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“Angry Astronaut” had been a strong propellant of the Starship for a Moon mission. Now, he no longer believes it can perform that role. He discusses an alternative architecture for the Artemis missions that uses the Starship only as a heavy cargo lifter to LEO, never being used itself as a lander. In this case it would carry the lunar lander to orbit to link up with the Orion capsule launched by the SLS:
Face facts! Starship will never get humans to the Moon! BUT it can do the next best thing!
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=vl-GwVM4HuE
That alternative architecture is describes here:
Op-Ed: How NASA Could Still Land Astronauts on the Moon by 2029.
by Alex Longo
This figure provides an overview of a simplified, two-launch lunar architecture which leverages commercial hardware to land astronauts on the Moon by 2029. Credit: AmericaSpace.
https://www.americaspace.com/2025/06/09 … n-by-2029/
Bob Clark
For RGClark re SSTO Engine technology...
Recently kbd512 has been looking at an air breathing system for SSTO.
I am wondering if you might be willing to entertain the idea of using air breathing propulsion for the flight to the top of the atmosphere, followed by traditional rocket engine propulsion. The difficulty of designing for sea level would be eliminated, and the remaining question would be how to design the engine for the optimum performance at the altitude where it begins operation.
In order for you to catch up with kbd512 you might be able to find relevant posts by searching for posts by kbd512.
kbd512 posts in a number of topics, so searching by topic might not work. Or you could just write a note to kbd512 asking for links to relevant posts.
(th)
Yes. We know ramjet propulsion is doable as operational ramjets have been fielded since decades ago. What we haven’t been able to do is scramjets that can work for more than just a few seconds of positive net thrust. But ramjets can operate up to Mach 5+, over 1.600+ m/s. This can subtract off a significant amount of the delta-v needed for orbit. This can certainly work for TSTO where the first stage is airbreathing ramjet, and the upper stage being a rocket. This can cut the cost to space since the airbreathing first stage might be reusable for thousands or reuses.
It might also work for a airbreathing/rocket combined-cycle SSTO. I am investigating this possibility.
Bob Clark
…
Separation-limited vacuum engines (like the current vacuum Raptor) inherently have utterly-lousy sea level thrust! There is simply no way around that! 3x275 + 3x175 = about 1350 tons with all 6 burning at sea level on "Starship". That's thrust/weight only 1.02 at liftoff, which is long known to correspond to gravity losses WAY TO HELL-AND-GONE ABOVE 20% (or more) of LEO speed, not the 5% of an efficient system. Add only 30 tons of payload to this example, and this thing CANNOT budge a single inch off the launch pad, no matter how much propellant it has!
And there is NO ROOM behind it for more engines! Making the tankage hold 1300 or even 1400 tons really does not change that picture very much at all.
All SSTO designs face exactly the same thrust problem as trying to make an SSTO out of "Starship"! You cannot have any more engines, because those added would lie outside the stage diameter! That doubles-or-more your drag, and way-more-than-doubles your drag loss, which with a really clean shape of the right L/D ratio is about 5% of LEO speed.
There is simply way-far-more to this entire question than just Isp and mass ratio in the rocket equation! I have long tried to communicate that, but unsuccessfully!
And by the way, if sea level thrust gets reduced by the backpressure term, so does the corresponding sea level Isp, for the same combustion chamber design and total propellant flow rate. Which is EXACTLY why you need to look at engine/nozzle ballistics, and not just pull Isp's out of some table in some reference.
I have provided the spreadsheet tools and the instructional lessons, for free, to be able to do this work correctly. That's the stuff accessed by links posted right here on these forums.
GW
Can your software calculate the ISP vs. altitude of a sea level Merlin engine given adaptive nozzles? This graphic shows a radical improvement over the standard Vulcain using altitude compensation:
Russian kerosene upper stage engines have reached a max 360s vacuum ISP. So the sea level Merlin given an adaptive nozzles would increase its vacuum ISP from 312s to 360s or above.
