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I agree with GCN
I see no reason to accept this statement...
I don't think that you appreciate just what a hardship it is to have to confine all your operations on Mercury to a big, dark crater or two.
I never said that ALL operations had to be confined to a crater or two.
Furthermore, abundant solar flux on Mercury will do you limited good, because you can't build or maintain solar cells/collectors in the "light" since your work crews would be incinerated.
It would be stupid to send people to do a task that robotics can handle wouldn't it?
Furthermore, if your base is in a crater near the poles, then "day" will last for months on the sunlit side of the crater. High temperatures aren't very good for transmission lines or transmitters either.
This is trivial and easily solved. If burial of the lines and/or cooling of the lines doesn't work, then replace them ever so often. Hardly a deal breaker.
The mineral reserves on Mercury will not be any deeper if all you are doing is mining fallen meteorites versus the Moon too.
False. The ultimate fate of all comets we can see is to one day join the Sun. This is also true of many asteroids as well as they slowly spiral down into the Sun over the eons. Since the Sun is the final destination of so many celestial objects, doesn't it make sense that Mercury has intercepted more debris than the Moon which only occasionally gets in the way?
Don't forget solar power will likly be even easier to get on the Moon since you won't be converted into a puff of smoke like a struck match head if you go out into the light
LMAO, come on guys, it's only 800 degrees! If I can touch the sides of my household oven when it is in cleaning mode (900 degrees) then sure we can build a rover capable of withstanding those temps indefinately. You people make it sound like this is some kind of impossible enginering task, it's not. People work everyday in nuclear power plants around the world without fatalities in an environment that is every bit as dangerous. But they do it so successfully because it is so well planned out.
Mercury isn't as good as you make it sound, deagle.
Fine. I'm willing to accept that judgement.
But it isn't as bad as you make it sound either.
The challenges facing Mercury are technical ones. History has proven that when profit is to be made from abundant energy and/or resources, technical problems get solved and rather quickly I might add.
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. Mercury has vast metal reserves at or near the surface thanks to meteorites that haven't been used by humans over thousands of years. There's no reason that these reserves would not be enough to start a fledgling industry even assuming that the crust of Mercury is devoid of accessable ore.Huh? The moon will have just as many; so will Mars; why go all the way to Mercury?
Huh? Because Mercury is a better location. The reserves will be deeper. There is much more solar energy available on Mercury as well.
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Think instead of a crater rim near the poles. On the rim you can have perpetual sunlight that yeilds an incredible amount of solar power. Just beyond the rim you have perpetual darkness in which our colonists, should there be any, can live and work in safety.Why would you live in the perpetual darkness, and why is it safer? As you said, to be safe, you want to be buried.
Why would you want to live in darkness?
-Hopefully you wouldn't. But the sunlit side of Mercury is around 800 degrees. Artificial lighting deals with the problem of darkness quite easily.
Why is it safer?
-I would think that was obvious Rob. The largest hazard to organic beings on Mercury is radiation. The areas of highest radiation will be those lit by the Sun's rays.
To be safe you want to be buried.
-Yes indeed. But if our industry is to take advantage of Mercury's rich resources, then mobility on the surface is needed. It just plan makes more sense for any mining operation to take place inside a crater, and out of the sunlight.
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4. And yes, due to Mercury's depth in the Sun's gravity well it is very expensive to ship raw materials anywhere else in the solar system, at least if you assume that conventional or nuclear transport are used. But by the same token it is much cheaper to ship materials to Mercury in order to start your operation.Why is it cheaper to ship to Mercury than from it? The delta-v is just as high both ways and Mercury has no aerobraking. I'm afraid the delta-v makes it expensive to ship to Mercury.
You are of course correct if no solar sail is deployed.
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Transmitting energy in the form of microwaves is NOT affected by the Sun's gravity and therefore a wonderful means of turning a profit.At the moment we don't have the technology to ship microwave power any distance at all, let alone the moon, and you want to ship it from Mercury? What do you do when the sun gets in the way for a week every four months? It'd be cheaper to build a solar power farm at an Earth-sun lagrange point and concentrate sunlight on the array using a thin-film mirror.
