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My idea is to use the "waste" heat and putting it in the soil, the only energy you need to put in to this project is drilling of the heat exchanger and transport it. Prefarably I would even use the drill rods as the heat exchanger and keep it in the ground. No hassle to pull them out and put the heat exchanger in. This way the waste heat will not be put in to the atmosphere where it will dissipate and have allmost no effect, but when you put it in the soil, you will even have more outgassing of CO2, H2O, ... that are also greenhouse gasses. No where near as powerful as CFC's, but you have the extra pro's like: more mine-able regolith, less CFC's needed, ... .
Kind regards
Ben
I'm back SpaceNut!
Another Question to the group. Earth Politics aside.
Lets says Lukrum(I really don't know where I got this name ) starts a outpost on Mars to create basic infrastructure for Mars colonization. Accidents tend to happen, but here on earth you have "law and order", if an accident happens the family has a lawsuit with the company and if an agreement is made an amount is payed and the company does some changes to minimize the risk of the accident happening again, mostly because the insurance company makes it obligatory.
But on Mars legally you are in international waters ... What happens when an accident happens there, what does the law say? What court applies? Is it even possible to do a lawsuit? Most people going to Mars will be single(the permanent colonists), so will anybody care to do a lawsuit? How Do we prevent this?
This is why I do think a government entity/body can protect Earth immigrant/Martian workers and would discourage cowboy company's to take risks on Mars. For a lot of company's(except SpaceX) the only figure that matters is the bottom line. An Employee is just a number.
I know it will be difficult to create, but I know there is a lot to benefit from this, and yes taxes will need to be implemented and nobody like takes, but also nobody like the wild west where there is no law and almost no order.
Kind regards
Ben
Louis,
I believe a lot can be done with solar panels but what do you do when you have a long lasting dust storm?
I can't see musk provide power for weeks to even months on end with his battery packs.
Or you must be able to beam power from orbit if that is possible with a dust storm.
"When colonizing Mars we would bring nuclear reactors to generate our electrical power"
Musk and Space X have explicitly committed to PV power for the Mars settlement. It's part of Musk "brand image", so I can't really seeing him committing to nuclear power reactors. Not to say that nuclear power wouldn't be theoretically useful in terraformation. But I think the job of heating up Mars can be done more efficiently by solar power satellites reflecting insolation on to the Mars surface and through production of greenhouse gases.
One thing I wonder about is whether it would make sense to dig trenches on Mars, thus exposing more of the surface area to such reflected insolation? Would that increase outgassing? I've no idea.
It has a fixed height now, but this was a side project for some friends.
But I don't see this being automated, even with a full robotic arm in stead of the "bar" like arm that is there now.
SpaceNut -
Wherever you look people are being replaced with robots...
https://www.wsj.com/video/food-delivery … 52FC5.html
There are fully automated burger-making robots as well...
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CbL_3le40qc
I am not sure you were right about the farm-garden robot not being able to deal with plants at different heights. Think it's on ratchet poles so presumably the height varies as the plant grows.
Years ago I wrote a thread: Amazon books - sponsor the Mars Society
I don't think the Mars Society has the sponsor deal any more, but the books are relevant. Here's a good one...although the price is now, um, what!?!Terraforming: Engineering Planetary Environments
http://ecx.images-amazon.com/images/I/513MSkGr-ZL._SL500_SR63,100_.jpg
Maybe they should make it a sticky
NUclear rediators would have a working fluid in them and would be designed to disapate that heat with a constant rate for its size and flow rate of the fuild with in it. That said we would bury the radiator and when it was turned on the effect of water and co2 would happen but its only going to last just so long until its gone dry of these. At that time its just a ground temperature warmer with local air being warmed.
One of the issues is keeping the releasal of water and gasses going. I would suggest inside a chamber the radiator attached to a plate where mars regolith soil is transported to where it is warmed, outgassing happens and then is moved to the next stage of processing. All outgassing is captured for later releasal and or use in other insitu uses. Reload and keep the process going.
Regolith soil dried can then be spun to seperate into materials of higher concentration of elements using magnetics and mass of materials plus spin speed. The collection of these can later be refined for processing. The dirt component of this can be used in a greenhouse or in the construction of buildings.
