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#1 Re: Human missions » Back to the Moon, why NASA Will Not Make Progress » 2007-02-18 18:32:13

So the plan is to go back to the Moon by 2020. Of course the cost will be equal or greater to the mission back in 1969. The launch will be powered by rocket designs that are coming up on 4 or 5 decades old. Oh, and it will take twice as long to put this together as it did for the original mission.

Government space exploration as far as manned missions or ones which relate to establishing a human presence there, is stagnant. Frankly it's a waste of resources. NASA is a bureaucracy, and as such it is not under market pressure to produce results or cut the costs of its missions.

We are not much closer to putting men in deeper space than we were at the end of Apollo. If one year worth of NASA budget were given to private space firms, it would go a lot further towards making space exploration and habitation reality.

#2 Re: Terraformation » Methane/Ozone manufacture on Mars » 2007-02-04 15:50:35

Well a certain amount of ozone and methane have to be able to coexist in the atmosphere since both are present in our own. Instead of converting the oxygen into ozone, one could just produce methane and oxygen. The oxygen would likely be in very small amounts, but it would increase the partial pressure and could help pave the way for aerobic plants and bacteria.

The methane was the primary benefit of the strategy which I was suggesting, ozone would have been a nice bonus, but isn't critical. PFCs hold promise, but I still have doubts as to the efficiancy of producing them on Mars. They are better green house gases, but it make take a disproportionately greater amount of energy and time to manufacture them.

#3 Re: Civilization and Culture » Neotraditionalists to Mars » 2007-01-25 21:26:06

this world is becoming more and more cetralized. I hope that we can maintain decentralized government, for a couple reasons. Number one I think smaller sovreigns are more responsive to the governed and it means fewer people are caught in a massive minority.
Frankly we are all political and cultural minorities, since no one paradigm is dominant in anywhere near 50% of the people. A one world state leaves no exit possibilities. If the world goes socialist, where do libertarians, facists, and greens go?

At that point the best exit option is up.

#4 Re: Terraformation » Methane/Ozone manufacture on Mars » 2007-01-25 21:04:53

It has been a while since chemistry for me, but I was considering what could be manufacture on Mars in the way of greehouse gases. It occured to me that there must be some way to combine 2 H2O with CO2 and produce CH4+O3+O yes I realize that the oxygen will form into O2.

So we can get methane, ozone and oxygen from carbon dioxide and water. Now that would require a great deal of power. A nuclear reactor near a pole could easily be supplied with the water for the process and as coolant.

It would seem to be the best strategy for producing greenhouse gases and an ozone layer with existing technology.

Is this feasible, and what do you think?

#5 Re: Terraformation » Venus vs Mars vs Titan » 2007-01-10 22:03:25

Titan seems to be the best candidate. Except that it is extremely distant and extremely cold. Technology may someday be capable of mitigating these factors reliably and with a practical amount of effort. I would argue that even though Titan has an atmosphere its temperature and distance make it less likely in the short term than Mars or the cloudtops of Venus.

I'm not sure how long it takes Titan to orbit around Saturn, but there would be a blackout period. Depending on how long the orbital period is that may or may not be a problem.

Does Saturn have a powerful magnetosphere? I had heard that Jupiter's extended all the way to Sturn. Will radiation shielding be necessary?

A question I have forgotten to pose regarding Mars: Does the lack of a magnetosphere on Mars mean that inhabitants would be exposed to unhealthy amounts of cosmic radiation.

#6 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » What Type Of Government Should Mars Have?? - Mars Government » 2007-01-05 23:04:50

In the 20th century on Earth, you were 4 times as likely to be killed by your own government, than by a foreign invader. In truth people have always been at great risk from their own government, and a less real but more propogandized view that it is other governments that pose a threat.

Having one martian government might cut down on war, but what about genocide or tyranny? Especially with a crowd of scientists in charge. Who is going to put a limit on government, so we do end up with things like eugenics programs?

Hey SpaceNut, I'm a Granite Stater too. "Live Free or Die"

#7 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » Militia On Mars » 2006-12-04 14:46:05

No offense, but I get the impression that the author doesn't speak English as a first language.

I advocate a militia system in general, but the odds that aliens are going to swoop down on Mars are slim to say the least. Even if they did, their technology would be so far ahead of ours that no human military force would likely stop them.