Note such an ideally adaptive nozzles would also increase the sea level ISP, as the graphic shows for the Vulcain engine. The reason is fixed nozzle sea level engines are always overexpanded at sea level. This is because the engine designer also wants good performance in vacuum, so they select some intermediate expansion value. This reduces the sea level performance.
Note this means the adaptive nozzles also increases the sea level thrust over the standard engine. Then the adaptive nozzle has the twin benefit of increasing the vacuum ISP as well as reducing gravity drag due to increased thrust.
Bob Clark
Repeated engineering failures stem from the top. An analogy, suppose a wealthy businessman started his own civil engineering company and named himself Chief Engineer, despite his background not being engineering.
OK, it’s his company he can name himself anything he wants. But suppose as Chief Engineer he then proceeds to ignore basic principles of civil engineering. Would anyone be surprised if his buildings and bridges fell down?
Why SpaceX needs a True Chief Engineer.
http://exoscientist.blogspot.com/2025/0 … ineer.html
Bob Clark
Design by smashing may not always work as SpaceX May Be Failing to Get Starship Working at All
"All flight 9 has proven is just how much of a dead end Starship is."SpaceX is still a long way from achieving reusability or a hefty payload capacity. Regarding the former, last week's flight test was the first time SpaceX reused a Super Heavy booster, replacing four of its 33 engines. Regarding the latter, the test had Starship carry a dummy payload of a measly 16 metric tons. Musk has previously promised that Starship will carry 150 tons.
Maybe its time to step back and try for the mid sized rocket....
Another article skeptical of the approach SpaceX is taking on the Starship:
SpaceX rockets keep exploding. Is that normal?
Can a move-fast-and-break-things approach create the next-gen rocket?
by Georgina Torbet
May 31, 2025 at 12:00 PM EDT
https://www.theverge.com/spacex/677355/ … ing-normal
Bob Clark
For GW Johnson...
RGClark just opened a new topic about an Italian company that is (apparently) planning to use a rocket fuel that produces a greater ISP than any rocket created by humans to this point.
My recollection is that among your many publications is one that shows that an ISP greater that 450 can produce desirable results.
If you have a moment or two, please add a post to RGClark's new topic.
Please don't say that the new rocket is not possible with known technology, because clearly the company will be using technology that is new and far beyond anything achieved in the past several thousand years.
Instead, please show what the ISP of the new rocket fuel must be to achieve the desired result.
I assume the ISP must be greater than 450, but perhaps no more than 650?
(th)
I did a search of “RGClark” on the forum, to find posts I hadn’t seen and saw this. I don’t remember it. Perhaps you mean Sidereus that want’s to make a small SSTO:
Sidereus Space Dynamics Complete Integrated Static Fire Test.
https://europeanspaceflight.com/sidereu … fire-test/
Bob Clark
tahanson43206,
…
Inputs
Launch Vehicle: User Defined
Number of Stages: 1
Strap-on Boosters?: No
Dry Mass: 26,372kg
Propellant Mass: 2,185,289kg
Thrust: 33,854kN
Isp: 304.2s (90% of Vacuum Isp for the RD-180)
Default Propellant Residuals?: Yes
Restartable Upper Stage?: No
Payload Fairing Mass: 0kg
Launch Site: Cape Canaveral (USA)
Destination: Earth Orbit, Apogee 185km, Perigee 185km, Inclination: 45 degreesOutputs
Launch Vehicle: User-Defined Launch Vehicle
Launch Site: Cape Canaveral / KSC
Destination Orbit: 185 x 185 km, 45 deg
Estimated Payload: 78,854kg
95% Confidence Interval: 58,892kg - 103,231kg,922
...
That mass ratio of nearly 100 to 1 may be too optimistic. The Falcon 9 first stage for instance gets about 20 to 1. You might be able to raise that to 30 to 1 using carbon-fiber tanks or the specialty high-strength steels on the Starship that SpaceX says matches carbon-fiber.
