. My only bet thus far is that we're going to get confirmation from the LRO-Lunar Impactor mission. Nearly half the instruments aboard it are dedicated to delving into those shadowed craters; coupled with an entire booster stage being plowed into the surface if that doesn't spew out a hint of water then likely it is not present in sufficent quantities to support at least global lunar exploration - perhaps a localized base at best but the point remains.
Over 38 different lander configurations were considered, these were downselected to six that will be worked into a new conceptual LSAM design.
So six eh? I wonder if Lockheed's was among them.
Heck of a way to put it Tom...