-And what do you do when your solar power farm at the lagrange point needs replacing in a few years?
Cheaper? Hardly.
You just pointed out to me the costs of getting around the solar system as being to high to warrent a base on Mercury. The problem with Lagrange points is
a)you have to go to them
b)you have to bring resources with you
By comparison a solar farm on Mercury can be built and serviced with automation of today's technology.
Look, I'm not saying that the Moon and Mars aren't decent spots for resources, or that we shouldn't go to them first. All I am saying is that from a buisness stand point, Mercury is where real money is to be made.
Our solar economy will need two things as cheap as possible: energy and resources. Mercury is the leader in both.
"Why not gain more altitude with a slower, continuous burn"
Sure sounds like you meant that a slower burn was supposed to be better compared to a faster one...
Different propellants have different reaction velocities, that's what I meant. Taken out of context I can see how you might reach that conclusion. However, the overall topic is about rocket efficency.
As for the nuclear option, what about this...
Why not use a reactor to produce electricity which could then genrate a magnetic feild that forces air out of the back of our rocket at much higher speeds and without the dangerous heat you mentioned?
No, I knew where your question was going, and I figured that giving you the background why it wouldn't work would be more effective.
But you didn't understand my question so how could you know where it was going???
Any grade school science student can understand such a basic notion of physics. Obviously the slower a rocket travels the longer it will be fighting a body's gravity. My question had nothing to do with the duration of a rocket flight, just efficency.
That's why I asked the forums about nuclear propulsion as a viable option. To ascertain if the higher temperatures that could be produced would lead to a more efficent rocket.
As for the radioactive waste produced that you mentioned, why couldn't we use nuclear energy in a closed environment that would not involve dumping radioactive particles into the air?
Is there not a way that we could pass air over a reactor and use that air as thrust?
I don't think you have a good grasp of rocket mechanics deagle, a fast burn will build up orbital velocity more quickly, and hence will not have to fight gravity for as long, thus wasting less fuel to fight gravitational losses. A slow "burn" has absolutely no advantage whatsoever as far as fuel efficiency is concerned compared to a "fast" burn.
Obviously you didn't understand my question, but that's ok. Thanks for the 'in-depth' explanation of basic physics...
The radar evidence is that Mercury has ICE at the poles; not just disseminated frost. Arecibo spotted it, but did not detect ice at the lunar poles. So the current evidence does indeed favor a lot of ice at Mercury's poles.
But I wouldn't regard Mercury as a great future destination for these reasons:
1. We have no idea what its mineral reserves are. It will have PGMs just like the moon from smashed meteorites. The planet has a huge metal core, but it's a thousand miles underground. If Mercury's crust is just an accumulation of dry volcanic rocks, like the moon, it won't have any significant ores. If it has (or had) some water and volatiles inside, then it may have magmatic processes that make copper, silver, gold, etc., like many ore formation process on Earth. But we really don't know.
2. Over most of its surface it has way too much sunlight for months, then none at all for months. When the sun is up the regolith heats up to a scorching 800 degrees or so; lots of infrared radiation for cooling systems to deal with. I wouldn't move vehicles or maybe even robots around during the day. Most of the planet will have to be explored at night using headlights; not the best way to explore anything. Any "settlements" outside the polar regions will have to be deeply buried and will probably need nuclear power for the lengthy nightspan. No one will live on most of Mercury unless that spot has incredible mineral wealth.
3. The poles have areas with perpetual sunlight, so maybe it will be possible to build greenhouse modules in those areas where horizontal sunlight can be spread around and used to raise food. But Mercury's surface will have micrometeoroids; it has no atmosphere like Mars. And it will have fierce levels of solar radiation, which will be even fiercer at the poles where Mercury's magnetic field will concentrate it. The auroras will be pretty (if there are enough atoms around to get excited by the solar radiation) but they signal a deadly problem.