Bob Clark
Dr Clark,
I decided to evaluate what an extendible / vacuum nozzle might net in terms of improved payload performance:
The Russian RD-0124 engine, a non-developmental LOX/RP1 engine in active service, has a vacuum Isp of 359s.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/RD-0124
323.1s is 90% of that 359s Vacuum Isp
Mass Flow Rate (mdot) = Thrust / (Isp * g0)
3,452,113.5kg-f = 33,853,669N
mdot = 33,853,669N / (323.1 * 9.80665)
mdot = 33,853,669N / 3,168.528615
mdot = 10,684.35kg/s6,508,946,390N-s / 33,853,669N = 192.267s
192.267s * 10,684.35kg/s = 2,054,248kgPropellant Mass savings is 131,041kg, which nets an additional 7,407kg of payload to orbit. That amount of payload performance improvement would more than cover the mass allocation for the extendible nozzles. We need all the payload performance we can get for SSTOs, so I'll take it.
Yes, that would offer significant improvement. The problem is with a variable nozzle it’s not certain the “90% rule” would still provide an accurate estimate. You would need to do an accurate trajectory sim to be sure.
Bob Clark
…
LOX/RP1 to Deliver 6,508,946,390N-s
Real World Engine Proxy: RD-180 engine's Isp (90% of Vacuum Isp) / thrust / mass flow performance figures?:
LOX: 1,597,846kg (1,192.422m^3)
RP1: 587,443kg (683.074m^3)
Total: 2,185,289kg (1,875.496m^3)2,301,409kg LOX/RP1 + 116,120kg (vehicle and useful payload) = 2,301,409kg GLOW
116,120kg = 5.05% of GLOW
…
What’s the dry mass of this stage?
Robert Clark
For RGClark re Post #8
Thanks for the good news of your new LinkedIn group, and for your contribution to this topic.
GW Johnson wrote a short email reminder to think about cooling for your variable geometry nozzle.
With that as a hint, I asked Google's Gemini about variable geometry nozzle design and related research, and followed up with a question about cooling. It appears that different cooling methods are needed at different phases of flight, so your solution will need to include more than one cooling method.
About the cooling issue, this site is a great resource for discussions of spaceflight by experts in the industry back in the day: https://yarchive.net/space/
This page discusses that Pratt & Whitney actually tested a “telescoping nozzle” while the engine was firing and found that it worked:
https://yarchive.net/space/rocket/teles … ozzle.html
Also an engine with telescoping nozzle to extend while the engine was firing had been planned for a spaceplane back in the 60’s, but the projected was not completed:
A bat outta Hell: the ISINGLASS Mach 22 follow-on to OXCART
by Dwayne Day
Monday, April 12, 2010
https://www.thespacereview.com/article/1602/1
Robert Clark
…
For RGClark ... I get the impression you only read a tiny bit of the forum, and posts intended for you never reach you.There is nothing wrong with that. That is how a lot of our members use the forum. However, what it means is that feedback someone might offer is never seen, so if correction is offered you continue on without it.
(th)
I suppose I could do a search on “RGClark” for people responding to my posts.
Bob Clark
For RGClark re adjustable nozzle concept...
Since your latest proposal is for an expendable SSTO, you wouldn't be concerned with re-use of the nozzle.
Perhaps a design that slides out segments along the nozzle as they are needed would help?
https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/shop … DFl5s73O1_
Update at 1936 New Hampshire time:
For RGClark: https://newmars.com/forums/viewtopic.ph … 48#p231548
GW Johnson sent this image about how to cool two phase rocket engines.(th)
I like that idea. There are several methods of doing variable nozzles. For instance they have been used on jet engine afterburners for decades:
Bob Clark
By my estimates, the mass ratio of a LOX/RP-1 SSTO would be about 15. Which means that the entire vehicle and payload would need to be no more than 6.7% of takeoff mass. That is a very thin structural margin, especially if it includes thermal reentry shielding. Some kind of launch assist would appear to me to be a necessity for this concept to have a chance of working. If we can shave 30% off of the fuel required to reach orbit, then a reusable LOX/RP-1 SSTO can get to orbit with a more achievable mass ratio of about 11. That is still tough to do. But it is possible.
