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#2926 Re: Not So Free Chat » President Bush - about bush » 2003-02-15 21:40:40

And he still hasn't accepted the Kyoto treaty...

Considering the UN's apparent inability to actually do anything, I find the complaints about the Bush Administration's refusal to sign the Kyoto treaty to be a bit farcical. After all, what's to stop us from signing it and then ignoring it?

Oh, right. It's okay for Iraq to ignore international law but not the United States. ???

#2927 Re: Not So Free Chat » President Bush - about bush » 2003-02-15 21:18:33

The presence of the American military is sufficient "threat of force" to support diplomacy.  Reagan and the freeing of the Iranian hostages is a perfect example.  Reagan didn't have to use the military, but the Iranians knew that he had this tool, so they released them.  You don't need to use your military for it to be effective.

That's precisely my point. But the "anti-war" crowd is behaving as though military action should not even be an option, thus negating the incentive for Iraq to reach a solution of any kind. The threat of force, even if only implied, must be backed by the willingness to carry out that threat. The UN has failed in that regard, someone has to make a stand.

When you commit yourself to an alternative before exploring all options, you decrease the effectiveness of not only all the other options, but the chosen alternative as well.  This is what Bush has done.

Bush has not ruled out all other options; he has been quite accomodating in that regard, in fact. The very fact that we are arguing about the effectiveness of inspections and the reasoning for military action instead of watching the bombing of Baghdad on CNN is a testament to this.

#2928 Re: Not So Free Chat » President Bush - about bush » 2003-02-15 19:47:40

I think it's fair to say that nobody wants a war.

The problem with those arguing endlessy for a "diplomatic solution" and against military action is that without the threat of force, all the diplomacy in the world is meaningless chatter. Do we, as Americans, want to go to war? No. But we need to be prepared for that eventuality and we damn well want Hussein to believe we're ready to do it.

If we take the stand that war is unacceptable under any circumstances, we by implication take the position that violation of UN resolutions, attacking neighboring states, producing and using chemical weapons, and supporting terrorism is acceptable. I know for some of the idealists out there it's a tough pill to swallow, but that's the situation.

Sometimes if you want peace you have to fight for it.

#2929 Re: Not So Free Chat » A nuclear event - Do you expect one in your lifetime? » 2003-02-14 19:49:18

It looks like the US might use tactical nuclear weapons against Iraq.  These would be small nukes launched against military targets rather then large bombs targeted at cities, so they would not create as much devastation as people would expect from a "nuclear event".

US use of those tactical nukes, barring some seriously odd event, is unlikely for two reasons:

First, politically it would be disastrous. Using nuclear weapons in a first-strike on a third world nation? Not happening.

Second, these weapons have a very small and localized blast making them ideal for bunker-busting operations, hitting armored columns and the like. They are unlike any previous type of nuclear weapon and not to be confused with the so-called "tactical nukes" of the Cold War era. Unfortunately, they haven't been properly tested(according to everything I've ever seen on the subject). This is important because these "mini-nukes" artificially induce the chain reaction, they DO NOT CONTAIN A CRITICAL MASS - this is how the yield is kept so low. How precisely does this work? Classified, of course big_smile Basically, this means that if we use them, they might not go off.

Dropping a nuke on Iraq that fails to detonate is the same as just giving them one. Two or three and they can combine the fissile material, making a critical mass for a bomb that will work.

#2930 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » Solution to Fermi's paradox? - an idea » 2003-02-14 19:27:19

Time to make a nuisance of myself again.

You are immortal. Time no longer is meaningful to you as an individual. Why would you live on a planet?

What if humanity doesn't fundamentally change despite immortality and the mastery of space? Space travel is merely a technology, hardly something to alter our basic motivations. Immortality, aside from the potential to feed laziness and cowardice, doesn't seem like something that would necessarily alter our base drives.

In short, we may well live on planets because we like to look up and see sky. We like air that moves and carries the stink of life. We like standing on land rather than floor. Despite our advances, we will remain children of the Earth, attached to its grass and clouds and seas, not for rational reasons but because it is ingrained in the very core of our being.