I never thought of it this way SpaceNut. But wouldn't it be difficult to "mine/excavate" frozen soil? I even saw a youtube commercial about electric excavators from Volvo last. Her is the Link to the YouTube list.
Kind regards
Ben
I'm going to try to group my anwser here, TRYING!
Louis, I agree you need educated people to manage the project. They have experience, nobody debates that.But like our discussion about BFR and bigger ships I believe that EVERYTHING robotic is not for the first 50 years.
I do hope I can buy "moley" because then I wouldn't have to cook anymore and I would have fresh produce instead of my prepared Bami Goreng from my local supermarket that just needs a microwave for 5 minutes. But I don't think this will successfully achieve market until 2025-2030. The touch of a hand is still something difficult to achieve.I know this will inevitably be the case, but not for the next 50 years. Maybe if it gets subsidized to do so.
In a way human labour is still cheap. But a McDonalds will probably just have "1 cashier" who takes your order from the machine to the counter and 1 engineer who maintains the machine. You already have machines where you stack a pile of burgers and they go through a conveyor and come out cooked/baked/..., It would be "better" without as many people on earth because the burger would cost 100$ and nobody would buy them. But you will need even unschooled people. Wouldn't it be great for those adventures that don't have a degree to be able to go to Mars for a 3-5 year mission just to cook burger and come back with the story of a life time? Let people DREAM louis DREAM! Otherwise we will never have public support for all the money we need to put in to this adventure!
Before Shannon Rupert moved into MDRS, she reported that teams with individuals who had Ph.D.s all left a mess. They expected a maid service to clean up after them. MDRS is a Mars simulation, everyone has to be self-reliant. There is no maid service on Mars, and won't be for a very long time.
It isn't unskilled workers who need supervision, its highly educated ones.
Thats the reason my girlfriend leaves so much clutter (Master degree in English/Dutch/French and Russian)
SpaceNut can I still add a poll? Is that enabled?
Kind regards
Ben
Thanks Ian, was going to read that, but sinds watching Continuum on Netflix I'm not so in to corporate government. Would you like your boss to dictate the law? Then the law will be used for profit instead of scientific advancements. It is a "fast" way to colonize Mars but with some drawbacks. But lets discuss this in that thread once i'm up to speed .
Just saying I admire people getting a degree. It was just not for to me
1. I agree that Space X cannot do everything by themselves. Most obviously they need NASA's coms system to enable communications with Mars. For Mission One essentially the requirements are for a hab, for life support, for water extraction, and for propellant production. The ability to grow some salad vegetables would also be nice. Off Earth life support is pretty much an established technology now. Water extraction is not I feel that difficult a task. Extraction from the atmosphere might in fact be the easiest method. Propellant production is an established technology - it just has to be space-proofed. It's challenging but not hugely so. Space X has the resources to commission designs and development.
Louis, I’m not saying this can’t be done by SpaceX, Mission One is with current day technology and some inventing to do.
2. I don't agree with you that "finding 10 tot 25 million to start over on Mars won't be difficult". You are essentially looking for people who are:
*Above average intelligence.
*Have STEM qualifications at post grad level.
*Are extremely fit.
*Have no major physical health problems or disabilities.
*Be psychologically very well balanced.Only about 2% of Americans have doctoral degrees.
https://thehill.com/homenews/state-watc … ver-before
That might be the pool you are fishing in. 2% of 300 million is 6 million. But of those I am guessing probably no more than half are in STEM (and that's probably being kind). So maybe 3 million STEM post grads at most. But probably half of those will be the wrong age, ofter 50 or retired and/or out of touch with their subjects. So, you are down to 1.5 million.
Of those I would suspect that 80% will fail one or more of the fitness, health or psychological tests.
You're down to 300,000.
We can rule out anyone with children for the first few decades.
Let's say only 30% do not have children they live with or don't mind being split from their children.
Your pool is now down to 90,000. How many of those live with a significant other? Perhaps 80% I would suggest. And how many of those would be prepared to sacrifice that relationship to go to Mars? I'd say only 5% of the 80%. So your pool is now 24% of 90,000 ie 21,600.