#8 Re: Intelligent Alien Life » Why is the Universe silent? » 2006-12-04 14:37:27

What if we're the first technological civilization in the Milky Way? Our sun is middle aged, and it took all that time for an intelligent civilization to rise here. Perhaps intelligent life, at least in the sense of technology using intelligence is quite uncommon.

Some civilizations could have existed in the galaxy a billion years ago, but their signals wouldn't still remain in our galaxy. Plus a civilization located directly across the galaxy would probably not send signals which would cross the galaxy uninterupted. There are so many sources of interference.

Maybe we're alone for now in the Milky Way, but I don't believe that has always been so, and there may be a civilization out there which just discovered radio technology.

#9 Re: Civilization and Culture » Expanding The Political Debate » 2006-11-24 03:10:49

Yes Tom, you are saying the same thing that I said, but you're trying to make it sound like I was advocating minority rule, which I wasn't.

I am saying that government should be constrained, and those areas where the government is given liberty. It is important to remember that the govt. doesn't grant rights, because a right can't be granted. It's either a right or it's not.

#10 Re: Civilization and Culture » Expanding The Political Debate » 2006-11-19 14:54:25

A tyranny of the majority is no better than a tyranny of the minority. The idea that democracy is synonymous with freedom is absurd, because true democracy is by defenition an unlimited government. Are you saying that a minority which rebels against an oppressive majority is in the wrong simply by virtue of their number?

A democracy can vote to strip the minority of their religious freedom, their freedom of expression, their right to property, and anything else, yet you equate the majority with a moral absolute.

What you need is a government which is limited in scope. Even a small direct democracy of 100-200 people can have a charter or constitution, which limits the power of the majority.

Frankly, I think that Democracy is at the root of all most contempory authoritariansm. National Socialism and Bolshevism are quick to claim that their platform is the will of the people, and that it is of course in the interests of the majority.  Government should be representative, either democratic or republican, but it should also be limited in scope. In the end most decisions should be left to the individual, and government should primarily be employed only to prevent one individual from infringing on the equal rights and freedoms of another.

The idea that every apect of our lives is subject to legislation is far from correct, as is the idea that government actually solves many problems.

#11 Re: Civilization and Culture » Martian Gravity » 2006-11-19 14:36:43

As I understand it, a human being born on Mars will grow taller than a human being born on Earth. At approximately 1/3 the gravity, I have a feeling human beings will develop differently than they would on Earth. Obviously I'm not saying that a five foot person on Earth would be 15 feet on Mars, but they would develop differently.

Someone on Earth also needs to be more heavily muscled than a Mars dweller. Since a person on Mars will need only to cope with their relative mass on Mars, they will grow proportionately weaker, which is good. A person on Mars probably won't be as strong as an Earth dweller, unless they intentionally condition themselves that way. I mean they will still have the genetic potential to be as strong as a Terrestrial person, but likely the human body will pair itself down to meet the lessened demands.

#12 Re: Civilization and Culture » War on Mars » 2006-11-19 14:22:11

Frankly, in the early stages there will be little incentive for war. Colonists will have little in the way of extra resources, and probably won't even be able to reach another colony, let alone engage them.

If you are looking at government as a way to avoid war, then I think that you are looking in the wrong place. Almost every war in human history has been waged by a government. By putting one government in place and hoping that the only war is that of an insurgency doesn't seem an improvement. Civil Wars and insurgencies are often some of the bloodiest conflicts.

Human beings really aren't as warlike as some people think. The main reason we fight on Earth is because of
1) Limited resources
2) Differences in Belief
3) Manipulation by those who stand to gain by our fighting

Frankly Martians will have to focus on their survival and making environmental improvements, possibly for generations, before can think about diversions, especially those as costly as war.

We're all children of sci-fi media, but when you analysis the costs and benefits to Martian colonists, there is little to gain and much to lose by going to war. I doubt we'll see a martial Mars.

The foot soldier is becoming less relevant on the modern battlefield. Especially with the conditions present on a Red Mars, you would see far more technologically driven conflicts. A handful of missles launched at a dome would probably prove enough to cause depressurization, and everyone in that enclosure would die. If we do someday see a war on Mars, it will likely be fought by unmanned drones, and communications/electronic jamming. An EMP near a colony could easily shut down life support and communications.