#2931 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Averting Global Catastrophe » 2003-02-09 01:27:59

Hmm, you're saying that laissez-faire has anti-monopoly laws? Never heard of that one before (especially since anti-monopoly laws are in the ?economic management? category). What's the point of having property if I can't have lots and lots of it??  I am insulted! This is simply incredulous!!

Okay. I'm defining economic management in the sense that government takes an active role in directing the economy. Simple anti-monopoly don't do this, they simply prevent unfair business practices meant to prevent competition. It's more a matter of criminal law than economic management.

Anyway, I think the one problem with no welfare, is that old people and people who lose their property in a fire or something, are screwed.

But that 'welfare' doesn't need to be a function of government. The same thing could be accomplished with private insurance in the case of damaged property and some financial planning in the case of old age.

Otherwise these people will resort to other means to survive.

Valid point. But then if welfare exists simply to keep people at a level where they won't resort to crime, aren't they still stealing from everyone else?

Now, we could conceivably have a system which provided a "citizen stipend" to all adults that was enough to live on, then the motivation for crime is not poverty but greed, and as a society we can in good conscience punish any transgressors. Those who want more than the dole provides will work for it, otherwise they'll remain docile and controllable. How to pay for it? Don't know. Just a thought.

A whole underclass of government dependents. Actually, if permits to reproduce were tied to whether an individual tried to move beyond the stipend some interesting social engineering possibilities arise.

Whoa, feeling just a bit evil at the moment. Back to the real world where welfare is just a half-assed government band-aid.

#2932 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » Solution to Fermi's paradox? - an idea » 2003-02-09 01:03:34

Except the laws of thermodynamics suggest that any advanced civilization wouldn't need to be ?militant space-imperialists,? because all that matters is energy, and there's quite enough to go around.  cool

Making assumptions again. Rationally "Militant Space Imperialism" makes little sense, but the human species has repeatedly demonstrated its enormous capacity for irrational behavior. If someone out there is going to take the MSI approach, the discoveree will not enjoy the encounter.

I am being somewhat tongue in cheek here, just in case anyone is taking this too seriously. Still, it makes you wonder what horrors might be waiting out there. Explore cautiously and carry a planet smasher. cool

#2933 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Averting Global Catastrophe » 2003-02-09 00:43:13

Basically, we can show that laissez-faire capitalism is inherently corrupt because, by definition, the government exists only to insure property rights (and a bit of civility), nothing else. No welfare, no anti-monopoly laws, no economic management, no nothing. Just a small police state which upholds property rights and peace.

With the exception of a complete lack of anti-monopoly laws, that sounds about right. Not providing welfare services and economic management is hardly a sign of a corrupt system.

#2934 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » Solution to Fermi's paradox? - an idea » 2003-02-08 22:31:35

A smattering of random thoughts on the subject:

...by the time we are capable of interstellar travel, we simply won't be interested any more. I can't say why, but we'll be incredibly more advanced by that point...

Forgive the disjointed quote, Vingean Singularity puts us in a whole new game, and being a mere lazy human I don't want to deal with it big_smile

It seems speculation on alien civilizations tends to assume they'll be both technologically and socially more advanced. If our own history is any indication, that probably won't be the case. We're essentially a species with Paleolithic minds and motivations, but the technical knowledge to build atomic bombs, alter our own genes, hurl ourselves off the planet and so on. If humanity is any indicator, the first alien race we encounter may well be militant imperialists with warp drives and the ability to implode stars.

In such a case, it behooves us to become militant space-imperialists first so that it is we who discover them.

#2935 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Averting Global Catastrophe » 2003-02-07 21:37:56

For decent people, it should be understood that nobody has the right to tell someone else that they should be doing something else because they are "not being productive" ; the underlying ideas are similiar to those used to justify totalitarianism. Everyone should be allowed to decide for themselves what is productive and not productive, free from coercion.

That only holds up if one accepts your definition of productive. If someone chooses to simply sit in front of the tv, scarf donuts, and smoke weed; I would call them unproductive. If someone wants to do that, it's fine with me.