4. The delta-v between Mercury and anything else in the solar system is pretty high because it is so deep in the sun's gravitational field. I think one way between Earth orbit and Mercury is 10 km/sec. This will make transportation expensive and will require advanced propulsion. Maybe solar sails will eventually be good for moving cargo to and from Mercury, since sunlight and gravity both increase by the inverse square of the distance. I doubt Mercury will be able to export PGMs, gold, or anything else profitably compared to the moon and Mars because of higher transportation and production costs. Possibly it will have a lot of Helium 3, but then it will compete with the moon if He3 is really of any value.
-- RobS
1. Mercury has vast metal reserves at or near the surface thanks to meteorites that haven't been used by humans over thousands of years. There's no reason that these reserves would not be enough to start a fledgling industry even assuming that the crust of Mercury is devoid of accessable ore.
2. Forget 99% of the surface of Mercury for a moment. I'd be mad to suggest that we brave 800+ degree temperatures in search of materials. Think instead of a crater rim near the poles. On the rim you can have perpetual sunlight that yeilds an incredible amount of solar power. Just beyond the rim you have perpetual darkness in which our colonists, should there be any, can live and work in safety.
3. The dual problems of micrometeoroids and radiation can both be solved by building your base undergorund. It would also be best to grow any plants, should they be needed, underground in a controlled environment. Yes, indoor lighting intense enough to grow plants is expensive energy-wise, but luckily our colonists will have more energy than they know what to do with.
4. And yes, due to Mercury's depth in the Sun's gravity well it is very expensive to ship raw materials anywhere else in the solar system, at least if you assume that conventional or nuclear transport are used. But by the same token it is much cheaper to ship materials to Mercury in order to start your operation. Transmitting energy in the form of microwaves is NOT affected by the Sun's gravity and therefore a wonderful means of turning a profit.
And I'm so thrilled you mentioned solar sails. When people tend to think of solar sails they think of a sail miles in diameter powered by natural sunlight. Perhaps this is due to romanticism, I don't know, but this is hardly the best use of a solar sail. The best use of a solar sail is to make them small, perhaps the size of a football feild and beam the energy to the sail. Not only do you not have to deal with a fragile sail that is at the whim of our Sun and the decreasing efficency as you move away from the Sun, but you also keep them to a size that is much easier to deploy, compact enough to pack into a small rocket, and best of all....disposable.
The ability of Mercury to ship raw materials and energy around the solar system cheaper than anyone else can is what will drive buisness to it.
The more time you spend fighting gravity, the more of this fuel is wasted just to keep you from plummeting back to Earth. This is why rockets generally want to start building up tangent velocity as fast as they can, bascially as soon as they clear the thickest atmosphere, because the more tangent velocity you have, the time and fuel you have to spend to counteract gravitational losses.
Granted GCNR, but doesn't this assume that the efficency of a slow and fast burn rocket are the same?
You seem to have a good grasp of nuclear physics, so help me understand why we can't acheive much higher thrust from a nuclear powered rocket? I understand that the force of a rocket's engines are directly related to the speed of a rocket's exhaust.
So my question is this: can a small reactor be used to super-heat air, perhaps even incoming air from the surrounding atmosphere, or stored air to produce a thrust greater than that of conventional rockets?
Maybe your right that any destination in the inner planets is a good place to start. HOwever, I highly doubt that mercury has water. It is just so hot there.
Not free flowing water true. But think of subsurface ice deposited at the poles in permanent shadow!
If the Moon is capable of having subsurface ice at the poles, then so is Mercury. And if we assume that ice reached the Moon via cometary impacts over the eons, then many more comets are sure to have impacted the poles of Mercury.
Think about it...
If they do confirm ice on the Moon, then logic would demand that Mercury have several times the reserves. We already know it is rich in metals so uranium and plutonium should be abundant as well. It is THE prime real estate for a solar powered industry. When nuclear powered spacecraft become the means of getting around the solar system, Mercury will be a fantastic source of fuel. With an excess of energy, Mercury will have everything one needs to power commerce within the solar system. I'm sure it has rich deposits of helium-3, greater than the Moon in fact. Hydrogen can be collected from the surface or the solar wind and combined with oxygen in the rocks to create water. There is no atmosphere to interfere with rail-gun launched resources and spacecraft. And don't forget that it is cheaper to ship goods to Mercury than to Mars or the asteroids. If what is shipped back is energy in the form of microwaves, then you defeat the disadvantages of going deeper into the Sun's gravity well!