Another option would be a two staged vehicle, with both stages being reusable. This is exactly what SpaceX are doing.
As discussed in post #5 above, Falcon 9 first stage has already reached a mass ratio of about 20 to 1. But this uses the mid-level performance Merlin 1D at 312s vacuum Isp. Suppose we replaced them with the high efficiency Russian engines such as the RD-180, that get 338s vacuum Isp. This does give about a 15 to 1 mass ratio you mentioned. How much payload, then, could be carried given that the bare rocket, no payload, got 20 to 1 mass ratio?
Bob Clark
GW, in post #14 I showed a graphic that showed how much better an adaptive nozzle could do in ISP over the fixed nozzle applied to the Vulcain engine. I imagine there would also be a great improvement with a variable nozzle over 312s vacuum Isp of the fixed nozzle Merlin 1D. For instance a Russian upper stage RP1 engine was able to get 358s vacuum Isp.
So my question is could your engine analysis program described here, https://exrocketman.blogspot.com/2024/0 … mator.html, do the calculations of the Isp with altitude of the Merlin 1D when given a variable nozzle that matched the exit area to the ambient pressure by altitude?
Bob Clark
Dr Clark,
…
Adding or subtracting 10 seconds of Isp is almost meaningless for a LOX/LH2 engine. A straight Delta-V calculation will show that the difference between 452.3s of Isp and 464.9s of Isp is 85.65m/s of additional acceleration possible for the same propellant load and dry vehicle mass. You will not see any sort of night-and-day payload performance improvement by using that extendible nozzle with the RS-25, but your vehicle will have significant additional dry mass. Unless some other part of your vehicle becomes lighter to compensate for lugging heavier engines all the way to space, then you may actually lose a little payload performance. If we were starting in orbit with 464.9s vs 452.3s of Isp, with full propellant tanks, then yes, you would see a meaningful payload performance increase, but again, it's not going to be a night-and-day type of improvement, especially if the nozzle extension mass is significant....
My thesis is any currently existing (liquid-fueled) stage can be SSTO with use of extensible nozzle, though for upper stages, which typically don’t have enough thrust for liftoff, you may need to cut prop load or add engines.
There were examples of SSTO’s designed around the SSME’s because they were already high performance engines able to launch from ground yet get high Isp in vacuum. But that high performance comes with a high price. When they were first offered they cost ca. $40 million each. When Aerojet brought them back for the SLS core stage they (absurdly) jacked up the price to $146 million each. In contrast mid-level performance engines like the Merlin 1D on the Falcon 9, Vulcain on the Ariane 5/6, or RS-68 on the Delta IV cost less than $10 million each. More importantly rather than having to design and build an entire new rocket for the SSTO use, it can literally be done by attaching an extensible nozzle to the already existing stage.
For an example of how great the improvement in performance can be for a mid level engine, see this graphic of the Vulcain if it were given altitude compensating nozzles:
Getting a vacuum Isp of ca. 480s compared to 432s of the standard Vulcain would be a big difference. Note also because the RS-68 has similar chamber pressure as the Vulcain it would also get similar high vacuum Isp with an extensible nozzle. This would represent an even greater increase in performance over the standard RS-68’s 412s vacuum Isp.
This radical increase in vacuum Isp would also hold for the Merlin 1D. It’s vacuum Isp is 312s. But the Merlin Vacuum can get a vacuum Isp of 348s, and there have been upper stage RP1 engines able to get 358s vacuum Isp. That would be a major increase in performance over what the current Falcon 9 could do as an SSTO. To illustrate, the current Falcon 9 has an approximate 20 to 1 mass ratio, then the ideal delta-v would be:
312*9.81Ln(20) = 9,170 m/s, that would be about zero payload to orbit. But a 358s Isp might give 358*9.81Ln(20) = 10,520 m/s. This is so much much higher than the common 9,200 to 9,400 m/s delta-v needed for orbit it would represent a high amount of payload.