The problem comes in with "mutual aid" and how far it goes. If I'm obligated to aid them when they run out of donuts and have no money for more food, then whose being coerced? If no one is required to aid them, they eventually die or resort to criminal acts. We either ignore the value we place on mutual aid in the former, or resort to coercion in the latter.

#2936 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Averting Global Catastrophe » 2003-02-07 19:15:46

Unless we switch to social structures which place value on liberty and mutual aid, rather than the intentional destruction and subjugation of other humans...

The current western social structure does "place value on liberty and mutual aid..." However, humans being how they are, there are times when the "intentional destruction" of other humans is required.

...the likelihood of a fatal disaster is far increased over what it would be in a situation where humanity collaborates to achieve things agreed to be great.

Ah, but agreeing on what is great... That's the real trick, isn't it cool

What is the solution? Should we all go crazy and try to institute a totalitarian government to make sure these threats to civilization do not get out of hand? No.

Exactly right. What is the point of defending something if in the process you destroy everything in it worth defending. People of America, take note.

That's my two cents.

#2937 Re: Not So Free Chat » A nuclear event - Do you expect one in your lifetime? » 2003-02-07 18:38:46

I'll go with 1. My reasons are as follows:
first, all the old rules are eroding. When nuclear weapons were solely in the hands of fairly rational nation-states, use of those weapons was virtually outside the realm of possibility. MAD as it was, it worked. That world is quickly fading into one where any stateless madman with enough money or supporters can get one. The Soviet Union can no longer be our model. We're up against "super-villains" now, just like in the comic books.

Second and more difficult to explain, it seems (to me at least) that history works in loose cycles. We're overdue for a major league turd. Given the aforementioned shift, I expect it to involve a nuclear incident.

#2938 Re: Not So Free Chat » Shuttle Crash!!! - NASA TV. » 2003-02-01 22:43:14

Certainly we can't mothball the shuttles immediately. I'm just pissed that I've been saying we need a new launch vehicle since the Reagan Administration to anyone who would listen (I was a little kid, probably a very annoying one) and watching every attempt to build it shut down.
It's time to quit screwing around and make something better than the half-assed "reusable" spacecraft we've been trucking all over LEO for the last two decades.

#2939 Re: Not So Free Chat » Shuttle Crash!!! - NASA TV. » 2003-02-01 22:03:44

bah, they are the best in the world.

Hmm. Kinda like trying to pick the best car from a lot full of used Gremlins.   ???

The shuttle was a poor compromise design when it was new, it's time for something new.

#2940 Re: Not So Free Chat » Shuttle Crash!!! - NASA TV. » 2003-02-01 16:53:09

This is going to be a pivotal moment. If there are enough people who stand up for a manned space program for whatever reason (exploration, research, satellite maintenance, etc) this could be a huge impetus to proceed with develop of an alternative to the shuttle with renewed vigor.

Otherwise, this could be it. Everyone who gives a shit about the space program, it's time to make your voices heard, now more than ever. We need something new, something high profile to outshine this incident. Mars or bust.

This isn't about the outdated shuttle fleet. It's about who will lead humanity into the future. I choose America over Communist China any day...

#2941 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Languages - Parlo Italiano - What langauge should be the Official? » 2003-01-26 13:48:48

And Cobra Commander, I wasn't quoting Voltaire in French.

I know. I was speaking generally in reference to the Voltaire comment, in the sense that as a stereotypical American (a self deprecating joke on my part), I wouldn't read anything that wasn't in English. Not so much out of the "arrogant American" attitude I play up but just because my command of other languages is extremely lacking.

No offense intended with the French bashing.

#2942 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Languages - Parlo Italiano - What langauge should be the Official? » 2003-01-24 23:11:23

So basically, how do we make colonies speak it? What about prodominately Chinese colonies? Prodominately German, and so on?

Well, we could threaten to shut off their air if they don't comply. Where are you, Clark? big_smile

I suspect if we were to have such a language, it would be Korean or the like. Although I have a problem with glyphs instead of alphabetical languages. They're similar (as they're both built of simple constructs; alphabets being characters and glyphs being angles, both which build full words), but glyphs are much more susceptible to ?misspellings.? If one angle is off, you're screwed. However, with an alphabetical language, you can derive the meaning with very few letters

Actually, in the case of Korean, it is a phoenetic language. Each glyph represents a sound rather than a concept, so it could be used with the Latin alphabet, or any other that was desired.