No one gives a hoot about Mercury, but this will all change when Messenger shows what Mercury really has to offer. You heard it here first!
What I think is funny is that they call themselves Four Frontiers and site those four frontiers as being:
1)Earth
2)Moon
3)Mars
4)Asteroids
Where is Mercury is this picture???
Messenger is going to return data that indicates that Mercury has a wealth of ice at its poles, mark my words. I can also almost guarentee that Mercury has hospitable zones at the poles where the temperature varies very little. If I were going to start an industry I'd skip the Moon and head straight for Mercury. More resources, more sunlight, more tan crazy tourists!
I just read another great article by Jeffery Bell.
http://www.spacedaily.com/news/oped-05zy.html
In this article he correctly points out the difficulties of reaching orbit in a single stage reusable vehicle. Basically the meat of the article is that to reach orbit in a SSTO you need a dry mass weight of only about 8%, meaning that your vehicle must me 92% fuel by weight.
Obviously, contractors and NASA have been feeding us pipe dreams with the DC-X and the like that don't even come close to meeting this weight requirement. Projects such as these have just been an exercise in pork for the aerospace giants apparently.
So my question is this...
Why isn't NASA seriously considering alternatives to the 'take the fuel with you' approach?
What happened to dreams of building a rail gun like launch facility to accelerate small spacecraft up to say Mach 1 before turning on the engines?
Yes, I know this would be a huge engineering task that would require miles of track to be built, but if we can build super-colliders on the same scale, then why is this out of our reach?
Also, why isn't NASA, Boeing or Lockheed looking into a two stage transport the likes of which was used by Burt Rutan to capture the X-prize? Granted, NASA could get 1-3 people to orbit like this and not much else, but it isn't unmanned transport that is terribly expensive. Cargo and supplies could be launched seperately on traditional rockets that are much cheaper and not as safe.
Here's what I am envisioning...
Stage One: A supersonic vehicle capable of carrying the stage 2 vehicle reaches an altitude of about 20,000 feet traveling at Mach 2-3. It then drops the stage two vehicle and returns to the landing strip.
Stage Two: Already traveling near Mach 3 fires its rockets clear of the atmosphere and begins to build the needed velocity to reach orbital speed. This stage will include a capsule for the crew to re-enter the atmosphere safely while the spent stage two re-enters under auto pilot to be reused if it survives intact AND is cheaper than replacing.
Surely this is much safer than the shuttle we now use for several reasons. Capsules have never let us down when it comes to re-entry. They are tried and true tech while being relatively inexpensive as well. The stage two vehicle/glider wouldn't suffer from the same re-entry pains as the shuttle being much smaller and lighter without a crew compartment.
----------------------------------
Finally I have a physics question for someone like GNCRevenger. Would the fuel needed to reach orbit be reduced by using an elliptical plan of attack rather than a circular one?
Let me explain, we current reach orbit by using Hydrogen/Oxygen burns for an extremely high exhaust thrust so that we can reach 25,000 mph in what, two minutes?
Why not gain more altitude with a slower, continuous burn going straight up at say 80 degrees to the plane of Earth till we are say 10,000 miles above the Earth where the orbital velocity needed is much less. Then we could use the pull of The Earth to our advantage couldn't we? Once we start to fall back towards Earth, we could accelerate toawrds the edge of the atmosphere in a second burn, just barely miss it, and sling shot to the other side. Then once we have the needed speed, we could use a few well timed burns to round out our orbit could we not?
Ohhhhh you mean one of those "dark sky" balloons as launch vehicle... I was thinking you ment using a conventional chemical rocket and launching off a balloon to try and save on fuel.
A solar sail won't do you a whole lot of good, since you'll be flying either parallel or under the direction of the sunlight, so it anything the light pressure would push you back down.
I think that without an extremely light weight ion engine and an extremely large balloon, that such a vehicle would have too much trouble with drag and not make it to orbit easily enough.