BUT, notice I said might. Again the problem is a simple rocket equation estimate using a fixed Isp as used for fixed nozzle, probably won’t work for the variable nozzle case. You really need to do an accurate trajectory sim to see what the payload would be using a varying nozzle.
Edit: edited the current Aerojet price for the SSME’s to $146 million each; 3 times higher than the original $40 million each.
Bob Clark
Dr Clark,
Tim Chen (Chief Engineer for Boeing Satellite Systems) seems to think SSTO with LOX/RP1 is impossible and SSTO with LOX/LH2 is possible but very difficult. I want to understand why that is, because there seems to be an absolute fixation on the marginal Isp differences between RP1 and LH2. The combination of Total Impulse (Total Force) generated to accelerate a vehicle with a constrained mass is what dictates whether or not that vehicle attains orbital velocity, or doesn't. You get marginally better Isp with LOX/LH2 at the expense of much larger propellant tank structures that add to SMF and detract from PMF. Materials don't get any stronger as vehicle volume increases. On top of that problem, LH2-fueled engines produce less than half as much thrust per unit engine mass, as compared to LCH4/RP1-fueled engines. Modern hydrocarbon fueled rocket engines (Merlin-1D, Raptor-3; 185:1 to 190:1 TWR), about 2.5X as much thrust per unit engine mass as LH2-fueled engines (RS-25D, J-2X, RS-68A; 47:1 to 75:1 TWR).
…
Here’s that discussion by Tim Chen on that LinkedIn group:
https://www.linkedin.com/feed/update/ur … hGKm6TyGa4
He refers to this graphic:
But that graphic takes a far too small value for RP1(kerosene) engines ISP of only 200s. This is worse than the Merlin 1D at 312s vacuum ISP. But the high efficiency Russian engines such as the RD-180 do better than this at 338s.
At a propellant fraction of .95 possible for RP-1, this is a mass ratio of 20 to 1. Using a 338s ISP gives a delta-v of:
338*9.8Ln(20) = 9,923.0636, well above the 9,200 to 9,400 needed for orbit.
Also, a variable nozzle could get even better performance.
Bob Clark
…
But there is a problem here as far as estimating payload capability. Commonly with fixed nozzle stages you use a fixed value for the ISP to estimate the delta-v possible. This is convenient since it is only a single line calculation using the rocket equation. But that probably is not accurate for a variable nozzle since you are changing the characteristics of the nozzle through out the flight. You could you use, say, the vacuum isp for this case but that would probably over estimate it.
What really needs to be done is accurate trajectory simulations of the type NASA uses. Then you could see how the variable nozzle deviates from what a fixed nozzle would do. I’ve only seen one paper actually do that. I’ll see if I can find it.
Bob Clark
That article was:
Rocket-powered single-stage-to-orbit vehicles for safe economical access to low Earth orbit.
August 1992 Acta Astronautica 26(8-10):633-642
DOI: 10.1016/0094-5765(92)90153-A
Dana G. Andrews, Dana G. Andrews, E.E. Davis, E.L. Bangsund
https://www.researchgate.net/publicatio … arth_orbit
Bob Clark
I started a group on LinkedIn on developing SSTO’s:
SSTO - Single Stage to Orbit.
https://www.linkedin.com/groups/13205030
My first post in that group was on developing an expendable SSTO. The reason is the opinion against a SSTO being feasible is so strong it’s important to break that mindset by just getting an expendable one with significant payload.
The point of the matter is getting an expendable SSTO is easy with minor modification to existing engines: add an extensible nozzle to get high vacuum ISP at vacuum, but which can be retracted at sea level. Such extensible nozzles have been in use since the 90’s with the RL10 upper stage engine. The problem is they haven’t been used on first stage engines.
