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#251 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2007-01-27 15:24:10

...Ares 5 variant, referred to by some people as Ares 4...

A fitting name for the specs of the mission.

“You could do an Apollo 8 kind of mission...You could test out the capsule and the service module all the way around the lunar environment as a build up to the actual landing … and you could have the capsule re-enter at lunar velocities.”

This would definetely be a signifigant step up from the LEO Gulog we've been stuck in for the past 30 years. 

As quoted obviously this'd test the Orion's lunar capabilities but, using the same Ares 4, this'd be perfect for shuttling trips involving small cargoes and crew changes.  This would bring it down from 1.5 to 1 - no seperate Ares I and Ares V with LEO rendevous; the only other vehicle required would be a RLSAM (Reuseable-LSAM) that'd be kept at the lunar outpost between flights.

This could quite possibly eliminate the need for Ares I altogether - an Ares 4 (or perhaps I should say Ares IV) sent to the ISS could bring a mother-load of cargo or perhaps even a 7-person crew if room allows.  The only advanage Ares I would still offer would be reduced cost, and this'd only be applicable toward LEO operations.  Barring a series of Bigelow-styled stations, once the ISS goes under so would the need for Ares I for better or worse.  Given the 6-month crew exchanges on ISS this'd be no different than launch schedules for a lunar station.

I may not give a damn for Paris or an Ares X but I'm enthusiastic for Ares 4.  big_smile

#252 Re: Human missions » Lunar economics etc » 2007-01-27 09:03:18

In short term, you're right - long term wrong.

If it doesn't help in the short term, why not focus directly on the real goal: getting humans occupying more of the solar system than Earth, which appears to mean exploring and colonizing Mars?

Because Mars requires months as opposed to mere days for Luna.  Also the Moon has industrial and manufacturing potential directly applicable to CisLunar space (cough cough Earth satellites with marketing potential).  But in short if something screws up in the short term handling it on a Lunar mission will be a hell of alot easier; remember Buzz and Aldrin DID get their experience not just on simulators but also on Gemini missions as well.

#253 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Altair - Lunar Lander (LSAM) - status » 2007-01-27 08:59:42

Ascent Stage: Dry mass 4000 kg, inert mass 5600 kg, cargo is only 800 kg, propellant 4500 kg. Total 10200 kg.
Descent stage: Dry mass 5100 kg, inert mass 7000 kg, propellant 27500 kg. Total 35000 kg.

So total LSAM is 45200 kg.

While these numbers of course change with regards to the EDS capabilities.
The sooner we begin on the moon lander the quicker we will get to go to mars.

Agreed, or at least the EDS stage.  Considering the needs for aerobraking and reentry a Martian lander may turn out to be far different than a Lunar one, although possbly they may share a few systems depending on what needs beyond an aeroshell a Mars lander requires.

#254 Re: Human missions » Lunar economics etc » 2007-01-23 15:19:04

Feasible yeah, but not very practical. It takes as much fuel to go to the Moon as it does to Mars, give or take.

Yeah but in the even longer term its more cost effective to build and launch from the Moon than from Earth.

No I don't think so. It will never be cheaper to build on the Moon. The gargantuan trouble of building space ships on the Moon far far outweighs the benefit of reduced gravity.

I'm talking about something along the lines of an independent manufacturing plant.  Your line of argument would be like the British back in the 1500s saying "Oh it will never be cheaper to construct ships in the Americas..."

In short term, you're right - long term wrong.

#255 Re: Human missions » Lunar economics etc » 2007-01-22 20:04:52

Feasible yeah, but not very practical. It takes as much fuel to go to the Moon as it does to Mars, give or take.

Yeah but in the even longer term its more cost effective to build and launch from the Moon than from Earth.

#256 Re: Human missions » Lunar economics etc » 2007-01-21 20:19:49

So helium-3 is the one for-sure item that could be imported to Earth.

Otherwise our answer is making a self-sustaining lunar colony.  Once fully operational it'd make a market of manufacturing satellites and spacecraft and that in turn would lull more people into space.

#257 Re: Human missions » The Race with China » 2007-01-20 15:56:58

China doesn't really have a lot of money to spend. They are desperately trying to keep their country together without having an economic meltdown. But just to piss you off. I do hope China get their first. American arrogance doesn't need to be feed.

*rolls over laughing*  lol

Seriously though, after that anti-satellite weapons test we ought to give them harder consideration.  Since they only have medium boosters their manned program will stay small I figure for at least another decade if not two.  Eventually they will, I suspect, wean themselves off exSoviet tech and develop a variety of their own.  They've obviously stated they're not content to be small players and even small players are not to be estimated.