Hmmm, wouldn't an orbit from pole to pole solve many issues dealing with sunlight?
Second stupid question: do you have to reach speeds of Mach 25 to stay in the sunlight?
Thanks for the reply. I understand that even at those altitudes there is a LOT of drag, especially on something this large. So to counter that drag, why wouldn't it be possible to flatten out your 'balloon' into a solar sail? Couldn't it be possible?
In fact, couldn't small ion engines help pull it into a sail shape, greating increasing the surface area of our balloonsail?
GCNR, I'm afraid I didn't make myself as clear as i could have, my appologizes. I understand that in the effort to reach orbit velocity is more important than altitude. What I was propossing is a bouyant spacecraft that can leave 99.9% of the atmosphere behind it. At these incredible altitudes it should be possible to build up the needed velocity to orbit the earth overtime. To achieve this I had a much stronger ion engine in mind. Thoughts?
Regulations, if nothing else, will establish legal liability if something goes wrong. Without that, a private company could be sued out of existence by its passengers when a rocket blows up.
As for companies regulating themselves; well, maybe. Who says Virgin Galactic wouldn't release toxic products over a populated area? ho defnes what's toxic and how much is allowable? Without that, you can get sued.
We have fire codes for buildings because people don't build them safely by themselves. We have rules against animal cruelty because people otherwise will be cruel to animals. We have food safety laws because food wasn't safe.
Sometimes rules are most definitely needed.
Robs, as it stands now the FAA is supposed to keep their hands off until a disaster happens. If one or two rich people die, so what? This is by no means a safe adventure. People should agree to waive their rights to sue in the effect of a serious problem. That takes care of that little problem without regulation.
Companies investing this kind of money in a risky manner would be stupid. Virgin Enterprises didn't get to be one of the largest corporations in the world by being stupid. To answer your question, the EPA usually defines what is toxic and already has a set of rules regarding chemical usuage, so we don't need more.
We have rules for what you can and can't do in the privacy of your own home. We have rules requiring us all to waer seat belts so that insurance companies don't have to pay too much. We have rules requiring us to buy this same insurance from companies that make incredible profit margins.
Sometimes rules are put in place by lobbied politicians, not for ur greater good.
Dear Mr. .........:
>
> Thank you for your very thoughtful e-mail on
> commercial space flight.
> Like you, I support commercial space travel, but we
> must ensure that when
> American citizens venture into space, their travel
> is a safe as we can
> make it. We must protect space travel enthusiasts
> from the charlatans and
> fast buck artists who will undoubtedly be attracted
> to this new exciting
> industry.
>
> I am attaching my statement upon introducing H.R.
> 656, a measure that
> will enhance commercial space flight safety. I
> would welcome your
> comments on my bill.
>
> If you would like to receive periodic e-mail
> updates on this and other
> issues, please visit my website,
> http://www.house.gov/oberstar]www.house.gov/oberstar, and go to
> "subscribe." You can also find a complete copy of
> my bill at
> http://www.house.gov/transportation_dem … febill.pdf
>
> With best wishes.
>
> Sincerely,
>
>
>
> James L. Oberstar, M.C.
>
> JLO/br
> Introducing a Bill to Enhance the Safety of
> Commercial Space Flight
> __
> THE HONORABLE JAMES L. OBERSTAR
> OF MINNESOTA
> IN THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES
> FEBRUARY 9, 2005
>
> Mr. Speaker, today I have introduced a bill to
> enhance the safety of
> commercial passenger space flight by ensuring that
> the Federal Aviation
> Administration (FAA) has the authority it needs to
> protect the safety of
> passengers in this emerging commercial space
> industry.
>
> Mr. Speaker, I support commercial space exploration
> and the commercial
> space industry, but not at the expense of totally
> ignoring safety. The
> Commercial Space Launch Amendments Act of 2004, P.L.
> 108-492, prohibits
> the Secretary of Transportation from issuing safety
> design and operating
> regulations or even minimal safety requirements for
> individual licenses
> for the next eight years unless there is a
> potentially catastrophic
> incident.