Those who engage in war on Mars will likely decimate themselves, which is why war won't be a major problem in the early stages. If Mars reaches and Earth like environment, then you may see levels of conflict that resemble those on Earth.

Actually if you look at the numbers from the last century. You are 4 times as likely to die by the hand of your own government than by that of a foreign agressor. That figure reflects the folly of rallying behind a government out of a desire for security.

#13 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » United Martian Colonies founded! » 2006-11-19 13:53:11

This is just foolish. There is no legal or sensical basis for such a claim. I could say that I am acting President of the entire universe beyond the Solsys, but that wouldn't make it so.

Frankly the only legitimate governments on Mars will be formed by Martians. There is no need or basis for governments where there are absolutely no people to be governed.

Government will not come until permanant habitation becomes reality.

Nicholas Michelewicz
President of the Confederated Republics of Mars
wink

#14 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Communism - Just like Star Trek » 2006-09-30 23:59:21

I'm not opposed to a constabulary force and judiciary to address crimes of force and fraud. Of course it is likely that even without such a judiciary, a type of common law would prevail. Common law garuntees the right to trial by jury, not vigilante justice. This is the system that was used in England for centuries, and for quite some time in the US until it was replaced with statutory law.

Government justice is not necessarily any more efficient at punishing the right person either. Have you followed the cases where a full 10% of a state's death row has been released in the light of DNA exoneration? It's OK for the state to execute on mere suspicion, let's be clear there is reasonable doubt in most cases and the jury just leans one way or the other, but if an individual did it then that would be worse?

Either way George Martin is dead, and people who disagree with the verdict are probably going to have it out for those who passed judgement, and whether by brute violence or trumped up charges, the Martins will have it out for the Clayton's. That is unless they think that George did it, in which case there is a good chance that guy was a likely candidate.

People in a settlement could voluntarily accept the community's system of justice or arbitration, and if they don't like it, they'll choose to setle in a colony that better matches their desires. People would sign a contract that says they will operate within the constraints of the legal system, whatever it is, and that they will settle their greivances within those boundarys, and be subject to prosecution under a prescribed burden or proof, and penalties. Gradually people would choose the systems that are most beneficial, and these systems will be chosen, not forced.

When did I advocate tight borders in a Martian society? I don't like global governments, but I don't like trade barriers either. Free trade and free movement, but between states that set local regulations and handle the defense of their citizens from violent criminals, theives, fraudlent practices, and the initiation of war by other colonies.

#15 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Communism - Just like Star Trek » 2006-09-26 23:33:33

I understand that Anarcho-capitalism or libertarianism might not be entirely workable on Mars, especially in the early stages of development. I would agree with a universal system for land claims that would cut down on disputes, and I would also agree with safe passage and mutal nonagression requirements for the disparate colonies. Atmospheric emmissions taxes/credit could also be justified since they truely affect everybody in a planetary engineering environment.

The Rome comparison could only be used, in my mind, to justify minarchy. "Government is limited to keeping invaders out, keeping us free from oppression, and allowing us to trade freely.
Rome was for most of its span a military dictatorship, not a true Republic. When did I advocate living in tribal bands under the leadership of a king? Rome was an imperialistic state, and they had a lot of blood on their hands. Rome suceeded in building an infrastucture that allowed knoweledge to flourish, and the human condition to improve, but the government of Rome brought bureaucracy, despotism, and bloody power struggles. You don't need an emperor to secure a common defense.

I did say ARMED colonies for a reason, and I believe that a government's job is to keep invaders and oppressors at bay, but the people must not forget that their own government can often be just as big a threat to their life and liberty as foreign ones.

Personally I'd rather live under the Celtic system so far as we understand it, than the Roman one.

#16 Re: Terraformation » Plenty of volatiles supply in the Outer SolSys » 2006-09-26 22:00:56

Thanks for the welcome fractal.

I'm a little new to the quantitative side of the terraforming debate. Do you have any idea, how many bodies of such composition are believed/known to exist?

It seems to me harvesting volatiles from small cosmic bodies would be a realistic and relatively expedient way to import volatiles. Of course the best course would probably be to start with greenhouse gases like Ammonia and Methane, to see if the caps really contain the amounts of CO2 that some seem to think. My guess is that there won't be anywhere near a bar's worth of CO2 in the caps, but of course this is good for trying to create a biosphere, because there should be room to introduce Nitrogen and other gas volatile s, without creating an overpressured atmosphere.