Personally, I think that ?offical languages? shouldn't necessarily express emotion very well. Who cares about emotion in official documents? And I think that official languages should be easy to pronounce, with a very clear grammar so that accents don't destroy the meaning of words

An artificial language like Esperanto is perfect. It has very simple rules, lacks the wide vocabulary needed for casual use, and thus can't realistically be forced on anyone over their native tongues. If there must be an "official" language, this might be the way to go. But it's a pain in the ass, so I still opt for English. If we Americans get off our butts and get on with a Mars mission, we'll have de facto official English simply through dominance.

#2943 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Languages - Parlo Italiano - What langauge should be the Official? » 2003-01-24 20:40:34

Ah, Monsieur, Fran?ais est la langue de mon Voltaire aim?. Comment n'appr?ciez-vous pas le fran?ais? C'est ?galement la langue de roman. Je vote pour le Fran?ais, oui.

--Cindy

Surely a stereotypical American such as myself, stomping about and proclaiming how the world should be, can't be expected to appreciate Voltaire in the original French; I need everything in English translations to accomodate my arrogant unilateralist mindset. big_smile

Besides, I like a language in which I can sound threatening if I choose. French makes it really hard...

#2944 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Languages - Parlo Italiano - What langauge should be the Official? » 2003-01-24 16:47:09

And I'm a U.S. citizen by the way; I know it might be terrifically shocking if I'm not stomping around acting like a stereotype.

That's my cue! big_smile  One for an English speaking Mars.

Seriously though, despite the lack of consistency and the generally messed-up usage of the language, English is very good at expressing complex and very specific ideas fairly efficiently. English has so many words that mean almost, but not quite, the same thing. The subtle shades of meaning possible make up for the haphazard rules, at least to me. German is also good in this respect, but it can be rather ungainly.

But if we want a "perfect" language, as in "consistent and easy to learn", how about Esperanto. Everyone would have to learn a new language then. just anything but French!

#2945 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Constitutions, Laws and Rights - Implications and consequences » 2003-01-18 01:03:06

a right to protect ones self doesn't endanger the individual rights of others, because you could still bring in your knives, or billy clubs, or whatever.

Overall I agree, but individuals need to have weapons equivalent to those of the people that they are protecting themselves from. If a gang of thugs is running around with shoulder fired plasma cannons, some kind of projectile weapon with equivalent range is needed by the public.

It would be infinitely hard to interpret a march upon a city with weapons as anything other than a rebellion of some sort.

Yes, but a march with harshly worded signs also qualifies as a rebellion of some sort.

Indeed, when was the last time you saw a peoples armed in a third world country march upon cities peacefully?

I can't think of an occasion off hand. But then, I can't come up with an example of an uncorrupt election in the third world either.  Doesn't mean it can't happen. I'm really not trying to advocate allowing private armies to march down public streets, but I just can't see justification for prohibiting it. It seems wrong, but sometimes common sense... doesn't really make sense when you examine it.

Well, why do individuals deserve a right that is inherently abusive? Peacefully assemble, remember? If someone gets arrested for doing something disagreeable at the State of the Union address, like, say, pull out a megaphone and start blaring out complete drivel (even if it was about an issue I agreed with), I can't say I'd pity them. And I'd be surprised if you did. (Obviously I would have an issue with them being arrested, for say, holding up a non-obstructive sign, or perhaps, turning their back in slient protest; I don't think those things are ?disagreeable? to a large majority of sane people.)

Ah. I should have been more clear, by "disagreeable" I meant any response that showed an unfavorable opinion of what was said.

Personally, I'm going with a mix between A and C. The difference, though, is that I think rights should be completely and utterly limited to the individual.

I think that all true rights are limited to the individual. If it's something you can just do, it can be a right. If it requires some institution or outside body it can't be a "right." A interesting thing to come from this interpretation is that there is no "right to vote."