But of course just because you have a pool of 21,600 doesn't mean they all want to go to Mars. They still have to have (a) a pull to Mars (adventurous spirit, scientific inquiry etc ) (b) a push to Mars (maybe feeling they have not being accorded sufficient status on Earth or their qualities here are undervalued) (c) be prepared to kiss goodbye to their friends and extended family probably for many years if not forever (d) be prepared to live in a fairly restricted world breathing artificial air, no rain on their face, no ability to just book a holiday and head off somewhere nice, to relax on a beach or whatever and (e) an acceptance that they must forego their recreational habits such as drink, drugs, golf, swimming in their own pool or the sea.
You may disagree but I think you would be down to about 10% of that 21,600. You are probably talking about 2000 or so people with the right stuff who would be prepared to countenance becoming permanent colonists on Mars.
I think you would do a lot better with people prepared to take 3-5 years out of their normal lives to become temporary settlers who have the "right stuff". There the pool could be in the 100s of thousands. In fact that's how I see things working - Mars settlement would for the first few decades be a permanent settlement of temporary settlers - somewhere between an Antarctic Base and a remote mining town on Earth.
Who dictates you have to have a doctoral degree to go to Mars? Except for the first 100-500 people.
I consider this a prejudices to people without a degree and you hurt my feelings a bit .
To add to this a tiny bit of my life story:
2009: Ben is tired of studying, because he is not so good at it, at least he thinks he isn’t.
2011: Ben does like to work with his hands but realizes he isn’t able to do this his entire lift, so he start to work really, really hard.
2014: Ben becomes a dispatcher
2015: Ben becomes a business unit manager
2018: Ben becomes a project manager for development and implementation of a new ERP for his company
So this is what I do for the next year.
I do agree for the first 10-20 years building up infrastructure it would be better to rotate the crews like on the space station but for a 3-5 year mission off course. This will make it psychologically more attractive and you will be able to find more volunteers like you said. But once a colony reaches a population of +1000 I don’t think you will have the problem anymore of psychological stress like with a 20-200 person crew. You could even bring your special one to reduce loneliness. You need cooks, maintenance workers, ... . The world out there doesn't run on PHD's only .
3. I think orbital assembly and a dedicated LEO-LMO transporter could be done now - it's just more development and research required, time in other words. But I am not sure that would save you a huge number of launches... You still need fuel to get the transporter from A to B don't you and you have a problem now at the Mars end where you also need a "ferry" service...? But yes, other technologies will be developed and eventually transfer will become much easier.
Louis, I’m talking of the future not everything in the next 10 years, in my time table(budget) I use BFR for the first 10-20 years as an Earth to Mars shuttle, but after that you can use BFR as a ferry on earth and on Mars when a bigger transporter is created. I guess if a BFR can get to earth it can get in orbit an descent again to the Martian surface.
About the fuel I would say in 20-30years you would have the ability to create big Ion or plasma drives. Especially with subsidies . I know a lot of people are “against” taxes.
4. You make some fair points there. If a putative Mars government could gain recognition from a country like say Costa Rica. Where they could base themselves, they could be recognized as a corporation operating under Costa Rica's jurisdiction (just as sovereign nations have sovereign wealth funds on Earth). This would allow them to operate under the Outer Space Treaty (OST). As you say, people will eventually see that Mars has huge economic potential. But a major stumbling block with your plan is that as things currently stand you can't legally alienate land on Mars (ie claim ownership) whether you are government or a company. I think in the end unless you revise the OST, it is really a question of a Mars community declaring a natural right to self -government. It wouldn't be the first time in human history people had claimed that in the face of treaties denying them the right.
Louis in Belgium we would say: geduld is een mooie deugd. In English: patience is a beautiful virtue. Sayings (another translation) are not always translated as well as we want, especially if they are in a dialect, but it sounds ok for me .
But I believe that if you believe in something and stand and fight for it, you will get it. Preferably with other likeminded people, because otherwise you find yourself again with the word loneliness.