It seems like several asteroids of the right composition and size could put us on the relative fast track to a warmer Mars.

#17 Re: Terraformation » Funding for terraforming » 2006-09-26 21:49:40

I think that private investment and donations will be the way to go. Many people think that investing government money in space exploration is a waste of funds that could be used here, so it's not too politically popular.

NASA receives a tiny fraction of the government's total funding. By reducing the tax burden on Americans, i.e. cutting programs like the insanely bloated defense budget, you would free up income that people might not mind donating a portion of their income to programs they feel are useful.

If I could choose how much of my tax dollar went where, I would probably divide it up between defense and NASA.

Why not set up and publicize a public fund for NASA, and or private space agencies. It could act as a trust. People could donate X many tax deductible dollars, and if the fund didn't accrue enough money for a given mission in a given amount of time money would revert to the donors. The money could be kept in low risk interest bearing accounts to keep up with inflation.

It won't detract from current funding, and if it proved even marginally sucessful it would help accelerate progress.

#18 Re: Terraformation » Plenty of volatiles supply in the Outer SolSys » 2006-09-25 21:57:23

I haven't thought extensively about the outer solar system, but how much solid mass in terms of frozen C02,N, or H would be required to create 1bar of pressure on Mars?
If a number of comets 100m-1km in diameter could be introduced to Mars, without  an impact that obscures the surface, how many would it take?

If the caps and regolith don't posses enough gas, and clearly there isn't enough Nitrogen, I think impacts are the most efficient way to import volatiles. Deep Impact showed that we can land a craft on a similar body.

#19 Re: Mars Gravity Biosatellite » After effects » 2006-09-25 21:34:36

Any person born on mars would likely develop in a way that would allow them to function normally in its gravity. Likely, they would be quite tall and not posses enough muscle mass to go to earth and live a normal life.
A person born on Earth, who spends years on Mars would have to undergo some physical rehab to return to Earth, or would have to engage in a rigorous physical regime.

#20 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » What Type Of Government Should Mars Have?? - Mars Government » 2006-09-25 21:24:00

No nation has a claim to Mars as expressed by treaty. The governments of Earth have already disavowed the power to claim celestial bodies. There are three major goals that I think supporters of space exploration/colinization have.

1. Help ensure the survival of the Human species in the event of catastrophe on Earth.

2. Gain and profit from the vast resources available in space.

3. Allow humanity on Earth to benefit from discoveries and research in space.

I don't think many people, or nations are really looking for direct political control over Mars. In reality governments will eventually take root on Mars of their own accord. I'm not a fan of governments in general, nor the specter of centralized world states.

Frankly, I think that government funded space travel won't get us into space or into the planetary engineering business. I believe that private enterprises will do a far faster, cheaper, and more incentive driven job as technology advances.

#21 Re: Martian Politics and Economy » Communism - Just like Star Trek » 2006-09-25 21:08:37

As a libertarian, I believe that people have a right to act as they wish, so long as they do not infringe upon the equal rights of others.

It seems like a lot of people here believe that government is the greatest thing since sliced bread. Government isn't reason or right, it is simply force, plain and simple. Every government policy is ultimately enforced at the barrel of a gun. Socialism is necessarily a coercive system unless it is based on a voluntary commune set up.

There was a previous claim that Anarchy meant that people didn't show respect for the rights of others. True Anarchy simply means the absence of a government, or at least a coercive government. Voluntary associations could replace our primative force based systems.

I would not be opposed to a government that safeguarded against crimes of force and fraud, and provided defense, although frankly without major governments, war would be far less likely than here on Earth.

In a Free Market, which is not what the current US system is, people with ability and initiative do well, people with marginal skills do marginally well, and people with little ability of value to anyone else, don't do well.

Frankly, I don't see a global government for Mars, if and when it is made habitable. Settlers and developers will probably chose different locations and form their own governments, or government exclusive areas.

Introducing ideologies like fascism, socialism, and capitalism to Mars will likely result in warfare. We have seen the futility of militarism on Earth, and we don't need to repeat it. Armed settlements will be able to defend themselves from criminals and other aggressors without the need for a centralized government.

In short government is evil. Let's leave as much of it as possible behind, and move on.

Oh, and FYI. Of course they're militaristic on Startrek, they're on a military vessel. Not everyone in the Federation is in the service.

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