The surprising conclusion you get is any existing (liquid fueled) stage can be made SSTO by addition of an extensible nozzle, though for an upper stage you would have to cut fuel load or add additional engines since commonly they don’t have enough thrust for liftoff from ground since they don’t need it.
But there is a problem here as far as estimating payload capability. Commonly with fixed nozzle stages you use a fixed value for the ISP to estimate the delta-v possible. This is convenient since it is only a single line calculation using the rocket equation. But that probably is not accurate for a variable nozzle since you are changing the characteristics of the nozzle through out the flight. You could you use, say, the vacuum isp for this case but that would probably over estimate it.
What really needs to be done is accurate trajectory simulations of the type NASA uses. Then you could see how the variable nozzle deviates from what a fixed nozzle would do. I’ve only seen one paper actually do that. I’ll see if I can find it.
Bob Clark
Well, they clearly have some sort of problem going on that they don't yet understand.
The fact that something bad happened in a static test tied down to a thrust stand, suggests a possible resonance in a feed plumbing line, not a vehicle structural mode, which would be strongly damped by the fixity of the thrust stand. Such would explain a lot of the fires and engine outs we have been seeing all along. But it takes a thrust or chamber pressure oscillation to do that, one occurring at one of the organ pipe oscillation modes in that feed line.
I really seriously doubt they have any sort of data acquisition that is not digital. You cannot see an organized oscillation hidden in the noise "hash" with digitally-acquired data: the inherent pixellation completely obscures it. You need a high-speed FM tape recording using a recorder of about 1 MHz capability. You play this back at various speeds and magnifications, either as a paper printout or on a scope display, until you find what you are looking for: a definite periodicity with a nontrivial amplitude. It will be a signal hidden among a nonperiodic "hash" of all sorts of amplitudes and frequencies, so it may not initially "leap off the display" at you. You do this with both thrust and pressure data recordings.
The reason I suspect they have a thrust/pressure oscillation going on is because of the 10-Hz shaking of my doors, windows, and hanging light fixtures when they test Raptors, but NOT Merlins, at the McGregor test facility. You cannot hear this signal, but you can feel and observe its effects. 10 Hz is below the lowest frequency humans can hear (but an elephant could).
This is the sort of problem where the basic approach of "build it, break it, build another" will let you down. This is the sort of thing where you have to stop and investigate carefully just to figure out what went wrong. SpaceX is not used to doing that. SpaceX has no one on their payroll old enough to know about how to investigate anything like that. And they have a bad "not invented here" culture that prevents them from learning from the mistakes of others, especially mistakes made long ago.
…
GW
SpaceX has a serious “not invented here problem”. Perhaps you can write this up and post it on your blog. You could then link to the posting on the various groups on LinkedIn read by those in the industry. Hopefully someone at SpaceX would pick up on it.
Edit: I looked up the average age of the engineers at SpaceX. This was the Grok response:
Query: What is the average age of the engineers at SpaceX?
Response: The average age of engineers at SpaceX is approximately 28 to 30 years old, based on various reports. A 2019 post on X cited the median employee age at SpaceX as 29, while other sources, including Reddit discussions and news articles, suggest the average age of engineers is around 30, with many being recent graduates or in their 20s to early 30s.[](https://www.reddit.com/r/spacex/comment … ing_there/)[](https://www.businessinsider.com/how-to- … cex-2013-2)
Norbert Elekes @NorbertElekes
Median employee age at tech companies
SpaceX: 29
Google: 30
Amazon: 30
Apple: 31
Microsoft: 33
IBM: 36
HP: 38
Xerox: 41
Kodak: 50
https://x.com/norbertelekes/status/1102 … 55617?s=61
SpaceX is youngest. Note the others near the top are primarily software companies. For them, the engineering hardware is not as major an issue. But for hardware, engineering is as much an art as it is a science. You need that knowledge and instincts of the old time engineers that would not be written down in books. Not being an engineer, Elon would not be aware of that
Bob Clark
By the way, has anybody heard anything about when the next orbital test flight might be? I have seen nothing so far.