This way, if an individual creates a big bomb (how can one justify protecting the individual with a big bomb?), he can get in trouble for it, but if an individual wants to carry a regular handgun for protection, he will be fine from a legal standpoint.

Right. A bomb can't be used defensively. If someone tries to rob you, what good is pulling a bomb on them? Unless you anticipate a robbery and plant the bomb preemptively, Bush Doctrine style.  big_smile

#2946 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Constitutions, Laws and Rights - Implications and consequences » 2003-01-17 21:29:53

When we speak of individual rights, less is more. Perhaps a preclusion right which says that any right not explicitly given within the constitution is not expressly denied unless that right goes against the rest. Is that fair?

That seems like a good approach, assuming that the distinction between "rights" and "entitlements" is clear. For example, Zubrin's "Rights of Mars" contains many of the latter, which tend to create a poulation of dependents rather than free citizens.

Under guise of C, we could technically attempt to overthrow the government or a colony, in a coup or what have you, then when we're captured or accused of treachery, we can merely say that we're ?expressing our rights as individuals!? We have guns, we have free speech, we have a whole crapload of people. Hey, we resemble an army! But we're not an army, we're peacefully assembling people exhibiting our free speech. Don't mind the guns, they are happy friendly guns.

That's essentially what I was getting at. If a group of armed people actually barricade or attack something, they are obviously trying to accomplish something outside the accepted legal process, but if they don't obstruct access to anything and don't discharge a single firearm or use a weapon in an overtly threatening manner it gets a bit fuzzy. The "threat" exists entirely in the minds of those who are the object of the protest. To acknowledge a private "right to bear arms" implies that arms can be borne in public, otherwise it's just a right to "own, store, or use arms in regulated enviroments, but not carry or allow to be seen in public".

Can we prohibit individuals from exercising a right because they might abuse it or commit a crime? If so, then it could be argued that people can be arrested for responding in a disagreeable manner to the State of the Union address. While I was in a kinda goofy mood when I posted this thread, I'm now finding myself increasing drawn to Option C.

All in all, I think a clear, simple, constitution is best. Less is more.

Agreed. Under certain conditions (such as colonial Mars, perhaps) a bill of rights reminiscent of that in the US (minus amendment ten, of course) may be all that is required. Basically, "The government has authority to do whatever is necessary as long as it does not violate these basic rights..."

It's either practical anarchism or some form of benign fascism ???

#2947 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Constitutions, Laws and Rights - Implications and consequences » 2003-01-17 18:01:30

For the purpose of this post I'm using the US Constitution as a loose template for future Martian law, as a familiar document should keep this at least somewhat locked in reality.

#2948 Re: Not So Free Chat » Man never reached the Moon!? » 2003-01-11 16:05:32

My major problem with the reasoning of the "moon hoax" fringe has always been this: To create a convincing hoax you need not only astronauts to fake the mission, but all the thousands of support staff, engineers, factory workers and so on. The whole thing falls apart if no one can find anyone who worked on the program

Obviously, thousands of people can't be kept quiet about a scam of that magnitude. Therefore, they have to believe that they're actually working on a moon program.

Now, if you're going to spend all the time, effort and money to create a hoax involved enough to fool all the people who are "working" on it, you might as well just go to the damn moon!

#2949 Re: Not So Free Chat » President Bush - about bush » 2003-01-11 15:59:59

I remember now.  The income tax began in preparation for WW1.  The government needed money, and it was intended to be temporary.  It was, I believe, a 1% tax.

Actually, it didn't have anything to do with WWI. (This was 1913 after all, the war didn't start until 1914 and the US didn't enter until the end of 1916, and then reluctantly) The tax was meant as a punitive measure on the "robber-barons" of the time.

A few decades before, there was a telephone tax imposed to pay for the Spanish-American War. We still pay it today.

#2950 Re: Not So Free Chat » Leaglize drugs - say what u want » 2003-01-11 15:54:26

In a NHTSA study, the only statistically significant outcome associated with marijuana was that drivers drove more slowly.

Actually, I know several people that drive better after they've had a joint.

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