To close this of, have I ever explained to you that Belgians from time to time can be really stubborn when believing in an idea?
Kind regards
Ben
Hello,
After watching the documentary Mars Making the New Earth | Full Documentary on YouTube, I wondered if it would be possible to do this without the super greenhouse gases, but just with the present greenhouse gases CO2 and H2O that should be in the Martian Soil.
One would need to warm the Martian soil instead of the Martian atmosphere to get the gases (CO2 and H2O) out of the ground.
When colonizing Mars we would bring nuclear reactors to generate our electrical power. But what we would do with the remaining "waste" heat is put it in to the atmosphere. Here I think it would be better to do a “reverse” geothermal process and put the remaining heat in to the surface of Mars as seen in the picture below. This process will directly “activate” the CO2 and H20 in the soil.
Currently we would like our reactors to be as energy efficient as possible, this is a good thing here on earth, but for Mars we can use the remaining heat as a terraforming. Also making it even possible to extract liquid water from the soil, instead of mining it.
Still I have a few questions that I wonder about:
What will happen to the subsurface if liquid water exists?
Will we have shifts of the soil?
Will the soil shifts endangering the colony?
How many systems like this would we need to fully terraform Mars up to the point humans don’t need a spacesuit? Is it even possible?
Would it be possible to create a warm "layer" in the crust so we can reactivate the Martian core dynamo over many thousands of years? Together with other systems off course
What will the negative effects be?
…
Does anybody know any good reading material on these subject?
Kind regards
Ben
Thanks SpaceNut,
I hope too meet some dutch speaking people from Belgium as we only have french chapter of The Mars Society here at the moment. At least I think so because their site is only in French.
Louis,
1. I agree with you when you think that colonization of Mars will be a succes from day one, but relying only on SpaceX is not the best option. They can not do EVERYTHING. As far a transportation goes I'm in happy with their progress. But mining, building habitats, agriculture and so on is something else. I know they had a congress about it but I don't see them building everything unless everybody on earth takes a StarLink subscription.
2. I agree that you can not just take everyone, at least not for the first 10-20 and more likely 30-40 years. My proposal on that end was for this government to create a medical center for screening the first possible colonists, then all who pass the physical/psychological test can have "linkedIn" like profile where earth company's interested in looking for employees can select them together with their job experience and their qualifications needed. Maybe even obligate for the first 100 years you can only migrate if you have a signed contract with an employer on Mars or off cours if you are going to take a 2,5-3 year vacation.
We have 7,xx billions people on earth, finding 10 tot 25 million to start over on Mars won't be difficult. Noting that this is over 80-100 years, the population of Earth will surely have gone up to 10 billion at least by 2100. Company's working on Mars will be the first entity's paying for transport to Mars in the first 50 years. So I guess unqualified people will have no available seat on the first 50 years of travel.
On the part of offspring I'm neutral, not really my area of expertise (yet). But I'm optimistic looking to the evolutionary path we have gone through the last few thousand years.
3. I agree with current day technology this is impossible, but Elon Musk said that if there is interest he would build bigger ships, knowing on orbit assembly is just a 1-2 decades away, I believe BFR can just become a transporter of 1000 people from the surface to earth orbit. Then you don't need cabines but just seats. A transport ship would just ferry between earth orbit and Mars orbit with a capacity of maybe 5000 people. Also within the next 50 years I see plasma drives/ion drives and maybe even more come operational. Knowing if a Martian Government would arise it NASA would be able to focus on more advanced projects and stop studying Mars. But ways to get to the outer solar system.
4. I agree this is the most difficult one, and my solution to this is not the most straight forward and easy going.
Country's like Palestine are still not recognized by some nations as seen on the following map, Not even Europe! You don't need to be recognized by every country on earth, Europa and US would be a plus.
As a plus for leverage: you can not trade(subsidize company's) with a state that doesn't recognized the Mars Government as no trade deals can be made. It is in their own interest for economic growth to recognize a Martian Entity. As it would be difficult to invade a Mars Government(no land on earth), and it would also be difficult to shut down, unless you see Russia or China bomb or use some toxic agent on an embassy in the heart of Brussels(EU, NATO), New York(UN) or any other place without provoking a war with other UN members.