>
> The current statutory language amounts to, in
> essence, the codification of
> what has come to be known in aviation safety
> parlance as the "Tombstone
> Mentality." For years, both I and many of my
> colleagues on the Aviation
> Subcommittee have criticized the FAA for waiting
> until after a disaster to
> take safety actions, and have urged upon the FAA a
> more proactive safety
> oversight role.
>
> Supporters of the Commercial Space Launch Amendments
> Act argued that
> safety regulation would discourage experimentation
> and innovation.
> However, the Act went well beyond these objectives
> and essentially tied
> FAA's hands by totally banning any safety
> requirements, except in
> post-accident circumstances where lives have already
> been lost. Under the
> Act, the FAA would be prevented from requiring even
> the simplest, least
> expensive enhancements to protect safety of
> passengers on these space
> flights.
>
> Mr. Speaker, my bill would amend the Commercial
> Space Launch Amendments
> Act to give the FAA the authority and flexibility to
> establish minimum
> safety regulations. This safety authority would not
> preclude innovation
> nor, contrary to the claims of supporters of the
> Act, would not require
> FAA to impose the same degree of regulation on the
> developing space travel
> industry that is imposed on the mature air
> transportation industry.
> Specifically, although this bill would require that
> FAA include, in each
> license it issues, minimum standards to protect the
> health and safety of
> crews and space flight participants, it would
> further require, in imposing
> these standards, FAA to take into account the
> "inherently risky nature of
> human space flight." My bill would give the FAA the
> flexibility to create
> a regulatory structure governing the design or
> operation of a launch
> vehicle to protect the health and safety of crews
> and space flight
> participants as is necessary, without having to wait
> for a catastrophic
> failure to occur.
>
> Mr. Speaker, safety regulation need not be
> incompatible with developing
> new technology. For example, although FAA has
> closely regulated aircraft
> manufacturing since the 1920's, this regulation has
> not prevented major
> technological progress, including the development of
> jet aircraft in the
> 1950's and all-composite general aviation aircraft
> in recent years.
>
> We can and should protect the safety of passengers
> on space flights in
> this new and emerging industry, without placing
> unreasonable limitations
> on the development of commercial passenger space
> travel. I urge my
> colleagues to join me in working to pass this
> important legislation.
Hey guys, just got an email back from Oberstar, thought I'd share it with you so we can all get a better idea of his plans.....
Ok.....I'll leave the hard physics to you to work out, but how wouldn't raising a spacecrafts launch platform to 60 miles or more help? You are talking about a tremendous difference in air pressure / resistance. Also, the higher your orbit the slower the required orbital velocity right?
Yeah, I'm skeptical about that line too. I don't think he is assuming any payload or at best a very small science package. Certainly not tons of equipment needed to start a Martian outpost.
I am rather excited about the possibilities however. Instead of solar sails hundreds or thousands of miles to a side, we may be looking at much more efficent sails in the 'football feild' range. Perhaps it wouldn't be too hard to have robotic travel the area of a solar and re-apply a compound to maintain a nice velocity?
Again, we are assuming that buisness is stupid and it is far from stupid. Would Virgin Galactic fly a sub-orbital ship releasing toxic fumes over a populated area? No. That begs to be shut down and you dont invest $200M just to tempt fate.
As for crossing international boundries, this isnt even an option for sub-orbital craft. So lets worry about that bridge when we cross it.
My point is, you and I dont need the government looking over us while we sleep. These are smart buisness endeavours that arn't going to be anymore risky than they need to be. Give them time to actually design a spacecraft before you tell them what not to is all im saying.
Hey GCNR, saw a great article on a few sites about solar sails. Apparently, there is a way to boost their efficency with a spray on adhesive that acts like propellent when targeted with microwaves. Here's the link, its pretty cool...
Spacenut, actually I was thinking of hauling an asteroid into orbit (if Mars' moons are off limits) with a solar sail over the coarse of a decade and then using railguns to launch decent sized rocks at our target until a respectable depth is reached. We probably wouldnt have to go the full 45K either. That was for a full bar of air pressure. Plants get by with a third or less of air pressure. Plus the scientist didn't take into consideration the creation of a heatsink.