GW
Bad news on the latest Starship static fire test:
@Blobifi
Starship gazer has released a video of the static fire on Facebook showing what looks to be an Rvac destabilizing before the the other engiens shut down.
https://x.com/blobifie/status/191824849 … QWCAYS9AQw
Some reports are a vacuum Raptor actually experienced a RUD.
Bob Clark
This topic combines two ideas that are not normally associated.
Quantum pairing is thought to be superluminal so it would be interesting to see if anyone can find evidence supporting that conjecture.
Fusion is the focus of multiple topics already, but in ** this ** topic the idea of mechanical advantage is available if anyone would care to explore it.
Fusion is present in abundance in the Universe. Every instance known to date is gravity mediated fusion.
(th)
I hadn’t hear of quantum pairing. What is it?
Bob Clark
Yes, it’s Archimedes. By the way when the question is asked who were the greatest intellects humanity has ever produced the answer commonly given is Archimedes, Newton, and Gauss.
The basic principle discovered by Archimedes, startling in its scope, is the principle of “mechanical advantage”. The idea is moving a small mass a large distance or high speed is equivalent to moving a large mass a small distance or low speed. Archimedes first enunciated this principle in regards to the lever. He famously said, “Give me a place to stand and I shall move the Earth!”
Nowadays, we consider it “trivial” and “obvious” because the energy is the same in both cases. You see it in many forms, levers, pulleys, gears, hydraulics, etc. But note the principle goes both ways: if you want to achieve high speed you can do it by moving a large mass low speed.
Then in regards fusion and superluminal speeds you translate the known techniques of producing large mass at low speed into moving small mass at (extremely) high speed.
I just thought it stunning such a simple principle discovered millennia ago could solve the deepest questions of 21st century physics.
Robert Clark
It’s not in the science journals. It’s a surprising realization that occurred to me.
Who was the greatest scientist of antiquity? What was a key principle he first enunciated?
Bob Clark
A surprising and unexpected conclusion: two major tech advances of the 21st century being sought now, controlled nuclear fusion and superluminal speeds, can both be accomplished by using a basic, earliest discovered principle of science.
Question: what is that basic principle of science?
Robert Clark
That link in the quote in post 2060 just above does not take me to anything I ever sketched. It takes me to the imgur webpage, not to any particular image.
Meanwhile, just to let everybody know, SpaceX has been testing a lot of Raptor engines lately, quite a few up on the tower stand where they are quite loud. There's about a 10-Hertz inaudible pressure wave from these tests that really rattles the windows and doors and chandelier-type light fixtures. I feel it with Raptors, but not Merlins. I suspect the soot cloud in the flame with kerosene has an oscillation damping effect that is missing with the methane.
That too-low-to-hear but significant amplitude signal suggests a nontrivial thrust oscillation with a fairly-well-defined 10 Hertz frequency in the Raptor that the Merlins just do not have. If there are any vehicle or plumbing modes near that 10-Hertz frequency, resonance could easily cause POGO problems.
Those tests have been running pretty close to 6-7 minutes each, essentially a full duration ascent burn for either stage. I cannot tell a vacuum Raptor from a sea level Raptor, they all sound about the same, from 6 miles away. I suspect the vacuum tests are running with something approximating a normal shock, essentially just barely aft of the exit plane. They would have to be at near full pressure, and would be separated between ignition at some reduced pressure, and throttle-up to test conditions. I usually don't hear the "explosions" that were full-power starts. Von Braun found reduced-throttle ignition to be far more survivable, about 80 years ago.
…
GW
Thanks for that. The image I referred to was from post #2057. For some reason it wasn’t copied correctly when I quoted it.
The prevailing speculation is the flight 7 and 8 explosions were due to interactions with the rocket structure. In that case these tests just on test stand of a single engine won’t solve the issue. If POGO, then static tests using the full rocket stage itself won’t resolve it either. Is it possible for a stage on a test stand to emulate the vibrations that occur during POGO?
Bob Clark