#258 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2007-01-20 15:46:22

Well if there's a modification that can benefit the system do it, but if it adds a burden go with whatever STS gives.  Keep the best balance that minimizes cost without jeapordizing safety...which itself is not easy.

What about the EDS?  Will it be anything like the upper stage on the Ares I or will it be considerably larger?

#259 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares VII » 2007-01-19 21:58:26

For a second thought you were nuts GNC but I'm glad you're supporting the actually working components of the STS & Ares.

Looks like the SRBs aren't so bad after all.  I am definetely not suprised about the height issue with Ares-V as is; it'll probably be the only rocket to near Saturn-V's height for another century I'm betting...at least assuming space agency budgets and politics as they are now.  SSME were, alas, an experiment that proves reuseability has limits and, worse still, limits that can hamper performance.

We can cut alot out of the old STS hardware but the SRBs won't be among them...and that's going out to you little SRB-hating-so-and-sos  tongue

#260 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares VII » 2007-01-19 18:54:30

Those same pioneers never dealt with the headaches of liquid hydrogen and the wonderful world of cryogenics that prevails.

Solid rockets are more reliable than liquids for better or worse.  Liquids can give better performance but it comes at an annoying cost: cryogenics that limit storage time (which has HUGE implications both within and certainly beyond CisLunar space) and demand thick insulation (which in the case of STS shed and lead to deaths) and complex engines (that are heavy and impractical like the SSME or have to be imported from Russia like Lockheed has done with many engines).  You fill a solid rocket up like you fill a tube of cauking, slap it together, and then light up.

The SRBs never once caused a flight delay nor failed in performance whereas your precious liquid SSME are often the contrairy; hell even the ET was PECKED into a launch abort by a woodpecker because of the insulation!  Liquid rocketry...defeated by a bird!!

#261 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares VII » 2007-01-19 05:34:10

I'm not sure of the weight of the 5-seg SRB's, but the transporter max payload was mentioned as under 18MT. Because SRB's are always stuffed full with fuel, they're way heavier than even huge empty cryogenic tanks.

But far from the hefty mass of a fueled cryogenic tank, but when being moved on a transporter pad I see your point.  I don't think, however, Ares X or those horrible Paris designs are as transporter friendly as an Ares VI or VII.

#262 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares VII » 2007-01-18 16:00:35

Good lord  :shock:   You people are designing the USS Monstrosity.

The Ares VII, compared to the insane design of Paris, is a HELL of alot more doable.  Have you people even taken into account the transport vehicle?  No way in hell anything could move something of that scale and I doubt assembling it on the launch pad will be anywhere near simple.  Although I suppose either Ares VII or X are possible to at least design if not implement and fabricate, but I wonder how an even simpiler design could perform.

Call this conept the Ares VI:

-Same central core and upper-stage as Ares V
-4 5-stage SRVs; same as on Ares V but two more (1 more than Ares VII)

What would the performance of this conceptual vehicle be compared to Ares V and then to Ares VII?  4 SRBs versus 3 allow for something more symmetrical which I assume is easier to handle and maintain.  Are there any US boosters that use 3 rockets like that?  Only one I can think of is the Atlas V.

Summarizing I think it'd be easier to implement than Ares X and slightly less troublesome than Ares VII - more hardware heritage from Ares V and more stable on the launch pad.  If it lifts a good 5 tons more than Ares V for just a hundred million of development verses several billion for 15 tons or whatever I'd take the former since it saves more.

#263 Re: Exploration to Settlement Creation » Mars Homesteads colony plan to recycle waste » 2007-01-17 16:37:23

Living plants are desirable because of their ability to produce food.  That is the only thing they do that can't be imitated by mechanical systems.

Heh...brings to mind a funny image *Homestar Running eating a sanwhich loaded with lightbulbs*  tongue

#264 Re: Human missions » Earths Oceans Explored - but why not colonized » 2007-01-17 16:31:27

I don't think colonizing the ocean, despite its vast space, would be particularly wise.

It is the biggest, most interconnected, and least-studied enviorment on the planet.  Consider where we live now, on continients and even cities on the fringes of desserts can contribute runoff that already off-balances lord knows what in terra aqua.