But that said, regulation is not in and of itself bad for an industry.
Regulation can actually be useful, I agree. But ONLY when there is cooperation, such as regulating tools and equipment to be standardized. We are dealing with several different companies right now that have no wish to be regulated, and they will go overseas.
What we need is good regualtion, regulation that lays out clearly what is and isn't legally sanctioned in a manner that encourages development.
Well thats just the thing my fearless reptilian leader, right now EVERYTHING is legal. Right now companies have every possible freedom in designing their spacecraft. They can accept any paying passenger regardless of age. Regulation is what limits possibilities and makes things ILLEGAL to begin with.
Ok, heres a quick situation for you. Say the FAA requires an age limit or passengers to pass a health inspection. Doesnt sound too bad does it? But just how many wealthy people could pass a government health test or be young enough to fly in the FAA's eyes? Not too many. It would cripple the industry by slashing the amount of willing participants in half at least.
We need a set of regulations that allow the industry to operate within a set of known parameters. We need a private space industry similar to commercial air travel, not a multi-billion dollar high-risk free for all that can be shut down by decree at any time with the smallest accident as an excuse.
Ok, so NASA is a very regulated organization, so that must mean they are getting back to shuttle flights much faster than if they didn't have any.
Sorry, I just can't agree with you Cobra, history won't let me. NASA has wasted several billion dollars in repairs alone (not to mention their regular budget for the past two years 10B) trying desperately to adhere to regulations that honestly dont make the shuttles any safer to fly and that will be mothballed in less than 5 years anyway.
Now don't misunderstand me, I'm not totally against regulations, they are useful in large organizations. However, the sub-orbital industry is in its infancy, in fact not a single paying passenger has flown yet. All I'm saying is leave it alone for just 10 years, have passengers sign waivers, and give companies the time to figure out just what they will be flying. Its silly to try and regulate something that doesnt exist yet.
No they won't, because no amount of cleverness can change the laws of physics. "Cheap space ships" are not possible with today's technology. You would need a revolutionary new technology that changes everything, which will itself not come cheaply.
You would need something like a regenerative scramjet (not a regular one), an air-augmented integrated rocket engine, a metastable superfuel, arbitrary-length anisotropic CNT composits... something that changes the game. Without such a change, AltSpace companies are forced to play by the same rules as everyone else, and they will lose.
Actually, I agree. You either need something that 'changes the game', as you put it, or an incredibly complex scramjet that is beyond the scope of the private industry.
What I see most likely happening is something similar to Scaled's SS1 effort in the sense that TWO RLVs are employed in unison. Afterall, WhiteKnight did most of the hard work for SS1 or it never would have reached that altitude.
Space travel difficulties stem from many things, but perhaps the most challenging is dealing with two different environments. A single stage RLV is so daunting because you must reach incredible speeds in a high friction / high drag environment. Rocket efficency is seriously slashed by not only fighting gravity, but also by shearing forces and resistance in general. Ask yourself, would you use a rocket to travel from ocean floor to surface, or would you just float?
The Canadian Arrow team is on the right track with their balloon assisted concept. Unfortunately, they are seriously underfunded. On the upside, high altitude ballons and true lifting bodies show incredible promise and are experiencing a revolution. In theory, it is even possible to reach orbit with a lifting body, as Air Force research has shown.
In summary, leave rockets to space, its their natural environment. Take advantage of the atmosphere with scramjets and high altitude balloons, its their natural environment.
Who are the sheep and who are the shepards...
Some people need to think inside the box to be comfortable I suppose.
A) Give me a single example of how any regulation is going to help. Just one instance of limiting options that somehow increases them please.
B) These arent government run attempts people, but 'for-profit' endeavours. Does anyone really think that any industry is going to take chances and kill a paying passenger?
c) Between the flight of the Wright brothers and the first government regulation 20 years elapsed. In this situation you have pandering politicians seekinng to stifle the industry before even the first passenger flys.
This is NOT a good thing people. There's no logical way it could be.