As of 3 August 2018, 137 of the 193 United Nations (UN) member states and two non-member states have recognized it. Furthermore, Palestine has been a non-member observer state of the UN since November 2012.
But I guess this a whole other discussion.
Ben
Hello,
I just wanted to throw an idea in the group here for "rapid" colonization of Mars. I have been thinking of this idea for a "long" time and like other people to give their thoughts about it. A group is always smarter then the individual.
NOTE: I’m not a Native English speaker, so if I make any mistake don't kill me, I'm eager to learn from my them.
So on to the idea. I thought it was best to explain my idea’s through questions. If you have any other please ask away.
How would I colonize Mars?
My idea is to start a “democratic” government on Earth for Mars. Why the democratic between parentheses, because it would be needed to start out as a non-democratic elected group, whom would be changed for a 4-8 year time frame. When there are enough “Martians” to hold democratic elections.
Where would this Mars government be based?
This government would need to have an embassy on earth. I would propose this to be in Brussels, Europe for political reasons and geographical reasons. It is close to the European Union and NATO. All big launch providers are already based in North and South America and possibly Russia’s Cosmodrome in Kazakhstan.
What would the purpose for this Mars government?
This government would stand for the rapid colonization of Mars through the subsidization of enterprises that develop the transportation, equipment, extraction of resources needed for the colonization of Mars. With the goal of creating multiple colonies with a population size 10-25 million in 80-100 years.
I know this must sound like an enormous amount, but thinking of the Mars One initiative and knowing that 200.000 people signed up for a one way mission. I guess a lot more will sign up when there is a government watching over the development and putting their citizens on the first place.
Where would the subsidization come from?
1. First the most difficult task is getting the government recognized by the international community, most likely through the UN council. When found enough support this is possible but would require a change in the outer space treaty.
2. Then as a legal representation for Mars, the Mars government would put out loans from banks. Later we would open up a bond system where people can invest money with a fixed interest rate. People would be able to exchange their investments at any time in exchange for a transfer ticket to Mars.
How will the money be refunded to the banks/people?
When subsidize projects like communication satellites, habitats, mineral extraction, water processing, oxygen extraction, etc. are operational and profitable they can be taxed. In a way these subsidies are long term loans for innovative companies interested in the colonization of Mars. On average a loan would be put out over a 30 year time period at the start enabling the Martian government to pay back the first loans after 30 years. This should give the government enough time to have the first colony on Mars running and bringing in taxes.
What will the taxes be used for when all first investments have repaid?
I would invest them in the terraforming of Mars, depending off course what kind of life we find there and what the possibilities are.
This is the basic idea off course split in a few basic questions, I also have a long term financial plan, longer written texts and possible time tables but this would be too overwhelming for the first post I guess. If you think I’m crazy, I would say we all are, but some more than others.
What are the pros and cons of this approach?
PRO:
1. A full time government working on the colonization of Mars would have a tight and quick agenda with goals that need to be obtained. This gives a new time dimension to the colonization of Mars in decades instead of centuries.
2. A full time government working on the colonization of Mars would be able to regulate safe an organized colonization and the extraction of minerals.
3. A full time government working on the colonization of Mars would be able to create an Act like the Land Claim Act of 1850 in the United States so people can “easily” claim land for a low price to live on, giving them property and
4. A full time government working on the colonization of Mars would be able to create a justice system, so companies don’t take risks with human lives.
5. People could benefit from investing in a Mars government and save up for a trip to Mars in term making it possible for even more people.
6. …
CON:
1. For me: We do not know who will be elected when the first democratic elections wil take place, what this future government will stand for. What will their objectives be? What will happen to “the plan”?
2. As almost any person can apply for a Martian passport it is uncertain who will want a Martian identity. Will they have a criminal history? Why are they moving to Mars? …
3. Won’t corporation take over through lobbying like done in the current political system? This we can actually counter by using a system of direct democracy where the people must vote for big decisions, the department heads would then be responsible to correctly inform the public. This way they can make an informed decision.
4. …
I guess this was a lot for a first post.
Kind regards
Ben
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