...and you're talking about floating cities of a few thousand easy directly out there?  Think of the phrase "poop deck" and conceptulaize how the sewer system would work.  Then add in oil leakage, garbage, paper wrappers wafting in the breeze and six-pack-rings floating toward breeding grounds of otters and endangered sea birds.  The urge to dump all our waste into something seemingly vast would be too easy and powerful for an ocean city.  Within fifty years given a few dozen floating New New Yorks and New Londons you'll have the Ocean Thames reaking of dead fish.

Don't count on harvesting the Ocean either - it is NOT as fruitful as people think.  Areas the size of the United States are already being swept to the ocean bedrock every year; the ocean's equivellant of the Amazon's hack-and-slash burnings.

May as well suggest Antarctica - fresh penguin eggs and meat waiting to turn giant colonies of those cute lil butlers into colonies of the next dodo bird. (cue the screams of a thousand 'March of the Penguin' and 'Happy Feet' fans imaging penguins getting clubbed like baby seals). And with the ice thawing and sun half the year oooh...sun worshippers and resorts.

#265 Re: Unmanned probes » Lunar Reconnaissance Orbiter (LRO) & LCROSS impactor » 2007-01-16 19:21:09

This dual mission sounds quite promising.

Shackelton Crater seems to be becoming a prominently popular choice for a manned landing site if both LCROSS and LRO's mission specs and the VSE web site are any indication.

With Lunar Prospector its possible the probe was too tiny to throw up enough debris but with an entire Centaur rocket plowing in at lunar escape velocity+ it will either kill or confirm water ice.  The only other possibility for both missions was they just got damn unlucky - only difference will be the Centaur will no doubt throw up a substantially bigger ploom cloud and generate a larger crater, that increases its odds at least even if slightly against the sheer area of Shackelton.

How will LRO's detail compare with that of Lunar Prospector I wonder?  Will it be like comparing Viking against MRO?

#266 Re: Interplanetary transportation » The amazing "MIX" of a Bigelow module and an Orion capsule! » 2007-01-16 19:10:01

if safe for humans... the best application is a larger LSAM's habitat-module side.

An even better idea.  No restraints by an aeroshell/heatshield and no need to deflate for storage...save perhaps inspection if long-term but even then inflated may prove better.

#267 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2007-01-16 19:04:16

Yes the bottom of the ET tank fell out and the LO2 exploded, but all that happened because the SRB was leaking hot exhaust gas over it.

...and in turn due to management ignoring engineers' requests for the sake of schedule.  Bang a hammer against a safety-rated item and pretty soon it will no longer be safe either.

The key advantages of these SRBs is that they have been examined, tested, reexamined, redesigned and worked on intensively especially after Columbia. Another major plus is that they are recovered after use and thoroughly checked, that more than anything gives them tremendous reliability. On top of all they are inherently simple, no dangerous pumps and cryogenic valves and plumbing waiting to explode. They can do the job.

Damn straight!  wink

#268 Re: Interplanetary transportation » The amazing "MIX" of a Bigelow module and an Orion capsule! » 2007-01-16 16:46:57

Um...what the...?

Based purely on apperance I must frankly say it looks like a bastard son of Soyuz.

I don't think Orion could be refitted like that, but once Bigelow's modules are proven with human occupants it wouldn't be a bad idea to save space and, somewhat fittingly, make space more comfortable.  It is certainly a good idea for space tourists and whatever spacecraft that picks up from CEVs legacy.

#269 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Ares I (CLV) - status » 2007-01-16 16:37:48

The primary design concept behind Ares I is safety and reliability. A solid first stage is a sound way to achieve that.  Using more engines increases risk.

I have to agree.  Although the SRB had the O-ring it didn't actually kill the astronauts - that was the ET exploding.  Also, versus the ET's notorious shedding, the SRBs never inflicted any damage to STS and nor will they Ares.  I also can't recall when an SRB was cited for delaying STS.  The O-ring, itself, was more NASA management f***ing up an excellent rocket's performance.

With two SRBs firing simultainiously at every shuttle launch...and tell me how many times has the shuttle been launched?  That's a damn good record that'd outrank any Atlas any hour of the day out of the whole year.  The Atlas isn't bad but the SRB has blatantly proved itself already - why not use something that good?  And no b.s.-ing on EELVs either - the Delta IV screwed up on its maiden launch which speaks volumes.

#270 Re: Interplanetary transportation » Orion (CEV / SM) - status » 2007-01-16 16:23:09

I agree.  Even if its not used on Orion or LSAM it has applications - hell in the farther future a distant cousin of this engine might be finding Titan to be a paradise in methane.

Its great we've got a potential Martian engine that runs.  Now we need Martian propellant production to get both the horse and carriage.

#271 Re: Human missions » Lunar economics etc » 2007-01-16 16:14:05

I don't think there is any major Earthly need for a moonbase.  Scientific knowledge of the moon is nice, but probably won't make any material difference to human lives.

Just under a thousand years ago ancient China had the potential to become a world power.  It created a trade network with India and East Africa by sea and its sailors even saw Australia centuries before Cook.  Then a new dynasty came along and saw 'no Earthly need' to sustain outside relations, destroying all large ships and even limiting seafearing to ensure the outside world couldn't contaminate their society and also waste resources.  A couple hundred years later China was overrun by both Europeans and Japanese...

Funny how an Eastern Civilizations Class can point out how even an 'evolved' culture can screw itself royally...

But if we accept "Extending Human civilization permanently into space" as a worthy long term goal for ourselves, that does create derivative needs - e.g. to reduce costs in order to achieve as much as possible as soon as possible, with whatever money we can afford to spend on it.   And that's were I think we should start thinking from, rather than "gotta have a moonbase".

It is always a matter of how you say it, but even rephrasing it like that can be interpreted as 'Hippie'gibberish or something more accurately that's too-aloof for the average citizen to grasp.

Personally I see it as the next step.  Eventually if the Earth 'goes green' we'll have to move any pollutive industries off-planet and find resources that aren't taped out...things like uranium, platinum, rare earth metals that may turn out more common off Earth.  We can always recycle but I doubt the population will stop growing - and to sustain such a population it won't be so much moving people but as in bringing in supplies.

And on a final note, you'd be suprised how much of a tidal wave of attention 'useless things' get.  For instance...the sale of beanie babies alone at its height likely equaled, if not surpassed, the total NASA budget.  Explain how the hell that hapened if a beanie baby serves no logica purpose Mr. Spock?  There lies the trick.

#272 Re: Human missions » Armstrong Lunar Outpost - status » 2007-01-15 15:44:27

They'll probably run into huge cost over-runs, repeatedly scale back the concept, eventually settle for sending up a few scientists at a time to keep the lights on and do "moon science" and just manage to get the drastically scaled back "moon base" finished in time to abandon it.  Instead of complaining about the space program "going in circles for 30 years", it'll be "the space program has been sitting on a dead end moon for 30 years"

I'd rather have a crappy Moonbase than the ISS anyday.  Unlike Skylab (and eventually ISS) the base'd stay there instead of burning up after a useless lifetime.

NASA can't conjur up miracles and neither can commerical space programs; both take time to develop and, more likely, a solid need needs to smack the public square in the face.

I agree on the Lunar Resources focus: that's where the Moon has weight versus the ISS, you have something to study and work with.

#273 Re: Unmanned probes » Mars Scout -11 » 2007-01-09 16:31:43

The two missions sound extremely alike, although I suspect MAVEN would be the more likely first-choice since it sounds more climate/biology oriented.

If I were a NASA manager I'd have to agree on turning down ARES - unless the plane can restart itself and be proven to fly in low air pressures it sounds exceedingly risky for a few hundred million dollars of investment.  For an aerial mission I think the best investment would be a blimp/derigable project; a balloon is too easily wind-driven but a blimp could fly to select sites while simultainiously analyzing the Martian atmosphere - BIG science potential plus inflating the hydrogen for such a craft would give an opportunity to test propellant production.

#274 Re: Human missions » Whats does NASAs Manned Mars Architecture Look Like Now? » 2007-01-06 20:12:16

9 men, limited outside activities, very limited communications, 3 years.

9 men stuck inside a tin can, even if they are experts at telerobotics, sounds like a huge waste of money and effort, especially if it costs $9 billion a person (taking into account equiptment, launching, and development over a few years) to get them there.  If you want telerobotics I think 6 is the maximum we need at Mars...

Once we get to operating a base long-term, yeah, 9 or better still 20+ is good because we'll have a facility, setup on an alien and demanding surface, that NEEDS that kind of attention.

#275 Re: Human missions » Moonbase and Mass drivers etc etc » 2007-01-01 17:07:38

I am talking about within the past 10 years.  Better still if you're going to hoax something may as well setup a stage in a Hollywood back alley, launch a dummy-payload on whatever rocket and you accomplish the BS you're talking about.

Let's get back to talking about an actual moonbase not nonsense now please.

Hollywood is notorious at getting the science wrong though, it should be easy to detect a hoax.

...and that is exactly why I don't belive in hoax theorists so let's move on please.

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